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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Standardized cumulative metrics of excess mortality to monitor health system resilience throughout COVID-19 and other respiratory virus resurgences

Am J Epidemiol. 2023 Apr 7:kwad081. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwad081. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Monitoring morbidity and mortality in resurgences of respiratory infections has been underpinned with the epidemic of COVID-19 and poses significant challenges. For example, case fatality rates and deaths attributed to specific respiratory pathogens are known to suffer from significant biases undermining their comparability through time and space. As a result, it is difficult to evaluate the protective effect of public health interventions or quantify the impact of a resurgence to the general population through direct recording of COVID-19 related deaths. To overcome these limitations, it has been proposed that more robust less biased metrics, such as the all-cause deaths, can be used to monitor the effect of an epidemic over a population and over time. More specifically, metrics of excess mortality over time, which have been used for influenza surveillance in the past, are increasingly considered important for COVID-19 surveillance. Here, we discuss excess mortality surveillance focusing on standardised single-point and standardised cumulative metrics that allow comparability of excess mortality through space and time. We explain why z-score allows for comparison of excess mortality between countries and different periods, while cumulative z-score allows assessment of excess mortality over long periods. Our commentary re-iterates the importance of standardised statistics of excess mortality for COVID-19 surveillance as we move towards co-existence with SARS-CoV-2 that will allow drawing conclusions from best practices in different health systems and different periods.

PMID:37026399 | DOI:10.1093/aje/kwad081

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Controlling nutritional status score in predicting International Society of Urological Pathology score upgrading and biochemical recurrence after radical prostatectomy

Asia Pac J Clin Oncol. 2023 Apr 7. doi: 10.1111/ajco.13951. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

AIM: The aim of our study was to assess the predictive value of controlling nutritional status (CONUT) score for the prognosis of prostate cancer.

METHODS: A total of 257 patients’ characteristics, prostate-specific antigen (PSA) values, biopsy, and pathological specimen features were all recorded. The CONUT score was calculated for each patient from three blood parameters: total lymphocyte count (TLC), serum albumin, and cholesterol concentrations. Spearman’s correlation coefficient was used to assess the correlation between the total CONUT score and the variables including age, body mass index, prostate volume, PSA, biopsy and pathological specimen features, and PSA-recurrence free survival (PSA-RFS) time. The Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test were used for PSA-RFS analysis. Regression analyses were performed to assess the association between clinicopathological factors, the International Society of Urological Pathology (ISUP) upgrading, and biochemical recurrence (BCR).

RESULTS: Statistically significant differences were determined in pathologic ISUP grade, and total tumor volume between low and high CONUT score groups. Additionally, the high CONUT score group had a significantly higher BCR rate and lower PSA-RFS when compared with the low CONUT score group. A strong positive correlation between total CONUT score and pathologic ISUP grade and a moderate negative correlation between total CONUT score and PSA-RFS was determined. In multivariate analysis, a total CONUT score ≥2 had a statistically significant association with ISUP upgrading (odds ratio [OR] = 3.05) and BCR (3.52).

CONCLUSION: Preoperative CONUT score is an independent predictive factor for ISUP score upgrading and BCR in patients who undergo radical prostatectomy.

PMID:37026376 | DOI:10.1111/ajco.13951

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Incidence, mortality, survival, and disease burden of breast cancer in China compared to other developed countries

Asia Pac J Clin Oncol. 2023 Apr 7. doi: 10.1111/ajco.13958. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Breast cancer was the most diagnosed malignant neoplasm and the second leading cause of cancer mortality among Chinese females in 2020. Increased risk factors and widespread adoption of westernized lifestyles have resulted in an upward trend in the occurrence of breast cancer. Up to date knowledge on the incidence, mortality, survival, and burden of breast cancer is essential for optimized cancer prevention and control. To better understand the status of breast cancer in China, this narrative literature review collected data from multiple sources, including studies obtained from the PubMed database and text references, national annual cancer report, government cancer database, Global Cancer Statistics 2020, and Global Burden of Disease study (2019). This review provides an overview of the incidence, mortality, and survival rates of breast cancer, as well as a summary of disability-adjusted life years associated with breast cancer in China from 1990 to 2019, with comparisons to Japan, South Korea, Australia and the United States.

