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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Deep Learning for Automatic Differential Diagnosis of Primary Central Nervous System Lymphoma and Glioblastoma: Multi-Parametric Magnetic Resonance Imaging Based Convolutional Neural Network Model

J Magn Reson Imaging. 2021 Mar 11. doi: 10.1002/jmri.27592. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Differential diagnosis of primary central nervous system lymphoma (PCNSL) and glioblastoma (GBM) is useful to guide treatment strategies.

PURPOSE: To investigate the use of a convolutional neural network (CNN) model for differentiation of PCNSL and GBM without tumor delineation.

STUDY TYPE: Retrospective.

POPULATION: A total of 289 patients with PCNSL (136) or GBM (153) were included, the average age of the cohort was 54 years, and there were 173 men and 116 women.

FIELD STRENGTH/SEQUENCE: 3.0 T Axial contrast-enhanced T1 -weighted spin-echo inversion recovery sequence (CE-T1 WI), T2 -weighted fluid-attenuation inversion recovery sequence (FLAIR), and diffusion weighted imaging (DWI, b = 0 second/mm2 , 1000 seconds/mm2 ).

ASSESSMENT: A single-parametric CNN model was built using CE-T1 WI, FLAIR, and the apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) map derived from DWI, respectively. A decision-level fusion based multi-parametric CNN model (DF-CNN) was built by combining the predictions of single-parametric CNN models through logistic regression. An image-level fusion based multi-parametric CNN model (IF-CNN) was built using the integrated multi-parametric MR images. The radiomics models were developed. The diagnoses by three radiologists with 6 years (junior radiologist Y.Y.), 11 years (intermediate-level radiologist Y.T.), and 21 years (senior radiologist Y.L.) of experience were obtained.

STATISTICAL ANALYSIS: The 5-fold cross validation was used for model evaluation. The Pearson’s chi-squared test was used to compare the accuracies. U-test and Fisher’s exact test were used to compare clinical characteristics.

RESULTS: The CE-T1 WI, FLAIR, and ADC based single-parametric CNN model had accuracy of 0.884, 0.782, and 0.700, respectively. The DF-CNN model had an accuracy of 0.899 which was higher than the IF-CNN model (0.830, P = 0.021), but had no significant difference in accuracy compared to the radiomics model (0.865, P = 0.255), and the senior radiologist (0.906, P = 0.886).

DATA CONCLUSION: A CNN model can differentiate PCNSL from GBM without tumor delineation, and comparable to the radiomics models and radiologists.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: 4 TECHNICAL EFFICACY: Stage 2.

PMID:33694250 | DOI:10.1002/jmri.27592

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Metastatic Diffusion Volume Based on Apparent Diffusion Coefficient as a Prognostic Factor in Castration-Resistant Prostate Cancer

J Magn Reson Imaging. 2021 Mar 11. doi: 10.1002/jmri.27596. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Whole-body diffusion-weighted MRI (WB-DWI) is useful for assessing disease activity in castration-resistant prostate cancer (CRPC). MET-RADS-P is a subjective assessment-based reporting system proposed to standardize the interpretation of WB-DWI. However, a quantitative evaluation of WB-DWI has not been fully investigated.

PURPOSE: To investigate the validity, and analyze the prognostic value, of quantitative evaluation of WB-DWI based on apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) values for CRPC.

STUDY TYPE: Retrospective.

POPULATION: Sixty-six patients with CRPC. The median age was 75 years. During the median follow-up period of 25.2 months, 23 of 66 patients (34.8%) died of prostate cancer.

FIELD STRENGTH/SEQUENCE: A 1.5 T WB-DWI was used with two b-values (0 s/mm2 -1000 s/mm2 ). A single-shot echo-planar imaging sequence was used.

