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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Zoonotic Pathogens Associated with Pet and Feeder Murid Rodent Species: A Global Systematic Review

Vector Borne Zoonotic Dis. 2023 Aug 29. doi: 10.1089/vbz.2023.0024. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Background: Pet and feeder rodents are one of the main sources of emerging infectious diseases. These rodents are purchased from pet shops, breeders, and online. Consequently, some of these rodents may subtly transmit diseases as they may be asymptomatic to certain pathogens. Materials and Methods: We systematically searched four academic databases viz. Google Scholar, PubMed, Web of Science, and Scopus to determine zoonotic pathogens associated with pet and feeder rodents globally. Our searches were performed in R statistical software using the packages “metagear” and “revtool”. Results: We found 62 studies reporting on zoonotic pathogens between 1973 and 2022 from 16 countries representing 4 continents, namely Africa, Europe, Asia, and North America. The review identified 30 zoonotic pathogens isolated from pet and feeder rodents, including the African pygmy mouse (Mus minutoides), brown rat (Rattus norvegicus), and the house mouse (Mus musculus). The greatest number of pathogens was reported from the United States, followed by Togo and the United Kingdom. Bacterial pathogens were the most prevalent. However, the Seoul virus and rat bite fever (Streptobacillus moniliformis) were the most studied pathogens, found in more than one country, with reported outbreak cases. Most of the zoonotic pathogens were isolated from rodents acquired from pet shops. Conclusion: We recommend that pet and feeder rodents purchased from pet shops should be regularly screened for potential zoonotic pathogens as some of these animals may not show clinical signs of the illness. There is also a critical need to develop strict regulations and policies, especially in underdeveloped and developing regions for an effective surveillance process, which will include early detection, rapid response, and control of zoonotic diseases globally.

PMID:37643287 | DOI:10.1089/vbz.2023.0024

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Unconditional cash transfers reduce homelessness

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2023 Sep 5;120(36):e2222103120. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2222103120. Epub 2023 Aug 29.

ABSTRACT

Homelessness is an economic and social crisis. In a cluster-randomized controlled trial, we address a core cause of homelessness-lack of money-by providing a one-time unconditional cash transfer of CAD$7,500 to each of 50 individuals experiencing homelessness, with another 65 as controls in Vancouver, BC. Exploratory analyses showed that over 1 y, cash recipients spent fewer days homeless, increased savings and spending with no increase in temptation goods spending, and generated societal net savings of $777 per recipient via reduced time in shelters. Additional experiments revealed public mistrust toward the ability of homeless individuals to manage money and demonstrated interventions to increase public support for a cash transfer policy using counter-stereotypical or utilitarian messaging. Together, this research offers a new approach to address homelessness and provides insights into homelessness reduction policies.

PMID:37643214 | DOI:10.1073/pnas.2222103120

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Multiancestry analysis of the HLA locus in Alzheimer’s and Parkinson’s diseases uncovers a shared adaptive immune response mediated by HLA-DRB1*04 subtypes

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2023 Sep 5;120(36):e2302720120. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2302720120. Epub 2023 Aug 29.

ABSTRACT

Across multiancestry groups, we analyzed Human Leukocyte Antigen (HLA) associations in over 176,000 individuals with Parkinson’s disease (PD) and Alzheimer’s disease (AD) versus controls. We demonstrate that the two diseases share the same protective association at the HLA locus. HLA-specific fine-mapping showed that hierarchical protective effects of HLA-DRB1*04 subtypes best accounted for the association, strongest with HLA-DRB1*04:04 and HLA-DRB1*04:07, and intermediary with HLA-DRB1*04:01 and HLA-DRB1*04:03. The same signal was associated with decreased neurofibrillary tangles in postmortem brains and was associated with reduced tau levels in cerebrospinal fluid and to a lower extent with increased Aβ42. Protective HLA-DRB1*04 subtypes strongly bound the aggregation-prone tau PHF6 sequence, however only when acetylated at a lysine (K311), a common posttranslational modification central to tau aggregation. An HLA-DRB1*04-mediated adaptive immune response decreases PD and AD risks, potentially by acting against tau, offering the possibility of therapeutic avenues.

