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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The acute effect and lag effect analysis between exposures to ambient air pollutants and spontaneous abortion: a case-crossover study in China, 2017-2019

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2022 May 6. doi: 10.1007/s11356-022-20379-8. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Recent studies demonstrated that living in areas with high ambient air pollution may have adverse effects on pregnancy outcomes, but few studies have investigated its association with spontaneous abortion. Further investigation is needed to explore the acute effect and lag effect of air pollutants exposure on spontaneous abortion.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the acute effect and lag effect between exposure to ambient air pollutants and spontaneous abortion.

METHODS: Research data of spontaneous abortion were collected from the Chongqing Health Center for Women and Children (CQHCWC) in China. The daily ambient air pollution exposure measurements were estimated for each woman using inverse distance weighting from monitoring stations. A time-stratified, case-crossover design combined with distributed lag linear models was applied to assess the associations between spontaneous pregnancy loss and exposure to each of the air pollutants over lags 0-7 days, adjusted for temperature and relative humidity.

RESULTS: A total of 1399 women who experienced spontaneous pregnancy loss events from November 1, 2016, to September 30, 2019, were selected for this study. Maternal exposure to particulate matter 2.5 (PM2.5), particle matter 10 (PM10) nitrogen dioxide (NO2), and sulfur dioxide (SO2) exhibited a significant association with spontaneous abortion. For every 20 μg/m3 increase in PM2.5, PM10, NO2, and SO2, the RRs were 1.18 (95% CI: 1.06, 1.34), 1.12 (95% CI, 1.04-1.20), 1.15 (95% CI: 1.02, 1.30), and 1.92 (95% CI: 1.18, 3.11) on lag day 3, lag day 3, lag day 0, and lag day 3, respectively. In two-pollutant model combined with PM2.5 and PM10, a statistically significant increase in spontaneous abortion incidence of 18.0% (RR = 1.18, 95% CI: 1.06, 1.32) was found for a 20 μg/m3 increase in PM2.5 exposure, and 11.2% (RR = 1.11, 95% CI: 1.03, 1.20) for a 20 μg/m3 increase in PM10 exposure on lag day 3, similar to single-pollutant model analysis.

CONCLUSION: Maternal exposure to high levels of PM2.5, PM10, NO2, and SO2 during pregnancy may increase the risk of spontaneous abortion for acute effects and lag effects. Further research to explore sensitive exposure time windows is needed.

PMID:35522417 | DOI:10.1007/s11356-022-20379-8

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

An assessment of meteorological parameters effects on COVID-19 pandemic in Bangladesh using machine learning models

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2022 May 6. doi: 10.1007/s11356-022-20196-z. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Coronavirus (COVID-19) is a highly contagious virus (SARS-CoV-2) that has caused a global pandemic since January 2020. Scientists around the world are doing extensive research to control this disease. They are working tirelessly to find out the origin and causes of the disease. Several studies and experiments mentioned that there are some meteorological parameters which are highly correlated with COVID-19 transmission. In this work, we studied the effects of 11 meteorological parameters on the transmission of COVID-19 in Bangladesh. We first applied statistical analysis and observed that there is no significant effect of these parameters. Therefore, we proposed a novel technique to analyze the insight effects of these parameters by using a combination of Random Forest, CART, and Lasso feature selection techniques. We observed that 4 parameters are highly influential for COVID-19 where [Formula: see text] and Cloud have positive association whereas WS and AQ have negative impact. Among them, Cloud has the highest positive impact which is 0.063 and WS has the highest negative association which is [Formula: see text]. Moreover, we have validated our performance using DLNM technique. The result of this investigation can be used to develop an alert system that will assist the policymakers to know the characteristics of COVID-19 against meteorological parameters and can impose different policies based on the weather conditions.

PMID:35522407 | DOI:10.1007/s11356-022-20196-z

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Reading digital- versus print-easy texts: a study with university students who prefer digital sources

Psicol Reflex Crit. 2022 May 6;35(1):10. doi: 10.1186/s41155-022-00212-4.

