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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The automated Greulich and Pyle: a coming-of-age for segmental methods?

Front Artif Intell. 2024 Mar 12;7:1326488. doi: 10.3389/frai.2024.1326488. eCollection 2024.

ABSTRACT

The well-known Greulich and Pyle (GP) method of bone age assessment (BAA) relies on comparing a hand X-ray against templates of discrete maturity classes collected in an atlas. Automated methods have recently shown great success with BAA, especially using deep learning. In this perspective, we first review the success and limitations of various automated BAA methods. We then offer a novel hypothesis: When networks predict bone age that is not aligned with a GP reference class, it is not simply statistical error (although there is that as well); they are picking up nuances in the hand X-ray that lie “outside that class.” In other words, trained networks predict distributions around classes. This raises a natural question: How can we further understand the reasons for a prediction to deviate from the nominal class age? We claim that segmental aging, that is, ratings based on characteristic bone groups can be used to qualify predictions. This so-called segmental GP method has excellent properties: It can not only help identify differential maturity in the hand but also provide a systematic way to extend the use of the current GP atlas to various other populations.

PMID:38533467 | PMC:PMC10963464 | DOI:10.3389/frai.2024.1326488

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Is society caught up in a Death Spiral? Modeling societal demise and its reversal

Front Sociol. 2024 Mar 12;9:1194597. doi: 10.3389/fsoc.2024.1194597. eCollection 2024.

ABSTRACT

Just like an army of ants caught in an ant mill, individuals, groups and even whole societies are sometimes caught up in a Death Spiral, a vicious cycle of self-reinforcing dysfunctional behavior characterized by continuous flawed decision making, myopic single-minded focus on one (set of) solution(s), denial, distrust, micromanagement, dogmatic thinking and learned helplessness. We propose the term Death Spiral Effect to describe this difficult-to-break downward spiral of societal decline. Specifically, in the current theory-building review we aim to: (a) more clearly define and describe the Death Spiral Effect; (b) model the downward spiral of societal decline as well as an upward spiral; (c) describe how and why individuals, groups and even society at large might be caught up in a Death Spiral; and (d) offer a positive way forward in terms of evidence-based solutions to escape the Death Spiral Effect. Management theory hints on the occurrence of this phenomenon and offers turn-around leadership as solution. On a societal level strengthening of democracy may be important. Prior research indicates that historically, two key factors trigger this type of societal decline: rising inequalities creating an upper layer of elites and a lower layer of masses; and dwindling (access to) resources. Historical key markers of societal decline are a steep increase in inequalities, government overreach, over-integration (interdependencies in networks) and a rapidly decreasing trust in institutions and resulting collapse of legitimacy. Important issues that we aim to shed light on are the behavioral underpinnings of decline, as well as the question if and how societal decline can be reversed. We explore the extension of these theories from the company/organization level to the society level, and make use of insights from both micro-, meso-, and macro-level theories (e.g., Complex Adaptive Systems and collapsology, the study of the risks of collapse of industrial civilization) to explain this process of societal demise. Our review furthermore draws on theories such as Social Safety Theory, Conservation of Resources Theory, and management theories that describe the decline and fall of groups, companies and societies, as well as offer ways to reverse this trend.

PMID:38533441 | PMC:PMC10964949 | DOI:10.3389/fsoc.2024.1194597

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Association between SpO2 and the risk of death in elderly T2DM patients with cerebral infarction: a retrospective cohort study

Front Neurol. 2024 Mar 12;15:1344000. doi: 10.3389/fneur.2024.1344000. eCollection 2024.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to evaluate the SpO2 (transcutaneous oxygen saturation) -mortality link in elderly T2DM (diabetes mellitus type 2) patients with cerebral infarction and identify their optimal SpO2 range.

