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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Higher non-HIV-comorbidity burden in long-term survivors

AIDS. 2024 Nov 6. doi: 10.1097/QAD.0000000000004054. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: The possible differences in comorbidity burden were examined between people with longstanding HIV infection and those with shorter HIV duration of the same calendar age.

DESIGN: We performed a single-centre retrospective cohort analysis comparing long-term HIV survivors (LTS) diagnosed with HIV before 1996 (pre-HAART), with an age-matched and gender-matched group diagnosed after 2006 [modern ART era (mART)].

METHODS: Demographic and outcome data up to 1 May 2023 were obtained from electronic health records as well as from digitalized paper charts. Nine comorbidity domains were defined to overlook the comorbidity burden as on 1 May 2023: cardiovascular, musculoskeletal, neurological, oncological, liver, pulmonary, renal, psychiatric/cognitive, and metabolic.

RESULTS: Eighty-eight LTS and 88 people diagnosed in the modern ART era were included in the analysis. Median age in both groups was 60 years. LTS had a higher mean number of comorbidity domains than controls (2.6 vs. 1.9; P = .001). In both LTS and mART groups, metabolic and cardiovascular comorbidity was most prevalent (metabolic 70.5 and 52.3%, respectively, cardiovascular 44.3 and 38.6%, respectively). When stratified according to age, the distribution of the number of comorbidities for LTS roughly resembled the 10 years older mART subgroup. In a multivariate analysis, total ART duration and age were found to be statistically significantly associated with the number of comorbidity domains.

CONCLUSION: Our analysis suggests that LTS have a higher comorbidity burden compared with people diagnosed in the modern ART era of similar calendar age.

PMID:39504387 | DOI:10.1097/QAD.0000000000004054

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Awareness and preparedness of health systems and emergency medicine systems to the climate change challenges and threats: an international survey

Eur J Emerg Med. 2024 Nov 5. doi: 10.1097/MEJ.0000000000001196. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND IMPORTANCE: Climate change is widely recognised as a critical public health challenge.

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to assess the awareness, preparedness and mitigation plans for climate change threats.

DESIGN, SETTINGS AND PARTICIPANTS: A cross-sectional observational study targeting emergency medical societies in different countries was conducted between 15 February and 15 March 2024.

INTERVENTION OR EXPOSURE: The survey featured 16 closed questions on climate change awareness, preparedness and risks. Focus groups of 4-6 members were organised by country. Results were correlated to income levels, United Nations (UN) regional classification and the World Risk Index.

OUTCOME MEASURE AND ANALYSIS: The questions were ranked using a Likert-like scale from 0 to 9 (9 being the highest). Descriptive statistics used central tendency estimators, and inferential analysis used chi-square and Kruskal-Wallis tests, with the significance level set at P < 0.05.

RESULTS: Forty-two focus groups responded, representing 36 countries: 21 (50%) high-income, seven (16.7%) low-income, five (11.9%) lower middle-income and nine (21.4%) upper middle-income countries, representing 31 of the 22 UN regions. According to the World Risk Index, the respondent countries belonged to the different categories as follows: very low risk, 6 (14%); low risk, 8 (19%); medium risk, 5 (12%); high risk, 8 (19%) and very high risk, 14 (34%). The estimated impact of climate change on national health systems had a mean score of 6.75 (SD = 2.16), while on Emergency Medical Systems was 6.96 (SD = 2.05). Overall, assessment and preparedness measures were reported by just 21.4 and 37.6% of respondents, respectively. Analysis by income did not show significant differences, with the exception of food supply. The main differences in the analysis by region were the risks of extreme weather events, vector-borne diseases and wildfires, whereas the World Risk Index was food and chain of supplies. Education and integration of health services were indicated by all as the main mitigation actions.

CONCLUSION: Geographical position and country risk index influence risk perception among focus groups more than income economy, with vector-borne diseases, extreme weather events and food shortages being the threats with the most variability. The most important actions identified to mitigate Climate Change effects are educational and strategic plans.

PMID:39504385 | DOI:10.1097/MEJ.0000000000001196

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Comparison of working memory performance in athletes and non-athletes: a meta-analysis of behavioural studies

Memory. 2024 Nov 6:1-19. doi: 10.1080/09658211.2024.2423812. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

The relationship between sports expertise and working memory (WM) has garnered increasing attention in experimental research. However, no meta-analysis has compared WM performance between athletes and non-athletes. This study addresses this gap by comparing WM performance between these groups and investigating potential moderators. A comprehensive literature search identified 21 studies involving 1455 participants from seven databases, including PubMed, Embase, and ProQuest. Athletes primarily engaged in basketball, football, and fencing, while non-athletes included some identified as sedentary. The risk of bias assessment indicated low risk across most domains. Publication bias, assessed through a funnel plot and statistical tests, showed no significant evidence of bias. The forest plot, using a random effects model, revealed moderate heterogeneity. The overall effect size indicated a statistically significant, albeit small, advantage for athletes over non-athletes (Hedges’ g = 0.30), persisting across sports types and performance levels. Notably, this advantage was more pronounced when athletes were contrasted with a sedentary population (Hedges’ g = 0.63), compared to the analysis where the sedentary population was excluded from the non-athlete reference group (Hedges’ g = 0.15). Our findings indicate a consistent link between sports expertise and improved WM performance, while sedentary lifestyles appear to be associated with WM disadvantages.

