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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Nationwide Outcomes of Immediate Versus Staged Surgery for Newborns with Rectosigmoid Hirschsprung Disease

J Pediatr Surg. 2023 Feb 18:S0022-3468(23)00134-3. doi: 10.1016/j.jpedsurg.2023.02.014. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Debate exists on whether patients with Hirschsprung Disease (HD) should undergo immediate resection during their newborn hospitalization or undergo a staged procedure. This study sought to compare postoperative outcomes among newborns receiving immediate versus staged surgery for rectosigmoid HD.

METHODS: The Nationwide Readmission Database was queried (2016-2018) for newborns with HD who underwent surgical resection during their newborn hospitalization (immediate) versus planned readmission (staged). Those who did not receive rectal biopsy or had long-segment or total colonic HD were excluded. A propensity score-matched analysis (PSMA) of patients receiving either surgery was constructed utilizing >70 comorbidities. Outcomes were analyzed using standard statistical tests.

RESULTS: 1,048 newborns with HD were identified (56% immediate vs. 44% staged). Staged resection was associated with higher total hospitalization cost ($56,642 vs. $50,166 immediate), p = 0.014. After PSMA, the staged cohort was more likely to require home healthcare at discharge and experience unplanned readmission (40% vs. 23%). These patients experienced more gastrointestinal complications (40% vs. 22%) on readmission, especially Hirschsprung-associated enterocolitis (35% vs. 20%).

CONCLUSION: Newborns receiving staged procedures for HD experience higher rates of unplanned readmission complications and incur higher hospitalization costs. This information should be utilized to defray healthcare utilization costs for newborns with HD.

TYPE OF STUDY: Retrospective Comparative.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: III.

PMID:36959060 | DOI:10.1016/j.jpedsurg.2023.02.014

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Impact of surgical margin and extent of lymphadenectomy on oncologic outcomes in plasmacytoid urothelial carcinoma

Urol Oncol. 2023 Mar 21:S1078-1439(23)00077-7. doi: 10.1016/j.urolonc.2023.02.003. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Guideline recommendations disagree on template boundaries for pelvic lymph node dissection (PLND) in conventional urothelial carcinoma. Less is known about PLND in variant histology. We aimed to analyze the role of LND in plasmacytoid urothelial carcinoma (PUC).

METHODS: A retrospective review of patients with cTanyNanyM0 PUC who underwent radical cystectomy (RC) with PLND was performed from 2012 to 2022. Lymph node count (LNC) was a surrogate for extent of lymph node dissection and dichotomized based on maximally selected rank statistics. Multivariable cox hazard regression analysis (MVA) for overall survival (OS) corrected for age, perioperative chemotherapy, soft tissue margin status, and stage ≥pT3 and/or pN+ was performed. Disease free survival (DFS) and OS were estimated using Kaplan-Meier (KM) analysis.

RESULTS: Sixty-seven patients with median age of 71, who were 79.1% male were included. Neoadjuvant and adjuvant chemotherapy were administered in 61.2% and 19.4% of patients, respectively. At RC, 70.1% were ≥pT3. Median LNC was 22 (IQR 14-27) with 43.3% of patients being pN+. Calculated optimal-LNC cut point for DFS and OS was 19. Grouping by optimal (≥20) vs. suboptimal-LNC (<20), no significant clinicodemographic differences were found. Optimal-LNC provided improved DFS (P = 0.05) and OS (P = 0.02). Optimal-LNC (HR 0.47, 0.24-0.93 CI 95%, P = 0.03) and negative soft tissue margin (HR 0.38, 0.19-0.76 CI 95%, P = 0.01) was associated with improved OS on MVA. Receipt of perioperative chemotherapy did not improve OS (P = 0.46).

CONCLUSION: In PUC, complete surgical extirpation achieving negative soft tissue margins and removing ≥20 lymph should be prioritized if operative intervention is pursued.

