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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Analysing COVID-19 treatment outcomes in dedicated wards at a large university hospital in northern Poland: a result-based observational study

BMJ Open. 2023 Jun 12;13(6):e066734. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2022-066734.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Presenting outcomes of patients hospitalised for COVID-19 should be put in context and comparison with other facilities. However, varied methodology applied in published studies can impede or even hinder a reliable comparison. The aim of this study is to share our experience in pandemic management and highlight previously under-reported factors affecting mortality. We present outcomes of COVID-19 treatment in our facility that will allow for an intercentre comparison. We use simple statistical parameters-case fatality ratio (CFR) and length of stay (LOS).

SETTING: Large clinical hospital in northern Poland serving over 120 000 patients annually.

PARTICIPANTS: Data were collected from patients hospitalised in COVID-19 general and intensive care unit (ICU) isolation wards from November 2020 to June 2021. The sample consisted of 640 patients-250 (39.1 %) were women and 390 (60.9 %) were men, with a median age of 69 (IQR 59-78) years.

RESULTS: Values of LOS and CFR were calculated and analysed. Overall CFR for the analysed period was 24.8%, varying from 15.9 % during second quarter 2021 to 34.1% during fourth quarter 2020. The CFR was 23.2% in the general ward and 70.7% in the ICU. All ICU patients required intubation and mechanical ventilation, and 44 (75.9 %) of them developed acute respiratory distress syndrome. The average LOS was 12.6 (±7.5) days.

CONCLUSIONS: We highlighted the importance of some of the under-reported factors affecting CFR, LOS and thus, mortality. For further multicentre analysis, we recommend broad analysis of factors affecting mortality in COVID-19 using simple and transparent statistical and clinical parameters.

PMID:37308272 | DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2022-066734

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Conducting a systematic review and evaluation of commercially available mobile applications (apps) on a health-related topic: the TECH approach and a step-by-step methodological guide

BMJ Open. 2023 Jun 12;13(6):e073283. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2023-073283.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To provide an overview of the methodological considerations for conducting commercial smartphone health app reviews (mHealth reviews), with the aim of systematising the process and supporting high-quality evaluations of mHealth apps.

DESIGN: Synthesis of our research team’s experiences of conducting and publishing various reviews of mHealth apps available on app stores and hand-searching the top medical informatics journals (eg, The Lancet Digital Health, npj Digital Medicine, Journal of Biomedical Informatics and the Journal of the American Medical Informatics Association) over the last five years (2018-2022) to identify other app reviews to contribute to the discussion of this method and supporting framework for developing a research (review) question and determining the eligibility criteria.

RESULTS: We present seven steps to support rigour in conducting reviews of health apps available on the app market: (1) writing a research question or aims, (2) conducting scoping searches and developing the protocol, (3) determining the eligibility criteria using the TECH framework, (4) conducting the final search and screening of health apps, (5) data extraction, (6) quality, functionality and other assessments and (7) analysis and synthesis of findings. We introduce the novel TECH approach to developing review questions and the eligibility criteria, which considers the Target user, Evaluation focus, Connectedness and the Health domain. Patient and public involvement and engagement opportunities are acknowledged, including co-developing the protocol and undertaking quality or usability assessments.

CONCLUSION: Commercial mHealth app reviews can provide important insights into the health app market, including the availability of apps and their quality and functionality. We have outlined seven key steps for conducting rigorous health app reviews in addition to the TECH acronym, which can support researchers in writing research questions and determining the eligibility criteria. Future work will include a collaborative effort to develop reporting guidelines and a quality appraisal tool to ensure transparency and quality in systematic app reviews.

PMID:37308269 | DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2023-073283

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Trend of risk and correlates of under-five child undernutrition in Bangladesh: an analysis based on Bangladesh Demographic and Health Survey data, 2007-2017/2018

BMJ Open. 2023 Jun 12;13(6):e070480. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2022-070480.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: The objectives of this study are to identify the trend of undernutrition risk among under-five children (U5C) in Bangladesh and the trend of its correlates.

DESIGN: Multiple cross-sectional data sets from different time points were used.

