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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Residential inequalities in health-related quality of life among women of reproductive age in four regions of Ethiopia: a decomposition analysis

BMC Womens Health. 2023 Jun 19;23(1):317. doi: 10.1186/s12905-023-02465-2.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Ethiopian rural-urban disparities in key domains of health-related quality of life among women in reproductive age have been huge. However, sources of such inequalities were not studied well. Therefore, this study aimed to assess inequalities in health-related quality of life among women residing in urban and rural areas in four regions of Ethiopia.

METHODS: This study used data extracted from the 2016 Ethiopian Demographic and Health Survey; collected at national level from January 18, 2016, to June 27, 2016. Stratified two stage cluster sampling method were used. The data collected from 2385 women in the age group 15-49 years who were living in four regions (Afar, Benishangul-Gumuz, Gambela, and Somali regions) of Ethiopia were used for this study. The outcome variable, Health-Related Quality of Life (HRQoL), was generated by Principal Component Analysis. Further, Multivariable Ordinary Least Square and Oaxaca decomposition threefold (interaction) were used in the analysis with a p-value less than 0.05 and 95% confidence interval to declare statistical significances.

RESULTS: Women education, region, religion, wealth index, and husband/partner education were identified as predictors of Health-Related Quality of Life. Women residing in rural areas had far lower health-related quality of life than those living in urban areas. The wealth index and educational level of women were the largest contributor of the inequality in health-related quality of life.

CONCLUSION: A substantial inequality in quality of life exist between women who reside in rural and urban areas in those four regions of Ethiopia. The socioeconomic factors more importantly wealth index and educational attainment explained the significant portion of the reported rural-urban disparities. Therefore, Policymakers and local administrators should pay more attention on interventions that promote education and narrowing gap in wealth in rural and urban settings.

PMID:37337215 | DOI:10.1186/s12905-023-02465-2

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Evidence for causal effects of polycystic ovary syndrome on oxidative stress: a two-sample mendelian randomisation study

BMC Med Genomics. 2023 Jun 19;16(1):141. doi: 10.1186/s12920-023-01581-0.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) is often accompanied by increased oxidative stress levels; however, it is still unclear whether PCOS itself is causally related to oxidative stress (OS), whether OS can increase the occurrence of PCOS, and which characteristics of PCOS increase OS levels. Therefore, this study explored the causal relationship between PCOS, its characteristics, and OS.

METHODS: Two-sample bidirectional and two-sample Mendelian randomisation studies were performed based on publicly available statistics from genome-wide association studies. PCOS; its characteristics, such as testosterone, low-density lipoprotein, high-density lipoprotein; and 11 major OS markers (superoxide dismutase, glutathione S-transferase, glutathione peroxidase, catalase, uric acid, zinc, tocopherol, ascorbic acid, retinol, albumin, and total bilirubin), were studied. The main analytical method used was inverse variance weighting (IVW). Pleiotropy was evaluated using the Mendelian randomisation-Egger intercept. Q and P values were used to assess heterogeneity.

RESULTS: There was no causal relationship between PCOS and the OS indices (all P > 0.05). There was a causal relationship between the OS index, ascorbate level, and PCOS (IVW, odds ratio: 2.112, 95% confidence interval: 1.257-3.549, P = 0.005). In addition, there was a causal relationship between testosterone, low-density lipoprotein, high-density lipoprotein, sex hormone-binding globulin, body mass index, triacylglycerol, age at menarche, and most OS indices according to the IVW method. The F statistics showed that there was no weak instrumental variable. A sensitivity analysis was performed using the leave-one-out method. No pleiotropy was observed. The results were robust, and the conclusions were reliable.

CONCLUSIONS: This study showed for the first time that there was no causal relationship between PCOS and OS. However, there was a causal relationship between the OS index, ascorbate level, and PCOS. It revealed that PCOS itself could not increase OS, and the increase in OS in PCOS was related to other potential factors, such as testosterone, low-density lipoprotein, high-density lipoprotein, sex hormone-binding globulin, body mass index, triacylglycerol, and age at menarche.

