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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Strontium in barium sulphate as a discriminating factor in the forensic analysis of tool paint by SEM/EDS

Forensic Sci Int. 2021 Dec 2;331:111127. doi: 10.1016/j.forsciint.2021.111127. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

In the context of forensic tool paint analysis, the development of analytical strategies to distinguish between different tools is of great interest in order to form a better opinion on whether or not a trace of paint seized at a crime scene originates from a tool found, for example, during a search of a house. A study was therefore conducted on the potential of using X-ray mapping to discriminate red tools that are not otherwise distinguished by standard analytical techniques (i.e. optical microscopy, infra-red spectroscopy, Raman spectroscopy). In this study, the presence of trace amounts of strontium – revealed by X-ray mapping – in the main mineral filler, namely barium sulphate, allowed the discrimination of different tools using a statistical approach. This study is one example among others of the potential of X-ray mapping for a better characterisation of tool paints in a forensic context.

PMID:34894612 | DOI:10.1016/j.forsciint.2021.111127

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The effectiveness of humanoid diagram teaching strategy on care capacity and retention in novice nurses

Nurse Educ Pract. 2021 Nov 30;58:103272. doi: 10.1016/j.nepr.2021.103272. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

AIM: To examine the effectiveness of a Humanoid Diagram Teaching Strategy (HDTS) on care capabilities and retention of novice nurses.

BACKGROUND: Guiding novice nurses in clinical practice is a matter of concern and the use of diagrams in assisting the learning process and to promote learning efficiency has been acknowledged.

DESIGN: This is a quasi-experimental study with asynchronous repeated measurements for the experimental and control groups.

METHODS: The study was conducted in a medical centre in southern Taiwan with 24 novice nurses. The intervention, Humanoid Diagrams Teaching Strategy, contained three parts: the head and neck; trunk; and limbs. The HDTS was applied three time weekly. Each session lasted approximately 30 min and the training lasted 4 weeks. The effectiveness of HDTS was measured using Mini-CEX, CbD and retention rates in the 3rd and 6th months of novice nurses’ experience.

RESULTS: After the HDTS, although increases in mini-CEX and CbD scores in the experimental group were greater than the control group, these differences were not statistically significant after considering the time interaction. But the 3rd month and 6th month novice nurses’ retention rates were statistically significantly different by comparing the differences under the time interaction effects in both groups.

CONCLUSIONS: The Humanoid Diagram Teaching Strategy is an effective tool for preceptors to use in assisting novice nurses in learning, improving their nursing care knowledge and technical skills and to increase their retention rate.

PMID:34894604 | DOI:10.1016/j.nepr.2021.103272

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Influence of Race, Insurance, and Rurality on Equity of Breast Cancer Care

J Surg Res. 2021 Dec 8;271:117-124. doi: 10.1016/j.jss.2021.09.042. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Considerable gaps in knowledge remain regarding the intersectionality between race, insurance status, rurality, and community-level socioeconomic status that contribute in concert to disparities in breast cancer care delivery.

METHODS: Women age 18-64 y old with either private, Medicaid, or no insurance coverage and a diagnosis of breast cancer from the North Carolina Central Cancer Registry (2010-2015) were identified and reviewed. Logistic regression models examined the impact of race, insurance status, rurality, and the Social Deprivation Index (SDI) on advanced stage disease at diagnosis (III, IV) and receipt of cancer directed surgery (CDS). Models tested two-way interactions between race, insurance status, rurality, and SDI.

RESULTS: Of the study population (n = 23,529), 14.6% were diagnosed with advanced stage disease (III, IV), and 97.1% of women with non-metastatic breast cancer (n = 22,438) received cancer directed surgery (CDS). Twenty percent of women were non-Hispanic Black (NHB), 3.0% Hispanic, 10.9% Medicaid insured, 5.9% uninsured, 20.0% of women resided in rural areas, and 20.0% resided in communities of the highest quartile SDI. NHB race, Medicaid or uninsured status, and residence in rural or socially deprived areas were associated with advanced stage breast cancer at diagnosis. NHB and Medicaid or uninsured women were significantly less likely to receive CDS. There were no statistically significant interactions found influencing stage at diagnosis or receipt of cancer directed surgery.

CONCLUSIONS: In a heterogeneous population across the state of North Carolina, non-Hispanic Black race, Medicaid or uninsured status, and residence in rural or high social deprivation communities are independently associated with advanced stage breast cancer at diagnosis, while non-Hispanic Black race and Medicaid or uninsured status are associated with lower odds to receive cancer directed surgery.

