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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Statistical Modeling and Optimization of Electrospinning for Improved Morphology and Enhanced β-Phase in Polyvinylidene Fluoride Nanofibers

Polymers (Basel). 2023 Nov 7;15(22):4344. doi: 10.3390/polym15224344.

ABSTRACT

The fabrication of PVDF-based nanofiber mats with enhanced β-phase using electrospinning and post processing was optimized using Taguchi design methodology. The parameters studied include the concentration of PVDF in the DMF (Dimethylformamide) solvent, applied voltage, flow rate, and drum speed. A reliable statistical model was obtained for the fabrication of bead-free PVDF nanofibers with a high fraction of β-phase (F(β)%). The validity of this model was verified through comprehensive regression analysis. The optimized electrospinning parameters were determined to be a 23 wt% PVDF solution, 20 kV voltage, a flow rate of 1 mL/h, and a drum speed of 1200 revolutions per minute.

PMID:38006068 | DOI:10.3390/polym15224344

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

New Vaccine Introductions in WHO African Region between 2000 and 2022

Vaccines (Basel). 2023 Nov 16;11(11):1722. doi: 10.3390/vaccines11111722.

ABSTRACT

Significant progress has been made in vaccine development worldwide. This study examined the WHO African Region’s vaccine introduction trends from 2000 to 2022, excluding COVID-19 vaccines. We extracted data on vaccine introductions from the WHO/UNICEF joint reporting form for 17 vaccines. We examined the frequency and percentages of vaccine introductions from 2000 to 2022, as well as between two specific time periods (2000-2010 and 2011-2022). We analysed Gavi eligible and ineligible countries separately and used a Chi-squared test to determine if vaccine introductions differed significantly. Three vaccines have been introduced in all 47 countries within the region: hepatitis B (HepB), Haemophilus influenzae type b (Hib), and inactivated polio vaccine (IPV). Between 2011 and 2022, HepB, Hib, IPV, the second dose of measles-containing vaccine (MCV2), and pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) were the five most frequently introduced vaccines. Hepatitis A vaccine has only been introduced in Mauritius, while Japanese encephalitis vaccine has not been introduced in any African country. Between 2000-2010 and 2011-2022, a statistically significant rise in the number of vaccine introductions was noted (p < 0.001) with a significant positive association between Gavi eligibility and vaccine introductions (p < 0.001). Significant progress has been made in the introduction of new vaccines between 2000 and 2022 in the WHO African Region, with notable introductions between 2011 and 2022. Commitments from countries, and establishing the infrastructure required for effective implementation, remain crucial.

PMID:38006054 | DOI:10.3390/vaccines11111722

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Pneumonia Mortality Trends in Children under 5 Years of Age in the Context of Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccination in Peru, 2003-2017

Vaccines (Basel). 2023 Nov 14;11(11):1715. doi: 10.3390/vaccines11111715.

ABSTRACT

Worldwide, conjugated pneumococcal vaccines (PCVs) have proven effective against invasive pneumococcal disease, but non-invasive pneumonia is a major cause of mortality in young children and serotypes vary geographically, affecting effectiveness. We analyze nationwide death certificate data between 2003-2017 to assess the impact of PCVs on pneumonia mortality among young children from Peru. We report descriptive statistics and perform timeseries analysis on annual mortality rates (AMRs) and monthly frequencies of pneumonia deaths. Children under 5 years of age accounted for 6.2% (n = 10,408) of all pneumonia deaths (N = 166,844), and 32.3% (n = 3363) were children between 1-4 years of age, of which 95.1% did not report pneumonia etiology. Comparing periods before and after PCV introduction in 2009, mean AMRs dropped 13.5% and 26.0% for children between 1-4 years of age (toddlers/preschoolers), and children under 1 year of age (infants), respectively. A moderate correlation (Spearman’s r = 0.546, p < 0.01) in the monthly frequency of pneumonia deaths was estimated between both age groups. Quadratic regression suggests a change in direction around 2005 (highest pneumonia mortality) for both age groups, but percentage change analysis identified an inflection point in 2013 for infants only, not for toddlers/preschoolers, suggesting that the impact of PCVs might be different for each age group.

