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Nevin Manimala Statistics

A machine learning-based risk stratification model for ventricular tachycardia and heart failure in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy

Comput Biol Med. 2021 Jul 12;135:104648. doi: 10.1016/j.compbiomed.2021.104648. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Machine learning (ML) and artificial intelligence are emerging as important components of precision medicine that enhance diagnosis and risk stratification. Risk stratification tools for hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) exist, but they are based on traditional statistical methods. The aim was to develop a novel machine learning risk stratification tool for the prediction of 5-year risk in HCM. The goal was to determine if its predictive accuracy is higher than the accuracy of the state-of-the-art tools.

METHOD: Data from a total of 2302 patients were used. The data were comprised of demographic characteristics, genetic data, clinical investigations, medications, and disease-related events. Four classification models were applied to model the risk level, and their decisions were explained using the SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) method. Unwanted cardiac events were defined as sustained ventricular tachycardia occurrence (VT), heart failure (HF), ICD activation, sudden cardiac death (SCD), cardiac death, and all-cause death.

RESULTS: The proposed machine learning approach outperformed the similar existing risk-stratification models for SCD, cardiac death, and all-cause death risk-stratification: it achieved higher AUC by 17%, 9%, and 1%, respectively. The boosted trees achieved the best performing AUC of 0.82. The resulting model most accurately predicts VT, HF, and ICD with AUCs of 0.90, 0.88, and 0.87, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS: The proposed risk-stratification model demonstrates high accuracy in predicting events in patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy. The use of a machine-learning risk stratification model may improve patient management, clinical practice, and outcomes in general.

PMID:34280775 | DOI:10.1016/j.compbiomed.2021.104648

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Potential adverse effects of COVID19 vaccines among Iraqi population; a comparison between the three available vaccines in Iraq; a retrospective cross-sectional study

Diabetes Metab Syndr. 2021 Jul 12;15(5):102207. doi: 10.1016/j.dsx.2021.102207. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

AIMS: the objectives of this study are to reveal the potential side effects after taking the covid19 vaccines, associated risk factors with severe side effects, and to compare the three COVID-19 vaccines available in Iraq (Sinopharm, AstraZeneca-Oxford and Pfizer- BioNTech).

METHODS: a randomized cross-sectional study was conducted in April 2021. A standardized questionnaire platform was utilized to collect information about the Iraqi population.

RESULTS: 1012 were enrolled in the study, 60.2% were male and 39.8% were female. 84% were symptomatic post vaccination. Young aged participants, females, participants with history of COVID19 infection, those with comorbid diseases and AstraZeneca vaccine receivers were statistically significant risk factors for having adverse reactions post vaccination, P value (0.03, 0.028, 0.007, 0.019 and 0.0001) respectively. Regarding severity of symptoms, most symptoms were mild and moderate. Residency in Kurdistan Region of Iraq and AstraZeneca vaccine were the statistically significant risk factors for getting severe symptoms P value < 0.0001 of both. Females were an associated risk factor for D-dimer elevation P value = 0.05.

CONCLUSION: fatigue, injection site reactions, fever, myalgia, headache and chills were the most reported side effects. Most symptoms were mild to moderate in term of severity.

PMID:34280733 | DOI:10.1016/j.dsx.2021.102207

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Has mortality risen disproportionately for the least educated?

J Health Econ. 2021 Jul 9;79:102494. doi: 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2021.102494. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

We examine whether the least educated population groups experienced the worst mortality trends at the beginning of the 21st century by measuring changes in mortality across education quartiles. We document sharply differing gender patterns. Among women, mortality trends improved fairly monotonically with education. Conversely, male trends for the lowest three education quartiles were often similar. For both sexes, the gap in mortality between the top 25 percent and the bottom 75 percent is growing. However, there are many groups for whom these patterns are reversed – with better experiences for the less educated – or where the differences are statistically indistinguishable.

PMID:34280727 | DOI:10.1016/j.jhealeco.2021.102494

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Intergenerational upward mobility and racial differences in mortality among young adults: Evidence from county-level analyses

Health Place. 2021 Jul 16;70:102628. doi: 10.1016/j.healthplace.2021.102628. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Inspired by the influential “deaths of despair” narrative, which emphasizes the role of worsening economic opportunity in driving the increasing mortality for non-Hispanic Whites in the recent decades, a rising number of studies have provided suggestive evidence that upward mobility levels across counties may partly explain variations in mortality rates. A gap in the literature is the lack of life-course studies examining the relationship between early-life upward mobility and later-life mortality across counties. Another gap is the lack of studies on how the relationship between upward mobility and mortality across counties varies across diverse sociodemographic populations. This study examines differences across race and sex in the relationship between early-life intergenerational upward mobility and early adulthood mortality at the county level. We use administrative data on upward mobility and vital statistics data on mortality across 3030 counties for those born between 1978 and 1983. We control for a variety of county-level socioeconomic variables in a model with fixed effects for state and year. Subgroup analyses by educational attainment and urban status were also performed for each race-sex combination. Results show strong negative relationships between early-life upward mobility and early adulthood mortality across racial-sex combinations, with a particularly greater magnitude for non-Hispanic Black males. In addition, individuals without a college degree and living in urban counties are particularly affected by early life upward mobility. The findings of this study highlight the vulnerability of less-educated, young urban Black males, due to the intersecting effects of the urban context, education, race, and sex.

