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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Newly learned shape-color associations show signatures of reliability-weighted averaging without forced fusion or a memory color effect

J Vis. 2022 Dec 1;22(13):8. doi: 10.1167/jov.22.13.8.

ABSTRACT

Reliability-weighted averaging of multiple perceptual estimates (or cues) can improve precision. Research suggests that newly learned statistical associations can be rapidly integrated in this way for efficient decision-making. Yet, it remains unclear if the integration of newly learned statistics into decision-making can directly influence perception, rather than taking place only at the decision stage. In two experiments, we implicitly taught observers novel associations between shape and color. Observers made color matches by adjusting the color of an oval to match a simultaneously presented reference. As the color of the oval changed across trials, so did its shape according to a novel mapping of axis ratio to color. Observers showed signatures of reliability-weighted averaging-a precision improvement in both experiments and reweighting of the newly learned shape cue with changes in uncertainty in Experiment 2. To ask whether this was accompanied by perceptual effects, Experiment 1 tested for forced fusion by measuring color discrimination thresholds with and without incongruent novel cues. Experiment 2 tested for a memory color effect, observers adjusting the color of ovals with different axis ratios until they appeared gray. There was no evidence for forced fusion and the opposite of a memory color effect. Overall, our results suggest that the ability to quickly learn novel cues and integrate them with familiar cues is not immediately (within the short duration of our experiments and in the domain of color and shape) accompanied by common perceptual effects.

PMID:36580296 | DOI:10.1167/jov.22.13.8

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Tibial tubercle osteotomy: effect of different osteotomy planes on contact surface area and tubercle anteriorization

Musculoskelet Surg. 2022 Dec 29. doi: 10.1007/s12306-022-00770-x. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

In 1983, Fulkerson introduced a technique of tibial tubercle osteotomy performed according to an inclined plane with respect to frontal plane. Due to obliquity of the osteotomy plane, this procedure allows both anterior and medial transfer of the tibial tubercle. The purpose of the study was to investigate the influence of the different degrees of the oblique plane of osteotomy on anterior displacement and the contact surface area of tibial tubercle. Synthetic bones were used for the study. An osteotomy of the tibial tubercle (TT) was performed in each specimen. Specifically, 3 different degrees of osteotomy planes relative to the reference frontal plane were examined: 20°, 30° and 40°. On each sample, tibial tubercle medial transposition of 5 mm, 10 mm and 15 mm was performed. Anterior displacement was measured with a caliper. Further, the bone contact surface was calculated for each sample and each transposition. Finally, the measured data were statistically compared with a geometric model. At 5 mm of medial TT transposition, the anterior displacement (AD) was 0.1 mm when the osteotomy was performed at 20°. It increased of 1.5 mm and 2.7 mm, respectively at 30° and 40°. At 15 mm of TT transposition, the AD was 3.4 mm at 20°, 7.6 mm at 30° and 10.0 mm at 40°. Concerning the amount of medialization, it was observed a decrease in the overall contact surface passing from 5 to 15 mm of TT transposition. In addition, regarding the oblique plane of the osteotomy, it was observed an increase in the contact surface area passing from 20° to 40°. The main result of the present study is that the amount of anteriorization and medialization of the tibial tubercle could be predicted by the degrees of oblique plane of osteotomy. An increase in medialization significantly reduces the contact surface area at low degrees of osteotomy plane, potentially increasing the risk of non-union.

PMID:36580268 | DOI:10.1007/s12306-022-00770-x

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Evaluation of the Marburg Heart Score and INTERCHEST score compared to current telephone triage for chest pain in out-of-hours primary care

Neth Heart J. 2022 Dec 29. doi: 10.1007/s12471-022-01745-0. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Chest pain is a common and challenging symptom for telephone triage in urgent primary care. Existing chest-pain-specific risk scores originally developed for diagnostic purposes may outperform current telephone triage protocols.

METHODS: This study involved a retrospective, observational cohort of consecutive patients evaluated for chest pain at a large-scale out-of-hours primary care facility in the Netherlands. We evaluated the performance of the Marburg Heart Score (MHS) and INTERCHEST score as stand-alone triage tools and compared them with the current decision support tool, the Netherlands Triage Standard (NTS). The outcomes of interest were: C‑statistics, calibration and diagnostic accuracy for optimised thresholds with major events as the reference standard. Major events are a composite of all-cause mortality and both cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular urgent underlying conditions occurring within 6 weeks of initial contact.

