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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 in a Fully Operative Dentistry Academic Center in Madrid (Spain) During the De-escalation Phase of the COVID-19 Pandemic. Are Our Dentists at Greater Risk?

Oral Health Prev Dent. 2022 Oct 19;20(1):349-353. doi: 10.3290/j.ohpd.b3464887.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: To determine the prevalence of COVID-19 infection among dental professionals at an Academic Center in Madrid (Spain) at the beginning of the pandemic’s de-escalation phase.

MATERIALS AND METHODS: A cross-sectional study was designed. COVID-19 infection was determined by membrane-based immunoassay qualitative detection of IgG and IgM antibodies in human whole blood. Age, sex, race and professional qualification were recorded, as were symptoms compatible with COVID-19 infection whenever present. Data collected were analysed by means of descriptive and qualitative (X2) statistical analyses.

RESULTS: A total of 195 individuals were included (40 administrative professionals and 155 dentists). Seroprevalence at the end of the de-escalation phase was 20.0% among all the participants. The highest prevalence was found among the orthodontists (34.8%), followed by the paediatric dentists (28.6%) and oral surgeons (14.7%). Most subjects were positive for IgG and negative for IgM (79.5%).

CONCLUSIONS: The seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 among dental professionals at the end of the de-escalation phase after the first wave of the pandemic was almost double the seroprevalence of the general population. Orthodontists had the highest rates of SARS-CoV-2 infection.

PMID:36259437 | DOI:10.3290/j.ohpd.b3464887

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The effect of the covid 19 pandemic on the number of patients treated for acute and complex acute appendicitis

Ann Ital Chir. 2022 Sep 5;11:S0003469X22037721. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

AIM: The aim of this study was to compare the increase in the number of complicated cases in patients who underwent surgery for acute appendicitis during the COVID-19 pandemic and the previous year.

MATERIAL AND METHODS: A retrospective examination was made of the files of patients who presented at the Emergency Department and were diagnosed with acute appendicitis and underwent surgery within 24 hours or were followed up between 11 March and 1 June 2020 during the COVID-19 pandemic, and in the same period in the previous year. The patients in the pandemic period were named the pandemic group (PG) and the patients from the previous year, the control group (CG). The definition of complicated appendicitis included peri-appendicular abscess and perforated appendix.

RESULTS: The number of patients in the PG was 38.33% lower than in the CG. The duration of symptoms was 2 days in the PG and 1 day in the CG, and the difference was statistically significant (p=0.001). The mean neutrophil count was determined to be higher in the PG than in the CG (p=0.018). The rate of perforated appendix was determined to be 10.9 higher in the PG than in the CG.

CONCLUSION: The number of patients presenting at the Emergency Department reduced during the pandemic, especially during periods of lockdown, and it was seen that fewer but more complicated patients presented at our centre.

KEY WORDS: Acute appendicitis, COVID-19, Perforation.

PMID:36259431

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The epidemiology of preexisting geriatric and palliative conditions in older adults with poor prognosis cancers

J Am Geriatr Soc. 2022 Oct 19. doi: 10.1111/jgs.18039. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Older patients with poor prognosis cancers have complex needs that can benefit from geriatrics and palliative care principles. Because they are not routinely assessed, the prevalence of preexisting geriatric and palliative conditions in this population is unknown.

METHODS: We used the nationally representative Health and Retirement Study (HRS) linked with Medicare claims (1998-2016) to identify adults aged ≥65 years diagnosed with poor prognosis cancers (cancers with a median survival ≤1 year). Using the HRS interview before the first Medicare cancer claim, we used survey-weighted descriptive statistics and modified Poisson regression analysis to examine the prevalence of the following clinically significant conditions: functional impairment, difficulty with mobility, falls and injurious falls, social support, cognition, advance care planning, use of pain or sleep medications, and presence of pain or breathlessness.

