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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Impact of child disability on parental employment and labour income: a quasi-experimental study of parents of children with disabilities in Norway

BMC Public Health. 2022 Sep 24;22(1):1813. doi: 10.1186/s12889-022-14195-5.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Caring for children with disabilities has both immediate and long-term economic costs that affect the well-being of children, parents, and society. The purpose of this study was to investigate the impact of child disability on parental employment and labour income by examining differences by parental gender, disability severity, and child age.

METHODS: The study included children with disabilities born between 2004 to 2011 and their mothers (n = 139,189) and fathers (n = 134,457). Longitudinal data on employment, working hours and labour income was obtained from Statistics Norway, specifically the National Education Database, the Central Population Register and the Event History Database. A quasi-experimental difference-in-differences model was used to examine differences in employment, working hours and labour income.

RESULTS: The results showed that caring for children with disabilities has a negative effect on mothers’ labour market participation, working hours and labour income. The more severe a child’s condition is, the more likely the mother was to work and earn less, or to stop working entirely. Additionally, the differences in labour market participation and income between mothers of children with and without disabilities increased as their children reached school age. Labour market participation, working hours, and labour income for fathers of children with less severe disabilities is comparable to those of fathers of children without disabilities. Caring for children with more severe disabilities reduces fathers’ labour income but has no effect on their working hours or labour market participation.

CONCLUSION: Policymakers and child welfare stakeholders should evaluate policy options and provide the necessary welfare support particularly to mothers caring for children with a more severe disability.

PMID:36151541 | DOI:10.1186/s12889-022-14195-5

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Evaluating the impact of glucokinase activation on risk of cardiovascular disease: a Mendelian randomisation analysis

Cardiovasc Diabetol. 2022 Sep 23;21(1):192. doi: 10.1186/s12933-022-01613-6.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Glucokinase activators (GKAs) are an emerging class of glucose lowering drugs that activate the glucose-sensing enzyme glucokinase (GK). Pending formal cardiovascular outcome trials, we applied two-sample Mendelian randomisation (MR) to investigate the impact of GK activation on risk of cardiovascular diseases.

METHODS: We used independent genetic variants in or around the glucokinase gene meanwhile associated with HbA1c at genome-wide significance (P < 5 × 10-8) in the Meta-Analyses of Glucose and Insulin-related traits Consortium study (N = 146,806; European ancestry) as instrumental variables (IVs) to mimic the effects of GK activation. We assessed the association between genetically proxied GK activation and the risk of coronary artery disease (CAD; 122,733 cases and 424,528 controls), peripheral arterial disease (PAD; 7098 cases and 206,541 controls), stroke (40,585 cases and 406,111 controls) and heart failure (HF; 47,309 cases and 930,014 controls), using genome-wide association study summary statistics of these outcomes in Europeans. We compared the effect estimates of genetically proxied GK activation with estimates of genetically proxied lower HbA1c on the same outcomes. We repeated our MR analyses in East Asians as validation.

RESULTS: Genetically proxied GK activation was associated with reduced risk of CAD (OR 0.38 per 1% lower HbA1c, 95% CI 0.29-0.51, P = 8.77 × 10-11) and HF (OR 0.54 per 1% lower HbA1c, 95% CI 0.41-0.73, P = 3.55 × 10-5). The genetically proxied protective effects of GKA on CAD and HF exceeded those due to non-targeted HbA1c lowering. There was no causal relationship between genetically proxied GK activation and risk of PAD or stroke. The estimates in sensitivity analyses and in East Asians were generally consistent.

CONCLUSIONS: GKAs may protect against CAD and HF which needs confirmation by long-term clinical trials.

PMID:36151532 | DOI:10.1186/s12933-022-01613-6

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Determination of the chronic upper airway inflammatory phenotype using a symptom-score-based algorithm

Rhinology. 2022 Sep 23. doi: 10.4193/Rhin22.141. Online ahead of print.