PMID:36959058 | DOI:10.1016/j.urolonc.2023.02.003

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Reevaluating the Binge Eating Scale cut-off using DSM-5 criteria: analysis and replication in preoperative metabolic and bariatric surgery samples

Surg Obes Relat Dis. 2023 Feb 21:S1550-7289(23)00090-4. doi: 10.1016/j.soard.2023.02.014. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Metabolic and bariatric surgery is effective for sustained weight loss, but binge eating disorder (BED) can be associated with poorer outcomes and lead to weight regain. A common measure used to screen for BED is the Binge Eating Scale (BES). A BES cut-off score of ≥17 previously identified patients who have a high likelihood of meeting criteria for BED. The Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, Fifth Edition (DSM-5), lowered the threshold for meeting criteria for BED, and the psychometrics of the BES need to be reevaluated.

OBJECTIVE: The objective of the current investigation is to evaluate whether alternative cut-scores on the BES result in better classification of BED based on the DSM-5 revision of the the BED diagnostic criteria.

SETTING: Academic medical hospital in the Midwestern United States.

METHODS: Patients (n =1133) seeking metabolic and bariatric surgery were randomly split into 2 samples for validation and replication. The validation sample consisted of 561 patients (30.1% men, 35% non-White). The replication sample consisted of 572 patients who were demographically similar to the first random split sample (e.g., 25.3% men, 34.4% non-White).

RESULTS: Of these patients, 13.5% met DSM-5 criteria for BED in the validation sample and 13.8% met criteria for BED in the replication sample. Lowering the interpretative cut-off to ≥15 on the BES yielded sensitivity values of >.72, specificity values of >.67, and an accurate classification of BED in >.70 of patients across both samples. These classification values were as good as or better than the standard cut-off score of ≥17 in both samples.

CONCLUSIONS: The BES is appropriate to screen for BED in patients who are seeking bariatric surgery. A 2-point decrease in the BES score for clinical interpretation is appropriate-lowering it from 17 to 15 given DSM-5 updates to diagnostic criteria.

PMID:36959027 | DOI:10.1016/j.soard.2023.02.014

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Effect of Nintedanib on healing and fibrosis in rats with experimentally induced urethral injury

Prog Urol. 2023 Mar 21:S1166-7087(23)00065-9. doi: 10.1016/j.purol.2023.02.010. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

AIM: We aimed to determine the effectiveness of Nintedanib treatment, which has known antifibrotic effect, in preventing fibrosis after urethral trauma.

MATERIAL AND METHODS: Twenty-three adult Sprague-Dawley rats were divided randomly into 3 different groups: Sham, Urethral injury group (UI) and Urethral injury+ Nintedanib (UI+N). The urethral injury model was made with a pediatric urethrotome knife. Nintedanib was administered at a dose of 50mg/kg by oral gavage for 14 days at the same time every day. After 14 days of treatment, all rats were performed penectomy under general anesthesia. Urethral tissue was evaluated histopathologically (congestion, inflammatory cell infiltration and spongiofibrosis) and immunohistochemically (transforming growth factor (TBF) Beta-1 and vascular endothelial growth factor receptor 2 (VEBFR2)).

RESULTS: Histopathological findings: Group UI had higher scores in all categories (congestion, inflammatory cell infiltration, and spongiofibrosis), followed by Group UI+N and Group Sham, respectively. A statistically significant difference was found between Group UI and Group UI+N in terms of the scores of histopathological parameters (p<0.05). Immunohistochemical findings: Group UI had higher scores in both categories, followed by Group UI+N and Group Sham, respectively. A statistically significant difference was found between Group UI and Group UI+N in TGF Beta-1 and VEGF scores (p<0.05).

CONCLUSION: We found that Nintedanib administration after urethral trauma reduced inflammation and fibrosis histologically and immunohistochemically. The positive effect of Nintedanib on inflammation and fibrosis after urethral trauma reported in this animal study is encouraging for a potential clinical human application.

