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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Patient Characteristics Independently Associated With Knee Osteoarthritis Symptom Severity at Initial Orthopedic Consultation

J Clin Rheumatol. 2021 Mar 5. doi: 10.1097/RHU.0000000000001726. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to identify patient and disease characteristics associated with the symptomatic severity of knee osteoarthritis (OA) at the time of initial knee OA diagnosis by an orthopedist.

METHODS: This medical records review included patients initially diagnosed with knee OA during 2016 to 2017 by a single orthopedic surgeon in a university-based tertiary care setting. All variables were assessed at first OA diagnosis. Main outcomes were subscales of the Knee Injury and Osteoarthritis Outcome Score-Pain, other Symptoms, knee-related quality of life, and function in daily living. Multivariable regression analyses examined the following predictors of main outcomes: sex, race, age, insurance type, body mass index, Charlson comorbidity index, and radiographic OA severity (Kellgren-Lawrence grade).

RESULTS: Of the 559 patients included in the study, most were African American (52.1%), female (71.7%), and had severe radiographic OA (Kellgren-Lawrence grade, 4; 68.7%). Female sex, African American racial/ethnic group, Medicaid insurance, younger age, and severe radiographic OA were independently statistically significantly associated with worse symptoms, pain, and function (p < 0.05 for all). Body mass index and Charlson comorbidity index were not statistically significant predictors of any outcome.

CONCLUSIONS: This study identified disparities in the perception of knee OA problems at initial orthopedist diagnosis based on sex, age, race, insurance, and radiographic OA severity. Because most of these variables are also associated with more rapid progression of OA, identifying their biopsychosocial underpinnings may help determine which interventions are most likely to redress these disparities and delay progression to end-stage knee OA.

PMID:33657591 | DOI:10.1097/RHU.0000000000001726

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Lessons from COVID-19 mortality data across countries

J Hypertens. 2021 Mar 1. doi: 10.1097/HJH.0000000000002833. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Several online sources provide up-to-date open-access data on numbers, rates and proportions of COVID-19 deaths. Our article aims of comparing and interpreting between-country trends of mortality rate, case-fatality and all-cause excess mortality.

METHODS: We used data from open databases (Our World in Data mostly) for comparing mortality of eleven western countries (Austria, Belgium, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Netherlands, Spain, Sweden, UK, USA). Between-country trends in mortality rate and case-fatality (both including deaths for COVID-19 as numerator and therefore labelled as COVID-19 mortality metrics) and all-cause excess mortality (i.e. observed deaths during the epidemic compared with those expected based on mortality in the same periods of previous years) were compared.

RESULTS: Although Belgium ranks first in mortality from COVID-19 (possibly due to the broadest criterion for attributing a death to COVID-19), it does not rank first for all-cause excess mortality. Conversely, compared with Belgium, the UK, Italy and Spain have reported lower COVID-19 mortality (possibly due to the narrower definitions for a COVID-19 death) but higher all-cause excess mortality. Germany and Austria are the unique countries for which COVID-19 mortality, case-fatality and all-cause excess mortality consistently exhibited the lowest rates.

CONCLUSION: Between-country heterogeneity of COVID-19 mortality metrics could be largely explained by differences of criteria for attributing a death to COVID-19; in age/comorbidity structures; in policies for identifying asymptomatic people affected from SARS-CoV-2 infection. All-cause excess mortality is recommended as a more reliable metric for comparing countries.

PMID:33657587 | DOI:10.1097/HJH.0000000000002833

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Blood pressure, glycemic status and advanced liver fibrosis assessed by transient elastography in the general United States population

J Hypertens. 2021 Mar 1. doi: 10.1097/HJH.0000000000002835. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Few studies investigated the role of different predictors of advanced liver fibrosis in unselected populations. Here, we estimate the prevalence of steatosis and fibrosis in the general United States population by means of transient elastography and evaluate the impact of blood pressure (BP) and diabetes on disease severity.

METHODS: This is a cross-sectional study of United States adults participating in the 2017-2018 cycle of the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. Participants underwent a transient elastography examination, and liver steatosis and fibrosis were estimated through the controlled attenuation parameter (CAP) score and liver stiffness measurement (LSM), respectively.

