Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

The Impact of Cat Fostering on Older Adult Well-Being and Loneliness: A Feasibility Study

J Gerontol B Psychol Sci Soc Sci. 2023 Sep 22:gbad140. doi: 10.1093/geronb/gbad140. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: This feasibility study explored the impact of fostering a shelter cat on loneliness and well-being in older adults living alone without a pet. The study also examined the effect of cat fostering on older adults’ interest in cat adoption when perceived barriers to adoption were removed.

METHOD: Twenty-nine adults (age >60) were paired with a cat and asked to foster for a minimum of 4 months (with an option to adopt). Participants completed surveys before placement with cats, with a follow-up at 1 and 4 months post-placement and 12 months if they adopted their cat. The survey included scales of loneliness, physical and mental health, self-efficacy, positive and negative affect, and comfort from a companion animal. Scores were compared across time using a multivariate Linear Mixed Model.

RESULTS: Twenty-three of 29 (79.3%) participants remained in the study for at least 4 months, and a majority (95.7%) adopted their cat. Estimated mean differences in marginal means (adjusted for physical health) showed a significant improvement in loneliness from baseline to 4 months (p =0.029). A similar 4-month improvement that approached statistical significance (adjusted p = 0.079) was observed for mental health. No other scales showed statistically significant changes across time.

CONCLUSION: Fostering a shelter cat with the option for adoption may be an effective solution for alleviating loneliness and improving mental health in older adults. Interest in adopting foster cats was high when perceived barriers to adoption were removed.

PMID:37738674 | DOI:10.1093/geronb/gbad140

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Communicating and understanding statistical measures when quantifying the between-group difference in competing risks

Int J Epidemiol. 2023 Sep 21:dyad127. doi: 10.1093/ije/dyad127. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Competing risks issues are common in clinical trials and epidemiological studies for patients in follow-up who may experience a variety of possible outcomes. Under such competing risks, two hazard-based statistical methods, cause-specific hazard (CSH) and subdistribution hazard (SDH), are frequently used to assess treatment effects among groups. However, the outcomes of the CSH-based and SDH-based methods have a close connection with the proportional hazards (CSH or SDH) assumption and may have an non-intuitive interpretation. Recently, restricted mean time lost (RMTL) has been used as an alternative summary measure for analysing competing risks, due to its clinical interpretability and robustness to the proportional hazards assumption. Considering the above approaches, we summarize the differences between hazard-based and RMTL-based methods from the aspects of practical interpretation, proportional hazards model assumption and the selection of restricted time points, and propose corresponding suggestions for the analysis of between-group differences under competing risks. Moreover, an R package ‘cRMTL’ and corresponding step-by-step guidance are available to help users for applying these approaches.

PMID:37738672 | DOI:10.1093/ije/dyad127

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Reconsideration of maternal serological testing for predicting congenital CMV infection

J Infect Dis. 2023 Sep 21:jiad412. doi: 10.1093/infdis/jiad412. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The value of the widely applied maternal cytomegalovirus (CMV) serological testing approach in predicting intrauterine transmission in highly seroprevalent regions remains unknown.

METHODS: A nested case‒control study was conducted based on a maternal-child cohort study. Newborns with congenital CMV (cCMV) infection were included, and each of them was matched to 3 newborns without cCMV infection. Retrospective samples were tested for immunoglobulin G (IgG) avidity and immunoglobulin M (IgM) antibodies in maternal serum and CMV DNA in maternal blood and urine to analyse their associations with cCMV infection.

RESULTS: Forty-eight newborns with cCMV infection and 144 matched newborns without infection were included in the study. Maternal IgM antibodies and IgG avidity during pregnancy were not statistically associated with intrauterine transmission. The presence of CMV DNAemia indicated a higher risk of cCMV infection, with the OR values as 5.7, 6.5 and 13.0 in early, middle and late pregnancy, respectively. However, the difference in CMV shedding rates in transmitters and nontransmitters was not significant in urine.

