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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Wearable Sensor and Mobile App-Based mHealth Approach for Investigating Substance Use and Related Factors in Daily Life: Protocol for an Ecological Momentary Assessment Study

JMIR Res Protoc. 2023 Apr 11;12:e44275. doi: 10.2196/44275.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Digital health technologies using mobile apps and wearable devices are a promising approach to the investigation of substance use in the real world and for the analysis of predictive factors or harms from substance use. Moreover, consecutive repeated data collection enables the development of predictive algorithms for substance use by machine learning methods.

OBJECTIVE: We developed a new self-monitoring mobile app to record daily substance use, triggers, and cravings. Additionally, a wearable activity tracker (Fitbit) was used to collect objective biological and behavioral data before, during, and after substance use. This study aims to describe a model using machine learning methods to determine substance use.

METHODS: This study is an ongoing observational study using a Fitbit and a self-monitoring app. Participants of this study were people with health risks due to alcohol or methamphetamine use. They were required to record their daily substance use and related factors on the self-monitoring app and to always wear a Fitbit for 8 weeks, which collected the following data: (1) heart rate per minute, (2) sleep duration per day, (3) sleep stages per day, (4) the number of steps per day, and (5) the amount of physical activity per day. Fitbit data will first be visualized for data analysis to confirm typical Fitbit data patterns for individual users. Next, machine learning and statistical analysis methods will be performed to create a detection model for substance use based on the combined Fitbit and self-monitoring data. The model will be tested based on 5-fold cross-validation, and further preprocessing and machine learning methods will be conducted based on the preliminary results. The usability and feasibility of this approach will also be evaluated.

RESULTS: Enrollment for the trial began in September 2020, and the data collection finished in April 2021. In total, 13 people with methamphetamine use disorder and 36 with alcohol problems participated in this study. The severity of methamphetamine or alcohol use disorder assessed by the Drug Abuse Screening Test-10 or the Alcohol Use Disorders Identification Test-10 was moderate to severe. The anticipated results of this study include understanding the physiological and behavioral data before, during, and after alcohol or methamphetamine use and identifying individual patterns of behavior.

CONCLUSIONS: Real-time data on daily life among people with substance use problems were collected in this study. This new approach to data collection might be helpful because of its high confidentiality and convenience. The findings of this study will provide data to support the development of interventions to reduce alcohol and methamphetamine use and associated negative consequences.

INTERNATIONAL REGISTERED REPORT IDENTIFIER (IRRID): DERR1-10.2196/44275.

PMID:37040162 | DOI:10.2196/44275

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Non-surgical peri-implantitis treatment with or without systemic antibiotics

Ned Tijdschr Tandheelkd. 2023 Apr;130(4):173-181. doi: 10.5177/ntvt.2023.04.23004.

ABSTRACT

This study investigated the effect of initial nonsurgical treatment in patients with peri-implantitis with or without prescription of an antibiotic regimen consisting of amoxicillin and metronidazole. For this purpose, patients with peri-implantitis were randomized into a group of initial treatment with antibiotics and a group without antibiotics. They were re-evaluated 12 weeks after treatment. Analyses were performed at the patient level at 1 peri-implant pocket per patient. Both groups showed significant peri-implant pocket depth reductions after initial treatment. Treatment with antibiotics resulted in a higher mean reduction in peri-implant pocket depth than when no antibiotics were used, but this difference did not reach statistical significance. Only 2 implants, 1 in each group, showed a successful outcome of a peri-implant pocket depth ofunder ≤ 5 mm and with an absence of bleeding and pus after probing. Initial treatment with or without antibiotics is ultimately not sufficient to fully treat peri-implantitis; additional surgical procedures will often be required.

PMID:37040152 | DOI:10.5177/ntvt.2023.04.23004

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Prolonged Grief Disorder and the DSM: A History

J Nerv Ment Dis. 2023 May 1;211(5):386-392. doi: 10.1097/NMD.0000000000001618.

ABSTRACT

In the early 1990s, a research group that included Holly Prigerson and Charles Reynolds established that disordered grief overlaps with depression and anxiety but is not the same. They also developed a research inventory for studying disordered grief. Subsequently, Prigerson focused on measuring disordered grief using advanced psychometric techniques. Because treatment for grief-related depression reduced symptoms of depression but not grief, Katherine Shear was recruited to develop a more effective therapy. Prigerson came to conceptualize disordered grief as prolonged grief that is associated with negative outcomes. Shear came to conceptualize disordered grief as intense grief that is complicated by features that interfere with adaption to the loss. In 2013 a hybrid disorder composed of criteria from both groups was placed in the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, 5th Edition (DSM-5) appendix. Under the leadership of the DSM Steering Committee, a summit meeting in 2019 helped break an impasse, and a revised prolonged grief disorder became an official DSM diagnosis.