PMID:34894544 | DOI:10.1016/j.jss.2021.09.042

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Tissue Doppler echocardiography in children with OSA before and after tonsillectomy and adenoidectomy: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Int J Pediatr Otorhinolaryngol. 2021 Dec 5;152:111002. doi: 10.1016/j.ijporl.2021.111002. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: When to order an echocardiogram in children with obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) is debated. Studies evaluating the utility of pre-operative standard echocardiography are inconsistent. Tissue Doppler imaging (TDI) is an additional technique that quantifies the velocity of myocardial motion to assess cardiac function. The utility of TDI in pediatric OSA remains unclear.

METHODS: A systematic review and meta-analysis were performed in accordance with PRISMA guidelines using PubMed, Scopus, CINAHL, and Cochrane Library databases. Studies of echocardiographic findings using TDI in children with polysomnogram confirmed OSA before and after tonsillectomy and adenoidectomy (T&A) were included. 1,423 studies were screened, and 4 studies met inclusion criteria. Meta-analysis of echocardiographic findings was performed.

RESULTS: Data from 560 children were analyzed. Study groups included pre- and post-T&A children with OSA and non OSA controls. Pre-T&A S’ wave at the tricuspid annulus (S’ RV) was decreased with a mean difference of -1.04 [95% CI -1.57, -0.52, p < 0.001] and E’/A’ ratio at the mitral annulus (E’/A’ LV) was decreased with a mean difference of -0.74 [95% CI -0.85, -0.64, p < 0.001] when compared to controls. These variables were not statistically different when comparing post-T&A to controls.

CONCLUSIONS: TDI appears to successfully detect subclinical changes in cardiac function in children with OSA. However, echocardiography parameters of post-T&A and non OSA control children were similar. Further prospective studies stratified by OSA severity are needed with both TDI and standard echocardiography to define the utility of pre-operative cardiac imaging.

PMID:34894539 | DOI:10.1016/j.ijporl.2021.111002

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Outcome reporting in trials on conservative interventions for pelvic organ prolapse: A systematic review for the development of a core outcome set

Eur J Obstet Gynecol Reprod Biol. 2021 Aug 28;268:100-109. doi: 10.1016/j.ejogrb.2021.08.028. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Significant risk of bias and limitations in outcome selections in trials evaluating conservative treatments for the management of Pelvic Organ Prolapse (POP) have been highlighted and preclude comparability of outcomes, synthesis of primary studies and high quality evidence.

OBJECTIVES: As systematic review of the reported outcomes is the first step in the process of development of a Core Outcome Set (COS), we aimed to systematically review reporting of outcomes and outcome measures in Randomised Control Trials (RCTs) on conservative treatments for POP and develop an inventory of them for consideration as core outcome and outcome measures sets. We evaluated methodological quality, outcome reporting quality and publication characteristics and their associations among published RCTs.

STUDY DESIGN: Systematic review of RCTs identified from the following databases: Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL), EMBASE and MEDLINE (Pubmed). RCTs evaluating the effectiveness of conservative interventions for the management of POP were considered for inclusion. Outcomes and outcome measures were obtained from the RCTs and an inventory was created. Outcomes were grouped in domains and themes. Methodological quality, outcome reporting quality and publication characteristics were evaluated and statistically analysed.

RESULTS: Twenty-five trials (3179 women) were included and reported 31 outcomes and 50 outcome measures. Reporting rates of the outcomes investigated ranged between 4% and 56%. The most commonly reported outcome domains were patient reported symptoms, stage of POP expressed as POP-Q stage, and quality of life. Univariate analysis demonstrated no significant correlations of methodological and outcome reporting parameters.

CONCLUSIONS: There is a need to increase comparability of RCTs. Reporting standardized outcomes included in a COS for conservative interventions for POP will facilitate the comparability across RCTs. While the process of developing COS is in progress, we propose the interim use of the three most commonly reported outcomes in each domain: patient-reported outcomes (symptom distress including bowel and urinary symptoms, sexual function), stage of prolapse and quality of life parameters using validated questionnaires (Pelvic Floor Distress Inventory 20 (PFDI-20), Pelvic Floor Impact Questionnaire/Health related quality of life (PFIQ-7/HRQOL) and Pelvic Organ Prolapse Impact Questionnaire (POPIQ-7).

PMID:34894536 | DOI:10.1016/j.ejogrb.2021.08.028

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Effects of social participation and physical activity on all-cause mortality among older adults in Norfolk, England: an investigation of the EPIC-Norfolk study

Public Health. 2021 Dec 8;202:58-64. doi: 10.1016/j.puhe.2021.10.017. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: There is growing evidence of an association between social participation and improved physical and mental health among older individuals. The aims of this study were to explore the relationship between self-reported participation in groups, clubs, or organizations and all-cause mortality among older adults and examine the role of physical activity as a potential modifier of the health effects of social participation.