CONCLUSION: The value of current maternal CMV serological testing in regions with high seropositivity rates is very limited and should be reconsidered. The detection of DNAemia would be helpful in assessing the risk of intrauterine transmission.

PMID:37738651 | DOI:10.1093/infdis/jiad412

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Quality assessment of automatically planned O-Ring linac SBRT plans for pelvic lymph node metastases, finding the optimal minimum target size by comparison with robotic SBRT

J Appl Clin Med Phys. 2023 Sep 22:e14143. doi: 10.1002/acm2.14143. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: The purpose of this study is to assess the quality of automatic planned O-Ring Halcyon linac SBRT plans for pelvic lymph node metastases and to establish an absolute PTV volume threshold as a plan quality prediction criterion. Compliance of the plans to institutional SBRT plan evaluation criteria and differences in plan quality and treatment delivery times between Halcyon Linac and CyberKnife robotic SBRT were evaluated.

METHODS: Twenty-one CyberKnife treatment plans were replanned for Halcyon. Prescription doses range was 26-40 Gy in mean three fractions. The mean/median planning target volume was 4.0/3.6 cm3 . Institutional criteria for the plan evaluation were: New Conformity Index (NCI), Conformity Index (CI), Modified Gradient Index (MGI), selectivity index reciprocal (PIV/TVPIV ), and the target coverage by prescription isodose (%PIV). Statistical analysis based on the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to determine a plan quality predictor threshold of the PTV volume. Comparative analysis of normal tissue complication probabilities (NTCP) was used to assess the risk of toxicity in healthy tissues.

RESULTS: Seventy-one percent (n = 15)/95% (n = 20) of Halcyon and 81% (n = 17)/100% (n = 21) of CK plans fulfilled all ideal/tolerance criteria. For PTVs above a found optimal threshold of 2.6 cm3 (71%, n = 15), no statistically significant difference was observed between the CI, NCI, PIV/TVPIV , and MGI indexes of both groups, while the coverage (%PIV) was statistically but not clinically significantly different between cohorts. Significantly shorter delivery times are expected with Halcyon. No significant differences in NTCP were observed.

CONCLUSION: All but one automatically optimized Halcyon treatment plans demonstrated ideal or acceptable performance. PTV threshold of 2.6 cm3 can be used as decision criteria in clinical settings. The results of our study demonstrated the promising performance of the Halcyon for pelvic SBRT, although plan-specific QA is required to verify machine performance during plan delivery.

PMID:37738649 | DOI:10.1002/acm2.14143

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Combining Inserts With Warning Labels on Cigarette Packs to Promote Smoking Cessation: A 2-Week Randomized Trial

Ann Behav Med. 2023 Sep 21:kaad052. doi: 10.1093/abm/kaad052. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Cigarette pack inserts with messages on cessation benefits and advice are a promising labeling policy that may help promote smoking cessation.

PURPOSE: To assess insert effects, with and without accompanying pictorial health warning labels(HWLs), on hypothesized psychosocial and behavioral outcomes.

METHODS: We conducted a 2 × 2 between-subject randomized trial (inserts with efficacy messages vs. no inserts; large pictorial HWLs vs. small text HWLs), with 367 adults who smoked at least 10 cigarettes a day. Participants received a 14-day supply of their preferred cigarettes with packs modified to reflect their experimental condition. Over 2 weeks, we surveyed participants approximately 4-5 times a day during their smoking sessions, querying feelings about smoking, level of worry about harms from smoking, self-efficacy to cut down on cigarettes, self-efficacy to quit, hopefulness about quitting, and motivation to quit. Each evening, participants reported their perceived susceptibility to smoking harms and, for the last 24 hr, their frequency of thinking about smoking harms and cessation benefits, conversations about smoking cessation or harms, and foregoing or stubbing out cigarettes before they finished smoking. Mixed-effects ordinal and logistic models were estimated to evaluate differences between groups.

