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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Validation of Self-Reported Rheumatoid Arthritis Using Medicare Claims: A Nationally Representative Longitudinal Study of Older Adults

ACR Open Rheumatol. 2021 Feb 23. doi: 10.1002/acr2.11229. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To determine the validity of self-reported physician diagnosis of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) using multiple gold-standard measures based on Medicare claims in a nationally representative sample of older adults and to verify whether additional questions about taking medication and having seen a physician in the past two years for arthritis can improve the positive predictive value (PPV) and other measures of the validity of self-reported RA.

METHODS: A total of 3768 Medicare-eligible respondents with and without incident self-reported RA were identified from the 2004, 2008, and 2012 waves of the United States Health and Retirement Study. Self-reported RA was validated using the following three claims-based algorithms: 1) a single International Classification of Diseases, ninth edition, Clinical Modification claim for RA, 2) two or more claims no greater than 2 years apart, and 3) two or more claims with at least one diagnosis by a rheumatologist. Additional self-report questions of medication use and having seen a doctor for arthritis in the past two years were validated against the same criteria.

RESULTS: A total of 345 respondents self-reported a physician diagnosis of RA. Across all three RA algorithms, the PPV of self-report ranged from 0.05 to 0.16., the sensitivity ranged from 0.23 to 0.55., and the κ statistic ranged from 0.07 to 0.15. Additional self-report data regarding arthritis care improved the PPV and other validity measures of self-report; however, the values remained low.

CONCLUSION: Most older adults who self-report RA do not have a Medicare claims history consistent with that diagnosis. Revisions to current self-reported RA questions may yield more valid identification of RA in national health surveys.

PMID:33621434 | DOI:10.1002/acr2.11229

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Testing deceased organ donors for infections: An organ procurement organization survey

Am J Transplant. 2021 Feb 23. doi: 10.1111/ajt.16552. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Organ procurement organizations (OPO) test potential deceased organ donors for infectious diseases required by policy, but many also perform testing for additional infections. The current state of donor testing in the United States is unknown. We sent an IRB approved survey to all 57 U.S. OPOs using REDCap. Descriptive statistics were performed. From the 57 OPOs, we received 46 (80.7%) unique responses with all 11 United Network of Organ Sharing regions represented. Forty of 46 (87%) OPO respondents consulted an Infectious Diseases physician when needed. Eighteen of 46 (39%) tested for West Nile virus (WNV) and 17 of 18 (94%) tested year-round. Eleven of 46 (23.9%) tested for Strongyloides infection while 17 of 46 (37%) tested for Chagas disease. All OPOs performed prospective nucleic acid testing (NAT) for HIV, hepatitis B and hepatitis C on all donors. OPO testing of additional infections has increased since prior surveys but remains variable. Standardization of organ donor infectious diseases evaluation should be considered.

PMID:33621430 | DOI:10.1111/ajt.16552

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Dependency of flow mediated vasodilatation from basal nitric oxide activity

Clin Physiol Funct Imaging. 2021 Feb 23. doi: 10.1111/cpf.12696. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Flow-mediated vasodilatation (FMD) has become one of the most widely assessed parameters to analyze endothelial and vascular function in cardiovascular medicine. The degree of contribution of nitric oxide (NO) to FMD is inconclusive and varies widely depending on the device used. In this study we used a semi-automatic ultrasound device to analyze to what extent basal NO activity contributes to FMD of the brachial artery. FMD was assessed with the UNEX EF device in a cross-over single blinded randomized study at baseline and then during infusion of either a NO-synthase-inhibitor (NG-monomethyl-L-arginine (L-NMMA)) or saline. The analysis was repeated after 1 week with the alternative infusion of L-NMMA or saline. All measurements were analyzed both automatically and by a technician manually. In total 25 healthy men subjects completed the study. Diastolic blood pressure and heart rate significantly changed during infusion of L-NMMA. Infusion of L-NMMA reduced FMD significantly (-37%, p=0.002). Saline solution had no effect on FMD (+14%, p=0.392). Change in FMD was significantly different between the groups (ΔFMDL-NMMA vs. ΔFMDsaline , p=0.032). There was a statistically significant correlation between automatically analyzed results and those obtained by an experienced technician (FMDsaline : r=0.822, p<0.001; FMDL-NMMA : r=0.645, p=0.007). The influence of NO on FMD is approximately 40% if assessed using the UNEX EF. Prior to use FMD as a marker of endothelial dysfunction we should explore different methods including various duration of forearm ischaemia to increase NO dependency of FMD.

