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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Two-phase designs with failure time processes subject to nonsusceptibility

Biometrics. 2024 Jan 29;80(1):ujad038. doi: 10.1093/biomtc/ujad038.

ABSTRACT

Epidemiological studies based on 2-phase designs help ensure efficient use of limited resources in situations where certain covariates are prohibitively expensive to measure for a full cohort. Typically, these designs involve 2 steps: In phase I, data on an outcome and inexpensive covariates are acquired, and in phase II, a subsample is chosen in which the costly variable of interest is measured. For right-censored data, 2-phase designs have been primarily based on the Cox model. We develop efficient 2-phase design strategies for settings involving a fraction of long-term survivors due to nonsusceptibility. Using mixture models accommodating a nonsusceptible fraction, we consider 3 regression frameworks, including (a) a logistic “cure” model, (b) a proportional hazards model for those who are susceptible, and (c) regression models for susceptibility and failure time in those susceptible. Importantly, we introduce a novel class of bivariate residual-dependent designs to address the unique challenges presented in scenario (c), which involves 2 parameters of interest. Extensive simulation studies demonstrate the superiority of our approach over various phase II subsampling schemes. We illustrate the method through applications to the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal, and Ovarian Cancer Screening Trial.

PMID:38446442 | DOI:10.1093/biomtc/ujad038

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Adaptive selection of the optimal strategy to improve precision and power in randomized trials

Biometrics. 2024 Jan 29;80(1):ujad034. doi: 10.1093/biomtc/ujad034.

ABSTRACT

Benkeser et al. demonstrate how adjustment for baseline covariates in randomized trials can meaningfully improve precision for a variety of outcome types. Their findings build on a long history, starting in 1932 with R.A. Fisher and including more recent endorsements by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration and the European Medicines Agency. Here, we address an important practical consideration: how to select the adjustment approach-which variables and in which form-to maximize precision, while maintaining Type-I error control. Balzer et al. previously proposed Adaptive Pre-specification within TMLE to flexibly and automatically select, from a prespecified set, the approach that maximizes empirical efficiency in small trials (N < 40). To avoid overfitting with few randomized units, selection was previously limited to working generalized linear models, adjusting for a single covariate. Now, we tailor Adaptive Pre-specification to trials with many randomized units. Using V-fold cross-validation and the estimated influence curve-squared as the loss function, we select from an expanded set of candidates, including modern machine learning methods adjusting for multiple covariates. As assessed in simulations exploring a variety of data-generating processes, our approach maintains Type-I error control (under the null) and offers substantial gains in precision-equivalent to 20%-43% reductions in sample size for the same statistical power. When applied to real data from ACTG Study 175, we also see meaningful efficiency improvements overall and within subgroups.

PMID:38446441 | DOI:10.1093/biomtc/ujad034

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Composite rating method: Application to European basketball leagues

J Sports Sci. 2024 Mar 6:1-14. doi: 10.1080/02640414.2024.2326275. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

This paper introduces the Composite Rating Method (CRM), a novel approach for the integrated evaluation of basketball player and team performances across multiple leagues. Utilizing data from Euroleague, EuroCup, and Basketball Champions League, the presented method provides comprehensive and accurate rankings, including accounting for actions not included in personal statistics. Drawing inspiration from established methodologies such as ELO, PER, Offensive and Defensive ratings, CRM offers a balanced assessment of player and team capabilities. The paper delineates the data collection and preprocessing procedures, details the algorithmic framework of CRM, and showcases its predictive capacity. By presenting a well-rounded approach to ranking, this paper aims to contribute to the advancement of performance evaluation methods in basketball and sports in general.

PMID:38446425 | DOI:10.1080/02640414.2024.2326275

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Assessment of Patient-Physician Interactions in Psoriatic Arthritis: National Results of the ASSIST Study

Rheumatol Ther. 2024 Mar 6. doi: 10.1007/s40744-024-00655-4. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: An overarching principle for the management of psoriatic arthritis (PsA) is a shared decision-making process between physicians and patients. The aim of this study is to assess the patient-physician relationship in a group of patients with PsA, by using the Perceived Efficacy in Patient-Physician Interactions (PEPPI) and CollaboRATE instruments.