RESULTS: Participants whose packs included inserts were more likely than those whose packs did not include inserts to report foregoing or stubbing out of cigarettes (OR = 2.39, 95% CI = 1.36, 4.20). Otherwise, no statistically significant associations were found between labeling conditions and outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS: This study provides some evidence, albeit limited, that pack inserts with efficacy messages can promote behaviors that predict smoking cessation attempts.

PMID:37738629 | DOI:10.1093/abm/kaad052

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

In Acute Severe Ulcerative Colitis Patients Who Receive Rescue Therapy, Prior Maintenance Therapy and Day 3 C-Reactive Protein After Rescue Therapy Are Associated With 12-Month Colectomy Risk

Inflamm Bowel Dis. 2023 Sep 21:izad215. doi: 10.1093/ibd/izad215. Online ahead of print.

NO ABSTRACT

PMID:37738577 | DOI:10.1093/ibd/izad215

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Effectiveness of Combined Dorsal Root Ganglion and Spinal Cord Stimulation: A Retrospective, Single-Centre Case Series for Chronic Focal Neuropathic Pain Effectiveness of Combined Stimulation

Pain Med. 2023 Sep 21:pnad128. doi: 10.1093/pm/pnad128. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: This case series retrospectively reviewed the outcomes in patients implanted with combined, synchronous dorsal root ganglion stimulation (DRGS) and spinal cord stimulation (SCS) connected to a single implantable pulse generator (IPG) in a tertiary referral neuromodulation centre in the United Kingdom.

MATERIALS AND METHODS: Twenty-six patients underwent a trial of DRGS+SCS for treating focal neuropathic pain between January 2016 and December 2019, with a follow-up in February 2022. A Transgrade approach was employed for DRGS. Patients were provided with three possible stimulation programmes: DRGS-only, SCS-only, or DRGS+SCS. Patients were assessed for pain intensity, patients’ global impression of change (PGIC), preferred lead(s) and complications.

RESULTS: Twenty patients were successful and went on for full implantation. The most common diagnosis was Complex Regional Pain Syndrome. After an average of 3.1 years follow-up, one patient was lost to follow-up, and two were non-responders. Of the remaining 17 patients, 16 (94%) continued to report a PGIC of 7. The average pain intensity at Baseline was 8.5 on an NRS scale of 0-10. At the last follow-up, the average NRS reduction overall was 78.9% with no statistical difference between those preferring DRGS+SCS (n = 9), SCS-only (n = 3) and DRGS-only (n = 5). The combination of DRGS+SCS was preferred by 53% at the last follow-up. There were no serious neurological complications.

CONCLUSION: This retrospective case series demonstrates the potential effectiveness of combined DRGS+SCS with sustained analgesia observed at an average follow-up of over three years. Implanting combined DRGS+SCS may provide programming flexibility and therapeutic alternatives.

PMID:37738574 | DOI:10.1093/pm/pnad128

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Determining herd immunity thresholds for hepatitis A virus transmission to inform vaccination strategies among people who inject drugs in 16 U.S. States

Clin Infect Dis. 2023 Sep 21:ciad552. doi: 10.1093/cid/ciad552. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Widespread outbreaks of person-to-person transmission of hepatitis A virus (HAV), particularly among people who inject drugs (PWID), continue across the United States and globally. However, the herd immunity threshold and vaccination coverage required to prevent outbreaks is unknown. We aimed to use surveillance data and dynamic modeling to estimate herd immunity thresholds among PWID in 16 U.S. states.

METHODS: We used a previously published dynamic transmission model of HAV transmission, calibrated to surveillance data from outbreaks involving PWID in 16 states. Using state-level calibrated models, we estimated the basic reproduction number (R0) and herd immunity threshold for PWID in each state. We performed a meta-analysis of herd immunity thresholds to determine the critical vaccination coverage required to prevent most HAV outbreaks among PWID.

