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Nevin Manimala Statistics

How Does Fiscal Decentralization Affect Health Outcomes? Evidence from China

Risk Manag Healthc Policy. 2023 Sep 16;16:1893-1903. doi: 10.2147/RMHP.S412547. eCollection 2023.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The impact of fiscal decentralization on health outcomes still has not reached a consensus, and studies conducted in the context of the new round of fiscal and taxation system reform are even less available. China’s fiscal decentralization system has its own special characteristics, so it is necessary to analyze the impact of fiscal decentralization on health outcomes before and after the new round of fiscal and taxation system reform in China.

METHODS: Panel data from 2007 to 2019 were obtained through China’s Health Statistics Yearbook and China’s Statistical Yearbook. The effects of fiscal decentralization on health outcomes before and after the reform are explored separately by SYS-GMM, which introduce a dynamical model with a lag period of the explained variables. The Hansen test is used to determine excessive identification. The AR(2) is used to determine whether the residual term of the differential equation has a second-order serial correlation.

RESULTS: Fiscal decentralization consistently had a negative impact on health outcomes, yet government health expenditures did not mediate the impact of fiscal decentralization on health outcomes. Fiscal decentralization had a positive effect on per capita government health expenditure before the new reforms, yet had a negative effect on the percentage of government health expenditures, both before and after the new reform.

CONCLUSION: China’s fiscal decentralization has caused local governments to pay insufficient attention to the construction of people’s livelihoods, and the problem of insufficient government investment in health has not been improved. The new round of fiscal and taxation system reform has not reversed this situation either. It is recommended to adjust the incentive system for local officials, include medical and health in the evaluation indicators of local governments, optimize the structure of government expenditure, and improve the efficiency of the use of government health expenditure.

PMID:37736599 | PMC:PMC10511016 | DOI:10.2147/RMHP.S412547

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Recovery and long-term renal outcome of patients with anti-neutrophil cytoplasmic antibody-associated vasculitis who are on dialysis at presentation

J Rheum Dis. 2023 Oct 1;30(4):251-259. doi: 10.4078/jrd.2023.0031. Epub 2023 Sep 6.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Renal involvement in anti-neutrophil cytoplasmic antibody (ANCA)-associated vasculitis (AAV) can lead to severe renal dysfunction requiring dialysis at diagnosis. We aimed to study the clinical and pathologic characteristics of patients with AAV dependent on dialysis at presentation and the long-term renal outcomes of patients who recovered from dialysis.

METHODS: This retrospective study analyzed data of patients diagnosed with AAV who were on dialysis from July 2005 to May 2021 at a single tertiary center in Korea.

RESULTS: Thirty-four patients were included in the study (median age 64.5 years, females 61.8%), of which 13 discontinued and 21 continued dialysis. The proportion of normal glomeruli (p<0.001) and interstitial fibrosis (p=0.024) showed significant differences between both groups. Multivariable analysis showed that the proportion of normal glomeruli was associated with dialysis discontinuation (odds ratio=1.29, 95% confidence interval 0.99~1.68, p=0.063), although without statistical significance. Treatment modalities, including plasmapheresis, did not show significance with dialysis discontinuation. In the follow-up analysis of 13 patients who had discontinued dialysis for a median of 81 months, 12 did not require dialysis, and their glomerular filtration rate values significantly increased at follow-up time compared to when they stopped dialysis (37.5 [28.5~45.5] vs. 24.0 [18.5~30.0] mL/min/1.73 m²; p=0.008).

CONCLUSION: Approximately 38% of AAV patients on dialysis discontinued dialysis, and the recovered patients had improved renal function without dialysis during longer follow-up. Patients with AAV on dialysis should be given the possibility of dialysis discontinuation and renal recovery, especially those with normal glomeruli in kidney pathology.

PMID:37736589 | PMC:PMC10509644 | DOI:10.4078/jrd.2023.0031

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Geographic distribution and predictors of diagnostic delays among possible TB patients in Uganda

Public Health Action. 2023 Sep 21;13(3):70-76. doi: 10.5588/pha.23.0010.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Understanding the geographic distribution and factors associated with delayed TB diagnosis may help target interventions to reduce delays and improve patient outcomes.

METHODS: We conducted a secondary analysis of adults undergoing TB evaluation within a public health demonstration project in Uganda. Using Global Moran’s I (GMI) and Getis-Ord GI* statistics, we evaluated for residential clustering and hotspots associated with patient-related and health system-related delays. We performed multivariate logistic regression to identify individual predictors of both types of delays.