PMID:39504358 | DOI:10.1080/09658211.2024.2423812

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Lifetime prevalence of questionable health behaviors and their psychological roots: A preregistered nationally representative survey

PLoS One. 2024 Nov 6;19(11):e0313173. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0313173. eCollection 2024.

ABSTRACT

A growing body of evidence suggests that questionable health behaviors- not following medical recommendations and resorting to non-evidence based treatments-are more frequent than previously thought, and that they seem to have strong psychological roots. We thus aimed to: 1) document the lifetime prevalence of intentional non-adherence to medical recommendations (iNAR) and use of traditional, complementary and alternative medicine (TCAM) in Serbia and 2) understand how they relate to ‘distal’ psychological factors-personality traits and thinking dispositions, and ‘proximal’ factors-a set of beliefs and cognitive biases under the term ‘irrational mindset’. In this preregistered cross-sectional study on a nationally representative sample (N = 1003), we observed high lifetime prevalence of iNAR (91.3%) and TCAM (99.2%). Irrational beliefs, especially magical health beliefs and medical conspiracy theories, were the strongest predictors of TCAM. They also mediated the relation between Disintegration/lower cognitive reflectiveness and TCAM. High Disintegration, and low Conscientiousness predicted iNAR directly, whilst negative experiences with the healthcare system facilitated both types of questionable health practices. The established psychological profile of people prone to questionable health behaviors and the fact they can be tracked to negative experiences with the system can be used to tailor public health communications.

PMID:39504335 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0313173

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Two-parameter dynamics and multistability of a non-smooth railway wheelset system with dry friction damping

Chaos. 2024 Nov 1;34(11):113118. doi: 10.1063/5.0231126.

ABSTRACT

A deep understanding of non-smooth dynamics of vehicle systems, particularly with dry friction damping offer valuable insights into the design and optimization of railway vehicle systems, ultimately enhancing the safety and reliability of railway operations. In this paper, the two-parameter dynamics of a non-smooth railway wheelset system incorporating dry friction damping are investigated. The effect of the crucial parameters on the complexity of the evolution process is comprehensively exposed by identifying different dynamic responses in the two-parameter plane. In addition, the multistability and the various routes transition to chaos for the system are also discussed. It is found that dry friction induces highly complex dynamics in the system, encompassing a range of behaviors such as periodic, quasi-periodic, and chaotic motions. These intricate dynamics are a direct result of the interplay between multiple parameters, such as speed and damping coefficients, which are critical in determining the system’s stability and performance. The presence of multistability further complicates the system, resulting in unpredictable transitions between different motion states.

PMID:39504102 | DOI:10.1063/5.0231126

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Interactions of localized wave and dynamics analysis in the new generalized stochastic fractional potential-KdV equation

Chaos. 2024 Nov 1;34(11):113114. doi: 10.1063/5.0234573.

ABSTRACT

In this paper, we investigate the new generalized stochastic fractional potential-Korteweg-de Vries equation, which describes nonlinear optical solitons and photon propagation in circuits and multicomponent plasmas. Inspired by Kolmogorov-Arnold network and our earlier work, we enhance the improved bilinear neural network method by using a large number of activation functions instead of neurons. This method incorporates the concept of simulating more complicated activation functions with fewer parameters, with more diverse activation functions to generate more complex and rare analytical solutions. On this basis, constraints are introduced into the method, reducing a significant amount of computational workload. We also construct neural network architectures, such as “2-3-1,” “2-2-3-1,” “2-3-3-1,” and “2-3-2-1” using this method. Maple software is employed to obtain many exact analytical solutions by selecting appropriate parameters, such as the superposition of double-period lump solutions, lump-rogue wave solutions, and three interaction solutions. The results show that these solutions exhibit more complex waveforms than those obtained by conventional methods, which is of great significance for the electrical systems and multicomponent fluids to which the equation is applied. This novel method shows significant advantages when applied to fractional-order equations and is expected to be increasingly widely used in the study of nonlinear partial differential equations.

PMID:39504099 | DOI:10.1063/5.0234573

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Vaccination coverage, hesitancy and associated factors: a household survey of a cohort of children born in 2017 and 2018 in urban areas of state capital cities in the Brazilian Northeast

Epidemiol Serv Saude. 2024 Nov 1;33(spe2):e20231298. doi: 10.1590/S2237-96222024v33e20231298.especial2.en. eCollection 2024.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To estimate vaccination coverage and analyze sociodemographic factors associated with non-vaccination in children born in 2017 and 2018 in the state capitals of Northeast Brazil.

