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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Spatial association and modelling of under-5 mortality in Thailand, 2020

Geospat Health. 2023 Aug 31;18(2). doi: 10.4081/gh.2023.1220.

ABSTRACT

Under-5 mortality rate (U5MR) is a key indicator of child health and overall development. In Thailand, despite significant steps made in child health, disparities in U5MR persist across different provinces. We examined various socio-economic variables, health service availability and environmental factors impacting U5MR in Thailand to model their influences through spatial analysis. Global and Local Moran’s I statistics for spatial autocorrelation of U5MR and its related factors were used on secondary data from the Ministry of Public Health, National Centers for Environmental Information, National Statistical Office, and the Office of the National Economic and Social Development Council in Thailand. The relationships between U5MR and these factors were modelled using ordinary least squares (OLS) estimation, spatial lag model (SLM) and spatial error model (SEM). There were significant spatial disparities in U5MR across Thailand. Factors such as low birth weight, unemployment rate, and proportion of land use for agricultural purposes exhibited significant positive spatial autocorrelation, directly influencing U5MR, while average years of education, community organizations, number of beds for inpatients per 1,000 population, and exclusive breastfeeding practices acted as protective factors against U5MR (R2 of SEM = 0.588).The findings underscore the need for comprehensive, multi-sectoral strategies to address the U5MR disparities in Thailand. Policy interventions should consider improving socioeconomic conditions, healthcare quality, health accessibility, and environmental health in high U5M areas. Overall, this study provides valuable insights into the spatial distribution of U5MR and its associated factors, which highlights the need for tailored and localized health policies and interventions.

PMID:37667901 | DOI:10.4081/gh.2023.1220

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Beta-blockers and renin-angiotensin system inhibitors for Takotsubo syndrome recurrence: a network meta-analysis

Heart. 2023 Sep 4:heartjnl-2023-322980. doi: 10.1136/heartjnl-2023-322980. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Takotsubo syndrome (TTS) is an acute heart failure syndrome, featured by transient left ventricular systolic dysfunction. Recurrences of TTS are not infrequent and there is no standard preventive therapy. The aim of this study was to evaluate in a network meta-analysis if beta-blockers (BB) and ACE inhibitors/angiotensin receptor blockers (ACEi/ARBs), in combination or not, can effectively prevent TTS recurrences.

METHODS: We performed a systematic network meta-analysis, using MEDLINE/EMBASE and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials for clinical studies published between January 2010 and September 2022. We considered all those studies including patients receiving medical therapy with BB, ACEi/ARBs. The primary outcome was TTS recurrence.

RESULTS: We identified 6 clinical studies encompassing a total of 3407 patients with TTS. At 40±10 months follow-up, TTS recurrence was reported in 160 (4.7%) out of 3407 patients. Mean age was 69.8±2 years and 394 patients (11.5%) out of 3407 were male. There were no differences in terms of TTS recurrence when comparing ACEi/ARBs versus control (OR 0.83; 95% CI 0.47 to 1.47, p=0.52); BB versus control (OR 1.01; 95% CI 0.63 to 1.61, p=0.96) and ACEi/ARBs versus BB (OR 0.88; 95% CI 0.51 to 1.53, p=0.65).Combination of BB and ACEi/ARBs was also not effective in reducing the risk of recurrence versus control (OR 0.91; 95% CI 0.58 to 1.43, p=0.68) vs ACEi/ARBs (OR 0.79; 95% CI 0.46 to 1.34, p=0.38)) and vs BB (OR 0.77; 95% CI 0.49 to 1.21, p=0.26).

CONCLUSIONS: Our study did not find sufficient statistical evidence regarding combination therapy with BB and ACEi/ARBs in reduction of TTS recurrence.

PMID:37666647 | DOI:10.1136/heartjnl-2023-322980

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Trends of breastfeeding indicators in Brazil from 1996 to 2019 and the gaps to achieve the WHO/UNICEF 2030 targets

BMJ Glob Health. 2023 Sep;8(9):e012529. doi: 10.1136/bmjgh-2023-012529.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The comprehension of breastfeeding patterns and trends through comparable indicators is essential to plan and implement public health policies.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the trends of breastfeeding indicators in Brazil from 1996 to 2019 and estimate the gap to achieve the WHO/UNICEF 2030 targets in children under 5 years.

