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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Prevalence of Shiga toxin-producing Escherichia coli and Salmonella in native pecan orchards as influenced by waiting periods between grazing and harvest

J Food Prot. 2021 Sep 9. doi: 10.4315/JFP-21-163. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Animals (grazing, working, or intrusion) in produce production areas may present a potential contamination source of foodborne pathogens on produce. Cattle grazing on native pecan production orchards, a common practice in the Southern United States, provides a great opportunity to study the impact of grazing practice and waiting periods on contamination rates of foodborne pathogens of tree nuts. Therefore, the objective of this study was to determine the prevalence of Salmonella spp. and Shiga toxin-producing Escherichia coli (STEC), in native pecan production orchards as influenced by waiting periods between grazing cattle and pecan harvest. Soil (10 g), cattle feces (10 g), and in-shell pecans (25 g) were sampled from five cattle-grazed orchards in areas with cattle removed two or four months prior to harvest and not removed. Five non-grazing orchards were sampled at harvest for comparison. Detection and isolation of the pathogens were performed by enrichment, selective isolation, and multiplex PCR. Statistical analyses were performed using contingency tables with Pearson’s chi-squared test. The prevalence of STEC (36%) and Salmonella (29%) in cattle-grazed orchards was significantly higher compared to non-grazed orchards (13%; 7%). STEC prevalence in cattle-grazed orchards was higher (38%) in areas with cattle at harvest than in fenced areas where cattle were removed two (29%) and four (27%) months prior to harvest. Salmonella prevalence was similar in areas without fencing (31%), and areas with cattle removed at two (22%) and four months prior to harvest (30%). However, there were not significant differences ( P ≤ 0.05) in contamination rates between waiting periods for either pathogen, suggesting a limited impact of waiting periods on reducing the risk of contamination.

PMID:34499730 | DOI:10.4315/JFP-21-163

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The immature platelet fraction, a predictive tool for early recovery from dengue-related thrombocytopenia: a prospective study

Trans R Soc Trop Med Hyg. 2021 Sep 9:trab135. doi: 10.1093/trstmh/trab135. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: There is a paucity of predictive factors for early recovery from thrombocytopenia related to dengue. The immature platelet fraction (IPF%) is reflective of megakaryopoiesis and may correlate with recovery from dengue-related thrombocytopenia. Our objective was to assess the predictive value of IPF% on days 2 and 3 of illness for recovery from dengue-related thrombocytopenia.

METHODS: A prospective study was conducted among patients with dengue admitted to our institution (Nawaloka Hospital PLC) from December 2019 to October 2020. Dengue was diagnosed based on positive non-structural antigen 1 or IgM. IPF% data were extracted from the Sysmex-XN-1000 automated hematology analyzer. Clinical data were obtained from electronic medical records. Statistical analyses were performed using SPSS version 20.

RESULTS: We included 240 patients. An IPF% on day 2 of illness of >7.15% had a sensitivity of 80.0% and specificity of 70.4% for prediction of platelet recovery (defined as platelet count ≥60×109/L) on day 7 of illness. An IPF% of >7.25% on day 3 of illness had a sensitivity of 88.9% and specificity of 47.1% for predicting platelet recovery >60×109/L on day 8 of illness. The IPF% was significantly lower in patients with severe dengue. Platelet recovery was observed within 48 h after the peak IPF% was reached, regardless of severity.

CONCLUSION: We propose that IPF% values on days 2 and 3 of illness are a promising predictive tool for early recovery from dengue-related thrombocytopenia.

PMID:34499737 | DOI:10.1093/trstmh/trab135

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Impact of SMART Pass filter in patients with ajmaline-induced Brugada syndrome and subcutaneous implantable cardioverter-defibrillator eligibility failure: results from a prospective multicentre study

Europace. 2021 Sep 9:euab230. doi: 10.1093/europace/euab230. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

AIMS: Ajmaline challenge can unmask subcutaneous implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (S-ICD) screening failure in patients with Brugada syndrome (BrS) and non-diagnostic baseline electrocardiogram (ECG). The efficacy of the SMART Pass (SP) filter, a high-pass filter designed to reduce cardiac oversensing (while maintaining an appropriate sensing margin), has not yet been assessed in patients with BrS. The aim of this prospective multicentre study was to investigate the effect of the SP filter on dynamic Brugada ECG changes evoked by ajmaline and to assess its value in reducing S-ICD screening failure in patients with drug-induced Brugada ECGs.

