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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Limitations introduced by a low participation rate of SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence data

Int J Epidemiol. 2022 Sep 26:dyac178. doi: 10.1093/ije/dyac178. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: There has been a large influx of COVID-19 seroprevalence studies, but comparability between the seroprevalence estimates has been an issue because of heterogeneities in testing platforms and study methodology. One potential source of heterogeneity is the response or participation rate.

METHODS: We conducted a review of participation rates (PR) in SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence studies collected by SeroTracker and examined their effect on the validity of study conclusions. PR was calculated as the count of participants for whom the investigators had collected a valid sample, divided by the number of people invited to participate in the study. A multivariable beta generalized linear model with logit link was fitted to determine if the PR of international household and community-based seroprevalence studies was associated with the factors of interest, from 1 December 2019 to 10 March 2021.

RESULTS: We identified 90 papers based on screening and were able to calculate the PR for 35 out of 90 papers (39%), with a median PR of 70% and an interquartile range of 40.92; 61% of the studies did not report PR.

CONCLUSIONS: Many SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence studies do not report PR. It is unclear what the median PR rate would be had a larger portion not had limitations in reporting. Low participation rates indicate limited representativeness of results. Non-probabilistic sampling frames were associated with higher participation rates but may be less representative. Standardized definitions of participation rate and data reporting necessary for the PR calculations are essential for understanding the representativeness of seroprevalence estimates in the population of interest.

PMID:36164817 | DOI:10.1093/ije/dyac178

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Laparoscopic single-layer running “trapezoid-shaped” suture versus mechanical stapling for esophagojejunostomy after total gastrectomy for gastric cancer: cost-effect analysis of propensity score-matched study cohorts

Langenbecks Arch Surg. 2022 Sep 27. doi: 10.1007/s00423-022-02694-3. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Totally laparoscopic total gastrectomy has been developed with difficulty in intracorporeal esophagojejunostomy. Although mechanical stapling has been widely used for intracorporeal esophagojejunostomy, manual suture holds great promise with the emergence of high-resolution 3D vision and robotic surgery. After exploration of how to improve the safety and efficiency of intracorporeal suture for esophagojejunostomy, we recommended the technique of single-layer running “trapezoid-shaped” suture. The cost-effectiveness was analyzed by comparing with conventional mechanical stapling.

METHODS: The study retrospectively reviewed the patients undergoing laparoscopic gastrectomy for gastric cancer from January 2010 to December 2021. The patients were divided into two cohorts based on the methods of intracorporeal esophagojejunostomy: manual suture versus stapling suture. Propensity score matching was performed to match patients from the two cohorts at a ratio of 1:1. Then group comparison was made to determine whether manual suture was non-inferior to stapling suture in terms of operation time, anastomotic complications, postoperative hospital stay, and surgical cost.

RESULTS: The study included 582 patients with laparoscopic total gastrectomy. The manual and stapling suture for esophagojejunostomy were performed in 50 and 532 patients, respectively. In manual suture cohort, the median time for the whole operation and digestive tract reconstruction were 300 min and 110 min. There was no anastomotic bleeding and stenosis but two cases of anastomotic leak which occurred at 3 days after surgery. The median length of postoperative hospital stay was 11 days. After propensity score matching, group comparison yielded two variables with statistical significance: time for digestive tract reconstruction and surgery cost. The manual suture cohort spent less money but more time for esophagojejunostomy. Intriguingly, the learning curve of manual suture revealed that the time for digestive tract reconstruction was declined with accumulated number of operations.

CONCLUSIONS: Laparoscopic single-layer running “trapezoid-shaped” suture appears safe and cost-effective for intracorporeal esophagojejunostomy after total gastrectomy. Although the concern remains about prolonged operation time for beginners of performing the suture method, adequate practice is expected to shorten the operation time based on our learning curve analysis.

