Category: Statistics

Am J Phys Med Rehabil. 2022 Feb 1;101(2):135-138. doi: 10.1097/PHM.0000000000001754.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: The objective was to examine the 22 variables from the Sport Concussion Assessment Tool’s 5th Edition Symptom Evaluation using a decision tree analysis to identify those most likely to predict prolonged recovery after a sport-related concussion.

DESIGN: A cross-sectional design was used in this study. A total of 273 patients (52% men; mean age, 21 ± 7.6 yrs) initially assessed by either an emergency medicine or sport medicine physician within 14 days of concussion (mean, 6 ± 4 days) were included. The 22 symptoms from the Sport Concussion Assessment Tool’s 5th Edition were included in a decision tree analysis performed using RStudio and the R package rpart. The decision tree was generated using a complexity parameter of 0.045, post hoc pruning was conducted with rpart, and the package carat was used to assess the final decision tree’s accuracy, sensitivity and specificity.

RESULTS: Of the 22 variables, only 2 contributed toward the predictive splits: Feeling like “in a fog” and Sadness. The confusion matrix yielded a statistically significant accuracy of 0.7636 (P [accuracy > no information rate] = 0.00009678), sensitivity of 0.6429, specificity of 0.8889, positive predictive value of 0.8571, and negative predictive value of 0.7059.

CONCLUSIONS: Decision tree analysis yielded a statistically significant decision tree model that can be used clinically to identify patients at initial presentation who are at a higher risk of having prolonged symptoms lasting 28 days or more postconcussion.

PMID:35026775 | DOI:10.1097/PHM.0000000000001754

Am J Med Qual. 2022 Jan 11. doi: 10.1097/JMQ.0000000000000042. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Coding variation distorts performance/outcome statistics not eliminated by risk adjustment. Among 1596 community-acquired pneumonia patients hospitalized from 1998 to 2012 identified using an evidence-based algorithm, the authors measured the association of principal diagnosis (PD) with 30-day readmission, stratified by Pneumonia Severity Index risk class. The 152 readmitted patients were more ill (Pneumonia Severity Index class V 38.8% versus 25.8%) and less likely to have a pneumonia PD (52.6% versus 69.9%). Among patients with PDs of pneumonia, respiratory failure, sepsis, and aspiration, mortality/readmission rates were 3.9/8.5%, 28.8/14.0%, 24.7/19.6%, and 9.0/15.0%, respectively. The nonpneumonia PDs were associated with a greater risk of adjusted 30-day readmission: respiratory failure odds ratio (OR) 1.89 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.13-3.15), sepsis OR 2.54 (95% CI, 1.52-4.26), and possibly aspiration OR 1.73 (95% CI, 0.88-3.41). With increasing use of alternative PDs among pneumonia patients, quality reporting must account for variations in condition coding practices. Rigorous risk adjustment does not eliminate the need for accurate, consistent case definition in producing valid quality measures.

PMID:35026784 | DOI:10.1097/JMQ.0000000000000042

Digestion. 2022 Jan 13:1-9. doi: 10.1159/000520892. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The effectiveness of prophylactic antibiotics in severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) remains a debatable issue. This meta-analysis aimed to determine the efficacy of prophylactic carbapenem antibiotics in SAP.

METHODS: This meta-analysis of prophylactic carbapenem antibiotics for SAP was conducted in PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science, MEDLINE, and Cochrane Library up to February 2021. The related bibliographies were manually searched. The primary outcomes involved infected pancreatic or peripancreatic necrosis, mortality, complications, infections, and organ failure.

RESULTS: Seven articles comprised 5 randomized controlled trials and 2 retrospective observational studies, including 3,864 SAP participants. Prophylactic carbapenem antibiotics in SAP were associated with a statistically significant reduction in the incidence of infections (odds ratio [OR]: 0.27; p = 0.03) and complications (OR: 0.48; p = 0.009). Nevertheless, no statistically significant difference was demonstrated in the incidence of infected pancreatic or peripancreatic necrosis (OR: 0.74; p = 0.24), mortality (OR: 0.69; p = 0.17), extrapancreatic infection (OR: 0.64, p = 0.54), pulmonary infection (OR: 1.23; p = 0.69), blood infection (OR: 0.60; p = 0.35), urinary tract infection (OR: 0.97; p = 0.97), pancreatic pseudocyst (OR: 0.59; p = 0.28), fluid collection (OR: 0.91; p = 0.76), organ failure (OR: 0.63; p = 0.19), acute respiratory distress syndrome (OR: 0.80; p = 0.61), surgical intervention (OR: 0.97; p = 0.93), dialysis (OR: 2.34; p = 0.57), use of respirator or ventilator (OR: 1.90; p = 0.40), intensive care unit treatment (OR: 2.97; p = 0.18), and additional antibiotics (OR: 0.59; p = 0.28) between the experimental and control groups.