RESULTS: Four thousand, three hundred and seventy-one participants had reliable transient elastography and BP readings. Steatosis (CAP ≥ 248 dB/m), advanced fibrosis (LSM ≥ 9.6 kPa) and cirrhosis (LSM ≥ 13 kPa) were present in 56.9, 5.5 and 2.9% of participants, respectively. After controlling for potential confounders, risk of steatosis increased proportionally going from participants with optimal (reference) to those with normal [odds ratio (OR) 1.24, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.83-1.86], high normal (OR 1.41, 95% CI 1.01-1.97) and elevated BP (OR 1.64, 95% CI 1.21-2.21), whereas no significant association was found between BP status and liver fibrosis. Conversely, presence of diabetes increased the risk of both steatosis (OR 2.15, 95% CI 1.49-3.11) and advanced fibrosis (OR 2.25, 95% CI 1.36-3.72).

CONCLUSION: Liver steatosis and fibrosis are highly prevalent in the multiethnic United States adult population, raising concerns for future incidence of cirrhosis and its complications. BP status was associated with a progressively higher risk of steatosis, whereas obesity and diabetes were consistently associated with both steatosis and fibrosis.

PMID:33657584 | DOI:10.1097/HJH.0000000000002835

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Motivating and Discouraging Factors for Bipolar Patient Participation in Genomic Research

Public Health Genomics. 2021 Mar 3:1-10. doi: 10.1159/000513723. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

AIMS: The goal of this project was to better understand the motivating and discouraging factors toward genetic research and biobank programs in patients with bipolar disorder, particularly across gender and racial identities.

METHODS: A survey (n = 63) of adults diagnosed with bipolar disorder was conducted at the general psychiatric inpatient unit and outpatient clinic at the University of Mississippi Medical Center. Participants were asked to rate on a Likert scale their attitudes toward medical research generally, mental health research specifically, and willingness to participate in a bipolar DNA biobank. Last, they were asked to endorse motivating factors or concerns for their attitude toward participation.

RESULTS: Neither attitudes toward research nor willingness to participate in a bipolar biobank differed across gender, age, or education level, but Black/African American participants were statistically significantly less likely to endorse a willingness to participate in a biobank compared to White participants. As observed in previous work, Black/African American participants were significantly more likely to endorse concerns regarding violations of trust, privacy, or autonomy. However, while there were no significant differences in discouraging factors among individuals who indicated an opposition to participating in a biobank compared to those who indicated support, there was a significant decrease in support of motivating factors, including increasing knowledge, personal benefit, and duty to community, for those not interested in participating.

CONCLUSIONS: Black/African American participants with bipolar disorder were more likely to express concerns about DNA and biobank research. But while race was a contributing factor to support or opposition to biobanking for bipolar disorder research, more salient was insufficient positive motivation. These results highlight the need to emphasize contemporary safeguards on DNA research and biobanking as an ethical duty and to identify the need for community-based educational interventions to promote a greater understanding of the positive benefits to motivate increased research participation.

PMID:33657561 | DOI:10.1159/000513723

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A Prospective Multicenter Observational Study of Venous Thromboembolism after Gastric Cancer Surgery (SHISA-1601)

Eur Surg Res. 2021 Mar 3:1-10. doi: 10.1159/000514309. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: This study aimed to clarify the frequency and risk factors of intercurrent venous thromboembolism (VTE) in patients undergoing major curative gastric cancer surgery.

METHODS: This prospective, multicenter, observational study included patients with gastric cancer who underwent radical gastrectomy at 5 hospitals between June 2016 and May 2018. Patients who were preoperatively administered anticoagulants were excluded.

RESULTS: A total of 126 patients were eligible to participate. VTE occurred within 9 days postoperatively in 5 cases (4.0%; 2 symptomatic and 3 asymptomatic). Postoperative day (POD) 1 plasma D-dimer and soluble fibrin (SF) levels were significantly higher in the VTE group than in the non-VTE group. Receiver-operating characteristic curve (ROC) analysis indicated a statistically significant ability of POD 1 D-dimer and SF levels to predict postoperative VTE development after gastrectomy; this finding was reflected by an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.97 (95% CI 0.92-1.0) and 0.87 (95% CI 0.74-1.0), respectively. Cutoff values of D-dimer (24.6 µg/mL) and SF (64.1 µg/mL) were determined. Intraoperative blood transfusion (odds ratio [OR] 7.86), POD 1 D-dimer ≥24.6 µg/mL (OR 17.35), and POD 1 SF ≥64.1 µg/mL (OR 19.5) were independent predictive factors for postoperative VTE (p < 0.05).

CONCLUSION: VTE occurred in 4.0% patients (1.6% symptomatic and 2.4% asymptomatic) after gastric cancer surgery; however, with an early diagnosis and anticoagulant therapy, no patients experienced progression. Careful observation of patients with a high risk for VTE, including intraoperative blood transfusion and high POD 1 D-dimer or SF levels, would contribute to the early detection of VTE.