PMID:37040140 | DOI:10.1097/NMD.0000000000001618

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Knowledge and Attitudes of Concussion Reporting Behavior Intentions in Parents of Youth Recreational Football Players

Res Q Exerc Sport. 2023 Apr 11:1-9. doi: 10.1080/02701367.2023.2189444. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Purpose: This study: (1) Described the knowledge, attitudes, and reported behavior intentions of young recreational football players’ parents toward concussion. (2) Investigated associations of the previous variables with parent demographics. Materials and Methods: A cross-sectional design utilized an online platform to survey parents of children (8-14 yrs.) in three youth football leagues in the southern United States. Demographics collected included items such as sex or concussion history. Knowledge was assessed via true/false items, with higher scores (0-20) representing greater concussion understanding. 4-point Likert scales were used to describe parents attitudes (1 = not at all, 4 = very much), confidence in intended recognition/reporting (1 = not-confident, 4 = extremely confident), and agreement with intended reporting behaviors (1 = strong- disagreement, 4 = strong-agreement). Descriptive statistics were calculated for demographics. Mann-Whitney U test or Kruskal-Wallis Tests examined survey responses across demographics. Results: Respondents (n = 101) were primarily female (64.4%), white (81.2%), and participated in contact sport (83.2%). Parents averaged 15.9 ± 1.4 on concussion knowledge, with only 34.7% (n = 35) of parents scoring > 17/20. Statements that received the lowest average agreement (3.29/4) regarding reporting intent were related to emotional symptoms. Some parents (n = 42, 41.6%) reported low confidence in recognizing symptoms of a concussion in their child. Parent demographics did not have clinically significant associations with survey responses, with 6/7 demographic variables resulting in no statistical significance (p > .05). Conclusions: Although one-third of parents attained high knowledge scores, several reported low confidence in recognizing concussion symptoms in their children. Parents scored lower in agreement with removing their child from play when concussion symptoms were subjective. Youth sports organizations providing concussion education to parents should consider these results when revising their materials.

PMID:37040134 | DOI:10.1080/02701367.2023.2189444

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Suicide Around the Anniversary of a Parent’s Death in Sweden

JAMA Netw Open. 2023 Apr 3;6(4):e236951. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2023.6951.

ABSTRACT

IMPORTANCE: Bereavement following parental death experienced in adulthood may be associated with suicide over many years, but this risk has received scant attention.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate whether the risk of suicide increases among adult children around the anniversary of a parent’s death.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This case-crossover study used Swedish register-based longitudinal data from 1990 to 2016, based on the entire national population. Participants included all adults aged 18 to 65 years who experienced parental death and subsequently died by suicide. Conditional logistic regression was used to quantify the association between the anniversary (or preanniversary and postanniversary periods) and suicide, controlling for time-invariant confounding. All analyses were stratified by sex of the offspring. The analyses were also stratified by the sex of the deceased parent, time since parental death, age, and marital status. Data analyses were performed in June 2022.

EXPOSURES: Anniversary of a parent’s death (or preanniversary and postanniversary periods).

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Suicide.

RESULTS: Of 7694 individuals who died by suicide (76% intentional self-harm), 2255 (29%) were women, and the median (IQR) age at suicide was 55 (47-62) years. There was evidence of an anniversary reaction among women, with a 67% increase in the odds of suicide when exposed to the period from the anniversary to 2 days after the anniversary, compared with when not being exposed (odds ratio [OR], 1.67; 95% CI, 1.07-2.62). The risk was particularly pronounced among maternally bereaved women (OR, 2.29; 95% CI, 1.20-4.40) and women who were never married (OR, 2.08; 95% CI, 0.99-4.37), although the latter was not statistically significant. An increased risk of suicide from the day before up to the anniversary was observed among women bereaved between the ages of 18 and 34 years (OR, 3.46; 95% CI, 1.14-10.56) and between the ages of 50 and 65 years (OR, 2.53; 95% CI, 1.04-6.15). Men had an attenuated suicide risk for the period from the day before up to the anniversary (OR, 0.57; 95% CI, 0.36-0.92).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: These findings suggest that the anniversary of a parent’s death is associated with an increased suicide risk among women. Women bereaved at younger or older ages, those who were maternally bereaved, and those who never married appeared to be particularly vulnerable. Families and social and health care professionals need to consider anniversary reactions in suicide prevention.

