Nevin Manimala

Zhonghua Wei Zhong Bing Ji Jiu Yi Xue. 2025 Jan;37(1):53-58. doi: 10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20231109-00960.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the effects of calcitonin gene-related peptide (CGRP) on autophagy in hypoxic/reoxygenated (H/R) cardiomyocytes and its relationship with the phosphatidylinositol 3-kinase/protein kinase B/mammalian target of rapamycin (PI3K/Akt/mTOR) signaling pathway.

METHODS: The rat cardiomyocyte cell line H9c2 was routinely cultured in vitro and passaged for experiments when the cells grew to 80% fusion. (1) CGRP dosage screening experiment: the cells were divided into blank control group, H/R group and different dosages of CGRP pretreatment groups. H9c2 cells were placed in a closed hypoxia chamber for 2 hours and then reoxygenated in a conventional incubator for 12 hours to prepare the H/R model. The CGRP pretreatment groups were pretreated with 0.01, 0.1, 0.5, 1, 5, and 10 μmol/L CGRP before the modeling process. The blank control group was not given any treatment. Cell counting kit-8 (CCK-8) was used to detect the cell survival rate, and the most suitable drug dosage was screened out. (2) Intervention experiment: H9c2 cells were divided into blank control group, H/R group, CGRP+H/R group, and CGRP+PI3K target inhibitor ly294002 (LY)+H/R group. H/R group was prepared as cellular H/R model. CGRP (1 μmol/L) alone or in combination with LY (10 μmol/L) was administered to CGRP+H/R group and CGRP+LY+H/R group, respectively, prior to the preparation of cellular H/R model. The blank control group was cultured routinely without treatment. The cell survival rate was detected by CCK-8. The level of lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) release was detected by colorimetric assay. The expressions of autophagy-related proteins [autophagy effector protein Beclin-1, microtubule-associated protein 1 light chain 3-II (LC3-II), autophagy protein p62] and PI3K/Akt/mTOR signaling pathway proteins [phosphorylated Akt (p-Akt), phosphorylated mTOR (p-mTOR)] were detected by Western blotting.

RESULTS: (1) Results of CGRP dosage screening experiment: compared with the blank control group, the cell survival rate of the H/R group decreased significantly; and after giving 0.1, 0.5, 1, 5 μmol/L CGRP for pretreatment, the cell survival rate increased significantly, and intervention effect of 1 μmol/L CGRP was the best, and the difference was statistically significant when compared with that of the H/R group [(74.23±6.18)% vs. (23.43±4.09)%, P < 0.01], so it was used as the intervention dosage for the subsequent experiment. (2) Intervention experiment results: compared with the blank control group, the cell survival rate in the H/R group was significantly reduced, the level of LDH release was significantly increased, the protein expressions of Beclin-1 and LC3-II were significantly increased, and the protein expressions of p62, p-Akt and p-mTOR were significantly reduced, indicating that the death of cardiomyocytes occurred after the treatment of H/R and was accompanied by the elevation of autophagy level, and this process was associated with the activation of PI3K/Akt/mTOR signaling pathway. Compared with the H/R group, CGRP pretreatment increased cell survival rate [(76.02±2.43)% vs. (46.15±3.29)%, P < 0.01], decreased the level of LDH release (U/L: 169.83±11.65 vs. 590.17±34.50, P < 0.01), and down-regulated the protein expressions of Beclin-1 and LC3-II [Beclin-1 protein (Beclin-1/β-actin): 1.27±0.15 vs. 1.93±0.19, LC3-II protein (LC3-II/LC3-I): 1.27±0.13 vs. 1.98±0.18, both P < 0.01], up-regulated the protein expressions of p62, p-Akt, p-mTOR [p62 protein (p62/β-actin): 0.96±0.02 vs. 0.63±0.05, p-Akt protein (p-Akt/Akt): 0.76±0.04 vs. 0.48±0.02, p-mTOR protein (p-mTOR/mTOR): 1.13±0.09 vs. 0.68±0.15, all P < 0.05], suggesting that CGRP was able to reduce the H/R-induced cardiomyocyte injury, and this process was accompanied by a decrease in the level of cellular autophagy and activation of the PI3K/Akt/mTOR signaling pathway. Compared with the CGRP+H/R group, the cell survival rate was significantly lower than that in the CGRP+LY+H/R group [(56.95±6.63)% vs. (76.02±2.43)%, P < 0.01], LDH release level was significantly higher (U/L: 436.00±27.44 vs. 169.83±11.65, P < 0.01), and the protein expressions of Beclin-1 and LC3-II were significantly up-regulated [Beclin-1 protein (Beclin-1/β-actin): 1.63±0.12 vs. 1.27±0.15, LC3-II protein (LC3-II/LC3-I): 1.61±0.13 vs. 1.27±0.13, both P < 0.01], and significantly down-regulated p62, p-Akt, and p-mTOR protein expressions [p62 protein (p62/β-actin): 0.57±0.09 vs. 0.96±0.02, p-Akt protein (p-Akt/Akt): 0.45±0.01 vs. 0.76±0.04, p-mTOR protein (p-mTOR/mTOR): 0.66±0.06 vs. 1.13±0.09, all P < 0.05], suggesting that PI3K-targeted inhibitor was able to reverse the protective effect of CGRP on H/R cells.