RESULTS: Of 2105 participants (mean age 76, 53% women, 34% lung cancer, 21% gastrointestinal cancer), the median survival was 9.6 months. Approximately 65% had difficulty climbing stairs (95% CI 63%-67%), 49% had no advance directive (95% CI 45%-54%), 35% lived alone (95% CI 33%-37%), 36% fell in the last 2 years (95% CI 34%-38%), and 32% rated their memory as poor (95% CI 29%-34%). After adjusting for gender, cancer type, and HRS survey time before the first Medicare claim for a poor prognosis cancer, functional impairment and falls were highest among adults aged 85+. Adults aged 65-74 years were less likely to have an advance directive. After adjusting for age, cancer type, and HRS survey time, women had a higher rate of pain and physical impairment. In exploratory analyses, race and socioeconomic status predicted difficulty with mobility and instrumental activities of daily living, living alone, and advance directive completion.

CONCLUSIONS: Due to a high prevalence across multiple domains, all older adults with poor prognosis cancers should be assessed for geriatric and palliative care conditions.

PMID:36259424 | DOI:10.1111/jgs.18039

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Spleen size in homozygous sickle cell disease: TRENDS in a birth cohort using ultrasound

Br J Radiol. 2022 Oct 19:20220634. doi: 10.1259/bjr.20220634. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To provide ultrasound baselines for spleen length in homozygous sickle cell disease (HbSS) and in normal controls with a HbAA genotype.

METHODS: The Jamaican cohort study identified 311 babies with HbSS and 246 matched HbAA controls during the screening of 100,000 consecutive deliveries in Kingston, Jamaica from 1973 to 1981. Ultrasonography commenced in 1988 when the youngest patients were aged 6 years at which time deaths, emigrations and default had reduced the numbers to 206 HbSS and 89 controls. It continued annually until 2000.

RESULTS: The spleen was visualized in all HbAA controls but in only 1103/2138 (52%) scans in HbSS. Where available, mean splenic lengths were significantly lower in HbSS (77-103 mm in males, 70-83 mm in females) compared to normal controls (89-101 mm in males, 86-95 mm in females). Assessed by statistical modelling after adjusting for body height, the splenic ratio (splenic length/body height) declined over the age range 12-20 years in HbSS, consistent with progressive splenic fibrosis. Genetic factors known to inhibit sickling, α thalassaemia and fetal haemoglobin level (HbF) significantly reduced the decline in splenic ratio. Clinical splenomegaly was an insensitive measure of splenic enlargement as only 50% of patients aged 18 years and above with spleens measuring ≥150 mm on ultrasonography had palpable spleens.

CONCLUSIONS: An age-related decline in splenic length occurred in HbSS and occurred more slowly with genetic factors known to inhibit sickling. The standards provided may be of value in assessing minor degrees of subclinical acute splenic sequestration. (241 words).

ADVANCES IN KNOWLEDGE: These are the first standards available for splenic length in HbSS. They may be useful in detecting red cell sequestration, not apparent from clinical splenomegaly and also provide a model for identifying factors inhibiting vaso-occlusion.

PMID:36259419 | DOI:10.1259/bjr.20220634

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Association between Economic Growth, Mortality, and Healthcare Spending in 31 High-Income Countries

Forum Health Econ Policy. 2022 Oct 19. doi: 10.1515/fhep-2021-0035. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

This study aims to investigate the association between gross domestic product (GDP), mortality rate (MR) and current healthcare expenditure (CHE) in 31 high-income countries. We used panel data from 2000 to 2017 collected from WHO and OECD databases. The association between CHE, GDP and MR was investigated through a random-effects model. To control for reverse causality, we adopted a test of Granger causality. The model shows that the MR has a statistically significant and negative effect on CHE and that an increase in GDP is associated with an increase of CHE (p < 0.001). The Granger causality analysis shows that all the variables exhibit a bidirectional causality. We found a two-way relationship between GDP and CHE. Our analysis highlights the economic multiplier effect of CHE. In the debate on the optimal allocation of resources, this evidence should be taken into due consideration.

