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Nevin Manimala Statistics

When gold standards are not so golden: prevalence bias in randomized trials on endoscopic colorectal cancer screening

Eur J Epidemiol. 2023 Aug 2. doi: 10.1007/s10654-023-01031-2. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Randomized trials on the effectiveness of screening endoscopy in reducing colorectal cancer (CRC) risk have reported statistically significant, but rather modest reduction of CRC risk by the screening offer. However, risk estimates in these trials included substantial proportions of prevalent CRC cases which were early detected, but could not possibly have been prevented by screening. Thereby, a key principle of randomized prevention trials is violated that only “at risk” persons who do not yet have the disease one aims to prevent should be included in measures of preventive effects. Using recently published data from the Nordic-European Initiative on Colorectal Cancer (NordICC) trial as an example, we illustrate that approaches aimed to account for “prevalence bias” lead to effect estimates that are substantially larger than those reported in the trial and more in line with results from observational studies and real life settings. More rigorous methodological work is needed to develop effective and user-friendly tools to prevent or adjust for prevalence bias in future screening studies.

PMID:37530938 | DOI:10.1007/s10654-023-01031-2

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Impact of secondary amenorrhea on cardiovascular disease risk in physically active women: a systematic review protocol

JBI Evid Synth. 2023 Aug 2. doi: 10.11124/JBIES-23-00047. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this review is to assess the association between secondary amenorrhea in physically active women and cardiovascular disease risk.

INTRODUCTION: It is well established that a woman’s risk of cardiovascular disease greatly increases after menopause. The sharp decline in estrogen is seen as a causal factor. Exercise-induced secondary amenorrhea results in estrogen deficiency, which may lead to dysfunction in estrogen’s cardioprotective pathways. Further, estrogen may be essential in a woman’s endothelial adaptations to exercise. The impact of secondary amenorrhea on cardiovascular disease risk in premenopausal women is not well established.

INCLUSION CRITERIA: This review will consider studies that include physically active women experiencing amenorrhea in any country. Only studies that present evidence of cardiovascular disease, alterations to cardiovascular physiology, or data on cardiovascular risk factors (eg, lipid profile changes) will be considered. The review will consider experimental or observational epidemiological study designs.

METHODS: Searches will be conducted in CINAHL (EBSCOhost), Cochrane Library, Embase (Ovid), MEDLINE (Ovid), SPORTDiscus (EBSCOhost), and Scopus from inception to present with no date or language limitations. Two independent reviewers will screen titles, abstracts, and full texts, appraise methodological quality, and extract data from studies. Where possible, studies will be pooled in a statistical meta-analysis in addition to subgroup analyses. Where pooling is not possible, the findings will be presented in narrative format. Certainty of the evidence will be assessed using the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) approach.

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION NUMBER: PROSPERO CRD42023360781.

PMID:37529977 | DOI:10.11124/JBIES-23-00047

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Accuracy of DOTATATE PET imaging in the preoperative planning of small bowel neuroendocrine tumor resection

J Surg Oncol. 2023 Aug 2. doi: 10.1002/jso.27413. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: We assessed the accuracy of preoperative gallium-68 DOTA-Tyr3-octreotate (DOTATATE) positron emission tomography (PET) imaging in estimating multifocality and nodal metastases of small bowel neuroendocrine tumors (sbNETs).

METHODS: A multicenter analysis was performed on patients with sbNETs who underwent preoperative DOTATATE PET imaging and surgical resection, with manual palpation of the entire length of the small bowel, between January 2016 and August 2022. Preoperative imaging reports and blinded secondary imaging reviews were compared to the final postoperative pathology reports. Descriptive statistics were applied.

RESULTS: One-hundred and four patients met inclusion criteria. Pathology showed 53 (51%) patients had multifocal sbNETs and 96 (92%) had nodal metastases. The original preoperative DOTATATE PET imaging identified multifocal sbNET in 28 (27%) patients and lymph node (LN) metastases in 80 (77%) patients. Based on original radiology reports, sensitivity for multifocal sbNET identification was 45%, specificity was 92%, positive predictive value (PPV) was 86%, and negative predictive value (NPV) was 62%. For the identification of LN metastases, sensitivity was 82%, specificity was 88%, PPV was 99%, and NPV was 29%.

CONCLUSIONS: Although DOTATATE PET imaging is specific and relatively accurate, sensitivity and NPV are insufficient to guide surgical planning. Preoperative use should not replace open palpation to identify additional synchronous lesions or to omit regional lymphadenectomy.

