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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Do automatic push notifications improve patient flow in the emergency department? analysis of an ED in a large medical center in Israel

PLoS One. 2021 Oct 7;16(10):e0258169. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0258169. eCollection 2021.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Congestion in emergency departments [ED] is a significant challenge worldwide. Any delay in the timely and immediate medical care provided in the ED can affect patient morbidity and mortality. Our research analyzed the use of an innovative platform to improve patient navigation in the ED, as well as provide updated information about their care. Our hope is that this can improve ED efficiency and improve overall patient care.

OBJECTIVE: The primary objective of our study was to determine whether the use of an automatic push notification system can shorten ‘length of stay’ (LOS) in the ED, improve patient flow, and decrease ED patient load.

METHODS: This was a prospective cohort study utilizing data extrapolated from the electronic medical records of 2972 patients who visited the walk-in ED of a large-scale central hospital in Israel from January 17, 2021 to March 15, 2021. During this period, the automatic push text notification system was activated on a week-on week-off basis. We compared data from our experimental group with the control group.

RESULTS: The results of this study indicate that the use of an automatic push notification system had a minimal impact on specific parameters of ED patient flow. Apart from a few significant reductions of specific timed-intervals during patients’ ED visit, the majority of results were not statistically significant.

CONCLUSION: This study concluded that the anticipated benefits of a push text notification system in the ED do not, at this stage, justify the system’s additional cost. We recommend a follow-up study to further investigate other possible benefits.

PMID:34618849 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0258169

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Could the 2010 HIV outbreak in Athens, Greece have been prevented? A mathematical modeling study

PLoS One. 2021 Oct 7;16(10):e0258267. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0258267. eCollection 2021.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: In 2009 and 2010, Athens, Greece experienced a hepatitis C virus (HCV) and a Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) outbreak among People Who Inject Drugs (PWID), respectively. The HCV outbreak was not detected, while that of HIV was identified in 2011. The integrated HIV-interventions, launched in early 2012, managed to reduce directly the HIV incidence and indirectly the HCV incidence. This study aims to assess what would have been the course of the HIV outbreak and its associated economic consequences if the 2009 HCV outbreak had been detected and integrated interventions had been initiated 1- or 2-years earlier.

METHODS: The model was calibrated to reproduce the observed HIV epidemiological and clinical parameters among PWID of Athens, Greece. We examined the effect of the 1- or 2-years earlier detection scenarios, the 1-year later detection, the non-detection scenario, and compared them to the status quo scenario.

RESULTS: Cumulative HIV cases, under the status-quo scenario during 2009-2019, were 1360 (90% Credible intervals: 290, 2470). If the HCV outbreak had been detected 1- or 2- years earlier, with immediate initiation of integrated interventions, 740 and 1110 HIV cases could be averted by 2019, respectively. Regarding the costs, if there was an efficient notification system to detect the HCV outbreak 1 or 2 years earlier, 35.2-53.2 million euros could be saved compared to the status quo by 2019.

CONCLUSIONS: If the HCV outbreak had been detected and promptly addressed, the HIV outbreak would have been prevented and 35.2-53.2 million euros could have been saved.

PMID:34618836 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0258267

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Platelet count and abdominal dynamic CT are useful in predicting and screening for gastroesophageal varices after Fontan surgery

PLoS One. 2021 Oct 7;16(10):e0257441. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0257441. eCollection 2021.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Patients who undergo Fontan surgery for complex cardiac anomalies are prone to developing liver and gastrointestinal complications. In particular, gastroesophageal varices (GEVs) can occur, but their prevalence is unknown. We aimed to elucidate the occurrence of GEVs and the predicting parameters of GEVs in these patients.

MATERIALS AND METHODS: Twenty-seven patients (median age, 14.8 years; median time since surgery, 12.9 years) who had undergone the Fontan surgery and were examined by abdominal dynamic computed tomography (CT) for the routine follow-up were included in the study. Radiological findings including GEVs and extraintestinal complications were retrospectively evaluated by experienced radiologists in a blinded manner. Relationships between blood-biochemical and demographic parameters and the presence of GEVs were statistically analyzed.

RESULTS: Dynamic CT revealed gastric varices (n = 3, 11.1%), esophageal varices (n = 1, 3.7%), and gastrorenal shunts (n = 5, 18.5%). All patients with gastric varices had gastrorenal shunts. All gastric varices were endoscopically confirmed as being isolated and enlarged, with indications for preventive interventional therapy. A platelet count lower than 119 × 109 /L was identified as a predictor of GEV (area under the receiver operating curve, 0.946; sensitivity, 100%; and specificity, 87%).