PMID:37026375 | DOI:10.1111/ajco.13958

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Early Gamma Knife Therapy (Without EBRT) in Operated Patients of Glioblastoma Multiforme

Neurol India. 2023 Mar-Apr;71(Supplement):S183-S188. doi: 10.4103/0028-3886.373625.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The standard therapy for glioblastoma (GBM) has been external beam radiotherapy (EBRT) with concomitant temozolomide (TMZ) given for six cycles, after maximum possible surgical resection although recurrences after chemoradiation are mostly in-field.

OBJECTIVE: To compare the effects of early GKT (without EBRT) along with TMZ to those receiving standard chemoradiotherapy (EBRT + TMZ) after surgery.

METHODS: This was a retro-prospective study on histologically proven GBMs operated at our center between January 2016 and November 2018. The EBRT group consisted of 24 patients who received EBRT + TMZ for six cycles. The GKT arm consisted of 13 consecutive patients who received Gamma Knife within 4 weeks of surgery along with lifelong temozolomide. Patients were followed up every 3 months with CEMRI brain and PET-CT. The primary endpoint was overall survival (OS) with progression-free survival (PFS) being the secondary endpoint.

RESULTS: At a mean follow-up of 13.7 months, the median overall survivals in GKT and EBRT groups were 11.07 and 13.03 months, respectively (HR = 0.59; P value = 0.19; 95% CI: 0.27-1.29). The median PFS for GKT group was 7.03 months (95% CI: 4.17-17.3) as compared to 11.07 months (95% CI: 5.33-14.03) for the EBRT group. There was no statistical difference in the PFS or OS between the GKT and EBRT groups.

CONCLUSION: Our study shows that Gamma Knife therapy (without EBRT) to residual tumor/tumor bed after primary surgery with concurrent temozolomide has similar progression-free (PFS) and overall survival (OS) rates when compared to conventional treatment (EBRT).

PMID:37026351 | DOI:10.4103/0028-3886.373625

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Adaptive Staged-Dose Gamma Knife Radiosurgery for the Treatment of Large Brain Metastases: Report of 40 Consecutive Cases and Analysis of Literature

Neurol India. 2023 Mar-Apr;71(Supplement):S146-S152. doi: 10.4103/0028-3886.373643.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Brain metastases are the most common brain tumors, being one of the most frequent neurological complications of systemic cancer and an important cause of morbidity and mortality. Stereotactic radiosurgery is efficacious and safe in the treatment of brain metastases, with good local control rates and low adverse effects rate. Large brain metastases present some issues in balancing local control and treatment-related toxicity.

OBJECTIVE: Demonstrating adaptive staged-dose Gamma Knife radiosurgery (ASD-GKRS) being a safe and effective treatment for large brain metastases.

MATERIALS AND METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed our series of patients treated with two-stage Gamma Knife radiosurgery for large brain metastases in [BLINDED], between February 2018 and May 2020.

RESULTS: Forty patients with large brain metastases underwent adaptive staged-dose Gamma Knife radiosurgery, with median prescription dose of 12 Gy and a median interval between stages of 30 days. At three-month follow-up, the survival rate was 75.0% with a local control rate of 100%. At six-month follow-up, the survival rate was 75.0% with a local control rate of 96.7%. The mean volume reduction was 21.81 cm3 (16.76-26.86; 95% CI). The difference between baseline volume and six-month follow-up volume was statistically significant.

CONCLUSIONS: Adaptive staged-dose Gamma Knife radiosurgery is a safe, non-invasive and effective treatment for brain metastases, with a low rate of side effects. Large prospective trials are needed to strengthen data obtained about the effectiveness and safety of this technique in managing large brain metastases.

PMID:37026346 | DOI:10.4103/0028-3886.373643

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Impact of salivary stimulation on tear film function in dry eye subjects

Indian J Ophthalmol. 2023 Apr;71(4):1643-1646. doi: 10.4103/IJO.IJO_2597_22.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Dry eye is a common condition affecting people worldwide. It causes ocular discomfort by reducing the quality of vision and impacts daily activities. To overcome such ocular discomfort, artificial tears are used but it is difficult to use artificial tears every time to protect eyes from dryness. There is a need to explore other treatment options, which can be used during work hours. The aim was to study the effect of salivary stimulation on tear film functions among dry eye subjects.

