Category: Statistics

Eur J Prev Cardiol. 2021 Apr 10;28(2):142-148. doi: 10.1177/2047487319881242.

ABSTRACT

AIMS: A recent scientific statement suggests clinicians should routinely assess cardiorespiratory fitness using at least non-exercise prediction equations. However, no study has comprehensively compared the many non-exercise cardiorespiratory fitness prediction equations to directly-measured cardiorespiratory fitness using data from a single cohort. Our purpose was to compare the accuracy of non-exercise prediction equations to directly-measured cardiorespiratory fitness and evaluate their ability to classify an individual’s cardiorespiratory fitness.

METHODS: The sample included 2529 tests from apparently healthy adults (42% female, aged 45.4 ± 13.1 years (mean±standard deviation). Estimated cardiorespiratory fitness from 28 distinct non-exercise prediction equations was compared with directly-measured cardiorespiratory fitness, determined from a cardiopulmonary exercise test. Analysis included the Benjamini-Hochberg procedure to compare estimated cardiorespiratory fitness with directly-measured cardiorespiratory fitness, Pearson product moment correlations, standard error of estimate values, and the percentage of participants correctly placed into three fitness categories.

RESULTS: All of the estimated cardiorespiratory fitness values from the equations were correlated to directly measured cardiorespiratory fitness (p < 0.001) although the R2 values ranged from 0.25-0.70 and the estimated cardiorespiratory fitness values from 27 out of 28 equations were statistically different compared with directly-measured cardiorespiratory fitness. The range of standard error of estimate values was 4.1-6.2 ml·kg-1·min-1. On average, only 52% of participants were correctly classified into the three fitness categories when using estimated cardiorespiratory fitness.

CONCLUSION: Differences exist between non-exercise prediction equations, which influences the accuracy of estimated cardiorespiratory fitness. The present analysis can assist researchers and clinicians with choosing a non-exercise prediction equation appropriate for epidemiological or population research. However, the error and misclassification associated with estimated cardiorespiratory fitness suggests future research is needed on the clinical utility of estimated cardiorespiratory fitness.

PMID:33838037 | DOI:10.1177/2047487319881242

Eur J Prev Cardiol. 2021 Apr 10;28(2):213-219. doi: 10.1177/2047487319882118.

ABSTRACT

AIM: This study aimed to evaluate the relationship between Timed Up and Go test performance and the incidence of older adult heart diseases and mortality.

METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study of 1,084,875 older adults who participated in a national health screening program between 2009-2014 (all aged 66 years old). Participants free of myocardial infarction, congestive heart failure, and atrial fibrillation at baseline were included and were divided into Group 1 (<10 s), Group 2 (10-20 s) and Group 3 (≥20 s) using the Timed Up and Go test scores. The endpoints were incident myocardial infarction, congestive heart failure, atrial fibrillation, and all-cause mortality.

RESULTS: During mean follow-up of 3.6 years (maximum 8.0 years), 8885 myocardial infarctions, 10,617 congestive heart failures, 15,322 atrial fibrillations, and 22,189 deaths occurred. Compared with participants in Group 1, Group 2 and Group 3 participants had higher incidences of myocardial infarction (Group 3: adjusted hazard ratio = 1.40, 95% confidence interval = 1.11-1.77), congestive heart failure (Group 3: adjusted hazard ratio = 1.59, 95% confidence interval = 1.31-1.94) and total mortality (Group 3: adjusted hazard ratio=1.93, 95% confidence interval = 1.69-2.20). The additional risks remained after adjusting for multiple conventional risk factors. For atrial fibrillation, a linear trend of increased risk was observed with slower Timed Up and Go test speed, but was statistically marginal (Group 3: adjusted hazard ratio=1.17, 95% confidence interval=0.96-1.44).

CONCLUSION: Slower Timed Up and Go test speed is associated with increased risk of developing myocardial infarction, congestive heart failure, and mortality in older adults.

PMID:33838038 | DOI:10.1177/2047487319882118

Biostatistics. 2021 Apr 10;22(2):233-249. doi: 10.1093/biostatistics/kxz027.

ABSTRACT

Motivated by the study of the molecular mechanism underlying type 1 diabetes with gene expression data collected from both patients and healthy controls at multiple time points, we propose a hybrid Bayesian method for jointly estimating multiple dependent Gaussian graphical models with data observed under distinct conditions, which avoids inversion of high-dimensional covariance matrices and thus can be executed very fast. We prove the consistency of the proposed method under mild conditions. The numerical results indicate the superiority of the proposed method over existing ones in both estimation accuracy and computational efficiency. Extension of the proposed method to joint estimation of multiple mixed graphical models is straightforward.