PMID:37643212 | DOI:10.1073/pnas.2302720120

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The Effect of Laughter Therapy on Perceived Stress and Quality of Life in Persons with Schizophrenia: A Mixed Method Pilot Study

Issues Ment Health Nurs. 2023 Aug 29:1-9. doi: 10.1080/01612840.2023.2246581. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

This study was planned to examine the effects of laughter therapy on the perceived stress and quality of life level of persons with schizophrenia and their views on laughter therapy. This study is a mixed-methods pilot study conducted using a quasi-experimental design based on the pretest-posttest model. Of the participants 68% (n = 17) were male, 92% (n = 23) were single, 56% (14) were high school graduates, 60% (n = 15) were unemployed, 60% (n = 15) lived with their parents, 88% (22) had been receiving treatment for schizophrenia for more than 10 years. The difference between the pretest and post-test means was not found to be significant in participants’ perceived stress (p > 0.05), and the difference between the pretest and post-test means of the Schizophrenia Quality of Life Scale’s Interpersonal Relations, Instrumental Role, and Intrapsychicv (mental findings) subscales was found to be statistically significant (p < 0.05). The main themes of laughter therapy among persons with schizophrenia in the focus group interviews were found to be optimism, coping, health, sociability, motivation, awareness, and functionality. Laughter therapy was found to increase the quality of life of persons with schizophrenia, not affect perceived stress, and positively affect optimism, coping, health, sociability, motivation, awareness, and functionality levels. The researchers recommend using laughter therapy to improve the quality of life of people with schizophrenia during their rehabilitation.

PMID:37643210 | DOI:10.1080/01612840.2023.2246581

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Development and validation of risk prediction model for diabetic neuropathy among diabetes mellitus patients at selected referral hospitals, in Amhara regional state Northwest Ethiopia, 2005-2021

PLoS One. 2023 Aug 29;18(8):e0276472. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0276472. eCollection 2023.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Diabetic neuropathy is the most common complication in both Type-1 and Type-2 DM patients with more than one half of all patients developing nerve dysfunction in their lifetime. Although, risk prediction model was developed for diabetic neuropathy in developed countries, It is not applicable in clinical practice, due to poor data, methodological problems, inappropriately analyzed and reported. To date, no risk prediction model developed for diabetic neuropathy among DM in Ethiopia, Therefore, this study aimed prediction the risk of diabetic neuropathy among DM patients, used for guiding in clinical decision making for clinicians.

OBJECTIVE: Development and validation of risk prediction model for diabetic neuropathy among diabetes mellitus patients at selected referral hospitals, in Amhara regional state Northwest Ethiopia, 2005-2021.

METHODS: A retrospective follow up study was conducted with a total of 808 DM patients were enrolled from January 1,2005 to December 30,2021 at two selected referral hospitals in Amhara regional state. Multi-stage sampling techniques were used and the data was collected by checklist from medical records by Kobo collect and exported to STATA version-17 for analysis. Lasso method were used to select predictors and entered to multivariable logistic regression with P-value<0.05 was used for nomogram development. Model performance was assessed by AUC and calibration plot. Internal validation was done through bootstrapping method and decision curve analysis was performed to evaluate net benefit of model.

RESULTS: The incidence proportion of diabetic neuropathy among DM patients was 21.29% (95% CI; 18.59, 24.25). In multivariable logistic regression glycemic control, other comorbidities, physical activity, hypertension, alcohol drinking, type of treatment, white blood cells and red blood cells count were statistically significant. Nomogram was developed, has discriminating power AUC; 73.2% (95% CI; 69.0%, 77.3%) and calibration test (P-value = 0.45). It was internally validated by bootstrapping method with discrimination performance 71.7 (95% CI; 67.2%, 75.9%). It had less optimism coefficient (0.015). To make nomogram accessible, mobile based tool were developed. In machine learning, classification and regression tree has discriminating performance of 70.2% (95% CI; 65.8%, 74.6%). The model had high net benefit at different threshold probabilities in both nomogram and classification and regression tree.

CONCLUSION: The developed nomogram and decision tree, has good level of accuracy and well calibration, easily individualized prediction of diabetic neuropathy. Both models had added net benefit in clinical practice and to be clinically applicable mobile based tool were developed.

PMID:37643198 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0276472

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Association of trabecular bone score and bone mineral apparent density with the severity of bone fragility in children and adolescents with osteogenesis imperfecta: A cross-sectional study

PLoS One. 2023 Aug 29;18(8):e0290812. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0290812. eCollection 2023.