METHODS: Thirty-three subjects were enrolled in this prospective experimental study. Tear film function tests such as tear break up time (TBUT), tear meniscus height (TMH), and Schirmer’s I and II tests were conducted. For dry eye subjects, salivation was induced by giving a tamarind candy (a soft slightly sour tamarind pulp mixed with sugar) for 5 min. Tear film function tests were carried out within a few seconds (2 to 3 s) after finishing the candy and then after 30 and 60 min of the induction of salivation. The pre- and post-tear film function measurements were recorded and analyzed.

RESULTS: TBUT, TMH, and Schirmer’s II tests showed statistically significant (P < 0.05) increase immediately and after 30 min of stimulation of salivation for all tests in both eyes. However, the difference was insignificant after 60 min of stimulation of salivation. Schirmer’s I showed statistically significant changes in the left eye, but not in the right eye immediately after stimulation of salivation (P = 0.025).

CONCLUSION: The quantity as well as the quality of tear film improved after the stimulation of salivation among dry eye subjects.

PMID:37026316 | DOI:10.4103/IJO.IJO_2597_22

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A comparative study to evaluate the effect of various postoperative treatment protocols on dry eye and patient satisfaction after phacoemulsification

Indian J Ophthalmol. 2023 Apr;71(4):1638-1642. doi: 10.4103/IJO.IJO_2775_22.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Foreign body sensation and irritation are common after cataract surgery, as is the exacerbation of dry eye disease if present. This study compared postoperative dry eye treatments and patient satisfaction.

METHODS: Age-related cataract patients undergoing phacoemulsification were recruited and were divided randomly into 4 postoperative treatment groups: Group A: Antibiotic + Steroids; Group B: Antibiotic + Steroids + Mydriatic; Group C: Antibiotic + Steroids + Mydriatic + Non-steroidal Ant-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs); Group D: Antibiotic + Steroids + Mydriatic + NSAID + Tear substitute. Patients were assessed at 1, 3, and 5 weeks post-operatively for uncorrected distance and near vision, best corrected visual acuity (BCVA) for distance and near, Schirmer’s-1 test, and Tear Film Break-Up Time test. At each visit, patients were assessed for dry eye-related subjective parameters using Ocular Surface Disease Index questionnaire.

RESULTS: Study participants numbered 163. (87 male and 76 female patients). No statistically significant difference was present in visual acuity for near and distance. The mean values of Schirmer’s test and TFBUT were better in group D patients at each postoperative visit, with significant differences noted in comparison with other groups. The patient response to pain and dry eye symptoms was superior in groups C and D, with group D producing the best results. Compared to group A, patients in groups C and D were more satisfied with their vision and surgery.

CONCLUSION: The addition of tear substitutes to steroids and NSAIDs has been associated with decreased dry eye-related symptoms and a better subjective feeling of vision, although no significant difference was noted in vision measured objectively.

PMID:37026315 | DOI:10.4103/IJO.IJO_2775_22

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Efficacy and safety of topical 2% rebamipide ophthalmic suspension in dry eye disease at tertiary care centre

Indian J Ophthalmol. 2023 Apr;71(4):1598-1602. doi: 10.4103/IJO.IJO_2586_22.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: To evaluate the effect and side effects of topical 2% rebamipide ophthalmic suspension in dry eye disease.

METHOD: This prospective randomized case control study included total 80 patients (40 cases and 40 controls) of dry eye. Symptoms were graded according to OSDI scoring system and specific tests for dry eye included Tear film breakup time (TBUT), Schirmer’s test, Fluorescein corneal staining (FCS), Rose Bengal staining) were performed. Case group received 2% rebamipide ophthalmic suspension four times daily and control group given carboxymethylcellulose 0.5% four times daily. The follow ups had done at two, six and twelve weeks.

RESULTS: The maximum numbers of patients were between 45-60 years. Patient with mild moderate and severe OSDI Score shows marked improvement. Mild TBUT score showed improvement but statistically not significant (P value-0.34). In moderate and severe TBUT Score statistically significant improvement (P value- 0.0001, 0.0001). In all grade FCS shows statistically significant improvement with p value-0.0001, 0.0001, and 0.028 respectively. Schirmer’s test score in all cases had shown improvement but statistically not significant and P value were 0.09, 0.07, and 0.07 respectively. In mild, moderate and severe Rose Bengal staining statistically significant improvement (P value -0.027, 0.0001, and 0.04) .The only side effect was dysgeusia (10% patients).