PMID:33838043 | DOI:10.1093/biostatistics/kxz027

Immun Inflamm Dis. 2021 Apr 10. doi: 10.1002/iid3.420. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Immune thrombocytopenia (ITP), autoimmune hemolytic anemia (AIHA), and autoimmune neutropenia (AIN) are disorders characterized by immune-mediated destruction of hematopoietic cell lineages. A link between pediatric immune cytopenias and inborn errors of immunity (IEI) was established in particular in the combined and chronic forms.

OBJECTIVE: Aim of this study is to provide clinical-immunological parameters to hematologists useful for a prompt identification of children with immune cytopenias deserving a deeper immunological and genetic evaluation.

METHODS: We retrospectively collected 47 pediatric patients with at least one hematological disorder among which persistent/chronic ITP, AIHA, and AIN, aged 0-18 years at onset of immune cytopenias and/or immune-dysregulation. The cohort was divided into two groups (IEI+ and IEI-), based on the presence/absence of underlying IEI diagnosis. IEI+ group, formed by 19/47 individuals, included: common variable immune deficiency (CVID; 9/19), autoimmune lymphoproliferative syndrome (ALPS; 4/19), DiGeorge syndrome (1/19), and unclassified IEI (5/19).

RESULTS: IEI prevalence among patients with ITP, AIHA, AIN, and Evans Syndrome was respectively of 42%, 64%, 36%, and 62%. In IEI+ group the extended immunophenotyping identified the presence of statistically significant (p < .05) specific characteristics, namely T/B lymphopenia, decrease in naїve T-cells%, switched memory B-cells%, plasmablasts%, and/or immunoglobulins, increase in effector/central memory T-cells% and CD21low B-cells%. Except for DiGeorge and three ALPS patients, only 2/9 CVID patients had a molecular diagnosis for IEI: one carrying the pathogenic variant CR2:c.826delT, the likely pathogenic variant PRF1:c.272C> and the compound heterozygous TNFRSF13B variants p.Ser144Ter (pathogenic) and p.Cys193Arg (variant of uncertain significance), the other one carrying the likely pathogenic monoallelic variant TNFRSF13B:p.Ile87Asn.

CONCLUSION: The synergy between hematologists and immunologists can improve and fasten diagnosis and management of patients with immune cytopenias through a wide focused clinical/immunophenotypical characterization, which identifies children worthy of IEI-related molecular analysis, favouring a genetic IEI diagnosis and potentially unveiling new targeted-gene variants responsible for IEI phenotype.

PMID:33838017 | DOI:10.1002/iid3.420

Biostatistics. 2021 Apr 10:kxab010. doi: 10.1093/biostatistics/kxab010. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Malaria is an infectious disease affecting a large population across the world, and interventions need to be efficiently applied to reduce the burden of malaria. We develop a framework to help policy-makers decide how to allocate limited resources in realtime for malaria control. We formalize a policy for the resource allocation as a sequence of decisions, one per intervention decision, that map up-to-date disease related information to a resource allocation. An optimal policy must control the spread of the disease while being interpretable and viewed as equitable to stakeholders. We construct an interpretable class of resource allocation policies that can accommodate allocation of resources residing in a continuous domain and combine a hierarchical Bayesian spatiotemporal model for disease transmission with a policy-search algorithm to estimate an optimal policy for resource allocation within the pre-specified class. The estimated optimal policy under the proposed framework improves the cumulative long-term outcome compared with naive approaches in both simulation experiments and application to malaria interventions in the Democratic Republic of the Congo.

PMID:33838029 | DOI:10.1093/biostatistics/kxab010

Int J Nurs Pract. 2021 Apr 10:e12942. doi: 10.1111/ijn.12942. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Incorrect surgical counts are closely related to retained surgical items, which pose a threat to patients. However, the risk factors for incorrect surgical counts have not been identified yet.

AIM: To identify the risk factors associated with incorrect surgical counts during surgery in a tertiary hospital.

DESIGN: An observational case-control study.

METHODS: Seventy cases of incorrect surgical counts were reviewed in this study. Data were collected from January 1, 2014, to April 4, 2019. For each case, we included four randomly selected control cases involving the same surgical procedures by the same surgeon within a 6-month period for comparison. The medical data of these cases were extracted for further statistical analysis.

RESULTS: A higher incidence of incorrect surgical counts was observed among surgical counts performed between 8:00 a.m. to 12:00 a.m., emergency operations, prolonged procedures, and/or after addition of surgical items.

CONCLUSION: Prolonged surgical procedures, emergency operations, time of occurrence, and addition of surgical items were the risk factors related to incorrect surgical counts during surgery.

