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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The AccelerAge framework: a new statistical approach to predict biological age based on time-to-event data

Eur J Epidemiol. 2024 Apr 6. doi: 10.1007/s10654-024-01114-8. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Aging is a multifaceted and intricate physiological process characterized by a gradual decline in functional capacity, leading to increased susceptibility to diseases and mortality. While chronological age serves as a strong risk factor for age-related health conditions, considerable heterogeneity exists in the aging trajectories of individuals, suggesting that biological age may provide a more nuanced understanding of the aging process. However, the concept of biological age lacks a clear operationalization, leading to the development of various biological age predictors without a solid statistical foundation. This paper addresses these limitations by proposing a comprehensive operationalization of biological age, introducing the “AccelerAge” framework for predicting biological age, and introducing previously underutilized evaluation measures for assessing the performance of biological age predictors. The AccelerAge framework, based on Accelerated Failure Time (AFT) models, directly models the effect of candidate predictors of aging on an individual’s survival time, aligning with the prevalent metaphor of aging as a clock. We compare predictors based on the AccelerAge framework to a predictor based on the GrimAge predictor, which is considered one of the best-performing biological age predictors, using simulated data as well as data from the UK Biobank and the Leiden Longevity Study. Our approach seeks to establish a robust statistical foundation for biological age clocks, enabling a more accurate and interpretable assessment of an individual’s aging status.

PMID:38581608 | DOI:10.1007/s10654-024-01114-8

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Accuracy of Toric Intraocular Lens Calculators with Predicted and Measured Posterior Corneal Astigmatism Across Different Types of Astigmatism

Ophthalmol Ther. 2024 Apr 6. doi: 10.1007/s40123-024-00931-0. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: This study is a retrospective case series to compare the accuracy of the Barrett toric calculator using predicted posterior corneal astigmatism (PCA) and PCA measurements using swept-source optical coherence tomography (SS-OCT) and a Scheimpflug camera. This evaluation was conducted across different types of anterior and posterior astigmatism.

METHODS: A total of 146 eyes from 146 patients implanted with toric intraocular lenses were included. Mean absolute prediction error, standard deviation of prediction error, and the percentage of eyes with prediction errors within ±0.50 diopters (D) were calculated using vector analysis. Biometric measurements were conducted using the IOLMaster 700 and Pentacam HR. A subgroup analysis was conducted based on the orientation of both anterior and posterior corneal astigmatism.

RESULTS: The Barrett toric calculator with predicted PCA yielded the best results, with 78.1% having a prediction error ≤ 0.50 D, which was a significantly higher percentage than the Barrett formula with the two versions of measured PCA (P < 0.05). In the subgroup with a horizontally steep meridian PCA using the IOLMaster 700, the Barrett formula with predicted PCA yielded the best results, with 78.3% of cases having a prediction error of less than 0.5 D. This percentage was significantly higher than the other two measured PCA subgroups (P < 0.05).

CONCLUSION: The Barrett toric formula with predicted PCA demonstrated a statistically significantly higher proportion of cases with a prediction error ≤ 0.5 D compared to the two measured PCA formulas (from the IOLMaster 700 or Pentacam). This trend persisted even when the posterior corneal astigmatism was horizontally steep.

PMID:38581606 | DOI:10.1007/s40123-024-00931-0

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Comparative analysis of renal calculi treatment via different extracorporeal shock wave lithotripsy (ESWL) pathways

Int Urol Nephrol. 2024 Apr 6. doi: 10.1007/s11255-024-04025-5. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To compare the efficacy and safety of Extracorporeal Shock Wave Lithotripsy (ESWL) for treating renal calculi under different shock wave pathways.

