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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Natural scenes reveal diverse representations of 2D and 3D body pose in the human brain

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2024 Jun 11;121(24):e2317707121. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2317707121. Epub 2024 Jun 3.

ABSTRACT

Human pose, defined as the spatial relationships between body parts, carries instrumental information supporting the understanding of motion and action of a person. A substantial body of previous work has identified cortical areas responsive to images of bodies and different body parts. However, the neural basis underlying the visual perception of body part relationships has received less attention. To broaden our understanding of body perception, we analyzed high-resolution fMRI responses to a wide range of poses from over 4,000 complex natural scenes. Using ground-truth annotations and an application of three-dimensional (3D) pose reconstruction algorithms, we compared similarity patterns of cortical activity with similarity patterns built from human pose models with different levels of depth availability and viewpoint dependency. Targeting the challenge of explaining variance in complex natural image responses with interpretable models, we achieved statistically significant correlations between pose models and cortical activity patterns (though performance levels are substantially lower than the noise ceiling). We found that the 3D view-independent pose model, compared with two-dimensional models, better captures the activation from distinct cortical areas, including the right posterior superior temporal sulcus (pSTS). These areas, together with other pose-selective regions in the LOTC, form a broader, distributed cortical network with greater view-tolerance in more anterior patches. We interpret these findings in light of the computational complexity of natural body images, the wide range of visual tasks supported by pose structures, and possible shared principles for view-invariant processing between articulated objects and ordinary, rigid objects.

PMID:38830105 | DOI:10.1073/pnas.2317707121

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Tree rings reveal the transient risk of extinction hidden inside climate envelope forecasts

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2024 Jun 11;121(24):e2315700121. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2315700121. Epub 2024 Jun 3.

ABSTRACT

Given the importance of climate in shaping species’ geographic distributions, climate change poses an existential threat to biodiversity. Climate envelope modeling, the predominant approach used to quantify this threat, presumes that individuals in populations respond to climate variability and change according to species-level responses inferred from spatial occurrence data-such that individuals at the cool edge of a species’ distribution should benefit from warming (the “leading edge”), whereas individuals at the warm edge should suffer (the “trailing edge”). Using 1,558 tree-ring time series of an aridland pine (Pinus edulis) collected at 977 locations across the species’ distribution, we found that trees everywhere grow less in warmer-than-average and drier-than-average years. Ubiquitous negative temperature sensitivity indicates that individuals across the entire distribution should suffer with warming-the entire distribution is a trailing edge. Species-level responses to spatial climate variation are opposite in sign to individual-scale responses to time-varying climate for approximately half the species’ distribution with respect to temperature and the majority of the species’ distribution with respect to precipitation. These findings, added to evidence from the literature for scale-dependent climate responses in hundreds of species, suggest that correlative, equilibrium-based range forecasts may fail to accurately represent how individuals in populations will be impacted by changing climate. A scale-dependent view of the impact of climate change on biodiversity highlights the transient risk of extinction hidden inside climate envelope forecasts and the importance of evolution in rescuing species from extinction whenever local climate variability and change exceeds individual-scale climate tolerances.

PMID:38830099 | DOI:10.1073/pnas.2315700121

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Do digital technologies reduce racially biased reporting? Evidence from NYPD administrative data

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2024 Jun 11;121(24):e2402375121. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2402375121. Epub 2024 Jun 3.

ABSTRACT

Recent work has emphasized the disproportionate bias faced by minorities when interacting with law enforcement. However, research on the topic has been hampered by biased sampling in administrative data, namely that records of police interactions with citizens only reflect information on the civilians that police elect to investigate, and not civilians that police observe but do not investigate. In this work, we address a related bias in administrative police data which has received less empirical attention, namely reporting biases around investigations that have taken place. Further, we investigate whether digital monitoring tools help mitigate this reporting bias. To do so, we examine changes in reports of interactions between law enforcement and citizens in the wake of the New York City Police Department’s replacement of analog memo books with mobile smartphones. Results from a staggered difference in differences estimation indicate a significant increase in reports of citizen stops once the new smartphones are deployed. Importantly, we observe that the rise is driven by increased reports of “unproductive” stops, stops involving non-White citizens, and stops occurring in areas characterized by a greater concentration of crime and non-White residents. These results reinforce the recent observation that prior work has likely underestimated the extent of racial bias in policing. Further, they highlight that the implementation of digital monitoring tools can mitigate the issue to some extent.

