Nevin Manimala

BMJ. 2021 Jun 23;373:n1343. doi: 10.1136/bmj.n1343.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To estimate changes in life expectancy in 2010-18 and during the covid-19 pandemic in 2020 across population groups in the United States and to compare outcomes with peer nations.

DESIGN: Simulations of provisional mortality data.

SETTING: US and 16 other high income countries in 2010-18 and 2020, by sex, including an analysis of US outcomes by race and ethnicity.

POPULATION: Data for the US and for 16 other high income countries from the National Center for Health Statistics and the Human Mortality Database, respectively.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Life expectancy at birth, and at ages 25 and 65, by sex, and, in the US only, by race and ethnicity. Analysis excluded 2019 because life table data were not available for many peer countries. Life expectancy in 2020 was estimated by simulating life tables from estimated age specific mortality rates in 2020 and allowing for 10% random error. Estimates for 2020 are reported as medians with fifth and 95th centiles.

RESULTS: Between 2010 and 2018, the gap in life expectancy between the US and the peer country average increased from 1.88 years (78.66 v 80.54 years, respectively) to 3.05 years (78.74 v 81.78 years). Between 2018 and 2020, life expectancy in the US decreased by 1.87 years (to 76.87 years), 8.5 times the average decrease in peer countries (0.22 years), widening the gap to 4.69 years. Life expectancy in the US decreased disproportionately among racial and ethnic minority groups between 2018 and 2020, declining by 3.88, 3.25, and 1.36 years in Hispanic, non-Hispanic Black, and non-Hispanic White populations, respectively. In Hispanic and non-Hispanic Black populations, reductions in life expectancy were 18 and 15 times the average in peer countries, respectively. Progress since 2010 in reducing the gap in life expectancy in the US between Black and White people was erased in 2018-20; life expectancy in Black men reached its lowest level since 1998 (67.73 years), and the longstanding Hispanic life expectancy advantage almost disappeared.

CONCLUSIONS: The US had a much larger decrease in life expectancy between 2018 and 2020 than other high income nations, with pronounced losses among the Hispanic and non-Hispanic Black populations. A longstanding and widening US health disadvantage, high death rates in 2020, and continued inequitable effects on racial and ethnic minority groups are likely the products of longstanding policy choices and systemic racism.

PMID:34162598 | DOI:10.1136/bmj.n1343

Ann Clin Lab Sci. 2021 May;51(3):400-407.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Monoclonal protein (MP) exists in various diseases, and capillary electrophoresis (CE) has been widely used to detect MP. However, there is not much research on the application value of MP in the differential diagnosis of monoclonal gammopathies. This study aimed to explore MP’s cutoff value for the differential diagnosis of multiple myeloma (MM) and other monoclonal gammopathies (MGs).

METHODS: A retrospective analysis of 8167 cases was conducted. Serum MP was detected by CE, and the patients’ clinical information was collected from the clinical database of our hospital.

RESULTS: 985 cases had MP with high peaks, and 91.1% were diagnosed with malignant diseases. The MP showed small peaks in 471 cases, and only 24.4% were diagnosed with malignant diseases. Among the MPs, the IgG-κ type was the most common type, followed by the IgG-λ, IgA-κ, IgA-λ, free λ light chain, IgM-κ, free κ light chain, double clone, and IgM-λ types. Differences in the MP of the IgG, IgA, IgM, and FLC types between the MM group and MGUS group were statistically different (P<0.01). The MP of the IgG, IgA, and FLC types showed clear specificity and sensitivity in discriminating MM from other monoclonal gammopathies in ROC curve analysis. Serum IgM had statistical significance in the differential diagnosis between WM and other MGs (P<0.01). However, there was no statistical significance in the differential diagnosis between MM and other MGs (P=0.140). The cutoff values of the MP of the IgG, IgA, and FLC types were >18.67g/L, >13.86g/L, and >10.15g/L, respectively, for the differential diagnosis of MM and other MGs. The cutoff value of the MP of IgM for the WM diagnosis was >37.75 g/L.

CONCLUSION: CE has good clinical application value in the diagnosis of monoclonal gammopathies, and MP can be used in the differential diagnosis of MM and other monoclonal gammopathies.

