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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Unbiased Recursive Partitioning Enables Robust and Reliable Outcome Prediction in Acute SCI

J Neurotrauma. 2021 Feb 23. doi: 10.1089/neu.2020.7407. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Neurological disorders usually present very heterogeneous recovery patterns. Nonetheless, accurate prediction of future clinical endpoints and robust definition of homogeneous cohorts are necessary for scientific investigation and targeted care. For this, unbiased recursive partitioning with conditional inference trees (URP-CTREE) has received increasing attention in medical research, especially, but not limited to traumatic spinal cord injuries (SCI). URP-CTREE was introduced to SCI as a clinical guidance tool to explore and define homogeneous outcome groups by clinical means, while providing high accuracy in predicting future clinical outcomes. The validity and predictive value of URP-CTREE to provide improvements compared to other more common approaches applied by clinicians has recently come under critical scrutiny. Therefore, a comprehensive simulation study based on traumatic, cervical complete spinal cord injuries provides a framework to investigate and quantify the issues raised. Firstly, we assessed the replicability and robustness of URP-CTREE to identify homogeneous subgroups. Secondly, we implemented a prediction performance comparison of URP-CTREE with traditional statistical techniques, such as linear or logistic regression, and a novel machine learning method. URP-CTREE’s ability to identify homogeneous subgroups proved to be replicable and robust. In terms of prediction, URP-CTREE yielded a high prognostic performance comparable to a machine learning algorithm. The simulation study provides strong evidence for the robustness of URP-CTREE, which is achieved without compromising prediction accuracy. The slightly lower prediction performance is offset by URP-CTREE’s straightforward interpretation and application in clinical settings based on simple, data-driven decision rules.

PMID:33619988 | DOI:10.1089/neu.2020.7407

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An evaluation of occupant dynamics during moderate-to-high speed side impacts

Proc Inst Mech Eng H. 2021 Feb 23:954411921994937. doi: 10.1177/0954411921994937. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

The present study examined trends in occupant dynamics during side impact testing in vehicle models over the past decade. “Moderate-to-high” speed side impacts (delta-V ≥15 km/h) were analyzed. The Insurance Institute for Highway Safety (IIHS) side impact crash data was examined (N = 126). The test procedure involved a moving deformable barrier (MDB) impacting the sides of stationary vehicles at 50.0 km/h. Instrumented 5th-percentile female SID IIs dummies were positioned in the driver and left rear passenger seats. Occupant head, neck, shoulder, torso, spine, and pelvis/femur responses (times histories, peaks, and time-to-peak values) were evaluated and compared to injury assessment reference values (IARVs). The effects of delta-V, vehicle model year, vehicle body type, and occupant seating position on dynamic responses were examined. The vehicle lateral delta-Vs ranged from 15.9 to 34.5 km/h. The MY2018-2020 demonstrated lower peak dynamics than MY2010-2013, for the driver head acceleration (53.7 ± 11.3g vs 46.4 ± 11.6g), shoulder lateral forces (1.7 ± 0.7 kN vs 1.5 ± 0.2 kN), average rib deflection (29.8 ± 8.3 mm vs 28.4 ± 6.2 mm), spine accelerations at T4 (51.4 ± 23.4g vs 39.6 ± 5.9g) and T12 (56.3 ± 18.5g vs 45.2 ± 9.6g), iliac forces (1.9 ± 1.0 kN vs 1.2 ± 0.9 kN), and acetabular forces (1.9 ± 0.8 kN vs 1.3 ± 0.5 kN). The driver indicated statistically higher dynamic responses than the left rear passenger. Higher wheelbase vehicles generally showed lower occupant loading than the smaller vehicles. In conclusion, a reduction in occupant loading and risks for injury was observed in vehicle models over the past decade. This provides further insight into injury mechanisms, occupant dynamics simulations, and seat/restraint design.