PMID:36259392 | DOI:10.1515/fhep-2021-0035

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Evolving policies for donors with diabetes: The Canadian experience

Vox Sang. 2022 Oct 19. doi: 10.1111/vox.13370. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Donor criteria for diabetes vary significantly. We describe our evolving policies for donors with diabetes, their contribution to the Canadian blood supply and their rate of syncopal reactions compared to other donors.

MATERIALS AND METHODS: All donors are asked if they have diabetes and have taken medications in the last 3 days. We assessed donors with diabetes on various medications, the number deferred over time, and syncopal reactions in donors with diabetes and other donors in our donor reaction database.

RESULTS: Policy changes allowing type 2 diabetic donors on oral hypoglycaemics alone, type 2 diabetic donors on oral medications and insulin and type 1 diabetic donors (all on insulin) to donate resulted in a decrease in deferrals from 450 to 22 donors annually. Of donors being treated with medication for diabetes, 11% are receiving insulin as part of their treatment. Syncopal reaction rates were low and not statistically different between diabetic and non-diabetic donors, although confidence intervals (CIs) are large.

CONCLUSION: Policies decreased deferrals while maintaining safety. A longer observation period would strengthen these observations.

PMID:36259374 | DOI:10.1111/vox.13370

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Use of Advanced Flexible Modeling Approaches for Survival Extrapolation from Early Follow-up Data in two Nivolumab Trials in Advanced NSCLC with Extended Follow-up

Med Decis Making. 2022 Oct 19:272989X221132257. doi: 10.1177/0272989X221132257. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Immuno-oncology (IO) therapies are often associated with delayed responses that are deep and durable, manifesting as long-term survival benefits in patients with metastatic cancer. Complex hazard functions arising from IO treatments may limit the accuracy of extrapolations from standard parametric models (SPMs). We evaluated the ability of flexible parametric models (FPMs) to improve survival extrapolations using data from 2 trials involving patients with non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC).

METHODS: Our analyses used consecutive database locks (DBLs) at 2-, 3-, and 5-y minimum follow-up from trials evaluating nivolumab versus docetaxel in patients with pretreated metastatic squamous (CheckMate-017) and nonsquamous (CheckMate-057) NSCLC. For each DBL, SPMs, as well as 3 FPMs-landmark response models (LRMs), mixture cure models (MCMs), and Bayesian multiparameter evidence synthesis (B-MPES)-were estimated on nivolumab overall survival (OS). The performance of each parametric model was assessed by comparing milestone restricted mean survival times (RMSTs) and survival probabilities with results obtained from externally validated SPMs.

RESULTS: For the 2- and 3-y DBLs of both trials, all models tended to underestimate 5-y OS. Predictions from nonvalidated SPMs fitted to the 2-y DBLs were highly unreliable, whereas extrapolations from FPMs were much more consistent between models fitted to successive DBLs. For CheckMate-017, in which an apparent survival plateau emerges in the 3-y DBL, MCMs fitted to this DBL estimated 5-y OS most accurately (11.6% v. 12.3% observed), and long-term predictions were similar to those from the 5-y validated SPM (20-y RMST: 30.2 v. 30.5 mo). For CheckMate-057, where there is no clear evidence of a survival plateau in the early DBLs, only B-MPES was able to accurately predict 5-y OS (14.1% v. 14.0% observed [3-y DBL]).

CONCLUSIONS: We demonstrate that the use of FPMs for modeling OS in NSCLC patients from early follow-up data can yield accurate estimates for RMST observed with longer follow-up and provide similar long-term extrapolations to externally validated SPMs based on later data cuts. B-MPES generated reasonable predictions even when fitted to the 2-y DBLs of the studies, whereas MCMs were more reliant on longer-term data to estimate a plateau and therefore performed better from 3 y. Generally, LRM extrapolations were less reliable than those from alternative FPMs and validated SPMs but remained superior to nonvalidated SPMs. Our work demonstrates the potential benefits of using advanced parametric models that incorporate external data sources, such as B-MPES and MCMs, to allow for accurate evaluation of treatment clinical and cost-effectiveness from trial data with limited follow-up.

