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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Persistent lymphocyte reduction and interleukin-6 levels are independently associated with death in patients with COVID-19

Clin Exp Med. 2023 Jun 13. doi: 10.1007/s10238-023-01114-0. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

To investigate the value of the peripheral blood lymphocyte count (LYM) combined with interleukin-6 (IL-6) in predicting disease severity and prognosis in patients with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) pneumonia. This was a prospective observational cohort study. A total of 109 patients with SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia who were admitted to Nanjing First Hospital from December 2022 to January 2023 were enrolled. The patients were divided into two groups based on disease severity: severe (46 patients) and critically ill (63 patients). The clinical data of all patients were collected. The clinical characteristics, sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score, peripheral blood lymphocyte count, IL-6 level and other laboratory test results were compared between the two groups. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was plotted to evaluate the predictive value of each index for SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia severity; patients were regrouped using the optimal cut-off value of the ROC curve, and the relationship between different LYM and IL-6 levels and the prognosis of patients was analysed. Kaplan‒Meier survival curve analysis was performed; in the different LYM and IL-6 groups, the patients were regrouped based on whether thymosin was used, and the effect of thymosin on patient prognosis was compared between the groups. Patients in the critically ill group were significantly older than patients in the severe group (age: 78 ± 8 vs. 71 ± 17, t = 2.982, P < 0.05), and the proportion of patients with hypertension, diabetes and cerebrovascular disease was significantly higher in the critically ill group than in the severe group (69.8% vs. 45.7%, 38.1% vs. 17.4%, 36.5% vs. 13.0%; χ2 values, 6.462, 5.495, 7.496, respectively, all P < 0.05). Compared with the severe group, the critically ill group had a higher SOFA score on admission (score: 5.4 ± 3.0 vs. 1.9 ± 1.5, t = 24.269, P < 0.05); IL-6 and procalcitonin (PCT) in the critically ill group were significantly higher than those in the severe group on the first day of admission [288.4 (191.4, 412.9) vs. 513.0 (288.2, 857.4), 0.4 (0.1, 3.2) vs. 0.1 (0.05, 0.2); Z values, 4.000, 4.456, both P < 0.05]. The lymphocyte count continued to decline, and the lymphocyte count on the 5th day (LYM-5d) was still low (0.6 ± 0.4 vs. 1.0 ± 0.4, t = 4.515, both P < 0.05), with statistically significant differences between the two groups. ROC curve analysis indicated that LYM-5d, IL-6 and LYM-5d + IL-6 all had value for predicting SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia severity; the areas under the curve (AUCs) were 0.766, 0.725, and 0.817, respectively, and the 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) were 0.676-0.856, 0.631-0.819, and 0.737-0.897, respectively. The optimal cut-off values for LYM-5d and IL-6 were 0.7 × 109/L and 416.4 pg/ml, respectively. LYM-5d + IL-6 had the greatest value in predicting disease severity, and LYM-5d had higher sensitivity and specificity in predicting SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia severity. Regrouping was performed based on the optimal cut-off values for LYM-5d and IL-6. Comparing the IL-6 ≥ 416.4 pg/ml and LYM-5d < 0.7 × 109/L group with the other group, i.e., patients in the non-low-LYM-5d and high-IL-6 group, patients in the low-LYM-5d and high-IL-6 group had a higher 28-day mortality rate (71.9% vs. 29.9%, χ2 value 16.352, P < 0.05) and a longer hospital stay, intensive care unit (ICU) stay and mechanical ventilation time (days: 13.7 ± 6.3 vs. 8.4 ± 4.3, 9.0 (7.0, 11.5) vs. 7.5 (4.0, 9.5), 8.0 (6.0, 10.0) vs. 6.0 (3.3, 8.5); t/Z values, 11.657, 2.113, 2.553, respectively, all P < 0.05), as well as a higher incidence of secondary bacterial infection during the disease course (75.0% vs. 41.6%, χ2 value 10.120, P < 0.05). Kaplan‒Meier survival analysis indicated that the median survival time of patients in the low LYM-5d and high-IL-6 group was significantly shorter than that of patients in the non-low LYM-5d and high-IL-6 group (14.5 ± 1.8 d vs. 22.2 ± 1.1 d, Z value 18.086, P < 0.05). There was no significant difference in the curative effect between the thymosin group and the nonthymosin group. LYM and IL-6 levels are closely related to SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia severity. The prognosis for patients with IL-6 ≥ 416.4 pg/ml at admission and a lymphocyte count < 0.7 × 10 9/L on the 5th day is poor.