PMID:37337194 | DOI:10.1186/s12920-023-01581-0

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Child socioemotional behavior and adult temperament as predictors of physical activity and sedentary behavior in late adulthood

BMC Public Health. 2023 Jun 19;23(1):1179. doi: 10.1186/s12889-023-16110-y.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Most studies investigating the association of temperament with physical activity and sedentary behavior have examined children or adolescents, employed cross-sectional or longitudinal designs that do not extend from childhood into adulthood, and utilized self- or parent-reported data on physical activity and sedentary behavior. This longitudinal study investigated whether socioemotional behavior in childhood and temperament in middle adulthood predict accelerometer-measured physical activity and sedentary behavior in late adulthood.

METHODS: This study was based on the Jyväskylä Longitudinal Study of Personality and Social Development (JYLS). Socioemotional behavior (behavioral activity, well-controlled behavior, negative emotionality) was assessed at age 8 based on teacher ratings, whereas temperament (surgency, effortful control, negative affectivity, orienting sensitivity) was assessed at age 42 based on self-rating. Moderate-to-vigorous physical activity and sedentary behavior were assessed at age 61 using an accelerometer. Data (N = 142) were analyzed using linear regression analysis.

RESULTS: In women, behavioral activity at age 8 predicted higher levels of daily sedentary behavior at age 61. The association did not remain statistically significant after controlling for participant’s occupational status. In addition, women’s negative affectivity at age 42 predicted lower daily moderate-to-vigorous physical activity at age 61, particularly during leisure time. No statistically significant results were observed in men.

CONCLUSIONS: Although few weak associations of socioemotional behavior and temperament with physical activity and sedentary behavior were detected in women, they were observed over several decades, and thus, deserve attention in future studies. In addition to other factors contributing to physical activity and sedentary behavior, health professionals may be sensitive to individual characteristics, such as a tendency to experience more negative emotions, when doing health counseling or planning for health-promoting interventions targeting physical activity and sedentary behavior.

PMID:37337189 | DOI:10.1186/s12889-023-16110-y

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Global patterns of genomic and phenotypic variation in the invasive harlequin ladybird

BMC Biol. 2023 Jun 19;21(1):141. doi: 10.1186/s12915-023-01638-7.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The harlequin ladybird Harmonia axyridis (Coleoptera: Coccinellidae), native to Asia, has been introduced to other major continents where it has caused serious negative impacts on local biodiversity. Though notable advances to understand its invasion success have been made during the past decade, especially with then newer molecular tools, the conclusions reached remain to be confirmed with more advanced genomic analyses and especially using more samples from larger geographical regions across the native range. Furthermore, although H. axyridis is one of the best studied invasive insect species with respect to life history traits (often comparing invasive and native populations), the traits responsible for its colonization success in non-native areas warrant more research.

RESULTS: Our analyses of genome-wide nuclear population structure indicated that an eastern Chinese population could be the source of all non-native populations and revealed several putatively adaptive candidate genomic loci involved in body color variation, visual perception, and hemolymph synthesis. Our estimates of evolutionary history indicate (1) asymmetric migration with varying population sizes across its native and non-native range, (2) a recent admixture between eastern Chinese and American populations in Europe, (3) signatures of a large progressive, historical bottleneck in the common ancestors of both populations and smaller effective sizes of the non-native population, and (4) the southwest origin and subsequent dispersal routes within its native range in China. In addition, we found that while two mitochondrial haplotypes-Hap1 and Hap2 were dominant in the native range, Hap1 was the only dominant haplotype in the non-native range. Our laboratory observations in both China and USA found statistical yet slight differences between Hap1 and Hap2 in some of life history traits.

CONCLUSIONS: Our study on H. axyridis provides new insights into its invasion processes into other major continents from its native Asian range, reconstructs a geographic range evolution across its native region China, and tentatively suggests that its invasiveness may differ between mitochondrial haplotypes.

PMID:37337183 | DOI:10.1186/s12915-023-01638-7

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

An effectiveness and economic analyses of tricalcium phosphate combined with iliac bone graft versus RhBMP-2 in single-level XLIF surgery in Thailand

BMC Musculoskelet Disord. 2023 Jun 19;24(1):503. doi: 10.1186/s12891-023-06590-9.

ABSTRACT

STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective study.

OBJECTIVES: To perform effectiveness and economic analyses using data from a retrospective study of patients who underwent XLIF surgery using tricalcium phosphate combined with iliac bone graft (TCP + IBG) or BMP-2 in Thailand.

