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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Development of a risk prediction model and a sample risk chart for long-term care certification based on the functional health of older adults

Nihon Koshu Eisei Zasshi. 2021 Oct 29. doi: 10.11236/jph.21-022. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Objectives The first aim of this study was to develop risk prediction models based on age, sex, and functional health to estimate the absolute risk of the 3-year incidence of long-term care certification and to evaluate its performance. The second aim was to produce risk charts showing the probability of the incident long-term care certification as a tool for prompting older adults to engage in healthy behaviors.Methods This study’s data was obtained from older adults, aged ≥65 years, without any disability (i.e., they did not certify≥care level 1) and residing in Yabu, Hyogo Prefecture, Japan (n=5,964). A risk prediction model was developed using a logistic regression model that incorporated age and the Kihon Checklist (KCL) score or the Kaigo-Yobo Checklist (KYCL) score for each sex. The 3-year absolute risk of incidence of the long-term care certification (here defined as≥care level 1) was then calculated. We evaluated the model’s discrimination and calibration abilities using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUC) and the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test, respectively. For internal validity, the mean AUC was calculated using a 5-fold cross-validation method.Results After excluding participants with missing KCL (n=4) or KYCL (n=1,516) data, we included 5,960 for the KCL analysis and 4,448 for the KYCL analysis. We identified incident long-term care certification for men and women during the follow-up period: 207 (8.2%) and 390 (11.3%) for KCL analysis and 128 (6.6%) and 256 (10.2%) for KYCL analysis, respectively. For calibration, the χ2 statistic for the risk prediction model using KCL and KYCL was: P=0.26 and P=0.44 in men and P=0.75 and P=0.20 in women, respectively. The AUC (mean AUC) in the KCL model was 0.86 (0.86) in men and 0.83 (0.83) in women. In the KYCL model, the AUC was 0.86 (0.85) in men and 0.85 (0.85) in women. The risk charts had six different colors, suggesting the predicted probability of incident long-term care certification.Conclusions The risk prediction model demonstrated good discrimination, calibration, and internal validity. The risk charts proposed in our study are easy to use and may help older adults in recognizing their disability risk. These charts may also support health promotion activities by facilitating the assessment and modification of the daily behaviors of older adults in community settings. Further studies with larger sample size and external validity verification are needed to promote the widespread use of risk charts.

PMID:34719536 | DOI:10.11236/jph.21-022

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The Educational Interpreter Supervision and Support Survey: Part 1

Am Ann Deaf. 2021;166(3):284-308. doi: 10.1353/aad.2021.0031.

ABSTRACT

Little literature exists documenting how K-12 American Sign Language-English interpreters are supervised or evaluated, or how supervision and evaluation affect interpreters and deaf and hard of hearing students. To address this gap, the author asked 230 educational interpreters about their experiences of supervision. Using a critical policy analysis framework and transformational leadership lens, the author conducted a Qualtrics online survey consisting of 42 open- and closed-ended items. Descriptive and statistical results are reported. Chi-square tests showed a significant difference in supervisory activities based on whether or not the supervisor was a credentialed interpreter. Supervisors who were interpreters conducted more job evaluations, assessed interpreting skills more often, and organized professional development more frequently than non-interpreters.

PMID:34719517 | DOI:10.1353/aad.2021.0031

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Deficient Interhemispheric Connectivity Underlies Movement Irregularities in Parkinson’s Disease

J Parkinsons Dis. 2021 Oct 23. doi: 10.3233/JPD-212840. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Movement execution is impaired in patients with Parkinson’s disease. Evolving neurodegeneration leads to altered connectivity between distinct regions of the brain and altered activity at interconnected areas. How connectivity alterations influence complex movements like drawing spirals in Parkinson’s disease patients remains largely unexplored.

OBJECTIVE: We investigated whether deteriorations in interregional connectivity relate to impaired execution of drawing.

METHODS: Twenty-nine Patients and 31 age-matched healthy control participants drew spirals with both hands on a digital graphics tablet, and the regularity of drawing execution was evaluated by sample entropy. We recorded resting-state fMRI and task-related EEG, and calculated the time-resolved partial directed coherence to estimate effective connectivity for both imaging modalities to determine the extent and directionality of interregional interactions.