PMID:38006047 | DOI:10.3390/vaccines11111715

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Trends in Influenza Vaccination Rates among a Medicaid Population from 2016 to 2021

Vaccines (Basel). 2023 Nov 11;11(11):1712. doi: 10.3390/vaccines11111712.

ABSTRACT

Seasonal influenza is a leading cause of death in the U.S., causing significant morbidity, mortality, and economic burden. Despite the proven efficacy of vaccinations, rates remain notably low, especially among Medicaid enrollees. Leveraging Medicaid claims data, this study characterizes influenza vaccination rates among Medicaid enrollees and aims to elucidate factors influencing vaccine uptake, providing insights that might also be applicable to other vaccine-preventable diseases, including COVID-19. This study used Medicaid claims data from nine U.S. states (2016-2021], encompassing three types of claims: fee-for-service, major Medicaid managed care plan, and combined. We included Medicaid enrollees who had an in-person healthcare encounter during an influenza season in this period, excluding those under 6 months of age, over 65 years, or having telehealth-only encounters. Vaccination was the primary outcome, with secondary outcomes involving in-person healthcare encounters. Chi-square tests, multivariable logistic regression, and Fisher’s exact test were utilized for statistical analysis. A total of 20,868,910 enrollees with at least one healthcare encounter in at least one influenza season were included in the study population between 2016 and 2021. Overall, 15% (N = 3,050,471) of enrollees received an influenza vaccine between 2016 and 2021. During peri-COVID periods, there was an increase in vaccination rates among enrollees compared to pre-COVID periods, from 14% to 16%. Children had the highest influenza vaccination rates among all age groups at 29%, whereas only 17% were of 5-17 years, and 10% were of the 18-64 years were vaccinated. We observed differences in the likelihood of receiving the influenza vaccine among enrollees based on their health conditions and medical encounters. In a study of Medicaid enrollees across nine states, 15% received an influenza vaccine from July 2016 to June 2021. Vaccination rates rose annually, peaking during peri-COVID seasons. The highest uptake was among children (6 months-4 years), and the lowest was in adults (18-64 years). Female gender, urban residency, and Medicaid-managed care affiliation positively influenced uptake. However, mental health and substance abuse disorders decreased the likelihood. This study, reliant on Medicaid claims data, underscores the need for outreach services.

PMID:38006044 | DOI:10.3390/vaccines11111712

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Association of Maternal Inactivated COVID-19 Vaccination within 3 Months before Conception with Neonatal Outcomes

Vaccines (Basel). 2023 Nov 10;11(11):1710. doi: 10.3390/vaccines11111710.

ABSTRACT

There is limited available data addressing whether inactivated COVID-19 vaccination before conception is associated with adverse neonatal outcomes. This cohort study included all singleton live births at our center from March 1 to June 30, 2022. According to whether a maternal inactivated COVID-19 vaccination had been administered within 3 months before conception or not, neonates were identified as being in the vaccinated or unvaccinated group. Vaccination information and clinical characteristics were extracted for analysis. Furthermore, neonatal outcomes were analyzed and compared between these two groups in the present study. The cohort included 856 eligible newborns, of whom 369 were exposed to maternal vaccination before conception and 487 were unexposed newborns. No differences were observed in rates of preterm birth, newborns being small for gestational age, or neonatal intensive care unit admission between exposed and unexposed newborns. Furthermore, even after adjusting for social-economic status and maternal characteristics, there remained no significant differences in these neonatal outcomes. Our study revealed no statistically significant differences between newborns born to women who received inactivated vaccines prior to conception compared with those who did not receive any vaccinations. In addition, our study also highlights the importance of considering COVID-19 vaccination before conception.

PMID:38006042 | DOI:10.3390/vaccines11111710

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

An Analysis of the Neutralizing Antibodies against the Main SARS-CoV-2 Variants in Healthcare Workers (HCWs) Vaccinated against or Infected by SARS-CoV-2

Vaccines (Basel). 2023 Nov 8;11(11):1702. doi: 10.3390/vaccines11111702.