METHODS: This study involved a prospective analysis of clinical data obtained from 264 eligible patients with renal stones treated at the Urology Department of Shanxi Bethune Hospital between January 2021 and June 2023. Among these patients, 125 underwent ESWL via the dorsal shock wave pathway (Group A), while 139 patients underwent ESWL via the ipsilateral clavicular midline shock wave pathway (Group B). Preoperatively, all patients underwent non-contrast abdominal CT (NCCT) scans to assess stone count, diameter, CT values, and Skin-to-Stone Distance (SSD). Intraoperatively, ultrasonography was utilized to remeasure SSD and monitor stone fragmentation continuously. The ESWL procedure employed a standardized intermittent stepwise energy escalation technique until treatment completion. Various metrics, including intraoperative Visual Analog Scale (VAS) pain scores, number of shocks, total shock wave energy, stone-free rate (SFR) at 4 weeks post-operation, and postoperative complication rates, were recorded and subjected to statistical analysis.

RESULTS: There were no statistically significant differences between the two groups regarding gender, age, BMI, stone count, stone diameter, stone CT values, intraoperative VAS pain scores, and postoperative complication rates (P>0.05). Preoperative SSD was significantly higher in Group B than in Group A (P<0.05), but there were no significant differences in intraoperative SSD between the groups (P>0.05). Group B showed significantly lower total shock wave energy and number of shocks compared to Group A (P<0.05). The stone-free rate (SFR) after 4 weeks did not exhibit significant differences between the groups (P>0.05). However, when the stone diameter was ≥1.3 cm, the SFR at 4 weeks post-operation in Group B was significantly higher than in Group A (P<0.05).

CONCLUSION: ESWL emerges as a safe and efficacious approach for treating renal calculi. Our findings suggest that utilizing the ipsilateral clavicular midline shock wave pathway in ESWL necessitates less shock wave energy and enhances efficiency, particularly in cases with larger stone burdens.

PMID:38581588 | DOI:10.1007/s11255-024-04025-5

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Comparative analysis of videofluoroscopy and pulse oximetry for aspiration identification in patients with dysphagia after stroke and non-dysphagics

Eur Arch Otorhinolaryngol. 2024 Apr 6. doi: 10.1007/s00405-024-08613-0. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Dysphagia is a prevalent symptom observed in acute stroke. Several bedside screening tests are employed for the early detection of dysphagia. Pulse oximetry emerges as a practical and supportive method to augment the existing techniques utilized during bedside swallowing assessments. Desaturation levels, as measured by pulse oximetry, are acknowledged as indicative of aspiration by certain screening tests. However, the predictive capability of pulse oximetry in determining aspiration remains a subject of controversy. The objective of this study was to compare aspiration and oxygen desaturation levels by time and aspiration severity in dysphagic patients compared to healthy controls. It also aimed to evaluate the accuracy of pulse oximetry by comparing it with VFSS findings in detecting aspiration in both liquid (IDDSI-0) and semi-solid (IDDSI-4) consistencies.

MATERIALS AND METHODS: Eighty subjects (40 healthy and 40 acute stroke patients) participated. Patients suspected of dysphagia underwent videofluoroscopy as part of the stroke unit’s routine procedure. Baseline SpO2 was measured before VFSS, and stabilized values were recorded. Sequential IDDSI-0 and IDDSI-4 barium tests were conducted with 5 ml boluses. Stabilized SPO2 values were recorded during swallowing and 3-min post-feeding. Patients with non-dysphagia received equal bolus monitoring. Changes in SPO2 during, before, and after swallowing were analyzed for each consistency in both groups.

RESULTS: The study revealed a statistically significant difference in SPO2 between patients with dysphagia and controls for IDDSI-4 and IDSSI-0. In IDDSI-4, 20% of patients experienced SpO2 decrease compared to 2.5% in control group (p = 0.013). For IDDSI-0, 35% of patients showed SpO2 decrease, while none in the control group did (p = 0.0001). Aspiration rates were 2.5% in IDDSI-4 and 57.5% in IDDSI-0. In IDDSI-0, SpO2 decrease significantly correlated with aspiration (p = 0.0001). In IDDSI-4, 20.5% had SpO2 decrease without aspiration, and showing no significant difference (p = 0.613). Penetration-Aspiration Scale scores had no significant association with SpO2 decrease (p = 0.602). Pulse oximetry in IDDSI-4 had limited sensitivity (0%) and positive predictive value, (0%) while in IDDSI-0, it demonstrated acceptable sensitivity (60.9%) and specificity (100%) with good discrimination capability (AUC = 0.83).

