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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Permutation-based multiple testing corrections for P $$ P $$ -values and confidence intervals for cluster randomized trials

Stat Med. 2023 Jun 21. doi: 10.1002/sim.9831. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

In this article, we derive and compare methods to derive P-values and sets of confidence intervals with strong control of the family-wise error rates and coverage for estimates of treatment effects in cluster randomized trials with multiple outcomes. There are few methods for P-value corrections and deriving confidence intervals, limiting their application in this setting. We discuss the methods of Bonferroni, Holm, and Romano and Wolf and adapt them to cluster randomized trial inference using permutation-based methods with different test statistics. We develop a novel search procedure for confidence set limits using permutation tests to produce a set of confidence intervals under each method of correction. We conduct a simulation-based study to compare family-wise error rates, coverage of confidence sets, and the efficiency of each procedure in comparison to no correction using both model-based standard errors and permutation tests. We show that the Romano-Wolf type procedure has nominal error rates and coverage under non-independent correlation structures and is more efficient than the other methods in a simulation-based study. We also compare results from the analysis of a real-world trial.

PMID:37340888 | DOI:10.1002/sim.9831

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Adaptations in athletic performance and muscle architecture are not meaningfully conditioned by training free-weight versus machine-based exercises: Challenging a traditional assumption using the velocity-based method

Scand J Med Sci Sports. 2023 Jun 21. doi: 10.1111/sms.14433. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Although the superior effectiveness of free-weight over machine-based training has been a traditionally widespread assumption, longitudinal studies comparing these training modalities were scarce and heterogeneous.

OBJECTIVE: This research used the velocity-based method to compare the effects of free-weight and machine-based resistance training on athletic performance and muscle architecture.

METHODS: Thirty-four resistance-trained men participated in an 8-week resistance training program allocated into free-weight (n = 17) or machine-based (n = 17) groups. Training variables (intensity, intraset fatigue, and recovery) were identical for both groups, so they only differed in the use of a barbell or specific machines to execute the full squat, bench press, prone bench pull, and shoulder press exercises. The velocity-based method was implemented to accurately adjust the planned intensity. Analysis of covariance and effect size (ES) statistics were used to compare both training modalities on a comprehensive set of athletic and muscle architecture parameters.

RESULTS: No between-group differences were found for any athletic (p ≥ 0.146) and muscle architecture (p ≥ 0.184) variable. Both training modalities significantly and similarly improved vertical jump (Free-weight: ES ≥ 0.45, p ≤ 0.001; Machine-based: ES ≥ 0.41, p ≤ 0.001) and lower limb anaerobic capacity (Free-weight: ES ≥ 0.39, p ≤ 0.007; Machine-based: ES ≥ 0.31, p ≤ 0.003). Additionally, the machine-based group meaningfully enhanced upper limb anaerobic power (ES = 0.41, p = 0.021), whereas the free-weight group significantly improved the change of direction (ES = -0.54, p = 0.003) and 2/6 balance conditions analyzed (p ≤ 0.012). Changes in sprint capacity (ES ≥ -0.13, p ≥ 0.274), fascicle length, and pennation angle (ES ≤ 0.19, p ≥ 0.129) were not significant for either training modality.

CONCLUSION: Adaptations in athletic performance and muscle architecture would not be meaningfully influenced by the resistance modality trained.

PMID:37340878 | DOI:10.1111/sms.14433

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Methylome, transcriptome and phenotype changes induced by temperature conditions experienced during sexual reproduction in Fragaria vesca