CONCLUSIONS: CGRP pretreatment attenuated H/R-induced cardiomyocyte injury, increased cell survival rate, and reduced cellular LDH release. This effect may be achieved through inhibiting the activation of PI3K/Akt/mTOR signaling pathway.

PMID:39968587 | DOI:10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20231109-00960

Zhonghua Wei Zhong Bing Ji Jiu Yi Xue. 2025 Jan;37(1):48-52. doi: 10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20240802-00661.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the effects of using different filters in continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT) on the mortality, inflammatory mediator level and hemodynamics in patients with sepsis-associated acute kidney injury (SA-AKI).

METHODS: A prospective study was conducted. The patients with SA-AKI undergoing first CRRT admitted to the critical care medicine department of General Hospital of Ningxia Medical University from August 2022 to October 2023 were enrolled as the study objects, and they were divided into observation group and control group by random number table method. All patients received routine treatment including anti-infection, optimized volume management and organ function support. On this basis, the observation group was treated with oXiris filter for CRRT, while the control group was treated with ordinary filter for CRRT, and the first treatment time was ≥ 36 hours. General data of the two groups were collected and compared. At the same time, the inflammatory indicators [high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP), procalcitonin (PCT), interleukin-6 (IL-6)], sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score, mean arterial pressure (MAP), blood lactic acid (Lac), noradrenaline dosage and other related indicators were collected before CRRT treatment and 24 hours and 48 hours after treatment, and the 7-day and 28-day mortality of patients were recorded.

