Category: Statistics

Cardiovasc Diabetol. 2022 Aug 22;21(1):158. doi: 10.1186/s12933-022-01594-6.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and the albumin-to-creatinine ratio (ACR) are risk factors for diabetes-related outcomes. A composite that captures information from both may provide a simpler way of assessing risk.

METHODS: 9115 of 9901 Researching Cardiovascular Events with a Weekly Incretin in Diabetes (REWIND) participants with both an ACR and eGFR at baseline were included in this post hoc epidemiologic analysis. The hazard of higher baseline levels of 1/eGFR and natural log transformed ACR (calculated as ln [ACR × 100] to eliminate negative values) and their interaction for incident major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), kidney outcomes, and deaths was estimated. The hazard of the geometric mean of these two baseline measures (the kidney disease index or KDI) was also assessed.

RESULTS: A non-linear relationship was observed between 1/eGFR and all three outcomes, and between ln [ACR × 100] and the kidney outcome. There was also a negative interaction between these two risk factors with respect to MACE and death. Conversely, a linear relationship was noted between the KDI and all three outcomes. People in the highest KDI fifth experienced the highest incidence of MACE, death, and the kidney outcome (4.43, 4.56, and 5.55/100 person-years respectively). C statistics for the KDI were similar to those for eGFR and albuminuria.

CONCLUSIONS: The KDI combines the baseline eGFR and ACR into a novel composite risk factor that has a simple linear relationship with incident serious outcomes in people with diabetes and additional CV risk factors. Trial Registration clinicaltrials.gov NCT01394952.

PMID:35996147 | DOI:10.1186/s12933-022-01594-6

BMC Public Health. 2022 Aug 22;22(1):1594. doi: 10.1186/s12889-022-13921-3.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The outbreak of Coronavirus disease, which originated in Wuhan, China in 2019, has affected the lives of billions of people globally. Throughout 2020, the reproduction number of COVID-19 was widely used by decision-makers to explain their strategies to control the pandemic.

METHODS: In this work, we deduce and analyze both initial and effective reproduction numbers for 12 diverse world regions between February and December of 2020. We consider mobility reductions, mask wearing and compliance with masks, mask efficacy values alongside other non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) in each region to get further insights in how each of the above factored into each region’s SARS-COV-2 transmission dynamic.

RESULTS: We quantify in each region the following reductions in the observed effective reproduction numbers of the pandemic: i) reduction due to decrease in mobility (as captured in Google mobility reports); ii) reduction due to mask wearing and mask compliance; iii) reduction due to other NPI’s, over and above the ones identified in i) and ii).

CONCLUSION: In most cases mobility reduction coming from nationwide lockdown measures has helped stave off the initial wave in countries who took these types of measures. Beyond the first waves, mask mandates and compliance, together with social-distancing measures (which we refer to as other NPI’s) have allowed some control of subsequent disease spread. The methodology we propose here is novel and can be applied to other respiratory diseases such as influenza or RSV.

PMID:35996132 | DOI:10.1186/s12889-022-13921-3

BMC Psychiatry. 2022 Aug 22;22(1):563. doi: 10.1186/s12888-022-04207-4.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Polypharmacy increases the risk of potential drug-drug interactions (pDDIs). This retrospective analysis was conducted to detect pDDIs and adverse drug reactions (ADRs) among older adults with psychiatric disorder, and identify pDDIs with clinical significance.

METHODS: A retrospective analysis was carried out based on the medical records of older adults with psychiatric disorders. Data on demographic characteristics, substance abuse, medical history, and medications were extracted. The Lexi-Interact online database was used to detect pDDIs. The minimal clinically important difference (MCID) was set as the change in the Treatment Emergent Symptom Scale (TESS) score between admission and discharge. The median and interquartile ranges were used for continuous variables, and frequencies were calculated for dichotomous variables. Poisson regression was implemented to determine the factors influencing the number of ADR types. The influencing factors of each ADR and the clinical significance of the severity of the ADR were analysed using binary logistic regression. P < 0.05 was considered statistically significant.