METHODS: Microdata from two National Surveys on Demography and Health of Women and Children (PNDS-1996 and PNDS-2006) and the Brazilian National Survey on Child Nutrition-2019 were used. The indicators of early initiation of breastfeeding (EIBF), exclusive breastfeeding of infants 0-5 months of age (EBF<6 mo), continued breastfeeding at 1 year of age (CBF1yr) and CBF at 2 years of age (CBF2yr) were analysed using prevalence and 95% CI. The average annual variation and years to achieve the WHO/UNICEF 2030 targets were calculated for Brazil and the macroregions. Statistical analyses considered the survey’s complex sample design for each database.

RESULTS: EIBF increased from 36.3% (95% CI 33.6% to 39.0%) in 1996 to 60.9% (95% CI 56.5% to 65.3%) in 2006 (statistically significant) and 62.5% (95% CI 58.3% to 66.6%) in 2019. EBF<6 mo increased from 26.9% (95% CI 21.3% to 31.9%) in 1996 to 39.0% (95% CI 31.0% to 47.1%) in 2006 and 45.8% (95% CI 40.9% to 50.7%) in 2019 (significant increases for 1996-2019 for Brazil, Northeast and Midwest regions). CBF1yr rose from 36.6% (95% CI 30.8% to 42.4%) in 1996 to 48.7% (95% CI 38.3% to 59.0%) in 2006, and 52.1% (95% CI 45.4% to 58.9%) in 2019. CBF2yr increased from 24.7% (95% CI 19.5% to 29.9%) in 1996 to 24.6% (95% CI 15.7% to 33.5%) in 2006 and 35.5% (95% CI 30.4% to 40.6%) in 2019 (significant increase for 1996-2019). The South and Southeast regions need to double the 2019 prevalence to reach the target for the CBF1yr and CBF2yr; the Northeast and North need to increase 60% the current prevalence for the indicator of EBF<6 mo.

CONCLUSION: A substantial improvement in breastfeeding indicators occurred in Brazil from 1996 to 2019, although at an insufficient rate to achieve the WHO/UNICEF 2030 targets.

PMID:37666574 | DOI:10.1136/bmjgh-2023-012529

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Optimal utilization of maternal health service in Indonesia: a cross-sectional study of Riskesdas 2018

BMJ Open. 2023 Sep 4;13(9):e067959. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2022-067959.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: This paper analyses the optimal utilization of maternal health services in Indonesia from 2015 to 2018.

DESIGN: National cross-sectional study.

SETTING: This study takes place in 34 provinces in Indonesia.

PARTICIPANTS: The population in this study were mothers in all household members in Basic Health Research of Riskesdas 2018. The sample was all mothers who had a live birth within 5 years before data collection (1 January 2013 to July 2018) and had complete data. The number of samples analysed was 70 878.

PRIMARY OUTCOME: We developed a scoring for the optimal utilization of maternal health services as the outcome variable.

RESULTS: This analysis involved 70 787 mothers. The utilization of maternal care was not optimal. Mothers who delivered in health facilities achieved 83.3% of services. Better care is experienced more by mothers who live in urban areas. Mothers who delivered at health facilities significantly used threefold optimal care (ORa=3.15; 95% CI 3.00 to 3.30; p<0001). A statistically significant difference of optimal maternal care was found in mothers with better education (ORa=1.22; 95% CI 1.18 to 1.27; p=0.001); holding health insurance (ORa=1.25; 95% CI 1.21 to 1.30; p<0001), having more access to health facilities (ORa=1.13; 95% CI 1.09 to 1.17); p<0.001), less parity (ORa=1.16; 95% CI 1.11 to 1.20; p<0.001).

CONCLUSION: The optimal utilization of MHS is independent of the free services delivery, but having health insurance and less parity brought about a better optimal score for MHS. Mothers in rural areas were more protective of optimal utilization. Finally, the eastern region used more optimal health services.