PMID:34162571

Respir Investig. 2021 Jun 20:S2212-5345(21)00081-2. doi: 10.1016/j.resinv.2021.05.001. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Asthma patients often feel satisfied with their current treatment, even when they have been diagnosed as uncontrolled by physicians. The present study investigated the differences in the evaluation of asthma control levels between patients and physicians, and the prediction of future risks.

METHODS: Asthma patients receiving inhaled corticosteroid/long-acting beta-2 agonists for 4 weeks or more were enrolled and followed-up for 24 weeks. Asthma control levels were evaluated using the following guidelines: Asthma Prevention and Management Guideline, Japan (JGL) and Global Initiative for Asthma (GINA) by physicians, and the Japan Asthma Control Survey (JACS) and a 6-item Asthma Control Questionnaire (ACQ6) by patients, at weeks 0 and 24. Analysis for predictive factors influencing exacerbation was performed using JGL, GINA, JACS, and ACQ6 at week 0.

RESULTS: A total of 420 patients were enrolled. Comparison of the distribution of asthma control levels assessed by physicians and patients showed no statistically significant difference between JGL and JACS (P = 0.19), suggesting a symmetric distribution, while ACQ6 demonstrated a significant difference versus JGL and GINA (both P < 0.001). The predictive factors for exacerbation were unscheduled visits based on GINA (rate ratio; 0.25, 95% CI; 0.14, 0.44), and the use of oral steroids on 3 consecutive days based on JGL (rate ratio; 0.42, 95% CI 0.22, 0.82) and JACS (rate ratio; 0.22, 95% CI; 0.13, 0,40).

CONCLUSIONS: Our study suggests that evaluation based on treatment guidelines and the questionnaire validated according to the local treatment guidelines is important for improved assessment of asthma control levels and the reduction of future risk.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: UMIN000030419.

PMID:34162527 | DOI:10.1016/j.resinv.2021.05.001

J Pediatr Urol. 2021 Jun 10:S1477-5131(21)00304-1. doi: 10.1016/j.jpurol.2021.06.004. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Incidence of pediatric urinary stone disease (PUSD) has increased over recent decades. Innovations in ureteroscopic technology has expanded the role of endourologic stone management in children. However, there is currently no consensus on the optimal use of ureteroscopy (URS) within the heterogenous PUSD population.

OBJECTIVE: The primary objective was to investigate the rate of 30-day unplanned readmissions in pediatric patients after URS. The secondary objective was to examine the influence of demographic, perioperative, postoperative, and reoperation variables as predictors of an increased risk of unplanned readmission in this sample.

STUDY DESIGN: A secondary analysis was performed on retrospectively collected data from the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program Pediatric between 2015 and 2018. Pediatric patients diagnosed with PUSD and treated with URS were identified. Patients undergoing concurrent or additional surgeries during the URS procedure were excluded. Data on demographic, perioperative, postoperative, and unplanned reoperation variables were examined for their possible influence on 30-day unplanned readmissions. Descriptive statistics were used to characterize the study cohort. Continuous and categorical variables were analyzed using independent samples t-test, one-way ANOVA with Tukey post-hoc test, and Chi-square Tests or Fisher’s Exact Test, respectfully. Multivariate analysis was performed using stepwise logistic regression.

RESULTS: A total of 2510 patients were identified within the study period. The majority of children undergoing URS were between 12 and 18 years of age (66.1%), female (56.9%), and had renal calculi (45.2%). Of these, 162 (6.5%) experienced a 30-day unplanned readmission related to the URS procedure. The most common reasons for an unplanned readmission was urinary tract infection (31.4%), new/unresolved stone (28.3%), and postoperative pain (8.2%). Multivariate modelling showed that females (Relative Risk [RR]: 2.03; 95% Confidence Interval [95%CI]: 1.34-3.07), patients with renal stones (RR: 1.77; 95%CI: 1.10-2.83), and inpatients at the time of surgery (RR: 1.61; 95%CI: 1.03-2.51) were more at risk of an unplanned readmission within 30-days of an URS procedure.

CONCLUSION: This study reports on short-term unplanned readmission rates in pediatric patients who underwent an URS procedure. Further it highlights possible predictors of unplanned readmission rates within a sampling of patients from NSQIP affiliated institutions. The findings from this study can be used to guide future studies around the safe use of URS in pediatric patients.

