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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The effect of non-surgical periodontal therapy on salivary IL-6 levels in patients with moderate to severe generalized chronic periodontitis

Ir J Med Sci. 2023 Mar 3. doi: 10.1007/s11845-023-03325-6. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Gene regulation of IL-6 is characterized by the presence of inflammatory cytokines, bacterial products, viral infection, and activation of the diacylglycerol-, cyclic AMP-, or Ca + + -activated signal transduction pathways.

AIM: Scaling and root planning (SRP), a non-surgical periodontal therapy, was studied in connection to several clinical parameters for its effect on salivary IL-6 levels in patients with generalized chronic periodontitis.

METHODS: For this study, a total of 60 GCP patients were included. Plaque index (PI), gingival index (GI), pocket probing depth (PPD), bleeding on probing percentage (BOP%), and clinical attachment loss were among the clinical indicators covered (CAL).

RESULTS: Following SRP, mean IL-6 levels in patients with GCP were significantly higher in the pre-treatment group (2.93 5.17 pg/ml; p 0.05) than in the posttreatment group (5.78 8.26 pg/ml; baseline). Pre- and post-treatment IL-6 levels for PI (pre), BOP percent (pre/post), GI (post), and PPD were found to be positively correlated (post). In patients with GCP, the study showed a statistically significant correlation between periodontal metrics and salivary IL-6.

CONCLUSIONS: Changes in periodontal indices and IL-6 levels that are statistically significant over time indicate that non-surgical treatment is effective, and IL-6 can be regarded as a potent disease activity marker.

PMID:36869249 | DOI:10.1007/s11845-023-03325-6

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Blood-brain barrier dysfunction and folate and vitamin B12 levels in first-episode schizophrenia-spectrum psychosis: a retrospective chart review

Eur Arch Psychiatry Clin Neurosci. 2023 Mar 4. doi: 10.1007/s00406-023-01572-3. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Vitamin deficiency syndromes and blood-brain barrier (BBB) dysfunction are frequent phenomena in psychiatric conditions. We analysed the largest available first-episode schizophrenia-spectrum psychosis (FEP) cohort to date regarding routine cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) and blood parameters to investigate the association between vitamin deficiencies (vitamin B12 and folate) and BBB impairments in FEP. We report a retrospective analysis of clinical data from all inpatients that were admitted to our tertiary care hospital with an ICD-10 diagnosis of a first-episode F2x (schizophrenia-spectrum) between January 1, 2008 and August 1, 2018 and underwent a lumbar puncture, blood-based vitamin status diagnostics and neuroimaging within the clinical routine. 222 FEP patients were included in our analyses. We report an increased CSF/serum albumin quotient (Qalb) as a sign of BBB dysfunction in 17.1% (38/222) of patients. White matter lesions (WML) were present in 29.3% of patients (62/212). 17.6% of patients (39/222) showed either decreased vitamin B12 levels or decreased folate levels. No statistically significant association was found between vitamin deficiencies and altered Qalb. This retrospective analysis contributes to the discussion on the impact of vitamin deficiency syndromes in FEP. Although decreased vitamin B12 or folate levels were found in approximately 17% of our cohort, we found no evidence for significant associations between BBB dysfunction and vitamin deficiencies. To strengthen the evidence regarding the clinical implications of vitamin deficiencies in FEP, prospective studies with standardized measurements of vitamin levels together with follow-up measurements and assessment of symptom severity in addition to CSF diagnostics are needed.

PMID:36869234 | DOI:10.1007/s00406-023-01572-3

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Immune-related toxicity and soluble profile in patients affected by solid tumors: a network approach

Cancer Immunol Immunother. 2023 Mar 3. doi: 10.1007/s00262-023-03384-9. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) have particular, immune-related adverse events (irAEs), as a consequence of interfering with self-tolerance mechanisms. The incidence of irAEs varies depending on ICI class, administered dose and treatment schedule. The aim of this study was to define a baseline (T0) immune profile (IP) predictive of irAE development.

METHODS: A prospective, multicenter study evaluating the immune profile (IP) of 79 patients with advanced cancer and treated with anti-programmed cell death protein 1 (anti-PD-1) drugs as a first- or second-line setting was performed. The results were then correlated with irAEs onset. The IP was studied by means of multiplex assay, evaluating circulating concentration of 12 cytokines, 5 chemokines, 13 soluble immune checkpoints and 3 adhesion molecules. Indoleamine 2, 3-dioxygenase (IDO) activity was measured through a modified liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry using the high-performance liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry (HPLC-MS/MS) method. A connectivity heatmap was obtained by calculating Spearman correlation coefficients. Two different networks of connectivity were constructed, based on the toxicity profile.