ASSESSMENT: WB-DWI were evaluated by three readers according to MET-RADS-P scoring system. Using imaging software, Attractive BDScore, tumor diffusion volume (mDV) and ADC value of metastatic lesion (mADC) was calculated by two readers. The mDV was calculated with ADC values (×10-3 mm2 /sec) of 0.4-0.9 (mDV0.4-0.9 ), 0.9-1.4 (mDV0.9-1.4 ), and 1.4-1.8 (mDV1.4-1.8 ), respectively.

STATISTICAL TESTS: Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient was used to assess the correlation. The relationships between the variables with cancer-specific survival (CSS) were evaluated. Multivariate analysis was performed using the Cox proportional hazards model.

RESULTS: mDVs showed a strong positive correlation with MET-RADS-P scores (r = 0.90/0.87, P < 0.05 for both). mDV showed a statistically significant association with CSS (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.01, P < 0.05). When the mDVs calculated based on the ADC values were included, mDV0.4-0.9 (HR: 1.02, P < 0.05) and the number of therapeutic lines (HR: 1.35, P < 0.05) were significant independent indicators of CSS shortening.

CONCLUSION: Assessment of metastatic tumor volume based on ADC values can be used in the prognostic evaluation of patients with CRPC. WB-DWI might be a potential prognostic imaging biomarker for CRPC.

EVIDENCE LEVEL: 4 TECHNICAL EFFICACY: Stage 2.

PMID:33694240 | DOI:10.1002/jmri.27596

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Association of Hypertension With Both Occurrence and Outcome of Symptomatic Patients With Mild Intracranial Atherosclerotic Stenosis: A Prospective Higher Resolution Magnetic Resonance Imaging Study

J Magn Reson Imaging. 2021 Mar 10. doi: 10.1002/jmri.27516. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Intracranial atherosclerotic plaque causing mild luminal stenosis might lead to acute ischemic events. However, the difference between culprit and nonculprit lesions is unclear, as are the factors associated with favorable treatment outcomes.

PURPOSE: To quantify characteristics of intracranial atherosclerosis with mild luminal stenosis and to identify factors associated with lesion type (culprit or nonculprit) and with clinical outcomes.

STUDY TYPE: Prospective POPULATION: 293 patients who had acute stroke with mild luminal stenosis (<50%) in the middle cerebral or basilar artery.

FIELD STRENGTH/SEQUENCE: 3.0 T higher resolution magnetic resonance imaging (hrMRI) of intracranial arteries and whole brain MR images.

ASSESSMENT: Morphological and compositional analysis of plaques was performed. This included assessment of plaque volume, plaque burden, remodeling ratio, eccentricity, intraplaque hemorrhage, and enhancement ratio. Clinical outcomes were assessed according to the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) at day 90, with a favorable outcome being defined as a 90-day mRS ≤2.

STATISTICAL TESTS: The odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated by a logistic regression model.

RESULTS: Hypertension (OR 5.2; 95% CI 2.6-10.3; P < 0.05) and hrMRI enhancement ratio (OR 2.7; 95% CI 1.4-5.1; P < 0.05) were independently associated with lesion type. Patients without hypertension had significantly more (P < 0.05) favorable outcomes (124/144) than patients with hypertension (97/149). Most hypertensive patients without any previous blood pressure control (54/63) had a favorable outcome. However, these patients were significantly younger (P < 0.05) than those with adequate blood pressure control. After adjusting for all significant characteristics, hypertension duration (OR 1.19; 95% CI 1.09-1.29; P < 0.05), hypertension management (OR 2.49; 95% CI 1.18-5.26; P < 0.05), and enhancement ratio (OR 0.01; 95% CI 0.001-0.157; P < 0.05) were found to be independent high-risk factors for outcome prediction. DATA CONCLUSION: hrMRI provided incremental value over traditional risk factors in identifying higher risk intracranial atherosclerosis with mild luminal stenosis.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: 2 TECHNICAL EFFICACY: Stage 2.