PMID:33657552 | DOI:10.1159/000514309

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An analysis of scatter characteristics in x-ray CT spectral correction

Phys Med Biol. 2021 Mar 3. doi: 10.1088/1361-6560/abebab. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

X-ray scatter remains a major physics challenge in volumetric computed tomography (CT), whose physical and statistical behaviors have been commonly leveraged in order to eliminate its impact on CT image quality. In this work, we conduct an in-depth derivation of how the scatter distribution and scatter to primary ratio (SPR) will change during the spectral correction, leading to an interesting finding on the property of scatter. Such a characterization of scatter’s behavior provides an analytic approach of compensating for the SPR as well as approximating the change of scatter distribution after spectral correction, even though both of them might be significantly distorted as the linearization mapping function in spectral correction could vary a lot from one detector pixel to another. We conduct an evaluation of SPR compensations on a Catphan phantom and an anthropomorphic chest phantom to validate the characteristics of scatter. In addition, this scatter property is also directly adopted into CT imaging using a spectral modulator with flying focal spot technology (SMFFS) as an example to demonstrate its potential in practical applications. For cone-beam CT scans at both 80 and 120 kVp, CT images with accurate CT numbers can be achieved after spectral correction followed by the appropriate SPR compensation based on our presented scatter property. In the case of the SMFFS based cone-beam CT scan of the Catphan phantom at 120 kVp, after a scatter correction using an analytic algorithm derived from the scatter property, CT image quality was significantly improved, with the averaged root mean square error reduced from 297.9 to 6.5 Hounsfield units (HU).

PMID:33657536 | DOI:10.1088/1361-6560/abebab

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Evaluation of the efficacy of vaginal progesterone in preventing preterm birth after abdominal trachelectomy

Eur J Obstet Gynecol Reprod Biol. 2021 Feb 13;259:119-124. doi: 10.1016/j.ejogrb.2021.02.009. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether vaginal progesterone (VP) reduces the rate of preterm birth in pregnant women after abdominal trachelectomy (AT) for early-stage cervical cancer STUDY DESIGN: This is an interventional study with a historical cohort. For the interventional study participants who had singleton pregnancies after AT between October 2016 and September 2020, the administration of vaginal progesterone was started between 16+ and 19+6 weeks of gestation and discontinued at 34 weeks of gestation or at the time of delivery, rupture of membranes, or massive uterine bleeding. We investigated obstetric and neonatal outcomes among the study participants and compared them with outcomes of the historical control group participants, included women with singleton pregnancies after AT who were managed without VP at our institution between January 2007 and September 2016, using Fisher’s exact test and the Mann-Whitney U test The main outcomes were the gestational age at delivery and incidence of preterm birth before 37 weeks and 34 weeks of gestation.

RESULT: Twelve pregnancies in ten women were included in the VP group. In contrast, 19 pregnancies in 17 women were included in the historical control group. The incidence of preterm birth at <37 weeks was 10/12 (83 %) in the VP group and 11/19 (58 %) in the control group. The incidence of preterm birth at <34 weeks was 6/12 (50 %) in the VP group and 9/19 (48 %) in the control group. The incidence of preterm birth in the two groups was similar, and the difference between the two groups was not statistically significant.

CONCLUSION: The administration of vaginal progesterone did not reduce the rate of preterm birth among pregnant women after AT.

PMID:33657512 | DOI:10.1016/j.ejogrb.2021.02.009

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The electrocardiographic manifestations and derangements of 2019 novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19)

Indian Pacing Electrophysiol J. 2021 Feb 28:S0972-6292(21)00024-3. doi: 10.1016/j.ipej.2021.02.005. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Electrocardiographic (ECG) findings in patients admitted with COVID-19 and a decision tree to predict their survival were assessed. 145 consecutive patients with severe COVID-19 infection were selected. Patient demographics, ECG variables, peak troponins, use of standard medications, and clinical outcomes were analyzed using descriptive and inferential statistics, and a predictive model of survival was developed using classification tree analysis. Of the 145 admitted patients, 38 (26%) died. Deceased patients were more likely to have a significantly higher incidence of poor R-Wave progression [6 of 37 (16.2%) Vs. 0 of 104 (0%), p < 0.001] as well as prolonged QTc values [24 of 37 (64.9%) Vs. 38 of 99 (38.4%), p 0.006]. Significant ST segment depressions were found in 5 of 37 (13.5%) of the deceased category compared to 0% in the non-deceased (p < 0.01). Right and/or left atrial enlargement was more prevalent in the deceased cohort [7 of 37 (18.9%) Vs. 4 of 104 (3.8%), p = 0.03]. Bundle branch blocks were more prevalent in the deceased group [9 of 35 (25.8%) Vs. 7 of 104 (6.7%), p 0.002]. Peak troponins were significantly higher in the deceased group (1.0 Vs 0.07 ng/ml, p < 0.001) A prediction tree built utilizing age, PACs, troponins and QTc had an accuracy of 85.5%. 65 of 74 patients (87.8%) were correctly predicted to survive, while 23 of 29 (79.3%) were correctly predicted to become deceased. Among patients hospitalized with Covid-19, the parameters of age, QT interval, troponin and PACs are useful for prognostication and help predict survival with reasonable accuracy.