PMID:36163379 | DOI:10.1007/s00423-022-02694-3

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Head-to-head comparison of 99mTc-PSMA and 99mTc-MDP SPECT/CT in diagnosing prostate cancer bone metastasis: a prospective, comparative imaging trial

Sci Rep. 2022 Sep 26;12(1):15993. doi: 10.1038/s41598-022-20280-x.

ABSTRACT

The most common site of metastasis of prostate cancer (PCa) is bone. Skeletal-related events can increase the risk of death in patients with PCa by 28%. Due to the low detection rate of lesions in patients with low prostate-specific antigen (PSA) levels, the value of 99mTc methylene diphosphonate (99mTc-MDP) bone scintigraphy is limited. Prostate-specific membrane antigen (PSMA) is a small molecular probe that can efficiently and specifically detect PCa lesions. This prospective study aimed to evaluate the difference between 99mTc-PSMA single-photon emission computed tomography (SPECT)/CT and 99mTc-MDP SPECT/CT in the detection of bone metastasis in PCa. A total of 74 men with pathologically confirmed PCa from October 2019 to November 2021 were prospectively enrolled in this study. The median age was 70 (range, 55-87) years. All patients underwent both 99mTc-PSMA SPECT/CT and 99mTc-MDP SPECT/CT at an average interval of 12.1 (range, 1-14) days. The detected imaging-positive bone lesions were scored as “typical metastasis” or “equivocal metastasis” by a standard reporting schema. Subsequent therapy modality details were observed through follow-up. Twenty-five of the 74 patients were diagnosed with bone metastases. 99mTc-PSMA SPECT/CT and 99mTc-MDP SPECT/CT detected 20 and 18 bone metastases, with sensitivities of 80.0% (20/25) and 72.0% (18/25), specificities of 100.0% (49/49) and 81.3% (40/49), and AUCs of 88.0% and 84.9%, respectively. There was a significant difference in the AUC between the two imaging methods (P < 0.001). In an analysis of the number of bone metastasis lesions, the proportion of “typical metastasis” versus “equivocal metastasis” detected by the two imaging methods was 26.3:1 (PSMA) and 2.9:1 (MDP), and the difference was statistically significant (P = 0.005). There was a significant difference in the detection of bone metastatic lesions by 99mTc-PSMA and 99mTc-MDP when the maximum diameter of the lesions was ≤ 0.6 cm (P < 0.05). The optimal cut-off value for PSA was 2.635 ng/mL (PSMA) and 15.275 ng/mL (MDP). 99mTc-PSMA SPECT/CT led to a change in management to a more individualized therapy modality for 11 of 74 men (14.9%). 99mTc-PSMA SPECT/CT was superior to 99mTc-MDP SPECT/CT in the detection of bone metastases in PCa, especially for small lesions and in patients with low PSA levels, and demonstrated an additional benefit of providing information on extraskeletal metastases. With regard to therapy, 99mTc-PSMA scans might have utility in improving the subsequent therapy modality.

PMID:36163353 | DOI:10.1038/s41598-022-20280-x

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Estimating individual treatment effect on disability progression in multiple sclerosis using deep learning

Nat Commun. 2022 Sep 26;13(1):5645. doi: 10.1038/s41467-022-33269-x.

ABSTRACT

Disability progression in multiple sclerosis remains resistant to treatment. The absence of a suitable biomarker to allow for phase 2 clinical trials presents a high barrier for drug development. We propose to enable short proof-of-concept trials by increasing statistical power using a deep-learning predictive enrichment strategy. Specifically, a multi-headed multilayer perceptron is used to estimate the conditional average treatment effect (CATE) using baseline clinical and imaging features, and patients predicted to be most responsive are preferentially randomized into a trial. Leveraging data from six randomized clinical trials (n = 3,830), we first pre-trained the model on the subset of relapsing-remitting MS patients (n = 2,520), then fine-tuned it on a subset of primary progressive MS (PPMS) patients (n = 695). In a separate held-out test set of PPMS patients randomized to anti-CD20 antibodies or placebo (n = 297), the average treatment effect was larger for the 50% (HR, 0.492; 95% CI, 0.266-0.912; p = 0.0218) and 30% (HR, 0.361; 95% CI, 0.165-0.79; p = 0.008) predicted to be most responsive, compared to 0.743 (95% CI, 0.482-1.15; p = 0.179) for the entire group. The same model could also identify responders to laquinimod in another held-out test set of PPMS patients (n = 318). Finally, we show that using this model for predictive enrichment results in important increases in power.