PMID:37310657 | DOI:10.1007/s10238-023-01114-0

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Sex differences in thromboprophylaxis of the critically ill: a secondary analysis of a randomized trial

Can J Anaesth. 2023 Jun 13. doi: 10.1007/s12630-023-02457-8. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a common complication of critical illness. Sex- or gender-based analyses are rarely conducted and their effect on outcomes is unknown. We assessed for an effect modification of thromboprophylaxis (dalteparin or unfractionated heparin [UFH]) by sex on thrombotic (deep venous thrombosis [DVT], pulmonary embolism [PE], VTE) and mortality outcomes in a secondary analysis of the Prophylaxis for Thromboembolism in Critical Care Trial (PROTECT).

METHODS: We conducted unadjusted analyses using Cox proportional hazards analysis, stratified by centre and admission diagnostic category, including sex, treatment, and an interaction term. Additionally, we performed adjusted analyses and assessed the credibility of our findings.

RESULTS: Critically ill female (n = 1,614) and male (n = 2,113) participants experienced similar rates of DVT, proximal DVT, PE, any VTE, ICU death, and hospital death. In unadjusted analyses, we did not find significant differences in treatment effect favouring males (vs females) treated with dalteparin (vs UFH) for proximal leg DVT, any DVT, or any PE, but found a statistically significant effect (moderate certainty) favouring dalteparin in males for any VTE (males: hazard ratio [HR], 0.71; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.52 to 0.96 vs females: HR, 1.16; 95% CI, 0.81 to 1.68; P = 0.04). This effect remained after adjustment for baseline characteristics (males: HR, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.52 to 0.96 vs females: HR, 1.17; 95% CI, 0.81 to 1.68; P = 0.04) and weight (males: HR, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.52 to 0.96 vs females: HR, 1.20; 95% CI, 0.83 to 1.73; P = 0.03). We did not identify a significant effect modification by sex on mortality.

CONCLUSIONS: We found an effect modification by sex of thromboprophylaxis on VTE in critically ill patients that requires confirmation. Our findings highlight the need for sex- and gender-based analyses in acute care research.

PMID:37310606 | DOI:10.1007/s12630-023-02457-8

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The effect of traffic at speed bumps in residential areas on noise and air pollution

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2023 Jun 13. doi: 10.1007/s11356-023-28187-4. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Although transportation systems are an increasing necessity in today’s connected world, the over-reliance on internal combustion engine vehicles has caused an increase in air and noise pollution. Air and noise pollutions are among the negative environmental factors that contribute to disease occurrence due to their negative health consequences. Literature has showed that air and noise pollutions were responsible for thousands of premature deaths in Europe. This has pushed scientists to search for models to calculate the effect of traffic on air and noise pollution, to help predict future scenarios, and to work on ways to mitigate that increase in pollution. In this paper, a statistical model is done by using data measured for 25 speed bump locations in Kuwait, which included traffic flow data in the form of vehicle count and classification, as well as noise level measurements taken through an Amprobe SM20 sound meter, in addition to air pollutant data obtained from the Environment Public Authority (EPA) in Kuwait. The results of the multivariate linear regression model showed that high traffic counts resulted in significantly higher noise levels, reaching more than 70 decibels in certain locations, which is considered unhealthy for extended time periods. The model also showed that sulfur dioxide levels were impacted by both light and heavy vehicles, while particulate matter less than 10 µm was affected mainly by heavy vehicles. An online survey on speed bumps was completed by 803 participants to understand the behavior of people at speed bumps in Kuwait and understand if age and gender might be a predictor of how people would behave, and this was done by doing Pearson’s chi-squared correlation tests on the results obtained from the survey.

PMID:37310605 | DOI:10.1007/s11356-023-28187-4

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The Occipital Nerves Applied Strain Test to Support Occipital Neuralgia Diagnosis

Pain Ther. 2023 Jun 13. doi: 10.1007/s40122-023-00532-y. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Occipital neuralgia (ON) is a disabling cephalalgia form with demanding diagnostic workflow. We report the description and reliability analyses of the occipital nerves-applied strain (ONAS) test for occipital neuralgia (ON) early-stage diagnosis in cephalalgia patients.