PMID:33619979 | DOI:10.1177/0954411921994937

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Sex Differences in Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction

J Am Heart Assoc. 2021 Feb 23:e018574. doi: 10.1161/JAHA.120.018574. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Background The female preponderance in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) is a distinguishing feature of this disorder, but the association of sex with degree of diastolic dysfunction and clinical outcomes among individuals with HFpEF remains unclear. Methods and Results We conducted a prospective, multicenter, observational study of patients with HFpEF (PURSUIT-HFpEF [Prospective Multicenter Observational Study of Patients with Heart Failure with Preserved Ejection Fraction]: UMIN000021831). Between 2016 and 2019, 871 patients were enrolled from 26 hospitals (follow-up: 399±349 days). We investigated sex-related differences in diastolic dysfunction and postdischarge clinical outcomes in patients with HFpEF. The echocardiographic end point was diastolic dysfunction according to American Society of Echocardiography/European Association of Cardiovascular Imaging criteria. The clinical end point was a composite of all-cause death and heart failure readmission. Women accounted for 55.2% (481 patients) of the overall cohort. Compared with men, women were older and had lower prevalence rates of hypertension, coronary artery disease, and chronic kidney disease. Women had diastolic dysfunction more frequently than men (52.8% versus 32.0%, P<0.001). The incidence of the clinical end point did not differ between women and men (women 36.1/100 person-years versus men 30.5/100 person-years, P=0.336). Female sex was independently associated with the echocardiographic end point (adjusted odds ratio, 2.839; 95% CI, 1.884-4.278; P<0.001) and the clinical end point (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.538; 95% CI, 1.143-2.070; P=0.004). Conclusions Female sex was independently associated with the presence of diastolic dysfunction and worse clinical outcomes in a cohort of elderly patients with HFpEF. Our results suggest that a sex-specific approach is key to investigating the pathophysiology of HFpEF. Registration URL: https://upload.umin.ac.jp; Unique identifier: UMIN000021831.

PMID:33619973 | DOI:10.1161/JAHA.120.018574

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Healthy Lifestyle and Clonal Hematopoiesis of Indeterminate Potential: Results From the Women’s Health Initiative

J Am Heart Assoc. 2021 Feb 23:e018789. doi: 10.1161/JAHA.120.018789. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Background Presence of clonal hematopoiesis of indeterminate potential (CHIP) is associated with a higher risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, cancer, and mortality. The relationship between a healthy lifestyle and CHIP is unknown. Methods and Results This analysis included 8709 postmenopausal women (mean age, 66.5 years) enrolled in the WHI (Women’s Health Initiative), free of cancer or cardiovascular disease, with deep-coverage whole genome sequencing data available. Information on lifestyle factors (body mass index, smoking, physical activity, and diet quality) was obtained, and a healthy lifestyle score was created on the basis of healthy criteria met (0 point [least healthy] to 4 points [most healthy]). CHIP was derived on the basis of a prespecified list of leukemogenic driver mutations. The prevalence of CHIP was 8.6%. A higher healthy lifestyle score was not associated with CHIP (multivariable-adjusted odds ratio [OR] [95% CI], 0.99 [0.80-1.23] and 1.13 [0.93-1.37]) for the upper (3 or 4 points) and middle category (2 points), respectively, versus referent (0 or 1 point). Across score components, a normal and overweight body mass index compared with obese was significantly associated with a lower odds for CHIP (OR, 0.71 [95% CI, 0.57-0.88] and 0.83 [95% CI, 0.68-1.01], respectively; P-trend 0.0015). Having never smoked compared with being a current smoker tended to be associated with lower odds for CHIP. Conclusions A healthy lifestyle, based on a composite score, was not related to CHIP among postmenopausal women. However, across individual lifestyle factors, having a normal body mass index was strongly associated with a lower prevalence of CHIP. These findings support the idea that certain healthy lifestyle factors are associated with a lower frequency of CHIP.

PMID:33619969 | DOI:10.1161/JAHA.120.018789

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Change in dynamic postural control after a training program in collegiate soccer players with unilateral chronic ankle instability

J Sports Med Phys Fitness. 2021 Feb 23. doi: 10.23736/S0022-4707.21.11920-6. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Improving dynamic postural stability after lateral ankle sprain due to chronic ankle instability helps prevent recurrence, and changes in dynamic postural stability can be assessed with the Star Excursion Balance Test. To date, no studies have examined the change in Star Excursion Balance Test score after the end of a balance training program or whether chronic ankle instability affects the rate of change. To examine the effect of chronic ankle instability on changes in Star Excursion Balance Test. score over time after a balance training program.

METHODS: Fifteen collegiate soccer players with chronic ankle instability selected with the Cumberland Ankle Instability Tool and ultrasonography. Participants completed a 6-week balance training program. We assessed the Star Excursion Balance Test 5 times (before and immediately after the program and 2, 4, and 6 weeks later) and examined differences in the duration of training effects by a 2-way analysis of variance, with Bonferroni correction for post hoc comparisons to explain any significant interactions. The significance level for all analyses was set at P < .05. We performed statistical analyses with SPSS version 25.

