Category: Statistics

World J Surg Oncol. 2024 Apr 25;22(1):111. doi: 10.1186/s12957-024-03389-3.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The objective of this study is to develop and validate a machine learning (ML) prediction model for the assessment of laparoscopic total mesorectal excision (LaTME) surgery difficulty, as well as to identify independent risk factors that influence surgical difficulty. Establishing a nomogram aims to assist clinical practitioners in formulating more effective surgical plans before the procedure.

METHODS: This study included 186 patients with rectal cancer who underwent LaTME from January 2018 to December 2020. They were divided into a training cohort (n = 131) versus a validation cohort (n = 55). The difficulty of LaTME was defined based on Escal’s et al. scoring criteria with modifications. We utilized Lasso regression to screen the preoperative clinical characteristic variables and intraoperative information most relevant to surgical difficulty for the development and validation of four ML models: logistic regression (LR), support vector machine (SVM), random forest (RF), and decision tree (DT). The performance of the model was assessed based on the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve(AUC), sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy. Logistic regression-based column-line plots were created to visualize the predictive model. Consistency statistics (C-statistic) and calibration curves were used to discriminate and calibrate the nomogram, respectively.

RESULTS: In the validation cohort, all four ML models demonstrate good performance: SVM AUC = 0.987, RF AUC = 0.953, LR AUC = 0.950, and DT AUC = 0.904. To enhance visual evaluation, a logistic regression-based nomogram has been established. Predictive factors included in the nomogram are body mass index (BMI), distance between the tumor to the dentate line ≤ 10 cm, radiodensity of visceral adipose tissue (VAT), area of subcutaneous adipose tissue (SAT), tumor diameter >3 cm, and comorbid hypertension.

CONCLUSION: In this study, four ML models based on intraoperative and preoperative risk factors and a nomogram based on logistic regression may be of help to surgeons in evaluating the surgical difficulty before operation and adopting appropriate responses and surgical protocols.

PMID:38664824 | DOI:10.1186/s12957-024-03389-3

Diabetol Metab Syndr. 2024 Apr 25;16(1):94. doi: 10.1186/s13098-024-01318-8.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The SARS-CoV-2 pandemic brought a radical shift in the healthcare system and suboptimal care for vulnerable patients, such as those with Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus (T2D). Therefore, we compared metabolic control and macro/microvascular complications of patients with T2D before and throughout the three-year SARS-CoV-2 pandemic.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: A retrospective observational cohort of subjects with T2D studied from 2018 to 2022 in Northern Mexico was treated by a dynamic multidisciplinary team. Levels of Glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c), fasting serum glucose (FG), LDL-Cholesterol (LDL-C), blood pressure (BP), albuminuria, triglycerides, Body Mass Index (BMI), and FIB-4 score, micro and macrovascular complications were evaluated.

RESULTS: A total of 999 patients were studied, 51.7% males with a mean (SD) age of 60.1 (12.7) years. Adequate glycemic control based on HbA1c increased by 15.2% and 42.3% in FSG (p < 0.001) between the beginning 2018 and the end of 2022. LDL-C control decreased by 5.1% between 2018 and 2022 (p < 0.001). Systolic BP control decreased by 2.6% (p < 0.001), whereas diastolic BP control increased by 1.8% (p = 0.01) between 2018 and 2022. Albuminuria control increased by 8.5% (p = 0.002). When comparing the Area Under the Curve (AUC) of metabolic parameters between patients who developed SARS-CoV-2 vs. those who did not, AUC was statistically higher in those who developed SARS-CoV-2 (p < 0.05). Diabetic neuropathy was the most prevalent microvascular complication (n = 35; 3.6%); ischemic heart disease was the most frequent macrovascular complication (n = 11;1.1%).

CONCLUSIONS: A multidisciplinary dynamic team that adapts to the pandemic SARS-CoV-2 maintains and increases metabolic control in subjects with type 2 diabetes in Mexico. This represents a low percentage of chronic complications. The AUC of metabolic parameters of subjects with SARS-CoV-2 infection is higher, reflecting more variability in metabolic control.