METHODS: In a retrospective and observational study, we evaluated, among n = 163 consecutive cephalalgia patients, the sensitivity, specificity, and prior probability [positive (PPV) and negative (NPV) predictive values] of the ONAS test against two reference tests (occipital nerve anesthetic block and the painDETECT questionnaire). Multinomial logistic regression (MLR) and χ2 analyses verified the ONAS test outcome’s dependence upon independent variables (gender, age, pain site, block test, and painDETECT outcomes). We assessed inter-rater agreement with Cohen’s kappa statistic.

RESULTS: ONAS test showed sensitivity and specificity of 81 and 18%, respectively, against the painDETECT and of 94 and 46%, respectively, against the block test. PPV was > 70% against both tests, while NPV was 81% against the block test and 26% against the painDETECT. Interrater agreement Cohen’s kappa was excellent. Significant association (χ2 analyses) and relationship (MLR) were found only between ONAS test and pain site but not with the other independent predictors.

CONCLUSIONS: The ONAS test showed satisfactory reliability among cephalalgia patients; thus, it might be considered a valuable early stage tool for ON diagnosis in these patients.

PMID:37310572 | DOI:10.1007/s40122-023-00532-y

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Virtual monoenergetic dual-layer dual-energy CT images in colorectal cancer: CT diagnosis could be improved?

Radiol Med. 2023 Jun 13. doi: 10.1007/s11547-023-01663-0. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: To compare conventional CT images and virtual monoenergetic images (VMI) at dual-layer dual-energy CT (dlDECT) in patients with colorectal cancer (CRC) through quantitative analysis and to investigate the added value of VMI.

MATERIAL AND METHODS: Sixty-six consecutive patients with histologically documented CRC and available VMI reconstructions were retrospectively investigated. Subsequently, forty-two patients, without any colonic disease at colonoscopy, were selected as control group. Conventional CT images and VMI reconstructions at energy levels ranging from 40 (VMI40) to 100 keV (VMI100) in 10 keV increments, were obtained from the late arterial phase. First, signal-to-noise (SNR) and contrast-to-noise (CNR) ratios were obtained to select the best VMI reconstruction. Finally, the diagnostic accuracy of conventional CT and VMI40 in late arterial phase was evaluated.

RESULTS: On quantitative analysis, SNR and CNR were higher for VMI40 (19.5 ± 7.7 and 11.8 ± 6.2, respectively) with statistically significant differences compared to conventional CT (P < 0.05) and all the other VMI reconstructions (P < 0.05), except for VMI50 (P > 0.05). The addition of VMI40 to conventional CT images significantly improved the area under the curve (AUC) for the diagnosis of CRC, increasing it from 0.875 to 0.943 for reader 1 (P < 0.05) and from 0.916 to 0.954 for reader 2 (P < 0.05). The improvement was greater in the less experienced radiologist (0.068) compared to the more experienced one (0.037).

CONCLUSION: VMI40 has showed the highest quantitative image parameters. Furthermore, the use of VMI40 can lead to a significant improvement in the diagnostic performance for detecting CRC.

PMID:37310558 | DOI:10.1007/s11547-023-01663-0

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Designing Weights for Quartet-Based Methods When Data are Heterogeneous Across Lineages

Bull Math Biol. 2023 Jun 13;85(7):68. doi: 10.1007/s11538-023-01167-y.

ABSTRACT

Homogeneity across lineages is a general assumption in phylogenetics according to which nucleotide substitution rates are common to all lineages. Many phylogenetic methods relax this hypothesis but keep a simple enough model to make the process of sequence evolution more tractable. On the other hand, dealing successfully with the general case (heterogeneity of rates across lineages) is one of the key features of phylogenetic reconstruction methods based on algebraic tools. The goal of this paper is twofold. First, we present a new weighting system for quartets (ASAQ) based on algebraic and semi-algebraic tools, thus especially indicated to deal with data evolving under heterogeneous rates. This method combines the weights of two previous methods by means of a test based on the positivity of the branch lengths estimated with the paralinear distance. ASAQ is statistically consistent when applied to data generated under the general Markov model, considers rate and base composition heterogeneity among lineages and does not assume stationarity nor time-reversibility. Second, we test and compare the performance of several quartet-based methods for phylogenetic tree reconstruction (namely QFM, wQFM, quartet puzzling, weight optimization and Willson’s method) in combination with several systems of weights, including ASAQ weights and other weights based on algebraic and semi-algebraic methods or on the paralinear distance. These tests are applied to both simulated and real data and support weight optimization with ASAQ weights as a reliable and successful reconstruction method that improves upon the accuracy of global methods (such as neighbor-joining or maximum likelihood) in the presence of long branches or on mixtures of distributions on trees.