RESULTS: Of 996 adults undergoing TB evaluation (median age: 37 years, IQR 28-49), 333 (33%) experienced patient delays, and 568 (57%) experienced health system delays. Participants were clustered (GMI 0.47-0.64, P ⩽ 0.001) at the sub-county level, but there were no statistically significant hotspots for patient or health system delays. Married individuals were less likely to experience patient delays (OR 0.6, 95% CI 0.48-0.75; P < 0.001). Those aged 38-57 years (OR 1.2, 95% CI 1.07-1.38; P = 0.002) were more likely than those aged ⩾58 years to experience patient delays. Knowledge about TB (OR 0.8, 95% CI 0.63-0.98; P = 0.03) protected against health system delays.

CONCLUSIONS: We did not identify geographic hotspots for TB diagnostic delays. Instead, delays were associated with individual factors such as age, marital status and TB knowledge.

PMID:37736583 | PMC:PMC10446659 | DOI:10.5588/pha.23.0010

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Coagulopathy in the absence of overt DIC in postoperative neurosurgical patients is a strong predictor of poor outcome

Am J Blood Res. 2023 Aug 15;13(4):110-116. eCollection 2023.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To assess the prevalence of coagulopathy in postoperative neurosurgical patients and correlate it with the outcome.

MATERIALS AND METHOD: This longitudinal study was conducted in a tertiary care hospital in the Department of Pathology and Neurosurgery. Ethical approval was taken from the Institutional Ethical Committee – Human Research. Seventy-two (72) participants were recruited within 48 hours of surgery after obtaining consent. Complete clinical and surgical details were recorded. A 6.5 mL venous sample was collected and dispensed in two separate vials. The EDTA sample was run within 2 hours of collection on an automated hematology analyzer to obtain complete blood counts, including platelet count. The citrated sample was run on a fully automated coagulometer to determine PT, APTT, plasma fibrinogen, FVIII assay, and D-dimer levels. Subjects with a DIC-ISTH score of 5 or more were excluded. Coagulopathy was defined as three or more coagulation parameters deranged in a patient. All patients were followed up for the outcome. The outcome was correlated with coagulopathy, and a p-value less than 0.05 was considered statistically significant.

RESULTS: The study found that the number of hemostatic parameters deranged correlated with outcome (P < 0.001). The proportion of patients with coagulopathy was 32/72 (44.4%), while those without coagulopathy were 40/72 (55.6%). Of patients with coagulopathy, 87.5% (28/32) had an adverse outcome, while 12.5% (4/32) had a favorable outcome. The difference was found to be statistically significant (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS: Coagulopathy, defined as the derangement of three or more parameters, is a predictor of poor outcomes in postoperative neurosurgical patients. This timely recognition of coagulopathy can help triage patients requiring appropriate blood products, significantly reducing morbidity and mortality associated with postoperative neurosurgical patients.

PMID:37736539 | PMC:PMC10509467

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Hematological parameters and their predictive value for assessing disease severity in laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 patients: a retrospective study

Am J Blood Res. 2023 Aug 15;13(4):117-129. eCollection 2023.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The coronavirus disease 19 (COVID-19) infection has spread globally and caused a substantial amount of mortality and morbidity. Early detection of severe infections will improve care and reduce deaths. The use of hematological parameters in predicting COVID-19 disease severity, patient outcomes, and early risk stratification is limited. Therefore, the study was aimed at determining hematological parameters and their predictive value for assessing disease severity in laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 patients in Northwest Ethiopia.

METHODS: A retrospective cross-sectional study was conducted at the University of Gondar comprehensive specialized hospital and Tibebe Ghion comprehensive specialized referral hospital on 253 patients diagnosed with COVID-19 and admitted between March 2021 and February 2022. Data were extracted, and entered into Epi-data 4.2.0.0, and analyzed using SPSS version 25 software. Hematological parameters were provided as the median and interquartile range (IQR). Categorical variables were represented by their frequency, and the χ2 test was applied to compare observed results with expected results. The receiver-operating curve (ROC) was used to establish the predictive value of hematological parameters for COVID-19 severity. A p-value < 0.05 was considered statistically significant.

RESULTS: On a total of 253 patients, there were 43.87% severe cases, with a mortality rate of 26.9%. The ROC analysis showed the optimal cutoff values for hematological parameters were ANC (3370), lymphocyte (680), NLR (9.34), PLR (290.77), platelets (332,000), and WBCs (4390.65). The area under the curve (AUC) values for NLR (0.679) and ANC (0.631) were high, with the highest sensitivity and specificity, and could potentially be used to predict COVID-19 severity.

CONCLUSION: This study proved that high NLR and high ANC have prognostic value for assessing disease severity in COVID-19. Thus, assessing and considering these hematological parameters when triaging COVID-19 patients may prevent complications and improve the patient’s outcome.

PMID:37736538 | PMC:PMC10509465

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Estimation of epidemiological parameters and ascertainment rate from early transmission of COVID-19 across Africa

R Soc Open Sci. 2023 Sep 20;10(9):230316. doi: 10.1098/rsos.230316. eCollection 2023 Sep.