ABSTRACT

The transition from on-paper to on-screen reading seems to make it necessary to raise some considerations, as a greater attentional effort has been claimed for print texts than digital ones. Not surprisingly, most university students prefer this digital medium. This research aims to examine reading times by contextualizing this phenomenon into two processes: namely, word recognition and reading comprehension task on paper and on screen. Thus, two different tasks-counterbalanced into digital and print mediums-were carried out per each participant with a preference for a digital medium: a reading comprehension task (RCT) and a lexical decision task (LDT) after reading a specific story. Participants were slower reading print texts and no statistically significant differences were found in RCT accuracy. This result suggests that the task required more cognitive resources under the print medium for those with a worse comprehension performance in reading, and a more conservative pattern in digital RCT for those with a better performance.

PMID:35522338 | DOI:10.1186/s41155-022-00212-4

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Machine learning model prediction of 6-month functional outcome in elderly patients with intracerebral hemorrhage

Neurosurg Rev. 2022 May 6. doi: 10.1007/s10143-022-01802-7. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) has an increasing incidence and a worse outcome in elderly patients. The ability to predict the functional outcome in these patients can be helpful in supporting treatment decisions and establishing prognostic expectations. We evaluated the performance of a machine learning (ML) model to predict the 6-month functional status in elderly patients with ICH leveraging the predictive value of the clinical characteristics at hospital admission. Data were extracted by a retrospective multicentric database of patients ≥ 70 years of age consecutively admitted for the management of spontaneous ICH between January 1, 2014 and December 31, 2019. Relevant demographic, clinical, and radiological variables were selected by a feature selection algorithm (Boruta) and used to build a ML model. Outcome was determined according to the Glasgow Outcome Scale (GOS) at 6 months from ICH: dead (GOS 1), poor outcome (GOS 2-3: vegetative status/severe disability), and good outcome (GOS 4-5: moderate disability/good recovery). Ten features were selected by Boruta with the following relative importance order in the ML model: Glasgow Coma Scale, Charlson Comorbidity Index, ICH score, ICH volume, pupillary status, brainstem location, age, anticoagulant/antiplatelet agents, intraventricular hemorrhage, and cerebellar location. Random forest prediction model, evaluated on the hold-out test set, achieved an AUC of 0.96 (0.94-0.98), 0.89 (0.86-0.93), and 0.93 (0.90-0.95) for dead, poor, and good outcome classes, respectively, demonstrating high discriminative ability. A random forest classifier was successfully trained and internally validated to stratify elderly patients with spontaneous ICH into prognostic subclasses. The predictive value is enhanced by the ability of ML model to identify synergy among variables.

PMID:35522333 | DOI:10.1007/s10143-022-01802-7

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Automated detection of acute appendicular skeletal fractures in pediatric patients using deep learning

Skeletal Radiol. 2022 May 6. doi: 10.1007/s00256-022-04070-0. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: We aimed to perform an external validation of an existing commercial AI software program (BoneView™) for the detection of acute appendicular fractures in pediatric patients.

MATERIALS AND METHODS: In our retrospective study, anonymized radiographic exams of extremities, with or without fractures, from pediatric patients (aged 2-21) were included. Three hundred exams (150 with fractures and 150 without fractures) were included, comprising 60 exams per body part (hand/wrist, elbow/upper arm, shoulder/clavicle, foot/ankle, leg/knee). The Ground Truth was defined by experienced radiologists. A deep learning algorithm interpreted the radiographs for fracture detection, and its diagnostic performance was compared against the Ground Truth, and receiver operating characteristic analysis was done. Statistical analyses included sensitivity per patient (the proportion of patients for whom all fractures were identified) and sensitivity per fracture (the proportion of fractures identified by the AI among all fractures), specificity per patient, and false-positive rate per patient.

RESULTS: There were 167 boys and 133 girls with a mean age of 10.8 years. For all fractures, sensitivity per patient (average [95% confidence interval]) was 91.3% [85.6, 95.3], specificity per patient was 90.0% [84.0,94.3], sensitivity per fracture was 92.5% [87.0, 96.2], and false-positive rate per patient in patients who had no fracture was 0.11. The patient-wise area under the curve was 0.93 for all fractures. AI diagnostic performance was consistently high across all anatomical locations and different types of fractures except for avulsion fractures (sensitivity per fracture 72.7% [39.0, 94.0]).

CONCLUSION: The BoneView™ deep learning algorithm provides high overall diagnostic performance for appendicular fracture detection in pediatric patients.