RESULTS: Analysis of the posterolateral and posteromedial scores in Star Excursion Balance Test showed a significant effect of time. Post hoc analysis of the posterolateral score showed that for each leg, participants reached significantly farther after the program than before (P = .012). The posterolateral scores at 2, 4, and 6 weeks after the training program did not differ from before the program, but the posteromedial score was significantly improved immediately after the program (P = .008) and also 2 (P = .004) and 4 weeks later (P = .006).

CONCLUSIONS: A 6-week balance training program to improve dynamic postural control can improve posterolateral and posteromedial scores in people with chronic ankle instability, and the improvements in posteromedial are still present 4 weeks after program completion.

PMID:33619951 | DOI:10.23736/S0022-4707.21.11920-6

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Long-term exercise effects after cardiac telerehabilitation in patients with coronary artery disease: 1-year follow-up results of the randomized study

Eur J Phys Rehabil Med. 2021 Feb 23. doi: 10.23736/S1973-9087.21.06653-3. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Home-based cardiac telerehabilitation (HBCT) is a feasible and effective alternative to traditional center-based cardiac rehabilitation (CBCR). Currently, there are only limited studies focusing on a long-term effect of HBCT, which means it is essential to do more research in this study field.

AIM: This study aimed at investigating a 1-year effect of a randomized controlled study using Cardiac Rehabilitation through the Global Position System (CR-GPS) compared to outpatient cardiac rehabilitation. Study focused on cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF) and health-related quality of life (HRQL) in patients with coronary heart disease (CAD).

DESIGN: A long-term follow-up of a randomized study.

SETTING: Patients were enrolled, and the intervention was performed in an outpatient or homebased model. The results were obtained and evaluated in a hospital.

POPULATION: Patients who participated in the CR-GPS study were diagnosed with CAD with low to moderate cardiovascular risk.

METHODS: Patients enrolled in the study were eligible participants who had previously completed a 12-week HBCT program using a wrist heart rate (HR) monitor or attended a traditional CBCR. Primary outcome was the change in CRF expressed in peak oxygen uptake (pVO2), and the secondary outcomes were self-reported HRQL, objectively measured anthropometric characteristics, and mortality and hospitalization rates.

RESULTS: 44 patients (76%) completed the long-term follow-up. The average peak of pVO2 was higher after 1-year follow-up in the telerehabilitation group (HBCT 25.5 ml / kg / min compared to the active control group CBCR 23.6 ml / kg / min p = 0.047). No statistically significant difference between the two groups was found after long-term follow-up for the parameter HRQL. For both groups, there was a significant improvement in the range of perceptions of general health. There was no death case and no difference in hospitalization rate between the groups.

CONCLUSIONS: This study supports the HBCT model. It has been demonstrated that it induces satisfactory long-term effects in pVO2, exercise performance, and perceived general health in CAD patients with low to moderate cardiovascular risk.

CLINICAL REHABILITATION IMPACT: Cardiovascular telerehabilitation using wrist HR monitors is a feasible and effective rehabilitation method that can help patients eliminate barriers that prevent them from using CBCR programs. Especially in the current global situation with the COVID-19 pandemic, this topic is becoming increasingly important.

PMID:33619944 | DOI:10.23736/S1973-9087.21.06653-3

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Effectiveness comparison between carbon spring and hinged ankle-foot orthoses in crouch gait treatment of children with diplegic cerebral palsy: a randomized crossover trial

Eur J Phys Rehabil Med. 2021 Feb 23. doi: 10.23736/S1973-9087.21.06566-7. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Children with cerebral palsy (CP) often present a loss of effectiveness of the plantarflexors/knee-extensors couple that leads to crouch gait. When treating a child with crouch gait by means of ankle foot orthoses, preserving or restoring push off power is a key issue.

AIM: To compare carbon-fiber spring (Carbon Ankle Seven® = CAFO) and hinged anklefoot orthoses (HAFO) effectiveness in improving functionality and walking ability in children with diplegic CP and crouch gait.

DESIGN: Randomized crossover trial.

SETTING: Hospital center.

POPULATION: Ten children with diplegic CP and crouch gait, 5 males and 5 females, aged 11 (4) years.

METHODS: The gait of each child was evaluated by means of instrumental gait analysis with both CAFO and HAFO, in a randomized order and after a 4-week adaptation period. The primary outcome measure was the change in ankle power generation. As secondary outcome measures, knee joint kinematics, stride length, walking speed, Observational Gait Scale, and preferred orthosis were considered.