RESULTS: Estimates of R0 for HAV infection ranged from 2.2 (95% CI 1.9-2.5) for North Carolina to 5.0 (95% CI 4.5-5.6) for West Virginia. Corresponding herd immunity thresholds ranged from 55% (95% CI 47-61%) for North Carolina to 80% (95% CI 78-82%) for West Virginia. Based on the meta-analysis, we estimated a pooled herd immunity threshold of 64% (95% CI 61-68%, 90% prediction interval 52-76%) among PWID. Using the prediction interval upper bound (76%) and assuming 95% vaccine efficacy, we estimate a vaccination coverage of 80% could prevent most HAV outbreaks.

CONCLUSIONS: Hepatitis A vaccination programs in the United States may need to achieve vaccination coverage of at least 80% among PWID in order to prevent most HAV outbreaks among this population.

PMID:37738564 | DOI:10.1093/cid/ciad552

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Detecting episodic evolution through Bayesian inference of molecular clock models

Mol Biol Evol. 2023 Sep 21:msad212. doi: 10.1093/molbev/msad212. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Molecular evolutionary rate variation is a key aspect of the evolution of many organisms that can be modelled using molecular clock models. For example, fixed local clocks revealed the role of episodic evolution in the emergence of SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern. Like all statistical models, however, the reliability of such inferences is contingent on an assessment of statistical evidence. We present a novel Bayesian phylogenetic approach for detecting episodic evolution. It consists of computing Bayes factors, as the ratio of posterior and prior odds of evolutionary rate increases, effectively quantifying support for the effect size. We conducted an extensive simulation study to illustrate the power of this method and benchmarked it to formal model comparison of a range of molecular clock models using (log) marginal likelihood estimation, and to inference under a random local clock model. Quantifying support for the effect size has higher sensitivity than formal model testing and is straight-forward to compute, because it only needs samples from the posterior and prior distribution. However, formal model testing has the advantage of accommodating a wide range molecular clock models. We also assessed the ability of an automated approach, known as the random local clock, where branches under episodic evolution may be detected without their a priori definition. In an empirical analysis of a data set of SARS-CoV-2 genomes, we find ‘very strong’ evidence for episodic evolution. Our results provide guidelines and practical methods for Bayesian detection of episodic evolution, as well as avenues for further research into this phenomenon.

PMID:37738550 | DOI:10.1093/molbev/msad212

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Benchmarking of the Cervical Cancer Care Cascade and Survival Outcomes After Radiation Treatment in a Low- and Middle-Income Country Setting

JCO Glob Oncol. 2023 Sep;9:e2200397. doi: 10.1200/GO.22.00397.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Timely radiation treatment (RT) is critical in cervical cancer treatment, but patients in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) in sub-Saharan Africa often face barriers that delay care. Time to care was benchmarked in a multidisciplinary team (MDT) setting in Botswana.

METHODS: Time intervals between steps in care were recorded for 230 patients reviewed at MDT between January 2016 and July 2018. Associations between RT delay and overall survival (OS) were evaluated using Kaplan-Meier curves and multivariable Cox proportional hazards models.

RESULTS: For patients who received RT (n = 187; 81.3%), the median biopsy to pathology reporting interval was 25 (IQR, 19-36) days and was 57 (IQR, 28-68) days for patients who did not (P = .003). Intervals in care did not differ between patients who did and did not receive RT. Among treated patients, the uppermost quartile interval from pathology reporting to RT initiation was ≥111 days and that from RT simulation to initiation was ≥12 days. Among patients receiving a RT dose of ≥65 Gy (n = 100), the delay from RT simulation to initiation of >12 days was associated with worse median OS (2.0 v 4.6 years; P = .048); this association trended toward, although did not meet, statistical significance on multivariable analysis (hazard ratio, 2.35; 95% CI, 0.95 to 5.85; P = .07).

CONCLUSION: The MDT-coordinated care model allows for systematic benchmarking of the patient treatment cascade. Barriers to timely treatment exist for this cohort in Botswana, and RT delay may be associated with OS of patients receiving curative treatment. Interventions to accelerate the timing of the radiation oncology care cascade may improve clinical outcomes in this LMIC setting.

PMID:37738538 | DOI:10.1200/GO.22.00397