PMID:36959024 | DOI:10.1016/j.purol.2023.02.010

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External validation and updating of prognostic models for predicting recovery of disability in people with (sub)acute neck pain was successful: broad external validation in a new prospective cohort

J Physiother. 2023 Mar 21:S1836-9553(23)00003-6. doi: 10.1016/j.jphys.2023.02.002. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

QUESTION: Can existing post-treatment prognostic models for predicting neck pain recovery (primarily in terms of disability and secondarily in terms of pain intensity and perceived improvement) be externally validated and updated at the end of the treatment period and at 6 and 12 weeks of follow-up in a new Dutch cohort of people with neck pain treated with guideline-based usual care physiotherapy?

DESIGN: External validation and model updating in a new prospective cohort of three previously developed prognostic models.

PARTICIPANTS: People with (sub)acute neck pain and registered for primary care physiotherapy treatment.

OUTCOME MEASURES: Recovery of disability, pain intensity, and perceived recovery at 6 and 12 weeks and at the end of the treatment period.

RESULTS: Discriminative performance (c-statistic) of the disability model at 6 weeks was 0.73 (95% CI 0.69 to 0.77) and reasonably well calibrated after intercept recalibration. The disability model at 12 weeks and at the end of the treatment period showed discriminative c-statistic performance values of 0.69 (95% CI 0.64 to 0.73) and 0.68 (95% CI 0.63 to 0.72), respectively, and was well calibrated. Pain models and perceived recovery models did not reach acceptable performance. Cervical mobility added value to the disability models and pain catastrophising to the disability and pain models at 6 weeks.

DISCUSSION: Broad external validation of the disability model was successful in people with (sub)acute neck pain and clinicians may use this model in clinical practice with reasonable accuracy. Further research is required to assess the disability model’s clinical impact and generalisability, and to identify additional valuable model predictors.

REGISTRATION: https://osf.io/a6r3k/.

PMID:36958979 | DOI:10.1016/j.jphys.2023.02.002

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The association between leptin and subclinical cardiovascular disease explained by body fat: Observational and Mendelian randomization analyses

Nutr Metab Cardiovasc Dis. 2023 Feb 23:S0939-4753(23)00071-6. doi: 10.1016/j.numecd.2023.02.013. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Leptin has been associated with adverse effects on cardiovascular disease, but the effect of confounding by body fat in these associations remains unclear. To investigate associations between leptin and heart function and subclinical cardiovascular disease adjusted for total body fat, and to investigate the causal relation between leptin and cardiovascular disease using Mendelian randomisation.

METHODS AND RESULTS: Leptin concentrations, total body fat and diverse measures of subclinical cardiovascular disease were determined in participants of the Netherlands Epidemiology of Obesity study. Linear regression between leptin concentration and measures of heart function, ECG measures, and carotid intima media thickness as a measure of subclinical atherosclerosis was adjusted for potential confounding factors, and additionally including total body fat. We analysed the combined effects of genetic variants from a GWAS on leptin concentrations in publicly-available summary statistics of coronary heart disease GWAS (CARDIoGRAMplusC4D, n = 184,305). As many as 6107 men and women, mean (SD) age 56 (6) years, BMI 26 (4) kg/m2, and median leptin concentration 12.1 μg (IQR: 6.7-22.6) were included. In observational analyses, leptin was weakly associated with heart function and subclinical cardiovascular disease, but these associations attenuated when adjusting for total body fat. A doubling of genetically-determined leptin concentration was associated with an odds ratio of cardiovascular disease of 0.69 (0.37, 1.27).

CONCLUSION: Observational associations between leptin and subclinical measures of cardiovascular disease were largely explained by differences in total body fat. Results of analyses of genetically-determined leptin and coronary heart disease risk were inconclusive due to a large confidence interval.