METHODS: Data were collected from retrospective review of the medical charts and the spine registry of Siriraj Hospital, Bangkok, Thailand. The patients were divided into two groups (TCP + IBG group and BMP-2 group). Demographic, perioperative data, radiographic, clinical results, and quality of life related to health were collected and analyzed at 2-year follow-up. All economic data were collected during the perioperative period and presented as total charge, bone graft, implant/instrumentation, operative service, surgical supply, transfusion, medication, anesthesia, laboratory, and physical therapy.

RESULTS: Twenty-five TCP + IBG and 30 BMP-2 patients with spondylolisthesis and spinal stenosis as primary diagnosis were included. There were no significant differences in all demographic parameters (gender, age, underlying disease, diagnosis, and level of spine) between these two groups. During the perioperative period, the TCP + IBG group had more mean blood loss and more postoperative complications compared to the BMP-2 group. At 2 years of follow-up, there were no significant differences between the radiographic and clinical outcomes of the TCP + IBG and BMP-2 groups. The fusion rate for TCP + IBG and BMP-2 at 2 years of follow-up was 80% and 96.7%, respectively, and no statistically significant differences were observed. All clinical outcomes (Utility, Oswestry Disability Index, and EuroQol Visual Analog Scale) at 2-year follow-up improved significantly compared to preoperative outcomes, but there were no significant differences between the TCP + IBG and BMP-2 groups, either at preoperatively or at 2-year follow-up. The total charge of TCP + IBG was statistically significantly lower than that of BMP-2. Furthermore, the charges of TCP + IBG and BMP-2 during the perioperative period in Thailand were up to three times less than those in the United States.

CONCLUSIONS: Using TCP + IBG as a standalone bone substitution for XLIF surgery with additional posterior instrumentation resulted in significantly lower direct medical charge compared to those using BMP-2 in the perioperative period. However, we could not detect a difference in the long-term radiographic and clinical outcomes of patients with TCP + IBG and BMP-2. These suggest that TCP + IBG may be a valuable alterative bone graft, especially in low- and middle-income countries.

PMID:37337174 | DOI:10.1186/s12891-023-06590-9

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Use and misuse of random forest variable importance metrics in medicine: demonstrations through incident stroke prediction

BMC Med Res Methodol. 2023 Jun 19;23(1):144. doi: 10.1186/s12874-023-01965-x.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Machine learning tools such as random forests provide important opportunities for modeling large, complex modern data generated in medicine. Unfortunately, when it comes to understanding why machine learning models are predictive, applied research continues to rely on ‘out of bag’ (OOB) variable importance metrics (VIMPs) that are known to have considerable shortcomings within the statistics community. After explaining the limitations of OOB VIMPs – including bias towards correlated features and limited interpretability – we describe a modern approach called ‘knockoff VIMPs’ and explain its advantages.

METHODS: We first evaluate current VIMP practices through an in-depth literature review of 50 recent random forest manuscripts. Next, we recommend organized and interpretable strategies for analysis with knockoff VIMPs, including computing them for groups of features and considering multiple model performance metrics. To demonstrate methods, we develop a random forest to predict 5-year incident stroke in the Sleep Heart Health Study and compare results based on OOB and knockoff VIMPs.

RESULTS: Nearly all papers in the literature review contained substantial limitations in their use of VIMPs. In our demonstration, using OOB VIMPs for individual variables suggested two highly correlated lung function variables (forced expiratory volume, forced vital capacity) as the best predictors of incident stroke, followed by age and height. Using an organized analytic approach that considered knockoff VIMPs of both groups of features and individual features, the largest contributions to model sensitivity were medications (especially cardiovascular) and measured medical risk factors, while the largest contributions to model specificity were age, diastolic blood pressure, self-reported medical risk factors, polysomnography features, and pack-years of smoking. Thus, we reach very different conclusions about stroke risk factors using OOB VIMPs versus knockoff VIMPs.

CONCLUSIONS: The near-ubiquitous reliance on OOB VIMPs may provide misleading results for researchers who use such methods to guide their research. Given the rapid pace of scientific inquiry using machine learning, it is essential to bring modern knockoff VIMPs that are interpretable and unbiased into widespread applied practice to steer researchers using random forest machine learning toward more meaningful results.

