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Nevin Manimala Statistics

All Hands on Deck: Addressing Adolescent Depression in Pediatric Primary Care

J Pediatr Psychol. 2021 May 19:jsab033. doi: 10.1093/jpepsy/jsab033. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: This study examines prevalence rates of elevated depression symptoms utilizing the Patient Health Questionnaire-9 Item Modified for Adolescents (PHQ-9A), characterizes recommendations and interventions by primary care providers (PCPs) and behavioral health clinicians (BHCs) in response to elevated PHQ-9As, and identifies factors associated with improved PHQ-9A scores at follow-up pediatric primary care visits.

METHODS: A mixed methods approach was taken. Visit data, demographics, and PHQ-9A scores for 2,107 adolescents aged 11-18 were extracted using clinical informatics between January 3, 2017 and August 31, 2018. Descriptive statistics and chi-square analyses were conducted, followed by conventional content analysis of electronic medical records to examine qualitative results. Qualitative analyses were transformed into quantitative results and analyzed using point biserial correlations.

RESULTS: Of the 2,107 adolescents, 277 (13%) had an elevated PHQ-9A. Content analysis resulted in 40 actions (17 PCP codes, 23 BHC codes) in response to an elevated PHQ-9A. Significant correlations were found between an improved PHQ-9A at a follow-up visit and the PCP referring to integrated behavioral health (r = .20, p < .01), and BHCs recommending and checking in at a follow-up visit (r = .20, p < .05), conducting a risk assessment (r = .15, p < .05), and providing psychoeducation about mood symptoms (r = .15, p < .05).

CONCLUSIONS: Primary care is an ideal setting to address the public health crisis of untreated adolescent depression. Implications for screening processes, practice implications for PCPs and BHCs, future directions, and limitations are discussed.

PMID:34010421 | DOI:10.1093/jpepsy/jsab033

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Specialist versus generalist at the intraspecific level: functional morphology and substrate preference of Mediodactylus kotschyi geckos

Integr Comp Biol. 2021 May 19:icab066. doi: 10.1093/icb/icab066. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Populations of the same species occupying different microhabitats can either exhibit generalized traits across them or display intraspecific variability, adapting to each microhabitat in order to maximize performance. Intraspecific variability contributes to the generation of diversity, following selection and adaptation, and understanding such variability is important for comprehending how individuals choose their microhabitats. Compared to interspecific variability, however, intraspecific variability in functional morphology and its relationship with microhabitat preference and use have been relatively little studied. Here we examined whether populations of the gecko Mediodactylus kotschyi that differ in the substrates they occupy, display habitat-specific behaviours and differing morphologies associated with functional adaptation to their microhabitats. We collected 207 geckos from under or on rocks or on trees from seven populations in Greece. On large islands individuals occupy both substrates; whereas small islets are devoid of trees and the geckos are restricted to rocks, while on the mainland they are only found on trees.We determined gecko substrate preferences in the lab, together with their clinging abilities to the different substrates. We measured their limbs, digits and claws and assessed how these measurements relate to clinging ability.Geckos from all populations preferred the tree made available to them, but this preference was not statistically significant. Geckos from both large and small islands clung better to the tree than to the rock in the lab, while those from the mainland clung similarly to both substrates. Geckos collected from trees had longer manual digits and hind limbs. Geckos collected from large and small islands had taller (longer on the dorso-ventral axis; henceforth “deeper”) claws. Longer digits and deeper but shorter claws were associated with a better ability to cling to rocks. Our findings suggest that while M. kotschyi is potentially preferentially arboreal, due to the great variation and plasticity it possesses, it can successfully also exploit the habitats available on the smallest, treeless islets in the Aegean Sea. Our study suggests that the dichotomous use of generalist vs. specialist in describing species’ habitat use is oversimplified, and we suggest the use of a generalist-specialist gradient instead.

PMID:34010416 | DOI:10.1093/icb/icab066

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Novel Biomarkers of Habitual Alcohol Intake and Associations with Risk of Pancreatic and Liver Cancers and Liver Disease Mortality

J Natl Cancer Inst. 2021 May 19:djab078. doi: 10.1093/jnci/djab078. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Alcohol is an established risk factor for several cancers, but modest alcohol-cancer associations may be missed due to measurement error in self-reported assessments. Biomarkers of habitual alcohol intake may provide novel insight into the relationship between alcohol and cancer risk.