CONCLUSIONS: A decrease in SPO2 may indicate potential aspiration but is insufficient alone for detection. This study proposes pulse oximetry as a valuable complementary tool in assessing dysphagia but emphasizes that aspiration cannot be reliably predicted based solely on SpO2 decrease.

PMID:38581573 | DOI:10.1007/s00405-024-08613-0

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Diagnostic accuracy of intrathecal fluorescein versus other radiological modalities in evaluating non-congenital skull base defects: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Eur Arch Otorhinolaryngol. 2024 Apr 6. doi: 10.1007/s00405-024-08603-2. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: The intraoperative detection of cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) leaks during endoscopic skull base surgery is critical to ensure watertight sealed defects. Intrathecal fluorescein (ITF) is a valuable adjunct to intraoperative investigation. Hence, our aim is to summarize the evidence of the efficacy of ITF as an accurate diagnostic modality and reconstruction guide for non-congenital skull base defects.

METHODS: Using the Cochrane Central, MEDLINE, and Embase databases, we identified studies involving the use of ITF in non-congenital CSF leaks which were published until November 2023. The STATA 18 software was used for meta-analysis.

RESULTS: Fourteen studies met the inclusion criteria, in which seven studies were included in the meta-analysis. ITF was used in 1898 (90.3%) of patients, with a detection rate of 88.1%. The overall detection rate of non-congenital CSF leaks among ITF concentrations of 5% and 10% had a statistically significant pooled effect size of 2.6 (95% CI = 2.25, 2.95), while when comparing the ITF to other alternative radiological tests, it was not statistically significant with a mean difference of 0.88 (95% CI = – 0.4, 2.16). Moreover, the pooled prevalence was statistically significant in regards of the complications associated with ITF with an effect size of 0.6 (95% CI = 0.39, 0.82), indicating that 60% of patients who underwent ITF would experience at least one of the measured complications.

CONCLUSION: ITF is considered as an efficient tool in localizing skull base defects. However, there was no significant results when comparing the ITF to other alternative radiological tests. Accordingly, if the ITF intervention is indicated, patients should be carefully selected based on their clinical need.

PMID:38581572 | DOI:10.1007/s00405-024-08603-2

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Association between serum TSH concentration and bone mineral density: an umbrella review

Hormones (Athens). 2024 Apr 6. doi: 10.1007/s42000-024-00555-w. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: The aim of this study was to summarize the results of previous studies, standardize the data, and present new statistical results in order to provide physicians with clinically significant outcomes regarding the association between serum TSH concentration and bone mineral density (BMD).

METHODS: To perform this umbrella review, a systematic search was conducted in which major online medical databases, such as PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, Scopus, Cochrane Library, and Google Scholar, were searched for meta-analyses and systematic reviews regarding the effect of TSH on BMD. Furthermore, all primary studies were screened for statistical analysis.

RESULTS: The statistical outcomes of the present study were based on the data of 75,898 patients. The pooled risk ratio of any kind of fracture in patients with subclinical hyperthyroidism was estimated to be 1.36 (95% CI: 1.18-1.56; p < 0.001). The SMD for BMD in the distal radius in male patients receiving L-thyroxine suppression therapy was estimated to be -0.61 (95% CI: -1.10-(-0.11); p = 0.02). Furthermore, the pooled risk ratio of any fracture in patients receiving L-thyroxine suppression therapy was estimated to be 1.98 (95% CI: 0.98 – 3.98; p = 0.06). In these patients, the BMD may significantly differ from that in non-treated patients. However, the difference depends on the type of bone.

CONCLUSIONS: Our data confirmed that subclinical hyperthyroidism has a detrimental effect on bones, causing decreased BMD. Based on the obtained results, the authors suggest that a reduced TSH serum level itself may be an individual factor associated with decreased BMD and, thus, with a greater risk of bone fracture. Nevertheless, it should be noted that the effects of TSH suppression therapy differ between areas of interest for assessing BMD. Furthermore, the results have shown that this issue may, in specific areas, concern not only postmenopausal women but also male patients. These conclusions should contribute to a careful consideration of the application of TSH suppressive therapy in all patients. Particular attention should be given to patients after DTC, while all the advantages and disadvantages of implementing L-thyroxine therapy should be individually considered.