PMID:37040117 | DOI:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2023.6951

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Use of Machine Learning to Differentiate Children With Kawasaki Disease From Other Febrile Children in a Pediatric Emergency Department

JAMA Netw Open. 2023 Apr 3;6(4):e237489. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2023.7489.

ABSTRACT

IMPORTANCE: Early awareness of Kawasaki disease (KD) helps physicians administer appropriate therapy to prevent acquired heart disease in children. However, diagnosing KD is challenging and relies largely on subjective diagnosis criteria.

OBJECTIVE: To develop a prediction model using machine learning with objective parameters to differentiate children with KD from other febrile children.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This diagnostic study included 74 641 febrile children younger than 5 years who were recruited from 4 hospitals, including 2 medical centers and 2 regional hospitals, between January 1, 2010, and December 31, 2019. Statistical analysis was performed from October 2021 to February 2023.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Demographic data and laboratory values from electronic medical records, including complete blood cell count with differential, urinalysis, and biochemistry, were collected as possible parameters. The primary outcome was whether the febrile children fulfilled the diagnostic criteria of KD. The supervised eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) machine learning method was applied to establish a prediction model. The confusion matrix and likelihood ratio were used to evaluate the performance of the prediction model.

RESULTS: This study included a total of 1142 patients with KD (mean [SD] age, 1.1 [0.8] years; 687 male patients [60.2%]) and 73 499 febrile children (mean [SD] age, 1.6 [1.4] years; 41 465 male patients [56.4%]) comprising the control group. The KD group was predominantly male (odds ratio, 1.79; 95% CI, 1.55-2.06) with younger age (mean difference, -0.6 years [95% CI, -0.6 to -0.5 years]) compared with the control group. The prediction model’s best performance in the testing set was able to achieve 92.5% sensitivity, 97.3% specificity, 34.5% positive predictive value, 99.9% negative predictive value, and a positive likelihood ratio of 34.0, which indicates outstanding performance. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the prediction model was 0.980 (95% CI, 0.974-0.987).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: This diagnostic study suggests that results of objective laboratory tests had the potential to be predictors of KD. Furthermore, these findings suggested that machine learning with XGBoost can help physicians differentiate children with KD from other febrile children in pediatric emergency departments with excellent sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy.

PMID:37040115 | DOI:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2023.7489

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Trajectories of Chronic Disease and Multimorbidity Among Middle-aged and Older Patients at Community Health Centers

JAMA Netw Open. 2023 Apr 3;6(4):e237497. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2023.7497.

ABSTRACT

IMPORTANCE: Health-related consequences of multimorbidity (≥2 chronic diseases) are well documented. However, the extent and rate of accumulation of chronic diseases among US patients seeking care in safety-net clinics are not well understood. These insights are needed to enable clinicians, administrators, and policy makers to mobilize resources for prevention of disease escalations in this population.

OBJECTIVES: To identify the patterns and rate of chronic disease accumulation among middle-aged and older patients seeking care in community health centers, as well as any sociodemographic differences.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This cohort study used electronic health record data from January 1, 2012, to December 31, 2019, on 725 107 adults aged 45 years or older with 2 or more ambulatory care visits in 2 or more distinct years at 657 primary care clinics in the Advancing Data Value Across a National Community Health Center network in 26 US states. Statistical analysis was performed from September 2021 to February 2023.

EXPOSURES: Race and ethnicity, age, insurance coverage, and federal poverty level (FPL).

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Patient-level chronic disease burden, operationalized as the sum of 22 chronic diseases recommended by the Multiple Chronic Conditions Framework. Linear mixed models with patient-level random effects adjusted for demographic characteristics and ambulatory visit frequency with time interactions were estimated to compare accrual by race and ethnicity, age, income, and insurance coverage.

