Category: Statistics

Cardiovasc Diabetol. 2022 Jun 10;21(1):105. doi: 10.1186/s12933-022-01541-5.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Recent studies have suggested that triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index is an independent predictor of cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, the impact of long-term visit-to-visit variability in TyG index on the risk of CVD is not known. We aimed to investigate the longitudinal association between baseline and mean TyG index as well as TyG index variability and incident CVD in a Chinese population.

METHODS: We included 49,579 participants without previous history of CVD in the Kailuan study who underwent three health examinations (2006, 2008, and 2010) and were followed up for clinical events until 2019. TyG index was calculated as Ln [fasting triglyceride (mg/dL) × fasting glucose (mg/dL)/2]. We measured TyG index variability as the SD of the residuals obtained from a linear regression on the three TyG index measurements for each individual. Multivariate-adjusted Cox models were used to estimate the adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) with incident CVD.

RESULTS: During a median follow-up time of 9.0 years, 2404 developed CVD. The highest tertile (T3) of baseline and mean TyG index were each associated with higher CVD incidence as compared with the lowest tertile (T1): aHR, 1.25; 95% CI 1.11-1.42; and aHR 1.40; 95% CI 1.24-1.58, respectively. Tertile 3 of TyG index variability was associated with increased CVD incidence compared to T1 group (aHR, 1.12; 95% CI 1.01-1.24). Similar findings were observed in a series of sensitivity analyses.

CONCLUSION: Higher TyG index level and greater TyGindex variability were each independently associated with a higher incidence of CVD.

PMID:35689232 | DOI:10.1186/s12933-022-01541-5

Child Adolesc Psychiatry Ment Health. 2022 Jun 10;16(1):42. doi: 10.1186/s13034-022-00474-x.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Adolescents have been deeply exposed to negative consequences of social distancing imposed by Covid-19. There is a lack of longitudinal studies regarding the impact on adolescents of this unfavorable condition, and their results are controversial. The aim of the present prospective study is to assess psychopathological symptoms in adolescent students over time and to evaluate what type of impact the Covid-19 pandemic had on adolescents. Moreover, the association between mental health indexes, potential risk and resilience factors is explored.

METHODS: Psychopathological symptoms (i.e., anxiety, depression, stress, emotional dysregulation, maladaptive behaviours), and potential risk and resilience factors (i.e., childhood trauma, emotional regulation skills, family function, personality traits) were assessed among a sample of 153 students (72% female; mean age 16.1 ± 0.49), living in a medium-size city in the north of Italy, at two time points: before the outbreak of the Covid-19 pandemic (November 2019-January 2020) and 1 year later (April-May 2021).

RESULTS: After 1 year, we found an increase in mean scores on anxiety, stress for future uncertainty, and higher frequency of maladaptive behaviours. By contrast, the level of stress related to social domains (i.e., school attendance, romantic relationships, peer pressure) decreased. Dysfunctional emotional regulation skills, childhood trauma, low family functioning, and specific personality traits were associated to higher psychopathological symptoms. Cluster analysis detected three groups of youths based on their change over time in psychopathological symptoms: those who worsened (N = 23; 15%), improved (N = 55; 34%), or remained stable (N = 75; 46%). After controlling for baseline mental health status, those adolescents reporting increase in self-harm (OR = 2.61; p < 0.001), binge-drinking (OR = 3.0; p = 0.007), aggressiveness (OR 1.92; p = 0.004), and binge-eating (OR 2.55; p = 0.003) were more likely to present a worsened mental health condition.

CONCLUSION: The present results suggest that the Covid-19 pandemic seems to have had a different impact on subgroups of students. Indeed, we found a global worsening of psychological well-being only in a subgroup of adolescents, otherwise other students remained stable or improved. Increased frequency of maladaptive behaviors was found as a predictor of worsened mental health, therefore interventions to strengthen emotional regulation strategies are warranted. Finally, the decrease of stress in social domains could be due to reduction of potential triggering situations, thus indicating only a temporary beneficial effect that requires careful monitoring.

PMID:35689203 | DOI:10.1186/s13034-022-00474-x

BMC Genomics. 2022 Jun 10;23(1):433. doi: 10.1186/s12864-022-08542-4.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Shotgun metagenomics yields ever richer and larger data volumes on the complex communities living in diverse environments. Extracting deep insights from the raw reads heavily depends on the availability of fast, accurate and user-friendly biodiversity analysis tools.

