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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Bayesian inference for asymptomatic COVID-19 infection rates

Stat Med. 2022 May 18. doi: 10.1002/sim.9408. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

To strengthen inferences meta-analyses are commonly used to summarize information from a set of independent studies. In some cases, though, the data may not satisfy the assumptions underlying the meta-analysis. Using three Bayesian methods that have a more general structure than the common meta-analytic ones, we can show the extent and nature of the pooling that is justified statistically. In this article, we reanalyze data from several reviews whose objective is to make inference about the COVID-19 asymptomatic infection rate. When it is unlikely that all of the true effect sizes come from a single source researchers should be cautious about pooling the data from all of the studies. Our findings and methodology are applicable to other COVID-19 outcome variables, and more generally.

PMID:35582808 | DOI:10.1002/sim.9408

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Extant species fail to estimate ancestral geographical ranges at older nodes in primate phylogeny

Proc Biol Sci. 2022 May 25;289(1975):20212535. doi: 10.1098/rspb.2021.2535. Epub 2022 May 18.

ABSTRACT

A clade’s evolutionary history is shaped, in part, by geographical range expansion, sweepstakes dispersal and local extinction. A rigorous understanding of historical biogeography may therefore yield insights into macroevolutionary dynamics such as adaptive radiation. Modern historical biogeographic analyses typically fit statistical models to molecular phylogenies, but it remains unclear whether extant species provide sufficient signal or if well-sampled phylogenies of extinct and extant taxa are necessary to produce meaningful estimates of past ranges. We investigated the historical biogeography of Primates and their euarchontan relatives using a novel meta-analytical phylogeny of over 900 extant (n= 419) and extinct (n = 483) species spanning their entire evolutionary history. Ancestral range estimates for young nodes were largely congruent with those derived from molecular phylogeny. However, node age exerts a significant effect on ancestral range estimate congruence, and the probability of congruent inference dropped below 0.5 for nodes older than the late Eocene, corresponding to the origins of higher-level clades. Discordance was not observed in analyses of extinct taxa alone. Fossils are essential for robust ancestral range inference and biogeographic analyses of extant clades originating in the deep past should be viewed with scepticism without them.

PMID:35582793 | DOI:10.1098/rspb.2021.2535

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Longitudinal Trajectory of the Link Between Ventral Striatum and Depression in Adolescence

Am J Psychiatry. 2022 May 18:appiajp20081180. doi: 10.1176/appi.ajp.20081180. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Research in adolescent depression has found aberrant intrinsic functional connectivity (iFC) among the ventral striatum (VS) and several brain regions implicated in reward processing. The present study probes this question by taking advantage of the availability of data from a large youth cohort, the IMAGEN Consortium.

METHODS: iFC data from 303 adolescents (48% of them female) were used to examine associations of VS connectivity at baseline (at age 14) with depressive disorders at baseline and at 2-year (N=250) and 4-year (N=219) follow-ups. Eleven regions of interest, key nodes of the reward system, were used to probe the reward network and calculate the connectivity strength of the VS within this network (VS connectivityrw). The main analyses assessed associations of VS connectivityrw with depressive disorders, anhedonia, and low mood using logistic regression. Autoregressive models accounting for carryover effects over time were conducted to further evaluate these brain-behavior associations.

RESULTS: Higher right VS connectivityrw was associated with higher probability of depressive disorders at baseline (odds ratio=2.65, 95% CI=1.40, 5.05). This finding was confirmed in the autoregressive model, adjusting for carryover effects of the depressive disorders across the three time points. VS connectivityrw was not predictive of depressive disorders at follow-up assessments. Longitudinal associations between VS connectivityrw and anhedonia emerged in the structural equation model: left VS connectivityrw was associated with anhedonia at 2 years (odds ratio=2.20, 95% CI=1.54, 3.14), and right VS connectivityrw was linked to anhedonia at 4 years (odds ratio=1.87, 95% CI=1.09, 3.21). VS connectivityrw did not predict low mood at any time point in the structural equation model.

CONCLUSIONS: The connectivity strength of the VS within the reward network showed distinct patterns of association with depressive disorders and anhedonia from mid to late adolescence, suggesting that the role of this circuitry in depression changes with age. This study replicates, in an independent sample, the association between the VS and depression previously reported in younger adolescents. The findings suggest a role of VS connectivityrw in anhedonia but not in low mood.

PMID:35582783 | DOI:10.1176/appi.ajp.20081180

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Development and an initial validation of the Responses to Illness Severity Quantification (RISQ) score for severely malnourished children

Acta Paediatr. 2022 May 17. doi: 10.1111/apa.16410. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

AIM: To develop and perform an initial validation of a score to measure severity of illness in hospitalized children with severe acute malnutrition (SAM).