CONCLUSIONS: It is not recommended to administer routine prophylactic carbapenem antibiotics in SAP.

PMID:35026770 | DOI:10.1159/000520892

Eur Addict Res. 2022 Jan 13:1-10. doi: 10.1159/000521344. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Exposure to conditioned cues is a common trigger of relapse in addiction. It has been suggested that such cues can activate motivationally relevant neurocircuitry in individuals with substance use disorders even without being consciously perceived. We aimed to see if this could be replicated in a sample with severe amphetamine use disorder and a control group of healthy subjects.

METHODS: We used fMRI to test the hypothesis that individuals with amphetamine use disorder, but not healthy controls, exhibit a specific neural reactivity to subliminally presented pictures related to amphetamine use. Twenty-four amphetamine users and 25 healthy controls were recruited and left data of sufficient quality to be included in the final analysis. All subjects were exposed to drug-related and neutral pictures of short duration (13.3 ms), followed by a backward visual mask image. The contrast of interest was drug versus neutral subliminal pictures.

RESULTS: There were no statistically significant differences in BOLD signal between the drug and neutral cues, neither in the limbic regions of primary interest nor in exploratory whole-brain analyses. The same results were found both in amphetamine users and controls.

DISCUSSION/CONCLUSION: We found no evidence of neural reactivity to subliminally presented drug cues in this sample of subjects with severe amphetamine dependence. These results are discussed in relation to the earlier literature, and the evidence for subliminal drug cue reactivity in substance use disorders is questioned.

PMID:35026761 | DOI:10.1159/000521344

Kidney Blood Press Res. 2022 Jan 13. doi: 10.1159/000521833. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Introduction Electrolytes disorders are common findings in kidney diseases and might represent a useful biomarker preceding kidney injury. Serum potassium [K+] imbalance is still poorly investigated for association with acute kidney injury (AKI) and most evidence come from intensive care units (ICU). The aim of our study was to comprehensively investigate this association in a large, unselected cohort of hospitalized patients.

METHODS: We performed a retrospective observational cohort study on the inpatient population admitted to Fondazione Policlinico Universitario A. Gemelli IRCCS between January 1, 2010 and December 31, 2014 with inclusion of adult patients with at least 2 [K+] and 3 serum creatinine (sCr) measurements who did not develop AKI during an initial 10-day window. The outcome of interest was in-hospital AKI. The exposures of interest were [K+] fluctuations and hypo (HoK) and hyperkalemia (HerK). [K+] variability was evaluated using the coefficient of variation (CV). Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to obtain hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of the association between the exposures of interest and development of AKI.

RESULTS: 21,830 hospital admissions from 18,836 patients were included in our study. During a median follow-up of 5 (interquartile range [IQR] 7) days, AKI was observed in 555 hospital admissions (2.9%); median time for AKI development was 5 (IQR 7) days. Higher [K+] variability was independently associated with increased risk of AKI with a statistically significant linear trend across groups (p-value = 0.012). A significantly higher incidence of AKI was documented in patients with HerK compared with normokalemia. No statistically significant difference was observed between HoK and HerK (p-value = 0.92).

CONCLUSION: [K+] abnormalities including fluctuations even within the normal range are associated with development of AKI.