PMID:35522332 | DOI:10.1007/s00256-022-04070-0

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Serum cytokine profile of pregnant women with malaria, intestinal helminths and HIV infections in Ibadan, Nigeria

Parasitol Res. 2022 May 6. doi: 10.1007/s00436-022-07531-6. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Malaria, helminthiasis and HIV are widespread in developing countries taking a heavy toll on pregnant women. Due to similar environmental and human factors of transmission, they co-exist. The epidemiology and pathology of these diseases have been extensively studied but data on serum cytokine profile changes which is crucial in pregnancy is limited. The aim of this study was to evaluate the co-infections and their impact on peripheral blood cytokines. Blood and stool samples were collected from recruited 18-45-year-old pregnant women in different trimesters who were apparently healthy with no obvious complications in pregnancy. Pretested questionnaires were administered for personal and socio-demographic details. Malaria parasitemia in Giemsa-stained thick blood films was examined microscopically. Stool samples were screened for helminths using Kato-Katz method. Cytokine levels of TNF-α, IFN-γ, IL-1α, IL-2, IL-4, IL-6, IL-10, IL-12p70, IL-13 and IL-17 in 121 serum samples were determined using ELISA. Data were analysed using descriptive statistics and Mann-Whitney U test at α0.05. Relative to the single infections, there were significant reductions in IFN-γ and IL-13 in second and third trimesters respectively in those with Plasmodium and helminth co-infection. IFN-γ and IL-17 were elevated while IL-1α and IL-12p70 were reduced in co-infection of helminths and HIV. Co-infection of Plasmodium and HIV in second and third trimesters showed significant elevations in IL-1α, IL-10 and IL-17 while TNF-α, IL-4 and IL-12p70 were significantly reduced. HIV in pregnancy and its co-infection with Plasmodium resulted in significant distortions in the cytokine profile. However, helminth and its co-infection with Plasmodium or HIV produced less changes in the cytokine profile.

PMID:35522326 | DOI:10.1007/s00436-022-07531-6

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Reliability of the Acoustic Voice Quality Index AVQI and the Acoustic Breathiness Index (ABI) when wearing CoViD-19 protective masks

Eur Arch Otorhinolaryngol. 2022 May 6. doi: 10.1007/s00405-022-07417-4. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Investigating whether the Acoustic Voice Quality Index (AVQI) and the Acoustic Breathiness Index (ABI) are valid and comparable to previous unmasked measurements if the speaker wears a surgical mask or a FFP-2 mask to reduce the risk of transmitting air-borne viruses such as SARS-CoV-2.

METHODS: A convenience sample of 31 subjectively healthy participants was subjected to AVQI and ABI voice examination four times: Twice wearing no mask, once with a surgical mask and once with a FFP-2 mask as used regularly in our hospital. The order of the four mask conditions was randomized. The difference in the results between the two recordings without a mask was then compared to the differences between the recordings with each mask and one recording without a mask.

RESULTS: Sixty-two percent of the AVQI readings without a mask represented perfectly healthy voices, the largest AVQI without a mask value was 4.0. The mean absolute difference in AVQI was 0.45 between the measurements without masks, 0.48 between no mask and surgical mask and 0.51 between no mask and FFP-2 mask. The results were neither clinically nor statistically significant. For the ABI the resulting absolute differences (in the same order) were 0.48, 0.69 and 0.56, again neither clinically nor statistically different.

CONCLUSION: Based on a convenience sample of healthy or only mildly impaired voices wearing CoViD-19 protective masks does not substantially impair the results of either AVQI or ABI results.

PMID:35522325 | DOI:10.1007/s00405-022-07417-4

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Patch augmentation does not provide better clinical outcomes than arthroscopic rotator cuff repair for large to massive rotator cuff tears

Knee Surg Sports Traumatol Arthrosc. 2022 May 6. doi: 10.1007/s00167-022-06975-8. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Patch augmentation for large and massive rotator cuff tears (LMRCTs) has been suggested as a repair strategy that can mechanically reinforce tendons and biologically enhance healing potential. The purpose of this study was to determine whether patients who underwent patch augmentation would have lower rates of retears and superior functional outcomes.

METHODS: Patients who underwent arthroscopic rotator cuff repair (ARCR) with patch augmentation (group A) were matched by age, sex, degree of retraction, and supraspinatus muscle occupation ratio to those treated with ARCR without using a patch (group B) with a minimum follow-up of 24 months. The retear (Sugaya IV or V) rates were evaluated by magnetic resonance imaging at 3 and 12 months post-surgery. The Constant- Murley Score (CMS), Korean Shoulder Score (KSS), and University of California-Los Angeles Shoulder Rating Scale (UCLA) score were retrospectively analyzed.