PMID:37529970 | DOI:10.1002/jso.27413

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Physical growth and dietary characteristics of children with attention deficit hyperactivity disorder: a cross-sectional study

Zhongguo Dang Dai Er Ke Za Zhi. 2023 Jul 15;25(7):711-717. doi: 10.7499/j.issn.1008-8830.2301052.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the physical growth and dietary characteristics of children with attention deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD), and to analyze their relationship with core symptoms of ADHD.

METHODS: A total of 268 children who were newly diagnosed with ADHD in Children’s Hospital of Nanjing Medical University from June to December 2020 were included in the ADHD group, and 102 healthy children who underwent physical examination during the same period were selected as the control group. Physical evaluations and dietary surveys were conducted for both groups. ADHD diagnosis and scoring were performed according to the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders (5th edition). Factor analysis, Spearman correlation analysis, and mediation analysis were used to study the relationship between core symptoms of ADHD, dietary patterns, and physical growth.

RESULTS: The rate of overweight/obesity in the ADHD group was significantly higher than that in the control group (35.8% vs 21.6%, P<0.05). Three dietary patterns were extracted from the food frequency questionnaire: vegetarian dietary pattern, traditional dietary pattern, and snack/fast food pattern. The factor score for the snack/fast food pattern in the ADHD group was higher than that in the control group (P<0.05). There was a significant positive correlation between ADHD symptom scores, snack/fast food pattern factor scores, and body fat percentage (P<0.05). The mediation analysis showed that the snack/fast food pattern played a partial mediating role in the relationship between ADHD symptom scores and body fat percentage, with a mediation proportion of 26.66%.

CONCLUSIONS: The rate of overweight/obesity in children with ADHD is higher than that in non-ADHD children. Core symptoms of ADHD are related to dietary patterns and physical growth, with the snack/fast food pattern playing a partial mediating role in the relationship between core symptoms of ADHD and physical growth.

PMID:37529953 | DOI:10.7499/j.issn.1008-8830.2301052

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Effects of oropharyngeal exercises on the swallowing mechanism of older adults: A systematic review

Int J Speech Lang Pathol. 2023 Aug 2:1-18. doi: 10.1080/17549507.2023.2221409. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Age-related changes to the swallowing mechanism, or presbyphagia, may put older adults at a higher risk for developing diseases and dysphagia. Maintaining swallowing functions could help prevent frailty and facilitate healthy ageing. This review summarises and appraises the effects of oropharyngeal exercises on the swallowing functions of healthy older adults without dysphagia. It is hypothesised that these exercises will strengthen and improve the structures and functions of the normal ageing swallow.

METHOD: This review was reported according to the PRISMA 2020 guidelines. Five electronic databases (Medline, Embase, Cochrane Library, Web of Science, CINAHL) and Google Scholar were searched in June 2021. A rerun was done in January 2023. Study selection, data extraction, and quality assessment were done by two independent raters.

RESULT: A total of 23 studies were reviewed. Meta-analysis was not conducted due to the heterogenous training protocols and outcomes. Majority (n = 21) had fair quality due to incomplete reporting. Exercises targeting oral structures were implemented the most (n = 15), followed by variations of the head lift (n = 4), and effortful swallow exercise (n = 1). Others implemented combined or multiapproach exercise studies (n = 3). Apart from surface electromyography findings, statistically significant improvements in oral and pharyngeal phase swallowing outcomes such as increased lingual isometric and swallowing pressures, bite force, muscle thickness, hyolaryngeal excursion, and upper oesophageal sphincter opening diameter were reported in 95% of the studies (n = 22).

CONCLUSION: Collective evidence suggests that strength training for swallowing-related structures leads to increases in structural strength, endurance, and muscle mass. The effects of exercises on overall swallowing efficiency and safety remain unclear. Results should be interpreted with caution due to methodological limitations. Further research should examine the long-term effects of these exercises in preventing frailty and reducing the burden of dysphagia in older adults.

PMID:37529940 | DOI:10.1080/17549507.2023.2221409

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Association of Helicobacter pylori with migraine headaches and the effects of this infection and its eradication on the migraine characteristics in adults: A comprehensive systematic review and meta-analysis

Helicobacter. 2023 Aug 2:e13010. doi: 10.1111/hel.13010. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Migraine is one of the most common neurological disorders that can severely overshadow people’s quality of life, and Helicobacter pylori infection is a health problem in different societies. During the last two decades, many original studies have been conducted on the various aspects of the relationship between these two disorders; however, they have reported different and sometimes contradictory results.