ABSTRACT

Osteogenesis imperfecta (OI) is a hereditary skeletal disease characterized by bone fragility. Areal bone mineral density (BMD), evaluated by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA), is used to assess bone brittleness. The height-adjusted BMD Z-score (BMDHAZ) is calculated in children and adolescents with OI to reduce the confounding factor of short stature. However, even with the BMDHAZ, severity evaluation in children and adolescents with OI is challenging because certain abnormalities in bone quality cannot be accurately assessed by BMD analysis. The trabecular bone scores (TBS) and bone mineral apparent density (BMAD), which represent the structural integrity of bone and bone-size-associated BMD, respectively, are associated with fracture risk. Recently, age- and sex-specific reference ranges have been reported, enabling the calculation of Z-scores for children. To evaluate which density measurements show the highest correlation with fracture risk, we analyzed the associations between the Z-scores of TBS, BMAD, and BMDHAZ, fracture rate, and genetic variants. We retrospectively reviewed 42 participants with OI aged 5 to 20 years who underwent DXA. COL1A1/2 pathogenic variants were detected in 41 of the 42 participants. In participants with nonsense and frameshift variants (n = 17) resulting in haploinsufficiency and mild phenotype, the TBS Z-score was negatively correlated with fracture rate (FR) (r = -0.50, p = 0.042). In participants with glycine substitution (n = 9) causing the severe phenotype, the BMAD Z-scores were negatively correlated with FR (r = -0.74, p = 0.022). No correlation between the BMDHAZ and FR was observed in both groups. These findings suggest that the TBS and BMAD are useful in assessing children and adolescents with OI with specific genetic variants.

PMID:37643181 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0290812

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Scoring epidemiological forecasts on transformed scales

PLoS Comput Biol. 2023 Aug 29;19(8):e1011393. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1011393. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Forecast evaluation is essential for the development of predictive epidemic models and can inform their use for public health decision-making. Common scores to evaluate epidemiological forecasts are the Continuous Ranked Probability Score (CRPS) and the Weighted Interval Score (WIS), which can be seen as measures of the absolute distance between the forecast distribution and the observation. However, applying these scores directly to predicted and observed incidence counts may not be the most appropriate due to the exponential nature of epidemic processes and the varying magnitudes of observed values across space and time. In this paper, we argue that transforming counts before applying scores such as the CRPS or WIS can effectively mitigate these difficulties and yield epidemiologically meaningful and easily interpretable results. Using the CRPS on log-transformed values as an example, we list three attractive properties: Firstly, it can be interpreted as a probabilistic version of a relative error. Secondly, it reflects how well models predicted the time-varying epidemic growth rate. And lastly, using arguments on variance-stabilizing transformations, it can be shown that under the assumption of a quadratic mean-variance relationship, the logarithmic transformation leads to expected CRPS values which are independent of the order of magnitude of the predicted quantity. Applying a transformation of log(x + 1) to data and forecasts from the European COVID-19 Forecast Hub, we find that it changes model rankings regardless of stratification by forecast date, location or target types. Situations in which models missed the beginning of upward swings are more strongly emphasised while failing to predict a downturn following a peak is less severely penalised when scoring transformed forecasts as opposed to untransformed ones. We conclude that appropriate transformations, of which the natural logarithm is only one particularly attractive option, should be considered when assessing the performance of different models in the context of infectious disease incidence.

PMID:37643178 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1011393

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Non-1st seizure was less severe than 1st seizure with non-urgent level among suspected seizures transferred by ambulance

PLoS One. 2023 Aug 29;18(8):e0290783. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0290783. eCollection 2023.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: To prioritize emergency medical calls for ambulance transport for patients with suspected seizures, information about whether the event is their 1st or non-1st seizure is important. However, little is known about the difference between 1st and non-1st seizures in terms of severity. We hypothesized that patients transferred multiple times (≥2 times) would represent a milder scenario than patients on their first transfer. The purpose of this study was to compare patients with suspected seizures on 1st transfer by ambulance and patients who had been transferred ≥2 times.

METHODS: We statistically compared severity of suspected seizures between two groups of patients with suspected seizures transferred between December 2014 and November 2019 (before the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic) to our facility by ambulance for either the first time (1st Group) or at least the second time (Non-1st Group). Severity categories were defined as: Level 1 = life-threatening; Level 2 = emergent, needing admission to the intensive care unit; Level 3 = urgent, needing admission to a hospital general ward; Level 4 = less urgent, needing intervention but not hospitalization; and Level 5 = non-urgent, not needing intervention.