PMID:33621423 | DOI:10.1111/cpf.12696

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Treatment Plan Quality Control Using Multivariate Control Charts

Med Phys. 2021 Feb 23. doi: 10.1002/mp.14795. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Statistical process control tools such as control charts were recommended by the American Association of Physicists in Medicine (AAPM) Task Group 218 for radiotherapy quality assurance. However, the tools needed to analyze multivariate, correlated data that is often encountered in treatment plan quality measures, are lacking. In this study, we develop quality control tools that can model multivariate plan quality measures with correlations and account for patient-specific risk-factors, without adding a significant burden to clinical workflow.

METHODS AND MATERIALS: A multivariate, quality control chart is developed that includes a risk-adjustment model, Hotelling’s T2 statistic, and principal component analysis (PCA). PCA accounts for correlations among a set of organ-at-risk (OAR) dose-volume histogram (DVH) points that serves as proxies for plan quality. Risk-adjustment models estimate the principal components from PCA using a set of patient- and treatment-specific risk factors. The resulting residuals from the risk-adjustment models are used to compute the Hotelling’s T2 statistic; the corresponding multivariate control chart is then plotted based on the beta distribution followed by the statistic. Further, the box-cox transformation is used to account for non-normality in DVH points. We investigate the application of the proposed methodology via three multivariate control charts-a conventional chart that ignores risk-adjustment and PCA, a risk-adjusted chart ignoring PCA, and a PCA-based, risk-adjusted chart. These control charts are evaluated on 69 head-and-neck cases.

RESULTS: The conventional multivariate control chart fails to account for important patient-specific risk factors, including volumes and cross-sectional areas of the tumor and OARs and distances in-between. This failure leads to a larger number of false alarms. While the multivariate risk-adjusted control chart is able to reduce false alarms, it fails to account for correlations in DVH points. The multivariate PCA-based, risk-adjusted control chart can detect unusual plans after accounting for the correlations. By replanning, improvements are shown on an unusual plan identified by both risk-adjusted methods.

CONCLUSIONS: The multivariate risk-adjusted control chart developed here enables quality control of plans prior to delivery. This methodology is generic and can be readily applied for other radiotherapy quality assurance protocols, such as gamma analysis pass-rates.

PMID:33621381 | DOI:10.1002/mp.14795

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Integrated Meditation and Exercise Therapy: A Randomized Controlled Pilot of a Combined Nonpharmacological Intervention Focused on Reducing Disability and Pain in Patients with Chronic Low Back Pain

Pain Med. 2021 Feb 23;22(2):444-458. doi: 10.1093/pm/pnaa403.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: This pilot trial examined the effects of a combined intervention of mindfulness meditation followed by aerobic walking exercise compared with a control condition in chronic low back pain patients. We hypothesized that meditation before exercise would reduce disability, pain, and anxiety by increasing mindfulness prior to physical activity compared with an audiobook control group.

PARTICIPANTS: Thirty-eight adults completed either meditation and exercise treatment (MedExT) (n=18) or an audiobook control condition (n=20).

SETTING: Duquesne University Exercise Physiology Laboratory.

DESIGN: A pilot, assessor-blinded, randomized controlled trial.

METHODS: Over a 4-week period, participants in the MedExT group performed 12-17 minutes of guided meditation followed by 30 minutes of moderate-intensity walking exercise 5 days per week. Measures of disability, pain, mindfulness, and anxiety were taken at baseline and postintervention. Pain perception measurements were taken daily.

RESULTS: Compared with the control group, we observed larger improvements in disability in the MedExT intervention, although the changes were modest and not statistically significant (mean between-group difference, -1.24; 95% confidence interval [CI], -3.1 to 0.6). For secondary outcome measures, MedExT increased mindfulness (within-group) from pre-intervention to postintervention (P=0.0141). Additionally, mean ratings of low back pain intensity and unpleasantness significantly improved with time for the MedExT group compared with that of the control group, respectively (intensity P=0.0008; unpleasantness P=0.0022).

CONCLUSION: . Overall, 4 weeks of MedExT produced suggestive between-group trends for disability, significant between-group differences for measures of pain, and significant within-group increases in mindfulness.

PMID:33621332 | DOI:10.1093/pm/pnaa403

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Prevalence and cardiometabolic correlates of ketohexokinase gene variants among UK Biobank participants

PLoS One. 2021 Feb 23;16(2):e0247683. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0247683. eCollection 2021.