NO ABSTRACT

PMID:36150154 | DOI:10.4193/Rhin22.141

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Septoplasty versus septoplasty with turbinate reduction for nasal obstruction due to deviated nasal septum: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Rhinology. 2022 Sep 23. doi: 10.4193/Rhin22.157. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Compensatory inferior turbinate hypertrophy is a common accompanying manifestation in patients with nasal obstruction due to deviated nasal septum (DNS). The grounds for inferior turbinate reduction (ITR) in this population are still not well established. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to evaluate the efficacy and safety of septoplasty with ITR versus septoplasty alone.

METHODS: Computerised search in Medline, Embase, and CENTRAL was performed. Eligible for inclusion were randomised controlled trials (RCTs) comparing septoplasty to septoplasty with unilateral, contralateral, ITR in adults with DNS. Primary outcomes were health-related quality of life and nasal patency. The secondary outcome was the occurrence of adverse events. Standardised mean differences (SMD) and odds ratios (OR) with 95% confidence intervals were calculated.

RESULTS: Twelve RCTs that enrolled 775 participants were found eligible. Data were reported at follow-up periods ranging from 1 month to 48 months. The pooled effect estimate showed a statistically significant improvement with unilateral, contralateral, ITR in Nasal Obstruction Symptom Evaluation scale (NOSE) scores. The rate of adverse events was significantly higher with ITR.

CONCLUSIONS: Unilateral reduction of the hypertrophied contralateral inferior turbinate during septoplasty resulted in better subjective relief of nasal obstruction in adults with DNS than septoplasty alone. However, caution is warranted since only few well-designed RCTs were identified.

PMID:36150153 | DOI:10.4193/Rhin22.157

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Adaptive clinical trial designs with blinded selection of binary composite endpoints and sample size reassessment

Biostatistics. 2022 Sep 23:kxac040. doi: 10.1093/biostatistics/kxac040. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

For randomized clinical trials where a single, primary, binary endpoint would require unfeasibly large sample sizes, composite endpoints (CEs) are widely chosen as the primary endpoint. Despite being commonly used, CEs entail challenges in designing and interpreting results. Given that the components may be of different relevance and have different effect sizes, the choice of components must be made carefully. Especially, sample size calculations for composite binary endpoints depend not only on the anticipated effect sizes and event probabilities of the composite components but also on the correlation between them. However, information on the correlation between endpoints is usually not reported in the literature which can be an obstacle for designing future sound trials. We consider two-arm randomized controlled trials with a primary composite binary endpoint and an endpoint that consists only of the clinically more important component of the CE. We propose a trial design that allows an adaptive modification of the primary endpoint based on blinded information obtained at an interim analysis. Especially, we consider a decision rule to select between a CE and its most relevant component as primary endpoint. The decision rule chooses the endpoint with the lower estimated required sample size. Additionally, the sample size is reassessed using the estimated event probabilities and correlation, and the expected effect sizes of the composite components. We investigate the statistical power and significance level under the proposed design through simulations. We show that the adaptive design is equally or more powerful than designs without adaptive modification on the primary endpoint. Besides, the targeted power is achieved even if the correlation is misspecified at the planning stage while maintaining the type 1 error. All the computations are implemented in R and illustrated by means of a peritoneal dialysis trial.

PMID:36150142 | DOI:10.1093/biostatistics/kxac040

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Which therapist perceptions best predict client outcomes? A naturalistic examination

J Marital Fam Ther. 2022 Sep 23. doi: 10.1111/jmft.12611. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Examining associations between therapists’ perceptions of therapy sessions and client-reported outcomes in naturalistic settings (real-life therapy settings) can provide valuable guidance for the assessment, treatment, and monitoring of clients. This study included data of 1334 sessions from 127 clients (86 individual and 41 couple cases) and 15 therapists, collected at a therapy training center. Clients reported their personal functioning and individual symptoms before each session. Therapists rated clients’ participation, receptivity, session progress, goal progress, and therapeutic alliance at the end of each therapy session. Multilevel Structural Equation Modeling analyses revealed that therapist-rated client participation and goal progress predicted better personal functioning, beyond clients’ previous personal functioning scores. In contrast, none of therapist-rated session variables predicted clients’ individual symptoms, beyond previous symptom scores. Power analyses suggested sufficient statistical power to detect small effect sizes. Findings of the current study have clinical implications for treatment planning and progress monitoring.

