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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Which model is superior in predicting ICU survival: artificial intelligence versus conventional approaches

BMC Med Inform Decis Mak. 2022 Jun 26;22(1):167. doi: 10.1186/s12911-022-01903-9.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: A disease severity classification system is widely used to predict the survival of patients admitted to the intensive care unit with different diagnoses. In the present study, conventional severity classification systems were compared with artificial intelligence predictive models (Artificial Neural Network and Decision Tree) in terms of the prediction of the survival rate of the patients admitted to the intensive care unit.

METHODS: This retrospective cohort study was performed on the data of the patients admitted to the ICU of Ghaemshahr’s Razi Teaching Care Center from March 20th, 2017, to September 22nd, 2019. The required data for calculating conventional severity classification models (SOFA, SAPS II, APACHE II, and APACHE IV) were collected from the patients’ medical records. Subsequently, the score of each model was calculated. Artificial intelligence predictive models (Artificial Neural Network and Decision Tree) were developed in the next step. Lastly, the performance of each model in predicting the survival of the patients admitted to the intensive care unit was evaluated using the criteria of sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, F-measure, and area under the ROC curve. Also, each model was validated externally. The R program, version 4.1, was used to create the artificial intelligence models, and SPSS Statistics Software, version 21, was utilized to perform statistical analysis.

RESULTS: The area under the ROC curve of SOFA, SAPS II, APACHE II, APACHE IV, multilayer perceptron artificial neural network, and CART decision tree were 76.0, 77.1, 80.3, 78.5, 84.1, and 80.0, respectively.

CONCLUSION: The results showed that although the APACHE II model had better results than other conventional models in predicting the survival rate of the patients admitted to the intensive care unit, the other conventional models provided acceptable results too. Moreover, the findings showed that the artificial neural network model had the best performance among all the studied models, indicating the discrimination power of this model in predicting patient survival compared to the other models.

PMID:35761275 | DOI:10.1186/s12911-022-01903-9

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Thermography as an aid for the complementary diagnosis of nodules in the thyroid gland

Biomed Eng Online. 2022 Jun 27;21(1):41. doi: 10.1186/s12938-022-01009-3.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Considering the estimate that thyroid cancer will become the fourth most prevalent type of tumor, improving its diagnosis is a necessity. The gold standard for evaluating thyroid nodules is ultrasound followed by biopsy. These tests, however, have limitations, especially in nodules smaller than 0.5 cm. Dynamic infrared thermography is an imaging method that does not require ionizing radiation or contrast injection. The aim of the study was to analyze the thermal behavior of thyroid nodules through infrared thermography using the cold stress protocol.

RESULTS: The Wilcoxon test showed thermal differences between groups (control and healthy, p < 0.001). The difference in the thermal behavior of the nodular tissues was evidenced by the longitudinal analysis. When comparing the nodules, it was possible to verify that the beginnings of tissue heating is significant (p = 0.001). In addition, the variability analysis showed a “well” effect, which occurred in period t-1 (pre-cooling time) to period t = 3 (time three minutes). Benign nodules had a variation ratio of 1.81 compared to malignant nodules.

CONCLUSION: Benign nodules present a different thermal behavior than malignant nodules, and both present different behavior than normal tissue. For the analysis of nodules, the protocol used with cold stress, dynamic thermography and the inclusion of time t-1 were essential for the differentiation of nodules in the thyroid gland. Therefore, we recommend the continuance of these parameters for future studies.

METHODS: Thirty-three individuals with nodules in the thyroid region and nine healthy individuals participated in this descriptive exploratory study. In total, 42 nodules were evaluated, 11 malignant and 31 benign. The region of interest was exposed to cold stress for 30 s. First, the image was captured before the cold stress and subsequently, the images were assessed every 30 s, over a 10-min time period after cold stress. The perfusion and the thermal behavior of the tissues were evaluated by longitudinal analysis based on the number of pixels in each time period. The statistical tests of Wilcoxon, F-Snedecor and longitudinal models would assist in data analysis.