PMID:37337173 | DOI:10.1186/s12874-023-01965-x

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

County incidence and geospatial trends of early-onset hypertensive disorders of pregnancy in Kentucky, 2008-2017

BMC Pregnancy Childbirth. 2023 Jun 19;23(1):453. doi: 10.1186/s12884-023-05699-y.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Early-onset hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (eHDP) are associated with more severe maternal and infant outcomes than later-onset disease. However, little has been done to evaluate population-level trends. Therefore, in this paper, we seek to address this understudied area by describing the geospatial and temporal patterns of county-level incidence of eHDP and assessing county-level demographics that may be associated with an increased incidence of eHDP.

METHODS: Employing Kentucky certificates of live and stillbirth from 2008-2017, this ecological study detected county-level clusters of early-onset hypertensive disorders of pregnancy using SaTScan, calculated average annual percent change (AAPC) with a join point analysis, and identified county-level covariates (% of births to women ≥ 35 years of age, % with BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2, % currently smoking, % married, and % experienced eHDP) with a fixed-effects negative binomial regression model for longitudinal data with an autoregressive (AR) correlation structure offset with the natural log of the number of births in each county and year.

RESULTS: County-level incidence of eHDP had a non-statistically significant increase of almost 3% (AAPC: 2.84, 95% CI: -4.26, 10.46), while maternal smoking decreased by almost 6% over the study period (AAPC:-5.8%, 95%CI: -7.5, -4.1), Risk factors for eHDP such as pre-pregnancy BMI ≥ 30 and proportion of births to women ≥ 35 years of age increased by 2.3% and 3.4% respectively (BMI AAPC:2.3, 95% CI: 0.94, 3.7; ≥ 35 years AAPC:3.4, 95% CI: 0.66, 6.3). After adjusting for race, county-level proportions of college attainment, and maternal smoking throughout pregnancy, counties with the highest proportion of births to women with BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2 reported an eHDP incidence 20% higher than counties with a lower proportion of births to mothers with a BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2 and a 20% increase in eHDP incidence (aRR = 1.20, 95% CI: 1.00, 1.44). We also observed that counties with the highest proportion vs. the lowest of mothers ≥ 35 years old (> 6.1%) had a 26% higher incidence of eHDP (RR = 1.26, 95%CI: 1.04, 1.50) compared to counties with the lowest incidence (< 2.5%). We further identified two county-level clusters of elevated eHDP rates. We also observed that counties with the highest vs. lowest proportion of mothers ≥ 34 years old (> 6.1% vs. < 2.5%) had a 26% increase in the incidence of eHDP (RR = 1.26, 95% CI: 1.04, 1.50). We further identified two county-level clusters of elevated incidence of eHDP.

CONCLUSIONS: This study identified two county-level clusters of eHDP, county-level covariates associated with eHDP, and that while increasing, the average rate of increase for eHDP was not statistically significant. This study also identified the reduction in maternal smoking over the study period and the concerning increase in rates of elevated pre-pregnancy BMI among mothers. Further work to explore the population-level trends in this understudied pregnancy complication is needed to identify community factors that may contribute to disease and inform prevention strategies.

PMID:37337164 | DOI:10.1186/s12884-023-05699-y

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The Werther effect following the suicides of three korean celebrities (2017-2018): an ecological time-series study

BMC Public Health. 2023 Jun 19;23(1):1173. doi: 10.1186/s12889-023-16080-1.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The suicide rate in Korea was the highest among the member countries of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development(OECD) for 2013-2016 and 2018-2020. In korea, suicide was the leading cause of death among individuals aged 10-39, and the second leading cause of death for aged 40-59. Thus, this study aimed to examine the Werther effect of the suicides of three Korean idol singers (Jonghyun: December 18, 2017, Sulli: October 14, 2019, and Hara Gu: November 24, 2019).

METHODS: The study conducted Poisson regression and used the cause-of-death statistics microdata from 2016 to 2020 provided by Statistics Korea. The case periods ranged from the day of the suicide of each celebrity to 10 weeks after. The control periods were all weeks from 2016 to 2020, excluding the case periods.

RESULTS: The suicide rates in Korea significantly increased by 1.21, 1.30, and 1.28 times after the deaths of Jonghyun, Sulli, and Hara Gu, respectively. The Werther effect was more evident in women than men. Suicide rate among individuals aged 10-29 years was greater than those for other age groups.