METHODS: This study was conducted based on the PRISMA protocol. We performed a comprehensive literature search in the online databases up to May 2023, and 22 studies that contained original data on the relationship between H. pylori infection and migraine headaches in adults were included. For performing the meta-analysis, we calculated the odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI), using a random-effects model, and to determine the possible causes of heterogeneity, we conducted a subgroup meta-analysis.

RESULTS: The overall OR for the association of H. pylori infection and migraine headaches through 493,794 evaluated individuals was 2.80 [95% CI = 1.75-4.48; I2 = 89.20, p < 0.01], which reveals a statistically significant association between these disorders. It was found that the studies that were conducted in Asian regions and the recently published ones have clearly shown a higher association between migraine and H. pylori infection. On the other hand, migraine patients who are infected with H. pylori have similar signs and symptoms as H. pylori-negative migraineurs; meanwhile, the clinical trials conducted in this field strongly emphasize the benefits of eradicating H. pylori infection in migraine patients and have estimated its effectiveness in improving migraine headaches equivalent to current common migraine treatments. Furthermore, it was reported that white matter lesions were 2.5-fold higher on brain MRI in patients with H. pylori-positive migraine compared with H. pylori-negative migraineurs; however, the evidence does not support the role of oxidative stress in patients suffering from H. pylori infection and migraine and refuses the role of Cag-A-positive strains of H. pylori in migraine headaches.

CONCLUSION: According to the currently available data, it seem reasonable that patients with a definite diagnosis of migraine who also suffer from gastrointestinal problems, undergo the H. pylori detection tests and if the evaluations are positive, H. pylori eradication treatment can be considered even before any migraine treatment.

PMID:37529895 | DOI:10.1111/hel.13010

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Testing anatomy: Dissecting spatial and non-spatial knowledge in multiple-choice question assessment

Anat Sci Educ. 2023 Aug 2. doi: 10.1002/ase.2323. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Limited research has been conducted on the spatial ability of veterinary students and how this is evaluated within anatomy assessments. This study describes the creation and evaluation of a split design multiple-choice question (MCQ) assessment (totaling 30 questions divided into 15 non-spatial MCQs and 15 spatial MCQs). Two cohorts were tested, one cohort received a 2D teaching method in the academic year 2014/15 (male = 15/108, female 93/108), and the second a 3D teaching method in the academic year 2015/16 (male 14/98, female 84/98). The evaluation of the MCQ demonstrated strong reliability (KR-20 = 0.71 2D and 0.63 3D) meaning the MCQ consistently tests the same construct. Factor analysis of the MCQ provides evidence of validity of the split design of the assessment (RR = 1.11, p = 0.013). Neither cohort outperformed on the non-spatial questions (p > 0.05), however, the 3D cohort performed statistically significantly higher on the spatial questions (p = 0.013). The results of this research support the design of a new anatomy assessment aimed at testing both anatomy knowledge and the problem-solving aspects of anatomical spatial ability. Furthermore, a 3D teaching method was shown to increase students’ performance on anatomy questions testing spatial ability.

PMID:37529887 | DOI:10.1002/ase.2323

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Head-to-Head Comparison of ChatGPT Versus Google Search for Medical Knowledge Acquisition

Otolaryngol Head Neck Surg. 2023 Aug 2. doi: 10.1002/ohn.465. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Chat Generative Pretrained Transformer (ChatGPT) is the newest iteration of OpenAI’s generative artificial intelligence (AI) with the potential to influence many facets of life, including health care. This study sought to assess ChatGPT’s capabilities as a source of medical knowledge, using Google Search as a comparison.

STUDY DESIGN: Cross-sectional analysis.

SETTING: Online using ChatGPT, Google Seach, and Clinical Practice Guidelines (CPG).

METHODS: CPG Plain Language Summaries for 6 conditions were obtained. Questions relevant to specific conditions were developed and input into ChatGPT and Google Search. All questions were written from the patient perspective and sought (1) general medical knowledge or (2) medical recommendations, with varying levels of acuity (urgent or emergent vs routine clinical scenarios). Two blinded reviewers scored all passages and compared results from ChatGPT and Google Search, using the Patient Education Material Assessment Tool (PEMAT-P) as the primary outcome. Additional customized questions were developed that assessed the medical content of the passages.

