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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Physician assistant/associate retirement intent: seeking the exit ramp

BMC Health Serv Res. 2022 Sep 3;22(1):1117. doi: 10.1186/s12913-022-08479-0.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Retirement patterns for American physician assistants/associates (PAs) are in flux as the first substantial cadre trained in the 1970s makes their retirement choices. The growing and aging of the US population is increasing the demand for healthcare services. At the same time, provider retirement can decrease patient access to care, disrupt continuity of care and lead to poorer health outcomes. Knowing PA intentions to retire and the retirement patterns can be useful to health system employers and workforce policymakers. The purpose of this study was to investigate the retirement patterns of PAs within the United States. We investigated their characteristics, career roles, and intent to depart from clinical practice.

METHODS: Drawing on the National Commission on Certification of Physician Assistants (NCCPA) 2020 health workforce data (N = 105,699), the associations of demographics (age, gender, US region, and years certified), and practice attributes (specialty and practice setting) of clinically active PAs were assessed with intending to retire in the next five years. Analyses for this national cross-sectional study included descriptive statistics, Chi-square, and Fisher’s Exact test, as appropriate. A p-value of 0.05 or less was considered statistically significant for all analyses where a comparison was made.

RESULTS: Overall, 5.8% of respondents indicated that they intend to retire within five years. We detected significant differences (all p < 0.001) on intentions to retire by age group, gender, US region, years certified, specialty, and practice setting. Respondents 70 years and older compared to those 60-69 were more likely (66.5% vs. 48.9%), males compared to females (8.8% vs. 4.4%), those who have been certified for more than 21 years compared to 11-20 years (25.6% vs. 4.0%), PAs practicing in family medicine compared to dermatology (7.7% vs. 3.4%) and those in the federal government practice setting compared to rural health clinic (13.6% vs. 9.8%) reported they were more likely to retire in the next five years.

CONCLUSIONS: Our study provides a comprehensive snapshot of PA retirement intentions using a robust national dataset. Among the most important factors associated with intent to retire in this study were older age and duration of PA career. Most PAs are remaining clinically active into their seventh decade-suggesting that they are integrated into medical systems that value them and they, in turn, value their role.

PMID:36057575 | DOI:10.1186/s12913-022-08479-0

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Predictors for cervical kyphotic deformity following laminoplasty: a systematic review and meta-analysis

J Neurosurg Spine. 2022 Sep 2:1-10. doi: 10.3171/2022.4.SPINE22182. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Laminoplasty is a common treatment for cervical spondylotic myelopathy (CSM) and for ossification of the posterior longitudinal ligament (OPLL). However, approximately 21% of patients undergoing laminoplasty develop cervical kyphotic deformity (KD). Because of the high prevalence rate of KD, several studies have sought to identify predictors for this complication, but the findings remain highly inconsistent. Therefore, the authors performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to establish reliable preoperative predictors of KD.

METHODS: PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science databases were used to systematically extract potential references. The first phase of screening required the studies to be written in the English language, involve patients treated for CSM and/or OPLL via laminoplasty, and report postoperative cervical KD. The second phase required the studies to provide more than 10 patients and include a control group. The mean difference (MD) and odds ratio (OR) were calculated for continuous and dichotomous parameters. Study quality was evaluated using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale. CSM and OPLL patients were further assessed by performing subgroup analyses.

RESULTS: Thirteen studies comprising patients who developed cervical KD (n = 296) and no KD (n = 1254) after receiving cervical laminoplasty for CSM or OPLL were included in the meta-analysis. All studies were retrospective cohorts and were rated as high quality. In the combined univariate analysis of CSM and OPLL patients undergoing laminoplasty, statistically significant predictors for postoperative KD included age (MD 2.22, 95% CI 0.16-4.27, p = 0.03), preoperative BMI (MD 0.85, 95% CI 0.06-1.63, p = 0.04), preoperative C2-7 range of flexion (MD 10.42, 95% Cl 4.24-16.59, p = 0.0009), preoperative C2-7 range of extension (MD -4.59, 95% CI -6.34 to -2.83, p < 0.00001), and preoperative center of gravity of the head to the C7 sagittal vertical axis (MD 26.83, 95% CI 9.13-44.52, p = 0.003). Additionally, among CSM patients, males were identified as having a greater risk for postoperative KD (OR 1.73, 95% CI 1.02-2.93, p = 0.04).