ABSTRACT

Essential fructosuria (EF) is a benign, asymptomatic, autosomal recessive condition caused by loss-of-function variants in the ketohexokinase gene and characterized by intermittent appearance of fructose in the urine. Despite a basic understanding of the genetic and molecular basis of EF, relatively little is known about the long-term clinical consequences of ketohexokinase gene variants. We examined the frequency of ketohexokinase variants in the UK Biobank sample and compared the cardiometabolic profiles of groups of individuals with and without these variants alone or in combination. Study cohorts consisted of groups of participants defined based on the presence of one or more of the five ketohexokinase gene variants tested for in the Affymetrix assays used by the UK Biobank. The rs2304681:G>A (p.Val49Ile) variant was present on more than one-third (36.8%) of chromosomes; other variant alleles were rare (<1%). No participants with the compound heterozygous genotype present in subjects exhibiting the EF phenotype in the literature (Gly40Arg/Ala43Thr) were identified. The rs2304681:G>A (p.Val49Ile), rs41288797 (p.Val188Met), and rs114353144 (p.Val264Ile) variants were more common in white versus non-white participants. Otherwise, few statistically or clinically significant differences were observed after adjustment for multiple comparisons. These findings reinforce the current understanding of EF as a rare, benign, autosomal recessive condition.

PMID:33621267 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0247683

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Quality of life and its associated factors among epileptic patients attending public hospitals in North Wollo Zone, Northeast Ethiopia: A cross-sectional study

PLoS One. 2021 Feb 23;16(2):e0247336. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0247336. eCollection 2021.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Epilepsy is thought to be caused by witchcraft, evil spirit, and God’s punishment for sins in many developing countries. As a result, people with epilepsy and their families usually suffer from stigma, discrimination, depression, and other psychiatric problems. Thus, this study aimed to assess the quality of life and its associated factors among epileptic patients attending public hospitals in North Wollo Zone, Northeast Ethiopia.

METHODS: An institution-based cross-sectional study design was employed in this study. A simple random sampling technique was utilized. Health-related quality of life was measured based on the total score of the Quality of Life in Epilepsy Inventory (QOLIE-31) instrument. Data were entered into Epi-data 3.1 statistical package and exported to SPSS Version 20 for further analysis. Linear regression models were used to assess the relationship between quality of life and the independent variables. Statistically significant values were declared at a P-value of < 0.05.

RESULTS: A total of 395 patients participated in the study making the response rate 98.5%. The mean age of the participants was 32.39 ±10.71 years. More than half, 199 (50.4%) of epileptic patients had an overall weighted average health related quality of life score of mean and above. Male sex (B = 4.34, 95%CI, 0.41, 8.27, P = 0.03), higher educational status (B = 7.18, 95%CI, 1.39, 13.00, P = 0.015) and age at onset of epilepsy (B = 0.237, 95%CI, 0.02, 0.45, P = 0.035) were associated with increased health related quality of life score. On the other hand, family history of epilepsy (B = -4.78, 95%CI,-9.24,-0.33, P = 0.035), uncontrolled seizure (B = -11.08, 95%CI,-15.11,-7.05, P < 0.001), more than 5 pre-treatment number of seizures (B = -4.86, 95%CI,-8.91,-0.81, P = 0.019), poor drug adherence (B = -11.65, 95%CI,-16.06,-7.23, P < 0.001), having moderate (B = -4.526, 95%CI,-8.59,-0.46, P = 0.029) to sever (B = -12.84, 95%CI,-18.30,-7.37, P < 0.001) anxiety and depression, believing that epilepsy is caused by evil spirit (B = -7.04, 95%CI,-11.46,-2.61, P = 0.002), drinking alcohol (B = -5.42, 95%CI,-10.72,-0.13, P = 0.045), and having other co-morbidities (B = -9.35, 95%CI,-14.35,-4.36, P < 0.001) were significantly negatively associated with the health related quality of life score among epileptic patients.

CONCLUSIONS: Only around half of the epileptic patients have a good health-related quality of life. In addition, multiple variables including family history, uncontrolled seizure, and poor drug adherence were associated with quality of life among epileptic patients. Hence, targeting these variables in epilepsy management is recommended.

PMID:33621251 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0247336

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Quantitative anatomy of the fused ossification center of the occipital squama in the human fetus

PLoS One. 2021 Feb 23;16(2):e0247601. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0247601. eCollection 2021.