CONCLUSIONS: This study confirmed that the rate of copycat suicides increased after three celebrity singers in Korea died by suicide. Nevertheless, the rate of suicide after the suicide of the three celebrity singers was lower than those in previous studies in Korea.

PMID:37337158 | DOI:10.1186/s12889-023-16080-1

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The trinomial health, safety and happiness promote rural tourism

BMC Public Health. 2023 Jun 19;23(1):1177. doi: 10.1186/s12889-023-15849-8.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Health and safety protocols have become a requirement to promote rural tourism (PRT). From this perspective, this paper empirically analyses how the health and safety dimensions influence the happiness of hotel managers and rural tourists in the post-Covid 19 era.

METHODS: A theory-based structural equation model will be carried out of activation of norms, that measure variables: sanitary, socioeconomic, and safety. Precisely, we will measure how those three attributes affect the managers-guests’ health in rural areas and their search for happiness at the rural destination. Based on the above, a field of study has been 215 rural tourist accommodations in the Extremadura region (Spain) and a sample population of 443 guests. Data were organised through the SEM-PLS path modelling.

RESULTS: The results achieved statistically show the need to undertake a new model of healthier and safer tourism consumption that values the tourist resources of rural areas, especially nearby and sustainable destinations, based on the guiding principles of safety, health, and happiness.

CONCLUSIONS: The first conclusion is that promoting tourist destinations under safe and healthy conditions has become a priority objective in the tourism industry. The second conclusion that follows from the first is that the variables safety and health and the pursuit of happiness are essential factors in promoting tourist destinations for rural hotel managers and rural tourists. The third conclusion related to the first two is that the opportunity that this study provides to develop strategies of an innovative, sustainable, and creative nature based on the relationships of the new trinomial of health, safety and happiness, from the perspective of happiness management.

PMID:37337150 | DOI:10.1186/s12889-023-15849-8

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Relationship between alexithymia, loneliness, resilience and non-suicidal self-injury in adolescents with depression: a multi-center study

BMC Psychiatry. 2023 Jun 19;23(1):445. doi: 10.1186/s12888-023-04938-y.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Non-suicidal self-injury (NSSI) behaviors are prevalent in adolescents and have adverse effects on physical and mental health. However, little is known about the relationship between NSSI and alexithymia, or the underlying mechanisms that could explain this relationship. This study aimed to elucidate the current status of NSSI in adolescent depression, and analyze the relationship between alexithymia, loneliness, resilience, and adolescent depression with NSSI, so as to provide a theoretical basis for psychotherapeutic interventions.

METHOD: The study sample involved inpatients and outpatients from 12 hospitals across China and adolescents with depression who met the DSM-5 diagnostic criteria for depression episode. The following scales were used: The Functional Assessment of Self-Mutilation, Toronto Alexithymia Scale, UCLA Loneliness Scale, and Connor Davidson Resilience Scale.

RESULTS: The detection rate of NSSI in adolescents with depression from 2021.01.01-2022.01.01 was 76.06% (1782/2343). Spearman’s correlation analysis revealed a significant correlation between alexithymia, loneliness, resilience and NSSI in depressed adolescents, and the results of the non-parametric test showed that the differences between the two groups for each factor were statistically significant. Binary logistic regression results showed that alexithymia (B = 0.023, p = 0.003, OR = 1.023, 95% CI: 1.008-1.038) and depression (B = 0.045, p < 0.001, OR = 1.046, 95% CI: 1.026-1.066) are risk factors for NSSI, resilience (B = – 0.052, p < 0.001, OR = 0.949, 95% CI: 0.935 – 0.964) is a protective factor for NSSI. Alexithymia directly predicted NSSI and also indirectly influenced NSSI through the mediated effect of resilience. Loneliness moderates the first half of the path of this mediated model.

CONCLUSION: The present study confirms a moderated mediation effect: Alexithymia can have an impact on NSSI behaviors in depressed adolescents through the mediating role of resilience. Loneliness, as a moderating variable, moderated the first half of the pathway of the mediating model. We discuss perspectives for future research and interventions based on the findings of the study.

PMID:37337144 | DOI:10.1186/s12888-023-04938-y