METHODS: This is a cross-sectional multicenter study where consecutive patients with PsA were enrolled. For each patient, the main demographic, comorbid conditions, and clinical data were collected, including the assessment of disease activity, function, quality of life, and impact of disease. PEPPI and CollaboRATE questionnaires were used, respectively, to evaluate the patient’s perception of the patient-physician relationship and the shared decision-making process.

RESULTS: A total of 81 patients with PsA were enrolled at four centers in Italy. Overall, our patients showed a high level of confidence in obtaining needed health care, with relatively high median (IQR) values of PEPPI (20; 16-23), and a good shared decision-making process, with high median (IQR) values of CollaboRATE questionnaire (7; 6-9). PEPPI and CollaboRATE scores showed a statistically significant inverse correlation with different clinical variables such as disease duration, Leeds Enthesitis Index, PsA impact of Disease, Health Assessment Questionnaire, pain, patient’s global assessment of disease activity and clinical disease activity for PsA. The presence of comorbidities did not appear to be associated with lower values of PEPPI and CollaboRATE.

CONCLUSIONS: In this study, few patients with PsA were at risk of suboptimal communication with their physician. This phenomenon appeared to be primarily related to higher disease activity and burden.

PMID:38446398 | DOI:10.1007/s40744-024-00655-4

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Nodal Heterogeneity can Induce Ghost Triadic Effects in Relational Event Models

Psychometrika. 2024 Mar 6. doi: 10.1007/s11336-024-09952-x. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Temporal network data is often encoded as time-stamped interaction events between senders and receivers, such as co-authoring scientific articles or communication via email. A number of relational event frameworks have been proposed to address specific issues raised by complex temporal dependencies. These models attempt to quantify how individual behaviour, endogenous and exogenous factors, as well as interactions with other individuals modify the network dynamics over time. It is often of interest to determine whether changes in the network can be attributed to endogenous mechanisms reflecting natural relational tendencies, such as reciprocity or triadic effects. The propensity to form or receive ties can also, at least partially, be related to actor attributes. Nodal heterogeneity in the network is often modelled by including actor-specific or dyadic covariates. However, comprehensively capturing all personality traits is difficult in practice, if not impossible. A failure to account for heterogeneity may confound the substantive effect of key variables of interest. This work shows that failing to account for node level sender and receiver effects can induce ghost triadic effects. We propose a random-effect extension of the relational event model to deal with these problems. We show that it is often effective over more traditional approaches, such as in-degree and out-degree statistics. These results that the violation of the hierarchy principle due to insufficient information about nodal heterogeneity can be resolved by including random effects in the relational event model as a standard.

PMID:38446394 | DOI:10.1007/s11336-024-09952-x

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Papillary thyroid carcinoma: ≤ 10 mm does not always mean pN0. A multicentric real-world study

Updates Surg. 2024 Mar 6. doi: 10.1007/s13304-024-01779-6. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

The incidence of papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) is increasing and PTC ≤ 10 mm (PTMC) accounts for most new diagnoses. PTMCs are not always low risk, as detection of lymph nodes metastasis (LNM) may occur. The purpose of the study was to analyze the clinical pattern, frequency, and independent risk factors of patients with PTMC and LNM. From January 2022 to June 2023, PTCs managed at CTO Hospital, Rome; Policlinico Vanvitelli, Naples; and Garibaldi Nesima Hospital, Catania were included. PTC management followed the same diagnostic-therapeutic procedures according to the ATA guidelines. Variables such as age, sex, maximum diameter, histologic evidence of LNM (HELNM +), Hashimoto’s thyroiditis (HT), multifocality, capsule invasion, and histological subtype were considered. PTCs were divided according to HELNM and size. Two hundred ninety-eight PTCs were included. PTMCs were 136 (45.6%) and LNM occurred in 27.2% of them. In the HELNM + group, analysis of PTMC vs ‘MacroPTC’ (PTC > 10 mm) did not show any statistical difference. Multivariate regression revealed that young age (OR 0.93; CI 95% 0.90-0.96; p < 0.01) and male sex (male OR 3.44; CI 95% 1.16-10.20; p = 0.03) were the only independent risk factors for HELNM + in PTMC. The risk of LNM in PTMC is not negligible; therefore, a careful evaluation by an expert thyroidologist is mandatory for patients with small thyroid nodule, especially in younger and male patients before excluding surgery. In the future, new tools are needed to detect early PTMC with LNM before surgery.