RESULTS: Movement performance in Parkinson’s disease patients was characterized by increased sample entropy, corresponding to enhanced irregularities in task execution. Effective connectivity between the motor cortices of both hemispheres, derived from resting-state fMRI, was significantly reduced in PD patients in comparison to controls. The connectivity strength in the nondominant to dominant hemisphere direction in both modalities was inversely correlated with irregularities during drawing, but not with the clinical state.

CONCLUSION: Our findings suggest that interhemispheric connections are affected both at rest and during drawing movements by Parkinson’s disease. This provides novel evidence that disruptions of interhemispheric information exchange play a pivotal role for impairments of complex movement execution in Parkinson’s disease patients.

PMID:34719510 | DOI:10.3233/JPD-212840

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Knee Strength and Ankle Range of Motion Impacts on Timed Function Tests in Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy: In the Era of Glucocorticoids

J Neuromuscul Dis. 2021 Oct 29. doi: 10.3233/JND-210724. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy (DMD) is a neuromuscular disorder that presents in childhood and is characterized by slowly progressive proximal weakness and lower extremity contractures that limit ambulatory ability [1, 2]. Contractures develop in the ankles, knees, and hips due to muscle imbalances, fibrotic changes, loss of strength, and static positioning [2, 5]. Currently, standards of care guidelines emphasize the importance of maintaining good musculoskeletal alignment through stretching, bracing, and glucocorticoid (GC) therapy to preserve strength and function.

METHODS: This is a retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data through the CINRG Duchenne Natural history study (DNHS). The objectives of this analysis are to understand the progression of ankle contractures for individuals with DMD and to investigate the relationship between progressive lower limb contractures, knee strength, and Timed Function Tests.A collection of TFTs including supine to stand (STS), 10 meter walk test (10MWT), and timed stair climbing (4SC) have been used to monitor disease progression and are predictive of loss of ambulation in these patients [4]. Multiple factors contribute to loss of ambulation, including progressive loss of strength and contracture development that leads to changing biomechanical demands for ambulation. A better understanding of the changes in strength and range of motion (ROM) that contribute to loss of function is important in a more individualized rehabilitation management plan. In this longitudinal study, we measured strength using quantitative muscle testing (QMT) with the CINRG Quantitative Measurement System (CQMS)), ROM was measuresed with a goniometer and TFTs were measured using a standard stopwatch and methodology.

RESULTS: We enrolled 440 participants; mean baseline age was 8.9 (2.1, 28.0) years with 1321 observations used for analysis. GC use was stratified based on duration on drug with 18.7%at < 6 months or naïve; 4.3%<1 year; 58.0%1 < 10 years; and 19.3%between 10-25 years of GC use. Ankle ROM was better for those on GC compared to GC naive but did not significantly influence long-term progression rates. QMT, ROM, age and GCs contribute to speed of TFTs. Knee extension (KE) strength and Dorsiflexion (DF) ROM are significant predictors of speed for all TFTs (p < 0.001). Of the variables used in this analysis, KE strength is the primary predictor of walking speed, estimating that every pound increase in KE results in a 0.042 m/s improvement in 10MWT, and a smaller similar increase of 0.009 m/s with every degree of ankle DF ROM.

CONCLUSION: GC use provides an improvement in strength and ROM but does not affect rate of change. Knee strength has a greater influence on speed of TFTs than DF ROM, although both are statistically significant predictors of speed. Results show that retaining knee strength [1, 2], along with joint flexibility, may be important factors in the ability to perform walking, climbing and supine to stand activities.

PMID:34719507 | DOI:10.3233/JND-210724

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

A Longitudinal Study on the Association of Interrelated Factors Among Frailty Dimensions, Cognitive Domains, Cognitive Frailty, and All-Cause Mortality

J Alzheimers Dis. 2021 Oct 29. doi: 10.3233/JAD-215111. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Cognitive frailty integrating impaired cognitive domains and frailty dimensions has not been explored.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to explore 1) associations among frailty dimensions and cognitive domains over time and 2) the extended definitions of cognitive frailty for predicting all-cause mortality.