SETTING: Nationally representative Bangladesh Demographic and Health Surveys (BDHSs) were conducted in 2007, 2011, 2014 and 2017/2018.

PARTICIPANTS: In the BDHSs, the sample sizes for ever-married women (age: 15-49 years) were 5300 in 2007, 7647 in 2011, 6965 in 2014 and 7902 in 2017/2018.

OUTCOMES: Extant indicators of undernutrition (stunted, wasted and underweight) have been considered as the outcome variables.

MATERIALS AND METHODS: Descriptive statistics, bivariate analysis and factor loadings from factor analysis have been used to determine the prevalence of undernutrition over the years and find the trend of risk and its correlates.

RESULTS: Risks of stunting among the U5C were 41.70%, 40.67%, 36.57% and 31.14%; that of wasting were 16.94%, 15.48%, 14.43% and 8.44%; and that of underweight were 39.79%, 35.80%, 32.45% and 22.46% in 2007, 2011, 2014 and 2017/2018, respectively. From the factor analysis, it has been found that the top five potential correlates of undernutrition are the wealth index, the education of the father and mother, the frequency of antenatal visits during pregnancy, the father’s occupation and/or the type of place of residence in the last four consecutive surveys.

CONCLUSION: This study helps us gain a better understanding of the impact of the top correlates on child undernutrition. To accelerate the reduction of child undernutrition more by 2030, Government and non-government organisations should focus on improving education and household income-generating activities among poor households and raising awareness among women about the importance of receiving antenatal care during pregnancy.

PMID:37308267 | DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2022-070480

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Effect of early fluid balance on the prognosis in severe acute pancreatitis

Zhonghua Wei Zhong Bing Ji Jiu Yi Xue. 2023 May;35(5):524-527. doi: 10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20221020-00933.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To observe the correlation between early fluid resuscitation and prognosis in patients with severe acute pancreatitis (SAP).

METHODS: SAP patients admitted to the department of critical care medicine of the People’s Hospital of Chuxiong Yi Autonomous Prefecture of Yunnan Province from June 2018 to December 2020 were enrolled and analyzed retrospectively. All patients were given the routine treatment according to their condition and relevant diagnostic According to their different prognosis, enrolled patients were divided into death group and survival group. The differences in gender, age, acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II) and Ranson score on admission between the two groups were analyzed. Taking 24 hours as an observation day, the fluid inflow, outflow, and net balance at the first, second, and third 24 hours after admission were recorded, and the ratio of the fluid inflow at the first 24 hours to the total fluid inflow in 72 hours (FV24 h-1 st) was calculated as a study index. Using 33% as the standard, compare the proportion of patients in the two groups who achieved FV24 h-1 st < 33%. The differences of various indicators between the two groups were compared, and the effect of early fluid balance on the prognosis of SAP patients was analyzed.

RESULTS: Eighty-nine patients were included in the study (41 in the death group, 48 in the survival group). There were no statistically significant differences on age (years old: 57.6±15.2 vs. 49.5±15.2), gender (male: 61.0% vs. 54.2%), APACHE II score (18.0±2.4 vs. 17.3±2.3), and Ranson score (6.3±1.4 vs. 5.9±1.2) between the death group and the survival group at the time of admission on the intensive care unit (ICU) (all P > 0.05). The fluid intake of the death group in the first 24 hours, the second 24 hours and the third 24 hours after admission to ICU was significantly higher than that of the survival group, and the difference was statistically significant (mL: 4 138±832 vs. 3 535±1 058, 3 883±729 vs. 3 324±516, 3 786±490 vs. 3 212±609, all P < 0.05), and the fluid inflow in the death group at the first 24 hours was greater than 4 100 mL. After treatment, the fluid outflow of the death group at the three 24-hour periods after admission on the ICU was an increasing trend, but it was still significantly less than that of the survival group at the three 24-hour periods (mL: 1 242±465 vs. 1 795±819, 1 536±579 vs. 2 080±524, 1 610±585 vs. 2 932±752, all P < 0.01). Due to the fact that the total fluid inflow and total fluid outflow in the three 24-hour periods in the death group were more than those in the survival group, the net fluid balances in the three 24-hour periods in the death group were still significantly more than those in the survival group finally (mL: 2 896±782 vs. 1 740±725, 2 347±459 vs. 1 243±795, 2 176±807 vs. 338±289, all P < 0.01). There was no difference in FV24 h-1 st between the death group and survival group [FV24 h-1 st > 33%: 56.1% (23/41) vs. 54.2% (26/48), P > 0.05].

