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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Spatial variations of COVID-19 risk by age in Toronto, Canada

Geospat Health. 2022 Jul 20;17(s1). doi: 10.4081/gh.2022.1100.

ABSTRACT

The risk of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) may vary by age, biological, socioeconomic, behavioural and logistical reasons may be attributed to these variations. In Toronto, Canada, the aging population has been severely impacted, accounting for 92% of all COVID-19 deaths. Four age groups: 60-69 years, 70-79 years, 80-89 years and ≥90 years in Toronto neighbourhoods were investigated for clustering tendencies using space-time statistics. Cohen’s Kappa coefficient was computed to assess variations in risk by neighbourhood between different age groups. The findings suggest that knowledge of health risks and health behaviour varied by age across neighbourhoods in Toronto. Therefore, understanding the socioecological context of the communities and targeting age-appropriate intervention strategies is important for planning an effective mechanism for controlling the disease.

PMID:35860921 | DOI:10.4081/gh.2022.1100

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Mortality Trends from Ischemic Heart Disease in Turkey: 2009-2019

Turk Kardiyol Dern Ars. 2022 Jul;50(5):348-355. doi: 10.5543/tkda.2022.21297.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Cardiovascular diseases still play an important role in public health and epidemiol- ogy as the leading cause of death worldwide. Ischemic heart disease is the most common reason in this group. This study aims to analyze the latest trends in ischemic heart disease mor- tality rates in Turkey by age, gender, and region using the Turkish Statistical Institute mortality data and evaluate the results.

METHODS: We have obtained ischemic heart disease mortality data (2009-2019, in 12 regions) for Turkey from the mortality database of the Turkish Statistical Institute. Joinpoint analysis was used to estimate the annual percentage change and average annual percentage change to identify significant changes in trends.

RESULTS: The mean mortality rate for ischemic heart disease in Turkey was in an increasing trend from 2009 to 2019 (annual percentage change=1.7 (-0.8; 4.3), P=.166). This increase was more pronounced in women (annual percentage change=2.2 (-0.7; 5.2), P=.121) compared to men (annual percentage change=1.4 (-1.1; 3.9), P=.235). When the period between 2015 and 2019 was evaluated, it was determined that ischemic heart disease mortality was in a decreasing trend in the groups over 65 years of age. The death rate due to ischemic heart disease is almost 2 times higher in men than in women in Turkey, and this rate ratio is highest in the Istanbul region.

CONCLUSION: Although ischemic heart disease mortality trends have decreased globally, our country’s average is still on an increasing trend. However, significant decreases have been observed in ischemic heart disease mortality rates, especially in the group over 65 years of age, in the last 5 years.

PMID:35860887 | DOI:10.5543/tkda.2022.21297

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

In-Hospital Bleeding and Mortality in Acute Coronary Syndrome Patients Treated with Tirofiban and Potent P2Y12 Inhibitors

Turk Kardiyol Dern Ars. 2022 Jul;50(5):320-326. doi: 10.5543/tkda.2022.21311.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: In this study, we aimed to determine whether potent agents affect in-hospital bleeding and mortality compared to clopidogrel in patients with the acute coronary syndrome in whom tirofiban and P2Y12 inhibitor are used together.

METHODS: Patients who were treated interventionally between 2015 and 2020 and were using tirofiban were retrospectively screened. Clinical, laboratory, and angiographic findings were obtained from the hospital database. Patients were analyzed by dividing them into clopidogrel and prasugrel/ticagrelor groups.

RESULTS: Acute coronary syndrome patients (n = 227) who were treated interventionally were included in this retrospective study. Clopidogrel was given to 93 (41%), ticagrelor to 112 (49.3%), and prasugrel to 22 of the patients (9.7%). Compared to the ticagrelor/prasugrel group, the clopidogrel group was older and more were women, and the history of hypertension and previous coronary artery disease was higher (P, respectively: <.001; .001; .008; .0045). The creatinine value was higher, the basal hemoglobin was lower, and the GRACE (Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events) and CRUSADE (Can Rapid risk stratification of Unstable angina patients Suppress ADverse outcomes with Early implementation of the ACC/AHA Guidelines) scores were higher (P, respectively: .026; .002; .002; <.001). The in-hospital bleeding rate was signifi- cantly higher in the clopidogrel group (P < .001). Although the in-hospital mortality rate was higher, it was not statistically significant (P = .07). Regression analysis showed that GRACE score and gender were associated with in-hospital mortality (P < .001; P=.031, respectively), and only age was associated with in-hospital bleeding (P < .001). No relationship was found with P2Y12 inhibitor.