RESULTS: Finally, 65 patients were enrolled, including 30 in the observation group and 35 in the control group. There were no significant differences in baseline data including age, gender, acute kidney injury (AKI) stage and infection source between the two groups. The 7-day mortality of observation group was significantly lower than that of control group [16.7% (5/30) vs. 42.9% (15/35), P < 0.05]. There was no significant difference in 28-day mortality between the observation group and the control group [36.7% (11/30) vs. 54.3% (19/35), P > 0.05]. There were no significant differences in inflammation indicators, SOFA score, MAP, Lac and norepinephrine dosage before treatment between the two groups. After 24-hour and 48-hour treatment, the hemodynamics of the two groups were stable compared with before treatment, the inflammatory indicators, SOFA score, Lac and norepinephrine dosage were reduced to varying degrees, and MAP was significantly increased. In the observation group, hs-CRP, PCT, IL-6, SOFA score, MAP, and norepinephrine dosage showed statistical significance at 24 hours after treatment as compared with before treatment [hs-CRP (mg/L): 125.0 (105.0, 171.2) vs. 280.5 (213.2, 313.8), PCT (μg/L): 51.0 (20.0, 62.8) vs. 71.0 (10.8, 100.0), IL-6 (ng/L): 1 762.2 (300.8, 4 327.5) vs. 4 447.5 (630.4, 5 000.0), SOFA score: 13.0 (12.0, 14.0) vs. 16.0 (15.0, 17.0), MAP (mmHg, 1 mmHg ≈ 0.133 kPa): 79.00±12.87 vs. 65.20±11.70, norepinephrine dosage (μg×kg^-1×min^-1): 0.82±0.33 vs. 1.63±0.51, all P < 0.05]. In the control group, PCT and MAP showed statistical significance after 48 hours of treatment as compared with before treatment. Compared with the control group, hs-CRP, SOFA score and norepinephrine dosage after 48 hours of treatment in the observation group were significantly decreased [hs-CRP (mg/L): 87.2 (74.2, 126.0) vs. 157.0 (88.0, 200.0), SOFA score: 11.0 (10.0, 12.0) vs. 12.0 (10.0, 14.0), norepinephrine dosage (μg×kg^-1×min^-1): 0.51±0.37 vs. 0.81±0.58, all P < 0.05], MAP was significantly increased (mmHg: 82.00±8.71 vs. 77.77±7.80, P < 0.05).

CONCLUSION: In the treatment of CRRT, oXiris filter can reduce the short-term mortality of SA-AKI patients, lower inflammatory mediators levels and improve hemodynamics, showing therapeutic advantages over conventional filters.

PMID:39968586 | DOI:10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20240802-00661

Zhonghua Wei Zhong Bing Ji Jiu Yi Xue. 2025 Jan;37(1):36-42. doi: 10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20240126-00085.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To explore the correlation between mechanical power normalized to dynamic lung compliance (Cdyn-MP) and weaning outcomes and prognosis in mechanically ventilated patients.

METHODS: A prospective, observational cohort study was conducted. Patients who underwent invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) for more than 24 hours and used a T-tube ventilation strategy for extubation in the intensive care unit (ICU) of Lianyungang First People’s Hospital and Lianyungang Second People’s Hospital between January 2022 and December 2023 were enrolled. The collected data encompassed patients’ baseline characteristics, primary causes of ICU admission, vital signs and laboratory indicators during the initial spontaneous breathing trial (SBT), respiratory mechanics parameters within the 4-hour period prior to the SBT, weaning outcomes and prognostic indicators. Mechanical power (MP) and Cdyn-MP were calculated using a simplified MP equation. Univariate and multivariate Logistic regression analyses were utilized to determine the independent risk factors associated with weaning failure in patients undergoing mechanical ventilation. Restricted cubic spline (RCS) analysis and Spearman rank-sum test were employed to investigate the correlation between Cdyn-MP and weaning outcomes as well as prognosis. Receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve) was constructed, and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) was computed to evaluate the predictive accuracy of Cdyn-MP for weaning outcomes in mechanically ventilated patients.