METHODS: In this investigation, we employed a comprehensive approach. Initially, we screened the MIMIC-IV database, identifying elderly T2DM patients with cerebral infarction, utilizing specific ICD-9 and ICD-10 codes. We then harnessed the power of restricted cubic splines to craft a visual representation of the correlation between SpO2 and 1-year mortality. To enhance our analysis, we harnessed Cox multivariate regression, allowing us to compute adjusted hazard ratios (HR) accompanied by 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Additionally, we crafted Cumulative Mortality Curve analyses, augmenting our study by engaging in rigorous subgroup analyses, stratifying our observations based on pertinent covariates.

RESULTS: In this study, 448 elderly T2DM patients with cerebral infarction were included. Within 1-year post-discharge, 161 patients (35.94%) succumbed. Employing Restricted Cubic Spline analysis, a statistically significant U-shaped non-linear relationship between admission ICU SpO2 levels and 1-year mortality was observed (P-value < 0.05). Further analysis indicated that both low and high SpO2 levels increased the mortality risk. Cox multivariate regression analysis, adjusting for potential confounding factors, confirmed the association of low (≤94.5%) and high SpO2 levels (96.5-98.5%) with elevated 1-year mortality risk, particularly notably high SpO2 levels (>98.5%) [HR = 2.06, 95% CI: 1.29-3.29, P-value = 0.002]. The cumulative mortality curves revealed the following SpO2 subgroups from high to low cumulative mortality at the 365th day: normal levels (94.5% < SpO2 ≤ 96.5%), low levels (SpO2 ≤ 94.5%), high levels (96.5% < SpO2 ≤ 98.5%), and notably high levels (>98.5%). Subgroup analysis demonstrated no significant interaction between SpO2 and grouping variables, including Sex, Age, Congestive heart failure, Temperature, and ICU length of stay (LOS-ICU; P-values for interaction were >0.05).

CONCLUSIONS: Striking an optimal balance is paramount, as fixating solely on lower SpO2 limits or neglecting high SpO2 levels may contribute to increased mortality rates. To mitigate mortality risk in elderly T2DM patients with cerebral infarction, we recommend maintaining SpO2 levels within the range of 94.5-96.5%.

PMID:38533418 | PMC:PMC10964770 | DOI:10.3389/fneur.2024.1344000

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Phyllosphere bacterial community dynamics in response to bacterial wildfire disease: succession and interaction patterns

Front Plant Sci. 2024 Mar 12;15:1331443. doi: 10.3389/fpls.2024.1331443. eCollection 2024.

ABSTRACT

Plants interact with complex microbial communities in which microorganisms play different roles in plant development and health. While certain microorganisms may cause disease, others promote nutrient uptake and resistance to stresses through a variety of mechanisms. Developing plant protection measures requires a deeper comprehension of the factors that influence multitrophic interactions and the organization of phyllospheric communities. High-throughput sequencing was used in this work to investigate the effects of climate variables and bacterial wildfire disease on the bacterial community’s composition and assembly in the phyllosphere of tobacco (Nicotiana tabacum L.). The samples from June (M1), July (M2), August (M3), and September (M4) formed statistically separate clusters. The assembly of the whole bacterial population was mostly influenced by stochastic processes. PICRUSt2 predictions revealed genes enriched in the M3, a period when the plant wildfire disease index reached climax, were associated with the development of the wildfire disease (secretion of virulence factor), the enhanced metabolic capacity and environmental adaption. The M3 and M4 microbial communities have more intricate molecular ecological networks (MENs), bursting with interconnections within a densely networked bacterial population. The relative abundances of plant-beneficial and antagonistic microbes Clostridiales, Bacillales, Lactobacillales, and Sphingobacteriales, showed significant decrease in severally diseased sample (M3) compared to the pre-diseased samples (M1/M2). Following the results of MENs, we further test if the correlating bacterial pairs within the MEN have the possibility to share functional genes and we have unraveled 139 entries of such horizontal gene transfer (HGT) events, highlighting the significance of HGT in shaping the adaptive traits of plant-associated bacteria across the MENs, particularly in relation to host colonization and pathogenicity.