METHODS: A household survey using cluster sampling was conducted from 2020-2022 to estimate vaccination coverage and hesitancy. Factors associated with non-vaccination were analyzed using logistic regression to calculate Odds Ratios (OR) and their Confidence Intervals (95%CI).

RESULTS: Natal was the capital with the lowest vaccination coverage, below 75.0% for most immunizers. Teresina had rates equal to or greater than 90.0% for all vaccines. Among those interviewed, 99.1% (95%CI 98.9;99.3) believe that vaccines are important for health; 95.4% (95%CI 95.0;95.8) trust immunobiologicals and 79.6% (95%CI% 78.8;80.3) are not afraid of reactions. Belonging to the highest socioeconomic stratum (adjusted OR: 1.34 – 95%CI 1.20;1.50) was as a factor associated with non-vaccination.

CONCLUSION: Low coverage highlights the need for a better understanding of regional specificities and social inequalities.

PMID:39504081 | DOI:10.1590/S2237-96222024v33e20231298.especial2.en

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Vaccination coverage, barriers and vaccine hesitancy in children up to 24 months old: a population survey in a state capital in the Western Amazon

Epidemiol Serv Saude. 2024 Nov 1;33(spe2):e20231295. doi: 10.1590/S2237-96222024v33e20231295.especial2.en. eCollection 2024.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To estimate vaccination coverage, identify barriers and hesitancy to vaccinating children up to 24 months, born between 2017-2018, living in the urban area of Rio Branco, Acre, Brazil.

METHODS: Population survey carried out from 2020 to 2021, which assessed sociodemographic characteristics and vaccination status among children.

RESULTS: Among 451 included children, vaccination coverage was below 80%. Meningococcal C vaccine had the lowest coverage for administered doses (76.3%; 95%CI 70.5;81.3) and doses on time (27.4%; 95%CI 23.1;32.1). The statements “vaccines cause serious adverse reactions” (26.4%; 95%CI 18.1;36.8) and “you don’t need vaccination for diseases that no longer exist” (22%; 95%CI 15.7;29.8) were the most frequent regarding vaccination hesitancy. Lack of vaccines was the main barrier to care (86.6%; 95%CI 71.8;94.3).

CONCLUSION: Vaccination coverage in children born in 2017-2018 was below the target recommended for the full schedule of administered doses, both valid and timely administered.

PMID:39504080 | DOI:10.1590/S2237-96222024v33e20231295.especial2.en

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Use of private vaccination services by infants in Brazilian municipalities: National Vaccine Coverage Survey 2020

Epidemiol Serv Saude. 2024 Nov 1;33(spe2):e20231203. doi: 10.1590/S2237-96222024v33e20231203.especial2.en. eCollection 2024.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To characterize the use of private services in infant vaccination and assess vaccination coverage according to the service used.

METHODS: : This was a national vaccination survey conducted in 2020 that estimated the use of private vaccination services and vaccination coverage among infants residing in state capitals and 12 inland municipalities.

RESULTS: : Of the 37,801 participants, 25.1% (95%CI 23.2;27.2) used private services at least once, with higher proportions in capitals, larger cities and in the South and Southeast regions. Socioeconomic and demographic differences were identified among families, based on the service used. The coverage for the set of vaccines administered up to 24 months was 60.3% (95%CI 58.6;62.0) in the public service and 59.5% (95%CI 55.9;63.0) in private services, and up-to-date vaccines, 10.3% (95%CI 9.1;11.6) and 9.4% (95%CI 7.4;11.8), respectively.

CONCLUSION: The use of private services was frequent, with low coverage for the set of vaccines, regardless of the type of service used, especially for up-to-date vaccines.

PMID:39504079 | DOI:10.1590/S2237-96222024v33e20231203.especial2.en

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Complete vaccination coverage of children born in 2017-2018, living in urban areas of state capitals and in 12 inland cities in Brazil: a population-based survey from a retrospective cohort study

Epidemiol Serv Saude. 2024 Nov 1;33(spe2):e20231101. doi: 10.1590/S2237-96222024v33e20231101.especial2.en. eCollection 2024.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To estimate vaccination coverage in children born between 2017-2018, living in urban areas of state capitals, the Federal District and 12 inland municipalities in Brazil, and to identify associated factors.

METHODS: This was a household survey conducted between 2020-2022, among children up to 24 months old. Vaccination coverage was estimated according to family, maternal and child characteristics.

RESULTS: Among the 37,801 children in the sample, complete coverage (doses administered) was 60.1% (95%CI 58.6;61.6) and 6.1% (95%CI 5.4;7.0) had not received any vaccines. Coverage was lower among children of mothers with lower level of education (OR = 0.70; 95%CI 0.54;0.90) and in those who experienced delays in receiving any vaccine by 6 months old (OR = 0.28; 95%CI 0.24;0.32).

CONCLUSION: Vaccination coverage is below the expected levels. Effective communication strategies are needed to reinforce the importance of routine vaccination, prevent delays and abandonment of the vaccination schedule, in order to recover the high coverage levels achieved in past decades.

PMID:39504078 | DOI:10.1590/S2237-96222024v33e20231101.especial2.en