RESULTS: The overall average PEMAT-P score for medical advice was 68.2% (standard deviation [SD]: 4.4) for ChatGPT and 89.4% (SD: 5.9) for Google Search (p < .001). There was a statistically significant difference in the PEMAT-P score by source (p < .001) but not by urgency of the clinical situation (p = .613). ChatGPT scored significantly higher than Google Search (87% vs 78%, p = .012) for patient education questions.

CONCLUSION: ChatGPT fared better than Google Search when offering general medical knowledge, but it scored worse when providing medical recommendations. Health care providers should strive to understand the potential benefits and ramifications of generative AI to guide patients appropriately.

PMID:37529853 | DOI:10.1002/ohn.465

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Statistical plots in oncologic imaging, a primer for neuroradiologists

Neuroradiol J. 2023 Aug 2:19714009231193158. doi: 10.1177/19714009231193158. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

The simplest approach to convey the results of scientific analysis, which can include complex comparisons, is typically through the use of visual items, including figures and plots. These statistical plots play a critical role in scientific studies, making data more accessible, engaging, and informative. A growing number of visual representations have been utilized recently to graphically display the results of oncologic imaging, including radiomic and radiogenomic studies. Here, we review the applications, distinct properties, benefits, and drawbacks of various statistical plots. Furthermore, we provide neuroradiologists with a comprehensive understanding of how to use these plots to effectively communicate analytical results based on imaging data.

PMID:37529843 | DOI:10.1177/19714009231193158

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Gender Disparities in Hospitalization Outcomes and Healthcare Utilization Among Patients with Systemic Lupus Erythematosus in the United States

Cureus. 2023 Jul 1;15(7):e41254. doi: 10.7759/cureus.41254. eCollection 2023 Jul.

ABSTRACT

Background Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is a multisystem autoimmune disease characterized by various clinical manifestations. Despite efforts to improve outcomes, mortality rates remain high, and certain disparities, including gender, may influence prognosis and mortality rates in SLE. This study aims to examine the gender disparities in outcomes of SLE hospitalizations in the US. Methods We conducted a retrospective analysis of the Nationwide Inpatient Sample (NIS) database between 2016 and 2020. The NIS database is the largest publicly available all-payer database for inpatient care in the United States, representing approximately 20% of all hospitalizations nationwide. We selected every other year during the study period and included hospitalizations of adult patients (≥18 years old) with a primary or secondary diagnosis of SLE using International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision (ICD-10) codes. The control population consisted of all adult hospitalizations. Multivariate logistic regression was used to estimate the strength of the association between gender and primary and secondary outcomes. The regression models were adjusted for various factors, including age, race, median household income based on patients’ zip codes, Charlson comorbidity index score, insurance status, hospital location, region, bed size, and teaching status. To ensure comparability across the years, revised trend weights were applied as the healthcare cost and use project website recommends. Stata version 17 (StataCorp LLC, TX, USA) was used for the statistical analyses, and a two-sided P-value of less than 0.05 was considered statistically significant. Results Among the 42,875 SLE hospitalizations analyzed, women accounted for a significantly higher proportion (86.4%) compared to men (13.6%). The age distribution varied, with the majority of female admissions falling within the 30- to 60-year age range, while most male admissions fell within the 15- to 30-year age category. Racial composition showed a slightly higher percentage of White Americans in the male cohort compared to the female cohort. Notably, more Black females were admitted for SLE compared to Black males. Male SLE patients had a higher burden of comorbidities and were more likely to have Medicare and private insurance, while a higher percentage of women were uninsured. The mortality rate during the index hospitalization was slightly higher for men (1.3%) compared to women (1.1%), but after adjusting for various factors, there was no statistically significant gender disparity in the likelihood of mortality (adjusted odds ratio (aOR): 1.027; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.570-1.852; P=0.929). Men had longer hospital stays and incurred higher average hospital costs compared to women (mean length of stay (LOS): seven days vs. six days; $79,751 ± $5,954 vs. $70,405 ± $1,618 respectively). Female SLE hospitalizations were associated with a higher likelihood of delirium, psychosis, and seizures while showing lower odds of hematological and renal diseases compared to men. Conclusion While women constitute the majority of SLE hospitalizations, men with SLE tend to have a higher burden of comorbidities and are more likely to have Medicare and private insurance. Additionally, men had longer hospital stays and incurred higher average hospital costs. However, there was no significant gender disparity in the likelihood of mortality after accounting for various factors.

PMID:37529818 | PMC:PMC10389681 | DOI:10.7759/cureus.41254