Category: Statistics

BMC Med. 2026 Apr 9;24(1):218. doi: 10.1186/s12916-026-04820-0.

ABSTRACT

We respond to the Matters Arising article by Calkins et al. commenting on our meta-epidemiological study “Evaluating agreement between individual nutrition randomised controlled trials and cohort studies”. We appreciate the opportunity to respond to the points raised and to clarify the methods and interpretation of our work.

PMID:41957603 | DOI:10.1186/s12916-026-04820-0

BMC Infect Dis. 2026 Apr 9. doi: 10.1186/s12879-026-13207-8. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Bacillary dysentery remains a common intestinal infectious disease in China. With economic development and improvements in sanitation, the incidence rate of bacillary dysentery has changed substantially across counties in Shaanxi Province. This study aims to elucidate its epidemiological characteristics and spatio-temporal dynamics to inform prevention and control strategies.

METHODS: Surveillance data of confirmed bacillary dysentery cases in Shaanxi Province from 2005 to 2024 were obtained from the China Information System for Disease Control and Prevention. We analyzed epidemiological features across temporal, regional, and population distributions. Long-term incidence trends were assessed using Joinpoint regression, while spatial autocorrelation and spatio-temporal scan statistics were employed to identify clustering patterns at the county level.

RESULTS: A total of 156,656 cases of bacillary dysentery were reported in Shaanxi Province from 2005 to 2024. The reported incidence decreased from 65.30 per 100,000 in 2005 to 3.33 per 100,000 in 2024. A unimodal seasonal pattern was observed, with 76.09% of cases occurring between May and October. Children under five years of age were the most susceptible group, particularly infants under one. The incidence was higher in males than in females. The majority of cases were farmers (27.08%), home-care children (22.35%), and students (17.71%). Joinpoint regression revealed a significant overall decreasing trend (Average Annual Percent Change, AAPC = -15.0%; 95% CI: -18.4%, -11.4%; p < 0.001). Geographically, high-incidence counties were primarily located in the northern and central-western regions before 2014. After 2015, the number of high-incidence counties markedly decreased. By 2024, the incidence in 84.07% (95/113) of counties had fallen below 5 per 100,000. Global spatial autocorrelation analysis indicated significant clustered distributions annually. Local spatial autocorrelation identified 174 “High-High” clusters. Spatio-temporal scan statistics showed that primary clusters were located in the northern and central-western regions before 2010, shifting to the central region thereafter.

CONCLUSIONS: Both the incidence and the spatial clustering of bacillary dysentery have decreased significantly in Shaanxi Province. However, targeted interventions during the summer and autumn seasons, focusing on children under five and populations in the central region, remain crucial for future control efforts.

PMID:41957594 | DOI:10.1186/s12879-026-13207-8

BMC Anesthesiol. 2026 Apr 10. doi: 10.1186/s12871-026-03800-4. Online ahead of print.

NO ABSTRACT

PMID:41957567 | DOI:10.1186/s12871-026-03800-4

BMC Cardiovasc Disord. 2026 Apr 9. doi: 10.1186/s12872-026-05837-2. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Pregnant women with mechanical heart valves (MHVs) require continuous anticoagulation; however, first-trimester exposure to warfarin raises concerns regarding fetal safety. Data on long-term pediatric outcomes after low-dose warfarin exposure remain limited. This study aimed to evaluate long-term growth, neurodevelopmental, cardiac, and endocrine outcomes in children antenatally exposed to low-dose warfarin combined with enoxaparin, compared with enoxaparin alone.

METHODS: This single-center observational cohort study reports long-term pediatric follow-up outcomes of 32 children born to 30 women with MHVs who were enrolled at one participating center of the multicenter KYBELE study. Maternal data regarding anticoagulant therapy during pregnancy were obtained retrospectively from medical records, while pediatric data were collected through prospective clinical evaluations. Children underwent standardized assessments including physical examination, growth evaluation, Denver II developmental screening, skeletal radiography review, hearing and vision testing, electrocardiography, echocardiography, and thyroid and abdominal ultrasonography. Based on first-trimester anticoagulation regimen, children were classified as enoxaparin only (n = 12), enoxaparin plus warfarin 2.5 mg/day (n = 8), or enoxaparin plus warfarin 4 mg/day (n = 12).

RESULTS: The median age at last follow-up was 61.5 months (range 9-168). No child had growth parameters below the 3rd percentile. The overall rate of prematurity was 19%. Although higher in children receiving enoxaparin plus warfarin (2.5 mg or 4 mg/day) compared with those receiving enoxaparin alone, the difference was not statistically significant (p = 0.6). Developmental delay on Denver II screening was identified in 2 of 32 children (p = 0.7), with no significant differences among groups. All children had normal hearing, vision, and thyroid function tests. Minor neonatal echocardiographic findings (e.g., patent ductus arteriosus or patent foramen ovale) were observed in 10 children (31%) and largely resolved during follow-up, with no child requiring cardiac intervention. No skeletal dysplasia or features suggestive of warfarin embryopathy were identified.

CONCLUSIONS: In this single-center follow-up cohort of live-born children, first-trimester exposure to low-dose warfarin combined with enoxaparin was not associated with signals of major long-term adverse outcomes in growth, neurodevelopment, cardiac status, or thyroid function compared with enoxaparin alone. These findings support cautious use of low-dose warfarin when maternal indications exist, while underscoring the need for larger multicenter studies.

