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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Are there sex differences in completeness of death registration and quality of cause of death statistics? Results from a global analysis

BMJ Glob Health. 2021 Oct;6(10):e006660. doi: 10.1136/bmjgh-2021-006660.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Recent studies suggest that more male than female deaths are registered and a higher proportion of female deaths are certified as ‘garbage’ causes (ie, vague or ill-defined causes of limited policy value). This can reduce the utility of sex-specific mortality statistics for governments to address health problems. To assess whether there are sex differences in completeness and quality of data from civil registration and vital statistics systems, we analysed available global death registration and cause of death data.

METHODS: Completeness of death registration for females and males was compared in 112 countries, and in subsets of countries with incomplete death registration. For 64 countries with medical certificate of cause of death data, the level, severity and type of garbage causes was compared between females and males, standardised for the older age distribution and different cause composition of female compared with male deaths.

RESULTS: For 42 countries with completeness of less than 95% (both sexes), average female completeness was 1.2 percentage points (p.p.) lower (95% uncertainty interval (UI) -2.5 to -0.2 p.p.) than for males. Aggregate female completeness for these countries was 7.1 p.p. lower (95% UI -12.2 to -2.0 p.p.; female 72.9%, male 80.1%), due to much higher male completeness in nine countries including India. Garbage causes were higher for females than males in 58 of 64 countries (statistically significant in 48 countries), but only by an average 1.4 p.p. (1.3-1.6 p.p.); results were consistent by severity and type of garbage.

CONCLUSION: Although in most countries analysed there was no clear bias against females in death registration, there was clear evidence in a few countries of systematic undercounting of female deaths which substantially reduces the utility of mortality data. In countries with cause of death data, it was only of marginally poorer quality for females than males.

PMID:34625458 | DOI:10.1136/bmjgh-2021-006660

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Single and Multilevel Lumbar Total Disc Replacement Adjacent to L5-S1 ALIF (Lumbar Hybrid): 6 Years of Follow-up

Int J Spine Surg. 2021 Oct 8:8127. doi: 10.14444/8127. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Single and multilevel lumbar arthroplasty has had excellent results, but the L5-S1 level frequently has pathology that precludes arthroplasty. This study evaluated clinical outcomes and sagittal range of motion (ROM) of operated levels and adjacent motion segments in single- and multiple-level ProDisc-L above a simultaneous L5-S1 fusion (hybrid) after a 2- to 6-year follow-up.

METHODS: In this prospective cohort study, 46 patients underwent simultaneous lumbar total disc replacement (TDR) at one to three levels and anterior lumbar interbody fusion (ALIF) at L5-S1. Twenty-three patients had L5-S1 ALIF + L4-5 TDR, 19 patients had L5-S1 ALIF + two-level TDR, and 4 patients had L5-S1 ALIF + three-level TDR. Oswestry disability index (ODI) and visual analog scores (VAS) of patient satisfaction (VAS-S) and pain (VAS-P) were recorded. Sagittal motion on pre- and postoperative lumbar radiographs at each operative segment and adjacent segment was acquired. Patients were evaluated preoperatively and at 6 weeks, 3 months, 6 months, and annually for 24 to 72 months postoperatively.

RESULTS: For clinical results, there were no differences among the groups for age, gender, body mass index, tobacco use, or worker’s compensation status. At 2-6 years postoperation, all patients had significant reductions in ODI and VAS scores. For radiographic results, at the nonsurgical level adjacent to the TDR + ALIF constructs, the mean preoperative ROM was 9.40 ± 1.80° compared with 10.50 ± 2.25° postoperatively. The mean preoperative ROM at levels undergoing TDR was 10.4 ± 2.71° versus 12.6 ± 2.25° postoperatively. There was no statistically significant difference in ROM at each prosthetic motion segment between patients receiving one-, two-, or three-level TDR. The mean preoperative ROM at the L5-S1 segment to undergo fusion was 2.4 ± 2.44°, with all patients having a postoperative ROM of 0.00°.

CONCLUSIONS: Multilevel TDR above an L5-S1 ALIF (hybrid procedure) preserves ROM at the individual TDR levels and does not reduce the fusion rate of the L5-S1 fused level. Most significantly, the nonoperative adjacent level maintains its preoperative ROM at 2-6 years postoperatively.

