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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Association between annual exposure to air pollution and systolic blood pressure among adolescents in Montréal, Canada

Health Promot Chronic Dis Prev Can. 2023 Apr;43(4):191-198. doi: 10.24095/hpcdp.43.4.04.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: In adults, chronic exposure to air pollution is associated with elevated blood pressure, but few studies have examined this relationship in youth. We investigated the association between annual ambient concentrations of air pollutants (fine particulate matter [PM2.5] and nitrogen dioxide [NO2]) and systolic blood pressure (SBP) among adolescents in Montréal, Canada.

METHODS: Participants were students aged 15 to 17 years who provided SBP and residential postal code data in 2004/05 through their enrolment in the Nicotine Dependence in Teens study. Annual estimates for 2004 of residential exposure to NO2 and PM2.5 were provided by the Canadian Urban Environmental Health Research Consortium and linked to participants’ residential postal code. Elevated SBP was defined as SBP ≥ 90th percentile adjusted for age, sex and height. Logistic regression was used to estimate odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for each pollutant with respect to elevated SBP, adjusted for relevant confounders.

RESULTS: The sample consisted of 508 adolescents (mean age: 16.9, 46% male); 4% had elevated SBP. Although estimates were not statistically significant, there were generally modest positive associations between pollutant levels and SBP. The adjusted prevalence odds ratio of elevated SBP was 1.33 (95% CI: 0.64, 3.05) for every interquartile range (IQR) increase in residential PM2.5 levels (2.1μg/m3). Similarly, the adjusted prevalence odds ratio of elevated SBP was 1.17 (95% CI: 0.47, 2.70) for every IQR increase in residential NO2 levels (10.2 ppb).

CONCLUSION: Findings support a possible relationship between exposure to air pollutants and increased SBP in adolescents, warranting further investigation for this important public health concern.

PMID:37043547 | DOI:10.24095/hpcdp.43.4.04

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Identification of hidden associations among eukaryotic genes through statistical analysis of coevolutionary transitions

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2023 Apr 18;120(16):e2218329120. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2218329120. Epub 2023 Apr 12.

ABSTRACT

Coevolution at the gene level, as reflected by correlated events of gene loss or gain, can be revealed by phylogenetic profile analysis. The optimal method and metric for comparing phylogenetic profiles, especially in eukaryotic genomes, are not yet established. Here, we describe a procedure suitable for large-scale analysis, which can reveal coevolution based on the assessment of the statistical significance of correlated presence/absence transitions between gene pairs. This metric can identify coevolution in profiles with low overall similarities and is not affected by similarities lacking coevolutionary information. We applied the procedure to a large collection of 60,912 orthologous gene groups (orthogroups) in 1,264 eukaryotic genomes extracted from OrthoDB. We found significant cotransition scores for 7,825 orthogroups associated in 2,401 coevolving modules linking known and unknown genes in protein complexes and biological pathways. To demonstrate the ability of the method to predict hidden gene associations, we validated through experiments the involvement of vertebrate malate synthase-like genes in the conversion of (S)-ureidoglycolate into glyoxylate and urea, the last step of purine catabolism. This identification explains the presence of glyoxylate cycle genes in metazoa and suggests an anaplerotic role of purine degradation in early eukaryotes.

PMID:37043529 | DOI:10.1073/pnas.2218329120

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

A randomized trial of safety, acceptability and adherence of three rectal microbicide placebo formulations among young sexual and gender minorities who engage in receptive anal intercourse (MTN-035)

PLoS One. 2023 Apr 12;18(4):e0284339. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0284339. eCollection 2023.

ABSTRACT

Efforts to develop a range of HIV prevention products that can serve as behaviorally congruent viable alternatives to consistent condom use and oral pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) remain crucial. MTN-035 was a randomized crossover trial seeking to evaluate the safety, acceptability, and adherence to three placebo modalities (insert, suppository, enema) prior to receptive anal intercourse (RAI). If participants had no RAI in a week, they were asked to use their assigned product without sex. We hypothesized that the modalities would be acceptable and safe for use prior to RAI, and that participants would report high adherence given their behavioral congruence with cleansing practices (e.g., douches and/or enemas) and their existing use to deliver medications (e.g., suppositories; fast-dissolving inserts) via the rectum. Participants (N = 217) were sexual and gender minorities enrolled in five different countries (Malawi, Peru, South Africa, Thailand, and the United States of America). Mean age was 24.9 years (range 18-35 years). 204 adverse events were reported by 98 participants (45.2%); 37 (18.1%) were deemed related to the study products. The proportion of participants reporting “high acceptability” was 72% (95%CI: 65% – 78%) for inserts, 66% (95%CI: 59% – 73%) for suppositories, and 73% (95%CI: 66% – 79%) for enemas. The proportion of participants reporting fully adherent per protocol (i.e., at least one use per week) was 75% (95%CI: 69% – 81%) for inserts, 74% (95%CI: 68% – 80%) for suppositories, and 83% (95%CI: 77% – 88%) for enemas. Participants fully adherent per RAI-act was similar among the three products: insert (n = 99; 58.9%), suppository (n = 101; 58.0%) and enema (n = 107; 58.8%). The efficacy and effectiveness of emerging HIV prevention drug depends on safe and acceptable delivery modalities that are easy to use consistently. Our findings demonstrate the safety and acceptability of, and adherence to, enemas, inserts, and suppositories as potential modalities through which to deliver a rectal microbicide.