Physiol Plant. 2023 Jun 21:e13963. doi: 10.1111/ppl.13963. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Temperature conditions experienced during embryogenesis and seed development may induce epigenetic changes that increase phenotypic variation in plants. Here we investigate if embryogenesis and seed development at two different temperatures (28 vs 18°C) results in lasting phenotypic effects and DNA methylation changes in woodland strawberry (Fragaria vesca). Using five European ecotypes from Spain (ES12), Iceland (ICE2), Italy (IT4), and Norway (NOR2 and NOR29), we found statistically significant differences between plants from seeds produced at 18 or 28°C in three of four phenotypic features investigated under common garden conditions. This indicates the establishment of a temperature-induced epigenetic memory-like response during embryogenesis and seed development. The memory effect was significant in two ecotypes: in NOR2 flowering time, number of growth points and petiole length were affected, and in ES12 number of growth points was affected. This indicates that genetic differences between ecotypes in their epigenetic machinery, or other allelic differences, impact this type of plasticity. We observed statistically significant differences between ecotypes in DNA methylation marks in repetitive elements, pseudogenes and genic elements. Leaf transcriptomes were also affected by embryonic temperature in an ecotype-specific manner. Although we observed significant and lasting phenotypic change in at least some ecotypes, there was considerable variation in DNA methylation between individual plants within each temperature treatment. This within-treatment variability in DNA methylation marks in F. vesca progeny may partly be a result of allelic redistribution from recombination during meiosis and subsequent epigenetic reprogramming during embryogenesis. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.

PMID:37340851 | DOI:10.1111/ppl.13963

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Lack of compensation for COVID-19-related overtime work and its association with burnout among EMS providers in South Korea

Epidemiol Health. 2023 Jun 15:e2023058. doi: 10.4178/epih.e2023058. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: This study examined the association between lack of compensation for COVID-19-related overtime work (LCCOW) and burnout among emergency medical service (EMS) providers in Seoul, South Korea.

METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional survey of 693 EMS providers in Seoul, Korea. Participants were classified into 3 groups according to their experience of COVID-19-related overtime work and LCCOW: (i) “did not experience,” (ii) “experienced, was compensated,” and (iii) “experienced, was not compensated.” Burnout was measured using the Korean version of the Copenhagen Burnout Inventory, which has 3 subdomains: personal burnout (PB), work-related burnout (WRB), and citizen-related burnout (CRB). Multiple linear regression was applied to examine whether LCCOW was associated with burnout after adjusting for potential confounders.

RESULTS: In total, 74.2% of participants experienced COVID-19-related overtime work, and 14.6% of those who worked overtime experienced LCCOW. COVID-19-related overtime work showed a statistically non-significant association with burnout. However, the association differed by LCCOW. Compared to the “did not experience” group, the “experienced, was not compensated” group was associated with PB (β=10.519; 95% CI, 3.455‒17.584), WRB (β=10.339; 95% CI, 3.398‒17.280), and CRB (β=12.290; 95% CI, 6.900‒17.680), whereas no association was observed for the “experienced, was compensated” group. Furthermore, an analysis restricted to EMS providers who worked overtime due to COVID-19 showed that LCCOW was associated with PB (β=7.970; 95% CI, 1.064‒14.876), WRB (β=7.276; 95% CI, 0.270‒14.283), and CRB (β=10.000; 95% CI, 3.435‒16.565).

CONCLUSION: This study suggests that LCCOW could be critical in worsening burnout among EMS providers who worked overtime due to COVID-19.

PMID:37340845 | DOI:10.4178/epih.e2023058

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

HPV vaccine knowledge, attitudes, and practices among New York State medical providers, dentists, and pharmacists

Hum Vaccin Immunother. 2023 Aug 1;19(2):2219185. doi: 10.1080/21645515.2023.2219185.

ABSTRACT

Healthcare provider vaccine knowledge and attitudes influence delivery of a strong vaccine recommendation. We aim to describe HPV vaccine knowledge, attitudes, and recommendation or discussion practices (KAP) among New York State medical providers, dentists, and pharmacists. A survey to assess providers’ KAP was distributed electronically to NYS members of medical organizations. Descriptive and inferential statistical methods were used to characterize provider KAP. Responses from 1637 surveys were included, from 864 (53%) medical providers, 737 (45%) dentists, and 36 (2%) pharmacists. 59% (509/864) of medical providers responded that they recommend HPV vaccine to patients, with 390/509 (77%) strongly recommending vaccine at 11-12 years. Medical providers were more likely to report recommending HPV vaccine for children ages 11-12 years if they strongly agreed that HPV vaccine prevents cancer 326/391 (83%) vs 64/117 (55%) and responded that HPV vaccination does not increase the risk of unprotected sex (386/494 (78%) vs 4/15 (25%)) (p < .05). Less than 1/3 of dentists reported discussing HPV vaccine with 11-26-year-old females (230/737, 31%) and males (205/737, 28%) at least “sometimes.” Dentists were more likely to answer that they routinely discuss HPV vaccine with children ages 11-12 years if they responded that HPV vaccination does not increase sexual activity (70/73 (96%) vs 528/662 (80%), p < .001). Few pharmacists reported discussing HPV vaccine with 11-26-year-old females (6/36 (17%)) and males (5/36 (14%)) at least “sometimes.” Gaps in HPV vaccine knowledge among providers still exist and may influence vaccine attitudes and recommendation or discussion practices.