STUDY DESIGN: EPIC-Norfolk is a prospective cohort study that recruited 25,639 individuals between the ages of 40 and 79 in Norfolk County, England. This study involved a retrospective analysis of 8623 participants who had returned for the third health check between 2004 and 2011.

METHODS: Participants were categorized into those who reported participating socially and those who did not and were stratified by involvement in 0, 1, or 2 or more groups. Cox Proportional Hazards models were constructed to compare all-cause mortality between the groups. Stratum-specific hazard ratios were calculated by physical activity level to assess for effect modification.

RESULTS: Of the participants, 861 (9.98%) died during the follow-up period. After adjustment for confounding, social participation was associated with lower all-cause mortality (HR 0.84, 95% CI 0.73-0.97). Involvement in 2 or more groups was associated with lower all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 0.83, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.70-0.97), but the association was not statistically significant for people involved in only 1 group (HR 0.86, 95% CI 0.73-1.03). Physical activity appeared to modify the effect of social participation on mortality.

CONCLUSIONS: This study’s findings provide evidence of an association between social participation and lower all-cause mortality for older adults. They also suggest that the effect of social participation on health is greater for people who are more physically active. Population-level interventions to facilitate social participation may contribute to improving health and wellbeing among older individuals.

PMID:34894534 | DOI:10.1016/j.puhe.2021.10.017

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Transfer learning for spatio-temporal transferability of real-time crash prediction models

Accid Anal Prev. 2021 Dec 8;165:106511. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2021.106511. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Real-time crash prediction is a heavily studied area given their potential applications in proactive traffic safety management in which a plethora of statistical and machine learning (ML) models have been developed to predict traffic crashes in real-time. However, one of the fundamental issues relating to the application of these models is spatio-temporal transferability. The present paper attempts to address this gap of knowledge by combining Generative Adversarial Network (GAN) and transfer learning to examine the transferability of real-time crash prediction models under an extremely imbalanced data setting. Initially, a baseline model was developed using Deep Neural Network (DNN) with crash and microscopic traffic data collected from M1 Motorway in the UK in 2017. The dataset utilised in the baseline model is naturally imbalanced with 257 crash cases and 16,359,163 non-crash cases. To overcome data imbalance issue, Wasserstein GAN (WGAN) was utilised to generate synthetic crash data. Non-crash data were randomly undersampled due to computational limitations. The calibrated model was then applied to predict traffic crashes for five other datasets obtained from M1 (2018), M4 (2017 & 2018 separately) and M6 Motorway (2017 & 2018 separately) by using transfer learning. Model transferability was compared with standalone models and direct transfer from the baseline model. The study revealed that direct transfer is not feasible. However, models become transferable temporally, spatially, and spatio-temporally if transfer learning is applied. The predictability of the transferred models outperformed existing studies by achieving high Area Under Curve (AUC) values ranging between 0.69 and 0.95. The best transferred model can predict nearly 95% crashes with only a 5% false alarm rate by tuning thresholds. Furthermore, the performances of transferred models are on par with or better than the standalone model. The findings of this study proves that transfer learning can improve model transferability under extremely imbalanced settings which helps traffic engineers in developing highly transferable models in future.

PMID:34894483 | DOI:10.1016/j.aap.2021.106511

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Are English-language online patient education materials related to breast cancer risk assessment understandable, readable, and actionable?

Breast. 2021 Nov 25;61:29-34. doi: 10.1016/j.breast.2021.11.012. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: To evaluate the readability, understandability, and actionability of online patient education materials (OPEM) related to breast cancer risk assessment.

MATERIAL AND METHODS: We queried seven English-language search terms related to breast cancer risk assessment: breast cancer high-risk, breast cancer risk factors, breast cancer family history, BRCA, breast cancer risk assessment, Tyrer-Cuzick, and Gail model. Websites were categorized as: academic/hospital-based, commercial, government, non-profit or academic based on the organization hosting the site. Grade-level readability of qualifying websites and categories was determined using readability metrics and generalized estimating equations based on written content only. Readability scores were compared to the recommended parameters set by the American Medical Association (AMA). Understandability and actionability of OPEM related to breast cancer high-risk were evaluated using the Patient Education Materials Assessment Tool (PEMAT) and compared to criteria set at ≥70%. Descriptive statistics and inter-rater reliability analysis were utilized.

RESULTS: 343 websites were identified, of which 162 met study inclusion criteria. The average grade readability score was 12.1 across all websites (range 10.8-13.4). No website met the AMA recommendation. Commercial websites demonstrated the highest overall average readability of 13.1. Of the 26 websites related to the search term breast cancer high-risk, the average understandability and actionability scores were 62% and 34% respectively, both below criteria.