PMID:41957566 | DOI:10.1186/s12872-026-05837-2

Ann Afr Med. 2026 Apr 9. doi: 10.4103/aam.aam_791_25. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Jigsaw technique, one type of cooperative learning, was proposed by Aronson et al. in the 1970s, wherein students work in small groups with a fixed set of learning objectives to reach a common goal. This study aimed to evaluate the effectiveness as well as the perception of the jigsaw technique as a teaching-learning method in teaching surgery to Phase II MBBS students.

MATERIALS AND METHODS: A quasi-experimental mixed methodology study was conducted on Phase II MBBS students attending surgery. Five contact sessions were held, of 1 h each, on different topics. Assessment was done by a pre- and posttest consisting of prevalidated multiple-choice questions. Feedbacks were taken at the end of the fifth contact session by a prevalidated questionnaire.

RESULTS: All five sessions of the jigsaw technique showed statistically significant improvements in posttest scores (P < 0.001). The responses for “strongly agree” and “agree” were consistently the highest across all 10 feedback items. Students found the jigsaw technique helpful for understanding, retention, summarization, and engagement.

CONCLUSION: The jigsaw technique is effective and helps in understanding, retention, and summarization of topics in surgery. It can be introduced in Phase II as a reinforcement tool in teaching-learning surgery.

PMID:41957540 | DOI:10.4103/aam.aam_791_25

Ann Afr Med. 2026 Apr 9. doi: 10.4103/aam.aam_413_25. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Patellofemoral instability is a multifactorial condition affecting young and active individuals, with anatomical contributors including trochlear dysplasia, patella alta, and lateralization of the tibial tuberosity. Among the anatomical parameters, the tibial tuberosity-trochlear groove (TT-TG) distance is a key indicator used to evaluate patellofemoral alignment and guide realignment procedures. While normative TT-TG values have been reported in Western populations, data from the Indian population remain limited and inconsistent. This study aims to evaluate the TT-TG distance using magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) in a North Indian cohort and to explore its variations across age, gender, and laterality.

MATERIALS AND METHODS: This prospective observational study was conducted at the department of orthopedics over 18 months. A total of 80 patients (66 males and 14 females; aged 18-50 years) with non-pathological knees and no history of surgery or deformity were included. The TT-TG distance was measured using axial MRI scans on a 1.5 Tesla scanner, following established protocols. The measurements were performed independently by a consultant radiologist and an orthopedic surgeon. Statistical analyses included descriptive statistics and unpaired Student’s t-tests to assess associations with demographic variables.

RESULTS: The mean TT-TG distance in the study population was 12.4 ± 2.4 mm. Males had a mean TT-TG distance of 12.09 ± 2.25 mm, whereas females had 13.64 ± 2.52 mm. Although the distance appeared slightly greater in females, the difference was not statistically significant (P = 0.706). Similarly, no significant association was found between TT-TG distance and age group or laterality (right knee vs. left knee). Comparison with prior studies suggests that the TT-TG distance in the Indian population is comparable to Western cohorts but higher than other Asian populations.

CONCLUSIONS: The average TT-TG distance in the North Indian population was found to be 12.4 mm, consistent with global reference values. This study provides foundational normative data that may aid in the clinical assessment and surgical decision-making for patellofemoral instability in Indian patients. Future research with larger sample sizes and clinical correlation is recommended to establish population-specific thresholds for surgical intervention.

PMID:41957538 | DOI:10.4103/aam.aam_413_25

Sci Rep. 2026 Apr 10. doi: 10.1038/s41598-026-48069-2. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

An accurate estimation of system parameters is crucial for ensuring high-performance modelling and adaptive control of nonlinear systems, particularly in quantized environments. However, existing multi-innovation estimation algorithms often struggle from limited accuracy and slow convergence rate due to the use of batch noise and initial value problem. To address these challenges, this study proposes a multi-innovation repetitive learning-based fractional-order optimization algorithm for extended Wiener systems with backlash nonlinearity under binary-valued data. First, a quantized regression model is established using the parameterization technique of the nonlinear backlash submodel to reduce computational complexity. Drawing on the principle of repetitive learning, a scalar innovation framework with iterative updates is then proposed to mitigate the effect of batch-induced noise. Subsequently, a continuous optimization mechanism is introduced to improve the selection of initial values for parameter estimation. Furthermore, guided by fractional-order theory, a composite correction term is incorporated into the parameter adaptation law to enhance the utilization of quantized system data. Comparative statistical results demonstrate that the proposed estimator achieves superior optimization performance compared with other multi-innovation estimation algorithms in both simulation and real-world applications, thereby highlighting its effectiveness and practical utility.

PMID:41957509 | DOI:10.1038/s41598-026-48069-2

Sci Rep. 2026 Apr 9. doi: 10.1038/s41598-026-45840-3. Online ahead of print.

NO ABSTRACT

PMID:41957459 | DOI:10.1038/s41598-026-45840-3

Sci Rep. 2026 Apr 9. doi: 10.1038/s41598-026-47551-1. Online ahead of print.

NO ABSTRACT

PMID:41957455 | DOI:10.1038/s41598-026-47551-1

Sci Rep. 2026 Apr 9. doi: 10.1038/s41598-026-47549-9. Online ahead of print.

NO ABSTRACT

PMID:41957449 | DOI:10.1038/s41598-026-47549-9