PMID:34625452 | DOI:10.14444/8127

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Visual acuity outcomes after cataract surgery in type 2 diabetes: the Action to Control Cardiovascular Risk in Diabetes (ACCORD) study

Br J Ophthalmol. 2021 Jun 18:bjophthalmol-2020-317793. doi: 10.1136/bjophthalmol-2020-317793. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

AIMS: To evaluate visual acuity (VA) outcomes of cataract surgery, and factors associated with good visual outcomes, among a population with diabetes.

METHODS: Participants with type 2 diabetes enrolled in The Action to Control Cardiovascular Risk in Diabetes (ACCORD) study and ACCORD-eye substudy. 1136 eyes of 784 ACCORD participants receiving cataract surgery during follow-up (2001-2014) were included. Of these, 362 eyes had fundus photographs gradable for diabetic retinopathy. The main outcome measure was the achievement of postoperative VA of 20/40 or better.

RESULTS: In the sample of 1136 eyes, 762 eyes (67.1%) achieved good visual outcome of 20/40 or better. Factors predictive of good visual outcome were higher level of educational attainment (college vs some high school, OR 2.35 (95% CI 1.44 to 3.82)), bilateral cataract surgery (OR 1.55 (1.14 to 2.10)) and preoperative VA (20/20 or better vs worse than 20/200, OR 10.59 (4.07 to 27.54)). Factors not significantly associated (p>0.05) included age, sex, race, smoking, diabetes duration, blood pressure, lipid levels and haemoglobin A1C (HbA1C). In the subsample of 362 eyes, absence of diabetic retinopathy was associated with good visual outcome (OR 1.73 (1.02 to 2.94)).

CONCLUSION: Among individuals with diabetes, two-thirds of eyes achieved good visual outcome after cataract surgery. Notable factors associated with visual outcome included preoperative VA and diabetic retinopathy, but not HbA1C, underscoring that while certain ocular measures may help evaluate visual potential, systemic parameters may not be as valuable. Sociodemographic factors might also be important considerations. Although the current visual prognosis after cataract surgery is usually favourable, certain factors still limit the visual potential in those with diabetes.

PMID:34625432 | DOI:10.1136/bjophthalmol-2020-317793

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The Mutational Signature Comprehensive Analysis Toolkit (musicatk) for the discovery, prediction, and exploration of mutational signatures

Cancer Res. 2021 Oct 8:canres.0899.2021. doi: 10.1158/0008-5472.CAN-21-0899. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Mutational signatures are patterns of somatic alterations in the genome caused by carcinogenic exposures or aberrant cellular processes. To provide a comprehensive workflow for preprocessing, analysis, and visualization of mutational signatures, we created the Mutational Signature Comprehensive Analysis Toolkit (musicatk) package. musicatk enables users to select different schemas for counting mutation types and easily combine count tables from different schemas. Multiple distinct methods are available to deconvolute signatures and exposures or to predict exposures in individual samples given a pre-existing set of signatures. Additional exploratory features include the ability to compare signatures to the COSMIC database, embed tumors in two dimensions with UMAP, cluster tumors into subgroups based on exposure frequencies, identify differentially active exposures between tumor subgroups, and plot exposure distributions across user-defined annotations such as tumor type. Overall, musicatk will enable users to gain novel insights into the patterns of mutational signatures observed in cancer cohorts.

PMID:34625425 | DOI:10.1158/0008-5472.CAN-21-0899

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Shingles, Zostavax vaccination and risk of developing dementia: a nested case-control study-results from the UK Biobank cohort

BMJ Open. 2021 Oct 8;11(10):e045871. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2020-045871.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the association between shingles and dementia, and between Zostavax vaccination and dementia.

DESIGN: Nested case-control study.

SETTINGS: Data were drawn from the UK Biobank cohort study with a total of 228 223 participants with Hospital Episodes Statistics and primary care linkage health records.

PARTICIPANTS: The analyses included 2378 incident dementia cases and 225 845 controls. Inclusion criteria for incident cases were a dementia diagnosis 3 years or more after the first assessment date derived from all sources including International Classification of Diseases (ICD)-10, ICD-9, self-report and primary care linkage records. Subjects with no dementia code from all sources were coded as controls. Both shingles and Zostavax vaccination were investigated for their association with dementia risk.

RESULTS: There was a small but non-significant increase in the risk of dementia in subjects with shingles diagnosed 3 years or more prior to dementia diagnosis (OR: 1.088 with 95% CI: 0.978 to 1.211). In those subjects who had had Zostavax vaccination, the risk of dementia significantly decreased (OR: 0.808 with 95% CI: 0.657 to 0.993).