PMID:38830090 | DOI:10.1073/pnas.2402375121

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Prognostication in Neurocritical Care

Continuum (Minneap Minn). 2024 Jun 1;30(3):878-903. doi: 10.1212/CON.0000000000001433.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: This article synthesizes the current literature on prognostication in neurocritical care, identifies existing challenges, and proposes future research directions to reduce variability and enhance scientific and patient-centered approaches to neuroprognostication.

LATEST DEVELOPMENTS: Patients with severe acute brain injury often lack the capacity to make their own medical decisions, leaving surrogate decision makers responsible for life-or-death choices. These decisions heavily rely on clinicians’ prognostication, which is still considered an art because of the previous lack of specific guidelines. Consequently, there is significant variability in neuroprognostication practices. This article examines various aspects of neuroprognostication. It explores the cognitive approach to prognostication, highlights the use of statistical modeling such as Bayesian models and machine learning, emphasizes the importance of clinician-family communication during prognostic disclosures, and proposes shared decision making for more patient-centered care.

ESSENTIAL POINTS: This article identifies ongoing challenges in the field and emphasizes the need for future research to ameliorate variability in neuroprognostication. By focusing on scientific methodologies and patient-centered approaches, this research aims to provide guidance and tools that may enhance neuroprognostication in neurocritical care.

PMID:38830074 | DOI:10.1212/CON.0000000000001433

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Comparison of Speech Outcomes Between Speech Therapy Only and Double-Opposing Z-Plasty Combined With Speech Therapy in Patients With Submucous Cleft Palate

J Craniofac Surg. 2024 Jun 3. doi: 10.1097/SCS.0000000000010385. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

The purpose of this study was to compare speech outcomes in patients with submucous cleft palate (SMCP) between speech therapy alone and double-opposing Z-plasty (DOZ) combined with speech therapy. The subjects were 67 patients with SMCP (overt type, 45 males, 22 females), who were divided into the observation group (n=18), the speech therapy group (n=24; duration, 17.8 mo), and the DOZ and speech therapy (DOZ-speech therapy) group (n=25; median age at DOZ, 5.3 years, duration, 18.6 mo). The median age at initial and final speech assessments were 3 and 5 years. After age, sex, syndromic status, duration of speech therapy, surgery timing, and speech outcomes were investigated, statistical analysis was performed. After tailored interventions, both isolated and non-isolated SMCP patients experienced significant improvements in speech outcomes, including nasal emission, hypernasality, compensatory articulation, and unintelligible speech. Since comparable improvements were observed, there were no significant differences in the final assessments regardless of initial speech issues between the speech therapy group and the DOZ-speech therapy group (all P>0.05). In the DOZ-speech therapy group, the rate of achieving “socially acceptable” speech was 92.3% in isolated cases and 90% in non-isolated cases. Multivariate analysis revealed that DOZ showed a tendency to reduce hypernasality, compensatory articulation, and “unintelligible” speech; syndromic or developmental conditions influenced outcomes in nasal emission and hypernasality; and initial hypernasality and compensatory articulation were correlated with outcomes. Therefore, DOZ surgery could be recommended to resolve hypernasality and compensatory articulation in SMCP patients before speech issues worsen.

PMID:38830053 | DOI:10.1097/SCS.0000000000010385

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Efficacy of angiotensin receptor blockers for nocturnal blood pressure reduction: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Ann Med. 2024 Dec;56(1):2362880. doi: 10.1080/07853890.2024.2362880. Epub 2024 Jun 3.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Nocturnal blood pressure (BP) is correlated with an increased risk of cardiovascular events and is an important predictor of cardiovascular death in hypertensive patients.

OBJECTIVE: Nocturnal BP control is of great importance for cardiovascular risk reduction. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to explore the efficacy of angiotensin receptor blockers (ARBs) for nocturnal BP reduction in patients with mild to moderate hypertension.

METHODS: PICOS design structure was used to formulate the data extraction. All statistical calculations and analyses were performed with R.