PMID:37666563 | DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2022-067959

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Translating digital healthcare to enhance clinical management: a protocol for an observational study using a digital health technology system to monitor medication adherence and its effect on mobility in people with Parkinson’s

BMJ Open. 2023 Sep 4;13(9):e073388. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2023-073388.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: In people with Parkinson’s (PwP) impaired mobility is associated with an increased falls risk. To improve mobility, dopaminergic medication is typically prescribed, but complex medication regimens result in suboptimal adherence. Exploring medication adherence and its impact on mobility in PwP will provide essential insights to optimise medication regimens and improve mobility. However, this is typically assessed in controlled environments, during one-off clinical assessments. Digital health technology (DHT) presents a means to overcome this, by continuously and remotely monitoring mobility and medication adherence. This study aims to use a novel DHT system (DHTS) (comprising of a smartphone, smartwatch and inertial measurement unit (IMU)) to assess self-reported medication adherence, and its impact on digital mobility outcomes (DMOs) in PwP.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS: This single-centre, UK-based study, will recruit 55 participants with Parkinson’s. Participants will complete a range of clinical, and physical assessments. Participants will interact with a DHTS over 7 days, to assess self-reported medication adherence, and monitor mobility and contextual factors in the real world. Participants will complete a motor complications diary (ON-OFF-Dyskinesia) throughout the monitoring period and, at the end, a questionnaire and series of open-text questions to evaluate DHTS usability. Feasibility of the DHTS and the motor complications diary will be assessed. Validated algorithms will quantify DMOs from IMU walking activity. Time series modelling and deep learning techniques will model and predict DMO response to medication and effects of contextual factors. This study will provide essential insights into medication adherence and its effect on real-world mobility in PwP, providing insights to optimise medication regimens.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: Ethical approval was granted by London-142 Westminster Research Ethics Committee (REC: 21/PR/0469), protocol V.2.4. Results will be published in peer-reviewed journals. All participants will provide written, informed consent.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ISRCTN13156149.

PMID:37666560 | DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2023-073388

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Physical Activity and Its Associated Factors among Patients with Hypertension at Amhara Region Comprehensive Specialised Hospitals, Northwest Ethiopia: An Institutional Based Cross-Sectional Study

BMJ Open. 2023 Sep 4;13(9):e073018. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2023-073018.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Accurate evaluation of physical activity for patients with hypertension is important to determine patients’ health outcomes and intervention measures. Information about physical activity among patients with hypertension in Ethiopia is not well known.

OBJECTIVE: This study was aimed to assess the physical activity and associated factors among patients with hypertension.

STUDY DESIGN: An institution-based cross-sectional study was conducted.

STUDY SETTING: The study was conducted at the Tertiary Hospital Northwest, Ethiopia.

OUTCOME MEASURES: Physical activity was assessed by Global Physical Activity Questionnaire as the primary outcome and factors significantly associated with physical activity were secondary outcomes.

PARTICIPANTS: Four hundred and twenty patients with hypertension took part in the study; among those 233 were men and 187 were women. The study participants were chosen using a systematic random sampling method. SPSS V.20 statistical software was used to analyse the data. In the multivariable logistic regression analysis model, adjusted OR (AOR) with a 95% CI and p value<0.05 were used to identify the associated factors with physical activities.

RESULTS: Our study showed that 19.1% of study participants had inadequate physical activity, being old age with AOR: 10.27 (3.21 to 33.01), low or poor self-efficacy with AOR: 10.34 (4.89 to 21.84), poor self-rated health with AOR: 5.91 (1.73 to 20.13) and lack of adequate facilities with AOR: 4.07 (1.72 to 9.66) were significantly associated with inadequate physical activity.

CONCLUSION: Inadequate physical activity was detected in one-fifth of the study participants, according to our research. Being elderly, having low self-efficacy, having inadequate facilities and having poor self-rated health were all linked to inadequate physical activity.