METHODS: This four-year cohort study recruited 521 older adults at baseline (2011-2013). We utilized 1) generalized linear mixed models exploring associations of frailty dimensions (physical dimension: modified from Fried et al.; psychosocial dimension: integrating self-rated health, mood, and social relationship and support; global frailty: combining physical and psychosocial frailty) with cognition (global and domain-specific) over time and 2) time-dependent Cox proportional hazard models assessing associations between extended definitions of cognitive frailty (cognitive domains-frailty dimensions) and all-cause mortality.

RESULTS: At baseline, the prevalence was 3.0%for physical frailty and 37.6%for psychosocial frailty. Greater physical frailty was associated with poor global cognition (adjusted odds ratio = 1.43-3.29, β: -1.07), logical memory (β: -0.14 to -0.10), and executive function (β: -0.51 to -0.12). Greater psychosocial frailty was associated with poor global cognition (β: -0.44) and attention (β: -0.15 to -0.13). Three newly proposed definitions of cognitive frailty, “mild cognitive impairment (MCI)-psychosocial frailty,” “MCI-global frailty,” and “impaired verbal fluency-global frailty,” outperformed traditional cognitive frailty for predicting all-cause mortality (adjusted hazard ratio = 3.49, 6.83, 3.29 versus 4.87; AIC = 224.3, 221.8, 226.1 versus 228.1).

CONCLUSION: Notably, extended definitions of cognitive frailty proposed by this study better predict all-cause mortality in older adults than the traditional definition of cognitive frailty, highlighting the importance of psychosocial frailty to reduce mortality in older adults.

PMID:34719497 | DOI:10.3233/JAD-215111

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Sublingual microcirculatory alterations during the immediate and early postoperative period: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Clin Hemorheol Microcirc. 2021 Oct 26. doi: 10.3233/CH-211214. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The incidence of postoperative microcirculatory flow alterations and their effect on outcome have not been studied extensively.

OBJECTIVE: This systematic review and meta-analysis was designed to investigate the presence of sublingual microcirculatory flow alterations during the immediate and early postoperative period and their correlation with complications and survival.

METHODS: A systematic search of PubMed, Scopus, Embase, PubMed Central, and Google Scholar was conducted for relevant articles from January 2000 to March 2021. Eligibility criteria were randomized controlled and non-randomized trials. Case reports, case series, review papers, animal studies and non-English literature were excluded. The primary outcome was the assessment of sublingual microcirculatory alterations during the immediate and early postoperative period in adult patients undergoing surgery. Risk of bias was assessed with the Ottawa-Newcastle scale. Standard meta-analysis methods (random-effects models) were used to assess the difference in microcirculation variables.

RESULTS: Thirteen studies were included. No statistically significant difference was found between preoperative and postoperative total vessel density (p = 0.084; Standardized Mean Difference (SMD): -0.029; 95%CI: -0.31 to 0.26; I2 = 22.55%). Perfused vessel density significantly decreased postoperatively (p = 0.035; SMD: 0.344; 95%CI: 0.02 to 0.66; I2 = 65.66%), while perfused boundary region significantly increased postoperatively (p = 0.031; SMD: -0.415; 95%CI: -0.79 to -0.03; I2 = 37.21%). Microvascular flow index significantly decreased postoperatively (p = 0.028; SMD: 0.587; 95%CI: 0.06 to 1.11; I2 = 86.09%), while no statistically significant difference was found between preoperative and postoperative proportion of perfused vessels (p = 0.089; SMD: 0.53; 95%CI: -0.08 to 1.14; I2 = 70.71%). The results of the non-cardiac surgery post-hoc analysis were comparable except that no statistically significant difference in perfused vessel density was found (p = 0.69; SMD: 0.07; 95%CI: -0.26 to 0.39; I2 = 0%).

LIMITATIONS: The included studies investigate heterogeneous groups of surgical patients. There were no randomized controlled trials.

CONCLUSIONS: Significant sublingual microcirculatory flow alterations are present during the immediate and early postoperative period. Further research is required to estimate the correlation of sublingual microcirculatory flow impairment with complications and survival.