RESULTS: A total of 366 patients undergoing IMV were enrolled in this study, with 243 cases classified as successful weaning and 123 cases classified as failed weaning. Among them, 23 patients underwent re-intubation within 48 hours after the successful withdrawal of the first SBT, non-invasive ventilation, or died. Compared with the successful weaning group, the patients in the failed weaning group had significantly increased levels of sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score, body temperature and respiratory rate (RR) during SBT, and respiratory mechanical parameters within the 4-hour period prior to the SBT [ventilation frequency, positive end-expiratory pressure (PEEP), platform pressure (Pplat), peak inspiratory pressure (Ppeak), dynamic driving pressure (ΔPaw), fraction of inspired oxygen (FiO₂), MP, and Cdyn-MP], dynamic lung compliance (Cdyn) was significantly reduced, and duration of IMV, ICU length of stay, and total length of hospital stay were significantly prolonged. However, there were no statistically significant differences in age, gender, body mass index (BMI), smoking history, main causes of ICU admission, other vital signs [heart rate (HR), mean arterial pressure (MAP), saturation of peripheral oxygen (SpO₂)] and laboratory indicators [white blood cell count (WBC), albumin (Alb), serum creatinine (SCr)] during SBT of patients between the two groups. Univariate Logistic regression analysis was conducted, and variables with P < 0.05 and no multicollinearity with Cdyn-MP were selected for inclusion in the multivariate Logistic regression model. The results demonstrated that SOFA score [odds ratio (OR) = 1.081, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 1.008-1.160, P = 0.030], and PEEP (OR = 1.191, 95%CI was 1.075-1.329, P = 0.001), FiO₂ (OR = 1.035, 95%CI was 1.006-1.068, P = 0.021) and Cdyn-MP (OR = 1.190, 95%CI was 1.086-1.309, P < 0.001) within the 4-hour period prior to the SBT were independent risk factors for weaning failure in patients undergoing IMV. The RCS analysis after adjusting for confounding factors showed that as Cdyn-MP within the 4-hour period prior to the SBT increased, the risk of weaning failure in patients undergoing IMV significantly increased (P < 0.001). The Spearman rank correlation test showed that Cdyn-MP within the 4-hour period prior to the SBT was positively correlated with respiratory mechanical parameters including ΔPaw and MP (r values were 0.773 and 0.865, both P < 0.01), and negatively correlated with Cdyn (r = -0.587, P < 0.01). Cdyn-MP within the 4-hour period prior to the SBT was positively correlated with prognostic indicators such as duration of IMV, length of ICU stay, and total length of hospital stay (r values were 0.295, 0.196, and 0.120, all P < 0.05). ROC curve analysis demonstrated that, within the 4-hour period preceding the SBT, Cdyn-MP, MP, Cdyn, and ΔPaw possessed predictive value for weaning failure in patients undergoing IMV. Notably, Cdyn-MP exhibited superior predictive capability, evidenced by an AUC of 0.761, with a 95%CI ranging from 0.712 to 0.810 (P < 0.001). At the optimal cut-off value of 408.5 J/min×cmH₂O/mL×10^-3, the sensitivity was 68.29%, and the specificity was 71.19%.

CONCLUSION: Cdyn-MP is related to weaning outcomes and prognosis in mechanically ventilated patients, and has good predictive ability in assessing the risk of weaning failure.

PMID:39968584 | DOI:10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20240126-00085

Zhonghua Wei Zhong Bing Ji Jiu Yi Xue. 2025 Jan;37(1):23-28. doi: 10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20240329-00298.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To explore the implementation effect of hour-1 bundle for sepsis patients based on crisis resource management (CRM) system.

METHODS: A historical control study was conducted. The hour-1 bundle for sepsis based on CRM was used to train 24 nurses in the emergency department from October 2022 to March 2023. Clinical data of sepsis patients admitted to the emergency department of the First People’s Hospital of Zunyi from April 2022 to September 2023 were collected. The patients were divided into three groups based on different stages of CRM system construction: control group (before construction, from April to September in 2022), improvement group (during construction, from October 2022 to March 2023) and observation group (after construction, from April to September in 2023). The baseline data, implementation rate of hour-1 bundle [including blood culture, antibiotic usage, blood lactic acid (Lac) detection, fluid resuscitation, hypertensors usage], identification and diagnosis time, and prognosis parameters [including correction rate of hypoxemia, intensive care unit (ICU) occupancy rate, and 28-day survival rate]. Sepsis cognition survey and non-technical skill (NTS) evaluation of nurses in emergency department were conducted before and after training.