PMID:38446376 | DOI:10.1007/s13304-024-01779-6

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Immunohistochemical and molecular evaluation of TUSC2 expression in breast cancer

Mol Biol Rep. 2024 Mar 6;51(1):394. doi: 10.1007/s11033-024-09320-z.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Tumor suppressor candidate 2 has shown to be deleted in lung, colon, and bladder cancer types. In the present study, we aimed to investigate the expression of TUSC2 in breast cancer.

MATERIALS AND METHODS: A total of thirty patients with breast cancer were included in the study. Normal and tumor tissue samples from fresh mastectomy materials were stored at -80 C until the number of cases was completed for gene expression analysis. Histopathological examination was carried out with routine hematoxylin & eosin method. TUSC2 staining was performed for immunohistochemical analysis.

RESULTS: The tumors of thirteen patients were Luminal A, fourteen patients were Luminal B, one patient was cerbB2(+), and tumors of two patients were triple-negative. Ki67 proliferation index was less than 14% in fifteen cases and tumor size was less than 2 cm in seven cases. Lymphovascular invasion and lymph node metastasis were present in thirteen cases. Statistically, TUSC2 expression significantly decreased or was lost in breast tumor tissues compared to normal tissues (p < 0.0001). TUSC2 expression decreased as the Ki67 proliferation index increased (p = 0.0003), and TUSC2 expression decreased as tumor size increased (p = 0.0483). The loss or decrease in the TUSC2 expression was significant as the tumor grade increased (p = 0.3740). Gene expression analysis correlated with immunohistochemistry results.

CONCLUSION: The results of the present study demonstrated a decrease or loss of TUSC2 expression in breast cancer tissue compared to normal tissue. A correlation was found between TUSC2 expression and Ki67 proliferation index and tumor size.

PMID:38446366 | DOI:10.1007/s11033-024-09320-z

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Tilt-evoked, breathing-driven blood pressure oscillations: Independence from baroreflex-sympathoneural function

Clin Auton Res. 2024 Mar 6. doi: 10.1007/s10286-024-01022-7. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Orthostasis increases the variability of continuously recorded blood pressure (BP). Low-frequency (LF) BP oscillations (Mayer waves) in this setting are related to the vascular-sympathetic baroreflex. Mechanisms of increased high-frequency (HF) BP oscillations at the periodicity of respiration during orthostasis have received less research attention. A previously reported patient with post-neurosurgical orthostatic hypotension (OH) and vascular-sympathetic baroreflex failure had large tilt-evoked, breathing-driven BP oscillations, suggesting that such oscillations can occur independently of vascular-sympathetic baroreflex modulation. In the present study we assessed effects of orthostasis on BP variability in the frequency domain in patient cohorts with or without OH.

METHODS: Power spectral analysis of systolic BP variability was conducted on recordings from 73 research participants, 42 with neurogenic OH [13 pure autonomic failure, 14 Parkinson’s disease (PD) with OH, 12 parkinsonian multiple system atrophy, and 3 status post-brainstem neurosurgery] and 31 without OH (control group of 16 healthy volunteers and 15 patients with PD lacking OH), before, during, and after 5′ of head-up tilt at 90 degrees from horizontal. The data were log transformed for statistical testing.

RESULTS: Across all subjects, head-up tilting increased HF power of systolic BP variability (p = 0.001), without a difference between the neurogenic OH and control groups. LF power during orthostasis was higher in the control than in the OH groups (p = 0.009).