CONCLUSIONS: The findings from this study currently provide the largest and most reliable review on preoperative predictors for cervical KD after laminoplasty. Given that several of the included studies identified optimal cutoff points for the variables that are significantly associated with KD, further investigation into the development of a preoperative risk scoring system that can accurately predict KD in the clinical setting is encouraged. PROSPERO registration no.: CRD42022299795 (https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO/).

PMID:36057129 | DOI:10.3171/2022.4.SPINE22182

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Radiographic comparison of L5-S1 lateral anterior lumbar interbody fusion cage subsidence and displacement by fixation strategy: anterior plate versus integrated screws

J Neurosurg Spine. 2022 Sep 2:1-5. doi: 10.3171/2022.7.SPINE22436. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to radiographically compare cage subsidence and displacement between L5-S1 lateral anterior lumbar interbody fusion (ALIF) cages secured with an anterior buttress plate and cages secured with integrated screws.

METHODS: Consecutive patients who underwent L5-S1 lateral ALIF with supplemental posterior fixation by a single surgeon from June 2016 to January 2021 were reviewed. Radiographs were analyzed and compared between the two groups based on the type of fixation used to secure the L5-S1 lateral ALIF cage: 1) anterior buttress plate or 2) integrated screws. The following measurements at L5-S1 were analyzed on radiographs obtained preoperatively, before discharge, and at latest follow-up: 1) anterior disc height, 2) posterior disc height, and 3) segmental lordosis. Cage subsidence and anterior cage displacement were determined radiographically.

RESULTS: One hundred thirty-nine patients (mean age 60.0 ± 14.3 years) were included for analysis. Sixty-eight patients were treated with an anterior buttress plate (mean follow-up 12 ± 5 months), and 71 were treated with integrated screws (mean follow-up 9 ± 3 months). Mean age, sex distribution, preoperative L5-S1 lordosis, preoperative L5-S1 anterior disc height, and preoperative L5-S1 posterior disc height were statistically similar between the two groups. After surgery, the segmental L5-S1 lordosis and L5-S1 anterior disc heights significantly improved for both groups, and each respective measurement was similar between the groups at final follow-up. Posterior disc heights significantly increased after surgery with integrated screws but not with the anterior buttress plate. As such, posterior disc heights were significantly greater at final follow-up for integrated screws. Compared with patients who received integrated screws, significantly more patients who received the anterior buttress plate had cage subsidence cranially through the L5 endplate (20.6% vs 2.8%, p < 0.01), cage subsidence caudally through the S1 endplate (27.9% vs 0%, p < 0.01), and anterior cage displacement (22.1% vs 0%, p < 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS: In this radiographic analysis of 139 patients who underwent lateral L5-S1 ALIF supplemented by posterior fixation, L5-S1 cages secured with an anterior buttress plate demonstrated significantly higher rates of cage subsidence and anterior cage displacement compared with cages secured with integrated screws. While the more durable stability afforded by cages secured with integrated screws suggests that they may be a more viable fixation strategy for L5-S1 lateral ALIFs, there are multiple factors that can contribute to cage subsidence, and, thus, definitive presumption cannot be made that the findings of this study are directly related to the buttress plate.