RESULTS: We included 1433 patients, 57.6% women, with a median age of 55.0 years. Major events occurred in 16.4% (n = 235), of which acute coronary syndrome accounted for 6.8% (n = 98). For predicting major events, C‑statistics for the MHS and INTERCHEST score were 0.74 (95% confidence interval: 0.70-0.77) and 0.76 (0.73-0.80), respectively. In comparison, the NTS had a C-statistic of 0.66 (0.62-0.69). All had appropriate calibration. Both scores (at threshold ≥ 2) reduced the number of referrals (with lower false-positive rates) and maintained equal safety compared with the NTS.

CONCLUSION: Diagnostic risk stratification scores for chest pain may also improve telephone triage for major events in out-of-hours primary care, by reducing the number of unnecessary referrals without compromising triage safety. Further validation is warranted.

PMID:36580267 | DOI:10.1007/s12471-022-01745-0

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The prenatal weekly temperature exposure and neonatal congenital heart disease: a large population-based observational study in China

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2022 Dec 29. doi: 10.1007/s11356-022-24396-5. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

We aim to explore the link between maternal weekly temperature exposure and CHD in offspring and identify the relative contributions from heat and cold and from moderate and extreme atmospheric temperature. From January 2019 to December 2020, newborns who were diagnosed with CHD by echocardiography in the Network Platform for Congenital Heart Disease (NPCHD) from 11 cities in eastern China were enrolled in the present study. We appraised the exposure lag response relationship between temperature and CHDs in the distributed lag nonlinear model and further probed the pooled estimates by multivariate meta-analysis. We further performed the exposure-response curves in extreme temperature (5th percentile for cold and 95th for hot events). We also delve into the cumulative risk ratios (CRRs) of temperature on CHDs in general and subgroups. In this study, 5904 of 983, 523 infants were diagnosed with CHDs. The temperature-CHD combination performed positive significance in two exposure windows, gestational weeks 10-16 and 26-31, and reached the maximum effect in the 28th week. Compared with extreme cold (5th, 6.14℃), these effects were higher in extreme heat (95th, 29.26℃). The cumulative exposure-response curve showed a steep nonlinear rise in the hot tail but showed non-significance at low temperatures. In this range, the CRRs of temperature showed an increment to a ceiling of 3.781 (95% CI: 1.460-10.723). The temperature- CHD curves for both sex groups showed a general growth trend. No statistical significance was observed between these two groups (P = 0.106). The cumulative effect of the temperature related CHD was significant in regions with lower education levels (maximum CRR was 9.282 (3.019-28.535)). A degree centigrade increase in temperature exposure was associated with the increment of CHD risk in the first and second trimesters, especially in extreme heat. Neonates born in lower education regions were more vulnerable to temperature-related CHDs.

PMID:36580248 | DOI:10.1007/s11356-022-24396-5

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Diverging Neisseria gonorrhoeae Morbidity in Non-Hispanic Black and White Females: Application of Group-Based Trajectory Modeling to Trends in County-Level Morbidity 2003-2018

J Urban Health. 2022 Dec 29. doi: 10.1007/s11524-022-00702-x. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

National trends in gonorrhea rates may obscure informative local variations in morbidity. We used group-based trajectory models to identify groups of counties with similar gonorrhea rate trajectories among non-Hispanic White (NHW) and non-Hispanic Black (NHB) females using county-level data on gonorrhea cases in US females from 2003 to 2018. We assessed models with 1-15 groups and selected final models based on fit statistics and identification of divergent trajectory groups with distinct intercepts and/or slopes. We mapped counties by assigned trajectory group and examined the association of county characteristics with group membership. We identified 7 distinct gonorrhea trajectory groups for NHW females and 9 distinct trajectory groups for NHB females. All identified groups for NHW female morbidity experienced increasing gonorrhea rates with a limited range (11.6-183.3/100,000 NHW females in 2018); trajectories of NHB female morbidity varied widely in rates (146.6-966.0/1000 NHB females in 2018) and included 3 groups of counties that experienced a net decline in gonorrhea rates. Counties with higher NHW female morbidity had lower adult sex ratios, lower health insurance coverage, and lower marital rates among NHW adults. Counties with higher NHB female morbidity were more urban, experienced higher rates of poverty, and had lower rates of marriage among NHB adults. Morbidity patterns did not always follow geographic proximity, which could be explained by variation in social determinants of health. Our results demonstrated a highly heterogenous gonorrhea epidemic among NHW and NHB US females, which should prompt further analysis into the differential drivers of gonorrhea morbidity.

