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Nevin Manimala Statistics

CYP2C19-rs4986893 confers risk to major depressive disorder and bipolar disorder in the Han Chinese population whereas ABCB1-rs1045642 acts as a protective factor

BMC Psychiatry. 2023 Jan 25;23(1):69. doi: 10.1186/s12888-022-04514-w.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Genetic risks may predispose individuals to major mood disorders differently. This study investigated the gene polymorphisms of previously reported candidate genes for major depressive disorder (MDD) and bipolar disorder (BPD) in the Han Chinese population.

METHODS: Twenty loci of 13 candidate genes were detected by MALDI-TOF mass spectrometry in 439 patients with MDD, 600 patients with BPD, and 464 healthy controls. The distribution of genotypes in alleles, Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium, and genetic association were analyzed using the PLINK software. The linkage of disequilibrium and haplotype analyses were performed using the Haploview software.

RESULTS: Out of the 20 loci analyzed, CYP2C19-rs4986893, ABCB1-rs1045642, and SCN2A-rs17183814 passed Bonferroni correction; their statistical powers were > 55%. The minor allele frequencies (MAF) of CYP2C19-rs4986893 in the MDD group (0.0547) and BPD group (0.0533) were higher than that of the control group (0.0259, P < 0.05), leading to the odds ratios (ORs) of MDD (2.178) and BPD (2.122), respectively. In contrast, the lower MAFs of ABCB1-rs1045642 were observed in both MDD (0.3599, OR = 0.726) and BPD (0.3700, OR = 0.758) groups than controls (0.4364, P < 0.05). The MDD group had a higher MAF of SCN2A-rs17183814 than controls (0.1743 vs. 0.1207, OR = 1.538, P < 0.05). Moreover, a G-A haplotype composed by CYP2C19-rs4986893 and -rs4244285 was associated with BPD (OR = 1.361, P < 0.01), and the A-G haplotype increased the risks to both MDD (OR = 2.306, P < 0.01) and BPD (OR = 2.332, P < 0.001). The CYP2C19 intermediate metabolizer and poor metabolizer (IM&PM) status was related to the raised risk of both MDD (OR = 1.547, P < 0.01) and BPD (OR = 1.808, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION: Our data indicate that the impaired CYP2C19 metabolism caused by the haplotypes integrated by CYP2C19 alleles might confer the risk to MDD and BPD, whereas the ABCB1-rs1045642 T allele serves as a protective factor.

PMID:36698099 | DOI:10.1186/s12888-022-04514-w

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Level of self-care practices and associated factors among hypertensive patients in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia

BMC Cardiovasc Disord. 2023 Jan 25;23(1):48. doi: 10.1186/s12872-023-03062-9.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: The study assessed the level of self-care practice and its predictors among hypertensive patients in the health centers of Bole Sub-city, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

METHODS: A multi-Center-based cross-sectional study that employed 370 hypertensive participants at the conveniently selected Health Centers in Bole Sub-City; from August 01-30, 2020. The researchers selected the participants based on a simple random sampling method after applying for a pre-tested interviewer-administered questionnaire and secured for informed consent. All the statistical analyses were SPSS 22.0 software based. The authors used binary logistics regression to identify the presence and strength of association; with its respective 95%CI and p-value less than five percent as a significant level.

RESULTS: The overall level of good self-care practice among hypertensive patients was 53.0% (95% CI: 47.2-58.8%) whereas 61.4%, 63.8%, 92.7%, 82.7%, and 18% of the study participants were adherent to medication, good weight management, non-smokers, alcohol abstainers and physical activity consecutively. Being illiterate had 2.347 and 2.084 times higher odds of having had good self-care practice compared to secondary school and a diploma or above consecutively. Being a merchant, civil, and retired were associated with good self-care practice than being unemployed.

CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATION: The study reported a lower level of self-care practice in the study settings. Educational level and occupation were factors identified for self-care practice. The authors recommended policymakers, healthcare workers, and researchers work on the identified factors of self-care practice of hypertensive participants in the study settings.

PMID:36698084 | DOI:10.1186/s12872-023-03062-9

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

A clinicopathological study and survival analysis of 99 breast cancers with HER2/CEP17 ratio ≥ 2.0 and an average HER2 copy number < 4.0 per cell in China

BMC Cancer. 2023 Jan 25;23(1):84. doi: 10.1186/s12885-023-10531-z.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Breast cancer patients of American Society of Clinical Oncology and the College of American Pathologists (ASCO/CAP) Group 2 were all HER2-negative according to the 2018 guideline, not HER2-positive as defined in the 2013 guideline.

METHODS: We aims to elucidate the unique clinicopathological features of ASCO/CAP Group 2 patients by comparing with classic HER2-nonamplified cancers, and reveal the efficacy of the former to anti-HER2 therapy. The clinicopathological features, treatment and prognosis information of 99 patients between 2014 and 2018 were collected. HER2 status was re-defined using the updated recommendations.