PMID:34162516 | DOI:10.1016/j.jpurol.2021.06.004

Nutr Metab Cardiovasc Dis. 2021 May 18:S0939-4753(21)00227-1. doi: 10.1016/j.numecd.2021.05.006. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Ideal cardiovascular health (CVH) metrics was associated with stroke, but the causal pathway was poorly investigated. Arterial stiffness was a major factor associated with both ideal CVH metrics and stroke. This study aimed to investigate whether the effect of ideal CVH metrics on stroke was mediated and enhanced by arterial stiffness.

METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 15,297 participants were included in current study. Arterial stiffness was measured by brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV). Causal mediation analyses were used to separate the overall effects of ideal CVH metrics on stroke into indirect effects (mediated by arterial stiffness) and direct effects (mediated through pathways other than arterial stiffness). After a median follow-up of 5.88 years, 324 total stroke events (292 ischemic stroke and 31 hemorrhagic stroke) occurred. Mediation analysis showed 23.94% of the relation between ideal CVH and total stroke was mediated by baPWV (95% confidence interval [CI] of the indirect effect: 0.93-0.95). Further analysis showed the ideal CVH < median combined with baPWV ≥1400 cm/s was associated with the highest risk of total stroke (hazard ratio: 5.62; 95% CI, 3.53-8.96), compared with CVH ≥ median combined with baPWV < 1400 cm/s. Similar results were observed for ischemic stroke, but not for hemorrhagic stroke.

CONCLUSIONS: Arterial stiffness played a mediating role in the associations between ideal CVH metrics and risk of total and ischemic stroke. Combined ideal CVH metrics and baPWV is a reasonable and useful tool for the assessment and prevention of stroke.

PMID:34162503 | DOI:10.1016/j.numecd.2021.05.006

J Obstet Gynaecol Res. 2021 Jun 23. doi: 10.1111/jog.14907. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

AIM: To compare the efficacy and safety of dinoprostone vaginal insert (DVI) alone versus DVI with adjunctive sweeping of membranes (ASM) for induction of labor (IOL).

METHODS: Single-center, prospective, randomized controlled trial; women with singleton term pregnancies, cervical dilation ≥1 and <3 cm, intact membranes allocated to either DVI or DVI with ASM. The primary outcome was vaginal delivery within 24 h of insertion. Secondary outcomes included mean time from insertion to delivery, tachysystole, operative delivery for non-reassuring fetal status (NRFS), tocolytics, fetal outcomes, pain information, and subject satisfaction.

RESULTS: One hundred and four received DVI (Group 1) alone and 104 DVI with ASM (Group 2). The rate of vaginal delivery within 24 h was 53% versus 56%, cesarean rate 8.7% versus 10.6% in Groups 1 and 2 respectively. Although the duration of labor was similar in both groups, about 6% of women required additional ripening with dinoprostone vaginal tablets in Group 2 compared to 11.5% in Group 1 (p-value = 0.2). The frequency of hyperstimulation syndrome, failed induction, analgesic requirements, and fetal outcomes were comparable. The majority (83%-86%) in either cohort were satisfied with their labor experience. Multivariate logistic regression demonstrated a slightly better chance for vaginal delivery within 24 h (odds ratio [OR] 1.22 [95% confidence interval, CI 0.65-2.29]; p-value 0.53] for DVI with ASM, although statistically insignificant. Younger maternal age and multiparity (OR 10.36 [95% CI 4.88-23.67]; p-value <0.0001) contributed to successful IOL.

CONCLUSION: DVI with ASM is at least as efficacious as DVI for cervical ripening with no increase in morbidity. Although DVI with ASM group less often needed additional dinoprostone tablets to complete the process of IOL (p-value = 0.2), adjunctive sweeping has not been shown to have a significant impact on the duration of labor or mode of delivery.

PMID:34162016 | DOI:10.1111/jog.14907

Exp Clin Endocrinol Diabetes. 2021 Jun 23. doi: 10.1055/a-1468-4296. Online ahead of print.