PMID:38533399 | PMC:PMC10963427 | DOI:10.3389/fpls.2024.1331443

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Evaluation of the association between glutathione S-transferase polymorphisms and susceptibility to cutaneous melanoma: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Postepy Dermatol Alergol. 2024 Feb;41(1):20-31. doi: 10.5114/ada.2023.135619. Epub 2024 Feb 28.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Glutathione S-transferase (GST) enzymes play a crucial role in detoxification by catalysing the conjugation of many hydrophobic and electrophilic compounds with reduced glutathione. Polymorphisms in GST genes may influence the susceptibility to various cancers, including melanoma.

AIM: We reported a systematic review and meta-analysis to evaluate the association between GST polymorphisms and susceptibility to cutaneous melanoma.

MATERIAL AND METHODS: A comprehensive search of four databases, namely PubMed, Scopus, Cochrane Library, and Web of Science, was conducted to gather pertinent studies up until 24 August 2023. No restrictions were imposed during the search. The analysis included 32 studies and was broken down into subgroups based on ethnicity, control source, control matching, quality score, and sample size.

RESULTS: The forest plot analyses on GSTM1, GSTT1, combined GSTM1/GSTT1, and GSTP1 polymorphisms in relation to melanoma risk showed no statistically significant differences between the case and control groups, except for the recessive model of GSTP1 polymorphism. The analysis revealed significant associations between GSTM1 polymorphisms and melanoma risk in Asians and in studies with a sample size of less than 200. For the combined GSTM1/GSTT1 polymorphisms, a significant association was found in hospital-based controls.

CONCLUSIONS: While this study enhances our understanding of the genetic factors influencing melanoma risk, it also highlights the need for further research. The current evidence is not sufficient to confirm or reject the intervention effect. Future research should consider gene-gene and gene-environment interactions, which could offer a more comprehensive understanding of the complex biology of melanoma.

PMID:38533372 | PMC:PMC10962381 | DOI:10.5114/ada.2023.135619

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Does the effectiveness of biological medications in the treatment for psoriasis depend on the moment of starting therapy? A preliminary study

Postepy Dermatol Alergol. 2024 Feb;41(1):106-112. doi: 10.5114/ada.2024.135917. Epub 2024 Feb 28.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: It is well known that biological medications acting on selected elements of the immune response are highly effective in psoriasis treatment. It is a common perception that psoriasis is a seasonal disorder with improvement in warmer months, however it has not been unequivocally confirmed. It is not known whether the time of year of starting systematic therapy for psoriasis influences treatment outcomes.

MATERIAL AND METHODS: Changes in psoriasis severity scores during treatment with biologics were investigated. The scores were recorded for 62 patients with moderate to severe psoriasis at the beginning, after 1, 4 and 7 months of the therapy. Patients were divided into two groups: those beginning the treatment in the cold period of the year (November-March) and in the warm period (May-September). The seasonal groups were also divided into subgroups according to the type of biologics used: interleukin inhibitors and tumor necrosis factor α (TNF-α) inhibitors. Results of the treatment were analysed using standard statistical tests of differences between samples.

RESULTS: After 1 and 4 months of the therapy, better efficacy of interleukin inhibitors was found in patients starting treatment in summer. The course of psoriasis improvement in patients taking TNF-α inhibitors resulted in consistent improvement regardless of the season. The outcome of the treatment after 7 months was similar for both seasonal groups and types of biologics used.

CONCLUSIONS: Our understanding of the effectiveness of the treatments depending on the time of the year combined with the type of biologics used, may further improve results of the therapy.

PMID:38533365 | PMC:PMC10962378 | DOI:10.5114/ada.2024.135917

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Comparison of the efficacy of Hydroquinone cream versus Hydroquinone cream plus Danggui Shaoyao powder in the treatment of melasma

Postepy Dermatol Alergol. 2024 Feb;41(1):66-71. doi: 10.5114/ada.2023.135613. Epub 2024 Feb 28.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Melasma is an acquired hypermelanosis and occurs in areas exposed to sunlight.