RESULTS: Seventy-seven studies with 13,314 participants were included. The overall analysis indicated that nocturnal BP drop varied considerably among different ARBs. Allisartan (13.04 [95% CI (-18.41, -7.68)] mmHg), olmesartan (11.67 [95% CI (-14.12, -9.21)] mmHg), telmisartan (11.11 [95% CI (-12.12, -10.11)] mmHg) were associated with greater reduction in nocturnal systolic BP. In the aspect of the nocturnal-diurnal BP drop ratio, only allisartan was greater than 1. While, the variation tendency of last 4-6 h ambulatory BP was basically consistent with nocturnal BP. Additionally, allisartan showed improvement effect in the proportion of patients with dipping BP pattern.

CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrates that for patients with mild to moderate hypertension, allisartan, olmesartan and telmisartan have more advantages in nocturnal BP reduction among the ARBs, while allisartan can reduce nighttime BP more than daytime BP and improve the dipping pattern.

PMID:38830046 | DOI:10.1080/07853890.2024.2362880

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Colorectal cancer screening with fecal immunochemical testing or primary colonoscopy: inequities in diagnostic yield

JNCI Cancer Spectr. 2024 Jun 3:pkae043. doi: 10.1093/jncics/pkae043. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Socioeconomic inequalities in the uptake of colorectal cancer screening are well documented, but the implications on health inequity remain unclear.

METHODS: Sixty-year-olds were randomly recruited from the Swedish population between March, 2014, and March, 2020, and invited to either fecal immunochemical testing (FIT) 2 years apart (n = 60,137) or once-only primary colonoscopy (PCOL; n = 30,400). By linkage to Statistics Sweden’s registries, we obtained socioeconomic data. In each defined socioeconomic group, we estimated the cumulative yield of advanced neoplasia (AN) in each screening arm (intention-to-screen analysis). We predicted the probability of exceeding the yield in the PCOL arm after a third round of FIT: Pr{AN_FIT3>AN_PCOL}.

RESULTS: In the lowest income group, the yield of AN was 1.63% (95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.35% to 1.93%) after two rounds of FIT, in relation to 1.93% (95% CI = 1.49% to 2.40%) in the PCOL arm. We predicted Pr{AN_FIT3>AN_PCOL} = 0.86. In the highest income group, we found a more pronounced yield gap between the two screening strategies, 2.32% (95% CI = 2.15% to 2.49%) vs 3.71% (95% CI = 3.41% to 4.02%), and a very low Pr{AN_FIT3>AN_PCOL} (= 0.02).

CONCLUSIONS: Yields of AN from FIT 2 years apart and PCOL, respectively, were poorer, but differed lesser, in lower socioeconomic groups. The results are valuable for evaluations of health equity in organized screening for colorectal cancer.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov number NCT02078804.

PMID:38830030 | DOI:10.1093/jncics/pkae043

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The relationship between bisphenol A and phthalates with precocious puberty in Vietnamese children

J Pediatr Endocrinol Metab. 2024 Jun 4. doi: 10.1515/jpem-2024-0144. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: This study is aimed to explore the correlation between bisphenol A (BPA) and phthalates, including diethylhexylphthalate (DEHP) and dibutylphthalate (DBP), and precocious puberty (PP).

METHODS: A case-control study was conducted in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam, from November 2021 to April 2022, involving 250 children, with 124 of them diagnosed with PP and 126 serving as controls. We assessed the levels of urinary BPA, DEHP, and DBP in all participants and examined their association with the risk of PP.

RESULTS: BPA was detected in 11.3 % of PP cases but was not found in any individuals in the control group (p<0.001). Diethylhexylphthalate metabolite (MEHP) was not detected in any of the samples. Positive urinary results for dibutylphthalate metabolite (MBP) were observed in 8.1 % of PP cases and 2.4 % in the control group, with an odds ratio of 3.6 (95 % confidence interval: 0.97-13.4, p=0.03).

CONCLUSIONS: The PP group exhibited a higher prevalence of positive urinary BPA and DBP levels compared to the control group.