PMID:37340826 | DOI:10.1080/21645515.2023.2219185

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Differential treatment effect between younger and older adults for new cancer therapies in solid tumors supporting US Food and Drug Administration approval between 2010 and 2021

Cancer. 2023 Jun 20. doi: 10.1002/cncr.34911. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Over one half of cancer diagnoses occur in patients aged 65 and older. The authors quantified how treatment effects differ between older and younger patients in oncology registration trials.

METHODS: The authors performed a retrospective cohort study of registration trials supporting US Food and Drug Administration approval of cancer drugs (from January 2010 to December 2021). The primary outcome was differential treatment effect by age (younger than 65 years vs. 65 years or older) for progression-free survival and overall survival. Random effects meta-analysis and a pairwise comparison of outcomes by age group also were performed.

RESULTS: Among 263 trials that met the inclusion criteria, 120 trials with 153 end points and 83,152 patients presented age-specific outcome data. Among the included randomized patients, 38% were aged 65 years and older compared with an incidence proportion of 55% in data from the National Cancer Institute’s Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program. Studies evaluating prostate cancer had the highest representation of patients aged 65 years or older (73%), whereas breast cancer studies had the lowest (20%). There were no changes in the proportion of patients aged 65 years or older over time (p = .86). Only 7% of end points showed a statistically significant interaction between outcome and age group. In a pooled analysis, there was an association between treatment effect and age for progression-free survival that approached but did not meet significance (hazard ratio, 0.95; p = .06), and there was no difference for overall survival (hazard ratio, 0.97; p = .79).

CONCLUSIONS: Older adults remain under-represented in oncology registration trials. Significant differences in outcomes by age group were uncommon in individual trials and pooled analyses. However, clinical trial participants differ from real-world patients older than 65 years, and increased enrollment and ongoing research into differential treatment effects by age are needed.

PMID:37340792 | DOI:10.1002/cncr.34911

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

A reaction network scheme for hidden Markov model parameter learning

J R Soc Interface. 2023 Jun;20(203):20220877. doi: 10.1098/rsif.2022.0877. Epub 2023 Jun 21.

ABSTRACT

With a view towards artificial cells, molecular communication systems, molecular multiagent systems and federated learning, we propose a novel reaction network scheme (termed the Baum-Welch (BW) reaction network) that learns parameters for hidden Markov models (HMMs). All variables including inputs and outputs are encoded by separate species. Each reaction in the scheme changes only one molecule of one species to one molecule of another. The reverse change is also accessible but via a different set of enzymes, in a design reminiscent of futile cycles in biochemical pathways. We show that every positive fixed point of the BW algorithm for HMMs is a fixed point of the reaction network scheme, and vice versa. Furthermore, we prove that the ‘expectation’ step and the ‘maximization’ step of the reaction network separately converge exponentially fast and compute the same values as the E-step and the M-step of the BW algorithm. We simulate example sequences, and show that our reaction network learns the same parameters for the HMM as the BW algorithm, and that the log-likelihood increases continuously along the trajectory of the reaction network.

PMID:37340782 | DOI:10.1098/rsif.2022.0877

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Recovery From Otitis Media and Associated Factors Among 1- to 6-Year-Old Children in South India: A Longitudinal Study

J Audiol Otol. 2023 Jun 22. doi: 10.7874/jao.2022.00542. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: : This study was aimed at assessing recovery from otitis media (OM) and variables associated with it among 1- to 6-year-old children.