CONCLUSIONS: The results of this observational cohort study confirm those based on our case report and lead us to propose that even in the setting of vascular-sympathetic baroreflex failure orthostasis increases HF power of BP variability.

PMID:38446362 | DOI:10.1007/s10286-024-01022-7

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

A statistical symptomatic evaluation on SAPHO syndrome from 56 cases of confirmed diagnosis and 352 cases of non-SAPHO involvement

Clin Rheumatol. 2024 Mar 6. doi: 10.1007/s10067-024-06887-7. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To report a statistical evaluation of symptomatology based on 56 cases of SAPHO syndrome and 352 non-SAPHO involvement cases, to propose a symptomatic scoring system in consideration of early warning for SAPHO syndrome.

METHODS: A cohort comprising 56 subjects diagnosed with SAPHO syndrome was reported, as well as 352 non-SAPHO involvement cases, including their chief complaints, skin manifestations, radiological findings, and laboratory tests. We systematically reviewed previous published five representative huge cohorts from different countries to conclude several specific features of SAPHO by comparing with our case series. The score of each specific index is based on respective incidence and comparison of two cohorts was performed.

RESULT: In terms of complaint rates, all subjects of two cohorts suffered from osseous pain, which appeared in the anterior chest wall, spine, and limb which were calculated. In respect to dermatological lesions, SAPHO patients suffered from severe acne, and other patients (82.14%) accompanied with palmoplantar pustulosis. Having received radiological examinations, most SAPHO subjects rather than non-SAPHO involvement cases showed abnormal osteoarticular lesions under CT scanning and more detailed information under whole-body bone scintigraphy. Differences also emerged in elevation of inflammation values and rheumatic markers like HLA-B27. Based on our cases and huge cohorts documented, the early warning standard is set to be 5 scores.

CONCLUSIONS: SAPHO syndrome case series with 56 subjects were reported and an accumulative scoring system for the early reminder on SAPHO syndrome was proposed. The threshold of this system is set to be 5 points. Key Points • Fifty-six patients diagnosed by SAPHO syndrome with detailed symptoms and radiological findings were reported. • Comparison was made between the 56 SAPHO patients and 352 non-SAPHO involvement cases. • An accumulative scoring system for the early reminder on SAPHO syndrome was proposed and the threshold of this system is set to be five points.

PMID:38446355 | DOI:10.1007/s10067-024-06887-7

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Sacituzumab Govitecan: A Review in Unresectable or Metastatic HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer

Target Oncol. 2024 Mar 6. doi: 10.1007/s11523-024-01036-1. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Sacituzumab govitecan (TRODELVY®) is a first-in-class trophoblast cell-surface antigen 2 (Trop-2)-directed antibody and topoisomerase I inhibitor conjugate that is approved globally as monotherapy for the treatment of adults with unresectable locally advanced or metastatic, hormone receptor-positive (HR+)/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative (HER2-; defined as immunohistochemistry 0, 1+ or 2+ and in situ hybridization-negative) breast cancer who have received endocrine-based therapy and ≥ 2 additional systemic therapies in the advanced setting. In the phase III TROPiCS-02 trial, intravenous sacituzumab govitecan demonstrated statistically significant and clinically meaningful improvements in progression-free survival and overall survival compared with physician’s choice of chemotherapy (capecitabine, eribulin, gemcitabine or vinorelbine) in adults with metastatic HR+/HER2- breast cancer. Sacituzumab govitecan had a generally manageable tolerability profile in these patients; the most common treatment-related grade ≥ 3 adverse events included neutropenia, diarrhoea, leukopenia, anaemia, fatigue and febrile neutropenia. Sacituzumab govitecan carries regulatory warnings for severe neutropenia and severe diarrhoea. Sacituzumab govitecan demonstrated an overall benefit in terms of health-related quality of life. Current evidence indicates that sacituzumab govitecan is an effective treatment option, with a generally manageable tolerability profile, for patients with pre-treated, unresectable locally advanced or metastatic HR+/HER2- breast cancer.

PMID:38446351 | DOI:10.1007/s11523-024-01036-1