PMID:36057128 | DOI:10.3171/2022.7.SPINE22436

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Cranioplasty in the deployed environment: experience for host-country nationals

J Neurosurg. 2022 Sep 2:1-11. doi: 10.3171/2022.7.JNS22524. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Decompressive craniectomy (DC) is the definitive neurosurgical treatment for managing refractory malignant cerebral edema and intracranial hypertension due to combat-related severe traumatic brain injury (TBI). To date, the long-term outcomes and sequelae of this procedure on host-country national (HCN) populations during Operation Iraqi Freedom (Iraq, 2003-2011), Operation Enduring Freedom (Afghanistan, 2001-2014), and Operation Freedom’s Sentinel (Afghanistan, 2015-2021) have not been described, specifically the process and results of delayed custom synthetic cranioplasty. The Joint Trauma System’s Clinical Practice Guidelines (JTS-CPG) for severe head injury counsels surgeons to discard the cranial osseous explant when treating coalition service members. Ongoing political and healthcare system instabilities often preclude opportunities for delayed cranioplasty by host-country assets. Various surgical options (such as hinge craniectomy) are inadequate in the setting of complicated cranial comminution from blast or missile injuries, severe cerebral edema, grossly contaminated wounds, complex polytrauma, and tissue devitalization. Delayed cranioplasty with a custom synthetic implant is a viable but logistically challenging alternative. In this retrospective review, the authors present the first patient series describing delayed custom synthetic cranioplasty in an HCN population performed during active military conflict.

METHODS: Patients were identified through the Joint Trauma System/Theater Medical Data Store, and subgroup analyses were performed to include mechanisms of injury, surgical complications, and clinical outcomes.

RESULTS: Twenty-five patients underwent DC between 2012 and 2020 to treat penetrating, blast, and high-energy closed head injuries per JTS-CPG criteria. The average time from injury to surgery was 1.4 days, although 6 patients received delayed care (3-6 days) due to protracted evacuation from local hospitals. Delayed care correlated with an increased rate of intracranial abscess and empyema. The average time to cranioplasty was 134 days due to a lack of robust mechanisms for patient follow-up, tracking, and access to NATO hospitals. HCN patients who recovered from DC demonstrated overall benefit from custom synthetic cranioplasty, although formal statistical analysis was impeded by a lack of long-term follow-up.

CONCLUSIONS: This review demonstrates that cranioplasty with a custom synthetic implant is a safe and feasible treatment for vulnerable HCN patients who survive their index DC surgery. This unique paradigm of care highlights the capabilities of deployed neurosurgical healthcare teams working in partnership with the prosthetics laboratory at Walter Reed National Military Medical Center.

PMID:36057122 | DOI:10.3171/2022.7.JNS22524

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Use of the reliable change index to evaluate the effect of a multicomponent exercise program on physical functions

Aging Clin Exp Res. 2022 Sep 3. doi: 10.1007/s40520-022-02241-6. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

AIMS: Using the reliable change index (RCI), we aimed to examine the effect of a multicomponent exercise program on the individual level.

METHODS: Overall, 270 adults (mean age, 78 years) completed a multicomponent physical exercise program (strength, aerobic, gait, and balance) for 40 min, 1-2 times per week, continued up to 1 year at a daycare center. Effectiveness was assessed using grip, ankle, knee, and hip strength; Timed Up & Go (TUG); Berg Balance Scale (BBS); gait speed; and 6-min walking distance. These were measured at baseline and every 3 months thereafter. We calculated the RCI using the data between two-time points (baseline and at 3, 6, 9, or 12 months) in each participant and then calculated the mean RCI value across the participants. A paired t-test was also employed to evaluate the effect of the intervention as an average-based statistics.

RESULTS: The highest mean RCI values were on ankle plantar-flexion strength, followed by gait speed, hip abduction strength, BBS, knee extensor strength, 6-min walk distance, grip strength, and finally TUG. Paired t-test also revealed significant improvement with moderate effect sizes for ankle plantar-flexion strength (0.504), gait speed (0.413), hip abduction strength (0.374), BBS (0.334), knee extensor strength (0.264), and 6-min walk distance (0.248). Significant but small effect size was seen on TUG (0.183).