RESULTS: A total of 308 older adults were enrolled, 171 (55.52%) of whom had at least 1 pDDI. Thirty-six types of pDDIs that should be avoided were found, and the most frequent pDDI was the coadministration of lorazepam and olanzapine (55.5%). A total of 26 ADRs induced by pDDIs were identified, and the most common ADR was constipation (26.05%). There was a 9.4 and 10.3% increase in the number of ADR types for each extra medical diagnosis and for each extra drug, respectively. There was a 120% increase in the number of ADR types for older adults hospitalized for 18-28 days compared with those hospitalized for 3-17 days. There was an 11.1% decrease in the number of ADR types for each extra readmission. The length of hospitalization was a risk factor for abnormal liver function (P < 0.05). The use of a large number of drugs was a risk factor for gastric distress (P < 0.05) and dizziness and fainting (P < 0.05). None of the four pDDIs, including coadministrations of olanzapine and lorazepam, quetiapine and potassium chloride, quetiapine and escitalopram, and olanzapine and clonazepam, showed clinical significance of ADR severity (P > 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS: pDDIs are prevalent in older adults, and the rate is increasing. However, many pDDIs may have no clinical significance in terms of ADR severity. Further research on assessing pDDIs, and possible measures to prevent serious ADRs induced by DDIs is needed to reduce the clinical significance of pDDIs.

PMID:35996119 | DOI:10.1186/s12888-022-04207-4

World J Surg Oncol. 2022 Aug 23;20(1):264. doi: 10.1186/s12957-022-02731-x.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: To investigate whether carboplatin-liposomal paclitaxel neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT) benefits patients with locally advanced cervical cancer (LACC) through avoiding or delaying postoperative radiation.

METHODS: A total of 414 patients with cervical cancer of International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics (FIGO 2009) stages IB2-IIA2 were included in the retrospective cohort study, who had received carboplatin-liposomal paclitaxel chemotherapy followed by radical surgery (NACT group) or primary radical surgery (PRS group) between 2007 and 2017 at our hospital. The baseline clinicopathological characteristics at diagnosis, postoperative pathological risk factors, and oncological outcomes after surgery, including postoperative radiation (as adjuvant treatment or treatment of recurrent diseases), progression-free survival (PFS), and overall survival (OS), were compared between the groups. Before treatment, the patients in the NACT group had significantly more advanced tumor stages and larger tumor sizes than those in the PRS group.

RESULTS: The NACT reduced the tumor volumes remarkedly with a response rate of 62.4%, and the tumors in the NACT group were smaller than those in the PRS group when the patients were subjected to radical surgery. Furthermore, postoperative pathology examination revealed less frequent deep stromal invasion in the NACT group than in the PRS group. According to the presence of pathological risk factors for recurrence, 54.82% of women in the NACT group needed adjuvant radiotherapy, while 60.87% in the PRS group, and in fact, 33.00% of NACT patients and 40.09% of PRS patients received adjuvant radiation. In addition, 8.12% of NACT patients and 9.68% of PRS patients underwent radiotherapy after relapse. The cumulative postoperative radiation rate was significantly lower in the NACT group (P = 0.041), while the differences in 5-year OS and PFS were not statistically significant between the groups.

CONCLUSIONS: NACT reduces the pathological risk factors and the use of radiation without compromising survival in patients with LACC, which may protect younger patients from radiation-related side effects and subsequently improve the quality of life.

TRIAL REGISTRATION: ISRCTN Registry, ISRCTN24104022.

PMID:35996118 | DOI:10.1186/s12957-022-02731-x

BMC Public Health. 2022 Aug 22;22(1):1596. doi: 10.1186/s12889-022-13887-2.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Burns is a type of injury, caused by unintentional exposure to substances of high temperature, including hot liquid, solid, and objects radiating heat energy, placing a high burden not only on patients’ families but also on national healthcare systems globally. It is difficult for policymakers and clinicians to formulate targeted management strategies for burns because data on current epidemiological patterns worldwide are lacking.