METHODS: A prospective study enrolled SAM children aged 6-59 months hospitalized in Borno State, Nigeria. Candidate items associated with inpatient mortality were combined and evaluated as candidate scores. Clinical and statistical methods were used to identify a preferred score.

RESULTS: The 513 children enrolled had a mean age of 15.6 months of whom 48 (9%) died. Seven of the ten evaluated items were significantly associated with mortality. Five different candidate scores were tested. The final score, Responses to Illness Severity Quantification (RISQ), included 7 items: heart rate, respiratory rate, respiratory effort, oxygen saturation, oxygen delivery, temperature and level of consciousness. The mean RISQ score on admission was 2.6 in hospital survivors and 7.3 for children dying <48hr. RISQ scores <24hr before death had an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.93. The RISQ score performed similarly across differing clinical conditions with AUROCs 0.77-0.98 for all conditions except oedema.

CONCLUSION: The RISQ score can identify high risk malnourished children at and during hospital admission. Clinical application may help prioritize care and potentially improve survival.

PMID:35582782 | DOI:10.1111/apa.16410

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Nurse-sensitive indicators during COVID-19

Int J Nurs Knowl. 2022 May 17. doi: 10.1111/2047-3095.12372. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Nurses are on the forefront of delivering care to patients hospitalized with COVID-19. Nurses’ impact on patient care can be discerned through assessment and documentation strategies, including structured and unstructured narratives, clinical pathways, flowsheets, and problem-based approaches. To date, there are no published reports regarding nursing assessment and documentation during the COVID-19 pandemic using an assessment framework to capture clinical decision making, nursing diagnoses, and key social determinant of health (SDoH) data. Hence, the purpose of this investigation was to conduct an exploratory nursing documentation audit of patients hospitalized with COVID-19 during the first surge to identify types and frequency of nurse-sensitive indicators, including SDoH.

METHOD: This pilot study utilized a retrospective chart review design at a single academic medical center, utilizing Gordon’s Eleven Functional Health Patterns (FHP) framework to extract clinical, social, and nursing assessment data for patients hospitalized with COVID-19. Descriptive statistics were computed for continuous variables and counts/percentages for categorical variables.

FINDINGS: Data from 94 patient records were analyzed. Most patients were male (59.6%), with a mean age of 58 years. Nearly 15% of patients were Black and 12.8% were Hispanic, most residing in four geographic areas. Nine of the 11 FHPs were reflected in nurse-sensitive indicators documented in the electronic health record. SDoH data were inconsistently documented, including race, education, history of neglect/abuse, and occupation.

CONCLUSION: The FHP framework captured many nurse-sensitive indicators during the first COVID-19 surge, although screening for and documenting SDoH data were limited.

IMPLICATIONS FOR NURSING PRACTICE: Findings can influence the development of nursing assessment and documentation during crisis care delivery that are inclusive of distinct sociodemographic factors, in addition to clinical factors, to provide comprehensive, culturally sensitive care. Such documentation will enhance the use of nursing knowledge guided by a nursing framework to make visible the essential contributions of nurses to healthcare delivery.

PMID:35582773 | DOI:10.1111/2047-3095.12372

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Student perception and assessment outcomes using a pilot condensed format (“boot camp”) in a Fixed Prosthodontics course

Eur J Dent Educ. 2022 May 17. doi: 10.1111/eje.12827. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE/OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to assess student perception as well as course outcomes (final written examination grades) when using a pilot condensed format in an undergraduate Fixed Prosthodontics course, which was implemented as a response to the global pandemic of covid-19.

METHODS: The course was delivered in a condensed format, with a total of 28 direct contact hours in the Simulation (SIM) Clinic within a 4-day period. Asynchronous remote learning was employed for the didactic portion of the course. Students completed surveys before and after the course, to assess their perception of the condensed format, and written examination grades were compared with previous years’ grades. Data were entered in an Excel database (Microsoft Excel 2016) and analyzed using a statistical analysis software program (IBM SPSS Statistics, v26; IBM Corp). The level of significance was set to α = 0.05.

RESULTS: Overall, student perception about the condensed format was positive. At the beginning of the course female students had less confidence in their skills compared to male students (p < .05). Written examination grades were significantly lower compared to previous years’ grades (p = .04).

CONCLUSIONS: Use of a condensed format can allow a course to be delivered in smaller student cohorts and provides the ability to reduce the total number of direct contact hours allotted to the course, creating space within the curriculum. Student perception of this format was generally positive. However, written examination scores were negatively impacted, indicating possible knowledge gaps resulting from the condensed course format. More studies are needed to assess the effect of the various curricular modifications that have been implemented due to the Covid-19 pandemic.

PMID:35582769 | DOI:10.1111/eje.12827