CONCLUSIONS: Fluid resuscitation is an important method for early treatment of SAP, but it also has many adverse reactions. Fluid resuscitation indexes such as fluid inflow, outflow, net balance, and FV24 h-1 st within 24 to 72 hours after admission are related to the prognosis of patients with SAP, and can be used as indicators to evaluate the prognosis of SAP. The optimized fluid resuscitation strategy can improve the prognosis of patients with SAP.

PMID:37308235 | DOI:10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20221020-00933

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Effects of hydrogen gas on NOD-like receptor protein 3 inflammasomes in the cerebral cortex of rats with traumatic brain injury

Zhonghua Wei Zhong Bing Ji Jiu Yi Xue. 2023 May;35(5):513-517. doi: 10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20220712-00656.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the effect of hydrogen gas on NOD-like receptor protein 3 (NLRP3) inflammasomes in the cerebral cortex of rats with traumatic brain injury (TBI).

METHODS: 120 adult male Sprague-Dawley (SD) rates were randomly divided into 5 groups (n = 24): sham operation group (S group), TBI model group (T group), TBI+NLRP3 inhibitor MCC950 group (T+M group), TBI+hydrogen gas group (T+H group), TBI+hydrogen gas+MCC950 group (T+H+M group). TBI model was established by controlled cortical impact. NLRP3 inhibitor MCC950 (10 mg/kg) was intraperitoneally injected for 14 consecutive days before TBI operation in T+M and T+H+M groups. 2% hydrogen inhalation was given for 1 hour at 1 hour and 3 hours after TBI operation in T+H and T+H+M groups. At 6 hours after TBI operation, the pericontusional cortex tissues were obtained, the content of Evans blue (EB) was detected to evaluate the permeability of the blood-brain barrier. Water content in brain tissue was detected. The cell apoptosis was detected by TdT-mediated dUTP nick end labeling (TUNEL) and the neuronal apoptosis index was calculated. The expressions of Bcl-2, Bax, NLRP3, apoptosis-associated speck-like protein containing CARD (ASC) and caspase-1 p20 were detected by Western blotting. The levels of interleukins (IL-1β, IL-18) were detected by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA).

RESULTS: Compared with the S group, the content of EB in cerebral cortex, water content in brain tissue, apoptosis index and the expressions of Bax, NLRP3, ASC, caspase-1 p20 in T group were significantly increased, the expression of Bcl-2 was down-regulated, the levels of IL-1β and IL-18 were increased [the content of EB (μg/g): 87.57±6.89 vs. 10.54±1.15, water content in brain tissues: (83.79±2.74)% vs. (74.50±1.19)%, apoptotic index: (62.66±5.33)% vs. (4.61±0.96)%, Bax/β-actin: 4.20±0.44 vs. 1, NLRP3/β-actin: 3.55±0.31 vs. 1, ASC/β-actin: 3.10±0.26 vs. 1, caspase-1 p20/β-actin: 3.28±0.24 vs. 1, Bcl-2/β-actin: 0.23±0.03 vs. 1, IL-1β (ng/g): 221.58±19.15 vs. 27.15±3.27, IL-18 (ng/g): 87.26±7.17 vs. 12.10±1.85, all P < 0.05]. Compared with the T group, the T+M, T+H and T+H+M groups had significant reductions in the content of EB and water content in brain tissue, apoptotic index of the cerebral cortex, the expressions of Bax, NLRP3, and caspase-1 p20 in the brain tissue and the levels of IL-1β and IL-18, significant increases in the expression of Bcl-2. However, there was no significant difference in ASC expression. Compared with the T+H group, the content of EB in the cerebral cortex, water content in brain tissue, and apoptotic index, and the expressions of Bax, NLRP3 and caspase-1 p20 were further down-regulated in T+H+M group, the expression of Bcl-2 was further up-regulated, the levels of IL-1β and IL-18 were further decreased [the content of EB (μg/g): 40.49±3.15 vs. 51.96±4.69, water content in brain tissue: (76.58±1.04)% vs. (78.76±1.16)%, apoptotic index: (32.22±3.44)% vs. (38.54±3.89)%, Bax/β-actin: 1.92±0.16 vs. 2.56±0.21, NLRP3/β-actin: 1.94±0.14 vs. 2.37±0.24, caspase-1 p20/β-actin: 1.97±0.17 vs. 2.31±0.19, Bcl-2/β-actin: 0.82±0.07 vs. 0.52±0.04, IL-1β (ng/g): 86.23±7.09 vs. 110.44±10.48, IL-18 (ng/g): 40.18±3.22 vs. 46.23±4.02, all P < 0.05], but there were no statistical significance in all the indicators between T+M group and T+H group.