PMID:38664823 | DOI:10.1186/s13098-024-01318-8

BMC Health Serv Res. 2024 Apr 25;24(1):522. doi: 10.1186/s12913-024-10966-5.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Women are disproportionately impacted by osteoarthritis (OA) but less likely than men to access OA care, particularly racialized women. One way to reduce inequities is through policies that can influence healthcare services. We examined how OA-relevant policies in Canada address equitable, person-centred OA care for women.

METHODS: We used content analysis to extract data from English-language OA-relevant documents referred to as policies or other synonymous terms published in 2000 or later identified by searching governmental and other web sites. We used summary statistics to describe policy characteristics, person-centred care using McCormack’s six-domain framework, and mention of OA prevalence, barriers and strategies to improve equitable access to OA care among women.

RESULTS: We included 14 policies developed from 2004 to 2021. None comprehensively addressed all person-centred care domains, and few addressed individual domains: enable self-management (50%), share decisions (43%), exchange information (29%), respond to emotions (14%), foster a healing relationship (0%) and manage uncertainty (0%). Even when mentioned, content offered little guidance for how to achieve person-centred OA care. Few policies acknowledged greater prevalence of OA among women (36%), older (29%) or Indigenous persons (29%) and those of lower socioeconomic status (14%); or barriers to OA care among those of lower socioeconomic status (50%), in rural areas (43%), of older age (37%) or ethno-cultural groups (21%), or women (21%). Four (29%) policies recommended strategies for improving access to OA care at the patient (self-management education material in different languages and tailored to cultural norms), clinician (healthcare professional education) and system level (evaluate OA service equity, engage lay health leaders in delivering self-management programs, and offer self-management programs in a variety of formats). Five (36%) policies recommended research on how to improve OA care for equity-seeking groups.

CONCLUSIONS: Canadian OA-relevant policies lack guidance to overcome disparities in access to person-centred OA care for equity-seeking groups including women. This study identified several ways to strengthen policies. Ongoing research must identify the needs and preferences of equity-seeking persons with OA, and evaluate the impact of various models of service delivery, knowledge needed to influence OA-relevant policy.

PMID:38664819 | DOI:10.1186/s12913-024-10966-5

BMC Musculoskelet Disord. 2024 Apr 25;25(1):330. doi: 10.1186/s12891-024-07423-z.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The term ‘physiological motion of the spine’ is commonly used although no proper definition exists. Previous work has revealed a consistent sequence of cervical segmental contributions in 80-90% of young healthy individuals. Age has been shown to be associated with a decreased quantity of motion. Therefore, it is of interest to study whether this sequence persists throughout aging. The aim of this prospective cohort study is to investigate if the consistent sequence of cervical segmental contributions in young asymptomatic individuals remains present in elderly asymptomatic individuals.

METHODS: In this prospective cohort study, dynamic flexion to extension cinematographic recordings of the cervical spine were made in asymptomatic individuals aged 55-70 years old. Individuals without neck pain and without severe degenerative changes were included. Two recordings were made in each individual with a 2-to-4-week interval (T1 and T2). Segmental rotation of each individual segment between C4 and C7 was calculated to determine the sequence of segmental contributions. Secondary outcomes were segmental range of motion (sRoM) and sagittal alignment.

RESULTS: Ten individuals, with an average age of 61 years, were included. The predefined consistent sequence of segmental contributions was found in 10% of the individuals at T1 and 0% at T2. sRoM and total range of motion (tRoM) were low in all participants. There was no statistically significant correlation between sagittal alignment, degeneration and sRoM in the respective segments, nor between cervical lordosis and tRoM.

CONCLUSIONS: This study shows that aging is associated with loss of the consistent motion pattern that was observed in young asymptomatic individuals. The altered contribution of the cervical segments during extension did not appear to be correlated to the degree of degeneration or sagittal alignment. Trial registration clinicaltrials.gov NCT04222777, registered 10.01.2020.