METHODS: Untargeted metabolomics was used to identify metabolites correlated with self-reported habitual alcohol intake in a discovery dataset from the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition (EPIC; n = 454). Statistically significant correlations were tested in independent datasets of controls from case-control studies nested within EPIC (n = 280) and the Alpha-Tocopherol, Beta-Carotene Cancer Prevention (ATBC; n = 438) study. Conditional logistic regression was used to estimate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for associations of alcohol-associated metabolites and self-reported alcohol intake with risk of pancreatic cancer, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), liver cancer, and liver disease mortality in the contributing studies.

RESULTS: Two metabolites displayed a dose-response association with self-reported alcohol intake 2-hydroxy-3-methylbutyric acid and an unidentified compound. A 1-SD (log2) increase in levels of 2-hydroxy-3-methylbutyric acid was associated with risk of HCC (OR = 2.54; 95% CI = 1.51-4.27) and pancreatic cancer (OR = 1.43; 95% CI = 1.03-1.99) in EPIC and liver cancer (OR = 2.00; 95% CI = 1.44-2.77) and liver disease mortality (OR = 2.16; 95% CI = 1.63-2.86) in ATBC. Conversely, a 1-SD (log2) increase in questionnaire-derived alcohol intake was not associated with HCC or pancreatic cancer in EPIC or liver cancer in ATBC but was associated with liver disease mortality (OR = 2.19; 95% CI = 1.60-2.98) in ATBC.

CONCLUSIONS: 2-Hydroxy-3-methylbutyric acid is a candidate biomarker of habitual alcohol intake that may advance the study of alcohol and cancer risk in population-based studies.

PMID:34010397 | DOI:10.1093/jnci/djab078

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

FSH stimulated inhibin B (FSH-iB): A novel marker for the accurate prediction of pubertal outcome in delayed puberty

J Clin Endocrinol Metab. 2021 May 19:dgab357. doi: 10.1210/clinem/dgab357. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Clinicians have long been struggling to find an effective tool to predict onset of puberty.

OBJECTIVE: To explore stimulability of inhibin B after exogenous FSH and it’s potential role for prediction of onset of puberty.

DESIGN AND PARTICIPANTS: Study subjects were enrolled into “exploratory cohort”(n=42) and “validation cohort”(n=19). “Exploratory cohort” was further divided into Group-1(Healthy children with spontaneous puberty: SP, n=26) and Group-2 (Patients of hypogonadotropic hypogonadism: HH, n=16). “Validation cohort” included children who presented with complaints of delayed puberty.

INTERVENTION AND OUTCOME: Participants were subjected to FSH stimulation test and GnRHa stimulation test. Cut-offs derived from “exploratory cohort” for basal and FSH stimulated inhibin B(FSH-iB) were applied on “validation cohort” .Basal LH, GnRHa stimulated LH, basal inhibin B and FSH-iB were compared with clinical outcome on prospective follow-up for prediction of onset of puberty.

RESULTS: There was statistically significant increment in inhibin B after exogenous FSH in Group 1(SP) in both male(188.8 pg/ml;p-value-0.002) and female (1065 pg/ml;p-value-0.023) subjects. The increment was not statistically significant in Group 2(HH) in both genders. FSH-iB at a cut-off of 116.14 pg/ml in male and 116.50 pg/ml in female had 100% sensitivity and specificity for labelling entry into puberty. On application of these cut-offs on “validation cohort”, FSH-iB had 100% PPV, NPV and diagnostic accuracy for prediction of onset of puberty.

CONCLUSION: Inhibin B was stimulable in both male and female subjects. FSH-iB can be considered as novel and promising investigation for prediction of onset of puberty. Future studies are required for further validation.

PMID:34010394 | DOI:10.1210/clinem/dgab357

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Older people as active agents in their neighbourhood environments: Moving house can improve quality of life

Gerontologist. 2021 May 19:gnab065. doi: 10.1093/geront/gnab065. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Neighbourhood environments are an important aspect of well-being for older people. Developments of the general ecological model recognise older people as active agents who adapt their environments to fit their changing needs. We provide empirical support for a model suggested by Wahl et al., by examining interactions between neighbourhood environments, personal situations, relocation, and quality of life among older people.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Two statistical models were tested with a sample of community dwelling participants (aged 55-89) in the New Zealand Health, Work and Retirement longitudinal surveys conducted in 2016 (T1) and 2018 (T2). Multiple linear regression assessed the association of perceptions of housing and neighbourhood with quality of life (QoL) at T1 (n = 3682).