CONCLUSIONS: GEVs are important complications that should not be ignored in patients who have undergone a Fontan procedure. Platelet counts lower than 119 × 109 /L may help to prompt patient screening by using abdominal dynamic CT to identify GEVs and their draining collateral veins in these patients.

PMID:34618830 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0257441

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Magnitude of metabolic syndrome in Gondar town, Northwest Ethiopia: A community-based cross-sectional study

PLoS One. 2021 Oct 7;16(10):e0257306. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0257306. eCollection 2021.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Metabolic syndrome (MetS) is becoming a major public health problem globally; it is clear that the burden of MetS is rapidly increasing the rates of non-communicable diseases (NCD). In Ethiopia studies done so far have shown a large disparity in magnitude of the prevalence of MetS and were mainly institution-based studies. Therefore, this study assess the prevalence of MetS among adults who are residing in Gondar city using Adult Treatment Panel III (ATP III) and the International Diabetes Federation (IDF) assessment tool. The findings are imperative to developing and strengthening national NCD prevention and control programs.

METHODS: This study was conducted in Gondar city Northwest Ethiopia in 2018. It employs a community-based cross-sectional study design among 3,227 individuals 18 years of age or older. Data was collected using the WHO stepwise tool, lipid profile, blood pressure (BP), waist circumference (WC) body mass index (BMI), fasting blood glucose levels (FG), and anthropometric measurements. The prevalence estimation was made along with a 95% confidence interval (CI). The Kappa statistic was used to analyze the statistical agreement between ATP III and IDF definitions of the MetS. Stratified analysis was also performed for description and analysis components using ATP III and IDF as an outcome.

RESULT: Of the total study participants (3227), 3059 (94.8%) were included in the final analysis and 52.5% were female. The mean (±SD) age of the study participant was 40.8 years (16.2 ±SD). The overall prevalence of MetS using ATP III was 11.2% [95%CI: 10.1, 12.3] and using IDF was 11.9% [95%CI: 10.8, 13.2]. The sex-specific proportion was high in females rather than males irrespective of the criteria. The overall level of agreement between ATP III and IDF prevalence was 91.7% and the Kappa statistics was 0.594. Older age, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, body mass index, being female, born in an urban area, consumption of an alcoholic drink in the preceding 30 days, and non-fasting practice was significantly associated with MetS.

CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATION: There was a higher prevalence of metabolic syndrome among females than males irrespective of metabolic syndrome diagnostic criteria. This also shows good agreement between ATP III and IDF. Being female, urban birthplace, frequent alcohol consumption in the last 30 days, and non-fasting practice are factors associated with higher rates of metabolic syndrome. Hence, awareness campaigns, physical exercise, and nutrition education intervention should be undertaken to promote health behavioral practice.

PMID:34618823 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0257306

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Combined application of zinc and silicon alleviates terminal drought stress in wheat by triggering morpho-physiological and antioxidants defense mechanisms

PLoS One. 2021 Oct 7;16(10):e0256984. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0256984. eCollection 2021.

ABSTRACT

Wheat is an important global staple food crop; however, its productivity is severely hampered by changing climate. Erratic rain patterns cause terminal drought stress, which affect reproductive development and crop yield. This study investigates the potential and zinc (Zn) and silicon (Si) to ameliorate terminal drought stress in wheat and associated mechanisms. Two different drought stress levels, i.e., control [80% water holding capacity (WHC) was maintained] and terminal drought stress (40% WHC maintained from BBCH growth stage 49 to 83) combined with five foliar-applied Zn-Si combinations (i.e., control, water spray, 4 mM Zn, 40 mM Si, 4 mM Zn + 40 mM Si applied 7 days after the initiation of drought stress). Results revealed that application of Zn and Si improved chlorophyll and relative water contents under well-watered conditions and terminal drought stress. Foliar application of Si and Zn had significant effect on antioxidant defense mechanism, proline and soluble protein, which showed that application of Si and Zn ameliorated the effects of terminal drought stress mainly by regulating antioxidant defense mechanism, and production of proline and soluble proteins. Combined application of Zn and Si resulted in the highest improvement in growth and antioxidant defense. The application of Zn and Si improved yield and related traits, both under well-watered conditions and terminal drought stress. The highest yield and related traits were recorded for combined application of Zn and Si. For grain and biological yield differences among sole and combined Zn-Si application were statistically non-significant (p>0.05). In conclusion, combined application of Zn-Si ameliorated the adverse effects of terminal drought stress by improving yield through regulating antioxidant mechanism and production of proline and soluble proteins. Results provide valuable insights for further cross talk between Zn-Si regulatory pathways to enhance grain biofortification.