PMID:37310552 | DOI:10.1007/s11538-023-01167-y

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Dual Versus Mono Antiplatelet Therapy in Patients with Acute Mild-to-Moderate Stroke: A Multicentre Perspective Cohort Study

Cardiovasc Drugs Ther. 2023 Jun 13. doi: 10.1007/s10557-023-07468-7. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The purpose of this study was to evaluate the association between different antiplatelet therapy regimens and the functional outcomes and bleeding complications among mild-to-moderate ischaemic stroke patients based on real-world data.

METHODS: We used data from the SEACOAST trial (Safety and efficacy of aspirin-clopidogrel in acute noncardiogenic minor ischaemic stroke) to analyse the data of patients with mild-to-moderate stroke within 72 h after onset who were treated with aspirin or clopidogrel alone or a combination of clopidogrel and aspirin from September 2019 to November 2021. Propensity score matching (PSM) was used to balance the differences between groups. We performed an analysis to evaluate the association of different antiplatelet regimens and 90-day disability, which was defined as a modified Rankin Scale score ≥2, as well as disability ascribed to index or recurrent stroke by the local investigator. In terms of safety, we then compared the bleeding events between the two groups.

RESULTS: A total of 2822 mild-to-moderate ischaemic stroke patients were treated with either clopidogrel plus aspirin (n = 1726, 61.2%) or aspirin/clopidogrel (n = 1096, 38.8%). Of 1726 patients in the dual antiplatelet group, 1350 (78.5%) received less than or equal to 30 days of combined therapy. At 90 days, 433 (15.3%) patients were disabled. Patients who received combined therapy had a lower overall disability rate (13.7% versus 17.9%; OR 0.78 (0.6-1.01); P = 0.064). However, investigators found that index stroke was the reason for significantly fewer patients in the dual antiplatelet group having disability (8.4% versus 12%; OR, 0.72 (0.52-0.98); P = 0.038). There was no statistically significant difference in the incidence of moderate to severe bleeding complications between the dual and mono antiplatelet drug regimens (0.4% versus 0.2%; HR 1.5 (0.25, 8.98); P = 0.657).

CONCLUSION: Aspirin plus clopidogrel was associated with a reduction in the incidence of disability attributed to index stroke. There was no statistically significant difference in the incidence of moderate to severe bleeding complications between the two antiplatelet drug regimens.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ChiCTR1900025214.

PMID:37310551 | DOI:10.1007/s10557-023-07468-7

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Gut Microbiome Composition in Lynch Syndrome With and Without History of Colorectal Neoplasia and Non-Lynch Controls

J Gastrointest Cancer. 2023 Jun 13. doi: 10.1007/s12029-023-00925-4. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: While Lynch syndrome (LS) is a highly penetrant colorectal cancer (CRC) syndrome, there is considerable variation in penetrance; few studies have investigated the association between microbiome and CRC risk in LS. We analyzed the microbiome composition among individuals with LS with and without personal history of colorectal neoplasia (CRN) and non-LS controls.

METHODS: We sequenced the V4 region of the 16S rRNA gene from the stool of 46 individuals with LS and 53 individuals without LS. We characterized within community and in between community microbiome variation, compared taxon abundance, and built machine learning models to investigate the differences in microbiome.

RESULTS: There was no difference within or between community variations among LS groups, but there was a statistically significant difference in both within and between community variation comparing LS to non-LS. Streptococcus and Actinomyces were differentially enriched in LS-CRC compared to LS-without CRN. There were numerous differences in taxa abundance comparing LS to non-LS; notably, Veillonella was enriched and Faecalibacterium and Romboutsia were depleted in LS. Finally, machine learning models classifying LS from non-LS controls and LS-CRC from LS-without CRN performed moderately well.