PMID:33657456 | DOI:10.1016/j.ipej.2021.02.005

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Counseling, Contraception, and Conception Rates in Patients Undergoing Bariatric Surgery: A Retrospective Review

Contraception. 2021 Feb 28:S0010-7824(21)00053-6. doi: 10.1016/j.contraception.2021.02.012. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To determine conception rates, contraceptive use patterns, and frequency of counseling regarding pregnancy recommendations in patients undergoing bariatric surgery.

STUDY DESIGN: Using a database of bariatric surgery patients at our institution, we identified female patients aged 18 to 45 who underwent surgery from 2013 to 2018. Patient charts were reviewed for demographic information, documentation of counseling regarding pregnancy recommendations, conception during the postoperative period, and pre and postoperative contraception use. We examined rates of contraception use and used standard statistical tests to compare conception rates between groups.

RESULTS: Of the 460 patients that met inclusion criteria and did not have a history of permanent contraception, 54% (95% CI 49-58) had documented postoperative contraception use, most commonly the levonorgestrel-releasing intrauterine device followed by combination oral contraceptive pills. In the 18 months following bariatric surgery, 6% of patients (95% CI 4-8) had a documented pregnancy. Over 50% (95% CI 35-71) of pregnancies occurred in patients without documented postoperative contraception.

CONCLUSION: For bariatric surgery patients at risk of pregnancy, postoperative contraception use patterns and conception rates are not consistent with the recommendation to refrain from pregnancy for 18 months.

IMPLICATIONS: Individualized contraceptive counseling that includes a discussion of fertility and weight loss goals, planned bariatric procedure type, and patient preference should be implemented as part of standard preoperative care for patients at risk of pregnancy undergoing bariatric surgery.

PMID:33657426 | DOI:10.1016/j.contraception.2021.02.012

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Rivaroxaban Monotherapy versus Combination Therapy According to Patient Risk of Stroke and Bleeding in Atrial Fibrillation and Stable Coronary Disease: AFIRE trial sub-analysis

Am Heart J. 2021 Feb 28:S0002-8703(21)00063-6. doi: 10.1016/j.ahj.2021.02.021. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: In the AFIRE trial, rivaroxaban monotherapy was non-inferior to combination therapy with rivaroxaban and an antiplatelet agent for thromboembolic events or death, and superior for major bleeding in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and stable coronary artery disease (CAD). Little is known about impacts of stroke and bleeding risks on the efficacy and safety of rivaroxaban monotherapy.

METHODS: In this sub-analysis of the AFIRE trial, we assessed the risk of stroke and bleeding by the CHADS2, CHA2DS2-VASc, and HAS-BLED scores. The primary efficacy endpoint was the composite of stroke, systemic embolism, myocardial infarction (MI), unstable angina requiring revascularization, or death from any cause. The primary safety endpoint was major bleeding defined by the International Society on Thrombosis and Haemostasis.

RESULTS: Rivaroxaban monotherapy significantly reduced the primary efficacy and safety endpoints with no evidence of differential effects by stroke risk (CHADS2, p for interaction=0.727 for efficacy, 0.395 for safety; CHA2DS2-VASc, p for interaction=0.740 for efficacy, 0.265 for safety) or bleeding risk (HAS-BLED, p for interaction=0.581 for efficacy, 0.225 for safety). There was also no evidence of statistical heterogeneity across patient risk categories for other endpoints; stroke or systemic embolism, ischemic stroke, hemorrhagic stroke, MI, MI or unstable angina, death from any cause, any bleeding, or net adverse clinical events.

CONCLUSIONS: The advantages of rivaroxaban monotherapy compared with those of combination therapy with respect to all pre-specified endpoints, including thromboembolism, bleeding, and mortality were similar across patients with AF and stable CAD, irrespective of their risk for stroke and bleeding.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: UMIN Clinical Trials Registry number, UMIN000016612, and ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT02642419.

PMID:33657403 | DOI:10.1016/j.ahj.2021.02.021