CONCLUSION: In our study, we found that the combined use of potent P2Y12 inhibitor with tiro- fiban in acute coronary syndrome patients treated interventionally was not different from the use of clopidogrel in terms of in-hospital bleeding and mortality.

PMID:35860883 | DOI:10.5543/tkda.2022.21311

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Study of Transesophageal Echocardiography in Young Patients with Cryptogenic Stroke: Prevalence of Patent Foramen Ovale and Interpretation of the RoPE Score

Turk Kardiyol Dern Ars. 2022 Jul;50(5):314-319. doi: 10.5543/tkda.2022.21306.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Cryptogenic stroke (CS) is considered to be the most common stroke subtype in young patients. The Risk of Paradoxical Embolism (RoPE) score is a tool that stratifies patients with CS according to the probability of patent foramen ovale (PFO). The aim of this retrospective study is to determine the prevalence of PFO in young patients with transesophageal echocardi- ography (TEE) and to evaluate the role of RoPE score in PFO-related strokes.

METHODS: The medical records of patients with acute arterial ischemic stroke, who underwent TEE between 2016 and 2020, were reviewed. Patients aged 18-55 years were included in the study. Presence of PFO, PFO characteristics, presence of atrial septal aneurysm (ASA) were detected by examining the image records of the patients from the archive system. RoPE score was calculated for all patients as determined in the literature.

RESULTS: Totally, 50 CS patients were included in the study (mean age: 39.6±9.4 years). PFO was detected in 19 (38%) patients and it was the most common cardiac abnormality in CS patients. ASA was detected in 7 (14%) patients. The mean RoPE score in patients with PFO was higher than patients without PFO, although it did not reach statistical significance (7.68±1.1 versus 6.77±1.9 P = .07). Eighteen of 19 patients with PFO had a RoPE score ≥7.

CONCLUSION: In our study, PFO prevalence in the CS patients was higher than normal popula- tion. In patients with cryptogenic stroke, the RoPE score can help determine the probability of PFO related stroke and which patients should undergo TEE.

PMID:35860882 | DOI:10.5543/tkda.2022.21306

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Australian vaccine preventable disease epidemiological review series: diphtheria 1999-2019

Commun Dis Intell (2018). 2022 Jul 21;46. doi: 10.33321/cdi.2022.46.42.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Diphtheria is rare in Australia, but an increasing number of cases have been notified in recent years. Alongside notifications from 1999 to 2019, we analysed other relevant national data sources to evaluate trends over the past two decades.

METHODS: Diphtheria notifications (National Notifiable Diseases Surveillance System [NNDSS]), hospitalisations (National Hospital Morbidity Database [NHMD]) and deaths (Australian Bureau of Statistics and the Australian Coordinating Registry) were separately analysed by site of infection, age group, sex, state/territory, Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander status, and vaccination status.

RESULTS: During the study period, eight (0.002 per 100,000 population per year) cases of respiratory diphtheria and 38 (0.008 per 100,000 population per year) cases of cutaneous diphtheria were recorded in the NNDSS, with 45/46 reported in the nine years since 2011. Corynebacterium diphtheriae accounted for 87% of notified cases, who had a median age of 31.5 years (respiratory diphtheria) and 52.5 years (cutaneous diphtheria); no respiratory diphtheria was notified in those under 15 years of age. A majority of the cutaneous diphtheria cases (27/38; 71%) were acquired overseas, as were 3/8 (38%) of the respiratory diphtheria cases. Rates of both presentation types were higher in Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people (respiratory: 0.007 per 100,000 population per year; cutaneous: 0.021 per 100,000 population per year) than were rates in the overall population. Queensland had the highest rate of notified respiratory cases (0.007 per 100,000 population per year), and the Northern Territory the highest rate of cutaneous notifications (0.043 per 100,000 population per year). There were 29 hospitalisations with a principal-diagnosis diphtheria code in the NHMD between 2002 and 2018, of which eight were designated as respiratory (0.002 per 100,000 population per year), eight as cutaneous (0.002 per 100,000 population per year), and 13 with an unknown site of infection. Among notified cases, two deaths were reported in unvaccinated people in Queensland.

CONCLUSIONS: Although diphtheria remains rare in Australia, 45 cases were notified in the years 2011-2019, compared with one case between 1999 and 2010. Robust surveillance remains important to detect all cases. High immunity will need to be maintained across all age groups to prevent outbreaks, and travel and adult booster doses should be encouraged.