NO ABSTRACT

PMID:34161995 | DOI:10.1055/a-1468-4296

Semin Liver Dis. 2021 Jun 23. doi: 10.1055/s-0041-1730924. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Accurate risk prediction for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) among patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) may guide treatment strategies including initiation of antiviral therapy and also inform implementation of HCC surveillance. There have been 26 risk scores developed to predict HCC in CHB patients with (n = 14) or without (n = 12) receiving antiviral treatment; all of them invariably include age in the scoring formula. Virological biomarkers of replicative activities (i.e., hepatitis B virus DNA level or hepatitis B envelope antigen status) are frequently included in the scores derived from patients with untreated CHB, whereas measurements that gauge severity of liver fibrosis and/or reserve of hepatic function (i.e., cirrhosis diagnosis, liver stiffness measurement, platelet count, or albumin) are essential components in the scores developed from treated patients. External validation is a prerequisite for clinical application but not yet performed for all scores. For the future, higher predictive accuracy may be achieved with machine learning based on more comprehensive data.

PMID:34161993 | DOI:10.1055/s-0041-1730924

J Radiol Prot. 2021 Jun 23. doi: 10.1088/1361-6498/ac0df4. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Epidemiological studies of those exposed occupationally to ionising radiation offer an important opportunity to directly check the assumptions underlying the international system of radiological protection against low-level radiation exposures. Recent nuclear worker studies, notably the International Nuclear Workers Study (INWORKS) and studies of the Mayak workforce in Russia, provide powerful investigations of a wide range of cumulative photon doses received at a low dose-rate over protracted periods, and broadly confirm radiation-related excess risks of leukaemia and solid cancers at around the levels predicted by standard risk models derived mainly from the experience of the Japanese atomic-bomb survivors acutely exposed principally to gamma radiation. However, the slope of the dose-response for solid cancers expressed in terms of the excess relative risk per unit dose, ERR/Gy, differs between INWORKS and Mayak, such that when compared with the slope derived from the atomic-bomb survivors, INWORKS does not provide obvious support for the use in radiological protection of a Dose and Dose-Rate Effectiveness Factor (DDREF) greater than 1 whereas the Mayak workforce apparently does. This difference could be a chance effect, but it could also point to potential problems with these worker studies. Of particular concern is the adequacy of recorded doses received in the early years of operations at older nuclear installations, such as the potential for “missed” photon doses. A further issue is how baseline cancer rates may influence radiation-related excess risks. There is scope for a considerable increase in the statistical power of worker studies, with longer follow-up capturing more deaths and incident cases of cancer, and further workforces being included in collaborative studies, but the difficulties posed by dosimetry questions should not be ignored and need to be the subject of detailed scrutiny.

PMID:34161930 | DOI:10.1088/1361-6498/ac0df4

J Natl Compr Canc Netw. 2021 Jun 22:1-10. doi: 10.6004/jnccn.2020.7683. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Early hospital discharge (EHD) after intensive acute myeloid leukemia (AML) induction chemotherapy has become routine at the University of Washington/Seattle Cancer Care Alliance over the past several years. We assessed the financial implications of EHD over the first 4 years after its broad adoption for patients with AML and other high-grade myeloid neoplasms undergoing AML-like induction chemotherapy.

PATIENTS AND METHODS: We retrospectively compared charges between 189 patients with EHD who received all postinduction inpatient/outpatient care within our care system between August 2014 and July 2018 and 139 medically matched control patients who remained hospitalized for logistical reasons. Charges from the day of initial discharge (patients with EHD) or end of chemotherapy (control patients) until blood count recovery, additional chemotherapy or care transition, hospital discharge (for control patients only), an elapse of 42 days, or death were extracted from financial databases and separated into categories: facility/provider, emergency department, transfusions, laboratory, imaging, pharmacy, and miscellaneous.

RESULTS: Combined charges averaged $4,157/day (range, $905-$13,119/day) for patients with EHD versus $9,248/day (range, $4,363-$48,522/day) for control patients (P<.001). The EHD cohort had lower mean facility/provider, transfusion, laboratory, and pharmacy charges but not imaging or miscellaneous charges. During readmissions, there was no statistically significant difference in daily inpatient charges between the EHD and control cohorts. After multivariable adjustment, average charges were $3,837/day lower for patients with EHD (P<.001).

CONCLUSIONS: Together with previous data from our center showing that EHD is safe and associated with reduced healthcare resource utilization, this study further supports this care approach for AML and other high-grade myeloid neoplasms if infrastructure is available to enable close outpatient follow-up.

PMID:34161925 | DOI:10.6004/jnccn.2020.7683