RESULTS: Among 5996 patients with suspected seizures conveyed to the emergency department by ambulance a total of 14,263 times during the study period, 1222 times (8.6%) and 636 patients (11%) met the criteria. Severity grade of suspected seizures ranged from 1 to 5 (median, 4; interquartile range, 3-4) for the 1st Group and from 1 to 5 (median, 5; interquartile range, 4-5) for the Non-1st Group. Most severe grade ranged from 1 to 5 (median, 4; interquartile range, 4-5) for the Non-1st Group. Severity grade differed significantly between groups (p < 0.001, Mann-Whitney U-test). Uni- and multivariate logistic regression tests also suggested a significant difference (p < 0.001) in severity grades.

CONCLUSION: In direct comparisons, grade of suspected seizure severity was lower in the Non-1st Group than in the 1st Group.

PMID:37643171 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0290783

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Enterobacter cloacae infection characteristics and outcomes in battlefield trauma patients

PLoS One. 2023 Aug 29;18(8):e0290735. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0290735. eCollection 2023.

ABSTRACT

Enterobacter cloacae is a Gram-negative rod with multidrug-resistant potential due to chromosomally-induced AmpC β-lactamase. We evaluated characteristics, antibiotic utilization, and outcomes associated with battlefield-related E. cloacae infections (2009-2014). Single initial and serial E. cloacae isolates (≥24 hours from initial isolate from any site) associated with a clinical infection were examined. Susceptibility profiles of initial isolates in the serial isolation group were contrasted against last isolate recovered. Characteristics of 112 patients with E. cloacae infections (63 [56%] with single initial isolation; 49 [44%] with serial isolation) were compared to 509 patients with bacterial infections not attributed to E. cloacae. E. cloacae patients sustained more blast trauma (78%) compared to non-E. cloacae infections patients (75%; p<0.001); however, injury severity scores were comparable (median of 34.5 and 33, respectively; p = 0.334). Patients with E. cloacae infections had greater shock indices (median 1.07 vs 0.92; p = 0.005) and required more initial blood products (15 vs. 14 units; p = 0.032) compared to patients with non-E. cloacae infections. Although E. cloacae patients had less intensive care unit admissions (80% vs. 90% with non-E. cloacae infection patients; p = 0.007), they did have more operating room visits (5 vs. 4; p = 0.001), longer duration of antibiotic therapy (43.5 vs. 34 days; p<0.001), and lengthier hospitalizations (57 vs. 44 days; p<0.001). Patients with serial E. cloacae had isolation of infecting isolates sooner than patients with single initial E. cloacae (median of 5 vs. 8 days post-injury; p = 0.046); however, outcomes were not significantly different between the groups. Statistically significant resistance to individual antibiotics did not develop between initial and last isolates in the serial isolation group. Despite current combat care and surgical prophylaxis guidelines recommending upfront provision of AmpC-inducing antibiotics, clinical outcomes did not differ nor did significant antibiotic resistance develop in patients who experienced serial isolation of E. cloacae versus single initial isolation.

PMID:37643169 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0290735

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Translation, Transcultural Adaptation, and Validation of the Hebrew Language Version of the Orthognathic Quality of Life Questionnaire for the Assessment of Quality of Life in Orthognathic Patients

J Craniofac Surg. 2023 Aug 29. doi: 10.1097/SCS.0000000000009702. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Dentofacial deformities impose a negative impact on quality of life (QOL). Orthognathic surgery is the main pillar of treatment for these conditions and has proven its impact on the improvement of the functional and psychosocial aspects of QOL. The Orthognathic Quality of Life Questionnaire (OQLQ), developed by Cunningham and colleagues, is a well-established instrument for assessing QOL in patients with dentofacial deformities.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to perform a translation, transcultural adaptation, and validation of a Hebrew version of the OQLQ.

METHODS: Transcultural adaptation was done following guidelines proposed by Beaton and colleagues resulting in a pilot study conducted on 20 patients undergoing orthognathic surgery. Internal consistency, reliability, and sensitivity were evaluated by means of Cronbach alpha, intraclass correlation coefficient (test-retest), and Wilcoxon test, respectively. Validity was assessed by comparing the OQLQ with the Hebrew version of the Oral Health Impact Scale-14 (Oral Health Impact Profile Scale-14) using the Spearman correlation test.

RESULTS: Internal consistency showed a good correlation between domains and excellent test-retest reliability. Sensitivity to change was statistically significant in all but 3 questions. The Hebrew version of the OQLQ exhibited a strong correlation with Oral Health Impact Profile Scale-14 in total score and moderate to high correlations among domains.

CONCLUSION: The Hebrew version of the OQLQ is a valid and reliable and specific instrument to measure QOL for Hebrew-speaking patients undergoing orthognathic surgery.

PMID:37643130 | DOI:10.1097/SCS.0000000000009702