PMID:37666550 | DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2023-073018

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Evaluating the use of machine learning in endometrial cancer: a systematic review

Int J Gynecol Cancer. 2023 Sep 4;33(9):1383-1393. doi: 10.1136/ijgc-2023-004622.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To review the literature on machine learning in endometrial cancer, report the most commonly used algorithms, and compare performance with traditional prediction models.

METHODS: This is a systematic review of the literature from January 1985 to March 2021 on the use of machine learning in endometrial cancer. An extensive search of electronic databases was conducted. Four independent reviewers screened studies initially by title then full text. Quality was assessed using the MINORS (Methodological Index for Non-Randomized Studies) criteria. P values were derived using the Pearson’s Χ2 test in JMP 15.0.

RESULTS: Among 4295 articles screened, 30 studies on machine learning in endometrial cancer were included. The most frequent applications were in patient datasets (33.3%, n=10), pre-operative diagnostics (30%, n=9), genomics (23.3%, n=7), and serum biomarkers (13.3%, n=4). The most commonly used models were neural networks (n=10, 33.3%) and support vector machine (n=6, 20%).The number of publications on machine learning in endometrial cancer increased from 1 in 2010 to 29 in 2021.Eight studies compared machine learning with traditional statistics. Among patient dataset studies, two machine learning models (20%) performed similarly to logistic regression (accuracy: 0.85 vs 0.82, p=0.16). Machine learning algorithms performed similarly to detect endometrial cancer based on MRI (accuracy: 0.87 vs 0.82, p=0.24) while outperforming traditional methods in predicting extra-uterine disease in one serum biomarker study (accuracy: 0.81 vs 0.61). For survival outcomes, one study compared machine learning with Kaplan-Meier and reported no difference in concordance index (83.8% vs 83.1%).

CONCLUSION: Although machine learning is an innovative and emerging technology, performance is similar to that of traditional regression models in endometrial cancer. More studies are needed to assess its role in endometrial cancer.

PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER: CRD42021269565.

PMID:37666535 | DOI:10.1136/ijgc-2023-004622

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Efficacy and pregnancy outcomes of focused ultrasound for cervical high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions

Int J Hyperthermia. 2023;40(1):2250936. doi: 10.1080/02656736.2023.2250936.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the efficacy and adverse effects of focused ultrasound (FU) in the treatment of high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions (HSIL) and follow up on pregnancy outcomes in patients.

METHODS: This retrospective study recruited 57 patients aged 20-40 years with cervical HSIL combined with HR-HPV infection who received FU treatment between September 2019 and April 2022. Clinical data of the patients were obtained from hospital records. HSIL cure rate and cumulative HR-HPV clearance rate were assessed after treatment. Patients were followed up on fertility and pregnancy outcomes after treatment by telephone interviews until April 1, 2023.

RESULTS: During a 6-month follow-up, the HSIL cure rate was 73.7%, and a statistical difference between CIN2 and CIN3 (75.6% vs. 66.7%, p = 0.713) was not present. HSIL -recurrence was not observed during the follow-up period, and the median follow-up duration was 12 months. The cumulative HR-HPV clearance rates at the 6- and 12-month follow-ups were 56.1% and 75.4%, respectively. The median clearance time of HR-HPV was 6 (95% confidence interval, 5.46-6.54) months. The clearance rate was higher in HPV16/18 than in non-HPV16/18 (86.7% vs. 62.9%, p = 0.038). After treatment, the successful pregnancy rate in patients with fertility intentions and spontaneous abortion rate were 73.9% and 5.9%, respectively. Preterm birth, preterm premature rupture of membranes, or low-birth-weight infants were not observed.

CONCLUSION: FU treatment can regress HSIL and accelerate HR-HPV clearance in young women of childbearing age with cervical HSIL associated with HR-HPV infection, and has no significant adverse effects on pregnancy outcomes.