PMID:35761269 | DOI:10.1186/s12938-022-01009-3

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The prognostic utility of soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 (sFlt-1) and placental growth factor (PIGF) biomarkers for predicting preeclampsia: a secondary analysis of data from the INSPIRE trial

BMC Pregnancy Childbirth. 2022 Jun 27;22(1):520. doi: 10.1186/s12884-022-04817-6.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To compare the prognostic performance of biomarkers soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 (sFlt-1), Placental Growth Factor (PIGF), and sFlt-1/PIGF ratio as continuous values or as a binary cut-off of 38 for predicting preeclampsia (PE) within 7 days.

DESIGN: Secondary analysis of a randomised clinical trial.

SETTING: Oxford University Hospitals, Oxford, United Kingdom (UK).

POPULATION: Pregnant women between 24+0 to 37+0 weeks of gestation with a clinical suspicion of preeclampsia.

MAIN OUTCOME: Onset of preeclampsia within 7 days of the initial biomarker test.

METHODS: Logistic regression model for onset of preeclampsia using: (i) sFlt-1 (ii) PIGF, (iii) sFlt-1/PIGF ratio (continuous), and (iv) sFlt-1/PIGF ratio as a cut-off above or below 38.

RESULTS: Of the total 370 women, 42 (11.3%) developed PE within 7 days of screening. Models with sFlt-1 and sFlt-1/PIGF ratio (continuous) had greater overall performance than models with PIGF or with sFlt-1/PIGF ratio as a cut-off at 38 (R2: sFlt-1 = 55%, PIGF = 38%, sFlt-1/PIGF ratio = 57%, sFlt-1/PIGF ratio as cut-off at 38 model = 46%). The discrimination performance was the highest in sFlt-1 and sFlt-1/PIGF ratio (continuous) (c-statistic, sFlt-1 = 0.94, sFlt-1/PIGF ratio (continuous) = 0.94) models compared to PIGF or sFlt-1/PIGF cut-off models (c-statistic, PIGF = 0.87, sFlt-1/PIGF cut-off = 0.89).

CONCLUSION: Models using continuous values of sFlt-1 only or sFlt-1/PIGF ratio had better predictive performance compared to a PIGF only or the model with sFlt-1/PIGF ratio as a cut-off at 38. Further studies based on a larger sample size are warranted to substantiate this finding.

PMID:35761268 | DOI:10.1186/s12884-022-04817-6

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Female homicides and femicides in Ecuador: a nationwide ecological analysis from 2001 to 2017

BMC Womens Health. 2022 Jun 27;22(1):260. doi: 10.1186/s12905-022-01839-2.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Gender-based violence is a major public health concern arising from the structural discrimination of women and girls. In 2014, Ecuador criminalized acts of femicide in response to a growing crisis across the region. As no epidemiological studies on the state of female homicides and femicides have been published, we estimated patterns of female homicides and femicides nationally and the burden through economic cost per years of life lost, between 2001 and 2017.

METHODS: Using aggregated data from the National Institute of Census and Statistics and police records we estimated the annual mortality rates, cumulative incidence and prevalence odds ratios for female homicides and femicides, from 2001 to 2017. The impact of aggressions, assaults and violence on years of life lost due to premature mortality was estimated using the Human Capital method.

RESULTS: Over the period, at least 3236 cases of female homicides and femicides were reported. The highest murder rate occurred in the province of Sucumbíos (6.5 per 100,000) and in the Putumayo canton (12.5 per 100,000). The most common way to murder their victims was using firearms (38%). The highest odds ratio was estimated for women aged between 25 and 29, at 4.5 (3.9-5.1), of primary school attainment at 17.2 (14.6-20.3) and of Afro-Ecuadoran descent 18.1 (10.5-30.9). Female homicide-related costs reached, on average, $35 million per year and more than $500 million lost from 2001 to 2017.

CONCLUSIONS: The high rates, distribution and cost indicate that investments are urgently needed to address the structural causes and reduce the impact of female homicides and femicides in Ecuador; thereby protecting the livelihood and well-being of their women and girls.

PMID:35761263 | DOI:10.1186/s12905-022-01839-2

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Assessment of macular findings by OCT angiography in patients without clinical signs of diabetic retinopathy: radiomics features for early screening of diabetic retinopathy

BMC Ophthalmol. 2022 Jun 27;22(1):281. doi: 10.1186/s12886-022-02492-x.