RESULTS: Finally 43 cases were enrolled in the control group, improvement group and observation group, respectively. There was no statistically significant difference in baseline data including the gender, age, primary site, heart rate, systolic blood pressure, acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II) score, sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score, mechanical ventilation ratio among the three groups with comparability. With the gradual improvement of the CRM system, the implementation rate of 1-hour bundle was gradually increased, and the implementation rate in the control group, improvement group and observation group were 65.12% (28/43), 74.42% (32/43) and 88.37% (38/43), respectively, with statistically significant difference (P < 0.05). It was mainly reflected in the completion rate of blood culture, antibiotic usage rate, Lac detection rate and hypertensors usage rate within 1 hour, which were significantly higher in the observation group than those in the control group [completion rate of blood culture: 90.70% (39/43) vs. 62.79% (27/43), antibiotic usage rate: 88.37% (38/43) vs. 60.47% (26/43), Lac detection rate: 93.02% (40/43) vs. 72.09% (31/43), hypertensors usage rate: 88.37% (38/43) vs. 60.47% (26/43), all P < 0.05]. The fluid resuscitation rates within 1 hour in the three groups were all over 90%, with no statistically significant difference among the three groups. The recognition and diagnosis time in the observation group was significantly shorter than that in the control group and the improvement group (hours: 0.41±0.15 vs. 0.61±0.21, 0.51±0.18, both P < 0.05), the correction rate of hypoxemia and 28-day survival rate were significantly higher than those in the control group [correction rate of hypoxemia: 95.35% (41/43) vs. 74.42% (32/43), 28-day survival rate: 83.72% (36/43) vs. 60.47% (26/43), both P < 0.05], and ICU occupancy rate was significantly lower than that in the control group [72.09% (31/43) vs. 93.02% (40/43), P < 0.05]. After training in the CRM system, the score of the sepsis awareness survey questionnaire for emergency department nurses was significantly increased as compared with before training (60.42±5.29 vs. 44.17±9.21, P < 0.01), and NTS also showed significant improvement.

CONCLUSION: CRM plays a significant role in promoting the implementation of sepsis hour-1 bundle, which can improve the implementation rate of hour-1 bundle and NTS of medical staff, effectively improve patients’ hypoxemia, reduce patients’ ICU occupancy rate and 28-day risk of death.

PMID:39968582 | DOI:10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20240329-00298

Zhonghua Wei Zhong Bing Ji Jiu Yi Xue. 2025 Jan;37(1):17-22. doi: 10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20240103-00009.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To analyze the clinical characteristics of elderly patients with sepsis, identify the key factors affecting their clinical outcomes, construct a death risk assessment scale for elderly patients with sepsis, and evaluate its predictive value.

METHODS: A retrospective case-control study was conducted. The clinical data of sepsis patients admitted to intensive care unit (ICU) of the First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University from September 2021 to September 2023 were collected, including basic information, clinical characteristics, and clinical outcomes. The patients were divided into non-elderly group (age ≥ 65 years old) and elderly group (age < 65 years old) based on age. Additionally, the elderly patients were divided into survival group and death group based on their 30-day survival status. The clinical characteristics of elderly patients with sepsis were analyzed. Univariate and multivariate Logistic regression analyses were used to screen the independent risk factors for 30-day death in elderly patients with sepsis, and the regression equation was constructed. The regression equation was simplified, and the death risk assessment scale was established. The predictive value of different scores for the prognosis of elderly patients with sepsis was compared.