PMID:36150140 | DOI:10.1111/jmft.12611

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Assessing co-occurring mental health conditions in a multidisciplinary Down syndrome clinic and the role of family history

Am J Med Genet A. 2022 Aug 12. doi: 10.1002/ajmg.a.62948. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Compared to the general population, individuals with Down syndrome (DS) are at a significantly increased risk to develop mental health conditions. This study sought to examine individuals with DS and co-existing mental health comorbidities at one DS specialty clinic. Retrospective chart review of medical records including demographics, genetic testing history, personal and familial mental health history, referrals for mental health indications, and recommendations was performed. Summary statistics, logistic regression, and log of odds were converted to odd ratios to assess associations and significance. The charts of 327 patients, average 19.4 years of age (1-70), were reviewed. Nearly half the participants (42.2%) had at least one diagnosis of a mental health condition. Those with a family history were significantly more likely to have a personal diagnosis of a mental health condition than those without a family history (p < 0.01). Moreover, those who completed referrals often received medical management recommendations (86%). This study highlights the prevalence of mental health comorbidities among individuals with DS, and the referral process for mental health conditions, at one DS specialty clinic. Further research is needed to investigate our family history findings, and to determine if these results are generalizable across other DS clinics.

PMID:36150133 | DOI:10.1002/ajmg.a.62948

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Spatiotemporal monitoring of myxomatosis in European wild rabbit (Oryctolagus cuniculus) in Spanish Mediterranean ecosystems

Transbound Emerg Dis. 2022 Sep 23. doi: 10.1111/tbed.14709. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

A long-term active epidemiological surveillance programme was conducted to determine seroprevalence to myxoma virus (MYXV), infection prevalence and spatiotemporal patterns and factors associated with MYXV circulation in wild rabbits (Oryctolagus cuniculus) in Spanish Mediterranean ecosystems. A total of 2,376 animals were sampled over four study periods: 2009-2012 (P1), 2012-2015 (P2), 2015-2018 (P3) and 2018-2021 (P4). Antibodies against MYXV were detected by a commercial indirect ELISA in 59.9% (1,424/2,376; 95%CI: 58.0-61.9) of wild rabbits. At least one seropositive animal was detected on 131 (96.3%) of 136 game estates sampled. MYXV infection was confirmed by PCR in 94 of 1,063 (8.8%; 95%CI: 7.3-10.7) wild rabbits. Circulation of the novel recombinant MYXV (ha-MYXV) was not found in wild rabbits analysed during P4. Five statistically significant spatiotemporal clusters of high MYXV seroprevalence were identified using a Bernoulli model: one in P2 and four in P3. A generalized linear mixed model (GLMM) analysis identified sampling season (autumn), age (adult and juvenile), outbreaks of myxomatosis in the month prior to sampling, mean annual temperature, humidity and seropositivity to rabbit haemorrhagic disease virus as factors potentially linked with MYXV seropositivity. GLMM analysis identified outbreaks of myxomatosis in the month prior to sampling, MYXV seropositivity and presence of lesions compatible with myxomatosis as factors associated with MYXV infection. The results indicate high exposure, widespread but non-homogeneous distribution, and endemic circulation of MYXV in wild rabbit populations in southern Spain during the last decade. Prevalence of antibodies against MYXV showed fluctuations both within the year and over the study periods, revealing variations in the immunity of wild rabbit populations in Mediterranean ecosystems that could increase the risk of MYXV re-emergence in immunologically naïve populations. The present study highlights the importance of long-term surveillance to better understand the epidemiology of MYXV in wild lagomorphs. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.