SUMMARY STATEMENT: What is already known about the topic? Incorrect surgical count is a perplexing problem during operation. Incorrect surgical count is closely associated with retained surgical items which can cause patient injury. The underlaying risk factors of incorrect surgical count were still unknown. What this paper adds? This was the first case-control study for incorrect surgical counts in China. The present research demonstrated that several risk factors were significantly associated with the occurrence of incorrect surgical counts, including the time period, the type of surgery, and the duration of the procedure. Vigilance should be maintained during an emergency operation or a long procedure to reduce the incidence of incorrect surgical counts. The implications of this paper: It is important for nurses to be aware of the factors that can interfere with correct surgical counts, thereby ensuring vigilance during emergency operations or long procedures. By identifying these risk factors, a more comprehensive safety policy in the operation room can be implemented to reduce incorrect surgical counts. Novel technological adjuncts should be promoted in the operating room gradually to improve overall patient safety.

PMID:33837996 | DOI:10.1111/ijn.12942

Neurogastroenterol Motil. 2021 Apr 10:e14158. doi: 10.1111/nmo.14158. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Hiatal hernia is clinically important because it impairs the protective mechanism that prevents gastroesophageal reflux-induced injury. Diagnosing hiatal hernia is more important in neurologically impaired children because hiatal hernia-induced gastroesophageal reflux often causes severe complications such as aspiration pneumonia or malnutrition. We aimed to evaluate the patient characteristics and early predictors of hiatal hernia in neurologically impaired children.

METHODS: We retrospectively investigated 97 neurologically impaired children who underwent esophagogastroduodenoscopy and upper gastrointestinal series between March 2004 and June 2019. Demographic and clinical characteristics, as well as endoscopic and radiological findings, were statistically analyzed.

RESULTS: Of the 97 children recruited, 22 (22.7%) had hiatal hernia. When comparing the non-hiatal hernia group with the hiatal hernia group, neurological disease longer than 6 months (odds ratio 10.9, 95% confidence interval 1.2-96.5), wasting (odds ratio 4.6, 95% confidence interval 1.3-16.3), enteral tube feeding (odds ratio 9.2, 95% confidence interval 1.6-53.0), and history of aspiration pneumonia (odds ratio 6.5, 95% confidence interval 1.2-34.5) were identified as early predictors of hiatal hernia.

CONCLUSIONS: Timely identification of predictors of developing hiatal hernia in neurologically impaired children is important for early diagnostic confirmation to initiate optimal medical or surgical treatment of hiatal hernia to avoid serious complications such as aspiration pneumonia and malnutrition.

PMID:33837998 | DOI:10.1111/nmo.14158

CJEM. 2021 Apr 10. doi: 10.1007/s43678-021-00119-6. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The recommended rocuronium dose for rapid sequence intubation is 1.0 mg/kg; however, the optimal dose for emergency airway management is not clear. We assessed the relationship between rocuronium dose and first-attempt success among emergency department (ED) patients undergoing rapid sequence intubation.

METHODS: This is a secondary analysis of the National Emergency Airway Registry (NEAR), an observational 25-center registry of ED intubations. Ninety percent recording compliance was required from each site for data inclusion. We included all patients > 14 years of age who received rocuronium for rapid sequence intubation from 1 Jan 2016 to 31 Dec 2018. We compared first-attempt success between encounters using alternative rocuronium doses (< 1.0, 1.0-1.1, 1.2-1.3 and ≥1.4 mg/kg). We performed logistic regressions to control for predictors of difficult airways, indication, pre-intubation hemodynamics, operator, body habitus and device. We also performed subgroup analyses stratified by device (direct vs. video laryngoscopy). We calculated univariate descriptive statistics and odds ratios (OR) from multivariable logistic regressions with cluster-adjusted 95% confidence intervals (CI).

RESULTS: 19,071 encounters were recorded during the 3-year period. Of these, 8,034 utilized rocuronium for rapid sequence intubation. Overall, first attempt success was 88.4% for < 1.0 mg/kg, 88.1% for 1.0-1.1 mg/kg, 89.7% for 1.2-1.3 mg/kg, and 92.2% for ≥1.4 mg/kg. Logistic regression demonstrated that when direct laryngoscopy was used and when compared to the standard dosing range of 1.0-1.1 mg/kg, the adjusted odds of a first attempt success was significantly higher in ≥1.4 mg/kg group at 1.9 (95% CI 1.3-2.7) relative to the other dosing ranges, OR 0.9 (95% CI 0.7-1.2) for < 1.0 mg/kg and OR 1.2 (95% CI 0.9-1.7) for the 1.2-1.3 mg/kg group. First-attempt success was similar across all rocuronium doses among patients utilizing video laryngoscopy. Patients who were hypotensive (SBP < 100 mmHg) prior to intubation had higher first-attempt success 94.9% versus 88.6% when higher doses of rocuronium were used. The rates of all peri-intubation adverse events and desaturation were similar between dosing groups, laryngoscope type utilized and varying pre-intubation hemodynamics.