HIGHLIGHTS: Flexible advanced parametric modeling methods can provide improved survival extrapolations for immuno-oncology cost-effectiveness in health technology assessments from early clinical trial data that better anticipate extended follow-up.Advantages include leveraging additional observable trial data, the systematic integration of external data, and more detailed modeling of underlying processes.Bayesian multiparameter evidence synthesis performed particularly well, with well-matched external data.Mixture cure models also performed well but may require relatively longer follow-up to identify an emergent plateau, depending on the specific setting.Landmark response models offered marginal benefits in this scenario and may require greater numbers in each response group and/or increased follow-up to support improved extrapolation within each subgroup.

PMID:36259353 | DOI:10.1177/0272989X221132257

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Preoperative Assessment of MRI-Invisible Early-Stage Endometrial Cancer With MRI-Based Radiomics Analysis

J Magn Reson Imaging. 2022 Oct 19. doi: 10.1002/jmri.28492. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Radiomics-based analyses have demonstrated impact on studies of endometrial cancer (EC). However, there have been no radiomics studies investigating preoperative assessment of MRI-invisible EC to date.

PURPOSE: To develop and validate radiomics models based on sagittal T2-weighted images (T2WI) and T1-weighted contrast-enhanced images (T1CE) for the preoperative assessment of MRI-invisible early-stage EC and myometrial invasion (MI).

STUDY TYPE: Retrospective.

POPULATION: One hundred fifty-eight consecutive patients (mean age 50.7 years) with MRI-invisible endometrial lesions were enrolled from June 2016 to March 2022 and randomly divided into the training (n = 110) and validation cohort (n = 48) using a ratio of 7:3.

FIELD STRENGTH/SEQUENCE: 3-T, T2WI, and T1CE sequences, turbo spin echo.

ASSESSMENT: Two radiologists performed image segmentation and extracted features. Endometrial lesions were histopathologically classified as benign, dysplasia, and EC with or without MI. In the training cohort, 28 and 20 radiomics features were selected to build Model 1 and Model 2, respectively, generating rad-score 1 (RS1) and rad-score 2 (RS2) for evaluating MRI-invisible EC and MI.

STATISTICAL TESTS: The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator logistic regression method was used to select radiomics features. Mann-Whitney U tests and Chi-square test were used to analyze continuous and categorical variables. Receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) and decision curve analysis were used for performance evaluation. The area under the ROC curve (AUC), accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value were calculated. A P-value <0.05 was considered statistically significant.

RESULTS: Model 1 had good performance for preoperative detecting of MRI-invisible early-stage EC in the training and validation cohorts (AUC: 0.873 and 0.918). In addition, Model 2 had good performance in assessment of MI of MRI-invisible endometrial lesions in the training and validation cohorts (AUC: 0.854 and 0.834).

DATA CONCLUSION: MRI-based radiomics models may provide good performance for detecting MRI-invisible EC and MI.

EVIDENCE LEVEL: 3 TECHNICAL EFFICACY: Stage 2.

PMID:36259352 | DOI:10.1002/jmri.28492

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Exploring the integration of diagnostic musculoskeletal ultrasound imaging into clinical practice by physical therapists

Physiother Theory Pract. 2022 Oct 19:1-12. doi: 10.1080/09593985.2022.2135979. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Musculoskeletal ultrasound (MSK-US) use for diagnostic purposes is expanding in physical therapy practice. Identifying and describing physical therapy-specific approaches to incorporating MSK-US into the evaluation process is needed. Musculoskeletal ultrasound extends the physical exam to allow clinicians to visualize anatomy and pathophysiology both statically and dynamically. Purpose: To document 1) weekly use of diagnostic MSK-US; and 2) clinical reasoning approach used in challenging patient cases by physical therapists (PTs) registered by Inteleos in musculoskeletal sonography (RMSK-certified).