CONCLUSION: A history of shingles was not associated with an increased risk of dementia. In subjects who were eligible for the immunisation and vaccinated with Zostavax, we saw reduced risk of developing dementia.

PMID:34625411 | DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2020-045871

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Helpers help people with intellectual and developmental disabilities and hypertension to understand their condition and the need to adhere to anti-hypertensive medication

Disabil Health J. 2021 Oct 4:101219. doi: 10.1016/j.dhjo.2021.101219. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Recent evidence suggests that many adults with intellectual and developmental disabilities (IDD) do not adequately manage hypertension (HTN) medication. Known risk factors for insufficient prescription filling include age, residential placement, and lack of caregiver support. This is a first report of a randomized intervention trial designed to analyze the relationship of a brief educational intervention with increased knowledge about HTN and improvement in prescription filling for anti-hypertensive medication.

OBJECTIVE/HYPOTHESIS: The objective was to test whether an educational flyer and regular messages about HTN and the importance of refilling medication would improve scores on knowledge surveys. Participants were Medicaid members with HTN and IDD (Member) or caregivers (Helpers) who chose to participate on behalf of a Member.

METHODS: Recruitment letters explained that either the Member or their Helper could participate (not both). Participants were randomly assigned to the Case or Comparison group, and both were comprised of Members and Helpers. Only Case participants received a flyer and monthly HTN education messages for one year, but all participants completed knowledge surveys at baseline, six, and 12 months. Linear regression and log-binomial models were used to compare responses between groups.

RESULTS: Case Helpers had statistically significant improvements on HTN knowledge from baseline through the first year, compared to Comparison Members and Comparison Helpers. Regardless of group assignment, Helpers scored better on surveys than did Members.

CONCLUSIONS: This study suggests that it is beneficial to explicitly include Helpers in health care instruction and in management of chronic disease for adults with IDD.

PMID:34625396 | DOI:10.1016/j.dhjo.2021.101219

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding due to portal hypertension in children: What is the best timing of endoscopy?

Dig Liver Dis. 2021 Oct 5:S1590-8658(21)00779-9. doi: 10.1016/j.dld.2021.09.010. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To compare initial clinical/laboratory parameters and outcomes of mortality/rebleeding of endoscopy performed <12 h(early UGIE) versus endoscopy performed after 12-24h(late UGIE) of ED admission in children with acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding(AUGIB) due to portal hypertension.

METHODS: This is a retrospective cohort study. From January 2010 to July 2017, medical records of all children admitted to a tertiary care hospital with AUGIB due to portal hypertension were reviewed until 60 days after ED admission.

RESULTS: A total of 98 ED admissions occurred from 73 patients. Rebleeding was identified in 8/98(8%) episodes, and 9 deaths were observed. UGIE was performed in 92(94%) episodes, and 53(58%) of them occurred within 12 h of ED admission. Episodes with early UGIE and late UGIE were similar in terms of history/complaints/laboratory data at admission, chronic liver disease associated, AUGIB duration, and initial management. No statistically significant associations were found between early UGIE and the outcomes of death/rebleeding and prevalence of endoscopic hemostatic treatment (band ligation or sclerotherapy) compared to late UGIE. In the multivariable logistic regression model, the endoscopic hemostatic treatment showed a negative association with early UGIE(OR=0.33;95%CI=0.1-0.9;p = 0.04).

CONCLUSIONS: This study suggests that in pediatric patients with AUGIB and portal hypertension, UGIE may be performed after 12-24 h without harm to the patient, facilitating better initial clinical stabilization/treatment and optimization of resources.

PMID:34625365 | DOI:10.1016/j.dld.2021.09.010

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The association between triglyceride-glucose index and major adverse cardiovascular events in patients with acute coronary syndrome – dose-response meta-analysis

Nutr Metab Cardiovasc Dis. 2021 Aug 12:S0939-4753(21)00395-1. doi: 10.1016/j.numecd.2021.08.026. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Triglyceride-Glucose (TyG) index is an accurate biomarker of insulin resistance, which is potentially associated with adverse cardiovascular events. We aimed to assess the dose-response relationship between Triglyceride-Glucose (TyG) Index and Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events (MACE) in patients with Acute Coronary Syndrome (ACS).