AIM: To investigate the effectiveness of Danggui Shaoyao powder (DSP) as a complementary drug in the treatment of melasma.

MATERIAL AND METHODS: A total of 40 melasma patients over the age of 18 who met the inclusion criteria entered the study randomly in two DSP + Hydroquinone (DSP + H) and Hydroquinone (H) groups.

RESULTS: At the beginning of the study, the average MASI score of the two groups of patients had no statistical difference (DSP + H: 15.79 ±1.01 vs. H: 15.37 ±1.17, p = 0.23). But from the eighth week of treatment, the MASI score of the patients decreased significantly and in the DSP + H group it decreased statistically significantly compared to the H group (DSP + H: 5.83 ±0.97 vs. H: 8.29 ±2.23, p < 0.001 for the eighth week and DSP + H: 3.60 ±0.58 vs. H: 5.52 ±1.73, p < 0.001 for the twelfth week of the treatment). It means after 12 weeks of treatment, the average MASI score of patients in the DSP + H group decreased by 77.26 ±2.70%, but in the grroup H, it decreased by 64.31 ±9.68% (p < 0.001). Dynamic PGA showed that excellent treatment occurred in 65% of the + H group H, but only 20% of the H group (p = 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS: Oral DSP for 12 weeks along with hydroquinone cream can significantly reduce the MASI score of melasma patients and increase the patients’ recovery and satisfaction.

PMID:38533362 | PMC:PMC10962367 | DOI:10.5114/ada.2023.135613

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Comparison of the Medium-term Outcomes of Anterior Lumbar Discectomy and Fusion with Minimally Invasive Transforaminal Lumbar Interbody Fusion: A Retrospective Cohort Study

Orthop Surg. 2024 Mar 26. doi: 10.1111/os.14028. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Lumbar degenerative diseases (LDDs) with huge herniation in the left lateral recess or central canal present challenges for oblique lateral lumbar interbody fusion (OLIF) or endoscope-assisted OLIF procedures. Currently, minimally invasive transforaminal lumbar interbody fusion (MIS-TLIF) is the primary approach for this issue. This study aims to provide a standardized technical description of the anterior lumbar discectomy and fusion (ALDF) and evaluate the medium-term clinical effectiveness of both ALDF and MIS-TLIF techniques.

METHODS: A retrospective review was performed on LDDs who underwent ALDF and MIS-TLIF surgery from January 2018 to January 2020. The evaluation encompassed various clinical outcomes, such as the visual analogue scale (VAS) scores for back pain and leg pain (VAS-back, VAS-leg), the Oswestry disability index (ODI), the 36-item short-form health survey mental component summary (SF-36 MCS), and the physical component summary (SF-36 PCS). Additionally, radiological parameters, including disc height (DH), segmental disk angle (SDA), lumbar lordosis (LL), and cross-sectional area (CSA), were assessed. Data including radiculopathy, estimated blood loss, operation time, time of getting out of bed, fusion rate, and complications were recorded. Student’s independent samples t test and Pearson’s chi-square test were used to compare the differences between groups.

RESULTS: In total, 47 patients were treated by ALDF and 48 patients were treated by MIS-TLIF. The ALDF group exhibited statistically significant lower estimated blood loss and earlier time of getting out of bed compared to the MIS-TLIF group (p < 0.05). The ALDF group demonstrated lower VAS-back scores and a higher remission rate of low back pain 3 years after the surgery (p < 0.05). During the entire follow-up period, the ALDF group exhibited higher increases in DH and SDA compared to the MIS-TLIF group (p < 0.05). At 6 months, the fusion rate in the ALDF group was significantly higher than in the MIS-TLIF group (p < 0.05). The comparison revealed no statistically significant differences in complication rates between the two groups (p > 0.05).