METHODS AND RESULTS: The S-ICD screening with conventional automated screening tool (AST) was performed during ajmaline challenge in subjects with suspected BrS. The S-ICD recordings were obtained before, during and after ajmaline administration and evaluated by the means of a simulation model that emulates the AST behaviour with and without SP filter. A patient was considered suitable for S-ICD if at least one sensing vector was acceptable in all tested postures. A sensing vector was considered acceptable in the presence of QRS amplitude >0.5 mV, QRS/T-wave ratio >3.5, and sense vector score >100. Of the 126 subjects (mean age: 42 ± 14 years, males: 61%, sensing vectors: 6786), 46 (36%) presented with an ajmaline-induced Brugada type 1 ECG. Up to 30% of subjects and 40% of vectors failed the screening during the appearance of Brugada type 1 ECG evoked by ajmaline. The S-ICD screening failure rate was not significantly reduced in patients with Brugada ECGs when SP filter was enabled (30% vs. 24%). Similarly, there was only a trend in reduction of vector-failure rate attributable to the SP filter (from 40% to 36%). The most frequent reason for screening failure was low QRS amplitude or low QRS/T-wave ratio. None of these patients was implanted with an S-ICD.

CONCLUSION: Patients who pass the sensing screening during ajmaline can be considered good candidates for S-ICD implantation, while those who fail might be susceptible to sensing issues. Although there was a trend towards reduction of vector sensing failure rate when SP filter was enabled, the reduction in S-ICD screening failure in patients with Brugada ECGs did not reach statistical significance.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: https://clinicaltrials.gov Unique Identifier NCT04504591.

PMID:34499723 | DOI:10.1093/europace/euab230

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Comparison of in vitro activities of plazomicin and other aminoglycosides against clinical isolates of Klebsiella pneumoniae and Escherichia coli

J Antimicrob Chemother. 2021 Sep 9:dkab331. doi: 10.1093/jac/dkab331. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To compare the in vitro activity of plazomicin and two older aminoglycosides (gentamicin and amikacin) against 180 isolates of Escherichia coli and Klebsiella pneumoniae, including subsets of 60 non-ESBL-producing, 60 ESBL-producing and 60 carbapenem-resistant (46 carrying blaOXA-48, 11 carrying blaNDM and 3 carrying blaOXA-48 and blaNDM) strains.

METHODS: MICs of plazomicin, gentamicin and amikacin were determined by a gradient diffusion method. Gentamicin and amikacin MICs were interpreted according to CLSI criteria and EUCAST breakpoint tables. Plazomicin MICs were interpreted using FDA-defined breakpoints.

RESULTS: All non-ESBL-producing and ESBL-producing isolates were susceptible to plazomicin. The plazomicin susceptibility rate (71.7%) in carbapenem-resistant isolates was significantly higher than those observed for gentamicin (45%) and amikacin (56.7% and 51.7% according to CLSI and EUCAST breakpoints, respectively). Gentamicin, amikacin and plazomicin susceptibility rates (35.6% for gentamicin; 44.4% and 37.8% for amikacin according to CLSI and EUCAST breakpoints, respectively; 64.4% for plazomicin) in carbapenem-resistant K. pneumoniae were significantly lower than those observed for carbapenem-resistant E. coli isolates (73.3% for gentamicin; 93.3% for amikacin and plazomicin). Gentamicin, amikacin and plazomicin susceptibility rates for blaNDM-positive isolates were lower than those observed for blaOXA-48-positive isolates, but differences were not statistically significant. Among the isolates that were non-susceptible to both gentamicin and amikacin, the plazomicin susceptibility rate was less than 30%.

CONCLUSIONS: Although plazomicin showed excellent in vitro activity against carbapenem-susceptible isolates, the plazomicin resistance rate increased to 35.6% among carbapenem-resistant K. pneumoniae and further increased to 45.5% among blaNDM-positive isolates.

PMID:34499728 | DOI:10.1093/jac/dkab331

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Survival of bladder or renal cancer in patients with CHEK2 mutations

PLoS One. 2021 Sep 9;16(9):e0257132. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0257132. eCollection 2021.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: The purpose of this study was to compare the clinical characteristics and the survival of CHEK2 mutation positive and CHEK2 mutation negative patients diagnosed with bladder or kidney cancer.

MATERIALS AND METHODS: 1016 patients with bladder and 402 cases with kidney cancer and 8302 controls were genotyped for four CHEK2 variants: 1100delC, del5395, IVS2+1G>A and I157T. Predictors of survival were determined among CHEK2 pathogenic variant carriers using the Cox proportional hazards model. The median follow-up was 17.5 years. Covariates included age (≤60; >61 years), sex (female; male), clinical characteristics (stage: TNM, grade, histopathological type), smoking status (non-smoking; smoking) and cancer family history (negative; positive).