RESULTS: (1) A total of 833 patients with sepsis were finally enrolled, including 485 in the elderly group and 348 in the non-elderly group. Compared with the non-elderly group, the elderly group showed significantly lower counts of lymphocyte, T cell, CD8⁺ T cell, and the ratio of T cells and CD8⁺ T cells [lymphocyte count (×10⁹/L): 0.71 (0.43, 1.06) vs. 0.83 (0.53, 1.26), T cell count (cells/μL): 394.0 (216.0, 648.0) vs. 490.5 (270.5, 793.0), CD8⁺ T cell count (cells/μL): 126.0 (62.0, 223.5) vs. 180.0 (101.0, 312.0), T cell ratio: 0.60 (0.48, 0.70) vs. 0.64 (0.51, 0.75), CD8⁺ T cell ratio: 0.19 (0.13, 0.28) vs. 0.24 (0.16, 0.34), all P < 0.01], higher natural killer cell (NK cell) count, acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II) score, ratio of invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) during hospitalization, and 30-day mortality [NK cell count (cells/μL): 112.0 (61.0, 187.5) vs. 95.0 (53.0, 151.0), APACHE II score: 16.00 (12.00, 21.00) vs. 13.00 (8.00, 17.00), IMV ratio: 40.6% (197/485) vs. 31.9% (111/348), 30-day mortality: 28.9% (140/485) vs. 19.5% (68/348), all P < 0.05], and longer length of ICU stay [days: 5.5 (3.0, 10.0) vs. 5.0 (3.0, 8.0), P < 0.05]. There were no statistically significant differences in the levels of inflammatory markers such as C-reactive protein (CRP), procalcitonin (PCT), tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α), interferon-γ (IFN-γ), and interleukins (IL-2, IL-4, IL-6, IL-10) between the two groups. (2) In 485 elderly patients with sepsis, 345 survived in 30 days, and 140 died with the 30-day mortality of 28.9%. Compared with the survival group, the patients in the death group were older, and had lower body mass index (BMI), white blood cell count (WBC), PCT, platelet count (PLT) and higher IL-6, IL-10, N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), total bilirubin (TBil), blood lactic acid (Lac), and ratio of in-hospital IMV and continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT). Multivariate Logistic regression analysis indicated that BMI [odds ratio (OR) = 0.783, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 0.678-0.905, P = 0.001], IL-6 (OR = 1.073, 95%CI was 1.004-1.146, P = 0.036), TBil (OR = 1.009, 95%CI was 1.000-1.018, P = 0.045), Lac (OR = 1.211, 95%CI was 1.072-1.367, P = 0.002), and IMV during hospitalization (OR = 6.181, 95%CI was 2.214-17.256, P = 0.001) were independent risk factors for 30-day death in elderly patients with sepsis, and the regression equation was constructed (Logit P = 1.012-0.244×BMI+0.070×IL-6+0.009×TBil+0.190×Lac+1.822×IMV). The regression equation was simplified to construct a death risk assessment scale, namely BITLI score. Receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve) analysis showed that the area under the ROC curve (AUC) of BITLI score for predicting death risk was 0.852 (95%CI was 0.769-0.935), and it was higher than APACHE II score (AUC = 0.714, 95%CI was 0.623-0.805) and sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score (AUC = 0.685, 95%CI was 0.578-0.793). The determined cut-off value of BITLI score was 1.50, while achieving a sensitivity of 83.3% and specificity of 74.0%.

CONCLUSIONS: Elderly patients with sepsis often have reduced lymphocyte counts, severe conditions, and poor prognosis. BMI, IL-6, TBil, Lac, and IMV during hospitalization were independent risk factors for 30-day death in elderly patients with sepsis. The BITLI score constructed based above risk factors is more precise and reliable than traditional APACHE II and SOFA scores in predicting the outcomes of elderly patients with sepsis.

PMID:39968581 | DOI:10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20240103-00009

Stud Health Technol Inform. 2025 Feb 18;322:89-90. doi: 10.3233/SHTI250031.

ABSTRACT

Canada’s healthcare system faces a critical choice between two futures: “Cyborgville,” driven by advanced medical technologies and AI, or a wellness-focused approach inspired by Blue Zones, which emphasize healthy lifestyles and environments. This commentary paper explores the benefits and challenges of each path. Blue Zones promote longevity through natural practices like plant-based diets and physical activity but face adaptation challenges in Canada’s diverse climate and culture. Cyborg technologies offer cutting-edge healthcare but raise ethical concerns and high costs. Health informatics is key to both models, supporting personalized care, data-driven health interventions, and population management. A balanced, hybrid approach combining Blue Zone principles with technological advancements could provide a sustainable, equitable healthcare system, positioning Canada as a leader in global health innovation.