PMID:36163349 | DOI:10.1038/s41467-022-33269-x

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Operator assessment versus core laboratory adjudication of recanalization following endovascular treatment of acute ischemic stroke: a systematic review and meta-analysis

J Neurointerv Surg. 2022 Sep 26:neurintsurg-2022-019266. doi: 10.1136/jnis-2022-019266. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Successful recanalization after endovascular thrombectomy serves as the primary endpoint in clinical trials and is a crucial predictor of long-term outcomes. Radiographic outcomes for various interventions have been shown to vary based on the type of interpreter, including the site interventionalist compared with an independent reader.

OBJECTIVE: To compare angiographic outcomes in stroke thrombectomy procedures based on the type of reader.

METHODS: A systematic literature search was conducted in Medline, EMBASE, Scopus, and Web-of-Science through February 2022. We included primary studies that reported core laboratory-read and operator angiographic outcomes after mechanical thrombectomy for ischemic stroke. Furthermore, study-defined successful recanalization data were collected.

RESULTS: Eight studies were included with 4797 patients, 51.2% of whom were male. Four thousand, four hundred and thirty-one patients had core readings, and 4211 had operator readings. Study-defined successful recanalization was significantly higher for operator (84%, 3543/4211) examinations than for core laboratory-read (78.4%, 3476/4431) examinations (p<0.001; OR=1.462, 95% CI 1.175 to 1.819). The modified Thrombolysis in Cerebral Infarction (mTICI) scale score of ≥2 b was higher for operator (85%, 3341/3929) examinations than for core laboratory-read (78.6%, 3107/3952) examinations (p<0.001; OR=1.349, 95% CI 1.071 to 1.701). mTICI 3 was significantly higher for operator (54.6%, 1000/1832) examinations than for core laboratory-read (39.9%, 731/1832) examinations (p<0.001; OR=1.823, 95% CI 1.598 to 2.081).

CONCLUSION: Operator angiographic reads are statistically significantly higher than core laboratory-read readings following stroke thrombectomy, especially for complete recanalization. These differences should be considered when interpreting reports of angiographic outcomes after thrombectomy.

PMID:36163347 | DOI:10.1136/jnis-2022-019266

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Anteroposterior Versus Anterolateral Electrode Position for Direct Current Cardioversion of Atrial Fibrillation: A Meta-Analysis of Randomised Controlled Trials

Heart Lung Circ. 2022 Sep 23:S1443-9506(22)01089-7. doi: 10.1016/j.hlc.2022.08.016. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Data regarding optimal electrode positioning for direct current cardioversion (DCCV) of atrial fibrillation (AF) has been inconsistent. This meta-analysis was conducted to systematically compare the efficacy of anteroposterior (AP) versus anterolateral (AL) electrode placement for DCCV of AF.

METHODS: Electronic databases were searched for randomised controlled trials (RCTs) comparing AP versus AL electrode positioning in patients undergoing DCCV for AF. Primary endpoints were first-shock success and overall DCCV success. Subgroup analysis was performed by defibrillator waveform (monophasic versus biphasic). Meta-regression analyses were performed to assess for significant moderators.