RESULTS: The analytic sample included 725 107 patients (417 067 women [57.5%]; 359 255 [49.5%] aged 45-54 years, 242 571 [33.5%] aged 55-64 years, and 123 281 [17.0%] aged ≥65 years). On average, patients started with a mean (SD) of 1.7 (1.7) morbidities and ended with 2.6 (2.0) morbidities over a mean (SD) of 4.2 (2.0) years of follow-up. Compared with non-Hispanic White patients, patients in racial and ethnic minoritized groups had marginally lower adjusted annual rates of accrual of conditions (-0.03 [95% CI, -0.03 to -0.03] for Spanish-preferring Hispanic patients; -0.02 [95% CI, -0.02 to -0.01] for English-preferring Hispanic patients; -0.01 [95% CI, -0.01 to -0.01] for non-Hispanic Black patients; and -0.04 [95% CI, -0.05 to -0.04] for non-Hispanic Asian patients). Older patients accrued conditions at higher annual rates compared with patients 45 to 50 years of age (0.03 [95% CI, 0.02-0.03] for 50-55 years; 0.03 [95% CI, 0.03-0.04] for 55-60 years; 0.04 [95% CI, 0.04-0.04] for 60-65 years; and 0.05 [95% CI, 0.05-0.05] for ≥65 years). Compared with those with higher income (always ≥138% of the FPL), patients with income less than 138% of the FPL (0.04 [95% CI, 0.04-0.05]), mixed income (0.01 [95% CI, 0.01-0.01]), or unknown income levels (0.04 [95% CI, 0.04-0.04]) had higher annual accrual rates. Compared with continuously insured patients, continuously uninsured and discontinuously insured patients had lower annual accrual rates (continuously uninsured, -0.003 [95% CI, -0.005 to -0.001]; discontinuously insured, -0.004 [95% CI, -0.005 to -0.003]).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: This cohort study of middle-aged patients seeking care in community health centers suggests that disease accrued at high rates for patients’ chronological age. Targeted efforts for chronic disease prevention are needed for patients near or below the poverty line.

PMID:37040114 | DOI:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2023.7497

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Trainee Physician Milestone Ratings and Patient Complaints in Early Posttraining Practice

JAMA Netw Open. 2023 Apr 3;6(4):e237588. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2023.7588.

ABSTRACT

IMPORTANCE: Evaluation of trainees in graduate medical education training programs using Milestones has been in place since 2013. It is not known whether trainees who have lower ratings during the last year of training go on to have concerns related to interactions with patients in posttraining practice.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the association between resident Milestone ratings and posttraining patient complaints.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This retrospective cohort study included physicians who completed Accreditation Council for Graduate Medical Education (ACGME)-accredited programs between July 1, 2015, and June 30, 2019, and worked at a site that participated in the national Patient Advocacy Reporting System (PARS) program for at least 1 year. Milestone ratings from ACGME training programs and patient complaint data from PARS were collected. Data analysis was conducted from March 2022 to February 2023.

EXPOSURES: Lowest professionalism (P) and interpersonal and communication skills (ICS) Milestones ratings 6 months prior to the end of training.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: PARS year 1 index scores, based on recency and severity of complaints.

RESULTS: The cohort included 9340 physicians with median (IQR) age of 33 (31-35) years; 4516 (48.4%) were women physicians. Overall, 7001 (75.0%) had a PARS year 1 index score of 0, 2023 (21.7%) had a score of 1 to 20 (moderate), and 316 (3.4%) had a score of 21 or greater (high). Among physicians in the lowest Milestones group, 34 of 716 (4.7%) had high PARS year 1 index scores, while 105 of 3617 (2.9%) with Milestone ratings of 4.0 (proficient), had high PARS year 1 index scores. In a multivariable ordinal regression model, physicians in the 2 lowest Milestones rating groups (0-2.5 and 3.0-3.5) were statistically significantly more likely to have higher PARS year 1 index scores than the reference group with Milestones ratings of 4.0 (0-2.5 group: odds ratio, 1.2 [95% CI, 1.0-1.5]; 3.0-3.5 group: odds ratio, 1.2 [95% CI, 1.1-1.3]).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In this study, trainees with low Milestone ratings in P and ICS near the end of residency were at increased risk for patient complaints in their early posttraining independent physician practice. Trainees with lower Milestone ratings in P and ICS may need more support during graduate medical education training or in the early part of their posttraining practice career.

PMID:37040112 | DOI:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2023.7588

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Comparative Effectiveness of Digital Cognitive Behavioral Therapy vs Medication Therapy Among Patients With Insomnia

JAMA Netw Open. 2023 Apr 3;6(4):e237597. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2023.7597.

ABSTRACT

IMPORTANCE: Although digital cognitive behavioral therapy for insomnia (dCBT-I) has been studied in many randomized clinical trials and is recommended as a first-line treatment option, few studies have systematically examined its effectiveness, engagement, durability, and adaptability in clinical settings.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the clinical effectiveness, engagement, durability, and adaptability of dCBT-I.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This retrospective cohort study was conducted using longitudinal data collected via a mobile app named Good Sleep 365 between November 14, 2018, and February 28, 2022. Three therapeutic modes (ie, dCBT-I, medication, and their combination) were compared at month 1, month 3, and month 6 (primary). Inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) using propensity scores was applied to enable homogeneous comparisons between the 3 groups.