PMID:36150087 | DOI:10.1111/tbed.14709

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Evaluation of the Posterior Tilt Angle in Predicting Failure of Nondisplaced Femoral Neck Fractures After Internal Fixation: A Systematic Review

J Orthop Trauma. 2022 Sep 23. doi: 10.1097/BOT.0000000000002490. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to evaluate the posterior tilt angle (PTA) in predicting treatment failure after internal fixation of nondisplaced femoral neck fractures as graded by the Garden classification, which is based solely on anterior-posterior radiographic evaluation.

DATA SOURCES: A search was conducted of all published literature in the following databases from inception to December 20, 2021: PubMed, EMBASE, Cochrane Library, Web of Science, Scopus, and ClinicalTrials.gov.

STUDY SELECTION: We included English-language randomized controlled trials, prospective and retrospective cohort studies that reported malunion/nonunion, avascular necrosis, fixation failure, or reoperations in patients with nondisplaced femoral neck fractures treated with internal fixation who were evaluated for PTA using either lateral radiograph or computed tomography (CT).

DATA EXTRACTION: All abstract, screening, and quality appraisal was conducted independently by two authors. Data from included studies was extracted manually and summarized. The Methodological Index for Non-Randomized Studies criteria was used for quality appraisal.

DATA SYNTHESIS: Odds ratios (OR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated for treatment failure, defined as nonunion/malunion, AVN, fixation failure, or reoperation, in cases involving preoperative PTA ≥20 degrees and <20 degrees. Statistical significance was set at p<0.05.

RESULTS: Nondisplaced femoral fractures with PTA>20 degrees had a 24% rate of treatment failure compared to 12% for those <20 degrees (OR, 3.21 [95% CI, 1.95-5.28]; p<0.001).

CONCLUSION: PTA is a predictor of treatment failure in nondisplaced femoral neck fractures treated with internal fixation. Nondisplaced femoral neck fractures with a PTA >20 degrees may warrant alternative treatment modalities.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Prognostic Level III. See Instructions for Authors for a complete description of levels of evidence.

PMID:36150078 | DOI:10.1097/BOT.0000000000002490

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The pain and depressive symptoms cascade: A bidirectional analysis of the Mexican Health and Aging Study 2012-2015

Int J Geriatr Psychiatry. 2022 Oct;37(10). doi: 10.1002/gps.5812.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: The association of pain and depression has not been evaluated in low- and middle-income countries, which have a disproportionate burden of pain compared to high-income countries.

METHODS: Using data from the Mexican Health and Aging Study (baseline, 2012; follow-up, 2015), we examined the bidirectional relationship between pain and depressive symptoms and identified shared predictors among community-dwelling participants ≥60 years (n = 7237). Multivariable logistic regressions models evaluated the association between (1) baseline pain and incident elevated depressive symptoms and (2) baseline depressive symptoms and incident pain, adjusting for demographic, socioeconomic, and health-related factors. Models included inverse probability weights and evaluated interactions by gender.

RESULTS: Participants (55.0% women) were on average 69.1 years old. Over half reported no pain (60.7%) and low/no depressive symptoms (67.9%) in 2012, of which, 20.2% reported elevated depressive symptoms and 25.3% self-reported pain in 2015. Baseline pain was associated with higher odds of incident elevated depressive symptoms (aOR 1.65; 95% CI, 1.41-1.93). Baseline elevated depressive symptoms were associated with higher odds of developing pain (aOR 1.57; 95% CI, 1.32-1.87). Age, gender, self-rated health, and activity of daily living limitations were shared risk factors for pain and elevated depressive symptomatology onset. Although the incidence of elevated depressive symptoms and pain was higher in women, there were no statistically significant interactions.

CONCLUSIONS: Older adults with pain or depression may be at risk for developing the other. These shared predictors could help identify patients in clinical settings, where pain and depression are often overlooked, reducing the cascading risk of this comorbidity.

PMID:36150063 | DOI:10.1002/gps.5812