RESULTS: Twelve (12) RCTs, including a total of 2,046 patients, met inclusion criteria. Neither first-shock success (relative risk [RR] 0.92; 95% CI 0.79-1.07; p=0.28) nor overall DCCV success (RR 1.01; 95% CI 0.96-1.05; p=0.78) were significantly different with AP versus AL electrode positioning. The mean number of shocks (mean difference [MD] 0.3, 95% CI -0.4 to 0.9), energy level of first successful shock (MD 3 joules; 95% CI -20 to 27) and cumulative energy delivered (MD 39 joules; 95% CI -168 to 246) were similar in AP versus AL arms. In subgroup analysis of six RCTs using biphasic defibrillators, improvement in first-shock success (RR 0.85; 95% CI 0.69-1.03; p=0.10) and overall DCCV success (RR 0.97; 95% CI 0.93-1.01; p=0.09) with AL electrode positioning did not reach statistical significance. Meta-regression analyses identified older age, higher body mass index, and longer AF duration as significant moderators favouring AL electrode positioning.

CONCLUSIONS: Pooled analysis of randomised data overall does not show a significant difference in efficacy between AP versus AL electrode positioning. Meta-regression and subgroup analyses suggest that, in contemporary practice with use of biphasic defibrillators, there may be a subset of AF patients in whom AL electrode positioning improves efficacy of DCCV.

PMID:36163316 | DOI:10.1016/j.hlc.2022.08.016

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Identification of shared and differentiating genetic architecture for autism spectrum disorder, attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder and case subgroups

Nat Genet. 2022 Sep 26. doi: 10.1038/s41588-022-01171-3. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) and autism spectrum disorder (ASD) are highly heritable neurodevelopmental conditions, with considerable overlap in their genetic etiology. We dissected their shared and distinct genetic etiology by cross-disorder analyses of large datasets. We identified seven loci shared by the disorders and five loci differentiating them. All five differentiating loci showed opposite allelic directions in the two disorders and significant associations with other traits, including educational attainment, neuroticism and regional brain volume. Integration with brain transcriptome data enabled us to identify and prioritize several significantly associated genes. The shared genomic fraction contributing to both disorders was strongly correlated with other psychiatric phenotypes, whereas the differentiating portion was correlated most strongly with cognitive traits. Additional analyses revealed that individuals diagnosed with both ASD and ADHD were double-loaded with genetic predispositions for both disorders and showed distinctive patterns of genetic association with other traits compared with the ASD-only and ADHD-only subgroups. These results provide insights into the biological foundation of the development of one or both conditions and of the factors driving psychopathology discriminatively toward either ADHD or ASD.

PMID:36163277 | DOI:10.1038/s41588-022-01171-3

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Demographic, clinical, and laboratory findings of mushroom-poisoned patients in Kermanshah province, west of Iran

BMC Pharmacol Toxicol. 2022 Sep 26;23(1):72. doi: 10.1186/s40360-022-00614-1.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Mushroom poisoning can cause gastrointestinal, renal, and hepatic symptoms and even death. This descriptive study examined the demographic, clinical, and laboratory findings of patients with fungal poisoning, a type of fungus causing the poisoning, and the incidence and mortality rates of fungal poisoning in Kermanshah province, western Iran, from 2014 to 2018.

METHODS: The medical records of 193 patients with mushroom poisoning from 2014 to 2018 were evaluated. The liver and kidney function tests, electrolytes, abdominal and pelvic ultrasound, chest x-ray, coagulation tests, and coagulation factors (fibrinogen, prothrombin) were assessed. Data were collected from the medical records of patients admitted to the Poisoning Center of Imam Khomeini Hospital in Kermanshah, Iran using a researcher-made checklist. Data were analyzed by SPSS (version 16) using descriptive statistics, including mean, standard deviation, and frequency distribution tables. Trend analysis for proportion was done by chi-square statistics in STATA-14 software (ptrend command).

RESULTS: Of cases, ‌51.3% were male, 92.6% were city dwellers, 38.3% were aged 21-40 years, and 92.5% were poisoned during the spring. The fungus that caused poisoning was Amanita virosa. The gastrointestinal, nervous, and visual systems were the most common systems involved. The most common gastrointestinal symptoms included nausea and vomiting (72.0%) and abdominal pain (71.0%). Vertigo (11.9%) and headache (9.3%) were the most common neurological symptoms. The most common visual manifestation was blurred vision (7.8%). Of cases, 23.7% had metabolic acidosis. The increased alkaline phosphatase level was the most common liver disorder in 98.7% of the cases. Increased blood urea nitrogen and creatinine levels were also reported in 21.0% and 17.7% of the cases, respectively. The serum lactic dehydrogenase and creatine phosphokinase levels also increased in 99.3% and 30.2% of the patients, respectively. The mortality rate was 1.6% (n = 3).