PMID:38664811 | DOI:10.1186/s12891-024-07423-z

BMC Public Health. 2024 Apr 25;24(1):1169. doi: 10.1186/s12889-024-18607-6.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The emergence of the COVID-19 pandemic has sparked unprecedented global challenges. This study intends to investigate changes in the physical fitness of students aged 6-22 during the COVID-19 pandemic and to assess how the pandemic lockdown period affected these markers.

METHODS: According to the National Student Physical Health Standard, a stratified cluster sampling method was used to evaluate the body shape, body function, and physical fitness of children and adolescents (n = 8092) in Xi’an from 2019 to 2021. This study uses SPSS 26.0 (IBM, Chicago, IL, USA) for data statistics and analysis. The connection between physical fitness and years was measured using the one-variable analysis in the general linear model (GLM). Independent t-tests were used to determine the sex (male/female) and area (urban/rural) differences.

RESULTS: During the lockdown period, Body Mass Index (BMI) and flexibility showed an upward trend, while aerobic, strength, speed, and endurance showed a downward trend. In addition to the BMI of middle and high school students, almost all indicators show significant sex differences. There are urban-rural differences in some indicators, such as chin-ups.

CONCLUSION: During the pandemic of COVID-19, the physical fitness of children and adolescents in Xi’an did not change significantly, and there were slight differences among different grades. During the pandemic lockdown period, lifestyle changes and reduced outdoor activities for children and adolescents may be the reasons for the changing trend of various indicators.

PMID:38664808 | DOI:10.1186/s12889-024-18607-6

Crit Care. 2024 Apr 25;28(1):138. doi: 10.1186/s13054-024-04909-z.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to validate apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) values and thresholds to predict poor neurological outcomes in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) survivors by quantitatively analysing the ADC values via brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI).

METHODS: This observational study used prospectively collected data from two tertiary academic hospitals. The derivation cohort comprised 70% of the patients randomly selected from one hospital, whereas the internal validation cohort comprised the remaining 30%. The external validation cohort used the data from another hospital, and the MRI data were restricted to scans conducted at 3 T within 72-96 h after an OHCA experience. We analysed the percentage of brain volume below a specific ADC value at 50-step intervals ranging from 200 to 1200 × 10^-6 mm²/s, identifying thresholds that differentiate between good and poor outcomes. Poor neurological outcomes were defined as cerebral performance categories 3-5, 6 months after experiencing an OHCA.

RESULTS: A total of 448 brain MRI scans were evaluated, including a derivation cohort (n = 224) and internal/external validation cohorts (n = 96/128, respectively). The proportion of brain volume with ADC values below 450, 500, 550, 600, and 650 × 10^-6 mm²/s demonstrated good to excellent performance in predicting poor neurological outcomes in the derivation group (area under the curve [AUC] 0.89-0.91), and there were no statistically significant differences in performances among the derivation, internal validation, and external validation groups (all P > 0.5). Among these, the proportion of brain volume with an ADC below 600 × 10^-6 mm²/s predicted a poor outcome with a 0% false-positive rate (FPR) and 76% (95% confidence interval [CI] 68-83) sensitivity at a threshold of > 13.2% in the derivation cohort. In both the internal and external validation cohorts, when using the same threshold, a specificity of 100% corresponded to sensitivities of 71% (95% CI 58-81) and 78% (95% CI 66-87), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS: In this validation study, by consistently restricting the MRI types and timing during quantitative analysis of ADC values in brain MRI, we observed high reproducibility and sensitivity at a 0% FPR. Prospective multicentre studies are necessary to validate these findings.

PMID:38664807 | DOI:10.1186/s13054-024-04909-z

BMC Surg. 2024 Apr 25;24(1):125. doi: 10.1186/s12893-024-02394-3.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The ideal treatment of terrble triad injuries and whether fixation of coronoid process fractures is needed or not are still debated. Therefore, we aimed to investigate if terrible triad injuries necessitate coronoid fracture fixation and evaluate if non-fixation treatments have similar efficacies and outcomes as fixation-treatments in cases of terrible triad injuries.