RESULTS: Of the 99 ASCO/CAP Group 2 tumors, 25.5% (25/99) tumors were immunohistochemical (IHC) 0/1+ and 74.7% (74/99) tumors were IHC 2+. According to the updated 2018 guideline, all of them were HER2 negative. When compared to ASCO/CAP Group 5, patients of ASCO/CAP Group 2 displayed higher ratio of histological grade 3 (P = .03), high Ki67 proliferation index (P = .03) and pN3 (more than 9 lymph nodes metastasis, P = .02), and lower estrogen receptor (ER) positivity (P = .04). There was no statistical difference in the survival of patients received anti-HER2 therapy and patients not received anti-HER2 therapy.

CONCLUSIONS: Patients of ASCO/CAP Group 2 did not received apparent benefit from anti-HER2 treatment. Although according to the updated guidelines and latest reports, HER2 is negative, but when compared with classic HER2-nonamplified cancers, patients of this group seemed to be more aggressive. We suggest that this group still be regarded as an independent category, in order to accumulate more cases in the future to expand the scope of research.

PMID:36698078 | DOI:10.1186/s12885-023-10531-z

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The effect of large follicle puncture and aspiration on the outcomes of IVF-ET in patients with asynchronized follicles under the long GnRH-a protocol: a retrospective cohort study

BMC Pregnancy Childbirth. 2023 Jan 25;23(1):64. doi: 10.1186/s12884-023-05397-9.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: This retrospective study aimed to explore whether puncturing and aspirating asynchronized large follicles during long GnRH-a protocol COH impacted IVF-ET outcomes.

METHODS: A total of 180 patients with asynchronized follicles during long GnRH-a protocol COH were retrospectively analyzed. They were divided into a puncture group, Group 1 (n = 81), and a non-puncture group, Group 2 (n = 99), according to whether puncture and aspiration were performed on the prematurely developing large follicles. The data of the selected patients were statistically analyzed to assess the effect of large follicle puncture and aspiration during ovulation induction on the final pregnancy results. In addition, we tentatively divided these 180 patients into either Group A (DF ≤ 14 mm) or Group B (DF > 14 mm) according to whether the diameter of the dominant large follicles (DF) exceeded 14 mm at the time of appearance. These two groups were then further divided into four subgroups: Subgroup A1 (DF ≤ 14 mm, patients underwent large follicle puncture), Subgroup A2 (DF ≤ 14 mm, patients did not undergo large follicle puncture), Subgroup B1 (DF > 14 mm, patients underwent large follicle puncture), and Subgroup B2 (DF > 14 mm, patients did not undergo large follicle puncture) based on whether large follicle puncture and aspiration were performed or not, aiming to compare the effects of large follicle puncture and aspiration on the clinical outcomes of patients with dominant large follicles at different time points.

RESULTS: Group 1 exhibited significantly higher oocyte maturation rate (92.3% vs. 88.9%, P = 0.009) and high-quality embryo rate (75.2% vs. 65.7%, P = 0.007) compared with Group 2. No differences were observed in the number of oocytes retrieved, 2PN fertilization rate, clinical pregnancy rate, abortion rate, and live birth rate between the two groups (P > 0.05). When the dominant large follicles’ diameter was ≤ 14 mm, the final oocyte maturation rate (92.7% vs. 88.1%, P = 0.023), high-quality embryo rate (72.9% vs. 61.8%, P = 0.047) and live birth rate (54.5% vs. 31.9%, P = 0.043) of Subgroup A1 were significantly higher than those of Subgroup A2. In contrast, when the dominant large follicles’ diameter was > 14 mm, no statistical difference was observed in all data.

CONCLUSIONS: Large follicle puncture and aspiration in long GnRH-a protocol COH could improve the oocyte maturation rate and high-quality embryo rate in patients with asynchronized follicles. However, clinical pregnancy and live birth rates were not significantly improved. In addition, when the dominant follicles’ diameter did not exceed 14 mm, large follicles puncture and aspiration significantly improved the patient’s oocyte maturation rate, high-quality embryo rate and live birth rate.

PMID:36698072 | DOI:10.1186/s12884-023-05397-9

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Multivariate longitudinal data for survival analysis of cardiovascular event prediction in young adults: insights from a comparative explainable study

BMC Med Res Methodol. 2023 Jan 25;23(1):23. doi: 10.1186/s12874-023-01845-4.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Multivariate longitudinal data are under-utilized for survival analysis compared to cross-sectional data (CS – data collected once across cohort). Particularly in cardiovascular risk prediction, despite available methods of longitudinal data analysis, the value of longitudinal information has not been established in terms of improved predictive accuracy and clinical applicability.