PMID:34280713 | DOI:10.1016/j.healthplace.2021.102628

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

A novel strategy based on targeted cellular metabolomics for quantitatively evaluating anti-aging effect and screening effective extracts of Erzhi Wan

J Chromatogr B Analyt Technol Biomed Life Sci. 2021 Jul 10;1178:122857. doi: 10.1016/j.jchromb.2021.122857. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

The complexity of ingredients in traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) makes it challenging to clarify its efficacy in an acceptable and scientific approach. The present study was aimed to use quantification results from targeted cellular metabolomics to evaluate anti-aging efficacy of a famous Chinese medicine formula, Erzhi Wan (EZW), and screen possible effective extracts, depending on the developed strategy integrating multivariate receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and analytic hierarchy process (AHP). In this study, senescent NRK cells induced by D-galactose were treated with drug-containing serum of EZW and four kinds of extracts (petroleum ether, ethyl acetate, butanol and water). Intermediates of two major metabolic pathways for energy synthesis, tricarboxylic acid (TCA) cycle and glycolysis, were accurately quantified by GC-MS/MS to identify discriminate metabolites for clarifying therapeutic mechanism of EZW based on multivariate statistical analysis. Senescent and non-senescent cells were successfully distinguished using these metabolites by ROC curve analysis. Next, these metabolites were used as evaluation indexes to quantitatively reflect different effect of EZW and its extracts, according to the role of them in distinguishing groups and in conjunction with AHP. In vitro detection of senescence-associated β-galactosidase (SA-β-gal) activity was used to verify the reliability of evaluation results. The reversal after treatment of drug-containing serum of EZW and extracts was observed, and the petroleum ether extract might be the potential active extract responsible for the major anti-aging effect of EZW, which was in agreement with in vitro experiments. Altogether, metabolomics was a powerful approach for evaluation efficacy and elucidation action mechanisms of TCM. The integrated evaluation strategy in this paper with properties of high practicality, feasibility and effectivity was expected to provide a new insight into comprehensive and quantitative efficacy evaluation.

PMID:34280712 | DOI:10.1016/j.jchromb.2021.122857

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Deriving a joint risk estimate from dynamic data collected at motorcycle rides

Accid Anal Prev. 2021 Jul 16;159:106297. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2021.106297. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Making motorcycle rides safer by advanced technology is an ongoing challenge in the context of developing driving assistant systems and safety infrastructure. Determining which section of a road and which driving behaviour is “safe” or “unsafe” is rarely possible due to the individual differences in driving experience, driving style, fitness and potentially available assistant systems. This study investigates the feasibility of a new approach to quantify motorcycle riding risk for an experimental sample of bikers by collecting motorcycle-specific dynamic data of several riders on selected road sections. Comparing clustered dynamics with the observed dynamic data at known risk spots, we provide a method to represent individual risk estimates in a single risk map for the investigated road section. This yields a map of potential risk spots, based on an aggregation of individual risk estimates. The risk map is optimized to include most of the previous accident sites, while keeping the overall area classified as risky small. As such, with data collected on a large scale, the presented methodology could guide safety inspections at the highlighted areas of a risk map and be the basis of further studies into the safety relevant differences in driving styles.

PMID:34280694 | DOI:10.1016/j.aap.2021.106297

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Predefined-time synchronization of competitive neural networks

Neural Netw. 2021 Jul 7;142:492-499. doi: 10.1016/j.neunet.2021.06.026. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

In this paper, the predefined-time synchronization of competitive neural networks (CNNs) is researched based on two different predefined-time stability theorems. In view of the bilayer structure of CNNs, we design two bilayer predefined-time controllers. The first controller utilizes sign function, while the second controller utilizes exponential function and Lyapunov function. In these two controllers, the predefined time is set as a controller parameter, and it can be an arbitrary positive constant. Under these two controllers, the considered CNNs can achieve synchronization within the predefined time regardless of the initial values. A specific example is presented to validate the theoretical results.

PMID:34280692 | DOI:10.1016/j.neunet.2021.06.026

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Association between symbol digit modalities test and regional cortex thickness in young adults with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis

Clin Neurol Neurosurg. 2021 Jul 10;207:106805. doi: 10.1016/j.clineuro.2021.106805. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a demyelinating disease of the central nervous system, predominating within young adults. Cognitive disorders are common in MS and have are associated with several Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) markers, especially brain atrophy. Many have found the symbol digit modalities test (SDMT) to be the most sensitive individual cognitive measure relevant to MS. However, the relationship between SDMT and regional brain cortex thickness in young adults with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (YA-RRMS) has been little explored. The purpose of this study was to investigate the association between the SDMT and regional cortex thickness in YA-RRMS by FreeSurfer, which is an automatic brain structure segmentation method.