RESULTS: Toxicity was predominantly of low/moderate grade. High-grade irAEs were relatively rare, while cumulative toxicity was high (35%). Positive and statistically significant correlations between the cumulative toxicity and IP10 and IL8, sLAG3, sPD-L2, sHVEM, sCD137, sCD27 and sICAM-1 serum concentration were found. Moreover, patients who experienced irAEs had a markedly different connectivity pattern, characterized by disruption of most of the paired connections between cytokines, chemokines and connections of sCD137, sCD27 and sCD28, while sPDL-2 pair-wise connectivity values seemed to be intensified. Network connectivity analysis identified a total of 187 statistically significant interactions in patients without toxicity and a total of 126 statistically significant interactions in patients with toxicity. Ninety-eight interactions were common to both networks, while 29 were specifically observed in patients who experienced toxicity.

CONCLUSIONS: A particular, common pattern of immune dysregulation was defined in patients developing irAEs. This immune serological profile, if confirmed in a larger patient population, could lead to the design of a personalized therapeutic strategy in order to prevent, monitor and treat irAEs at an early stage.

PMID:36869232 | DOI:10.1007/s00262-023-03384-9

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Assumption-checking rather than (just) testing: The importance of visualization and effect size in statistical diagnostics

Behav Res Methods. 2023 Mar 3. doi: 10.3758/s13428-023-02072-x. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Statistical methods generally have assumptions (e.g., normality in linear regression models). Violations of these assumptions can cause various issues, like statistical errors and biased estimates, whose impact can range from inconsequential to critical. Accordingly, it is important to check these assumptions, but this is often done in a flawed way. Here, I first present a prevalent but problematic approach to diagnostics-testing assumptions using null hypothesis significance tests (e.g., the Shapiro-Wilk test of normality). Then, I consolidate and illustrate the issues with this approach, primarily using simulations. These issues include statistical errors (i.e., false positives, especially with large samples, and false negatives, especially with small samples), false binarity, limited descriptiveness, misinterpretation (e.g., of p-value as an effect size), and potential testing failure due to unmet test assumptions. Finally, I synthesize the implications of these issues for statistical diagnostics, and provide practical recommendations for improving such diagnostics. Key recommendations include maintaining awareness of the issues with assumption tests (while recognizing they can be useful), using appropriate combinations of diagnostic methods (including visualization and effect sizes) while recognizing their limitations, and distinguishing between testing and checking assumptions. Additional recommendations include judging assumption violations as a complex spectrum (rather than a simplistic binary), using programmatic tools that increase replicability and decrease researcher degrees of freedom, and sharing the material and rationale involved in the diagnostics.

PMID:36869217 | DOI:10.3758/s13428-023-02072-x

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Surgical, survival and quality of life outcomes in over 1000 pelvic exenterations: lessons learned from a large Australian case series

ANZ J Surg. 2023 Mar 3. doi: 10.1111/ans.18356. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: To determine surgical, survival and quality of life outcomes across different tumour streams and lessons learned over 28 years.

METHODS: Consecutive patients undergoing pelvic exenteration at a single, high volume, referral hospital, between 1994 and 2022 were included. Patients were grouped according to their tumour type at presentation as follows, advanced primary rectal cancer, other advanced primary malignancy, locally recurrent rectal cancer, other locally recurrent malignancy and non-malignant indications. The main outcomes included, resection margins, postoperative morbidity, long-term overall survival, and quality of life outcomes. Non-parametric statistics and survival analyses were performed to compare outcomes between groups.

RESULTS: Of the 1023 pelvic exenterations performed, 981 (95.9%) unique patients were included. Most patients underwent pelvic exenteration due to locally recurrent rectal cancer (N = 321, 32.7%) or advanced primary rectal cancer (N = 286, 29.2%). The rates of clear surgical margins (89.2%; P < 0.001) and 30-days mortality were higher in the advanced primary rectal cancer group (3.2%; P = 0.025). The 5-year overall survival rates were 66.3% in advanced primary rectal cancer and 44.6% in locally recurrent rectal cancer. Quality of life outcomes differed across groups at baseline, but generally had good trajectories thereafter. International benchmarking revelled excellent comparative outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS: The results of this study demonstrate excellent outcomes overall, but significant differences in surgical, survival and quality of life outcomes across patients undergoing pelvic exenteration due to different tumour streams. The data reported in this manuscript can be utilized by other centres as benchmarking as well as proving both subjective and objective outcome details to support informed decision-making for patients.

PMID:36869215 | DOI:10.1111/ans.18356

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Association of ApaI rs7975232 and BsmI rs1544410 in clinical outcomes of COVID-19 patients according to different SARS-CoV-2 variants

Sci Rep. 2023 Mar 3;13(1):3612. doi: 10.1038/s41598-023-30859-7.