METHODS: Longitudinal, observational, cohort study using mixed methods for data collection and analysis. All 23 currently RMSK-certified PTs using MSK-US in clinical practice across the United States were contacted, and 16 participated. Data were collected using an online survey created with the Research Electronic Data Capture System. Participants documented MSK-US clinical use and significant cases using weekly, reflective, online journals for three months. Demographic data were summarized using descriptive statistics. Case data were analyzed thematically.

RESULTS: Participating RMSK-certified PTs performed 1110 MSK-US examinations over 110 weeks. Clinicians averaged 7 (range 1-25) MSK-US examinations weekly, representing 28% of an average caseload. Examinations contributed significant anatomical/ pathological information 100% of the time. The most common joints scanned were the knee (n = 281), shoulder (n = 254), and wrist (n = 228). Case data revealed three themes: 1) augmenting the clinical evaluation to extend or narrow a diagnosis; 2) outcomes guiding action; and 3) lessons learned from clinical findings.

CONCLUSION: RMSK-certified PTs regularly used MSK-US to validate and refine their clinical diagnoses and treatment. Ultrasound imaging directly influenced patient care by informing the diagnostic process, guiding treatment, and appropriately identifying referrals.

PMID:36259351 | DOI:10.1080/09593985.2022.2135979

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Nomogram Estimating Vessels Encapsulating Tumor Clusters in Hepatocellular Carcinoma From Preoperative Gadoxetate Disodium-Enhanced MRI

J Magn Reson Imaging. 2022 Oct 19. doi: 10.1002/jmri.28488. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Vessels encapsulating tumor clusters (VETC) pattern is a novel microvascular pattern associated with poor outcomes of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Preoperative estimation of VETC has potential to improve treatment decisions.

PURPOSE: To develop and validate a nomogram based on gadoxetate disodium-enhanced MRI for estimating VETC in HCC and to evaluate whether the estimations are associated with recurrence after hepatic resection.

STUDY TYPE: Retrospective.

POPULATION: A total of 320 patients with HCC and histopathologic VETC pattern assessment from three centers (development cohort:validation cohort = 173:147).

FIELD STRENGTH/SEQUENCE: A3.0 T/turbo spin-echo T2-weighted, spin-echo echo-planar diffusion-weighted, and 3D T1-weighted gradient-echo sequences.

ASSESSMENT: A set of previously reported VETC- and/or prognosis-correlated qualitative and quantitative imaging features were assessed. Clinical and imaging variables were compared based on histopathologic VETC status to investigate factors indicating VETC pattern. A regression-based nomogram was then constructed using the significant factors for VETC pattern. The nomogram-estimated VETC stratification was assessed for its association with recurrence.

STATISTICAL TESTS: Fisher exact test, t-test or Mann-Whitney test, logistic regression analyses, Harrell’s concordance index (C-index), nomogram, Kaplan-Meier curves and log-rank tests. P value < 0.05 was considered statistically significant.

RESULTS: Pathological VETC pattern presence was identified in 156 patients (development cohort:validation cohort = 83:73). Tumor size, presence of heterogeneous enhancement with septations or with irregular ring-like structures, and necrosis were significant factors for estimating VETC pattern. The nomogram incorporating these indicators showed good discrimination with a C-index of 0.870 (development cohort) and 0.862 (validation cohort). Significant differences in recurrence rates between the nomogram-estimated high-risk VETC group and low-risk VETC group were found (2-year recurrence rates, 50.7% vs. 30.3% and 49.6% vs. 31.8% in the development and validation cohorts, respectively).

DATA CONCLUSION: The nomogram integrating gadoxetate disodium-enhanced MRI features was associated with VETC pattern preoperatively and with postoperative recurrence in patients with HCC.

EVIDENCE LEVEL: 4 TECHNICAL EFFICACY: Stage 2.

PMID:36259347 | DOI:10.1002/jmri.28488