ABSTRACT

Country reported case counts suggested a slow spread of SARS-CoV-2 in the initial phase of the COVID-19 pandemic in Africa. Owing to inadequate public awareness, unestablished monitoring practices, limited testing and stigmas, there might exist extensive under-ascertainment of the true number of cases, especially at the beginning of the novel epidemic. We developed a compartmentalized epidemiological model to track the early epidemics in 54 African countries. Data on the reported cumulative number of cases and daily confirmed cases were used to fit the model for the time period with no or little massive national interventions yet in each country. We estimated that the mean basic reproduction number is 2.02 (s.d. 0.7), with a range between 1.12 (Zambia) and 3.64 (Nigeria). The mean overall report rate was estimated to be 5.37% (s.d. 5.71%), with the highest 30.41% in Libya and the lowest 0.02% in São Tomé and Príncipe. An average of 5.46% (s.d. 6.4%) of all infected cases were severe cases and 66.74% (s.d. 17.28%) were asymptomatic ones. The estimated low reporting rates in Africa suggested a clear need for improved reporting and surveillance systems in these countries.

PMID:37736525 | PMC:PMC10509578 | DOI:10.1098/rsos.230316

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Dendrosomal nanocurcumin prevents EBV-associated cell transformation by targeting the lytic cycle genes of the Epstein-Barr virus in the generation of lymphoblastoid cell line

Iran J Basic Med Sci. 2023;26(10):1220-1226. doi: 10.22038/IJBMS.2023.69839.15199.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Targeting the lytic cycle of the Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) has been considered a new treatment strategy for malignancies caused by this virus. This study aimed to investigate the effect of Dendrosomal NanoCurcumin (DNC) to prevent cell transformation and inhibit the expression of viral lytic gene expression in the generation of lymphoblastoid cell line (LCL).

MATERIALS AND METHODS: Cell viability of LCLs and PBMCs was performed by MTT assay, and flow cytometry (Annexin/PI) was used for evaluation of apoptosis. CD markers on the surface of generated LCL (CD19) cells were examined for cell validation. The effect of DNC on transformation was evaluated by examining cell morphology and determining the expression level of lytic genes BZLF1, Zta, BHRF1, and BRLF1 of EBV using Real-time PCR. Student’s t-test was used for statistical analysis.

RESULTS: The MTT assay showed that DNC can inhibit the proliferation of LCL in a dose-dependent manner. The 50% cytotoxic concentration (CC50) of DNC and curcumin for LCL was determined 38.8 µg/ml and 75 µg/ml, respectively after 72 hr. Also, Real-time PCR data analysis showed that DNC in 30 µg/ml concentration significantly inhibited cell transformation in the LCL and significantly reduced viral lytic genes such as BZLF1, Zta, BHRF1, and BRLF1expression compared to control.

CONCLUSION: Overall, these findings show that DNC reduces the expression of the viral lytic cycle genes and also the induction of cell apoptosis and finally prevents the generation of LCL.

PMID:37736518 | PMC:PMC10510484 | DOI:10.22038/IJBMS.2023.69839.15199

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Continuous positive airway pressure treatment from the prehospital field in a Japanese regional Doctor Car system

Acute Med Surg. 2023 Sep 20;10(1):e893. doi: 10.1002/ams2.893. eCollection 2023 Jan-Dec.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Continuous positive airway pressure (CPAP) therapy is an effective treatment for patients with severe heart failure, and certain guidelines recommend its early initiation. However, the current Japanese law strictly prohibits paramedics from administering this treatment. To demonstrate the efficacy and safety of prehospital administration of CPAP therapy, this study was conducted by the Yokohama Medical Control Council (Yokohama MC).

METHODS: The Yokohama MC established a protocol for CPAP treatment and dispatched Doctor Cars to attend to patients with severe respiratory failure. The Boussignac CPAP system was installed in all Yokohama Doctor Cars, including Workstation-type Doctor Cars and Hospital-type Doctor Cars. Data from this study were collected and recorded in the Yokohama City Doctor Car Registry system from October 2020 to January 2022.

RESULTS: The Doctor Car was dispatched 661 times, and CPAP therapy was administered to 13 patients in the prehospital field. It is important to note that the number of CPAP cases was lower than anticipated due to the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, given concerns about aerosol production. When assessing changes over time in oxygen saturation (SpO2), the median (interquartile range), excluding missing values, was 89% (83%-93%) without oxygen, 95% (94%-99.3%) with oxygen, and 100% (97%-100%) with CPAP. The differences between these groups were statistically significant with a p-value of <0.0001. Respiratory distress was primarily attributed to heart failure in 10 patients (91%) and pneumothorax in 1 patient (9%). Notably, none of the patients’ conditions worsened after the use of CPAP.