ABSTRACT

This cross-sectional study aimed to quantitatively analyze the optical coherence tomography angiography (OCTA) images using MATLAB-based software and evaluate the initial changes in macular vascular density and the distortion of the foveal avascular zone (FAZ), before the clinical appearance of diabetic retinopathy. For this purpose, 21 diabetic patients without any clinical features indicating DR, and 21 healthy individuals matched with patients based on their demographic characteristics were included. Macular thickness, macular vascular density, and morphological changes of FAZ were assessed using OCTA. The diagnostic ability of morphological parameters was evaluated by receiver operating curve analysis. The intraclass correlation coefficient (ICCC) index was used to check the consistency of the extracted values. There was no significant difference in age, gender, LogMAR visual acuity, spherical equivalent, and intra-ocular pressure amongst patients and controls. No correlation was found between age and the FAZ area as well as vascular density. The vascular structure of the superficial layer showed FAZ enlargement, reduced vascular density in the macular area, and significant deviations of FAZ shape parameters (convexity and Frequency Domain Irregularity) in patients compared with healthy individuals. Measurements were highly correlated between separate imaging sessions with ICCC of over 0.85 for all parameters. The represented data suggests that radiomics parameters can be applied as both an early screening tool and guidance for better follow-up of diabetic patients who have not had any sign of DR in fundoscopic exams.

PMID:35761260 | DOI:10.1186/s12886-022-02492-x

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Analysis of the prevalence, risk factors, and clinical characteristics of osteoporosis in patients with essential hypertension

BMC Endocr Disord. 2022 Jun 27;22(1):165. doi: 10.1186/s12902-022-01080-w.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The present study investigated the prevalence of osteoporosis (OP) among patients with essential hypertension (EH) in the Changchun community and analysed the correlation between EH and OP.

METHODS: The study included 425 subjects with EH and 425 age- and sex-matched healthy controls. Bone mineral density (BMD) and serum creatinine (CR) levels were measured, and the subjects’ current EH and OP statuses were surveyed to analyse the correlation between EH and OP.

RESULTS: The EH group exhibited lower BMD and a higher rate of having OP than the control group, and this difference was statistically significant (p < 0.05). A significant sex difference in the BMD T-score was observed among the subjects (male: – 1.19 ± 1.55, female: – 1.70 ± 1.34). In both the EH group and the control group, the rate of having OP in females was greater than that in males. However, the OP prevalence among subjects with EH varied significantly by age, body weight, fracture history, nocturnal urination frequency, depression and anxiety status, duration of hypertension, and antihypertensive medication use (p < 0.05). Two-way analysis of variance suggested an effect of the interaction between different EH statuses and bone mass conditions on the serum CR values (F = 3.584, p = 0.028, bias η2 = 0.008).

CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of OP and low BMD were significantly higher among subjects with EH than among healthy controls. Additionally, the findings indicate that age, weight, fracture history, nocturnal urination frequency, depression and anxiety, duration of hypertension and antihypertensive drug use may be correlated to having OP in EH subjects, requiring further studies. Moreover, serum CR levels in subjects with different bone mass profiles were strongly influenced by the presence or absence of EH, and the serum CR levels differed significantly with the interaction of these two factors.

PMID:35761253 | DOI:10.1186/s12902-022-01080-w

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Factors associated with uptake of contraceptives among HIV positive women on dolutegravir based anti-retroviral treatment-a cross sectional survey in urban Uganda

BMC Womens Health. 2022 Jun 27;22(1):262. doi: 10.1186/s12905-022-01842-7.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: In May 2018, following the preliminary results of a study in Botswana that reported congenital anomalies in babies born to HIV-positive women taking dolutegravir drug, the WHO issued a teratogenicity alert. However, there are scarce data on the impact of this guidance on contraceptive uptake among women taking dolutegravir. We assessed the uptake of contraceptives in HIV-positive women of reproductive age on dolutegravir regimens.

METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional survey from April 2019 to July 2019 in five government health facilities in central Uganda, where dolutegravir-based regimens were offered as the preferred first-line antiretroviral treatment. We randomly selected 359 non-pregnant women aged 15-49 years taking dolutegravir-based regimens and interviewed them using semi-structured interviewer-administered questionnaires. We collected data on demographics, contraceptive use, individual, social, and health system factors. We described patients’ characteristics using descriptive statistics and assessed factors associated with contraceptive uptake using a modified Poisson regression model.