PMID:34719484 | DOI:10.3233/CH-211214

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Clinical correlation between coagulation disorders and sepsis in patients with liver failure

Clin Hemorheol Microcirc. 2021 Oct 27. doi: 10.3233/CH-211113. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to explore the clinical detection and prognosis of coagulation function in patients with liver failure and sepsis.

METHODS: The plasma fibrinogen (FIB), factor II, factor VII, factor V, factor IV, antithrombin III (ATIII), platelet (PLT), mean PLT volume (MPV), D-dimer, prothrombin activity (PTA), and fibrin degradation product (FDP) levels and thromboelastogram values were detected in patients with liver failure complicated with sepsis and compared with those in the liver failure and liver cirrhosis groups. The patients with liver failure complicated with sepsis were analyzed by univariate and multivariate logistic regression, and the regression equation was established.

RESULTS: The levels of FIB, factor II, factor VII, factor V, ATIII, PLT, MPV, D-dimer, and FDP in the patients with liver failure complicated with sepsis were compared with those in the control group patients, and the differences were statistically significant (p < 0.05). Among the thromboelastography parameters in the patients with liver failure and sepsis, the differences in the K-value, R-value, angle, maximum amplitude, and coagulation index values compared with those of the control group were statistically significant (p < 0.05). The logistic regression model obtained was as follows: p = 1/(1 + e [-0.128×X1-0.058×X2 + 0.211×X3 + 0.2×X4 + 0.25]). The specificity, sensitivity, and accuracy values of the regression equation in determining the prognosis were 92%, 93.9%, and 92.8%, respectively. Among the 11 factors, factor VII, PLT, FDP, and D-dimer were included in the regression equation.

CONCLUSION: Coagulation disorder is exacerbated in patients with liver failure and sepsis. Among the 11 coagulation-related factors, factor VII, PLT, FDP, and D-dimer may be the independent factors influencing the prognosis of patients with acute liver failure and sepsis.

PMID:34719481 | DOI:10.3233/CH-211113

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Association of SIRT1 single gene nucleotide polymorphisms and serum SIRT1 levels with laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma patient survival rate

Cancer Biomark. 2021 Oct 22. doi: 10.3233/CBM-210264. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: SIRT1 is a multifunctional protein, possibly essential in tumorigenesis pathways, which can act both as a tumor promoter and tumor suppressor depending on the oncogenes, specific to particular tumors. Pathogenesis of laryngeal cancer is multifactorial and the association of SIRT1 expression with the clinical characteristics and prognosis of LSCC has not been fully identified.

OBJECTIVES: The study aimed to evaluate associations between single gene nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) of SIRT1 (rs3818292, rs3758391, and rs7895833), serum SIRT1 levels, and 5-year survival rate in patients with laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma (LSCC).

METHODS: The study involved 302 patients with LSCC and 409 healthy control subjects. The genotyping of SNPs was performed using RT-PCR, and serum SIRT1 levels were determined by the ELISA method.

RESULTS: Our study found significant differences in genotype distributions of SIRT1 rs3758391 polymorphisms between the study groups. SIRT1 rs3758391 T/T genotype was associated with the increased LSCC development odds (OR = 1.960 95% CI = 1.028-3.737; p= 0.041). Carriers of SIRT1 rs3758391 T/T genotype had statistically significantly increased odds of LSCC development into advanced stages under the codominant and recessive genetic models (OR = 2.387 95% CI = 1.091-5.222; p= 0.029 and OR = 2.287 95% CI = 1.070-4.888; p= 0.033, respectively). There were no statistically significant differences in serum SIRT1 levels between the LSCC and control groups. However, LSCC patients with SIRT1 rs3818292 AG genotype demonstrated a tendency to significantly lower SIRT1 serum levels than controls (p= 0.034). No statistically significant associations between SIRT1 (rs3818292, rs3758391, and rs7895833) SNPs and the 5-year survival rate of LSCC patients were found.

CONCLUSION: The present study indicated a statistically significant association between the SIRT1 rs3758391 T/T genotype and increased LSCC development odds. LSCC patients with SIRT1 rs3818292 AG genotype showed a tendency to manifest with lower SIRT1 serum levels. No associations between SIRT1 SNPs and the 5-year survival rate of LSCC patients were detected.