RESULTS: This study included 34 patients (group A, n = 17; group B, n = 17). The mean follow-up period was 46.5 ± 17.4 months. At postoperative 1-year follow-up, group B (6 patients, 35.3%) showed higher rates of retears than group A (1 patient, 5.9%), which was statistically significant (P = 0.034). However, the postoperative CMS, KSS, and UCLA scores did not differ between the two groups at 3 months, 12 months, and the final follow-up. Additionally, the clinical outcomes of patients with retear were not significantly different from those of the healed patients in both groups.

CONCLUSION: The use of an allodermal patch for LMRCT is effective in preventing retears without complications. However, the clinical outcomes of ARCR using allodermal patch augmentation were not superior to those of only ARCR.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: III.

PMID:35522311 | DOI:10.1007/s00167-022-06975-8

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Everyday transgressions of borderlines: the scandalization of clinical drug trials of the psychiatrist Roland Kuhn

Nervenarzt. 2022 May 6. doi: 10.1007/s00115-022-01296-0. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

“Experimental case Münsterlingen: clinical trials in psychiatry, 1940-1980” is the name of the report of a control commission established by the government of the Swiss Canton Thurgau in 2016, after several articles in the press after 2012 had criticized the drug tests carried out by Roland Kuhn, the former clinical director of the cantonal mental hospital in Münsterlingen. The report discusses “fine discrepancies in everyday borderline transgressions” “from today’s viewpoint”. These borderline transgressions were seen especially in the missing, inadequate or undocumented informed consent of patients and in the usage of test substances, which varied between the (mostly) accepted or not refused intake and the camouflaged or (seldom) threatened application via injection. Thus, the report shows on the one hand, the considerable development of the normative context of treatment of mentally ill patients in the past 70 years and on the other hand, with its detailed descriptions, it can sensitize today’s therapists to the pertinent context. But most of all this is the story of Roland Kuhn, the responsible psychiatrist and the drug testing discoverer of the antidepressive effect of imipramine. This story of the discovery is judged from very differing perspectives and is thus relativized, all the way from observations of a “provincial psychiatrist” to consideration for the Nobel Prize. At the same time critically evaluated traits of Kuhn’s personality seem to have influenced the occasionally negative comments of the commission report. We should recognize, however, that with his qualitative and psychopathological individual case observations, Kuhn discovered the antidepressive effect of a test substance that as a hypothesis was verified by subsequent quantitative and statistical methods.

PMID:35522310 | DOI:10.1007/s00115-022-01296-0

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The Usefulness of Assessing Glaucoma Progression With Postprocessed Visual Field Data

Transl Vis Sci Technol. 2022 May 2;11(5):5. doi: 10.1167/tvst.11.5.5.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Data postprocessing with statistical techniques that are less sensitive to noise can be used to reduce variability in visual field (VF) series. We evaluated the detection of glaucoma progression with postprocessed VF data generated with the dynamic structure-function (DSF) model and MM-estimation robust regression (MRR).

METHOD: The study included 118 glaucoma eyes with at least 15 visits selected from the Rotterdam dataset. The DSF and MRR models were each applied to observed mean deviation (MD) values from the first three visits (V1-3) to predict the MD at V4. MD at V5 was predicted with data from V1-4 and so on until the MD at V9 was predicted, creating two additional datasets: DSF-predicted and MRR-predicted. Simple linear regression was performed to assess progression at the ninth visit. Sensitivity was evaluated by adjusting for false-positive rates estimated from patients with stable glaucoma and by using longer follow-up series (12th and 15th visits) as a surrogate for progression.

RESULTS: For specificities of 80% to 100%, the DSF-predicted dataset had greater sensitivity than the observed and MRR-predicted dataset when positive rates were normalized with corresponding false-positive estimates. The DSF-predicted and observed datasets had similar sensitivity when the surrogate reference standard was applied.

CONCLUSIONS: Without compromising specificity, the use of DSF-predicted measurements to identify progression resulted in a better or similar sensitivity compared to using existing VF data.

TRANSLATIONAL RELEVANCE: The DSF model could be applied to postprocess existing visual field data, which could then be evaluated to identify patients at risk of progression.

PMID:35522306 | DOI:10.1167/tvst.11.5.5