ABSTRACT

Although the anti-COVID-19 vaccination has proved to be an effective preventive tool, “breakthrough infections” have been documented in patients with complete primary vaccination courses. Most of the SARS-CoV-2 neutralizing antibodies produced after SARS-CoV-2 infection target the spike protein receptor-binding domain which has an important role in facilitating viral entry and the infection of the host cells. SARS-CoV-2 has demonstrated the ability to evolve by accumulating mutations in the spike protein to escape the humoral response of a host. The aim of this study was to compare the titers of neutralizing antibodies (NtAbs) against the variants of SARS-CoV-2 by analyzing the sera of recovered and vaccinated healthcare workers (HCWs). A total of 293 HCWs were enrolled and divided into three cohorts as follows: 91 who had recovered from SARS-CoV-2 infection (nVP); 102 that were vaccinated and became positive after the primary cycle (VP); and 100 that were vaccinated with complete primary cycles and concluded the follow-up period without becoming positive (VN). Higher neutralization titers were observed in the vaccinated subjects’ arms compared to the nVP subjects’ arms. Differences in neutralization titers between arms for single variants were statistically highly significant (p < 0.001), except for the differences between titers against the Alpha variant in the nVP and in VP groups, which were also statistically significant (p < 0.05). Within the nVP group, the number of subjects with an absence of neutralizing antibodies was high. The presence of higher titers in patients with a complete primary cycle compared to patients who had recovered from infection suggested the better efficacy of artificial immunization compared to natural immunization, and this further encourages the promotion of vaccination even in subjects with previous infections.

PMID:38006034 | DOI:10.3390/vaccines11111702

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Impact of Vaccination on the Course and Outcome of COVID-19 in Patients with Multimorbidity

Vaccines (Basel). 2023 Nov 7;11(11):1696. doi: 10.3390/vaccines11111696.

ABSTRACT

Vaccination is the most cost-effective method of preventing COVID-19; however, data on its effect on patients with multimorbidity is limited. The aim was to evaluate the effect of vaccination against new coronavirus infection (NCI) in patients with multimorbid pathology in hospital treatment on the outcome of COVID-19 disease. An analysis was carried out of 1832 records of patients in one of the COVID-19 hospitals in Moscow for 2020-2022. Statistical analysis was carried out using the StatTech v. 3.1.3 software, and the binary logistic regression (BLR) method was used to obtain prognostic models. The median age of patients was 69 years, and 76% of them had received two vaccine doses. To assess the outcome of the disease, two prognostic models were obtained depending on the presence of a multimorbidity in patients: cardiovascular pathology and/or atherosclerosis and/or type 2 diabetes mellitus (Model 1) or atherosclerosis and/or type 2 diabetes mellitus and/or encephalopathy (Model 2), against the background of the presence or absence of vaccination against NCI. When assessing the outcome of NCI in Model 1, the odds of death decreased by 3.228 times with two doses of Sputnik V in patients with multimorbidity. According to Model 2, for patients with multimorbidity, the chances of death decreased by 3.281 times with two doses of Sputnik V. The presence of two doses of Sputnik V increased the likelihood of recovery in patients with multimorbidity by more than three times.

PMID:38006028 | DOI:10.3390/vaccines11111696

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

COVID-19 Antibody Seroconversion in Cancer Patients: Impact of Therapy Cessation-A Single-Center Study

Vaccines (Basel). 2023 Oct 30;11(11):1659. doi: 10.3390/vaccines11111659.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The effective development of COVID-19 vaccination has mitigated its harm. Using two laboratory methods, we investigated the efficacy of the BNT162b2 mRNA and BBIBP-CorV COVID-19 vaccines on seroconversion rates in cancer patients undergoing active cancer treatment.

METHODS: SARS-CoV-2 vaccines were scheduled for 134 individuals. The consenting participants submitted three venous blood samples. Three samples: T0, T1, and T2. The ABBOTT-SARS-CoV-2 IgG II Quant and Elecsys® Anti-SARS-CoV-2 assays were used to evaluate the samples and convert the antibody titers to WHO (BAU)/mL units.