PMID:38829694 | DOI:10.1515/jpem-2024-0144

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Influencing Factors on Pupillary Light Responses as a Biomarker for Local Retinal Function in a Large Normative Cohort

Invest Ophthalmol Vis Sci. 2024 Jun 3;65(6):3. doi: 10.1167/iovs.65.6.3.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Investigating influencing factors on the pupillary light response (PLR) as a biomarker for local retinal function by providing epidemiological data of a large normative collective and to establish a normative database for the evaluation of chromatic pupil campimetry (CPC).

METHODS: Demographic and ophthalmologic characteristics were captured and PLR parameters of 150 healthy participants (94 women) aged 18 to 79 years (median = 46 years) were measured with L-cone- and rod-favoring CPC protocols. Linear-mixed effects models were performed to determine factors influencing the PLR and optical coherence tomography (OCT) data were correlated with the pupillary function volume.

RESULTS: Relative maximal constriction amplitude (relMCA) and latency under L-cone- and rod-favoring stimulation were statistically significantly affected by the stimulus eccentricity (P < 0.0001, respectively). Iris color and gender did not affect relMCA or latency significantly; visual hemifield, season, and daytime showed only minor influence under few stimulus conditions. Age had a statistically significant effect on latency under rod-specific stimulation with a latency prolongation ≥60 years. Under photopic and scotopic conditions, baseline pupil diameter declined significantly with increasing age (P < 0.0001, respectively). Pupillary function volume and OCT data were not correlated relevantly.

CONCLUSIONS: Stimulus eccentricity had the most relevant impact on relMCA and latency of the PLR during L-cone- and rod-favoring stimulation. Latency is prolonged ≥60 years under scotopic conditions. Considering the large study collective, a representative normative database for relMCA and latency as valid readout parameters for L-cone- and rod-favoring stimulation could be established. This further validates the usability of the PLR in CPC as a biomarker for local retinal function.

PMID:38829669 | DOI:10.1167/iovs.65.6.3

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The Integration of Clinical Trials With the Practice of Medicine: Repairing a House Divided

JAMA. 2024 Jun 3. doi: 10.1001/jama.2024.4088. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

IMPORTANCE: Optimal health care delivery, both now and in the future, requires a continuous loop of knowledge generation, dissemination, and uptake on how best to provide care, not just determining what interventions work but also how best to ensure they are provided to those who need them. The randomized clinical trial (RCT) is the most rigorous instrument to determine what works in health care. However, major issues with both the clinical trials enterprise and the lack of integration of clinical trials with health care delivery compromise medicine’s ability to best serve society.

OBSERVATIONS: In most resource-rich countries, the clinical trials and health care delivery enterprises function as separate entities, with siloed goals, infrastructure, and incentives. Consequently, RCTs are often poorly relevant and responsive to the needs of patients and those responsible for care delivery. At the same time, health care delivery systems are often disengaged from clinical trials and fail to rapidly incorporate knowledge generated from RCTs into practice. Though longstanding, these issues are more pressing given the lessons learned from the COVID-19 pandemic, heightened awareness of the disproportionate impact of poor access to optimal care on vulnerable populations, and the unprecedented opportunity for improvement offered by the digital revolution in health care. Four major areas must be improved. First, especially in the US, greater clarity is required to ensure appropriate regulation and oversight of implementation science, quality improvement, embedded clinical trials, and learning health systems. Second, greater adoption is required of study designs that improve statistical and logistical efficiency and lower the burden on participants and clinicians, allowing trials to be smarter, safer, and faster. Third, RCTs could be considerably more responsive and efficient if they were better integrated with electronic health records. However, this advance first requires greater adoption of standards and processes designed to ensure health data are adequately reliable and accurate and capable of being transferred responsibly and efficiently across platforms and organizations. Fourth, tackling the problems described above requires alignment of stakeholders in the clinical trials and health care delivery enterprises through financial and nonfinancial incentives, which could be enabled by new legislation. Solutions exist for each of these problems, and there are examples of success for each, but there is a failure to implement at adequate scale.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: The gulf between current care and that which could be delivered has arguably never been wider. A key contributor is that the 2 limbs of knowledge generation and implementation-the clinical trials and health care delivery enterprises-operate as a house divided. Better integration of these 2 worlds is key to accelerated improvement in health care delivery.

PMID:38829654 | DOI:10.1001/jama.2024.4088