METHODS: From August 2011 to July 2020, 23 patients with acute terrible triad injuries without involvement of the anteromedial facet of the coronoid process were included to evaluate the postoperative clinical and radiological outcomes (minimum follow-up of 20 months). According to the preoperative height loss evaluation of the coronoid process and an intraoperative elbow stability test, seven patients underwent coronoid fracture fixation, and the other eight patients were treated conservatively. The elbow range of motion (ROM), Mayo Elbow Performance Score (MEPS), and modified Broberg-Morrey score were evaluated at the last follow-up. In addition, plain radiographs were reviewed to evaluate joint congruency, fracture union, heterotopic ossification, and the development of arthritic changes.

RESULTS: At the last follow-up, the mean arcs of flexion-extension and supination-pronation values were 118.2° and 146.8° in the fixation group and 122.5° and 151.3° in the non-fixation group, respectively. The mean MEPSs were 96.4 in the fixation group (excellent, nine cases; good, tow cases) and 96.7 in the non-fixation group (excellent, ten cases; good, two cases). The mean modified Broberg-Morrey scores were 94.0 in the fixation group (excellent, sevev cases; good, four cases) and 94.0 in the non-fixation group (excellent, ten cases; good, tow cases). No statistically significant differences in clinical scores and ROM were identified between the two groups. However, the non-fixation group showed a significantly lower height loss of the coronoid process than the fixation group (36.3% versus 54.5%).

CONCLUSIONS: There were no significant differences in clinical outcomes between the fixation and non-fixation groups in terrible triad injuries.

PMID:38664803 | DOI:10.1186/s12893-024-02394-3

BMC Public Health. 2024 Apr 25;24(1):1159. doi: 10.1186/s12889-024-18681-w.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The number of people experiencing unsheltered homelessness in the U.S. is increasing. Municipalities have responded with punitive responses such as involuntary displacement (i.e., encampment sweeps, move along orders), but little is known about the impact of involuntary displacement on health. The purpose of this study was to investigate the association between broadly defined experiences of involuntary displacement and self-reported health conditions among people experiencing homelessness.

METHODS: We used logistic regression models to generate odds ratios using publicly available data from a cross-sectional sample of people experiencing homelessness in Denver, Colorado, during September 2018-February 2019. Hosmer-Lemeshow Goodness of Fit tests were used to assess model fit.

RESULTS: Among 397 people experiencing homelessness, involuntary displacement was significantly associated with self-reported infectious diseases (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 2.09, 95% CI 1.27, 3.41), substance and alcohol use (aOR 2.83; 95% CI 1.70, 4.73), climate-related conditions (aOR 2.27; 95% CI 1.35, 3.83), and worsening mental health (aOR 2.00; 95% CI 1.24, 3.24) after controlling for potential confounders. No statistically significant associations were identified between involuntary displacement and injuries, musculoskeletal issues, chronic conditions, and chronic mental and emotional issues.

CONCLUSIONS: This research quantifies the association between involuntary displacement and multiple infectious and non-infectious health outcomes. While city officials attempt to grapple with increasing unsheltered homelessness, it is important to understand what harms are occurring that are associated with current policies. Our research adds to the growing body of literature that involuntary displacement is a harmful response to unsheltered homelessness. Alternative approaches focused on connections to housing and social services should be prioritized.

PMID:38664800 | DOI:10.1186/s12889-024-18681-w

Arthritis Res Ther. 2024 Apr 25;26(1):90. doi: 10.1186/s13075-024-03320-x.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: We aimed to investigate whether there are sex differences in disease activity measures among patients with axial spondyloarthritis (axSpA) and to determine any potential impact on the assessment of treatment responses to tumor necrosis factor alpha inhibitors (TNFi).

METHODS: Using the Korean College of Rheumatology Biologics and Targeted Therapy (KOBIO) registry data, we compared sex differences in changes in the Bath Ankylosing Spondylitis Disease Activity Score (BASDAI) and Ankylosing Spondylitis Disease Activity Score (ASDAS) levels at baseline and one year after TNFi initiation in patients with axSpA.