ABSTRACT

A growing body of research has shown how important vitamin D is in the prognosis of coronavirus disease 19 (COVID-19). The vitamin D receptor is necessary for vitamin D to perform its effects, and its polymorphisms can help in this regard. Therefore, we aimed to evaluate whether the association of ApaI rs7975232 and BsmI rs1544410 polymorphisms in different severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) variants were influential in the outcomes of COVID-19. The polymerase chain reaction-restriction fragment length polymorphism method was utilized to determine the different genotypes of ApaI rs7975232 and BsmI rs1544410 in 1734 and 1450 patients who had recovered and deceased, respectively. Our finding revealed that the ApaI rs7975232 AA genotype in the Delta and Omicron BA.5 and the CA genotype in the Delta and Alpha variants were associated with higher mortality rate. Also, the BsmI rs1544410 GG genotype in the Delta and Omicron BA.5 and the GA genotype in the Delta and Alpha variants were related to a higher mortality rate. The A-G haplotype was linked with COVID-19 mortality in both the Alpha and Delta variants. The A-A haplotype for the Omicron BA.5 variants was statistically significant. In conclusion, our research revealed a connection between SARS-CoV-2 variants and the impacts of ApaI rs7975232 and BsmI rs1544410 polymorphisms. However, more research is still needed to substantiate our findings.

PMID:36869206 | DOI:10.1038/s41598-023-30859-7

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Bayesian Statistics for Medical Devices: Progress Since 2010

Ther Innov Regul Sci. 2023 Mar 3. doi: 10.1007/s43441-022-00495-w. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

The use of Bayesian statistics to support regulatory evaluation of medical devices began in the late 1990s. We review the literature, focusing on recent developments of Bayesian methods, including hierarchical modeling of studies and subgroups, borrowing strength from prior data, effective sample size, Bayesian adaptive designs, pediatric extrapolation, benefit-risk decision analysis, use of real-world evidence, and diagnostic device evaluation. We illustrate how these developments were utilized in recent medical device evaluations. In Supplementary Material, we provide a list of medical devices for which Bayesian statistics were used to support approval by the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA), including those since 2010, the year the FDA published their guidance on Bayesian statistics for medical devices. We conclude with a discussion of current and future challenges and opportunities for Bayesian statistics, including artificial intelligence/machine learning (AI/ML) Bayesian modeling, uncertainty quantification, Bayesian approaches using propensity scores, and computational challenges for high dimensional data and models.

PMID:36869194 | DOI:10.1007/s43441-022-00495-w

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Inappropriate use of statistical power

Bone Marrow Transplant. 2023 Mar 3. doi: 10.1038/s41409-023-01935-3. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

We are pleased to add this typescript, Inappropriate use of statistical power by Raphael Fraser to the BONE MARROW TRANSPLANTATION Statistics Series. The authour discusses how we sometimes misuse statistical analyses after a study is completed and analyzed to explain the results. The most egregious example is post hoc power calculations.When the conclusion of an observational study or clinical trial is negative, namely, the data observed (or more extreme data) fail to reject the null hypothesis, people often argue for calculating the observed statistical power. This is especially true of clinical trialists believing in a new therapy who wished and hoped for a favorable outcome (rejecting the null hypothesis). One is reminded of the saying from Benjamin Franklin: A man convinced against his will is of the same opinion still.As the authour notes, when we face a negative conclusion of a clinical trial there are two possibilities: (1) there is no treatment effect; or (2) we made a mistake. By calculating the observed power after the study, people (incorrectly) believe if the observed power is high there is strong support for the null hypothesis. However, the problem is usually the opposite: if the observed power is low, the null hypothesis was not rejected because there were too few subjects. This is usually couched in terms such as: there was a trend towards… or we failed to detect a benefit because we had too few subjects or the like. Observed power should not be used to interpret results of a negative study. Put more strongly, observed power should not be calculated after a study is completed and analyzed. The power of the study to reject or not the null hypothesis is already incorporated in the calculation of the p value.The authour use interesting analogies to make important points about hypothesis testing. Testing the null hypothesis is like a jury trial. The jury can find the plaintiff guilty or not guilty. They cannot find him innocent. It is always important to recall failure to reject the null hypothesis does not mean the null hypothesis is true, simply there are insufficient evidence (data) to reject it. As the author notes: In a sense, hypothesis testing is like world championship boxing where the null hypothesis is the champion until defeated by the challenger, the alternative hypothesis, to become the new world champion.The authour include a discussion of what is a p-value, a topic we discussed before in this series and elsewhere [1, 2]. Finally, there is a nice discussion of confidence intervals (frequentist) and credibility limits (Bayesian). A frequentist interpretation views probability as the limit of the relative frequency of an event after many trials. In contrast, a Bayesian interpretation views probability in the context of a degree of belief in an event . This belief could be based on prior knowledge such as the results of previous trials, biological plausibility or personal beliefs (my drug is better than your drug). The important point is the common mis-interpretation of confidence intervals. For example, many researchers interpret a 95 percent confidence interval to mean there is a 95 percent chance this interval contains the parameter value. This is wrong. It means, if we repeat the identical study many times 95 percent of the intervals will contain the true but unknown parameter in the population. This will seem strange to many people because we are interested only in the study we are analyzing, not in repeating the same study-design many times.We hope readers will enjoy this well-written summary of common statistical errors, especially post hoc calculations of observed power. Going forth we hope to ban statements like there was a trend towards… or we failed to detect a benefit because we had too few subjects from the Journal. Reviewers have been advised. Proceed at your own risk. Robert Peter Gale MD, PhD, DSc(hc), FACP, FRCP, FRCPI(hon), FRSM, Imperial College London, Mei-Jie Zhang PhD, Medical College of Wisconsin.