PMID:37666493 | DOI:10.1080/02656736.2023.2250936

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Assessment and risk prediction of frailty using texture-based muscle ultrasound image analysis and machine learning techniques

Mech Ageing Dev. 2023 Sep 2:111860. doi: 10.1016/j.mad.2023.111860. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

The purpose of this study was to evaluate texture-based muscle ultrasound image analysis for the assessment and risk prediction of frailty phenotype. This retrospective study of prospectively acquired data included 101 participants who underwent ultrasound scanning of the anterior thigh. Participants were subdivided according to frailty phenotype and were followed up for two years. Primary and secondary outcome measures were death and comorbidity, respectively. Forty-three texture features were computed from the rectus femoris and the vastus intermedius muscles using statistical methods. Model performance was evaluated by computing the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) while outcome prediction was evaluated using regression analysis. Models developed achieved a moderate to good AUC (0.67 ≤ AUC ≤ 0.79) for categorizing frailty. The stepwise multiple logistic regression analysis demonstrated that they correctly classified 70 to 87% of the cases. The models were associated with increased comorbidity (0.01 ≤ p ≤ 0.18) and were predictive of death for pre-frail and frail participants (0.001 ≤ p ≤ 0.016). In conclusion, texture analysis can be useful to identify frailty and assess risk prediction (i.e. mortality) using texture features extracted from muscle ultrasound images in combination with a machine learning approach.

PMID:37666473 | DOI:10.1016/j.mad.2023.111860

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Periphery of porcine hepatic lobes has the smallest length density of hepatic sinusoids and bile canaliculi: a stereological histological study with implications for liver biopsies

Ann Anat. 2023 Sep 2:152157. doi: 10.1016/j.aanat.2023.152157. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Porcine liver is widely used in hepatologic research as a large animal model with many anatomical and physiological similarities with humans. However, only limited information on porcine liver spatial microstructure has been published, especially regarding the hepatic sinusoids and bile canaliculi. The aim of our study was to quantify the sinusoidal and bile canalicular network in healthy male and female porcine livers and to map the variability of these structures with heterogenous distribution to improve the evaluability of liver biopsy samples.

METHODS: Livers from 12 healthy piglets (6 females and 6 neutered males) were sampled into 36 tissue samples per organ, representing six hepatic lobes and three different regions related to the hepatic vasculature (peripheral, paracaval and paraportal region). Histological sections were processed with a random orientation of the cutting plane. The endothelium and the bile canaliculi were stained using Ricinus communis agglutinin I lectin histochemistry. The length densities of hepatic sinusoids LV(sinusoids,liver), of bile canaliculi LV(bile canaliculi,liver) and volume fraction VV(sinusoids,liver) and surface density SV(sinusoids,liver) of sinusoids were estimated using stereological methods. The newly acquired morphometric data were compared with previously published data on density of porcine hepatocytes and fractions of connective tissue.

RESULTS: The peripheral region had smallest LV(sinusoids,liver), smallest LV(bile canaliculi,liver) and greatest VV(sinusoids,liver). The six hepatic lobes had statistically comparable length densities of both sinusoids and bile canaliculi, but the left lateral lobe had smallest VV(sinusoids,liver). Regions with greater LV(sinusoids,liver) had also greater LV(bile canaliculi,liver) and SV(sinusoids,liver) and were accompanied by greater density of smaller hepatocytes. Regions with smaller LV(sinusoids,liver) and LV(bile canaliculi,liver) contained a greater fraction of interlobular connective tissue.

CONCLUSIONS: The length density of hepatic sinusoids is smaller in the peripheral regions of the porcine liver than in other regions related to the hepatic vasculature – paracaval and paraportal regions and smaller in castrated males than in females. Greater length density of liver sinusoids was linked with greater local density of bile canaliculi, with local increase in the density of smaller hepatocytes and, simultaneously, with smaller fractions of hepatic connective tissue. The intrahepatic and inter-sexual variability of the porcine liver morphology needs to be taken into account when designing and interpreting experiments involving the histological quantification of the microvascular network. The complete primary morphometric data describing the distribution of morphometric parameters within porcine liver were made available in a form facilitating the power analysis to justify the minimal number of tissue samples or animals required when designing further histological evaluation studies. The macroscopic map of microvessels and bile canaliculi variability facilitates their assessment in liver biopsies in the pig.

PMID:37666463 | DOI:10.1016/j.aanat.2023.152157