RESULTS: Because environmental samples may contain strains and species that are not covered in reference databases and because protein sequences are more conserved than the genes encoding them, we explore the alternative route of taxonomic profiling based on protein coding regions translated from the shotgun metagenomics reads, instead of directly processing the DNA reads. We therefore developed the Unipept MetaGenomics Analysis Pipeline (UMGAP), a highly versatile suite of open source tools that are implemented in Rust and support parallelization to achieve optimal performance. Six preconfigured pipelines with different performance trade-offs were carefully selected, and benchmarked against a selection of state-of-the-art shotgun metagenomics taxonomic profiling tools.

CONCLUSIONS: UMGAP’s protein space detour for taxonomic profiling makes it competitive with state-of-the-art shotgun metagenomics tools. Despite our design choices of an extra protein translation step, a broad spectrum index that can identify both archaea, bacteria, eukaryotes and viruses, and a highly configurable non-monolithic design, UMGAP achieves low runtime, manageable memory footprint and high accuracy. Its interactive visualizations allow for easy exploration and comparison of complex communities.

PMID:35689184 | DOI:10.1186/s12864-022-08542-4

BMC Med Res Methodol. 2022 Jun 11;22(1):169. doi: 10.1186/s12874-022-01638-1.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Separation or monotone likelihood may exist in fitting process of the accelerated failure time (AFT) model using maximum likelihood approach when sample size is small and/or rate of censoring is high (rare event) or there is at least one strong covariate in the model, resulting in infinite estimates of at least one regression coefficient.

METHODS: This paper investigated the properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the regression parameters of the AFT models for small sample and/or rare-event situation and addressed the problems by introducing a penalized likelihood approach. The penalized likelihood function and the corresponding score equation is derived by adding a penalty term to the existing likelihood function, which was originally proposed by Firth (Biometrika, 1993) for the exponential family models. Further, a post-hoc adjustment of intercept and scale parameters is discussed keeping them out of penalization to ensure accurate prediction of survival probability. The penalized method was illustrated for the widely used log-location-scale family models such as Weibull, Log-normal and Log-logistic distributions and compared the models and methods uisng an extensive simulation study.

RESULTS: The simulation study, performed separately for each of the log-location-scale models, showed that Firth’s penalized likelihood succeeded to solve the problem of separation and achieve convergence, providing finite estimates of the regression coefficients, which are not often possible by the MLE. Furthermore, the proposed penalized method showed substantial improvement over MLE by providing smaller amount of bias, mean squared error (MSE), narrower confidence interval and reasonably accurate prediction of survival probabilities. The methods are illustrated using prostate cancer data with existence of separation, and results supported the simulation findings.

CONCLUSION: When sample size is small (≤ 50) or event is rare (i.e., censoring proportion is high) and/or there is any evidence of separation in the data, we recommend to use Firth’s penalized likelihood method for fitting AFT model.

PMID:35689190 | DOI:10.1186/s12874-022-01638-1

BMC Geriatr. 2022 Jun 11;22(1):501. doi: 10.1186/s12877-022-03169-2.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: To synthesise the evidence for the effectiveness of inpatient rehabilitation treatment ingredients (versus any comparison) on functioning, quality of life, length of stay, discharge destination, and mortality among older adults with an unplanned hospital admission.

METHODS: A systematic search of Cochrane Library, MEDLINE, Embase, PsychInfo, PEDro, BASE, and OpenGrey for published and unpublished systematic reviews of inpatient rehabilitation interventions for older adults following an unplanned admission to hospital from database inception to December 2020. Duplicate screening for eligibility, quality assessment, and data extraction including extraction of treatment components and their respective ingredients employing the Treatment Theory framework. Random effects meta-analyses were completed overall and by treatment ingredient. Statistical heterogeneity was assessed with the inconsistency-value (I²).

RESULTS: Systematic reviews (n = 12) of moderate to low quality, including 44 non-overlapping relevant RCTs were included. When incorporated in a rehabilitation intervention, there was a large effect of endurance exercise, early intervention and shaping knowledge on walking endurance after the inpatient stay versus comparison. Early intervention, repeated practice activities, goals and planning, increased medical care and/or discharge planning increased the likelihood of discharge home versus comparison. The evidence for activities of daily living (ADL) was conflicting. Rehabilitation interventions were not effective for functional mobility, strength, or quality of life, or reduce length of stay or mortality. Therefore, we did not explore the potential role of treatment ingredients for these outcomes.