CONCLUSIONS: The mechanism by which hydrogen gas alleviates TBI may be related to inhibiting NLRP3 inflammasomes in the cerebral cortex of rats.

PMID:37308233 | DOI:10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20220712-00656

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Effect and mechanism of amphiregulin on acute respiratory distress syndrome in mice

Zhonghua Wei Zhong Bing Ji Jiu Yi Xue. 2023 May;35(5):493-497. doi: 10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20220822-00767.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To explore the protective effect of amphiregulin (Areg) on acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) in mice and its underlying mechanism.

METHODS: (1) Male C57BL/6 mice aged 6-8 weeks were selected for animal experiments and divided into 3 groups (n = 10) according to the random number table method, which includes sham-operated group (Sham group), ARDS model group [ARDS model in mice was established by intratracheal instillation of lipopolysaccharide (LPS) 3 mg/kg] and ARDS+Areg intervention group [recombinant mice Areg (rmAreg) 5 μg was injected intraperitoneally 1 hour after LPS modeling]. The mice were sacrificed at 24 h after LPS injection lung histopathological changes were observed under hematoxylin-eosin (HE) staining and scored for lung injury; oxygenation index and wet/dry ratio of lung tissue were measured; the content of protein in bronchoalveolar lavage fluid (BALF) was detected by bicinchoninic acid (BCA) method, the level of inflammatory factors interleukins (IL-1β, IL-6) and tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α) in BALF were measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). (2) Mice alveolar epithelial cell line MLE12 cells were obtained and cultured for experiment in vitro. Blank control group (Control group), LPS group (LPS 1 mg/L) and LPS+Areg group (rmAreg 50 μg/L was added 1 hour after LPS stimulation) were set. The cells and culture fluid were collected at 24 hours after LPS stimulation, and the apoptosis level of MLE12 cells was detected by flow cytometry; the activation level of phosphatidylinositol 3-kinase/protein kinase B (PI3K/AKT) and the expressions of apoptosis-related proteins Bcl-2 and Bax in MLE12 cells were detected by Western blotting.