PMID:36958975 | DOI:10.1016/j.numecd.2023.02.013

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Distinct hyperuricemia trajectories are associated with different risks of incident diabetes: A prospective cohort study

Nutr Metab Cardiovasc Dis. 2023 Feb 28:S0939-4753(23)00076-5. doi: 10.1016/j.numecd.2023.02.018. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Conflicting results suggest a link between serum uric acid and diabetes and previous studies ignored the effect of continuous exposure of serum uric acid on diabetes risk. This study aims to characterize hyperuricemia trajectories in middle-aged adults and to examine its potential impact on diabetes risk, considering the role of obesity, dyslipidemia, and hypertension.

METHODS AND RESULTS: The cohort included 9192 participants who were free of diabetes before 2013. The hyperuricemia trajectories during 2009-2013 were identified by latent class growth models. Incident diabetes during 2014-2018 was used as the outcome. Modified Poisson regression models were used to assess the association of trajectories with diabetes. Furthermore, marginal structural models were used to estimate the mediating effects of the relationship between hyperuricemia trajectories and diabetes. We identified three discrete hyperuricemia trajectories: high-increasing (n = 5794), moderate-stable (n = 2049), and low-stable (n = 1349). During 5 years of follow-up, we documented 379 incident diabetes cases. Compared with the low-stable pattern, the high-increasing pattern had a higher risk of developing diabetes (RR, 1.42; 95% CI: 1.09-1.84). In addition, the percentages of total effect between the high-increasing hyperuricemia pattern and diabetes mediated by obesity, dyslipidemia, and hypertension were 24.41%, 18.26%, and 6.29%. However, the moderate-stable pattern was not associated with an increased risk of diabetes.

CONCLUSIONS: These results indicate that the high-increasing hyperuricemia trajectory is significantly associated with an increased risk of diabetes. Furthermore, obesity, dyslipidemia, and hypertension play mediating roles in the relationship between the high-increasing hyperuricemia pattern and increased diabetes risk.

PMID:36958974 | DOI:10.1016/j.numecd.2023.02.018

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Sex and race/ethnicity specific reference predictive equations for abdominal adiposity indices using anthropometry in US adults

Nutr Metab Cardiovasc Dis. 2023 Mar 4:S0939-4753(23)00086-8. doi: 10.1016/j.numecd.2023.03.001. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Abdominal adiposity indices have stronger associations with cardiometabolic risk factors compared to anthropometric measures but are rarely used in large scale studies due to the cost and efficiency. The aim of this study is to establish sex and race/ethnicity specific reference equations using anthropometric measures.

METHODS AND RESULTS: A secondary data analysis (n = 6589) of healthy adults was conducted using data from National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2011-2018. Variables included in the analyses were anthropometric measures (height; weight; waist circumference, WC) and abdominal adiposity indices (android percent fat; android to gynoid ratio, A/G ratio; visceral adipose tissue area, VATA; visceral to subcutaneous adipose area ratio, VSR). Multivariable prediction models were developed using quantile regression. Bland-Altman was used for external validation of prediction models. Reference equations to estimate android percent fat, A/G ratio, VATA and VSR from anthropometric measurements were developed using a randomly selected subsample of 4613. These reference equations for four abdominal adiposity indices were then cross-validated in the remaining subsample of 1976. The measured and predicted android percent fat, A/G ratio, VATA and VSR were not statistically different (p > 0.05) except for the A/G ratio in Asian males and VSR in White females. The results of Bland-Altman further revealed that ≥93% of predicted abdominal adiposity indices fell within the limits of agreement (±1.96 standard deviation).

CONCLUSION: The sex and race/ethnicity specific reference equations for abdominal adiposity indices established using anthropometrics in the present study have strong predictive ability in US healthy adults.