CONCLUSION: Benefits observed were often for subgroups of the older adult population e.g., endurance exercise was effective for endurance in older adults with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and early intervention was effective for endurance for those with hip fracture. Future research should determine whether the effectiveness of these treatment ingredients observed in subgroups, are generalisable to older adults more broadly. There is a need for more transparent reporting of intervention components and ingredients according to established frameworks to enable future synthesis and/or replication.

TRIAL REGISTRATION: PROSPERO Registration CRD42018114323 .

PMID:35689181 | DOI:10.1186/s12877-022-03169-2

BMC Pediatr. 2022 Jun 10;22(1):335. doi: 10.1186/s12887-022-03393-0.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Neonatal Emergency Transport Services play a fundamental role in neonatal care. Stabilization before transport of newborns suffering from severe respiratory failure is often a challenging problem and some critically ill infants may benefit from High Frequency Oscillatory Ventilation (HFOV) as rescue treatment. In these cases, transition to conventional ventilation for transport may cause a deterioration in clinical conditions. HFOV during neonatal transport has been only exceptionally used, due to technical difficulties. Since May 2018, a new neonatal transport unit is available at the Neonatal Protected Transport Service of the Meyer University Hospital in Florence, equipped with a pulmonary ventilator capable of delivering HFOV. Therefore, we conducted an analysis on patients transferred in HFOV to Neonatal Intensive Care Unit (NICU), in order to evaluate the safety and feasibility of its use during neonatal transport.

METHODS: A retrospective analysis was performed reviewing medical records of the neonates transported by Meyer Children Hospital’s Neonatal Transport Service between May 2018 and December 2020, and newborns treated with HFOV during ground neonatal transport were identified. Safety was assessed by the comparison of vital signs, hemogas-analysis values and pulmonary ventilator parameters, at the time of departure and upon arrival in NICU. The dose of inotropes, the main respiratory complications (air leak, dislocation or obstruction of the endotracheal tube, loss of chest vibrations) and the number of deaths and transfer failures were recorded.

RESULTS: Out of the approximate 400 newborns transported during the analysis period, 9 were transported in HFOV. We did not find any statistically significant difference in vital parameters, hemogas-analytical values and pulmonary ventilator settings recorded before and after neonatal transport of the nine patients’ parameters (p > 0,05). No patient required additional inotropes during transport. No transport-related deaths or significant complications occurred during transport.

CONCLUSIONS: The interest of our report is in the possibility of using HFOV during inter-hospital neonatal transfer. As far as our experience has shown, HFOV appears to be safe for the transportation of newborns with severe respiratory failure. Nevertheless, further larger, prospective and multicentre studies are needed to better evaluate the safety and efficacy of HFOV during neonatal transport.

PMID:35689179 | DOI:10.1186/s12887-022-03393-0

BMC Public Health. 2022 Jun 10;22(1):1164. doi: 10.1186/s12889-022-13583-1.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The choice of spirometry, a biomarker of lung health, as a motivator for smoking cessation is based on its fidelity in emphasizing tobacco adverse effects. Yet, there is a paucity of evidence on its efficacy, and the findings are currently inconclusive. The aim of this study was to determine whether a spirometry and lung age communication has an effect on smoking cessation rates.

METHODOLOGY: We conducted a randomized controlled trial among patients who attended the smoking cessation clinic (SCC) at Fattouma Bourguiba University Hospital in Monastir, from June 2017 to February 2020. Participants were assigned into two groups, a control arm receiving standard program and intervention arm receiving a spirometry and lung age announcement along with usual care. The primary outcomes were the smoking cessation rates after one year of follow-up between the intervention arm and the control arm.

RESULTS: At one-year endpoint, a total of 456 were reachable for assessment, 236 in control group and 220 in spirometry group, which leads to a loss rate equal to 8.8%. One-year smoking cessation rate was higher among the intervention group than among control group (25.5% versus 16.5%), with a considerable statistical significance (p = 0.019). Lung age was significantly higher at paired comparison with chronological age.

CONCLUSION: Smoking cessation is still a challenging procedure with a high risk of relapse, making very valuable any approach that may increase motivation in both unmotivated and motivated smokers. This study is an additional evidence for spirometry and lung age announcement as motivators for smoking cessation.

TRIAL REGISTRATION: Pan African Clinical Trial Registry database ( PACTR202110595729653 ), 06/10/ 2021.

PMID:35689178 | DOI:10.1186/s12889-022-13583-1

J Clin Psychiatry. 2022 Jun 8;83(4):21m14081. doi: 10.4088/JCP.21m14081.