EXPOSURES: Treatment with dCBT-I, medication therapy, or combination therapy according to prescriptions.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: The Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index (PSQI) score and its essential subitems were used as the primary outcomes. Effectiveness on comorbid somnolence, anxiety, depression, and somatic symptoms were used as secondary outcomes. Cohen d effect size, P value, and standardized mean difference (SMD) were used to measure differences in treatment outcomes. Changes in outcomes and response rates (≥3 points change in PSQI score) were also reported.

RESULTS: A total of 4052 patients (mean [SD] age, 44.29 [12.01] years; 3028 [74.7%] female participants) were selected for dCBT-I (n = 418), medication (n = 862), and their combination (n = 2772). Compared with the change in PSQI score at 6 months for participants receiving medication alone (from a mean [SD] of 12.85 [3.49] to 8.92 [4.03]), both dCBT-I (from a mean [SD] of 13.51 [3.03] to 7.15 [3.25]; Cohen d, -0.50; 95% CI, -0.62 to -0.38; P < .001; SMD = 0.484) and combination therapy (from a mean [SD] of 12.92 [3.49] to 6.98 [3.43]; Cohen d, 0.50; 95% CI, 0.42 to 0.58; P < .001; SMD = 0.518) were associated with significant reductions; dCBT-I had a comparable effect as combination therapy (Cohen d, 0.05; 95% CI, -0.05 to 0.15; P = .66; SMD = 0.05), but showed unstable durability. Outcomes of dCBT-I improved steadily and rapidly during the first 3 months, and then fluctuated. The response rates with dCBT-I and combination therapy were higher than with medication. Changes in secondary outcomes indicated statistically significant benefits from dCBT-I and combination therapy. The results of subgroup analysis were consistent with the main findings, demonstrating the superiority of dCBT-I vs medication therapy in various subpopulations.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In this study, clinical evidence suggested that combination therapy was optimal, and dCBT-I was more effective than medication therapy, with long-term benefits for insomnia. Future studies are needed to analyze its clinical effectiveness and reliability in distinct subpopulations.

PMID:37040111 | DOI:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2023.7597

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Reductions in Depression and Anxiety Among Autistic Adults Participating in an Intervention to Promote Healthy Relationships

Am J Occup Ther. 2023 Mar 1;77(2):7702185070. doi: 10.5014/ajot.2023.050108.

ABSTRACT

IMPORTANCE: Some autistic adults experience depression and anxiety related to their social relationships. There is a need for evidence-based occupational therapy interventions that decrease depression and anxiety and improve the health of social relationships for autistic adults.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the feasibility and preliminary effectiveness of the Healthy Relationships on the Autism Spectrum (HEARTS) intervention, a six-session, group-based psychoeducational intervention for the improvement of relationship health.

DESIGN: One-group pretest-posttest design with a 3-mo follow-up after baseline.

SETTING: United States; online intervention through community organization.

PARTICIPANTS: Fifty-five adults, ages 20 to 43 yr, with a professional or self-diagnosis of autism and the capacity to independently participate in an online, group-based, participatory class.

INTERVENTION: Participants received 6 90-min weekly sessions that addressed healthy relationship topics, including recognizing abuse, meeting people, maintaining relationships, setting interpersonal boundaries, neurohealth for relationships, and ending relationships. A psychoeducational approach that provided education and involved guided discovery and strategy acquisition was used.

OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: All measures were self-administered through an online survey. Depression and anxiety were assessed using instruments from the Patient-Reported Outcomes Measurement Information System.

RESULTS: Fifty-five participants completed the intervention. Postintervention scores revealed statistically significant improvements in depression and anxiety.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: HEARTS is a promising intervention for improving depression and anxiety among autistic adults and should be investigated further. What This Article Adds: HEARTS offers a potentially effective, nonpharmacological, psychoeducational group-based intervention option to promote healthy relationships for autistic adults. Positionality Statement: This article uses identity-first language (autistic person) in accordance with the preference of autistic self-advocates (Autistic Self Advocacy Network, 2020; Kenny et al., 2016; Lord et al., 2022).

PMID:37040101 | DOI:10.5014/ajot.2023.050108