SUBJECTS AND METHODS: : We assessed 87 children with OM otologically and audiologically. Medicines were prescribed, and medication compliance was ensured. The children were followed up after 3 months to judge the status of OM as resolved or recurrent. Data were statistically analyzed to derive the risk of recurrence of OM with effusion (OME) and acute OM by degree of hearing loss, type of tympanogram, age group, and sex.

RESULTS: : The overall recurrence rate was 26%. The risk of recurrence was higher for OME (odds ratio [OR]=4.33; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.90 to 9.83); at AC auditory brainstem peak V responses up to 40 dBnHL (OR=5.20; 95% CI: 2.05 to 13), 50 dBnHL (OR=3.47; 95% CI: 0.5 to 23), and 60 dBnHL (OR=16.09; 95% CI: 4.36 to 1.2); in B (OR= 3.16; 95% CI: 1.36 to 7.33) and C tympanograms (OR=2.83; 95% CI: 0.70 to 11.41); and in the age group of 5-6 years (OR=8, 95% CI: 2.23 to 28). The risk of recurrence of OM did not differ between male and female patients.

CONCLUSIONS: : The rate of recurrence was comparable to or lower than that reported in the pediatric population of other countries. The findings suggest that children with OME, severe pathology, or age of 5-6 years require more attention and frequent monitoring to minimize the risk of recurrence.

PMID:37340774 | DOI:10.7874/jao.2022.00542

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Test-retest reliability of two different laser-based protocols to assess handgun shooting accuracy in military personnel

BMJ Mil Health. 2023 Jun 20:e002431. doi: 10.1136/military-2023-002431. Online ahead of print.

NO ABSTRACT

PMID:37339828 | DOI:10.1136/military-2023-002431

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Motivational interviewing and problem-solving therapy intervention for patients on antiretroviral therapy for HIV in Tshwane, South Africa: A randomized controlled trial to assess the impact on alcohol consumption

Addiction. 2023 Jun 20. doi: 10.1111/add.16278. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Reduction of alcohol consumption is important for people undergoing treatment for HIV. We tested the efficacy of a brief intervention for reducing the average volume of alcohol consumed among patients on HIV antiretroviral therapy (ART).

DESIGN, SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: This study used a two-arm multi-centre randomized controlled trial with follow-up to 6 months. Recruitment occurred between May 2016 and October 2017 at six ART clinics at public hospitals in Tshwane, South Africa. Participants were people living with HIV, mean age 40.8 years [standard deviation (SD) = 9.07], 57.5% female, and on average 6.9 years (SD = 3.62) on ART. At baseline (BL), the mean number of drinks consumed over the past 30 days was 25.2 (SD = 38.3). Of 756 eligible patients, 623 were enrolled.

INTERVENTION: Participants were randomly assigned to a motivational interviewing (MI)/problem-solving therapy (PST) intervention arm (four modules of MI and PST delivered over two sessions by interventionists) or a treatment as usual (TAU) comparison arm. People assessing outcomes were masked to group assignment.

MEASUREMENTS: The primary outcome was the number of standard drinks (15 ml pure alcohol) consumed during the past 30 days assessed at 6-month follow-up (6MFU).

FINDINGS: Of the 305 participants randomized to MI/PST, 225 (74%) completed the intervention (all modules). At 6MFU, retention was 88% for the control and 83% for the intervention arm. In support of the hypothesis, an intention-to-treat-analysis for the primary outcome at 6MFU was -0.410 (95% confidence interval = -0.670 to -0.149) units lower on log scale in the intervention group than in the control group (P = 0.002), a 34% relative reduction in the number of drinks. Sensitivity analyses were undertaken for patients who had alcohol use disorders identification test (AUDIT) scores ≥ 8 at BL (n = 299). Findings were similar to those of the whole sample.

CONCLUSIONS: In South Africa, a motivational interviewing/problem-solving therapy intervention significantly reduced drinking levels in HIV-infected patients on antiretroviral therapy at 6-month follow-up.

PMID:37339811 | DOI:10.1111/add.16278