PMID:34618822 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0256984

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

A field guide to cultivating computational biology

PLoS Biol. 2021 Oct 7;19(10):e3001419. doi: 10.1371/journal.pbio.3001419. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Evolving in sync with the computation revolution over the past 30 years, computational biology has emerged as a mature scientific field. While the field has made major contributions toward improving scientific knowledge and human health, individual computational biology practitioners at various institutions often languish in career development. As optimistic biologists passionate about the future of our field, we propose solutions for both eager and reluctant individual scientists, institutions, publishers, funding agencies, and educators to fully embrace computational biology. We believe that in order to pave the way for the next generation of discoveries, we need to improve recognition for computational biologists and better align pathways of career success with pathways of scientific progress. With 10 outlined steps, we call on all adjacent fields to move away from the traditional individual, single-discipline investigator research model and embrace multidisciplinary, data-driven, team science.

PMID:34618807 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pbio.3001419

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Effectiveness and Safety of Inelastic vs. Elastic Lumbosacral Orthoses on Low Back Pain Prevention in Healthy Nurses: A Randomized Controlled Trial

Spine (Phila Pa 1976). 2021 Oct 5. doi: 10.1097/BRS.0000000000004258. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

STUDY DESIGN: A randomized controlled trial.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the effects of inelastic and elastic lumbosacral orthoses (LSOs) on the prevention of low back pain (LBP) in healthy nurses.

SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA: Over 80% of people experience LBP during their lifetime. LSOs, as a device used to maintain lumbar stability, were widely used in LBP management. The effects of inelastic LSOs (iLSOs) and elastic LSOs (eLSOs) on the prevention of LBP are controversial.

METHODS: A randomized clinical trial recruiting healthy nurses was conducted from November 2011 to June 2013 at a tertiary hospital in China. A total of 300 eligible participants aged 20 to 25 years were randomly assigned to iLSO, eLSO, or control groups. The intervention period was six months, and follow-ups were continued for an additional six months. Participants in both iLSO and eLSO groups were required to wear LSOs daily. Outcomes included the incidence of LBP, changes in trunk muscle endurance, and spinal range of motion (ROM) assessed at baseline, 6 months, and 12 months from the starting date. The incidence of LBP among groups was analyzed by ANOVA. Wilcoxon rank-sum test, Kruskal-Wallis H test, et al were used for secondary outcomes comparison across groups.

RESULTS: 278 out of 300 participants (92.7%) completed the trial. No statistically significant differences were observed in LBP incidence among the three groups. No difference was observed in abdominal/back muscle endurance among groups at six months. In secondary outcome analysis regarding spinal ROM, flexion and extension improved in iLSO groups at 12 months compared with that at baseline (flexion, p = 0.01; extension, p = 0.01), whereas only extension motion improved at 12 months in the eLSO group (p = 0.00).

CONCLUSIONS: Six-month wearing of LSO showed neither a significant difference in preventing LBP nor causing adverse effects to participants.Level of Evidence: 1.

PMID:34618790 | DOI:10.1097/BRS.0000000000004258

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Low attenuation plaque volume on coronary computed tomography angiography is associated with plaque progression

Coron Artery Dis. 2021 Oct 6. doi: 10.1097/MCA.0000000000001103. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Patient-related clinical factors, laboratory factors, and some imaging factors may lead to statistical bias when investigating coronary plaque progression. In this study, we avoided patient characteristics by comparing morphological characteristics of plaque progression and nonprogression within the same patient with multiple plaques.

METHODS: From August 2011 to December 2018, 177 consecutive patients with 424 plaques who were followed with coronary computed tomography angiography (CTA) were reviewed retrospectively. Follow-up images of the plaques were used to determine whether the plaque volume or stenosis grade increased. The plaques were divided into progressive and nonprogressive groups. Logistic regression analysis was used to identify the factors associated with plaque progression. Through clinical follow-up, we analyzed whether the factors associated with plaque progression were related to major adverse cardiac events (MACEs).

RESULTS: There were 223 plaques that progressed during a mean follow-up period of 27.6 ± 15.9 months. The univariate logistic regression model revealed that only low attenuation plaque (LAP) volume (P = 0.02) was associated with plaque progression. After a mean post-CTA follow-up period of 36.7 ± 18.4 months, 37 patients experienced MACEs, and LAP volume was significantly related to future MACEs.

CONCLUSION: Only a high baseline LAP volume was associated with plaque progression, and patients with progressive plaques and a high LAP volume were more likely to have future MACEs. More attention should be given to plaques with LAP volumes larger than 2.4 mm3.