PMID:35860872 | DOI:10.33321/cdi.2022.46.42

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Difference in cochlear length between male and female patients

Cochlear Implants Int. 2022 Jul 20:1-6. doi: 10.1080/14670100.2022.2101534. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Objective: To compare cochlear duct length (CDL) between male and female patients by evaluating the diameter of the basal turn (distance A) on CT scans.Method: All temporal bone CT scans performed between 2014 and 2020 were reviewed in our medical center. Using multiplanar reconstructions, the length A, which is the greatest distance of the basal turn was measured on both sides. We performed an analysis of variance considering two factors: sex and side. Two different physicians carried out the measurements, an otolaryngologist and a neuroradiologist. The patients who had several CT scans allowed us to evaluate the reliability of our procedure.Results: Among the 888 CT scans reviewed, 8 were excluded because of cochlear malformations. The inter-sex difference of length A was found to be 0.29 millimeters(mm) 95% IC [0.26-0.34] and was longer in the male group (p < 0.0001). Using Alexiades’ equation, we found that CDL was 34.5mm [34.37-34.61] in the male group and 33.3mm [33.13-33.38] in the female group. When one side was compared to the other, there was no significant difference (p = 0.226). An intra-class correlation found a good absolute agreement between the two screeners of 0.79.Conclusion: Males have a statistically significant longer CDL than females.

PMID:35860840 | DOI:10.1080/14670100.2022.2101534

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Malaria serosurvey among acute febrile patients come for health care seeking at the high malaria-endemic setting of North West Ethiopia

SAGE Open Med. 2022 Jul 16;10:20503121221111709. doi: 10.1177/20503121221111709. eCollection 2022.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to assess malaria seroprevalence among acute febrile illness cases who come for health care seeking in the high malaria-endemic setting of North West Ethiopia.

METHODS: Institutional-based descriptive serosurvey of malaria infections was employed among 18,386 febrile patients from September 2020 to August 2021. Data were entered using Epi Data version 4.2 and exported to STATA (SE) R-14 version statistical software for further analysis. Bi-variable and multivariable regression analyses were conducted to identify malaria infection. Finally, variables with P-value less than 0.05 were considered significant predictors for malaria infection.

RESULTS: The mean (±standard deviation) age of participants was 48.6 (±18.4) years. The overall seroprevalence of malaria infection was estimated as 27.8% (95% confidence interval = 27.2; 28.6, standard error = 0.003). Malaria infection was significantly associated with participants being female (adjusted odds ratio = 2.9; 95% confidence interval = 1.8; 3.7, P = 0.01), age 5-29 years (adjusted odds ratio = 2.2; 95% confidence interval = 1.7; 2.8, P = 0.02), rural (adjusted odds ratio = 3.9; 95% confidence interval = 1.9; 4.4, P = 0.001), and Hgb ⩽11 mg/dL (adjusted odds ratio = 3.4; 95% confidence interval = 1.9; 5.86, P = 0.01).

CONCLUSION: Nearly every three to ten acute febrile cases were positive for confirmed malaria infection. The risk of malaria infection was significantly associated with respondents being female, aged 5-29 years, rural, and levels of hemoglobin were significantly associated with malaria infection.

PMID:35860811 | PMC:PMC9290101 | DOI:10.1177/20503121221111709

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Oral Hygiene Habits and Use of Fluoride in Developmental Age: Role of Parents and Impact on their Children

Biomed Res Int. 2022 Jul 11;2022:6779165. doi: 10.1155/2022/6779165. eCollection 2022.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: In healthcare, the need to pay more attention to the achievement of two objectives within the society arises: health promotion and prevention in terms of nutrition, good education, sport, and health education. Scientific evidence shows that adequate health standards must be learned since childhood through the help of parents and appropriate school projects. Parental intervention must be appropriate to support the responsibility of their children’s health. In oral health, it has been established for many years that there is a correlation between parental behaviors and lifestyles and children’s attitude. The aim of this study is to verify the close relation between behaviors, habits, lifestyles, and the knowledge of parents about their oral health and, consequently, their focus and care for their own children’s oral health. Furthermore, the awareness of parents about the importance and use of fluorine was to be determined.

MATERIALS AND METHODS: The study lasted 15 months and was conducted from April 2018 to July 2019: an anonymous 29-question questionnaire was administered to all parents who accompanied their children (aged between 3 and 12 years) going under treatment in the Pediatric Dentistry Unit of the University Hospital Policlinico Umberto I, Rome. Anamnestic data, sociodemographic context (e.g., educational level and occupation), oral health habits, and prevention of parents and children and fluoride knowledge were investigated. The study received ethical approval. 204 questionnaires were collected. The data gathered were recorded with a specifically designed computer program and collected and analyzed using a Microsoft Excel 10 database. Data were evaluated using standard statistical analysis software; descriptive statistics including mean ± SD values and percentage were calculated for each variable. The relationship between the age of parents, between mother or father and the parents’ degree of education levels, and the knowledge for their own children’s oral health was explored using the chi-square test of homogeneity and Fisher’s exact test (P value of < 0.05 considered as statistically significant).