METHOD: Twenty-eight YA-RRMS patients (18-35 years old) were enrolled in the present study. Informed consent and information including gender, age, disease duration, number of relapses, annual relapse rate was collected from all patients. Clinical cognitive evaluations (SDMT and auditory verbal learning test (AVLT)) and daily performance: activities of daily living (ADL) were assessed in the present study. MRI scans were performed at the Institute of Neurosurgery of Tiantan Hospital. Twenty-eight matched healthy controls (HC) MRI data were obtained from Tiantan Hospital database. Data on thirty-four points of bilateral cortical structure thickness using statistically defined brain regions-of-interest from FreeSurfer were obtained from all participants.

RESULTS: Patients with RRMS exhibited extensively thinner cerebellar cortex compared with HC. SDMT scores were significantly correlated with AVLT subentries (IM, immediate memory; DRM, delayed recall memory; LTRM, long-term recognition memory) in YA-RRMS patients (P < 0.05). SDMT was strongly correlated with regional cortex thickness differences of the right temporal pole (r = 0.68) and bilateral parahippocampal areas (right r = 0.62; left r = 0.60), and moderately correlated with regional cortex thickness differences including the left superior temporal and right insula (r = 0.57 and 0.56, respectively) in YA-RRMS patients.

CONCLUSION: The present study has shown the SDMT is strongly correlated with selected cortex regions including the bilateral parahippocampal area and the right temporal pole which are involved in geometric structures processing.

PMID:34280674 | DOI:10.1016/j.clineuro.2021.106805

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Comparison of blended versus traditional classrooms among undergraduate nursing students: A quasi-experimental study

Nurse Educ Today. 2021 Jul 3;106:105049. doi: 10.1016/j.nedt.2021.105049. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Blended learning is a relatively new educational approach that has been introduced into higher education in Palestine. While it has many advantages, there is no empirical evidence, nor any case studies from Palestine to support the use of blended learning over traditional classroom.

OBJECTIVES: To compare students’ learning outcomes, learning perceptions of their educational environment, and satisfaction of blended learning versus traditional classroom.

DESIGN: A quasi-experimental study.

SETTING: A public university in Palestine.

PARTICIPANTS: 102 Bachelor of Science in nursing students enrolled on the maternal health course.

METHODS: Students freely chose to register for the blended teaching section (49 students) or traditional classroom (53 students), then the teaching method for each section was assigned. Student demographics, course component grades, perceptions of the educational environment, measured by the Arabic version of Dundee Ready Education Environment Measurement (DREEM) inventory, and degree of satisfaction were collected in this study. Descriptive statistics and the Independent Sample t-test were used to analyze the data.

RESULTS: The sample included 49 students in the blended teaching section and 53 students in the traditional section. Overall DREEM scores, Student Perceptions of Learning, and Student Perceptions of Teachers were significantly higher for students taught with the blended method compared to traditional classroom settings. The total DREEM scores were between 101 and 151 for both sections, indicating that all students, regardless of teaching method, had more positive than negative perceptions of their educational environment. Moreover, there was no significant difference in scores and total course GPA (Grade Point Average), both with and without assignment grades, or between blended and traditional learning in first, second and final exams. However, students taught with the blended format scored significantly higher in assignments than students taught the traditional classroom.

CONCLUSIONS: Blended learning can be a useful educational approach in nursing education and Palestinian universities may consider using it for nursing courses.

PMID:34280667 | DOI:10.1016/j.nedt.2021.105049

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Long-term determinants of the seroprevalence of the bluetongue virus in deer species in southern Spain

Res Vet Sci. 2021 Jul 5;139:102-111. doi: 10.1016/j.rvsc.2021.07.001. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Bluetongue is a vector-borne disease affecting domestic and wild ruminants, with a major socioeconomic impact. Endemic circulation of the bluetongue virus serotype 4 (BTV-4) and BTV-1 have occurred in Spain since 2004 and 2007, respectively. However, epidemiological studies have seldom been approached from a long-term perspective in wild ruminants. A total of 881 deer (red deer and fallow deer) were necropsied from 2005 to 2018 as part of the DNP health-monitoring program. Serum samples were tested for antibodies against BTV with the aims of assessing the temporal trend and to evaluate the modulating factors: individual, populational, environmental, and stochastic. Red deer displayed statistically significant higher seroprevalences of BTV (SBT; 78.6 ± 3.8%) than fallow deer (53.1 ± 4.7%). The detection of BTV-1 and BTV-4 by the serum neutralization test in calves suggested the circulation of both serotypes over the study period. For red deer, wet years together with high densities could provide suitable conditions for vector borne BTV transmission. Moreover, proximity to high suitability habitat for Culicoides, permanent pasturelands, was associated with higher SBT. The differences in the ecology and behaviour of deer species influencing the exposure to the vectors could determine the differences found in the SBT patterns. This study evidences the role that deer species may play in the maintenance of BTV, however, elucidating the epidemiological role of host in different contexts as well as the consequences of climate change on the competent vector populations and its potential effect on the dynamics of BTV infection in hosts communities deserve further research.

PMID:34280654 | DOI:10.1016/j.rvsc.2021.07.001