PMID:34618752 | DOI:10.1097/MCA.0000000000001103

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Wide Laminectomy, Segmental Bilateral Laminotomies, or Unilateral Hemi-Laminectomy for Lumbar Spinal Stenosis: Five-year Patient-reported Outcomes in Propensity-matched Cohorts

Spine (Phila Pa 1976). 2021 Nov 1;46(21):1509-1515. doi: 10.1097/BRS.0000000000004043.

ABSTRACT

STUDY DESIGN: Propensity-matched retrospective study of patients prospectively enrolled in Danespine.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to report 5-year patient reported outcome in lumbar spinal stenosis (LSS) patients who underwent wide laminectomy (WL), segmental bilateral laminotomies (SBL), or unilateral hemilaminectomy (UHL) with bilateral decompression.

SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA: The optimal procedure for LSS remains controversial. Studies have shown no difference in short term outcomes among micro-laminectomy, hemi-laminotomies, broad laminectomy, and laminectomy with instrumented fusion.

METHODS: Patients with spinal stenosis who were enrolled in DaneSpine at two spine centers from January 2010 until May 2014 and underwent WL0, SBL, or UHL with bilateral decompression were identified. Patients completed standard questionnaires preoperatively and 1, 2, and 5 years after surgery. Patients in the three cohorts were propensity-matched using age, sex, body mass index (BMI), smoking status, number of surgical levels, American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) score, and patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs).

RESULTS: Propensity matching produced 62 cases in each group. There were no differences in PROM among the three cohorts at five years follow up. Twelve patients were re-operated at the index level. The most frequent indication of reoperation was repeat decompression after SBL. Regression analysis revealed no statistical significant associations between the incidence of reoperation and age, sex, number of operated levels, ASA score, BMI, center, smoking status, or having a dural tear at index operation.

CONCLUSION: This study revealed no significant difference PROMs, reoperation rates or time to reoperation at five years follow up between SBLs, UHL, or WL in patients operated for central LSS.Level of Evidence: 4.

PMID:34618710 | DOI:10.1097/BRS.0000000000004043

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The Relationship of Kinesiophobia with Pain and Quality of Life in Idiopathic Scoliosis

Spine (Phila Pa 1976). 2021 Nov 1;46(21):1455-1460. doi: 10.1097/BRS.0000000000004066.

ABSTRACT

STUDY DESIGN: Prospective, multi-centric, cross-sectional study.

OBJECTIVE: To analyze the construct validity of the Tampa Scale of Kinesiophobia (TSK) in a cohort of patients with adolescent idiopathic scoliosis (AIS).

SUMMARY OF THE BACKGROUND DATA: Back pain is not uncommon in AIS. The fear of movement (kinesiophobia) in response to pain is related to back pain. TSK psychometric properties in AIS patients have not been properly analyzed.

METHODS: Patients with AIS and no prior spine surgery were prospectively included. They fulfilled the Spanish version of the TSK-11 questionnaire, a pain intensity numerical rating scale (NRS), refined SRS-22 (SRS-22r), the Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale (HADS), and item 7 of the Core Outcome Measurement Index (COMI). The sample was split into two groups for the statistical analysis: adolescents and young adults. Cronbach alpha was used to assess internal consistency. Discriminant and concurrent validity were obtained by computing Pearson correlation coefficients between the TSK score and several criterion measures.

RESULTS: A total of 275 patients were included-198 adolescents (mean age of 14.6 yrs) and 77 young adults (mean age of 26.9 yrs). The Cobb of largest curve means were 44.9° and 48.9°, respectively. In the adolescent group, the TSK mean (±SD) was 21.5 (±5.93), with a floor effect of 2.5%. In the adult group, the TSK mean was 24.2 (±6.63), with a floor effect of 3.9%. The ceiling effect was 0% in both groups. Cronbach alphas for the adolescent and adult groups were 0.76 and 0.79, respectively. No correlation was found in any group between the TSK score and the curve magnitude or pattern (Lenke classification). The TSK was significantly correlated with HAD depression and SRS-22r in both groups. However, these correlations were weaker in adolescents. In adults, the TSK also significantly correlates with NRS and work/school absenteeism.

CONCLUSION: The Spanish version of TSK-11 is a reliable and valid instrument to analyze kinesiophobia in AIS. However, the weak correlation between kinesiophobia and pain intensity, disability, and emotional condition in adolescents requires further study.Level of Evidence: 4.

PMID:34618706 | DOI:10.1097/BRS.0000000000004066