PMID:38581565 | DOI:10.1007/s42000-024-00555-w

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Extended MRI-based PET motion correction for cardiac PET/MRI

EJNMMI Phys. 2024 Apr 6;11(1):36. doi: 10.1186/s40658-024-00637-z.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: A 2D image navigator (iNAV) based 3D whole-heart sequence has been used to perform MRI and PET non-rigid respiratory motion correction for hybrid PET/MRI. However, only the PET data acquired during the acquisition of the 3D whole-heart MRI is corrected for respiratory motion. This study introduces and evaluates an MRI-based respiratory motion correction method of the complete PET data.

METHODS: Twelve oncology patients scheduled for an additional cardiac 18F-Fluorodeoxyglucose (18F-FDG) PET/MRI and 15 patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) scheduled for cardiac 18F-Choline (18F-FCH) PET/MRI were included. A 2D iNAV recorded the respiratory motion of the myocardium during the 3D whole-heart coronary MR angiography (CMRA) acquisition (~ 10 min). A respiratory belt was used to record the respiratory motion throughout the entire PET/MRI examination (~ 30-90 min). The simultaneously acquired iNAV and respiratory belt signal were used to divide the acquired PET data into 4 bins. The binning was then extended for the complete respiratory belt signal. Data acquired at each bin was reconstructed and combined using iNAV-based motion fields to create a respiratory motion-corrected PET image. Motion-corrected (MC) and non-motion-corrected (NMC) datasets were compared. Gating was also performed to correct cardiac motion. The SUVmax and TBRmax values were calculated for the myocardial wall or a vulnerable coronary plaque for the 18F-FDG and 18F-FCH datasets, respectively.

RESULTS: A pair-wise comparison showed that the SUVmax and TBRmax values of the motion corrected (MC) datasets were significantly higher than those for the non-motion-corrected (NMC) datasets (8.2 ± 1.0 vs 7.5 ± 1.0, p < 0.01 and 1.9 ± 0.2 vs 1.2 ± 0.2, p < 0.01, respectively). In addition, the SUVmax and TBRmax of the motion corrected and gated (MC_G) reconstructions were also higher than that of the non-motion-corrected but gated (NMC_G) datasets, although for the TBRmax this difference was not statistically significant (9.6 ± 1.3 vs 9.1 ± 1.2, p = 0.02 and 2.6 ± 0.3 vs 2.4 ± 0.3, p = 0.16, respectively). The respiratory motion-correction did not lead to a change in the signal to noise ratio.

CONCLUSION: The proposed respiratory motion correction method for hybrid PET/MRI improved the image quality of cardiovascular PET scans by increased SUVmax and TBRmax values while maintaining the signal-to-noise ratio. Trial registration METC162043 registered 01/03/2017.

PMID:38581561 | DOI:10.1186/s40658-024-00637-z

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Gamma camera imaging characteristics of 166Ho and 99mTc used in Selective Internal Radiation Therapy

EJNMMI Phys. 2024 Apr 6;11(1):35. doi: 10.1186/s40658-024-00633-3.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The administration of a 166Ho scout dose is available as an alternative to 99mTc particles for pre-treatment imaging in Selective Internal Radiation Therapy (SIRT). It has been reported that the 166Ho scout dose may be more accurate for the prediction of microsphere distribution and the associated therapy planning. The aim of the current study is to compare the scintigraphic imaging characteristics of both isotopes, considering the objectives of the pre-treatment imaging using clinically geared phantoms.

METHODS: Planar and SPECT/CT images were obtained using a NEMA image quality phantom in different phantom setups and another body-shaped phantom with several inserts. The influence of collimator type, count statistics, dead time effects, isotope properties and patient obesity on spatial resolution, contrast recovery and the detectability of small activity accumulations was investigated. Furthermore, the effects of the imaging characteristics on personalized dosimetry are discussed.