RESULTS: This study included 1,753 patients with axSpA who started or changed TNFi, of whom 1,343 (76.6%) were male. At baseline, the mean BASDAI and ASDAS scores of all patients were 5.98 and 3.6, respectively. The BASDAI changes between baseline and the one-year follow-up were independently associated with sex (𝛽 = 0.343, p = 0.011), whereas ASDAS was not (𝛽 = 0.079, p = 0.235). When judging the effect of TNFi at one-year of treatment, male patients were more likely to be assessed as effective by the BASDAI-based criterion (ΔBASDAI ≥ 50% or ≥ 2; OR 1.700, 95% CI 1.200-2.406), while the ASDAS-based criterion (ΔASDAS ≥ 1.1) showed no significant difference between sexes (OR 0.993, 95% CI 0.678-1.455), after adjusting for other baseline characteristics.

CONCLUSIONS: The changes in disease activity before and after TNFi use were significantly different between sexes when measured by BASDAI, but not ASDAS. TNFi treatment effects may be interpreted differently between sexes depending on the disease activity measure used.

PMID:38664785 | DOI:10.1186/s13075-024-03320-x

Cardiovasc Diabetol. 2024 Apr 25;23(1):137. doi: 10.1186/s12933-024-02231-0.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The Triglyceride Glucose-Body Mass Index (TyG-BMI) has been established as a robust indicator of insulin resistance (IR), reflecting metabolic health across various populations. In general, lower TyG-BMI values are often associated with better metabolic health outcomes and a reduced risk of adverse health events in non-critically ill populations. Previous studies have highlighted a significant negative association between TyG-BMI and all-cause mortality (ACM) among critically ill atrial fibrillation patients. Given the high prevalence and severe outcomes associated with stroke, understanding how TyG-BMI at the time of ICU admission correlates with ACM in critically ill stroke patients becomes imperative. This study aims to assess the correlation between TyG-BMI and ACM in this specific patient cohort, exploring how traditional associations between TyG-BMI and metabolic health may differ in the context of acute, life-threatening illness.

METHODS: Patient data were retrieved by accessing the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV 2.2) database, categorizing patients into three groups on the basis of TyG-BMI tertiles. The study evaluated both primary and secondary outcomes: the primary outcomes included the 90-day, 180-day, and 1-year ACM, while secondary outcomes encompassed ICU, in-hospital, and 30-day ACM. Our study employed the Kaplan-Meier (K-M) curve method for outcome comparison across the groups while utilizing multivariate Cox proportional-hazards regression models and restricted cubic splines (RCS) to explore TyG-BMI association with these outcomes. Additionally, interaction and subgroup analyses were performed, focusing on different mortality time points.

RESULTS: Among a cohort of 1707 individuals diagnosed with stroke, the average age was 68 years (interquartile range [IQR]: 58-78 years), with 946 (55.42%) of the participants being male. The analysis of K-M curves suggested that patients having a lower TyG-BMI level faced a heightened risk of long-term ACM, whereas the short-term ACM exhibited no statistically significant differences across the three TyG-BMI groups. Furthermore, Cox proportional-hazards regression analysis validated a statistically significant increased risk of long-term ACM among patients belonging to the lowest TyG-BMI tertile. Additionally, RCS analysis results demonstrated L-shaped correlations between the TyG-BMI index and both short- and long-term ACM. These findings underscore the TyG-BMI predictive value for long-term mortality in stroke patients, highlighting a nuanced relationship that varies over different time frames. The results revealed no interactions between TyG-BMI and the stratified variables, with the exception of age.

CONCLUSION: In our study, lower TyG-BMI levels in critically ill stroke patients are significantly related to a higher risk of long-term ACM within the context of the United States. This finding suggests the potential of TyG-BMI as a marker for stratifying long-term risk in this patient population. However, it’s crucial to note that this association was not observed for short-term ACM, indicating that the utility of TyG-BMI may be more pronounced in long-term outcome prediction. Additionally, our conclusion that TyG-BMI could serve as a reliable indicator for managing and stratifying stroke patients over the long term is preliminary. To confirm our findings and assess the universal applicability of TyG-BMI as a prognostic tool, it is crucial to conduct rigorously designed research across various populations.

PMID:38664780 | DOI:10.1186/s12933-024-02231-0