CONCLUSION: The ALDF could be considered as a viable surgical alternative for the treatment of LDDs that necessitate ventral neural direct decompression. ALDF exhibited favorable medium-term outcomes in patients with LDDs, displaying advantages in facilitating expedited recovery, enhancing radiographic outcomes, and elevating the remission rate of low back pain. Although ALDF presents slightly higher complication rates compared to MIS-TLIF, it does not adversely affect clinical outcomes.

PMID:38531809 | DOI:10.1111/os.14028

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The validity of the selection methods for recruitment to UK core psychiatry training: cohort study

BJPsych Bull. 2024 Mar 27:1-10. doi: 10.1192/bjb.2024.9. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

AIMS AND METHOD: Selection into core psychiatry training in the UK uses a computer-delivered Multi-Specialty Recruitment Assessment (MSRA; a situational judgement and clinical problem-solving test) and, previously, a face-to-face Selection Centre. The Selection Centre assessments were suspended during the COVID-19 pandemic. We aimed to evaluate the validity of this selection process using data on 3510 psychiatry applicants. We modelled the ability of the selection scores to predict subsequent performance in the Clinical Assessment of Skills and Competencies (CASC). Sensitivity to demographic characteristics was also estimated.

RESULTS: All selection assessment scores demonstrated positive, statistically significant, independent relationships with CASC performance and were sensitive to demographic factors.

IMPLICATIONS: All selection components showed independent predictive validity. Re-instituting the Selection Centre assessments could be considered, although the costs, potential advantages and disadvantages should be weighed carefully.

PMID:38531805 | DOI:10.1192/bjb.2024.9

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Application of Acoustic Radiation Force Pulse Imaging Technology in the Evaluation of the Efficacy of Calf Intermuscular Vein Thrombosis

Discov Med. 2024 Mar;36(182):591-597. doi: 10.24976/Discov.Med.202436182.55.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The continuous advancement in ultrasound technology has given rise to Acoustic Radiation Force Impulse (ARFI) elastography, which boasts non-invasiveness, ease of operation, rapid inspection, and high accuracy. It has been successfully employed in detecting tissue hardness across various diseases. This study aims to investigate the application of acoustic radiation force pulse imaging technology in evaluating the efficacy of calf intermuscular vein thrombosis.

METHODS: This study is retrospective in nature, involving a total of 120 patients diagnosed with calf intermuscular venous thrombosis (MCVT) who were admitted to our hospital. These patients were selected retrospectively as the subjects for our research. They were subsequently divided into two groups: the control group and the observation group. The control group received standard nursing care and simple pressure therapy, while the observation group underwent anticoagulant drug treatment. The shear wave elastic hardness of both groups was measured, with the recording of ultrasonic elasticity scores and the average elastic modulus value (E-mean, in kPa). Furthermore, a comparison was made between the two groups regarding thrombus disappearance time, blood flow patency, and the clinical treatment effect.

RESULTS: At the 1, 3, and 6-month marks of the treatment period, the ultrasonic elasticity scores in the observation group were consistently higher compared to those in the control group. Additionally, the shear wave elastic hardness in the observation group was consistently lower than that in the control group, and these differences were found to be statistically significant (p < 0.05). The total effective rates for the control and observation groups were 83.33% and 95.00%, respectively. Notably, the clinical total effective rate in the observation group was significantly higher than that in the control group, and this difference was statistically significant (p < 0.05). The thrombus disappearance time in the observation group was significantly shorter than that in the control group, and the blood flow rate was significantly higher than in the control group, with both differences being statistically significant (p < 0.05).

CONCLUSION: ARFI plays a crucial role in assessing the efficacy of MCVT by effectively revealing the hardness and location of the patient’s thrombus tissue. This technology aids doctors in gaining a more precise understanding of the deep vein thrombosis condition. Notably, ARFI is characterized by high safety levels and exhibits positive effects due to its painless and non-invasive nature.

PMID:38531799 | DOI:10.24976/Discov.Med.202436182.55