CONCLUSION: Rebamipide 2% ophthalmic suspension showed significant improvement in symptoms and signs of dry eye. It able to modify epithelial cell function, improve tear stability, and suppress inflammation suggests that it may be a first drug of choice for severe dry eye disease.

PMID:37026308 | DOI:10.4103/IJO.IJO_2586_22

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Study of dry eye syndrome: Focus on causative factors, treatment modalities, quality of life, and preservatives used in eye drops

Indian J Ophthalmol. 2023 Apr;71(4):1587-1592. doi: 10.4103/IJO.IJO_3359_22.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Dry eye syndrome (DES) is a global issue occurring due to tear deficiency or excessive tear evaporation. It is associated with a variety of symptoms causing ocular discomfort. The purpose of the study was to evaluate causative factors, treatment modalities, quality of life, and preservatives used in eye drops.

METHODS: This prospective, follow-up study was conducted in the ophthalmology outpatient department of a tertiary care teaching hospital. Patients older than 18 years of age of either sex diagnosed with DES and willing to give written informed consent were included. The patients were subjected to the Ocular surface disease index Questionnaire (OSDI Questionnaire) twice; at the time of the first visit and at 15 days follow-up.

RESULTS: A male preponderance was observed with a 1.86:1 male-to-female ratio. The mean age of the study population was 29.15 ± 10.07 years. The most common presenting complaints were symptoms related to dryness of the eyes followed by refractive error. Exposure to TV/computer screen for more than 6 hours is the most common causative factor. There was a statistically significant improvement in overall quality of life (QoL) in patients of DES on treatment. However, no significant difference was seen in the improvement of quality of life in comparison with different preservatives used in prescribed eye drops for the treatment of DES.

CONCLUSION: DES can adversely affect the quality of life of patients. Prompt treatment of this condition can significantly improve the patient’s QoL. Physicians should be encouraged to perform quality of life evaluations for patients with DES to guide them in treatment with more individual-specific treatment options.

PMID:37026306 | DOI:10.4103/IJO.IJO_3359_22

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Tear film microbiome in Sjogren’s and non-Sjogren’s aqueous deficiency dry eye

Indian J Ophthalmol. 2023 Apr;71(4):1566-1573. doi: 10.4103/IJO.IJO_2821_22.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: To understand the bacterial microbiome changes associated with Sjogren’s syndrome (SS) and non-Sjogren’s syndrome (NSS) aqueous-deficient dry eyes compared to healthy eyes.

METHODS: Bacterial microbiome was generated from the deoxyribonucleic acid of tear film samples in healthy (n = 33), SS (n = 17), and NSS (n = 28) individuals. Sequencing of the V3-V4 region of the 16S rRNA gene was performed on the Illumina HiSeq2500 platform. Quantitative Insights Into Microbial Ecology (QIIME) pipeline was used to assign taxa to sequences. Statistical analysis was performed in R to assess the alpha diversity and beta diversity indices. Significant changes between the healthy, SS, and NSS cohorts were depicted by principal coordinate analysis (PCoA), differential abundance, and network analysis.

RESULTS: Tear microbiome was generated in healthy, SS, and NSS samples. Phyla Actinobacteria, Firmicutes, and Bacteroidetes showed significant changes in SS and NSS compared to healthy. Genera Lactobacillus and Bacillus were predominantly present in all samples. PCoA and heat map analysis showed distinct clusters for SS and NSS from the healthy cohort. Genera Prevotella, Coriobacteriaceae UCG-003, Enterococcus, Streptomyces, Rhodobacter, Ezakiella, and Microbacterium significantly increased in abundance in SS and NSS compared to a healthy cohort. Bacteria-bacteria interaction in SS, NSS, and healthy cohorts was predicted by CoNet network analysis. This analysis predicted a major hub of interaction for the pro-inflammatory bacterium Prevotella in the SS and NSS cohorts.

CONCLUSION: The results of the study indicate significant changes in the phyla and genera in SS and NSS compared to healthy. Both discriminative analysis and network analysis indicated a possible association of predominant pro-inflammatory bacteria with SS and NSS.

PMID:37026303 | DOI:10.4103/IJO.IJO_2821_22