METHODS: We investigated the value of longitudinal data over and above the use of cross-sectional data via 6 distinct modeling strategies from statistics, machine learning, and deep learning that incorporate repeated measures for survival analysis of the time-to-cardiovascular event in the Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults (CARDIA) cohort. We then examined and compared the use of model-specific interpretability methods (Random Survival Forest Variable Importance) and model-agnostic methods (SHapley Additive exPlanation (SHAP) and Temporal Importance Model Explanation (TIME)) in cardiovascular risk prediction using the top-performing models.

RESULTS: In a cohort of 3539 participants, longitudinal information from 35 variables that were repeatedly collected in 6 exam visits over 15 years improved subsequent long-term (17 years after) risk prediction by up to 8.3% in C-index compared to using baseline data (0.78 vs. 0.72), and up to approximately 4% compared to using the last observed CS data (0.75). Time-varying AUC was also higher in models using longitudinal data (0.86-0.87 at 5 years, 0.79-0.81 at 10 years) than using baseline or last observed CS data (0.80-0.86 at 5 years, 0.73-0.77 at 10 years). Comparative model interpretability analysis revealed the impact of longitudinal variables on model prediction on both the individual and global scales among different modeling strategies, as well as identifying the best time windows and best timing within that window for event prediction. The best strategy to incorporate longitudinal data for accuracy was time series massive feature extraction, and the easiest interpretable strategy was trajectory clustering.

CONCLUSION: Our analysis demonstrates the added value of longitudinal data in predictive accuracy and epidemiological utility in cardiovascular risk survival analysis in young adults via a unified, scalable framework that compares model performance and explainability. The framework can be extended to a larger number of variables and other longitudinal modeling methods.

TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT00005130, Registration Date: 26/05/2000.

PMID:36698064 | DOI:10.1186/s12874-023-01845-4

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

MRI-Based Radiomics Approach Predicts Tumor Recurrence in ER + /HER2 - Early Breast Cancer Patients

J Digit Imaging. 2023 Jan 25. doi: 10.1007/s10278-023-00781-5. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Oncotype Dx Recurrence Score (RS) has been validated in patients with ER + /HER2 – invasive breast carcinoma to estimate patient risk of recurrence and guide the use of adjuvant chemotherapy. We investigated the role of MRI-based radiomics features extracted from the tumor and the peritumoral tissues to predict the risk of tumor recurrence. A total of 62 patients with biopsy-proved ER + /HER2 – breast cancer who underwent pre-treatment MRI and Oncotype Dx were included. An RS > 25 was considered discriminant between low-intermediate and high risk of tumor recurrence. Two readers segmented each tumor. Radiomics features were extracted from the tumor and the peritumoral tissues. Partial least square (PLS) regression was used as the multivariate machine learning algorithm. PLS β-weights of radiomics features included the 5% features with the largest β-weights in magnitude (top 5%). Leave-one-out nested cross-validation (nCV) was used to achieve hyperparameter optimization and evaluate the generalizable performance of the procedure. The diagnostic performance of the radiomics model was assessed through receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. A null hypothesis probability threshold of 5% was chosen (p < 0.05). The exploratory analysis for the complete dataset revealed an average absolute correlation among features of 0.51. The nCV framework delivered an AUC of 0.76 (p = 1.1∙10-3). When combining “early” and “peak” DCE images of only T or TST, a tendency toward statistical significance was obtained for TST with an AUC of 0.61 (p = 0.05). The 47 features included in the top 5% were balanced between T and TST (23 and 24, respectively). Moreover, 33/47 (70%) were texture-related, and 25/47 (53%) were derived from high-resolution images (1 mm). A radiomics-based machine learning approach shows the potential to accurately predict the recurrence risk in early ER + /HER2 – breast cancer patients.

PMID:36698037 | DOI:10.1007/s10278-023-00781-5

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Defunctioning stoma before neoadjuvant treatment or resection of endoscopically obstructing rectal cancer

Int J Colorectal Dis. 2023 Jan 26;38(1):24. doi: 10.1007/s00384-023-04318-8.

ABSTRACT

AIM: To investigate whether patients with endoscopically untraversable rectal cancer may benefit from a defunctioning stoma created before neoadjuvant therapy or resectional surgery.

METHODS: This retrospective study comprise patients diagnosed with rectal cancer during 2007-2020 in Region Västerbotten, Sweden. The primary outcome was time between diagnosis and any treatment, while survival and the incidence of complications were secondary outcomes. Excluded were patients without endoscopic obstruction, patients already having a stoma, patients with recurrent disease, palliative patients, and patients receiving a stoma shortly after diagnosis due to any urgent bowel-related complication. Data were obtained from the Swedish Colorectal Cancer Registry and medical records. Kaplan-Meier failure curves were drawn, and a multivariable Cox regression model was employed for confounding adjustment.