ABSTRACT

Objective: To investigate the risk of major congenital malformations associated with exposure to second-generation antipsychotics (SGAs) in the first trimester.

Methods: Pregnant women who received consultation on drug exposure from the Japan Drug Information Institute in Pregnancy from October 2005 to December 2016 were asked to complete a questionnaire at 1 month after the expected delivery date. The questionnaire included items on pregnancy outcome, date of delivery, gestational age at delivery, malformations in the infant that were confirmed by the pediatrician’s report, and the following parameters at birth: height, weight, head circumference, and chest circumference. Odds ratios (ORs) for major congenital malformations among live-born children of pregnant women with SGA exposure during the first trimester (SGA group) relative to children of women not exposed to SGAs and medications known to be teratogenic (comparison group) were estimated using an inverse probability of treatment weighting approach.

Results: Of 404 women with SGA exposure during the first trimester, there were 351 live births, 3 stillbirths, 34 spontaneous abortions, and 16 elective abortions. The rate of major congenital malformations among live-born children was 0.9% (3/351) in the SGA group and 1.8% (70/3,899) in the comparison group. No statistically significant differences were observed in the adjusted OR for major congenital malformations (adjusted OR = 0.44; 95% CI, 0.12-1.48; P = .179).

Conclusions: SGA exposure during the first trimester is not associated with an increased risk of major congenital malformations. These findings might be reassuring for pregnant women who require SGAs.

PMID:35687862 | DOI:10.4088/JCP.21m14081

AIDS Patient Care STDS. 2022 Jun;36(6):208-218. doi: 10.1089/apc.2021.0219.

ABSTRACT

Men who have sex with men (MSM) initiating human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) may increase condomless anal sex (CAS) and number of partners, and, consequently, more often acquire sexually transmitted infections (STIs). Using data from the Amsterdam Cohort Studies, we compared sexual behavior and STI among MSM after PrEP-initiation with controls not initiating PrEP. The MSM reported on sexual behavior and were tested for HIV, chlamydia, gonorrhea, and syphilis semi-annually. We matched MSM who initiated PrEP between January 1, 2015 and December 31, 2019 1:1 to MSM who did not use time-dependent propensity scores based on age, sexual behavior, and STI. Primary end-points were number of casual partners, and proportion with CAS and receptive CAS (rCAS) with casual partners, sexualized drug use (SDU), any STI, and anal STI. We modeled end-points during the 4 years before and 2 years after PrEP-initiation or matched PrEP-initiation timepoint by using logistic regression (dichotomous end-points) or negative binomial regression (count end-point), adjusted for calendar year. Two hundred twenty-eight out of the 858 (26.6%) MSM initiated PrEP. We matched 198 out of 228 (86.8%) to a control. Before PrEP-initiation, end-points increased over time in both groups, with no statistically significant difference. The odds of CAS, rCAS, and anal STI were on average higher after than before PrEP-initiation in PrEP initiators, whereas after versus before differences were not observed in controls. After PrEP-initiation, PrEP initiators had statistically significantly more casual partners, and higher odds of CAS, rCAS, SDU, any STI, and anal STI than controls. These findings support frequent STI screening and counseling in MSM using PrEP.

PMID:35687814 | DOI:10.1089/apc.2021.0219

Surg Innov. 2022 Jun 10:15533506221106254. doi: 10.1177/15533506221106254. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Colorectal anastomotic leaks remain one of the most significant complications following colorectal surgery. Various interventions to reduce anastomotic leaks have been investigated, however few have resulted in a significant improvement. To date antiseptic coated monofilament sutures for sutured bowel anastomoses have not been assessed, hence this study was undertaken to investigate whether or not triclosan impregnated polydioxanone suture material (PDS) results in fewer anastomotic leaks.

METHODS: A rabbit colo-colonic anastomotic model was developed to compare the tensile strength and local inflammatory response between triclosan coated PDS and uncoated PDS.

RESULTS: Of the 42 anastomoses there were 4 (9.5%) leaks. Of the remaining 38 anastomoses neither the leak pressures, degree of bowel wall inflammation or fibrosis were statistically different (P = .11; .813 and .658 respectively) when comparing the two suture materials.

CONCLUSIONS: In an animal model, triclosan coated PDS is as safe as uncoated PDS in performing colo-colonic anastomosis.

PMID:35687856 | DOI:10.1177/15533506221106254