PMID:36869191 | DOI:10.1038/s41409-023-01935-3

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Habitually Skipping Breakfast Is Associated with the Risk of Gastrointestinal Cancers: Evidence from the Kailuan Cohort Study

J Gen Intern Med. 2023 Mar 3. doi: 10.1007/s11606-023-08094-7. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Habitually skipping breakfast may promote the initiation and progression of gastrointestinal (GI) cancers, which have never been systematically explored in large-scale prospective studies.

METHODS: We prospectively examined the effects of breakfast frequency on the occurrence of GI cancers among 62,746 participants. The hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) of GI cancers were calculated by Cox regression. The CAUSALMED procedure was used to perform the mediation analyses.

RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 5.61 (5.18 ~ 6.08) years, 369 incident GI cancer cases were identified. Participants who consumed 1-2 times breakfasts per week exhibited an increased risk of stomach (HR = 3.45, 95% CI: 1.06-11.20) and liver cancer (HR = 3.42, 95% CI: 1.22-9.53). Participants who did not eat breakfast had an elevated risk of esophageal (HR = 2.72, 95% CI: 1.05-7.03), colorectal (HR = 2.32, 95% CI: 1.34-4.01), liver (HR = 2.41, 95% CI: 1.23-4.71), gallbladder, and extrahepatic bile duct cancer (HR = 5.43, 95% CI: 1.34-21.93). In the mediation effect analyses, BMI, CRP, and TyG (fasting triglyceride-glucose) index did not mediate the association between breakfast frequency and the risk of GI cancer incidence (all P for mediation effect > 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS: Habitually skipping breakfast was associated with a greater risk of GI cancers including esophageal, gastric, colorectal, liver, gallbladder, and extrahepatic bile duct cancer.

TRIAL REGISTRATION: Kailuan study, ChiCTR-TNRC-11001489. Registered 24 August, 2011-Retrospectively registered, http://www.chictr.org.cn/showprojen.aspx?proj=8050.

PMID:36869181 | DOI:10.1007/s11606-023-08094-7

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Investigating sleep quality and sleep hygiene awareness among Chinese adults: an association and network analysis study

Sleep Breath. 2023 Mar 4. doi: 10.1007/s11325-023-02798-0. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: The relationships between sleep quality and sleep hygiene awareness in the Chinese population were unclear. We aimed to investigate the associations and related factors between sleep quality and sleep hygiene awareness in adults and to identify the most central domain for sleep quality using network analysis.

METHODS: A cross-sectional survey was conducted from April 22 to May 5, 2020. Adults (18 years old or above) who had access to smartphones were invited to participate in this survey. The Pittsburg Sleep Quality Index (PSQI) and the Sleep Hygiene Awareness and Practice Scale (SHAPS) were used to evaluate the sleep quality and sleep hygiene awareness of the participants. Propensity score matching (PSM) was used as sensitivity analysis to reduce the confounding effects. Multiple logistic regression was performed to evaluate the associations. The R packages “bootnet” and “qgraph” were used to estimate the connection and calculate the network centrality indices between good and poor sleepers.

RESULTS: In total, 939 respondents were included in the analysis. Of them, 48.8% (95% CI: 45.6-52.0%) were identified as poor sleepers. Participants with nervous system diseases, psychiatric diseases, and psychological problems were more likely to have poor sleep quality. The notion that using sleep medication regularly was beneficial to sleep was associated with poor sleep quality. Similarly, the notion that waking up at the same time each day disrupted sleep was also associated with poor sleep quality. The findings were consistent before and after PSM. Subjective sleep quality was the most central domain for sleep quality in good and poor sleepers.

CONCLUSION: Poor sleep quality was positively associated with certain sleep hygiene notions in Chinese adults. Effective measures such as self-relief, sleep hygiene education, and cognitive behavioral treatment may have been needed to improve sleep quality, especially during the COVID-19 outbreak.

PMID:36869169 | DOI:10.1007/s11325-023-02798-0