RESULTS: The images with 99mTc showed up to 3 mm better spatial resolution, up to two times higher contrast recovery and significantly lower image noise than those with 166Ho. The contrast-to-noise ratio was up to five times higher for 99mTc than for 166Ho. Only when using 99mTc all activity-filled spheres could be distinguished from the activity-filled background. The measurements mimicking an obese patient resulted in a degraded image quality for both isotopes.

CONCLUSIONS: Our measurements demonstrate better scintigraphic imaging properties for 99mTc compared to 166Ho in terms of spatial resolution, contrast recovery, image noise, and lesion detectability. While the 166Ho scout dose promises better prediction of the microsphere distribution, it is important to consider the inferior imaging characteristics of 166Ho, which may affect individualized treatment planning in SIRT.

PMID:38581559 | DOI:10.1186/s40658-024-00633-3

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Radiomics-based prediction of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease following pancreatoduodenectomy

Surg Today. 2024 Apr 6. doi: 10.1007/s00595-024-02822-0. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Predicting nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) following pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD) is challenging, which delays therapeutic intervention and makes its prevention difficult. We conducted this study to assess the potential application of preoperative computed tomography (CT) radiomics for predicting NAFLD.

METHODS: The subjects of this retrospective study were 186 patients with PD from a single institution. We extracted the predictors of NAFLD after PD statistically from conventional clinical and radiomic features of the estimated remnant pancreas and whole liver region on preoperative nonenhanced CT images. Based on these predictors, we developed a machine-learning predictive model, which integrated clinical and radiomic features. A comparative model used only clinical features as predictors.

RESULTS: The incidence of NAFLD after PD was 43.5%. The variables of the clinicoradiomic model included one shape feature of the pancreas, two texture features of the liver, and sex; the variables of the clinical model were age, sex, and chemoradiotherapy. The accuracy%, precision%, recall%, F1 score, and area under the curve of the two models were 75.0, 72.7, 66.7, 69.6, and 0.80; and 69.6, 68.4, 54.2, 60.5, and 0.69, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS: Preoperative CT-derived radiomic features from the pancreatic and liver regions are promising for the prediction of NAFLD post-PD. Using these features enhances the predictive model, enabling earlier intervention for high-risk patients.

PMID:38581555 | DOI:10.1007/s00595-024-02822-0

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Evaluation of modified fixed dose four-factor prothrombin complex concentrate for warfarin reversal

J Thromb Thrombolysis. 2024 Apr 6. doi: 10.1007/s11239-024-02969-0. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Non-activated four-factor prothrombin complex concentrate (4 F-PCC) has emerged as the preferred reversal strategy for patients on warfarin with life-threatening bleeding. Current dosing recommendations for 4 F-PCC require pre-treatment international normalized ratio (INR) and bodyweight values, resulting in ordering and administration delays. Studies have shown that alternative dosing regimens are safe and efficacious. This retrospective, single-center, pre- and post-protocol analysis was conducted to assess the efficacy of a pharmacist driven modified fixed-dose 4 F-PCC regimen versus package insert weight- and INR-based dosing regimen for warfarin reversal. The primary outcome was achievement of INR less than two. Secondary outcomes included dose and cost of 4 F-PCC, a time analysis, incidence of concomitant vitamin K administration, and incidence of thrombosis within seven days of 4 F-PCC. There were 195 patients included in the analysis, with 74 in the pre-cohort and 121 in the post-cohort. Baseline characteristics were similar between cohorts with the most common indication for warfarin use being atrial fibrillation (48.6% versus 47.1%) and reversal being intracerebral hemorrhage (68.9% versus 43.0%). Achievement of the primary endpoint occurred in 92% versus 95% (p = 0.097) of patients. A statistically significant difference was seen between cohorts regarding median dose and cost of 4 F-PCC administered (p < 0.001). Eleven thromboembolic events occurred with three events in the pre-cohort and eight events in the post-cohort (p = 0.453). A fixed-dose of 1500IU of 4 F-PCC was effective in reversing INR to less than two in most patients regardless of reversal indication with minimal thrombotic risks.

PMID:38581551 | DOI:10.1007/s11239-024-02969-0