PMID:34719479 | DOI:10.3233/CBM-210264

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Experimental study on co-culture of DiI labeled rat bone marrow mesenchymal stem cells and polycaprolactone film in vitro to make a cell patch

Biomed Mater Eng. 2021 Oct 28. doi: 10.3233/BME-211312. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: In stem cell therapy, due to the lack of an effective carrier, a large number of transplanted stem cells are lost and die. Therefore, finding a suitable carrier has become a further direction of stem cell therapy.

OBJECTIVE: In research on the co-culture of polycaprolactone (PCL) with 1,1′-Dioctadecyl-3,3,3′,3′- tetramethylindocarbocyanine perchlorate (DiI) labeled bone marrow mesenchymal stem cells (BMSCs), we observe the effect of materials on the growth and proliferation of DiI labeled stem cells, and the effect of DiI labeling on patch preparation, so as to find a kind of biomaterial suitable for the growth and proliferation of BMSCs, and find a suitable cell carrier for stem cell therapy of myocardial infarction and in vivo tracing.

METHODS: Clean grade Sprague Dawley rats were selected as experimental objects, BMSCs were isolated and cultured, and the surface markers were identified by flow cytometry. After the BMSCs were cultured for 3 passages, the BMSCs were stained with DiI dye, and the BMSCs DiI and PCL biomaterial film were co-cultured. After 24 hours, the cell growth was observed under fluorescence microscope, and fixed for scanning under electron microscope. The cell proliferation was detected by CCK-8 at 1, 4, 7, 10 days of culture. The measurement data conforming to normal distribution are expressed in the form of mean ± standard deviation (X¯± s). One way ANOVA was used for comparison among groups, LSD analysis was used for pairwise comparison. The difference was statistically significant (P < 0.05).

RESULTS: BMSCs were strongly positive for CD90, CD44H, but negative for CD11b/c, CD45. Under fluorescence microscope, BMSCs DiI showed red light, fusiform or polygonal. Under the scanning electron microscope, the cell patch formed by co-culture of PCL film and DiI-BMSCs had a large number of cells on the surface and normal cell state. CCK-8 assay showed that the OD value on the first day was 0.330 ± 0.025; The OD value was 0.620 ± 0.012 on the 4th day, 1.033 ± 0.144 on the 7th day and 1.223 ± 0.133 on the 10th day. There was significant difference among the time points (P < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS: The cell patch made of PCL film and DiI labeled BMSCs can survive and proliferate on the surface, so it can be used as a scaffold material for stem cell therapy in vivo.

PMID:34719477 | DOI:10.3233/BME-211312

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Reliability of cone beam CT for morphometry of nasolabial soft tissue in patients with skeletal class III malocclusion: A qualitative and quantitative analysis

J Xray Sci Technol. 2021 Oct 29. doi: 10.3233/XST-211018. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To assess reliability of cone-beam CT (CBCT) for nasolabial soft tissue measurements in patients with skeletal class III malocclusion based on 3-dimensional (3D) facial scanner results.

METHODS: CBCT and 3D facial scan images of 20 orthognathic patients are used in this study. Eleven soft tissue landmarks and 15 linear and angular measurements are identified and performed. For qualitative evaluation, Shapiro-Wilk test and Bland-Altman plots are applied to analyze the equivalence of the measurements derived from these two kinds of images. To quantify specific deviation of CBCT measurements from facial scanner, the latter is set as a benchmark, and mean absolute difference (MAD) and relative error magnitude (REM) for each variable are also calculated.

RESULTS: Statistically significant differences are observed in regions of nasal base and lower lip vermilion between two methods. MAD value for all length measurements are less than 2 mm and for angular variables < 8°. The average MAD and REM for length measurements are 0.94 mm and 5.64%, and for angular measurements are 2.27° and 3.78%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS: The soft tissue results measured by CBCT show relatively good reliability and can be used for 3D measurement of soft tissue in the nasolabial region clinically.

PMID:34719475 | DOI:10.3233/XST-211018