PMID:33694230 | DOI:10.1002/jmri.27516

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Usefulness of cardiac hormones for evaluating valvular disease in cynomolgus monkeys (Macaca fascicularis)

J Vet Med Sci. 2021 Mar 9. doi: 10.1292/jvms.20-0606. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Nonhuman primates are commonly used as experimental animals due to their biological resemblance to humans. In patients with cardiac disease, the levels of atrial natriuretic peptide (ANP) and brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) tend to increase in response to cardiac damage, and they are thus used as indicators for the diagnosis of human heart failure. However, no reference values for ANP and BNP have been reported for heart disease in nonhuman primates. In this study, we recorded the age, sex, and body weight of 202 cynomolgus monkeys, and performed evaluations to assess the ANP and BNP levels, electrocardiography and echocardiography, and accordingly divided the monkeys into two groups: healthy monkeys and those with spontaneous cardiac disease. Statistical analysis was performed to determine the relationship of ANP and BNP with the factors of age, sex, and body weight. No significant relationship was found between the levels of ANP and BNP and the factors of age, sex, and body weight. However, both the ANP and BNP levels were significantly different between the healthy monkeys and monkeys with valvular disease. Similar to humans, the ANP and BNP levels tended to increase with the progression of cardiac disease in monkeys. Based on these results, we concluded that ANP and BNP are indicators of cardiac disease in nonhuman primates, and that this nonhuman primate cardiac disease model is applicable for cardiology research in humans.

PMID:33692223 | DOI:10.1292/jvms.20-0606

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Patterns of age disparities in colon and lung cancer survival: a systematic narrative literature review

BMJ Open. 2021 Mar 10;11(3):e044239. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2020-044239.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To identify patterns of age disparities in cancer survival, using colon and lung cancer as exemplars.

DESIGN: Systematic review of the literature.

DATA SOURCES: We searched Embase, MEDLINE, Scopus and Web of Science through 18 December 2020.

ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA: We retained all original articles published in English including patients with colon or lung cancer. Eligible studies were required to be population-based, report survival across several age groups (of which at least one was over the age of 65) and at least one other characteristic (eg, sex, treatment).

DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS: Two independent reviewers extracted data and assessed the quality of included studies against selected evaluation domains from the QUIPS tool, and items concerning statistical reporting. We evaluated age disparities using the absolute difference in survival or mortality rates between the middle-aged group and the oldest age group, or by describing survival curves.

RESULTS: Out of 3047 references, we retained 59 studies (20 for colon, 34 for lung and 5 for both sites). Regardless of the cancer site, the included studies were highly heterogeneous and often of poor quality. The magnitude of age disparities in survival varied greatly by sex, ethnicity, socioeconomic status, stage at diagnosis, cancer site, and morphology, the number of nodes examined and treatment strategy. Although results were inconsistent for most characteristics, we consistently observed greater age disparities for women with lung cancer compared with men. Also, age disparities increased with more advanced stages for colon cancer and decreased with more advanced stages for lung cancer.

CONCLUSIONS: Although age is one of the most important prognostic factors in cancer survival, age disparities in colon and lung cancer survival have so far been understudied in population-based research. Further studies are needed to better understand age disparities in colon and lung cancer survival.

PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER: CRD42020151402.

PMID:33692182 | DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2020-044239

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

What is the recovery rate and risk of long-term consequences following a diagnosis of COVID-19? A harmonised, global longitudinal observational study protocol