CONCLUSION: The RCI is a convenient method of comparing the effect between different assessments, especially at an individual level. This index can be applied to the use of personal feedback.

PMID:36057083 | DOI:10.1007/s40520-022-02241-6

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Osteoarthritis is positively associated with self-reported sleep trouble in older adults

Aging Clin Exp Res. 2022 Sep 3. doi: 10.1007/s40520-022-02225-6. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Osteoarthritis (OA) is a leading cause of disability in older adults. Most research has focused on minimizing pain and maximizing physical function so as to maintain patient mobility preceding joint arthroplasty. However, few studies have formally studied the relationship between OA and sleep trouble, although it is clinically recognized that OA may affect sleep.

METHODS: The study was based on the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) database from 2011-2018. Participants were defined as adults aged 60 years or older with diagnoses of OA and self-reported sleep trouble. Multivariable regression analyses were applied to assess the association between OA and sleep trouble, adjusting for age, sex, body mass index, race/ethnicity, education level, marital status, income, depression level, etc. RESULTS: This study included 4154 participants, consisting of the control group (n = 2966) and the OA group (n = 1188). OA individuals were 2.11 (95% CI 1.79-2.47, p < 0.001) times more likely to have sleep trouble compared with those without OA. On subgroup analyses, there was lower odds ratio value of sleep trouble in men compared with women, and in the highest income group compared with the other income groups.

CONCLUSIONS: OA was positively associated with sleep trouble in older adults, with different odds ratio values among different subgroups. Our results suggest that older adults with OA should be aggressively screened for sleep problems.

PMID:36057081 | DOI:10.1007/s40520-022-02225-6

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Transarterial Chemoembolization Combined with Apatinib for Treatment of Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Analysis of Survival and Prognostic Factors

Curr Med Sci. 2022 Sep 3. doi: 10.1007/s11596-022-2620-6. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Apatinib is a novel inhibitor of vascular endothelial growth factor receptor-2. The goal of this study was to evaluate overall survival (OS) after a combination of transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) and apatinib in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and to identify the factors affecting patient survival.

METHODS: Fifty-one patients with advanced HCC who received TACE in combination with apatinib in our hospital from June 2015 to May 2017 were enrolled. The OS and progression-free survival (PFS) were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method. The log-rank test and Cox regression model were used to determine the factors affecting OS.

RESULTS: The median OS and PFS of the patients were 15 months and 10 months, respectively. The 1-, 2-, and 3-year survival rates were 64.7%, 23.5%, and 1.8%, respectively. Univariate survival analysis showed that patients with Child-Pugh A (P=0.006), reduction rate of proper hepatic artery (P=0.016), hand-foot syndrome (P=0.005), secondary hypertension (P=0.050), and without ascites (P=0.010) had a better OS. Multivariate analysis showed that hand-foot syndrome (P=0.014), secondary hypertension (P=0.017), and reduction rate of proper hepatic artery (P=0.025) were independent predictors of better OS.

CONCLUSION: TACE combined with apatinib is a promising treatment for advanced HCC. Hand-foot syndrome, secondary hypertension, and the reduction rate of proper hepatic artery were associated with a better OS.

PMID:36057075 | DOI:10.1007/s11596-022-2620-6

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

A machine learning approach to predicting early and late postoperative reintubation