CONCLUSIONS: Differences in microbiome composition between LS and non-LS may suggest a microbiome pattern unique to LS formed by underlying differences in epithelial biology and immunology. We found specific taxa differences among LS groups, which may be due to underlying anatomy. Larger prospective studies following for CRN diagnosis and microbiome composition changes are needed to determine if microbiome composition contributes to CRN development in patients with LS.

PMID:37310549 | DOI:10.1007/s12029-023-00925-4

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Combined High-Volume Common Complex Cancer Operations Safeguard Long-Term Survival in a Low-Volume Individual Cancer Operation Setting

Ann Surg Oncol. 2023 Jun 13. doi: 10.1245/s10434-023-13680-4. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: We previously demonstrated the importance of combined complex surgery volume on short-term outcomes of high-risk cancer operations. This study investigates the impact of combined common complex cancer operation volume on long-term outcomes at hospitals with low cancer-specific operation volumes.

PATIENTS AND METHODS: A retrospective cohort of National Cancer Data Base (2004-2019) patients undergoing surgery for hepatocellular carcinoma, non-small cell lung cancers, or pancreatic, gastric, esophageal, or rectal adenocarcinomas was utilized. Three separate cohorts were established: low-volume hospitals (LVH), mixed-volume hospitals (MVH) with low-volume individual cancer operations and high-volume total complex operations, and high-volume hospitals (HVH). Survival analyses were performed for overall, early-, and late-stage disease.

RESULTS: The 5 year survival was significantly better at MVH and HVH compared with LVH, for all operations except late-stage hepatectomy (HVH survival > LVH and MVH). The 5 year survival probability was similar between MVH and HVH for operations on late-stage cancers. Early and overall survival for gastrectomy, esophagectomy, and proctectomy were equivalent between MVH and HVH. While early and overall survival for pancreatectomy were benefited by HVH over MVH, the opposite was true for lobectomy/pneumonectomy, which were benefited by MVH over HVH; however, none of these differences were likely to have an effect clinically. Only hepatectomy patients demonstrated statistical and clinical significance in 5 year survival at HVH compared with MVH for overall survival.

CONCLUSIONS: MVH hospitals performing sufficient complex common cancer operations demonstrate similar long-term survival for specific high-risk cancer operations to HVH. MVH provide an adjunctive model to the centralization of complex cancer surgery, while maintaining quality and access.

PMID:37310536 | DOI:10.1245/s10434-023-13680-4

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Robotic right versus left colectomy for colorectal neoplasia: a systemic review and meta-analysis

J Robot Surg. 2023 Jun 13. doi: 10.1007/s11701-023-01649-0. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Previous studies comparing right and left colectomies have shown variable short-term outcomes. Despite the rapid adoption of robotics in colorectal operations, few studies have addressed outcome differences between robotic right (RRC) and left (RLC) colectomies. Therefore, we sought to compare the short-term outcomes of RRC and RLC for neoplasia. This is a systematic review and meta-analysis of articles published from the time of inception of the datasets to May 1, 2022. The electronic databases included English publications in Ovid MEDLINE In-Process and Other Non-Indexed Citations, Ovid MEDLINE, Ovid EMBASE, and Scopus. A total of 13,514 patients with colon neoplasia enrolled in 9 comparative studies were included. The overall mean age was 64.1 years (standard deviation [SD] ± 9.8), and there was a minor female predominance (52% female vs. 48% male). 8656 (64.0%) underwent RRC and 4858 (36.0%) underwent RLC. The ASA score 1 of – 2 in the LRC group was 37% vs. 21% in the R. Whereas the ASA score 3-4 was 62% in the LRC vs. 76% in RRC. Moreover, the mean of the Charlson Comorbidity Score in the LRC was 4.3 (SD 1.9) vs. 3.1 (SD 2.3) in the RRC. Meta-analysis revealed a significantly higher rate of ileus in RRC (10%) compared to RLC (7%) (OR 1.46, 95% CI 1.27-1.67). Additionally, operative time was significantly shorter by 22.6 min in RRC versus LRC (95% CI – 37.4-7.8; p < 0.001). There were no statistically significant differences between RRC and RLC in conversion to open operation, estimated blood loss, wound infection, anastomotic leak, reoperation, readmission, and hospital length of stay. In this only meta-analysis comparing RRC and LRC for colon neoplasia, we found that RRC was independently associated with a shorter operative time but increased risk of ileus.

PMID:37310528 | DOI:10.1007/s11701-023-01649-0