BMJ Open. 2021 Mar 10;11(3):e043887. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2020-043887.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Very little is known about possible clinical sequelae that may persist after resolution of acute COVID-19. A recent longitudinal cohort from Italy including 143 patients followed up after hospitalisation with COVID-19 reported that 87% had at least one ongoing symptom at 60-day follow-up. Early indications suggest that patients with COVID-19 may need even more psychological support than typical intensive care unit patients. The assessment of risk factors for longer term consequences requires a longitudinal study linked to data on pre-existing conditions and care received during the acute phase of illness. The primary aim of this study is to characterise physical and psychosocial sequelae in patients post-COVID-19 hospital discharge.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS: This is an international open-access prospective, observational multisite study. This protocol is linked with the International Severe Acute Respiratory and emerging Infection Consortium (ISARIC) and the WHO’s Clinical Characterisation Protocol, which includes patients with suspected or confirmed COVID-19 during hospitalisation. This protocol will follow-up a subset of patients with confirmed COVID-19 using standardised surveys to measure longer term physical and psychosocial sequelae. The data will be linked with the acute phase data. Statistical analyses will be undertaken to characterise groups most likely to be affected by sequelae of COVID-19. The open-access follow-up survey can be used as a data collection tool by other follow-up studies, to facilitate data harmonisation and to identify subsets of patients for further in-depth follow-up. The outcomes of this study will inform strategies to prevent long-term consequences; inform clinical management, interventional studies, rehabilitation and public health management to reduce overall morbidity; and improve long-term outcomes of COVID-19.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: The protocol and survey are open access to enable low-resourced sites to join the study to facilitate global standardised, longitudinal data collection. Ethical approval has been given by sites in Colombia, Ghana, Italy, Norway, Russia, the UK and South Africa. New sites are welcome to join this collaborative study at any time. Sites interested in adopting the protocol as it is or in an adapted version are responsible for ensuring that local sponsorship and ethical approvals in place as appropriate. The tools are available on the ISARIC website (www.isaric.org). PROTOCOL REGISTRATION NUMBER: osf.io/c5rw3/ PROTOCOL VERSION: 3 August 2020 EUROQOL ID: 37035.

PMID:33692181 | DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2020-043887

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Beyond deaths per capita: comparative COVID-19 mortality indicators

BMJ Open. 2021 Mar 10;11(3):e042934. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2020-042934.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Following well-established practices in demography, this article discusses several measures based on the number of COVID-19 deaths to facilitate comparisons over time and across populations.

SETTINGS: National populations in 186 United Nations countries and territories and populations in first-level subnational administrative entities in Brazil, China, Italy, Mexico, Peru, Spain and the USA.

PARTICIPANTS: None (death statistics only).

PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: An unstandardised occurrence/exposure rate comparable to the Crude Death Rate; an indirectly age-and-sex standardised rate that can be derived even when the breakdown of COVID-19 deaths by age and sex required for direct standardisation is unavailable; the reduction in life expectancy at birth corresponding to the 2020 number of COVID-19 deaths.

RESULTS: To date, the highest unstandardised rate has been in New York, at its peak exceeding the state 2017 crude death rate. Populations compare differently after standardisation: while parts of Italy, Spain and the USA have the highest unstandardised rates, parts of Mexico and Peru have the highest standardised rates. For several populations with the necessary data by age and sex for direct standardisation, we show that direct and indirect standardisation yield similar results. US life expectancy is estimated to have declined this year by more than a year (-1.26 years), far more than during the worst year of the HIV epidemic, or the worst 3 years of the opioid crisis, and to reach its lowest level since 2008. Substantially larger reductions, exceeding 2 years, are estimated for Panama, Peru, and parts of Italy, Spain, the USA and especially, Mexico.

CONCLUSIONS: With lesser demand on data than direct standardisation, indirect standardisation is a valid alternative to adjust international comparisons for differences in population distribution by sex and age-groups. A number of populations have experienced reductions in 2020 life expectancies that are substantial by recent historical standards.

PMID:33692179 | DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2020-042934

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Reviewing the use and quality of machine learning in developing clinical prediction models for cardiovascular disease