RESULTS: (1) Animal experiments: compared with the Sham group, the lung tissue structure of ARDS model group was destroyed, the lung injury score was significantly increased, the oxygenation index was significantly decreased, the wet/dry weight ratio of lung was significantly increased, and the levels of protein and inflammatory factors in BALF were significantly increased. Compared with ARDS model group, lung tissue structure damage was reduced, pulmonary interstitial congestion, edema and inflammatory cell infiltration were significantly reduced, and lung injury score was significantly decreased (scores: 0.467±0.031 vs. 0.690±0.034) in ARDS+Areg intervention group. In addition, oxygenation index in ARDS+Areg intervention group was significantly increased [mmHg (1 mmHg ≈ 0.133 kPa): 380.00±22.36 vs. 154.00±20.74]. Lung wet/dry weight ratio (5.40±0.26 vs. 6.63±0.25), protein and inflammatory factors levels in BALF [protein (g/L): 0.42±0.04 vs. 0.86±0.05, IL-1β (ng/L): 30.00±2.00 vs. 40.00±3.65, IL-6 (ng/L): 190.00±20.30 vs. 581.30±45.76, TNF-α (ng/L): 30.00±3.65 vs. 77.00±4.16], and the differences were statistically significant (all P < 0.01). (2) Cell experiments: compared with the Control group, the number of apoptotic MLE12 cells was significantly increased in the LPS group, and the levels of PI3K phosphorylation, anti-apoptotic gene Bcl-2 level and pro-apoptotic gene Bax level were increased in MLE12 cells. Compared with the LPS group, the number of apoptosis in MLE12 cells was significantly reduced in the LPS+Areg group after administration of rmAreg treatment [(17.51±2.12)% vs. (36.35±2.84)%], and the levels of PI3K/AKT phosphorylation and Bcl-2 expression in MLE12 cells were significantly increased (p-PI3K/PI3K: 2.400±0.200 vs. 0.550±0.066, p-AKT/AKT: 1.647±0.103 vs. 0.573±0.101, Bcl-2/GAPDH: 0.773±0.061 vs. 0.343±0.071), and Bax expression was significantly suppressed (Bax/GAPDH: 0.810±0.095 vs. 2.400±0.200). The differences were statistically significant (all P < 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS: Areg could alleviate ARDS in mice by inhibiting the apoptosis of alveolar epithelial cells through activating PI3K/AKT pathway.

PMID:37308229 | DOI:10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20220822-00767

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Regularity of ventilator-associated pneumonia induced by three common pathogens

Zhonghua Wei Zhong Bing Ji Jiu Yi Xue. 2023 May;35(5):482-486. doi: 10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20220516-00483.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the incidence and infection regularity of ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP) in patients undergoing tracheal intubation and to provide reference for the prevention and treatment of VAP infection in the future.

METHODS: A retrospective study was conducted to collect the microbial data of airway secretion cultures from 72 patients with endotracheal intubation admitted to the emergency ward of Shanghai Fifth People’s Hospital from May 2020 to February 2021, and the species of microorganisms and intubation time were statistically analyzed.

RESULTS: Among 72 patients with endotracheal intubation, males were more than females (58.33% vs. 41.67%); Patients over 60 years old accounted for 90.28%; pneumonia was the main primary disease, accounting for 58.33%. Pathogenic tests showed that: (1) 72 patients were infected with Acinetobacter baumannii (AB), Klebsiella pneumoniae (KP), and Pseudomonas aeruginosa (PA) 48 hours after intubation, 51.39% (37/72), 27.78% (20/72), and 26.39% (19/72), respectively. The infection rate of AB was significantly higher than that of KP and PA. Within 48 hours of intubation, the infection rates of AB, KP, and PA were 20.83% (15/72), 13.89% (10/72), and 4.17% (3/72), respectively. Of the 42 patients with primary pneumonia, 61.90% (26/42) were infected with one or more of the three pathogenic bacteria AB, KP, and PA 48 hours after intubation, indicating a change in the etiology of the pathogenic bacteria, with the main pathogenic bacteria transitioning from other pathogenic bacteria to AB, KP, and PA. (2) AB, KP, and PA were prone to cause late onset VAP (i.e., intubation ≥ 5 days). Respectively, among VAP patients infected with AB, late onset VAP accounted for 59.46% (22/37). Among patients infected with KP, 75.00% (15/20) had late onset VAP. Among patients infected with PA, late onset VAP accounted for 94.74% (18/19), indicating a higher proportion of late onset VAP caused by PA and KP. (3) Infection was closely related to intubation time, and the pipeline can be replaced according to the peak period of infection. AB and KP infections peaked within 4 days after intubation, reaching 57.69% (30/52) and 50.00% (15/30), respectively. It is recommended to replace the tubes or undergo sensitive antimicrobial therapy around 3-4 days after starting the machine. The proportion of PA infection after 7 days of intubation was 72.73% (16/22), and it was considered to replace the pipeline after 7 days. (4) Most of the three pathogenic bacteria, AB, KP, and PA were carbapenem resistant pathogens with multiple drug resistance. Except for PA, the infection rate of carbapenem resistant bacteria (CRAB, CRKP) was significantly higher than that of non-carbapenem resistant bacteria (AB, KP), accounting for 86.54% (45/52) and 66.67% (20/30) of the corresponding infection cases, respectively, while CRPA only accounts for 18.18% (4/22).