RESULTS: A total of 359 women were included in the study. The mean age was 37 years (standard deviation = 6.8) and overall contraceptive uptake was 38.4%. The most utilized method was injectable method at 58.4% followed by condoms (15%), intrauterine device (10.7%), pills (6.4%), implants (5.4%), and sterilization (0.7%). Predictors for contraceptive uptake were parity of 3-4 children (Adjusted Prevalence Ratio (APR) = 1.48, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.14, 1.92) in reference to those with 1-2 children. There was reduced contraceptive uptake in women of the age range 40-49 years (APR = 0.45, CI: 0.21-0.94) compared to those aged 15-24 years. Unemployed women were less likely to use contraceptives (APR: 0.6, CI: 0.42- 0.94) than the formally employed. Contraceptive uptake was lower among women who did not discuss family planning with their partners (APR = 0.39, CI: 0.29-0.52) than those who discussed family planning with their partners and women who did not receive family planning counseling (APR = 0.56, CI: 0.34-0.92) than those who received family planning counselling.

CONCLUSION: We observed a low-level uptake of contraceptives, with injectables as the most used method. Family planning counseling and partner discussion on family planning were associated with contraceptive uptake among the women who used dolutegravir-based regimens. There is a need for more strategies to integrate FP services and increase male involvement in HIV care programs.

PMID:35761248 | DOI:10.1186/s12905-022-01842-7

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Discrimination in an “equal country”-a survey amongst Swedish final-year medical students

BMC Med Educ. 2022 Jun 27;22(1):503. doi: 10.1186/s12909-022-03558-6.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Discrimination due to gender and ethnicity has been found to be widespread in medicine and healthcare. Swedish and European legislation list seven discrimination grounds (age, sex, ethnicity, religion, sexuality, non-binary gender identity, and disability) which may intersect with each other; yet these have only been sparsely researched. The aim of this study was to assess the extent of discrimination, based on these seven discrimination grounds, amongst final-year medical students in Sweden.

METHODS: A web-based survey, based on the CHERRIES-checklist, was disseminated to course coordinators and program directors in charge of final year medical students at all seven medical schools in Sweden. Quantitative data were analyzed using descriptive statistics, Fisher’s exact test, and logistic regression. Free-text answers were analyzed thematically using the “Master Suppression techniques” conceptual framework.

RESULTS: Of the 1298 medical students contacted, 247 (19%) took part in the survey. Almost half (n = 103, 42%) had experienced some form of discrimination, and this difference was statistically significant by gender (p = 0.012), self-perceived ethnicity (p < 0.001), country of birth other than Scandinavia (p < 0.001) and visible religious signs (p = 0.037). The most common type of discrimination was gender-based (in 83% of students who had experienced discrimination), followed by age (48%), and ethnicity (42%). In the logistic regression, women/non-binary gender (p = 0.001, OR 2.44 [95% CI 1.41-4.22]), country of birth not in Scandinavia (p < 0.001, OR 8.05 [2.69-24.03]), non-Caucasian ethnicity (p = 0.04, OR 2.70 [1.39-5.27]), and disability (p = 0.02, OR 13.8 [1.58-12040]) were independently associated with discrimination. Half of those who had experienced religion-based discrimination and nearly one-third of victims of ethnicity-based discrimination reported “large” or “extreme” impact of this. Clinical staff or supervisors were the most common offenders (34%), closely followed by patients and their relatives (30%), with non-Caucasian respondents significantly more likely to experience discrimination by patients (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS: Discrimination appears to be frequent in medical school, even in one of the world’s “most equal countries”. Discrimination is most commonly gender- or ethnicity-based, with ethnicity- and religion-based discrimination appearing to have the largest impact. Future research should continue to evaluate discrimination from an intersectional perspective, adapted for local contexts and legislations.