PMID:36958968 | DOI:10.1016/j.numecd.2023.03.001

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U-shaped association of serum uric acid with cardiovascular disease risk scores and the modifying role of sex among Chinese adults

Nutr Metab Cardiovasc Dis. 2023 Mar 2:S0939-4753(23)00085-6. doi: 10.1016/j.numecd.2023.02.025. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Serum uric acid (SUA) is involved in the development of cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, information on the dose-response relationship between SUA and CVD is limited in the Chinese population. This study aimed to investigate the potential nonlinear dose-response association of SUA with CVD risk in a Chinese population and to explore the effect of sex on these associations.

METHODS AND RESULTS: Cross-sectional data, from 6252 Chinese adults aged 30-74 years who participated in the China Health and Nutrition Survey 2009, were stratified by SUA deciles. The 10-year risk of CVD was determined using the Framingham risk score. A restricted cubic spline (RCS) was incorporated into the logistic models to assess the nonlinear relationship between SUA and CVD. Among the participants, 65%, 20%, and 15% had low, moderate, and high 10-year CVD risks, respectively. Compared with the reference SUA strata of 225 to <249 μmol/L, CVD risk was significantly increased at SUA ≥294 μmol/L, with adjusted ORs ranging from 2.39 (1.33-4.33) to 4.25 (2.37-7.65). An increasingly higher nonsignificant CVD risk was found at SUA <225 μmol/L and showed a nonlinear U-shaped association. In the fitted RCS model, an approximate U-shaped association between SUA and CVD risk scores was found in women, but this significant nonlinear relationship was not found in men.

CONCLUSION: This study showed that both lower and higher SUA levels were associated with a higher 10-year CVD risk among Chinese adults, forming a U-shaped relationship, and this pattern was particularly pronounced for women.

PMID:36958966 | DOI:10.1016/j.numecd.2023.02.025

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Prognostic Value of En-Block Radical Bowel Resection in Advanced Ovarian Cancer Surgery With HIPEC

Cancer Control. 2023 Jan-Dec;30:10732748231165878. doi: 10.1177/10732748231165878.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: To identify prognostic factors of survival and recurrence in advanced ovarian cancer patients undergoing radical surgery and HIPEC.

METHODS: In a single Department of Surgical Oncology, Peritoneal Surface Malignancy Program, and over a 16-year period, from a total of 274 epithelial ovarian cancer patients, retrospectively, we identified 152 patients undergoing complete (CC-0) or near-complete (CC-1) cytoreduction, including at least one colonic resection, and HIPEC.

RESULTS: Mean age of patients was 58.8 years and CC-0 was possible in 72.4%. Rates of in-hospital mortality and major morbidity were 2.6% and 15.7%. Only 122 (80.3%) patients completed Adjuvant Systemic Chemotherapy (ASCH). Rates of metastatic Total Lymph Nodes (TLN), Para-Aortic and Pelvic Lymph Nodes (PAPLN) and Large Bowel Lymph Nodes (LBLN) were 58.7%, 58.5%, and 51.3%, respectively. Median, 5- and 10-year survival rates were 39 months, 43%, and 36.2%, respectively. The recurrence rate was 35.5%. On univariate analysis, CC-1, high Peritoneal Cancer Index (PCI), in-hospital morbidity, and no adjuvant chemotherapy were adverse factors for survival and recurrence. On multivariate analysis, negative survival indicators were the advanced age of patients, extensive peritoneal dissemination, low total number of TLN and no systemic PAPLN. Metastatic LBLN and segmental resection of the small bowel (SIR) were associated with a high risk for recurrence.

CONCLUSION: CC-O is feasible in most advanced ovarian cancer patients and HIPEC may confer a survival benefit. Radical bowel resection, with its entire mesocolon, may be necessary, as its lymph nodes often harbor metastases influencing disease recurrence and survival. The role of metastatic bowel lymph nodes has to be taken into account when assessing the impact of systemic lymphadenectomy in this group of patients.

PMID:36958947 | DOI:10.1177/10732748231165878