CONCLUSIONS: The main differences in VAP infection caused by AB, KP, and PA pathogens are infection time, infection probability, and carbapenem resistance. Targeted prevention and treatment measures can be implemented for patients with intubation.

PMID:37308227 | DOI:10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20220516-00483

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Prognostic value of serum sodium variability within 72 hours and lactic acid combined with severity score in patients with sepsis

Zhonghua Wei Zhong Bing Ji Jiu Yi Xue. 2023 May;35(5):458-462. doi: 10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20221104-00966.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To explore the predictive value of serum sodium variability within 72 hours, lactic acid (Lac), sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) and acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II) in predicting the 28-day prognosis of sepsis patients.

METHODS: The clinical data of patients with sepsis admitted to the department of intensive care unit (ICU) of the Affiliated Qingdao Municipal Hospital of Qingdao University from December 2020 to December 2021 were retrospectively analyzed, including age, gender, previous medical history, temperature, heart rate, respiratory rate, systolic pressure, diastolic pressure, white blood cell count (WBC), hemoglobin (Hb), platelet count (PLT), C-reactive protein (CRP), pH value, arterial partial pressure of oxygen (PaO2), arterial partial pressure of carbon dioxide (PaCO2), Lac, prothrombin time (PT), activated partial thromboplastin time (APTT), serum creatinine (SCr), total bilirubin (TBil), albumin (Alb), SOFA, APACHE II score, and 28-day prognosis. Multivariate Logistic regression was used to analyze the risk factors of death in sepsis patients. Receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve) was used to analyze the predictive value of serum sodium variability within 72 hours, Lac, SOFA, APACHE II alone and in combination on the prognosis of patients with sepsis.

RESULTS: A total of 135 patients with sepsis were included, 73 survived and 62 died at 28 days, with 28-day mortality of 45.93%. (1) Compared with the survival group, SOFA, APACHE II, Lac and serum sodium variability within 72 hours in the death group were significantly higher [SOFA: 10.00 (8.00, 12.00) vs. 6.00 (5.00, 8.00), APACHE II: 18.00 (16.00, 21.25) vs. 13.00 (11.00, 15.00), Lac (mmol/L): 3.55 (2.90, 4.60) vs. 2.00 (1.30, 2.80), serum sodium variability within 72 hours: 3.4% (2.6%, 4.2%) vs. 1.4% (1.1%, 2.5%)], the differences were statistically significant (all P < 0.01). (2) Multivariate Logistic regression showed that SOFA, APACHE II, Lac, serum sodium variability within 72 hours were independent risk factors of prognosis in patients with sepsis [SOFA: odds ratio (OR) = 1.479, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 1.114-1.963, P = 0.007; APACHE II: OR = 1.163, 95%CI was 1.009-1.340, P = 0.037; Lac: OR = 1.387, 95%CI was 1.014-1.896, P = 0.040; serum sodium variability within 72 hours: OR = 1.634, 95%CI was 1.102-2.423, P = 0.015]. (3) ROC curve analysis showed that SOFA, APACHE II, Lac and serum sodium variability within 72 hours had certain predictive value for the prognosis of sepsis patients [SOFA: the area under the ROC curve (AUC) = 0.858, 95%CI was 0.795-0.920, P = 0.000; APACHE II: AUC = 0.845, 95%CI was 0.776-0.913, P = 0.000; Lac: AUC = 0.840, 95%CI was 0.770-0.909, P = 0.000; serum sodium variability within 72 hours: AUC = 0.842, 95%CI was 0.774-0.910, P = 0.000]. The combined predictive value of the four indicators (AUC = 0.917, 95%CI was 0.870-0.965, P = 0.000) was higher than that of any single indicator, and has higher specificity (79.5%) and sensitivity (93.5%), indicating that the combined index has higher predictive value for the prognosis of sepsis patients than any single index.