PMID:36580235 | DOI:10.1007/s11524-022-00702-x

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Deep learning and radiomics framework for PSMA-RADS classification of prostate cancer on PSMA PET

EJNMMI Res. 2022 Dec 29;12(1):76. doi: 10.1186/s13550-022-00948-1.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Accurate classification of sites of interest on prostate-specific membrane antigen (PSMA) positron emission tomography (PET) images is an important diagnostic requirement for the differentiation of prostate cancer (PCa) from foci of physiologic uptake. We developed a deep learning and radiomics framework to perform lesion-level and patient-level classification on PSMA PET images of patients with PCa.

METHODS: This was an IRB-approved, HIPAA-compliant, retrospective study. Lesions on [18F]DCFPyL PET/CT scans were assigned to PSMA reporting and data system (PSMA-RADS) categories and randomly partitioned into training, validation, and test sets. The framework extracted image features, radiomic features, and tissue type information from a cropped PET image slice containing a lesion and performed PSMA-RADS and PCa classification. Performance was evaluated by assessing the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). A t-distributed stochastic neighbor embedding (t-SNE) analysis was performed. Confidence and probability scores were measured. Statistical significance was determined using a two-tailed t test.

RESULTS: PSMA PET scans from 267 men with PCa had 3794 lesions assigned to PSMA-RADS categories. The framework yielded AUROC values of 0.87 and 0.90 for lesion-level and patient-level PSMA-RADS classification, respectively, on the test set. The framework yielded AUROC values of 0.92 and 0.85 for lesion-level and patient-level PCa classification, respectively, on the test set. A t-SNE analysis revealed learned relationships between the PSMA-RADS categories and disease findings. Mean confidence scores reflected the expected accuracy and were significantly higher for correct predictions than for incorrect predictions (P < 0.05). Measured probability scores reflected the likelihood of PCa consistent with the PSMA-RADS framework.

CONCLUSION: The framework provided lesion-level and patient-level PSMA-RADS and PCa classification on PSMA PET images. The framework was interpretable and provided confidence and probability scores that may assist physicians in making more informed clinical decisions.

PMID:36580220 | DOI:10.1186/s13550-022-00948-1

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

How does changing the vector of transport disc distraction affect the outcomes of surgery in patients of temporomandibular joint ankylosis with obstructive sleep apnea?

Oral Maxillofac Surg. 2022 Dec 29. doi: 10.1007/s10006-022-01133-3. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Temporomandibular joint ankylosis (TMJA) in children is associated with retrognathia, reduction in pharyngeal airway volume (PAV), and obstructive sleep apnea (OSA). Distraction-osteogenesis (DO) is the proven method in the management of OSA. There is paucity in literature about the effect of distraction vector on PAV. It can be expected that an oblique vector would improve PAV and relieve OSA. Thus, the study was designed to explore the feasibility, advantages, and disadvantages of this modified technique for managing TMJA and OSA simultaneously.

MATERIALS AND METHOD: The investigators designed a prospective study on patients of TMJA with retrognathia. Ethical approval was obtained (IECPG-547/14.11.2018). In all patients, simultaneous ankylosis release and mandibular distraction were performed. Primary outcome variables were improvement in 3-dimensional (3D) PAV and maximal interincisal opening (MIO). Secondary outcome variables were changed mandibular length, distraction relapse, and re-ankylosis. Paired t-test and multivariate ANOVA were used to assess all the parameters.

RESULT: The study included 13 joints in 8 patients of TMJA with retrognathia (2 unilateral and 6 bilateral ankylosis) with mean age of 14.25 ± 7.37 years. Mean distraction performed was 19 ± 4.0 mm. There was a statistically significant improvement of PAV by 225% (p = 0.002), a reduction in Epworth’s scale (p = 0.017), an increase in MIO (p = 0.001), and an increase in mandibular length. Three patients had re-ankylosis at the 25-month follow-up.

CONCLUSION: The results of the present study conclude that modification of distraction vector improves 3D PAV and MIO in TMJA patients, with the added advantage of a reduction in overall treatment time and improved patient compliance.