PMID:35026766 | DOI:10.1159/000521833

Cancer Epidemiol. 2022 Jan 10;77:102055. doi: 10.1016/j.canep.2021.102055. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

The etiology of childhood neuroblastoma remains largely unknown. In this systematic review and meta-analysis, we summarized and quantitatively synthesized published evidence on the association of maternal modifiable lifestyle factors with neuroblastoma risk in the offspring. We searched MEDLINE up to December 31, 2020 for eligible studies assessing the association of maternal smoking, alcohol consumption and nutritional supplementation during pregnancy with childhood (0-14 years) neuroblastoma risk. Random-effects models were run, and summary odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) on the relevant associations were calculated, including estimates derived from primary data (n = 103 cases and n = 103 controls) of the Nationwide Registry for Childhood Hematological Malignancies and Solid Tumors (NARECHEM-ST) case control study (2009-2017) in Greece. Twenty-one eligible studies amounting 5163 cases participating in both case-control and cohort/linkage studies were included in the meta-analysis. Maternal smoking and alcohol consumption were not statistically significantly associated with neuroblastoma risk (summary OR_smoking: 1.08, 95% CI: 0.96-1.22, I² =12.0%, n = 17 studies; summary OR_alcohol: 1.01, 95% CI: 0.82-1.18, I² =0.0%, n = 8 studies). By contrast, maternal vitamin intake during pregnancy was associated with significantly lower neuroblastoma risk (summary OR: 0.57, 95% CI: 0.34-0.95, I² =58.9%, n = 4 studies). The results of the largest to-date meta-analysis point to an inverse association between vitamin intake during pregnancy and childhood neuroblastoma risk. Future longitudinal studies are needed to confirm and further specify these associations as to guide preventive efforts on modifiable maternal risk factors of childhood neuroblastoma.

PMID:35026707 | DOI:10.1016/j.canep.2021.102055

Bioinspir Biomim. 2022 Jan 13. doi: 10.1088/1748-3190/ac4afa. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

In this paper, we present an open-source software library that can be used to numerically simulate the advection and diffusion of a chemical concentration or heat density in a viscous fluid where a moving, elastic boundary drives the fluid and acts as a source or sink. The fully- coupled fluid-structure interaction problem of an elastic boundary in a viscous fluid is solved using Peskin’s immersed boundary method. The addition or removal of the concentration or heat density from the boundary is solved using an immersed boundary-like approach in which the concentration is spread from the immersed boundary to the fluid using a regularized delta function. The concentration or density over time is then described by the advection-diffusion equation and numerically solved. This functionality has been added to our software library, IB2d, which provides an easy-to-use immersed boundary method in two dimensions with full implementations in MATLAB and Python. We provide four examples that illustrate the usefulness of the method. A simple rubber band that resists stretching and absorbs and releases a chemical concentration is simulated as a first example. Complete convergence results are presented for this benchmark case. Three more biological examples are presented: (1) an oscillating row of cylinders, representative of an idealized appendage used for filter-feeding or sniffing, (2) an oscillating plate in a background flow is considered to study the case of heat dissipation in a vibrating leaf, and (3) a simplified model of a pulsing soft coral where carbon dioxide is taken up and oxygen is released as a byproduct from the moving tentacles. This method is applicable to a broad range of problems in the life sciences, including chemical sensing by antennae, heat dissipation in plants and other structures, the advection-diffusion of morphogens during development, filter-feeding by marine organisms, and the release of waste products from organisms in flows.

PMID:35026749 | DOI:10.1088/1748-3190/ac4afa

Early Hum Dev. 2022 Jan 10;165:105538. doi: 10.1016/j.earlhumdev.2022.105538. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Neonatal jaundice occurs in approximately 60% of term newborns. Although risk factors for neonatal jaundice have been studied, all the suggested strategies are based on various newborn tests for bilirubin levels. We aim to stratify neonates into risk groups for clinically significant neonatal jaundice using a combined data analysis approach, without serum bilirubin evaluation.

STUDY DESIGN: Term (gestational week 37-42) neonates born in a single medical center, 2005-2018 were identified. Anonymized data were analyzed using machine learning. Thresholds for stratification into risk groups were established. Associations were evaluated statistically using neonates with and without clinically significant neonatal jaundice from the study population.