METHODS: Data on burns were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019 Study. The incidence, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), and deaths of burns in 204 countries and regions from 1990 to 2019 were calculated and stratified by sex, age, geographical location, and sociodemographic index (SDI). The estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) of incidence, DALYs, and deaths was calculated to evaluate the temporal trends. All analyses were performed using R software, version 4.1.1, with 2-sided P-values < .05 indicating a statistically significant difference.

RESULTS: A total of 8,378,122 new cases (95% UI, 6,531,887-10,363,109cases) of burns were identified globally in 2019, which is almost evenly split between men and women, and most of the new cases were concentrated in the 10-19-year age group. Besides, burns account for 111,292 deaths (95% UI, 132,392-88,188) globally in 2019, most of which were concentrated in those aged 1-4 years. The burden of burns measured in DALYs was 7,460,448.65 (95% UI, 5,794,505.89-9,478,717.81) in 2019, of which 67% and 33% could be attributed to YLLs and YLDs, respectively. The EAPC of incidence, DALYs, and deaths were negative, the age-standardized rate (ASR) of incidence, DALYs, and deaths were considered to be decreasing in most of the regions, and the EAPCs were negatively correlated with SDI levels, universal health coverage (UHC), and gross domestic product (GDP).

CONCLUSION: Globally, the age-standardized rates of burn incidence, DALYs, and mortality, as well as the number of burn DALYs and death cases will continuously decrease, but the number of new burn cases has an increasing tendency globally. In addition, the EAPCs of burns in incidence, DALYs, and deaths indicated that the burden of burns was considered to be decreasing in most of the regions. And from the relationship of EAPCs with SDI, UHC index, and GDP, indicate that prevention burns not only depend on health spending per capita but also depend on the education level per capita and healthcare system performance, but it does not mean higher health spending corresponds to higher UHC index, which needs high efficiency of translating health spending into individuals health gains.

PMID:35996116 | DOI:10.1186/s12889-022-13887-2

BMC Pediatr. 2022 Aug 22;22(1):495. doi: 10.1186/s12887-022-03506-9.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Accessibility and utilization of postnatal newborn check-ups within 2 days after delivery are critical for a child’s survival, growth, and development. However, the service delivery is not yet improved and fluctuates across the geographical locations in Ethiopia. Therefore, this study aimed to assess the spatial distribution and determinants of newborns not received postnatal check-ups within 2 days after birth in Ethiopia.

METHODS: A secondary data analysis of the Ethiopia Demographic and Health Survey (EDHS) 2016 was done among live births within 2 years preceding the survey. A multilevel binary logistic regression model was fitted to identify the factors associated with the outcome variable. Adjusted Odds Ratio with 95% (Confidence Interval) was calculated and used as a measure of associations and variables with a p-value < 0.05, were declared as statistically significant.

RESULTS: A total of 4036 live newborns in Ethiopia were included in the analysis, of whom half (51.21%) were females. The mean age of the mothers was 33+ SD 1.3, and more than 60 % (61.56%) of the mothers were not educated. The national prevalence of newborns not receiving postnatal check-ups within 2 days after birth was 84.29 (95% CI: 83.10-85.41) with significant spatial variations across the study area. Mothers who had no ANC visits were 58% higher than (AOR = 0.42(0.27-0.66) mothers who had > 4 ANC visits. Mothers who gave birth at home and others were 80% (AOR = 0.02(0.01-0.29) and 25% (AOR = 0.76(0.59-0.99), higher than mothers delivered at hospital. Rural mothers were 1.90 times higher (AOR = 1.90(1.29-2.81) than urban mothers, and mothers live in administrative regions of Afar 66% (AOR = 0.34(0.16-0.69), Oromia 47% (AOR = 0.53(0.30-0.91), Somali 60% (AOR = 0.40 (0.22-0.74),Benishangul 50% (AOR = 0.50 (0.27-0.92), SNNPR 67% (AOR = 0.33(0.19-0.57), Gambela 70% (AOR = 0.30 (0.16-0.56), Harari 56% (AOR = 0.44 (0.25-0.78), and Dire Dawa70% (AOR = 0.30 (0.17-0.54) were higher than Addis Abeba for not receiving postnatal checkup of new born within the first 2 days, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS: Low postnatal check-up utilization remains a big challenge in Ethiopia, with significant spatial variations across regional and local levels. Spatial clustering of not receiving postanal check-ups within 2 days was observed in Afar, Oromia, Gambela, Benishangul, SNNPR, Harari, and Dire Dawa regions. Residence, ANC visits, place of delivery, and administrative regions were significantly associated with not receiving postnatal check-ups. Geographically targeted interventions to improve ANC follow-up and institutional delivery should be strengthened.