PMID:36580189 | DOI:10.1007/s10006-022-01133-3

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Differences in Emotional and Behavioral Problems of Students over Time: A 22-Year Cross-Sectional Cohort Study

Res Child Adolesc Psychopathol. 2022 Dec 29. doi: 10.1007/s10802-022-01014-z. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Levels of emotional and behavioral problems in children and adolescents demonstrate secular changes over time, warranting ongoing investigation. Prior studies examining secular trends in a range of such problems have been conducted in the U.S. and internationally. Research in this area generally has not fully considered the school setting. This study compared emotional and behavioral problems across two cohorts of students in the U.S. assessed over a 22-year time period as part of measurement development efforts for the Scales for Assessing Emotional Disturbance Rating Scale (SAED-RSRS; Epstein et al., 2020). Specifically, analyses drew from data collected via teacher report on matched cohorts of students for the 1998 (data collected from 1996 to 1997; n = 1,148) and 2020 (data collected from 2016 to 2018; n = 1,148) editions of the SAED-RS. After establishing measurement invariance across cohorts and testing for gender differences, structural equation modeling revealed statistically significant cohort mean differences on two of the five factors of the SAED-RS, suggesting increases over time in Inability to Learn (β = 0.09, p = .024) and Physical Symptoms and Fears (β = 0.14, p = .005) that were comparable for girls and boys. There were no statistically significant differences on the remaining factors: Relationship Problems, Inappropriate Behavior, and Unhappiness/Depression. Supplemental item-level tests revealed differences on 8 of the 39 SAED-RS items. Findings suggest increases in specific problem areas that could benefit from ongoing monitoring and targeted interventions to support contemporary students.

PMID:36580170 | DOI:10.1007/s10802-022-01014-z

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Computational analysis of synergism in small networks with different logic

J Biol Phys. 2022 Dec 29. doi: 10.1007/s10867-022-09620-0. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Cell fate decision processes are regulated by networks which contain different molecules and interactions. Different network topologies may exhibit synergistic or antagonistic effects on cellular functions. Here, we analyze six most common small networks with regulatory logic AND or OR, trying to clarify the relationship between network topologies and synergism (or antagonism) related to cell fate decisions. We systematically examine the contribution of both network topologies and regulatory logic to the cell fate synergism by bifurcation and combinatorial perturbation analysis. Initially, under a single set of parameters, the synergism of three types of networks with AND and OR logic is compared. Furthermore, to consider whether these results depend on the choices of parameter values, statistics on the synergism of five hundred parameter sets is performed. It is shown that the results are not sensitive to parameter variations, indicating that the synergy or antagonism mainly depends on the network topologies rather than the choices of parameter values. The results indicate that the topology with “Dual Inhibition” shows good synergism, while the topology with “Dual Promotion” or “Hybrid” shows antagonism. The results presented here may help us to design synergistic networks based on network structure and regulation combinations, which has promising implications for cell fate decisions and drug combinations.

PMID:36580168 | DOI:10.1007/s10867-022-09620-0

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Conversion ratios for opioid switching: a pragmatic study

Support Care Cancer. 2022 Dec 29;31(1):91. doi: 10.1007/s00520-022-07514-4.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The final conversion ratios among opioids used for successful switching are unknown. The aim of this study was to determine the initial and final conversion ratios used for a successful opioid switching in cancer patients, and eventual associated factors.

METHODS: Ninety-five patients who were successfully switched were evaluated. The following data were collected: age, gender, Karnofsky performance score, primary cancer, cognitive function, the presence of neuropathic, and incident pain. Opioids, route of administration, and their doses expressed in oral morphine equivalents used before OS were recorded as well as opioids use for starting opioid switching, and at time of stabilization. Physical and psychological symptoms were routinely evaluated by Edmonton Symptom Assessment Scale.

RESULTS: No statistical changes were observed between the initial conversion ratios and those achieved at time of stabilization for all the sequences of opioid switching. When considering patients switched to methadone, there was no association between factors taken into considerations.

CONCLUSION: Opioid switching is a highly effective and safe technique, improving analgesia and reducing the opioid-related symptom burden. The final conversion ratios were not different from those used for starting opioid switching. Patients receiving higher doses of opioids should be carefully monitored for individual and unexpected responses in an experienced palliative care unit, particularly those switched to methadone. Future studies should provide data regarding the profile of patients with difficult pain to be hospitalized.

PMID:36580152 | DOI:10.1007/s00520-022-07514-4