CONCLUSION: We have detailed the administration of CPAP therapy in the prehospital field within a local city in Japan. To the best of our knowledge, this represents the inaugural report of a prospective observational study on the prehospital administration of CPAP therapy originating from Japan.

PMID:37736501 | PMC:PMC10509749 | DOI:10.1002/ams2.893

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Psychometric Properties of LUN-MS: A New Questionnaire to Identify the Unmet Needs of People With Multiple Sclerosis

Adv Rehabil Sci Pract. 2023 Sep 19;12:27536351231197142. doi: 10.1177/27536351231197142. eCollection 2023 Jan-Dec.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: We developed a 29-item Questionnaire, Long-term Unmet Needs in MS (LUN-MS) to identify the unmet needs of people with multiple sclerosis (pwMS).

OBJECTIVE: To assess acceptability, test-retest reliability, internal consistency, and validity of the LUN-MS.

METHODS: Participants completed the LUN-MS and MSIS-29 twice, four weeks apart. Acceptability was assessed by looking at the response rate in each time point. Reliability was calculated by comparing the response during the two time points using Cohen’s weighted kappa. Using principal component analysis, the dimensionality of the questionnaire’s items was reduced, to five domains and the internal consistency of each domain was assessed using Cronbach’s alpha. Concurrent validity was tested by comparing the total LUN-MS score against MSIS-29 and EQ-5D-3L using Pearson’s product-moment correlation coefficient.

RESULTS: Among 88 participants, rate of completion at time points-1 and 2 was 96 and 80% respectively. Test-retest reliability for individual items was between fair to near-perfect (weighted Cohen’s kappa 0.39-0.81). The unmet needs could be divided into five internally consistent domains (Cronbach’s alpha 0.83-0.74): neuropsychological, ambulation, physical, interpersonal relationship and informational. Concurrent validity with MSIS-29 (r = 0.705, P < .001) and EQ-5D-3L (r = 0.617, P < .001) were good.

CONCLUSION: LUN-MS is a reliable, valid, and acceptable tool to identify the unmet needs of pwMS.

PMID:37736485 | PMC:PMC10510363 | DOI:10.1177/27536351231197142

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Association between ethnic background and COVID-19 morbidity, mortality and vaccination in England: a multistate cohort analysis using the UK Biobank

BMJ Open. 2023 Sep 21;13(9):e074367. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2023-074367.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Despite growing evidence suggesting increased COVID-19 mortality among people from ethnic minorities, little is known about milder forms of SARS-CoV-2 infection. We sought to explore the association between ethnic background and the probability of testing, testing positive, hospitalisation, COVID-19 mortality and vaccination uptake.

DESIGN: A multistate cohort analysis. Participants were followed between 8 April 2020 and 30 September 2021.

SETTING: The UK Biobank, which stores medical data on around half a million people who were recruited between 2006 and 2010.

PARTICIPANTS: 405 541 subjects were eligible for analysis, limited to UK Biobank participants living in England. 23 891 (6%) of participants were non-white.

PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: The associations between ethnic background and testing, testing positive, hospitalisation and COVID-19 mortality were studied using multistate survival analyses. The association with single and double-dose vaccination was also modelled. Multistate models adjusted for age, sex and socioeconomic deprivation were fitted to estimate adjusted HRs (aHR) for each of the multistate transitions.

RESULTS: 18 172 (4.5%) individuals tested positive, 3285 (0.8%) tested negative and then positive, 1490 (6.9% of those tested positive) were hospitalised, and 129 (0.6%) tested positive at the moment of hospital admission (ie, direct hospitalisation). Finally, 662 (17.4%) died after admission. Compared with white participants, Asian participants had an increased risk of negative to positive transition (aHR 1.24 (95% CI 1.02 to 1.52)), testing positive (95% CI 1.44 (1.33 to 1.55)) and direct hospitalisation (1.61 (95% CI 1.28 to 2.03)). Black participants had an increased risk of hospitalisation following a positive test (1.71 (95% CI 1.29 to 2.27)) and direct hospitalisation (1.90 (95% CI 1.51 to 2.39)). Although not the case for Asians (aHR 1.00 (95% CI 0.98 to 1.02)), black participants had a reduced vaccination probability (0.63 (95% CI 0.62 to 0.65)). In contrast, Chinese participants had a reduced risk of testing negative (aHR 0.64 (95% CI 0.57 to 0.73)), of testing positive (0.40 (95% CI 0.28 to 0.57)) and of vaccination (0.78 (95% CI 0.74 to 0.83)).

CONCLUSIONS: We identified inequities in testing, vaccination and COVID-19 outcomes according to ethnicity in England. Compared with whites, Asian participants had increased risks of infection and admission, and black participants had almost double hospitalisation risk, and a 40% lower vaccine uptake.

PMID:37734898 | DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2023-074367