RESULTS: Out of 843 patients, 57 remained after applying exclusion criteria. Some 12/57 (21%) patients received a planned stoma before treatment, and the remainder received upfront neoadjuvant therapy or surgery. Median time to any treatment was 51 days for the planned stoma group and 36 days for the control group, with an adjusted hazard ratio of 0.28 (95% confidence interval: 0.12-0.64). Complications occurred at a rate of 5/12 (42%) and 7/45 (16%) in the planned stoma group and control group, respectively. Survival was similar between groups.

CONCLUSION: A planned stoma results in treatment delay, but it remains unclear whether this is clinically relevant. Complications were more common in the planned stoma group, although the data are limited. While larger studies are needed, it seems feasible to avoid defunctioning stomas even in endoscopically obstructing rectal cancers.

PMID:36698033 | DOI:10.1007/s00384-023-04318-8

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Molecular dynamics simulations of the evaporation of hydrated ions from aqueous solution

Commun Chem. 2022 Apr 19;5(1):55. doi: 10.1038/s42004-022-00669-5.

ABSTRACT

Although important for atmospheric processes and gas-phase catalysis, very little is known about the hydration state of ions in the vapor phase. Here we study the evaporation energetics and kinetics of a chloride ion from liquid water by molecular dynamics simulations. As chloride permeates the interface, a water finger forms and breaks at a chloride separation of ≈ 2.8 nm from the Gibbs dividing surface. For larger separations from the interface, about 7 water molecules are estimated to stay bound to chloride in saturated water vapor, as corroborated by continuum dielectrics and statistical mechanics models. This ion hydration significantly reduces the free-energy barrier for evaporation. The effective chloride diffusivity in the transition state is found to be about 6 times higher than in bulk, which reflects the highly mobile hydration dynamics as the water finger breaks. Both effects significantly increase the chloride evaporation flux from the quiescent interface of an electrolyte solution, which is predicted from reaction kinetic theory.

PMID:36698011 | DOI:10.1038/s42004-022-00669-5

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The influence of the selection of non-geological disasters sample spatial range on the evaluation of environmental geological disasters susceptibility: a case study of Liulin County

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2023 Jan 26. doi: 10.1007/s11356-023-25454-2. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

The reasonable selection of non-geological disaster samples is of great significance to improve the accuracy of geological disaster assessment, reduce the cost of disaster management, and maintain the sustainable development of ecological environment. Liulin County was selected as the study area. This paper creatively divided non-geological disaster sampling areas by macro-geomorphology, and carried out susceptibility mapping based on random forest (RF) and frequency ratio-random forest (FR-RF) models. The accuracy of each model was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) combined with the distribution characteristics of geological disasters and the actual urban construction in the study area. The results show that the FR-RF model constructed by selecting non-geological disaster samples in hilly area is most suitable for the susceptibility mapping of this study area. The different results in different sampling areas are mainly due to the great changes in the representativeness of non-geological disaster samples. The distance from the roads is the most important factor affecting the occurrence of disasters in the study area. The statistical results of disaster management cost estimation and gross domestic product (GDP) value show that the disaster management cost of HFR-RF model decreases by 13.45% on average compared with other models, and the ratio of GDP to disaster management cost is relatively high. These research results promote the progress of geological disaster prevention technology, maintain the stability of geological environment, and are of great significance to the stable and sustainable development of local economy.

PMID:36697985 | DOI:10.1007/s11356-023-25454-2

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Determining the spatial contributions of land use changes on the streamflow and sediment transport regimes: a case study of the Gorganroud watershed in Iran

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2023 Jan 26. doi: 10.1007/s11356-023-25478-8. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Human activities and climate change are recognized as two of the most important drivers of hydrologic variability and have attracted the interest of researchers over the past decade. Changes in land use, dam construction, agricultural development, and global warming are forces that directly or indirectly impact the global and local hydrologic regime. This study examines the effects of these drivers on streamflow and sediment transport in the Gorganroud watershed, located in the north of Iran. In addition, the most sensitive land use patterns are detected using statistical approaches and a hydrologic model. The current study’s principal argument is based on the variability of land use patterns during the modeling procedure (2007-2019). The Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model is used to consider the land use dynamics during the simulation period based on the hydrological regime of the reference period. The Simple Differential Method (SDM) and Climate Elasticity Method (CEM) are utilized to estimate the contribution rates of land use and climate change in streamflow and sediment transport changes. The results indicate that changes in land use have contributed more than 60% to streamflow and sediment regime changes in all subbasins. A sensitivity analysis of land uses and the spatial distribution of the Human Contribution Rate (HCR) over the study area reveal that an increase in orchard land use (8.7% during the computational period) is primarily responsible for these significant changes.

PMID:36697980 | DOI:10.1007/s11356-023-25478-8