ABSTRACT

CT-based quantitative analysis of any ossification center in the cranium has not previously been carried out due to the limited availability of human fetal material. Detailed morphometric data on the development of ossification centers in the human fetus may be useful in the early detection of congenital defects. Ossification disorders in the cranium are associated with either a delayed development of ossification centers or their mineralization. These aberrations may result in the formation of accessory skull bones that differ in shape and size, and the incidence of which may be misdiagnosed as, e.g., skull fractures. The study material comprised 37 human fetuses of both sexes (16♂, 21♀) aged 18-30 weeks. Using CT, digital image analysis software, 3D reconstruction and statistical methods, the linear, planar and spatial dimensions of the occipital squama ossification center were measured. The morphometric characteristics of the fused ossification center of the occipital squama show no right-left differences. In relation to gestational age, the ossification center of the occipital squama grows linearly in its right and left vertical diameters, logarithmically in its transverse diameters of both the interparietal and supraoccipital parts and projection surface area, and according to a quadratic function in its volume. The obtained numerical findings of the occipital squama ossification center may be considered age-specific references of relevance in both the estimation of gestational age and the diagnostic process of congenital defects.

PMID:33621236 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0247601

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Accelerating Hepatitis C virus elimination in Egypt by 2030: A national survey of communication for behavioral development as a modelling study

PLoS One. 2021 Feb 23;16(2):e0242257. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0242257. eCollection 2021.

ABSTRACT

AIM OF THE WORK: This study aimed at assessing the dominance of risk practices associated with HCV endemicity in Egypt and detecting the behavioral development level concerning different aspects of HCV risk behaviors with respect to age and gender. The survey highlights the most cost-effective strategies that could accelerate HCV elimination in Egypt.

SUBJECTS AND METHODS: A national household survey targeted 3780 individuals (age range: 10-85 years). The sample was a systematic probability proportionate to size from 6 governorates representing the six major subdivisions of Egypt. The indicators used for assessing the behavioral development level towards HCV included six domains: awareness (7 indicators), perceived risk (5 indicators), motivation with the intention to change (4 and 5 indicators for males and females respectively), trial, rejection or adoption (6 and 5 indicators for males and females respectively).

RESULTS: The study revealed that along the continuum of behavior development, the percentage of the participants who acquired half of the scores was as follows: 73.1% aware, 69.8% developed perceived risk, 80.6% motivated with only 28.9% adopting the recommended behaviors, 32% rejected them, 2.3% were in the trial stage versus 35.8% who did not try any. Adolescents had significantly lower levels of development for almost all domains when compared to adults. Statistical higher significance was detected in favor of adults, employees, married, Lower Egypt governorates, and university-educated participants (p<0.001) regarding awareness, perceived risk, and motivation scores. More than half of the participants incorrectly believed that contaminated food, sharing food utilities, contaminated water, mosquitoes, and schistosomiasis would lead to HCV transmission.

CONCLUSION: Egypt would be closer to HCV elimination when cost-effective strategies are directed not towards creating awareness, perceived risk or motivation to change- (at an acceptable level)- but towards motivating adopting risk-reduction behaviors for HCV, tackling misconceptions and reinforcement of social support.

PMID:33621232 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0242257

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Evolution of heterogeneous perceptual limits and indifference in competitive foraging

PLoS Comput Biol. 2021 Feb 23;17(2):e1008734. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1008734. eCollection 2021 Feb.

ABSTRACT

The collective behaviour of animal and human groups emerges from the individual decisions and actions of their constituent members. Recent research has revealed many ways in which the behaviour of groups can be influenced by differences amongst their constituent individuals. The existence of individual differences that have implications for collective behaviour raises important questions. How are these differences generated and maintained? Are individual differences driven by exogenous factors, or are they a response to the social dilemmas these groups face? Here I consider the classic case of patch selection by foraging agents under conditions of social competition. I introduce a multilevel model wherein the perceptual sensitivities of agents evolve in response to their foraging success or failure over repeated patch selections. This model reveals a bifurcation in the population, creating a class of agents with no perceptual sensitivity. These agents exploit the social environment to avoid the costs of accurate perception, relying on other agents to make fitness rewards insensitive to the choice of foraging patch. This provides a individual-based evolutionary basis for models incorporating perceptual limits that have been proposed to explain observed deviations from the Ideal Free Distribution (IFD) in empirical studies, while showing that the common assumption in such models that agents share identical sensory limits is likely false. Further analysis of the model shows how agents develop perceptual strategic niches in response to environmental variability. The emergence of agents insensitive to reward differences also has implications for societal resource allocation problems, including the use of financial and prediction markets as mechanisms for aggregating collective wisdom.

PMID:33621223 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1008734