CONCLUSIONS: Rocuronium dosed ≥1.4 mg/kg was associated with higher first attempt success when using direct laryngoscopy and among patients with pre-intubation hypotension with no increase in adverse events. We recommend further prospective evaluation of the dosing of rocuronium prior to offering definitive clinical guidance.

PMID:33837951 | DOI:10.1007/s43678-021-00119-6

J Am Geriatr Soc. 2021 Apr 10. doi: 10.1111/jgs.17156. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Older patients with acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF) have severely impaired physical function (PF) and quality of life (QOL). However, relationships between impairments in PF and QOL are unknown but are relevant to clinical practice and trial design.

METHODS: We assessed 202 consecutive patients hospitalized with ADHF in the multicenter Rehabilitation Therapy in Older Acute HF Patients (REHAB-HF) Trial. PF measures included Short Physical Performance Battery (SPPB) and 6-min walk distance (6MWD). Disease-specific QOL was assessed by the Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire (KCCQ). General QOL was assessed by the Short Form-12 (SF-12) and EuroQol-5D-5L. PF was evaluated as a predictor of QOL using stepwise regression adjusted for age, sex, race, and New York Heart Association class.

RESULTS: Participants were 72 ± 8 years, 54% women, 55% minority race, 52% with reduced ejection fraction, and body mass index 33 ± 9 kg/m² . Participants had severe impairments in PF (6MWD 185 ± 99 m, SPPB 6.0 ± 2.5 units) and disease-specific QOL (KCCQ Overall Score 41 ± 21 and Physical Score 47 ± 24) and general QOL (SF-12 Physical Score 28 ± 9 and EuroQol Visual Analog Scale 57 ± 23). There were modest, statistically significant correlations between 6MWD and KCCQ Overall, KCCQ Physical Limitation, and SF-12 Physical Scores (r = 0.23, p < 0.001; r = 0.30, p < 0.001; and r = 0.24, p = 0.001, respectively); and between SPPB and KCCQ Physical and SF-12 Physical Scores (r = 0.20, p = 0.004, and r = 0.19, p = 0.007, respectively). Both 6MWD and SPPB were correlated with multiple components of the EuroQol-5D-5L. 6MWD was a significant, weak predictor of KCCQ Overall Score and SF-12 Physical Score (estimate = 0.05 ± 0.01, p < 0.001 and estimate = 0.05 ± 0.02, p = 0.012, respectively). SPPB was a significant, weak predictor of KCCQ Physical Score and SF-12 Physical Score (estimate = 1.37 ± 0.66, p = 0.040 and estimate = 0.54 ± 0.25, p = 0.030, respectively).

CONCLUSION: In older, hospitalized ADHF patients, PF and QOL are both severely impaired but are only modestly related, suggesting that PF and QOL provide complementary information and assessment of both should be considered to fully assess clinically meaningful patient-oriented outcomes.

PMID:33837953 | DOI:10.1111/jgs.17156

J Med Virol. 2021 Apr 10. doi: 10.1002/jmv.27011. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: We have read with great interest the meta-analysis that examined the impact of increased red cell distribution width (RDW) and COVID-19 outcomes, conducted by Lee and colleagues, and recently published in the Journal of Medical Virology. The authors concluded that elevations in RDW were associated with adverse COVID-19 outcomes. However, the impact of elevation of RDW independent of anemia in COVID-19 remains to be clarified.

METHODS: Patients ≥18 years who were diagnosed with COVID-19 at the Mount Sinai Health System between March 1 and April 1, 2020 and had a complete blood count (CBC) at presentation (n=2562) were selected to assess the association between RDW and mortality. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models, stratified by presence of anemia, were performed to assess the independent association of RDW with mechanical ventilation and mortality.

RESULTS: At univariate analysis, elevated RDW was statistically significantly associated with mechanical ventilation (p = 0.0109) and mortality (p < 0.0001). We found that elevated RDW was statistically associated with higher risk of both being placed on a ventilator (HRadj: 1.66, 95% CI: 1.19-2.32) and mortality (HRadj: 1.60, 95% CI: 1.18-2.15) in non-anemic patients, but there was no association in anemic patients. These associations were independent of the effects of age, sex, race, and CCI.

DISCUSSION: In this study, we show that the elevated RDW association with mortality and mechanical ventilation is present exclusively in non-anemic patients. Therefore, we propose that RDW be considered by clinicians, especially in non-anemic patients, when risk-stratifying COVID-19 patients. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.

PMID:33837966 | DOI:10.1002/jmv.27011