CONCLUSIONS: SOFA, APACHE II, Lac, serum sodium variability within 72 hours are independent risk factors for 28-day death in patients with sepsis. The combination of SOFA score, APACHE II score, Lac and serum sodium variability within 72 hours has higher predictive value for prognosis than single index.

PMID:37308223 | DOI:10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20221104-00966

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Phosphate and tension homology-induced kinase 1/Parkin signaling mediates cognitive dysfunction in sepsis-associated encephalopathy through activation of hippocampal mitochondrial autophagy

Zhonghua Wei Zhong Bing Ji Jiu Yi Xue. 2023 Apr;35(4):381-386. doi: 10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20220817-00758.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the effects of gene of phosphate and tension homology (PTEN)-induced putative kinase 1 (PINK1)/Parkin pathway on hippocampal mitophagy and cognitive function in mice with sepsis-associated encephalopathy (SAE) and its possible mechanism.

METHODS: A total of 80 male C57BL/6J mice were randomly divided into Sham group, cecal ligation puncture (CLP) group, PINK1 plasmid transfection pretreatment groups (p-PINK1+Sham group, p-PINK1+CLP group), empty vector plasmid transfection control group (p-vector+CLP group), with 16 mice in each group. The mice in CLP groups were treated with CLP to reproduce SAE models. The mice in the Sham groups were performed laparotomy only. Animals in the p-PINK1+Sham and p-PINK1+CLP groups were transfected with PINK1 plasmid through the lateral ventricle at 24 hours before surgery, while mice in the p-vector+CLP group were transfected with the empty plasmid. Morris water maze experiment was performed 7 days after CLP. The hippocampal tissues were collected, the pathological changes were observed under a light microscope after hematoxylin-eosin (HE) staining, and the mitochondrial autophagy was observed under a transmission electron microscopy after uranyl acetate and lead citrate staining. The expressions of PINK1, Parkin, Beclin1, interleukins (IL-6, IL-1β) and microtubule-associated protein 1 light chain 3 (LC3) were detected by Western blotting.

RESULTS: Compared with the Sham group, CLP group mice in Morris water maze experiment had longer escape latency, shorter target quadrant residence time, and fewer times of crossing the platform at 1-4 days. Under the light microscope, the hippocampal structure of the mouse was injured, the neuronal cells were arranged in disorder, and the nuclei were pyknotic. Under the electron microscope, the mitochondria appeared swollen, round, and wrapped by bilayer or multilayer membrane structures. Compared with the Sham group, CLP group had higher expressions of PINK1, Parkin, Beclin1, LC3II/LC3I ratio, IL-6 and IL-1β in hippocampus, indicating that sepsis induced by CLP could activated inflammatory response and caused PINK1/Parkin-mediated mitophagy. Compared with the CLP group, p-PINK1+CLP group had shorter escape latencies, spent more time in the target quadrant and had more number of crossings in the target quadrant at 1-4 days. Under the light microscope, the hippocampal structures of mice was destroyed, the neurons were arranged disorderly, and the nuclei were pyknotic. Under transmission electron microscope, swollen and rounded mitochondria and mitochondrial structure wrapped by double membrane or multilayer membrane structure were observed. Compared with the CLP group, the levels of PINK1, Parkin, Beclin1 and LC3II/LC3 ratio in the p-PINK1+CLP group were significantly increased [PINK1 protein (PINK1/β-actin): 1.95±0.17 vs. 1.74±0.15, Parkin protein (Parkin/β-actin): 2.06±0.11 vs. 1.78±0.12, Beclin1 protein (Beclin1/β-actin): 2.11±0.12 vs. 1.67±0.10, LC3II/LC3I ratio: 3.63±0.12 vs. 2.27±0.10, all P < 0.05], while the levels of IL-6 and IL-1β were significantly decreased [IL-6 protein (IL-6/β-actin): 1.69±0.09 vs. 2.00±0.11, IL-1β protein (IL-1β/β-actin): 1.11±0.12 vs. 1.65±0.12, both P < 0.05], suggesting that overexpression of PINK1 protein could further activate mitophagy and reduce the inflammatory response caused by sepsis. There was no statistically significant difference in the above pathological changes and related indicators between Sham group and p-PINK1+Sham group, CLP group and p-vector+CLP group.