METHODS AND RESULTS: A systematic literature search was performed using PubMed, Scopus, and Embase for records published from the inception up until 7 February 2021. Studies that fulfilled all of these criteria were included: 1) prospective or retrospective observational studies reporting patients with ACS and 2) assessing the impact of TyG index on MACE with at least three quantitative classifications. The outcome of interest is MACE across the TyG index intervals. MACE was a composite of all-cause mortality, myocardial infarction, unstable angina pectoris, target vessel revascularization, cerebrovascular accidents, and heart failure. The effect estimates were reported as relative risks (RRs). There are 13,684 subjects from 4 studies included in this meta-analysis. This meta-analysis showed that the highest category of TyG index was associated with twofold MACE (RR 2.09 [1.59, 2.76], p < 0.001; I2: 68.4%, p = 0.02) compared to the lowest category in patients with ACS. Dose-response meta-analysis showed that the relationship between TyG index and MACE was non-linear (p < 0.001), with statistical significance reached around TyG index 8.9 and increased non-linearly. The dose-response curve became significantly steeper after TyG index of 9.1-9.2.

CONCLUSION: TyG index was associated with MACE in patients with ACS in a non-linear fashion.

PROSPERO: CRD42021235765.

PMID:34625361 | DOI:10.1016/j.numecd.2021.08.026

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Impact of body mass index on the outcome of Japanese patients with cardiovascular diseases and/or risk factors hospitalized with COVID-19 infection

J Cardiol. 2021 Sep 28:S0914-5087(21)00255-0. doi: 10.1016/j.jjcc.2021.09.013. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Obesity is reported to be a predictor of adverse clinical events in coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Western countries. However, there are limited data reported regarding the prognostic impact of obesity in Asian patients. We investigated the relationship between body mass index (BMI) and in-hospital outcomes in 580 Japanese patients with cardiovascular disease and/or risk factors and who were admitted for COVID-19 infection using data from 49 hospitals in Japan.

METHODS: We analyzed data from the Clinical Outcomes of COVID-19 Infection in Hospitalized Patients with Cardiovascular Disease and/or Risk Factors (CLAVIS-COVID) registry. BMI was classified into four groups accordance with the definition of the Japan Society for the Study of Obesity, as follows: underweight, <18.5 kg/m2; normal range, 18.5 to <25 kg/m2; pre-obese, 25 to 30 kg/m2; and obese, ≥30 kg/m2.

RESULTS: In-hospital death occurred in 15.0% (n=87) of the patients and intubation was performed for 139 (24.0%) patients. In a multivariate analysis, we found a significant association between higher BMI and in-hospital mortality [underweight: hazard ratio (HR) 0.47, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.23-0.97; p=0.041; pre-obese: HR 1.46, 95%CI 0.84-2.55; p=0.18; and obese: HR 3.28, 95%CI 1.34-8.02; p=0.009 vs. normal range]. In contrast, the association between BMI and the intubation rate was not statistically significant.

CONCLUSIONS: Obesity was associated with a stepwise increase in the risk of in-hospital mortality in Japanese patients with COVID-19 infection. The threshold BMI for the increased risk of a worse outcome was 30, which was much lower in comparison to Western countries.

PMID:34625315 | DOI:10.1016/j.jjcc.2021.09.013

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Kiaer and the rebirth of the representative method: A case-study in controversy management at the International Statistical Institute (1895-1903)

J Hist Behav Sci. 2021 Oct 8. doi: 10.1002/jhbs.22145. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Anders N. Kiaer (1838-1919), the director of Norway’s Central Bureau of Statistics between 1877 and 1913, was the foremost promoter, at the turn of the 20th century, of the rebirth of what came to be known as the “representative method” or sample survey. His advocacy of a methodology that had been abandoned at the beginning of the 19th century in favor of complete enumeration (the census) provoked a controversy at the International Statistical Institute (ISI) when he first presented it in 1895. Yet, it was “recommended” in fairly short order, by 1903. This was the result of a convergence of factors that prevented the dispute from degenerating into a full-blown conflict and facilitated continuing the discussion while preventing a potential break-up of the association. To understand how this came about, the paper examines (1) the role of the historical background from which the ISI emerged; (2) the epistemic beliefs that informed the ISI members in their daily professional practice; (3) the social structure of the ISI and its “ethos”; (4) the professional standing Kiaer enjoyed within the international statistical community. This is a case-study in the sociology of how and why some scientific practices initially seen as “dangerous” gain acceptance and become part of science’s lore.

PMID:34624935 | DOI:10.1002/jhbs.22145