PMID:35996110 | DOI:10.1186/s12887-022-03506-9

BMC Psychiatry. 2022 Aug 22;22(1):562. doi: 10.1186/s12888-022-04204-7.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: High-quality mental health services can improve outcomes for people with mental health problems and abate the burden of mental disorders. We sought to identify the challenges the country’s mental health system currently faces and the human resource situation related to psychological services and to provide recommendations on how the mental health workforce situation could be addressed in China.

METHODS: This study used a cross-sectional survey design. A web-based questionnaire approach and a convenience sampling method were adopted. It was carried out from September 2020 to January 2021 in China, and we finally included 3824 participants in the analysis. Descriptive statistical analysis of the characteristics of the study sample was performed. The risk factors for competence in psychological counseling/psychotherapy were assessed using multiple linear regression analysis.

RESULTS: Workforce related to psychotherapy is scarce in China, especially in Western China and community mental health sectors. Psychiatrists (39.1%) and nurses (38.9%) were the main service providers of psychotherapy in psychiatric hospitals, and clinical psychologists (6.9%) and counsellors (5.0%) were seriously scarce in mental health care sectors. A total of 74.2% of respondents had no systematic psychological training, and 68.4 and 69.2% of them had no self-experience and professional supervision, respectively. Compared with clinical psychologists and counselors, psychiatrists and nurses had less training. Systematic psychological training (β = – 0.88), self-experience (β = – 0.59) and professional supervision (β = – 1.26) significantly influenced psychotherapy capacity (P<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS: Sustained effort will be required to provide a high-quality, equitably distributed psychotherapy workforce in China, despite challenges for community mental health sectors and western China being likely to continue for some time. Because mental illness is implicated in so many burgeoning social ills, addressing this shortfall could have wide-ranging benefits.

PMID:35996107 | DOI:10.1186/s12888-022-04204-7

BMC Musculoskelet Disord. 2022 Aug 22;23(1):799. doi: 10.1186/s12891-022-05742-7.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: This study evaluates the conformity of using a computer vision-based posture analysis system as a screening assessment for postural deformity detection in the spine that is easily applicable to clinical practice.

METHODS: One hundred forty participants were enrolled for screening of the postural deformation. Factors that determine the presence or absence of spinal deformation, such as shoulder height difference (SHD), pelvic height difference (PHD), and leg length mismatch (LLD), were used as parameters for the clinical decision support system (CDSS) using a commercial computer vision-based posture analysis system. For conformity analysis, the probability of postural deformation provided by CDSS, the Cobb angle, the PHD, and the SHD was compared and analyzed between the system and radiographic parameters. A principal component analysis (PCA) of the CDSS and correlation analysis were conducted.

RESULTS: The Cobb angles of the 140 participants ranged from 0° to 61°, with an average of 6.16° ± 8.50°. The postural deformation of CDSS showed 94% conformity correlated with radiographic assessment. The conformity assessment results were more accurate in the participants of postural deformation with normal (0-9°) and mild (10-25°) ranges of scoliosis. The referenced SHD and the SHD of the CDSS showed statistical significance (p < 0.001) on a paired t-test. SHD and PHD for PCA were the predominant factors (PC1 SHD for 79.97%, PC2 PHD for 19.86%).