RESULTS: QoL was predicted by housing satisfaction, and neighbourhood satisfaction, accessibility, and trust (controlling for age, gender, marital status, home ownership, SES, physical health and mental health). Mixed ANOVA showed that those who moved house between T1-T2 reported lower housing and neighbourhood satisfaction than non-movers at T1. Over time T1-T2, movers reported less decline in housing satisfaction, and more positive change on all neighbourhood perceptions, with higher perceptions of neighbourhood accessibility than non-movers at T2.

DISCUSSION AND IMPLICATIONS: These findings support the theoretical model and provide impetus for more detailed study of the effects of the environment on well-being in older age. Housing and neighbourhood environments are a very practical focus for social policy change at local and national levels.

PMID:34010393 | DOI:10.1093/geront/gnab065

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Evaluating resampling methods and structured features to improve fall incident report identification by the severity level

J Am Med Inform Assoc. 2021 May 19:ocab048. doi: 10.1093/jamia/ocab048. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: This study aims to improve the classification of the fall incident severity level by considering data imbalance issues and structured features through machine learning.

MATERIALS AND METHODS: We present an incident report classification (IRC) framework to classify the in-hospital fall incident severity level by addressing the imbalanced class problem and incorporating structured attributes. After text preprocessing, bag-of-words features, structured text features, and structured clinical features were extracted from the reports. Next, resampling techniques were incorporated into the training process. Machine learning algorithms were used to build classification models. IRC systems were trained, validated, and tested using a repeated and randomly stratified shuffle-split cross-validation method. Finally, we evaluated the system performance using the F1-measure, precision, and recall over 15 stratified test sets.

RESULTS: The experimental results demonstrated that the classification system setting considering both data imbalance issues and structured features outperformed the other system settings (with a mean macro-averaged F1-measure of 0.733). Considering the structured features and resampling techniques, this classification system setting significantly improved the mean F1-measure for the rare class by 30.88% (P value < .001) and the mean macro-averaged F1-measure by 8.26% from the baseline system setting (P value < .001). In general, the classification system employing the random forest algorithm and random oversampling method outperformed the others.

CONCLUSIONS: Structured features provide essential information for categorizing the fall incident severity level. Resampling methods help rebalance the class distribution of the original incident report data, which improves the performance of machine learning models. The IRC framework presented in this study effectively automates the identification of fall incident reports by the severity level.

PMID:34010385 | DOI:10.1093/jamia/ocab048

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

A Bayesian approach for fitting and comparing demographic growth models of radiocarbon dates: A case study on the Jomon-Yayoi transition in Kyushu (Japan)

PLoS One. 2021 May 19;16(5):e0251695. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0251695. eCollection 2021.

ABSTRACT

Large sets of radiocarbon dates are increasingly used as proxies for inferring past population dynamics and the last few years, in particular, saw an increase in the development of new statistical techniques to overcome some of the key challenges imposed by this kind of data. These include: 1) null hypothesis significance testing approaches based on Monte-Carlo simulations or mark permutations; 2) non-parametric Bayesian modelling approaches, and 3) the use of more traditional techniques such as correlation, regression, and AIC-based model comparison directly on the summed probability distribution of radiocarbon dates (SPD). While the range of opportunities offered by these solutions is unquestionably appealing, they often do not consider the uncertainty and the biases arising from calibration effects or sampling error. Here we introduce a novel Bayesian approach and nimbleCarbon, an R package that offers model fitting and comparison for population growth models based on the temporal frequency data of radiocarbon dates. We evaluate the robustness of the proposed approach on a range of simulated scenarios and illustrate its application on a case study focused on the demographic impact of the introduction of wet-rice farming in prehistoric Japan during the 1st millennium BCE.

PMID:34010349 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0251695

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Profiles and outcomes in patients with COVID-19 admitted to wards of a French oncohematological hospital: A clustering approach

PLoS One. 2021 May 19;16(5):e0250569. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0250569. eCollection 2021.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Although some prognostic factors for COVID-19 were consistently identified across the studies, differences were found for other factors that could be due to the characteristics of the study populations and the variables incorporated into the statistical model. We aimed to a priori identify specific patient profiles and then assess their association with the outcomes in COVID-19 patients with respiratory symptoms admitted specifically to hospital wards.