RESULTS: A total of 147,667 consecutive term live neonates were included. The machine learning diagnostic ability to evaluate the risk for neonatal jaundice was 0.748; 95% CI 0.743-0.754 (AUC). The most important factors were (in order of importance) maternal blood type, maternal age, gestational age at delivery, estimated birth weight, parity, CBC at admission, and maternal blood pressure at admission. Neonates were then stratified by risk: 61% (n = 90,140) were classed as low-risk, 39% (n = 57,527) as higher-risk. Prevalence of jaundice was 4.14% in the full cohort, and 1.47% and 8.29% in the low- and high-risk cohorts, respectively; OR 6.06 (CI: 5.7-6.45) for neonatal jaundice in high-risk group.

CONCLUSION: A population tailored “first step” screening policy using machine learning model presents potential of neonatal jaundice risk stratification for term neonates. Future development and validation of this computational model are warranted.

PMID:35026695 | DOI:10.1016/j.earlhumdev.2022.105538

Clin Biomech (Bristol, Avon). 2022 Jan 1;92:105555. doi: 10.1016/j.clinbiomech.2021.105555. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Dislocation after total hip arthroplasty is a frequent cause of revision surgery. This study was performed to determine the optimal implant alignment in total hip arthroplasty by simulating the postoperative range of motion.

METHODS: All operations were performed via posterolateral approach using combined anteversion of the stem and cup technique. Maximum range of motion without implant impingement was simulated in 79 replaced hips using postoperative computed tomography and the achievement of the required range of motion defined by previous studies was assessed. Optimal cup and stem alignment for impingement-free range of motion were statistically determined using the receiver operator coefficient curve.

FINDINGS: Cup inclination and anteversion, stem anteversion, and combined anteversion were 37.6°, 20.1°, 26.2°, and 46.3°, respectively. Maximum range of motion in flexion, extension, internal rotation at 90° of flexion, and external rotation were 131.8°, 42.3°, 56.4°, and 64.5°, respectively. Flexion >110°, extension >30°, internal rotation >30° at 90° of flexion, and external rotation >30° were fulfilled by 96%, 86%, 92%, and 96% of all replaced hips, respectively. Optimal implant alignment for impingement-free range of motion was 34°-43° of cup inclination, 18°-26° of cup anteversion, 17°-29° of stem anteversion, and 35°-56° of combined anteversion. Both cup and stem anteversion showed significant relationship with postoperative range of motion.

INTERPRETATION: Surgeons could gain valuable insights into optimal cup and stem alignment to perform postoperative range of motion simulations.

PMID:35026659 | DOI:10.1016/j.clinbiomech.2021.105555

Clin Nutr. 2022 Jan 4;41(2):526-535. doi: 10.1016/j.clnu.2021.12.038. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The World Cancer Research Fund (WCRF) and American Institute for Cancer Research (AICR) updated their cancer prevention recommendations in 2018. Adherence to these recommendations has been associated with lower cancer risk and mortality. However, adherence in relation to Cancer of Unknown Primary (CUP) risk has not been studied. This study investigates whether adherence to the WCRF/AICR recommendations is associated with CUP risk.

METHODS: Data from the prospective Netherlands Cohort Study on diet and cancer was used to measure adherence to the recommendations in relation to CUP risk. The cohort includes 120 852 participants (aged 55-69 years), who completed a self-administered questionnaire on cancer risk factors at baseline. Adherence was investigated with respect to body fatness, physical activity, plant foods, meat consumption and alcohol. Incident CUP cases were identified through record linkage to the Netherlands Cancer Registry and Dutch Pathology Registry. A follow-up of 20.3 years, resulted in 856 incident CUP cases and 3911 subcohort members with complete information available for case-cohort analyses. Multivariable adjusted hazard ratios were estimated using proportional hazards models and were adjusted for age at baseline, sex, cigarette smoking (status, frequency, and duration) and total energy intake.

RESULTS: Highest adherence appeared to be associated with decreased CUP risk in the age-sex adjusted model (HR: 0.76, 95% CI: 0.62-0.92). After additional adjustment for cigarette smoking (status, frequency, and duration), the association attenuated and was no longer statistically significant. No multiplicative interactions were observed between sex nor smoking status and overall adherence in relation to CUP.

CONCLUSION: Within this cohort, highest adherence to the WCRF/AICR recommendations is not statistically significantly associated with decreased CUP risk after multivariable adjustment.

PMID:35026689 | DOI:10.1016/j.clnu.2021.12.038