CONCLUSION: The CDSS showed 94% conformity for the screening of postural spinal deformity. The main factors determining diagnostic suitability were two main variables: SHD and PHD. In conclusion, a computer vision-based posture analysis system can be utilized as a safe, efficient, and convenient CDSS for early diagnosis of spinal posture deformation, including scoliosis.

PMID:35996105 | DOI:10.1186/s12891-022-05742-7

BMC Cancer. 2022 Aug 22;22(1):910. doi: 10.1186/s12885-022-09990-7.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Controversy exists regarding the relationship of the outcome of patients with colorectal cancer (CRC) with the time from symptom onset to diagnosis. The aim of this study is to investigate this association, with the assumption that this relationship was nonlinear and with adjustment for multiple confounders, such as tumor grade, symptoms, or admission to an emergency department.

METHODS: This multicenter study with prospective follow-up was performed in five regions of Spain from 2010 to 2012. Symptomatic cases of incident CRC from a previous study were examined. At the time of diagnosis, each patient was interviewed, and the associated hospital and clinical records were reviewed. During follow-up, the clinical records were reviewed again to assess survival. Cox survival analysis with a restricted cubic spline was used to model overall and CRC-specific survival, with adjustment for variables related to the patient, health service, and tumor.

RESULTS: A total of 795 patients had symptomatic CRC and 769 of them had complete data on diagnostic delay and survival. Univariate analysis indicated a lower HR for death in patients who had diagnostic intervals less than 4.2 months. However, after adjustment for variables related to the patient, tumor, and utilized health service, there was no relationship of the diagnostic delay with survival of patients with colon and rectal cancer, colon cancer alone, or rectal cancer alone. Cubic spline analysis indicated an inverse association of the diagnostic delay with 5-year survival. However, this association was not statistically significant.

CONCLUSIONS: Our results indicated that the duration of diagnostic delay had no significant effect on the outcome of patients with CRC. We suggest that the most important determinant of the duration of diagnostic delay is the biological profile of the tumor. However, it remains the responsibility of community health centers and authorities to minimize diagnostic delays in patients with CRC and to implement initiatives that improve early diagnosis and provide better outcomes.

PMID:35996104 | DOI:10.1186/s12885-022-09990-7

BMC Musculoskelet Disord. 2022 Aug 22;23(1):803. doi: 10.1186/s12891-022-05758-z.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Lateral epicondylitis is one of the most common upper extremity problems presented to orthopedic surgeons. Despite a rapid and accurate arrival at a diagnosis by clinical examination, there exists no consensus classification for this condition, which hampers clinical approaches for treatment of the disease based on its severity. Thus, the aim of this study was to propose and valiadate a new magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) classification of lateral epicondylitis, staging by tendinosis, the degree of thickness tears of the common extensor tendon (CET) and bone bruise lesion.

METHOD: MRI assessment of the elbow of 75 patients (57 women and 18 men; mean age:51.4 years (range,34-73) from Jan 2014 to Jan 2021 who were diagnosed with lateral epicondylitis were included in the study. MR images were reviewed retrospectively by two independent upper extremities orthopedists and one musculoskeletal radiologist. Inter- and intra-observer reliabilities for the classification were calculated using kappa statistics for the analysis of interrater agreement. Correlation between the stage of the disease and the duration of symptom before MRI was calculated using Kruskal-wallis test.

RESULTS: Various degrees of CET lesions were demonstrated in this population (Stage I-17, IIA-7, IIB-22 and III-29). Intra-observer agreements of MRI staging were substantial to satisfactory. Inter-observer agreements were moderate to substantial. There was no significant correlation between the disease stage and the patient age or the duration of symptom before MRI.

CONCLUSION: Our MRI classification has emerged as one of the most reliable methods to define stages of chronic lateral epicondylitis. At the end, we have suggeted a clearer direction for understanding the disease pathology as well as an appropriate management protocol for each stage of the disease in line with the recent body of literature.

PMID:35996100 | DOI:10.1186/s12891-022-05758-z