CONCLUSION: The fungal poisoning diagnosis should always be considered in young patients referred to the emergency department with gastrointestinal complaints, a history of consuming wild self-picked mushrooms, and high liver and kidney test values. Since most fungal poisonings occur in the spring, it is necessary to inform the community of the dangers of consuming self-picked wild mushrooms, especially in this season.

PMID:36163273 | DOI:10.1186/s40360-022-00614-1

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Traces of JC polyomavirus in papillary thyroid cancer: a comprehensive study in Iran

Virol J. 2022 Sep 26;19(1):153. doi: 10.1186/s12985-022-01881-4.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: JC polyomavirus (JCPyV) is known to induce solid tumors such as astrocytomas, glioblastomas, and neuroblastomas in experimental animals, and recent studies have shown that the virus may be correlated with carcinogenesis. This study aimed to evaluate the impact of JCPyV on the progression of papillary thyroid cancer (PTC).

METHODS: A total of 1057 samples, including 645 paraffin-embedded PTC biopsy samples (PEBS) and 412 fresh biopsy samples (FBS), and 1057 adjacent non-cancerous samples were evaluated for the presence of JCPyV DNA and RNA.

RESULTS: We observed that 10.8% (114/1057) samples, including 17.5% (72/412) FBS and 6.5% (42/645) PEBS were positive for the JCPyV DNA. Among the JCPyV-positive samples, the mean JCPyV copy number was lower in patients with PEBS (0.3 × 10-4 ± 0.1 × 10-4 copies/cell) compared to FBS (1.8 × 10-1 ± 0.4 × 10-1 copies/cell) and non-PTC normal samples (0.2 × 10-5 ± 0.01 × 10-5 copies/cell), with a statistically significant difference (P < 0.001). The LT-Ag RNA expression was lower in PEBS than in FBS, while no VP1 gene transcript expression was found.

CONCLUSIONS: Although our results confirmed the presence of JCPyV in some Iranian patients with PTC, more research is needed to verify these results.

PMID:36163265 | DOI:10.1186/s12985-022-01881-4

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Ranking the environmental factors of indoor air quality of metropolitan independent coffee shops by Random Forests model

Sci Rep. 2022 Sep 26;12(1):16057. doi: 10.1038/s41598-022-20421-2.

ABSTRACT

Independent coffee shops are the alternative workplaces for people working remotely from traditional offices but are not concerned about their indoor air quality (IAQ). This study aimed to rank the environmental factors in affecting the IAQ by Random Forests (RFs) models. The indoor environments and human activities of participated independent coffee shops were observed and recorded for 3 consecutive days including weekdays and weekend during the business hours. The multi-sized particulate matter (PM), particle-bound polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (p-PAHs), total volatile organic compounds (TVOCs), CO, CO2, temperature and relative humidity were monitored. RFs models ranked the environmental factors. More than 20% of the 15-min average concentrations of PM10, PM2.5, and CO2 exceeded the World Health Organization guidelines. Occupant density affected TVOCs, p-PAHs and CO2 concentrations directly. Tobacco smoking dominated PM10, PM2.5, TVOCs and p-PAHs concentrations mostly. CO concentration was affected by roasting bean first and tobacco smoking secondly. The non-linear relationships between temperature and these pollutants illustrated the relative low concentrations happened at temperature between 22 and 24 °C. Tobacco smoking, roasting beans and occupant density are the observable activities to alert the IAQ change. Decreasing CO2 and optimizing the room temperature could also be the surrogate parameters to assure the IAQ.

PMID:36163251 | DOI:10.1038/s41598-022-20421-2