RESULTS: We found no impact of CHEK2 mutations on bladder or kidney cancer survival. However, we observed a possible increased survival in the subgroup of patients with stage T1 bladder cancer with CHEK2 mutations but this did not meet statistical significance (HR = 0.14; 95% CI 0.02-1.04; p = 0.055). Moreover, we observed that the missense mutations were more frequent in the low grade invasive bladder cancer patient group (OR = 7.9; 95% CI 1.50-42.1; p = 0.04) and in patients with bladder cancer with stage Ta (OR = 2.4; 95% CI 1.30-4.55; p = 0.006). The different results where missense mutations occurs less often we observed among patients with high grade invasive bladder cancer (OR = 0.12; 95% CI 0.02-0.66; p = 0.04) and those with stage T1 disease (OR = 0.2; 95% CI 0.07-0.76; p = 0.01). Our investigations revealed that any mutation in CHEK2 occurs more often among patients with stage Ta bladder cancer (OR = 2.0; 95% CI 1.19-3.47; p = 0.01) and less often in patients with stage T1 disease (OR = 0.31; 95% CI 0.12-0.78; p = 0.01). In the kidney cancer patients, truncating mutations were present more often in the group with clear cell carcinoma GII (OR = 8.0; 95% CI 0.95-67.7; p = 0.05). The 10-year survival for all CHEK2 mutation carriers with bladder cancer was 33% and for non-carriers 11% (p = 0.15). The 10-year survival for CHEK2 mutation carriers with kidney cancer 34% and for non-carriers 20% (p = 0.5).

CONCLUSION: CHEK2 mutations were not associated with any change in bladder or kidney cancer survival regardless of their age, sex, smoking status and family history. We observed a potentially protective effect of CHEK2 mutations on survival for patients with stage T1 bladder cancer. CHEK2 missense mutations were more common among patients with low grade invasive bladder cancer and in patients with stage Ta diease. The frequencies of the I157T CHEK2 pathogenic variant were less in patients with high grade invasive bladder cancer and those with stage T1 disease. Among patients with bladder cancer with stage Ta disease, the OR for any mutation in CHEK2 was 2.0 but for those with stage T1 disease, the OR was 0.3. We observed truncating CHEK2 mutations were associated with kidney cancer patients with GII clear cell carcinoma.

PMID:34499690 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0257132

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Local infiltration analgesia with bupivacaine and adrenaline does not reduce perioperative blood loss in total hip arthroplasty

PLoS One. 2021 Sep 9;16(9):e0257202. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0257202. eCollection 2021.

ABSTRACT

This study evaluates the effect of local infiltration analgesia with bupivacaine and adrenaline on perioperative blood loss in total hip arthroplasty. Patients who had primary total hip arthroplasty were retrospectively assigned to two groups. One group had 100 ml of bupivacaine/adrenaline solution injected into periarticular soft tissues at the end of the procedure. There were 55 patients in the infiltrated hip group and 44 patients in the not infiltrated group. Patients’ hemoglobin level (Hb), hematocrit (HTC), red blood count (RBC), platelet count (PLT) and International Normalized Ratio (INR) as well as the need for blood transfusions were compared statistically between groups preoperatively and postoperatively. There were no significant differences between Hb, HTC or RBC levels as well as the rate and amount of blood transfusions on the 1st, 4th postoperative days or at patients’ discharge between infiltrated and not infiltrated groups. This study does not support the hypothesis that the use of local infiltration analgesia with adrenaline may reduce perioperative blood loss in total hip arthroplasty.

PMID:34499694 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0257202

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Facebook as an engagement tool: How are public benefit organizations building relationships with their public?

PLoS One. 2021 Sep 9;16(9):e0256880. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0256880. eCollection 2021.

ABSTRACT

The beginning of the 21st century brought a change in the approach to public relations (PR). Both the literature and the practice saw a shift in focus from evaluating the efficiency of communication strategies to relationship management. On the other hand, the growing interest in the use of social media in the management of many types of organizations has prompted researchers to seek the theoretical causes of this trend. Therefore, the purpose of this research is to examine the scope of the Polish public benefit organizations’ (PBO) use of the social network Facebook in managing relationships with stakeholders. The PBO is a specific form of non-profit organization, which enjoys the special privilege of collecting tax-deductible donations of 1% of personal income tax (PIT). The research covered 876 entities, which were divided into four clusters depending on their size. A database of posts was created that the organizations published in the period selected for the research. Then, the impact of the Facebook content on user engagement was analyzed. For this purpose, various statistical methods were used, i.e. descriptive statistics, statistical tests and multiple regression analysis. The results indicate that, in spite of social media’s unquestionable advantages, public benefit organizations only take advantage of a small proportion of this potential. The role of the most popular service, Facebook, in increasing organizational revenue from 1% of PIT deductions seems secondary at best. Apart from that, the results showed that the rates of posting by different Polish public benefit organizations vary widely. Although some organizations were very active in this aspect, the Facebook pages of many organizations remained completely inactive throughout the analysis or showed only minimal activity. Larger organizations exhibited a much greater posting activity than their smaller counterparts.