METHODS: We conducted a retrospective single-center study from February 2020 to April 2020. A non-supervised cluster analysis was first used to detect patient profiles based on characteristics at admission of 220 consecutive patients admitted to our institution. Then, we assessed the prognostic value using Cox regression analyses to predict survival.

RESULTS: Three clusters were identified, with 47 patients in cluster 1, 87 in cluster 2, and 86 in cluster 3; the presentation of the patients differed among the clusters. Cluster 1 mostly included sexagenarian patients with active malignancies who were admitted early after the onset of COVID-19. Cluster 2 included the oldest patients, who were generally overweight and had hypertension and renal insufficiency, while cluster 3 included the youngest patients, who had gastrointestinal symptoms and delayed admission. Sixty-day survival rates were 74.3%, 50.6% and 96.5% in clusters 1, 2, and 3, respectively. This was confirmed by the multivariable Cox analyses that showed the prognostic value of these patterns.

CONCLUSION: The cluster approach seems appropriate and pragmatic for the early identification of patient profiles that could help physicians segregate patients according to their prognosis.

PMID:34010331 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0250569

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Grains on the brain: A survey of dog owner purchasing habits related to grain-free dry dog foods

PLoS One. 2021 May 19;16(5):e0250806. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0250806. eCollection 2021.

ABSTRACT

Grain-free pet food options abound in the pet food market today, representing more than 40% of available dry dog foods in the United States. There is currently a dearth of information about the factors that contribute to a dog owner’s choice of a grain-free dry dog food and if those factors are similar among countries. Therefore, the primary objective of the current survey was to identify the variables that are predictive of a dog owner’s choice of a grain-free dry food across North America (Canada and the United States) and Europe (France, the United Kingdom and Germany). The survey consisted of 69 questions, took less than 15 minutes to complete and was distributed virtually via Qualtrics (Qualtrics XM, Utah, USA). A total of 3,298 responses were collected, equally distributed between countries. Multinomial logistic regression was performed in SPSS Statistics (Version 26, IBM Corp, North Castle, New York, USA). Male respondents, people from France, people who ranked the importance of ingredients in a pet food in the lower quartiles and people who do not rotate their dog’s diet to provide variety were less likely to select ‘no grain’ when choosing a pet food. In contrast, people who believe that their dog has a food allergy, follow more than 5 specific dietary routines in their own diet, do not try to include grains in their own diet, get their information about pet food from online resources or pet store staff and look for specific claims on pet food (such as ‘no fillers’), were all more likely to select ‘no grain’ when choosing a pet food. This survey provides insight into the similarities and differences in decision making among dog owners in North America and Europe and should be considered when exploring the effects of grain-free dog foods on canine health and well-being.

PMID:34010328 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0250806

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Effects of insertion torque on the structure of dental implants with different connections: Experimental pilot study in vitro

PLoS One. 2021 May 19;16(5):e0251904. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0251904. eCollection 2021.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: During the insertion of dental implants in the bone tissue, different torque values can be applied. However, the high applied torque can cause damage to the implant connection. Our study sought to evaluate, by measuring the angle of rotation of the insertion drive and, later microscopic observation, possible changes in the structure of implants of different diameters with 3 different types of connections after the application of 4 different torque intensities.

MATERIALS AND METHODS: Three hundred tapered dental implants and three hundred insertion drivers were used in the present study. Implants of 3.5 and 4 mm in diameter with 3 connection models were tested: external hexagon (EH), internal hexagon (IH) and Morse taper (MT). Then, sis groups were performed: EH3 group, EH4 group, IH3 group, IH4 group, MT3 group and MT4 group. The samples were submitted to the torque/torsion force at 4 intensities (n = 10 samples per group and intensity): 60, 80, 100 and 120 Ncm. The turning angle of the insertion driver was measured in each test. In addition, in 10 samples from each group, the maximum torque value supported by each implant model was measured. After the tests, all samples were inspected microscopically to describe the observed changes.

RESULTS: The maximum torque supported by the different implant models showed statistically significant difference (p < 0.0001). The values of the measured angles showed statistically significant differences between the torque values applied within each group (p < 0.001) and between groups with the same torque value (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS: Within the limitations of the present study in vitro, the results showed that high torque values cause mechanical damage to the implants.

PMID:34010325 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0251904