CONCLUSIONS: PINK1 overexpression can further activate CLP-induced mitophagy by upregulating Parkin, thereby inhibiting inflammation response and alleviate cognitive function impairment in SAE mice.

PMID:37308193 | DOI:10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20220817-00758

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Preliminary exploration of clinical prediction model of severe swallowing disorder after acute ischemic stroke based on nomogram model

Zhonghua Wei Zhong Bing Ji Jiu Yi Xue. 2023 Apr;35(4):371-375. doi: 10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20220525-00512.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To establish a predictive model for severe swallowing disorder after acute ischemic stroke based on nomogram model, and evaluate its effectiveness.

METHODS: A prospective study was conducted. The patients with acute ischemic stroke admitted to Mianyang Central Hospital from October 2018 to October 2021 were enrolled. Patients were divided into severe swallowing disorder group and non-severe swallowing disorder group according to whether severe swallowing disorder occurred within 72 hours after admission. The differences in general information, personal history, past medical history, and clinical characteristics of patients between the two groups were compared. The risk factors of severe swallowing disorder were analyzed by multivariate Logistic regression analysis, and the relevant nomogram model was established. The bootstrap method was used to perform self-sampling internal validation on the model, and consistency index, calibration curve, receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve), and decision curve were used to evaluate the predictive performance of the model.

RESULTS: A total of 264 patients with acute ischemic stroke were enrolled, and the incidence of severe swallowing disorder within 72 hours after admission was 19.3% (51/264). Compared with the non-severe swallowing disorder group, the severe swallowing disorder group had a higher proportion of patients aged of ≥ 60 years old, with severe neurological deficits [National Institutes of Health stroke scale (NIHSS) score ≥ 7], severe functional impairments [Barthel index, an activity of daily living functional status assessment index, < 40], brainstem infarction and lesions ≥ 40 mm (78.43% vs. 56.81%, 52.94% vs. 28.64%, 39.22% vs. 12.21%, 31.37% vs. 13.62%, 54.90% vs. 24.41%), and the differences were statistically significant (all P < 0.01). Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that age ≥ 60 years old [odds ratio (OR) = 3.542, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 1.527-8.215], NIHSS score ≥ 7 (OR = 2.741, 95%CI was 1.337-5.619), Barthel index < 40 (OR = 4.517, 95%CI was 2.013-10.136), brain stem infarction (OR = 2.498, 95%CI was 1.078-5.790) and lesion ≥ 40 mm (OR = 2.283, 95%CI was 1.485-3.508) were independent risk factors for severe swallowing disorder after acute ischemic stroke (all P < 0.05). The results of model validation showed that the consistency index was 0.805, and the trend of the calibration curve was basically consistent with the ideal curve, indicating that the model had good prediction accuracy. ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the ROC curve (AUC) predicted by nomogram model for severe swallowing disorder after acute ischemic stroke was 0.817 (95%CI was 0.788-0.852), indicating that the model had good discrimination. The decision curve showed that within the range of 5% to 90%, the nomogram model had a higher net benefit value for predicting the risk of severe swallowing disorder after acute ischemic stroke, indicating that the model had good clinical predictive performance.

CONCLUSIONS: The independent risk factors of severe swallowing disorder after acute ischemic stroke include age ≥ 60 years old, NIHSS score ≥ 7, Barthel index < 40, brainstem infarction and lesion size ≥ 40 mm. The nomogram model established based on these factors can effectively predict the occurrence of severe swallowing disorder after acute ischemic stroke.

PMID:37308191 | DOI:10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20220525-00512