PMID:34499679 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0256880

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Optimizing health facility location for universal health care: A case study from the Philippines

PLoS One. 2021 Sep 9;16(9):e0256821. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0256821. eCollection 2021.

ABSTRACT

Site selection of health facilities is critical in ensuring universal access to basic healthcare services. However, in many low and middle-income countries (LMICs) like the Philippines, site selection is traditionally based on political and pragmatic considerations. Moreover, literature that demonstrates the application of facility location models in the Philippine healthcare setting remains scarce, and their usage in actual facility planning is even more limited. In this study, we proposed a variation of cooperative covering maximal models to identify the optimal location of primary care facilities. We demonstrated the feasibility of implementing such a model by using open source data on an actual city in the Philippines. Our results generated multiple candidate locations of primary care facilities depending on the equity and efficiency parameters. This approach could be used as one of the critical considerations in evidence-based, multi-criterion health facility location decisions of governments, and can also be adapted in other industries, given the model’s use of readily available open source datasets.

PMID:34499680 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0256821

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A proposed framework for the development and qualitative evaluation of West Nile virus models and their application to local public health decision-making

PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2021 Sep 9;15(9):e0009653. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0009653. eCollection 2021 Sep.

ABSTRACT

West Nile virus (WNV) is a globally distributed mosquito-borne virus of great public health concern. The number of WNV human cases and mosquito infection patterns vary in space and time. Many statistical models have been developed to understand and predict WNV geographic and temporal dynamics. However, these modeling efforts have been disjointed with little model comparison and inconsistent validation. In this paper, we describe a framework to unify and standardize WNV modeling efforts nationwide. WNV risk, detection, or warning models for this review were solicited from active research groups working in different regions of the United States. A total of 13 models were selected and described. The spatial and temporal scales of each model were compared to guide the timing and the locations for mosquito and virus surveillance, to support mosquito vector control decisions, and to assist in conducting public health outreach campaigns at multiple scales of decision-making. Our overarching goal is to bridge the existing gap between model development, which is usually conducted as an academic exercise, and practical model applications, which occur at state, tribal, local, or territorial public health and mosquito control agency levels. The proposed model assessment and comparison framework helps clarify the value of individual models for decision-making and identifies the appropriate temporal and spatial scope of each model. This qualitative evaluation clearly identifies gaps in linking models to applied decisions and sets the stage for a quantitative comparison of models. Specifically, whereas many coarse-grained models (county resolution or greater) have been developed, the greatest need is for fine-grained, short-term planning models (m-km, days-weeks) that remain scarce. We further recommend quantifying the value of information for each decision to identify decisions that would benefit most from model input.

PMID:34499656 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pntd.0009653

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Knowledge, beliefs, attitudes and perceived risk about COVID-19 vaccine and determinants of COVID-19 vaccine acceptance in Bangladesh

PLoS One. 2021 Sep 9;16(9):e0257096. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0257096. eCollection 2021.

ABSTRACT

Bangladesh govt. launched a nationwide vaccination drive against SARS-CoV-2 infection from early February 2021. The objectives of this study were to evaluate the acceptance of the COVID-19 vaccines and examine the factors associated with the acceptance in Bangladesh. In between January 30 to February 6, 2021, we conducted a web-based anonymous cross-sectional survey among the Bangladeshi general population. At the start of the survey, there was a detailed consent section that explained the study’s intent, the types of questions we would ask, the anonymity of the study, and the study’s voluntary nature. The survey only continued when a respondent consented, and the answers were provided by the respondents themselves. The multivariate logistic regression was used to identify the factors that influence the acceptance of the COVID-19 vaccination. A total of 605 eligible respondents took part in this survey (population size 1630046161 and required sample size 591) with an age range of 18 to 100. A large proportion of the respondents are aged less than 50 (82%) and male (62.15%). The majority of the respondents live in urban areas (60.83%). A total of 61.16% (370/605) of the respondents were willing to accept/take the COVID-19 vaccine. Among the accepted group, only 35.14% showed the willingness to take the COVID-19 vaccine immediately, while 64.86% would delay the vaccination until they are confirmed about the vaccine’s efficacy and safety or COVID-19 becomes deadlier in Bangladesh. The regression results showed age, gender, location (urban/rural), level of education, income, perceived risk of being infected with COVID-19 in the future, perceived severity of infection, having previous vaccination experience after age 18, having higher knowledge about COVID-19 and vaccination were significantly associated with the acceptance of COVID-19 vaccines. The research reported a high prevalence of COVID-19 vaccine refusal and hesitancy in Bangladesh. To diminish the vaccine hesitancy and increase the uptake, the policymakers need to design a well-researched immunization strategy to remove the vaccination barriers. To improve vaccine acceptance among people, false rumors and misconceptions about the COVID-19 vaccines must be dispelled (especially on the internet) and people must be exposed to the actual scientific facts.

PMID:34499673 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0257096