CONCLUSIONS: OPEM on breast cancer risk assessment available to the general public do not meet criteria for readability, understandability, or actionability. To ensure patient comprehension of medical information online, future information should be published in simpler, more appropriate terms.

PMID:34894464 | DOI:10.1016/j.breast.2021.11.012

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

A risk prediction model for selecting high-risk population for computed tomography lung cancer screening in China

Lung Cancer. 2021 Dec 1;163:27-34. doi: 10.1016/j.lungcan.2021.11.015. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Two large randomized controlled trials (RCTs) have demonstrated that low dose computed tomography (LDCT) screening reduces lung cancer mortality. Risk-prediction models have been proved to select individuals for lung cancer screening effectively. With the focus on established risk factors for lung cancer routinely available in general cancer screening settings, we aimed to develop and internally validated a risk prediction model for lung cancer.

MATERIALS AND METHODS: Using data from the Cancer Screening Program in Urban China (CanSPUC) in Henan province, China between 2013 and 2019, we conducted a prospective cohort study consisting of 282,254 participants including 126,445 males and 155,809 females. Detailed questionnaire, physical assessment and follow-up were completed for all participants. Using Cox proportional risk regression analysis, we developed the Henan Lung Cancer Risk Models based on simplified questionnaire. Model discrimination was evaluated by concordance statistics (C-statistics), and model calibration was evaluated by the bootstrap sampling, respectively.

RESULTS: By 2020, a total of 589 lung cancer cases occurred in the follow-up yielding an incident density of 64.91/100,000 person-years (pyrs). Age, gender, smoking, history of tuberculosis and history of emphysema were included into the model. The C-index of the model for 1-year lung cancer risk was 0.766 and 0.741 in the training set and validation set, respectively. In stratified analysis, the model showed better predictive power in males, younger participants, and former or current smoking participants. The model calibrated well across the deciles of predicted risk in both the overall population and all subgroups.

CONCLUSIONS: We developed and internally validated a simple risk prediction model for lung cancer, which may be useful to identify high-risk individuals for more intensive screening for cancer prevention.

PMID:34894456 | DOI:10.1016/j.lungcan.2021.11.015

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Incorporating circulating tumor DNA detection to radiographic assessment for treatment response in advanced EGFR-mutant lung cancer

Lung Cancer. 2021 Nov 25;163:14-18. doi: 10.1016/j.lungcan.2021.11.010. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST) has limitations but remains the conventional approach for tumor assessments. We explored whether circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) can be incorporated into RECIST to provide a more robust measure of tumor response in advanced EGFR-mutant NSCLC.

PATIENTS AND METHODS: In FASTACT-2, patients with advanced NSCLC received platinum/gemcitabine intercalated with erlotinib or placebo. EGFR mutation (tumor and plasma ctDNA) was detected using cobas v2. Patients selected for this hypothesis-generating analysis had EGFR mutations (on either tumor or plasma) at baseline and evaluable week 8 plasma EGFR. Week 8 ctDNA and radiologic response status were correlated with survival using landmark cox regression analyses.

RESULTS: Of the original 451 patients, 86 (19.1%) were eligible for this analysis. 73% (n = 63) had detectable ctDNA at baseline. At week 8, 40% (n = 34) had radiologic partial response (PR), 60% (n = 52) had stable disease (SD); 80% (n = 69) had a ctDNA response (undetectable ctDNA). In patients who had initial PR and undetectable ctDNA, 93% (28/30) had ongoing PR subsequently at week 16. The median duration of response was 14.9 months. In patients with SD and undetectable ctDNA at week 8, 28% had radiological PR at week 16. Amongst those with PR at week 8, survival outcomes for those with undetectable vs detectable ctDNA were not statistically significant (PFS HR 0.49, 95%CI 0.16-1.48, p = 0.21; OS HR 0.39, 95%CI 0.13-1.19, p = 0.10). Amongst those with SD at week 8, there was significantly longer survival for those with undetectable vs detectable ctDNA (PFS HR 0.27, 95% CI 0.13-0.57, p < 0.0001; OS HR 0.40, 95% CI 0.20-0.80, p = 0.009).

CONCLUSION: In patients with SD, undetectable ctDNA at week 8 correlated with survival improvement. Both radiologic and ctDNA responses are prognostic of PFS. Incorporation of ctDNA with RECIST may improve tumor response assessment in EGFR-mutant NSCLC.

PMID:34894454 | DOI:10.1016/j.lungcan.2021.11.010