PMID:35761244 | DOI:10.1186/s12909-022-03558-6

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Exclusive breastfeeding practice among HIV infected mothers in the southern highlands of Tanzania; assessing the prevalence and factors associated with the practice, an analytical cross-sectional survey

AIDS Res Ther. 2022 Jun 27;19(1):29. doi: 10.1186/s12981-022-00451-6.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: There is no other better way to safeguard an infant’s health in the first 6 months of life than exclusive breastfeeding (EBF). Breast milk is valuable in all aspects of an infant’s physical and mental growth as well as immune development. The study aimed to assess the prevalence and factors associated with EBF practice among HIV-infected mothers in the Southern Highlands of Tanzania.

METHOD: A hospital-based analytical cross-sectional study was conducted among lactating HIV-infected mothers. A random sampling procedure was used to obtain 372 HIV-infected mothers of infants from 6 to 12 months of age who were still breastfeeding at the time of data collection. An interviewer-administered structured questionnaire was used for data collection. Bivariate and multivariable logistic regression was used to assess factors associated with EBF practice. Statistical package for social science (SPSS volume 20) software was used for data entry and analysis.

RESULTS: The prevalence of EBF practice was 58.1% at 95% Confidence Interval of 52.9% to 63.1%. More than half of the respondents 199 (53.5%) had adequate knowledge while 173(46.5%) had inadequate knowledge about EBF. After adjusting for confounders, factors associated with EBF practice were knowledge about EBF [Adequate knowledge (AOR = 5.11 at 95% CI 3.2-8.17, p < 0.001)], ANC visits [Adequate (AOR = 1.76 at 95% CI 1.09-2.82, p = 0.002)], Income per day [1 0r more USD (AOR = 1.83 at 95% CI 1.14-2.94, p = 0.013)], positive perception of EBF [ positive perception (AOR = 3.51 at 95% CI 2.25-5.47, p < 0.001) and having ever experienced a breast problem AOR = 3.91 at 95% CI 1.89-8.08, p < 0.001.

CONCLUSION: More than half of interviewed mothers with HIV practiced EBF. The EBF practice among HIV lactating mothers was significantly influenced by adequate knowledge of EBF, positive perception toward EBF, adequate ANC visits, and having never experienced breast problems. Strengthening adherence to ANC routine visits, counseling on breastfeeding, and improving mothers’ knowledge about exclusive breastfeeding would contribute to the enhancement of EBF practice in this region. An innovative interventional study is recommended to develop more effective strategies to improve EBF knowledge and practice among HIV-infected mothers.

PMID:35761241 | DOI:10.1186/s12981-022-00451-6

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Adherence and quality of life assessment in patients with asthma treatment with budesonide/formoterol via the Elpenhaler device: the COMPLETE study

BMC Pulm Med. 2022 Jun 27;22(1):254. doi: 10.1186/s12890-022-02049-0.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Asthma is a chronic inflammatory disease of the airways that causes recurring episodes of wheezing, breathlessness, chest tightness and coughing. Inhaled drugs on a daily basis are the cornerstone of asthma treatment, therefore, patient adherence is very important.

METHODS: We performed a multicenter, open, non-interventional, observational, prospective study of 716 adult patients diagnosed with asthma receiving FDC (Fixed-dose combination) budesonide/formoterol via the Elpenhaler device. We assessed the adherence to treatment at 3 and 6 months (based on the MMAS-8: 8-item Morisky Medication Adherence Scale), the quality of life and change in forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1) from baseline to follow-up.

RESULTS: Approximately 80% of the patients showed medium to high adherence throughout the study. The mean (SD) MMAS-8 score at 6 months was 6.85 (1.54) and we observed a statistically significant shift of patients from the low adherence group to the high adherence group at 6 months. Moreover, after 6 months of treatment with FDC budesonide/formoterol, we observed an increase in the patients’ quality of life that as expressed by a change 2.01 (95%CI 1.93-2.10) units in Mini AQLQ (p < 0.0001) that was more pronounced in the high adherence group. The same trend was also observed in terms of spirometry (mean FEV1 2.58 L (0.85) at the end of the study, increased by 220 mL from baseline) with a higher improvement in the medium and high adherence groups.

CONCLUSIONS: Treatment with FDC of budesonide/formoterol via the Elpenhaler device was associated with improvement in asthma-related quality of life and lung function over 6 months that were more prominent in patients with higher adherence.

TRIAL REGISTRATION: 2017-HAL-EL-74 (ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03300076).

PMID:35761234 | DOI:10.1186/s12890-022-02049-0