Postgrad Med J. 2021 Mar 10:postgradmedj-2020-139352. doi: 10.1136/postgradmedj-2020-139352. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is one of the leading causes of death across the world. CVD can lead to angina, heart attacks, heart failure, strokes, and eventually, death; among many other serious conditions. The early intervention with those at a higher risk of developing CVD, typically with statin treatment, leads to better health outcomes. For this reason, clinical prediction models (CPMs) have been developed to identify those at a high risk of developing CVD so that treatment can begin at an earlier stage. Currently, CPMs are built around statistical analysis of factors linked to developing CVD, such as body mass index and family history. The emerging field of machine learning (ML) in healthcare, using computer algorithms that learn from a dataset without explicit programming, has the potential to outperform the CPMs available today. ML has already shown exciting progress in the detection of skin malignancies, bone fractures and many other medical conditions. In this review, we will analyse and explain the CPMs currently in use with comparisons to their developing ML counterparts. We have found that although the newest non-ML CPMs are effective, ML-based approaches consistently outperform them. However, improvements to the literature need to be made before ML should be implemented over current CPMs.

PMID:33692158 | DOI:10.1136/postgradmedj-2020-139352

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Performance at medical school selection correlates with success in Part A of the intercollegiate Membership of the Royal College of Surgeons (MRCS) examination

Postgrad Med J. 2021 Mar 10:postgradmedj-2021-139748. doi: 10.1136/postgradmedj-2021-139748. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Medical schools in the UK typically use prior academic attainment and an admissions test (University Clinical Aptitude Test (UCAT), Biomedical Admissions Test (BMAT) or the Graduate Medical School Admissions Test (GAMSAT)) to help select applicants for interview. To justify their use, more information is needed about the predictive validity of these tests. Thus, we investigated the relationship between performance in admissions tests and the Membership of the Royal College of Surgeons (MRCS) examination.The UKMED database (https://www.ukmed.ac.uk) was used to access medical school selection data for all UK graduates who attempted MRCS Part A (n=11 570) and Part B (n=5690) between 2007 and 2019. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression models identified independent predictors of MRCS success. Pearson correlation coefficients examined the linear relationship between test scores and MRCS performance.Successful MRCS Part A candidates scored higher in A-Levels, UCAT, BMAT and GAMSAT (p<0.05). No significant differences were observed for MRCS Part B. All admissions tests were found to independently predict MRCS Part A performance after adjusting for prior academic attainment (A-Level performance) (p<0.05). Admission test scores demonstrated statistically significant correlations with MRCS Part A performance (p<0.001).The utility of admissions tests is clear with respect to helping medical schools select from large numbers of applicants for a limited number of places. Additionally, these tests appear to offer incremental value above A-Level performance alone. We expect this data to guide medical schools’ use of admissions test scores in their selection process.

PMID:33692157 | DOI:10.1136/postgradmedj-2021-139748

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Naltrexone for cholestatic itch: a systematic review

BMJ Support Palliat Care. 2021 Mar 10:bmjspcare-2020-002801. doi: 10.1136/bmjspcare-2020-002801. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Cholestatic itch is caused by intrahepatic liver diseases, such as primary biliary cirrhosis and extrahepatic obstruction of the biliary tree, often caused by tumours. The pathophysiology of cholestatic itch is complex and no single treatment has proved definitive. Naltrexone is an opioid receptor antagonist, which reduces central opioidergic tone, believed to be raised in patients with cholestatic pruritus.

AIM: To review and assess the efficacy of oral naltrexone for the treatment of cholestatic itch.

METHODS: Search of electronic databases, grey literature, clinical trials registries and handsearching for studies including naltrexone for cholestatic itch. Full papers were obtained if relevant and studies graded.

RESULTS: Thirteen papers were included in the analysis, including three randomised controlled trials, one controlled clinical trial, one open-label pilot study, seven case reports and one retrospective notes review. All studies found naltrexone to be effective in relieving pruritus. In all five studies performing statistical analysis, naltrexone significantly reduced pruritus compared with baseline. 37% of patients reported side effects, notably opioid withdrawal-type reactions and recurrence of previous pain, from all pathologies.

CONCLUSIONS: Oral naltrexone therapy helps relieve cholestatic itch and although it should be used with caution in patients using exogenous opioids for analgesia, it should be considered when treating refractory pruritus in patients with end-stage liver disease.

PMID:33692114 | DOI:10.1136/bmjspcare-2020-002801