PMID:39968563 | DOI:10.3233/SHTI250031

Stud Health Technol Inform. 2025 Feb 18;322:83-84. doi: 10.3233/SHTI250028.

ABSTRACT

The increasing prevalence of preventable chronic disease in Canada poses significant challenges to both healthcare budgets and individual financial stability. New treatments and predictive technologies are creating an urgent need to evaluate the impact of these innovations on population health and healthcare costs. This paper explores the use of system dynamics modeling to analyze the effects of artificial intelligence (AI)-driven predictive tools, life-prolonging treatments, and digital behavior change applications on T2D prevalence and healthcare expenditures. Our model simulates three scenarios over a 50-year period, revealing that while AI and novel treatments can reduce complications, they may paradoxically increase T2D prevalence and overall costs unless combined with preventive measures. The study demonstrates the utility of system dynamics models in forecasting the secondary effects of policy decisions, providing policymakers with a valuable tool for evaluating trade-offs and optimizing health outcomes. The findings underscore the need for new tools to effectively manage the evolving landscape of chronic disease treatment and prevention.

PMID:39968560 | DOI:10.3233/SHTI250028

Stud Health Technol Inform. 2025 Feb 18;322:81-82. doi: 10.3233/SHTI250027.

ABSTRACT

Health information technology implementations frequently fail despite extensive research on success factors over the past three decades. This paper introduces the Playing-to-Win Digital Health Strategy Canvas, an adaptation of Martin and Lafley’s framework, tailored for healthcare. The canvas integrates business strategy principles with evidence-based insights to address unique challenges in digital health implementation. Key elements include prioritizing high-risk populations, co-designing solutions with stakeholders, and aligning with the Quintuple Aim to ensure sustainable, impactful outcomes. Developed through systematic reviews and stakeholder consultations, the framework serves as a practical tool for early-career planners and implementers. While promising, further research is needed to optimize its application to scalability and sustainability in complex healthcare systems.

PMID:39968559 | DOI:10.3233/SHTI250027

Stud Health Technol Inform. 2025 Feb 18;322:12-16. doi: 10.3233/SHTI250005.

ABSTRACT

Guided by interviews with end-users and in collaboration with lived-experience advisors, the Fairness Dashboard is being co-designed to promote the standardized and responsible utilization of sociodemographic data in statistical and machine learning models. This initiative aims to mitigate the potential for harm and to advance the equitable and compassionate interpretation of knowledge derived from Artificial Intelligence.

PMID:39968539 | DOI:10.3233/SHTI250005

Infect Dis Model. 2024 Dec 10;10(2):591-627. doi: 10.1016/j.idm.2024.12.005. eCollection 2025 Jun.

ABSTRACT

We analyze COVID-19 surveillance data from Ontario, Canada, using state-space modelling techniques to address key challenges in understanding disease transmission dynamics. The study applies component linear Gaussian state-space models to capture periodicity, trends, and random fluctuations in case counts. We explore the relationships between COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations, workdays, and wastewater viral loads through dynamic regression models, offering insights into how these factors influence public health outcomes. Our analysis extends to multivariate covariance estimation, utilizing a novel methodology to provide time-varying correlation estimates that account for non-stationary data. Results demonstrate the significance of incorporating environmental covariates, such as wastewater data, in improving model robustness and uncovering the complex interplay between epidemiological factors. This work highlights the limitations of simpler models and emphasizes the advantages of state-space approaches for analyzing dynamic infectious disease data. By illustrating the application of advanced modelling techniques, this study contributes to a deeper understanding of disease transmission and informs public health interventions.

PMID:39968529 | PMC:PMC11834045 | DOI:10.1016/j.idm.2024.12.005