RESULTS: Cancer patients exhibited a higher seroconversion rate at T2, regardless of vaccination type, and the mean antibody titers at T1 and T2 were higher than those at T0. BBIBP-CorV patients required a booster because BNT162b2 showed a higher seroconversion rate between T0 and T1. Statistics indicate that comparing Abbott and Roche quantitative antibody results without considering the sample collection time is inaccurate.

CONCLUSIONS: COVID-19 vaccines can still induce a humoral immune response in patients undergoing cancer-targeted therapy. The strength of this study is the long-term monitoring of antibody levels after vaccination in cancer patients on active therapy using two different immunoassays. Further multicenter studies with a larger number of patients are required to validate these findings.

PMID:38005991 | DOI:10.3390/vaccines11111659

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Longitudinal Analysis of Antibody Response Following SARS-CoV-2 Infection Depending on Disease Severity: A Prospective Cohort Study

Viruses. 2023 Nov 13;15(11):2250. doi: 10.3390/v15112250.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Severe coronavirus disease 19 (COVID-19) is characterized by a dysregulated inflammatory response, with humoral immunity playing a central role in the disease course. The objective of this study was to assess the immune response and the effects of vaccination in recovered individuals with variable disease severity up to one year following natural infection.

METHODS: A prospective cohort study was conducted including patients with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19. Disease severity was classified as mild, moderate, and severe based on clinical presentation and outcomes. Anti-RBD (receptor binding domain) and neutralizing antibodies were evaluated at multiple timepoints during the first year after COVID-19 diagnosis.

RESULTS: A total of 106 patients were included; of them, 28 were diagnosed with mild, 38 with moderate, and 40 with severe disease. At least one vaccine dose was administered in 58 individuals during the follow-up. Participants with mild disease presented significantly lower anti-RBD and neutralizing antibodies compared to those with moderate and severe disease up to the 3rd and 6th months after the infection, respectively. After adjusting for covariates, in the third month, severe COVID-19 was associated with significantly higher anti-RBD (β: 563.09; 95% confidence intervals (CI): 257.02 to 869.17) and neutralizing (β: 21.47; 95% CI: 12.04 to 30.90) antibodies. Among vaccinated individuals, at the 12th month, a history of moderate disease was associated with significantly higher anti-RBD levels (β: 5615.19; 95% CI: 657.92 to 10,572.46).

CONCLUSIONS: Severe COVID-19 is associated with higher anti-RBD and neutralizing antibodies up to 6 months after the infection. Vaccination of recovered patients is associated with a remarkable augmentation of antibody titers up to one year after COVID-19 diagnosis, regardless of disease severity.

PMID:38005927 | DOI:10.3390/v15112250

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The Effect of HIV and Antiretroviral Therapy on Drug-Resistant Tuberculosis Treatment Outcomes in Eastern Cape, South Africa: A Cohort Study

Viruses. 2023 Nov 10;15(11):2242. doi: 10.3390/v15112242.

ABSTRACT

South Africa has a dual high burden of HIV and drug-resistant TB (DR-TB). We sought to understand the association of HIV and antiretroviral therapy status with TB treatment outcomes. This was a retrospective chart review of 246 patients who began treatment at two DR-TB hospitals in Eastern Cape, South Africa between 2017 and 2020. A categorical outcome with three levels was considered: unfavorable, transferred out, and successful. Descriptive statistics and logistic regression were used to compare the individuals without HIV, with HIV and on antiretroviral therapy (ART), and with HIV but not on ART. Sixty-four percent of patients were co-infected with HIV, with eighty-seven percent of these individuals on ART at treatment initiation. The majority (59%) of patients had a successful treatment outcome. Twenty-one percent of patients transferred out, and an additional twenty-one percent did not have a successful outcome. Individuals without HIV had more than three and a half times the odds of success compared to individuals with HIV on ART and more than ten times the odds of a successful outcome compared to individuals with HIV not on ART (OR 3.64, 95% CI 1.11, 11.95; OR 10.24, 95% CI 2.79, 37.61). HIV co-infection, especially when untreated, significantly decreased the odds of treatment success compared to individuals without HIV co-infection.

PMID:38005919 | DOI:10.3390/v15112242