J Clin Monit Comput. 2022 Sep 3. doi: 10.1007/s10877-022-00908-z. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Accurate estimation of surgical risks is important for informing the process of shared decision making and informed consent. Postoperative reintubation (POR) is a severe complication that is associated with postoperative morbidity. Previous studies have divided POR into early POR (within 72 h of surgery) and late POR (within 30 days of surgery). Using data provided by American College of Surgeons (ACS) National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP), machine learning classification models (logistic regression, random forest classification, and gradient boosting classification) were utilized to develop scoring systems for the prediction of combined, early, and late POR. The risk factors included in each scoring system were narrowed down from a set of 37 pre and perioperative factors. The scoring systems developed from the logistic regression models demonstrated strong performance in terms of both accuracy and discrimination across the different POR outcomes (Average Brier score, 0.172; Average c-statistic, 0.852). These results were only marginally worse than prediction using the full set of risk variables (Average Brier score, 0.145; Average c-statistic, 0.870). While more work needs to be done to identify clinically relevant differences between the early and late POR outcomes, the scoring systems provided here can be used by surgeons and patients to improve the quality of care overall.

PMID:36057069 | DOI:10.1007/s10877-022-00908-z

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Onychomycosis in Patients with Diabetes Mellitus in Africa: A Global Scoping Review, 2000-2021

Mycopathologia. 2022 Sep 3. doi: 10.1007/s11046-022-00660-7. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Onychomycosis is commonly studied in Africa but not in patients with diabetics despite having a significant number of her population living with diabetes mellitus (DM). Our review highlights a total of 15 studies with only two from Africa over the past two decades; 8 (53.3%) from Asia, 4 (26.7%) from Europe, 2 (13.3%) from Africa and 1 (6.7%) from North America. A total number of 4321 participants were involved with onychomycosis prevalence of 35.3% (1527/4321). Seven studies documented preponderance of onychomycosis in males, one showed preponderance in females, one showed no statistically significant difference in gender, while correlation with gender was unclear in the remainder. The risk factors identified were duration of diabetes, increasing age, occupation (agriculture), subclinical atherosclerosis, metabolic syndrome, obesity, triglyceride levels, and glycosylated haemoglobin. Three case control studies showed a statistically significant correlation between onychomycosis and individuals with DM. Diagnosis was mainly by microscopy and culture with Trichophyton (T) rubrum as the predominant isolate. Fungal nail infections are grossly underdiagnosed and/or underreported in Africa and hence the need for improved awareness and diagnosis especially in patients with DM. Although focused on Africa, this study also revealed paucity of data on onychomycosis in diabetic patients living in the Americas despite evidence from the literature showing a significant number of individuals from that region are living with diabetes. The need to evaluate this at-risk population for onychomycosis cannot be over emphasized.

PMID:36057068 | DOI:10.1007/s11046-022-00660-7

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Towards green economy: Environmental performance of belt and road initiative in China

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2022 Sep 3. doi: 10.1007/s11356-022-22804-4. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

As a Chinese solution to build a community of human destiny, Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) has shown China’s international responsibility by promoting its green development. Based on the annual panel data of Chinese cities from 2004 to 2018, this paper systematically explores the effect of BRI on the Green Total Factor Productivity (GTFP) of cities along its domestic route using the difference-in-differences (DID) method. The results of the study show that (1) BRI significantly increases the GTFP of cities along its domestic route, and this finding holds after excluding a series of robustness tests such as endogeneity issues and other policy disturbances. (2) BRI promotes the growth of GTFP in the region mainly through improving science and technology innovation, increasing foreign direct investment and enhancing trade cooperation. (3) From the perspective of heterogeneity, the promotion effect of BRI on the GTFP of inland cities along the route is much higher than that of coastal cities, and cities along the route with stronger environmental concerns have a more significant enhancement effect. (4) Based on the policy context and the undertaking of role functions, there is a significant positive linkage effect between BRI Initiative and the Free Trade Zone (FTZ) construction in promoting GTFP growth. (5) From a spatial perspective, BRI has not only increased the GTFP of cities along the route, but also radiated the growth of GTFP in neighboring cities along the route. The conclusion of this paper provides a policy reference and theoretical basis for further building the green “Belt and Road” and promoting the sustainable development of China’s economy and high-quality transformation.

PMID:36057062 | DOI:10.1007/s11356-022-22804-4