RESULTS: The median of the energy produced in stance was superior with CAFO (+2.2 J/kg, IQR 4.7, p=0.006), and the energy absorbed inferior (-3.3 J/kg, IQR 4.3, p=0.011). No statistically significant difference was found for any other parameter. Preference of the children was equally distributed between the two orthoses.

CONCLUSIONS: No evident superiority of CAFO with respect to HAFO was found in improving gait performance of children with CP and crouch gait. Nevertheless, the results suggest the possibility that CAFO permits an energy saving and reduction of the more compromising deficits.

CLINICAL REHABILITATION IMPACT: The final choice of the participants indicates that CAFOs are preferred by older and heavier children, but the preference does not correlate with the performance of the orthoses during gait.

PMID:33619943 | DOI:10.23736/S1973-9087.21.06566-7

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Minimally invasive sinus tarsi approach in Sanders II-III calcaneal fractures in high-demand patients

Med Glas (Zenica). 2021 Feb 1;18(1). doi: 10.17392/1282-21. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Aim To evaluate if the sinus tarsi approach treated with open reduction and internal fixation (ORIF), without using plate fixation, provided good functional results in active adult population. The hypothesis was that the sinus tarsi approach with limited incision provided good results comparable to other approaches. Methods A total of 78 patients (81 feet) surgically treated for articular calcaneus fracture were reviewed according to inclusion criteria: Sanders fracture type II-III, minimum follow-up of 2 years, patients aged 18-65 years. Exclusion criteria were smokers, diabetics, non-collaborative patients and patients with Sanders fracture type I and IV. A mean follow-up was 52.6 months. Radiographic changes of the Bohler’s angle were reported. For the clinical evaluation, Visual Analogue Scale (VAS) for calcaneal fractures, American Orthopaedic Foot and Ankle Society (AOFAS) score and Maryland Foot Score (MFS) were used. Results A statistically significant restitution of Böhler’s angle from preoperative to postoperative (13.5°-27°; p<.001) was found. The AOFAS and MFS showed pain relief and good/excellent functional activities at the final follow-up in 65 of 78 (83.3%) patients. In eight (out of 81; 10%) feet a superficial wound infection was observed. In three (3.8%) patients a subtalar arthrodesis was performed. Conclusion The mini-invasive sinus tarsi approach for active adult population is a valid and reproducible technique with a low rate of major complications, but it is mandatory advice to patients regarding the expectation of the results.

PMID:33619940 | DOI:10.17392/1282-21

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A Report on Statistics of an Online Self-screening Platform for COVID-19 and Its Effectiveness in Iran

Int J Health Policy Manag. 2021 Jan 16. doi: 10.34172/ijhpm.2020.252. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The most recent emerging infectious disease, coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), is pandemic now. Iran is a country with community transmission of the disease. Telehealth tools have been proved to be useful in controlling public health disasters. We developed an online self-screening platform to offer a population-wide strategy to control the massive influx to medical centers.

METHODS: We developed a platform operating based on given history by participants, including sex, age, weight, height, location, primary symptoms and signs, and high risk past medical histories. Based on a decision-making algorithm, participants were categorized into four levels of suspected cases, requiring diagnostic tests, supportive care, not suspected cases. We made comparisons with Iran STEPs (STEPwise approach to Surveillance) 2016 study and data from the Statistical Centre of Iran to assess population representativeness of data. Also, we made a comparison with officially confirmed cases to investigate the effectiveness of the platform. A multilevel mixed-effects Poisson regression was used to check the association of visiting platform and deaths caused by COVID-19.

RESULTS: About 310 000 individuals participated in the online self-screening platform in 33 days. The majority of participants were in younger age groups, and males involved more. A significant number of participants were screened not to be suspected or needing supportive care, and only 10.4% of males and 12.0% of females had suspected results of COVID-19. The penetration of the platform was assessed to be acceptable. A correlation coefficient of 0.51 was calculated between suspected results and confirmed cases of the disease, expressing the platform’s effectiveness.

CONCLUSION: Implementation of a proper online self-screening tool can mitigate population panic during wide-spread epidemics and relieve massive influx to medical centers. Also, an evidence-based education platform can help fighting infodemic. Noticeable utilization and verified effectiveness of such platform validate the potency of telehealth tools in controlling epidemics and pandemics.

PMID:33619926 | DOI:10.34172/ijhpm.2020.252

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