RESULTS: From the acquired data, it is possible to deduce that the major respondents were mothers aged from 36 to 45, while only a small part were fathers aged above 45 years. Questions related to parents’ oral hygiene habits were included in the questionnaire, and from the sample taken into consideration, it emerges that 64.7% of the respondents (67.1% mothers and 57.7% fathers) periodically attend a dental office for a checkup, 20.9% tend to postpone the treatment, and 15.2% go there just for emergency. Some of the questions showed that 80% of the interviewed subjects use fluoride toothpaste for their child’s oral hygiene.

CONCLUSION: Prevention in childhood, in addition to being synonymous with monitoring the oral health of the child, means first of all to pay attention to parents who are the main behavioral reference. It emerged that there is no adequate knowledge about fluorine, especially when the subjects have a low educational level. A role of fundamental importance for the diffusion of adequate concepts in the field of oral hygiene is covered, according to the data received from the study carried out, by the dentist and dental hygienist.

PMID:35860800 | PMC:PMC9293534 | DOI:10.1155/2022/6779165

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Associations of polysocial risk score, lifestyle and genetic factors with incident type 2 diabetes: a prospective cohort study

Diabetologia. 2022 Jul 21. doi: 10.1007/s00125-022-05761-y. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

AIM/HYPOTHESIS: We aimed to investigate the association between polysocial risk score (PsRS), an estimator of individual-level exposure to cumulative social risks, and incident type 2 diabetes in the UK Biobank study.

METHODS: This study includes 319,832 participants who were free of diabetes, cardiovascular disease and cancer at baseline in the UK Biobank study. The PsRS was calculated by counting the 12 social determinants of health from three social risk domains (namely socioeconomic status, psychosocial factors, and neighbourhood and living environment) that had a statistically significant association with incident type 2 diabetes after Bonferroni correction. A healthy lifestyle score was calculated using information on smoking status, alcohol intake, physical activity, diet quality and sleep quality. A genetic risk score was calculated using 403 SNPs that showed significant genome-wide associations with type 2 diabetes in people of European descent. The Cox proportional hazards model was used to analyse the association between the PsRS and incident type 2 diabetes.

RESULTS: During a median follow-up period of 8.7 years, 4427 participants were diagnosed with type 2 diabetes. After adjustment for major confounders, an intermediate PsRS (4-6) and high PsRS (≥7) was associated with higher risks of developing type 2 diabetes with the HRs being 1.38 (95% CI 1.26, 1.52) and 2.02 (95% CI 1.83, 2.22), respectively, compared with those with a low PsRS (≤3). In addition, an intermediate to high PsRS accounted for approximately 34% (95% CI 29, 39) of new-onset type 2 diabetes cases. A healthy lifestyle slightly, but significantly, mitigated PsRS-related risks of type 2 diabetes (pinteraction=0.030). In addition, the additive interactions between PsRS and genetic predisposition led to 15% (95% CI 13, 17; p<0.001) of new-onset type 2 diabetes cases (pinteraction<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: A higher PsRS was related to increased risks of type 2 diabetes. Adherence to a healthy lifestyle may attenuate elevated diabetes risks due to social vulnerability. Genetic susceptibility and disadvantaged social status may act synergistically, resulting in additional risks for type 2 diabetes.

PMID:35859134 | DOI:10.1007/s00125-022-05761-y

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The fusion-fission optimization (FuFiO) algorithm

Sci Rep. 2022 Jul 20;12(1):12396. doi: 10.1038/s41598-022-16498-4.

ABSTRACT

Fusion-Fission Optimization (FuFiO) is proposed as a new metaheuristic algorithm that simulates the tendency of nuclei to increase their binding energy and achieve higher levels of stability. In this algorithm, nuclei are divided into two groups, namely stable and unstable. Each nucleus can interact with other nuclei using three different types of nuclear reactions, including fusion, fission, and β-decay. These reactions establish the stabilization process of unstable nuclei through which they gradually turn into stable nuclei. A set of 120 mathematical benchmark test functions are selected to evaluate the performance of the proposed algorithm. The results of the FuFiO algorithm and its related non-parametric statistical tests are compared with those of other metaheuristic algorithms to make a valid judgment. Furthermore, as some highly-complicated problems, the test functions of two recent Competitions on Evolutionary Computation, namely CEC-2017 and CEC-2019, are solved and analyzed. The obtained results show that the FuFiO algorithm is superior to the other metaheuristic algorithms in most of the examined cases.

PMID:35859104 | DOI:10.1038/s41598-022-16498-4