PMID:37043527 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0284339

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Household food insecurity and associated factors in South Ari district, Southern Ethiopia: A community-based cross-sectional study

PLoS One. 2023 Apr 12;18(4):e0284252. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0284252. eCollection 2023.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Household food insecurity is a major public health problem in Ethiopia despite the presence of various interventions implemented by the government. However, there is a dearth of evidence regarding the prevalence and responsible factors in Ethiopia, specifically in the South Ari district. This study, therefore, aimed to assess household food insecurity and associated factors in South Ari district, Southern Ethiopia.

METHODS: A community-based cross-sectional study was employed from March 11 to April 11, 2021, at South Ari district, Southern Ethiopia. A two-stage sampling technique was used to draw a sample of 717 households. Data were checked and entered into Epi-Data V3.2., and exported to SPSS V25.0 for data exploration and analysis. Variables with a p-value <0.25 in bivariable logistic regression were candidates for multivariable logistic regression. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was fitted to determine factors associated with household food insecurity. Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit statistic was used to check model fitness and was satisfied. Adjusted odds ratio (AOR) with a 95% confidence interval (CI) was used to determine the strength of association. P-value <0.05 was used to declare statistical significance.

RESULT: The prevalence of household food insecurity was 44.8% (95% CI: 41.1%, 48.5%). Larger family size (8 and above) (AOR = 1.91, 95% CI: 1.10, 3.30), high dependency ratio (AOR = 2.71, 95% CI: 1.67, 4.40), medium dependency ratio (AOR = 1.72, 95% CI: 1.13, 2.62), poor wealth index (AOR = 2.30, 95% CI: 1.53, 3.46), not using agricultural extension service (AOR = 2.25, 95% CI: 1.57, 3.23), and non-beneficiary of productive safety net program (AOR = 1.71, 95% CI: 1.01, 2.87) were factors significantly associated with household food insecurity.

CONCLUSIONS: The findings of this study showed a significant proportion of households were food insecure in South Ari District. Larger family size, high and medium dependency ratio, poor wealth index, not using agricultural extension service, and non-beneficiary of productive safety net program were significant risk factors associated with household food insecurity. Therefore, rigorous work is highly needed to enhance income-generating activities, strengthen agricultural productivity, expand the productive safety net program, and limit population pressure through improved family planning use.

PMID:37043521 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0284252

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Smart contracts software metrics: A first study

PLoS One. 2023 Apr 12;18(4):e0281043. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0281043. eCollection 2023.

ABSTRACT

Smart contracts (SC) are software programs that reside and run over a blockchain. The code can be written in different languages with the common purpose of implementing various kinds of transactions onto the hosting blockchain. They are ruled by the blockchain infrastructure with the intent to automatically implement the typical conditions of traditional contracts. Programs must satisfy context-dependent constraints which are quite different from traditional software code. In particular, since the bytecode is uploaded in the hosting blockchain, the size, computational resources, interaction between different parts of the program are all limited. This is true even if the specific programming languages implement more or less the same constructs as that of traditional languages: there is not the same freedom as in normal software development. The working hypothesis used in this article is that Smart Contract specific constraints should be captured by specific software metrics (that may differ from traditional software metrics). We tested this hypothesis on 85K Smart Contracts written in Solidity and uploaded on the Ethereum blockchain. We analyzed Smart Contracts from two repositories “Etherscan” and “Smart Corpus” and we computed the statistics of a set of software metrics related to Smart Contracts and compared them to the metrics extracted from more traditional software projects. Our results show that generally, Smart Contract metrics have more restricted ranges than the corresponding metrics in traditional software systems. Some of the stylized facts, like power law in the tail of the distribution of some metrics, are only approximate but the lines of code follow a log-normal distribution which reminds us of the same behaviour already found in traditional software systems.

PMID:37043512 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0281043

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Double burden of malnutrition and associated factors among adolescent in Ethiopia: A systematic review and meta-analysis

PLoS One. 2023 Apr 12;18(4):e0282240. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0282240. eCollection 2023.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: As adolescence is a transition period from childhood to adulthood malnutrition occurring at this age resonates through generations. Although there were many individual studies in Ethiopia about different form of malnutrition among adolescent, their results are inconclusive indicating the need for generating a pooled estimate of adolescent nutritional status and associated factors. This review and meta-analyses aimed at estimating the pooled prevalence of different forms of malnutrition and associated factors among adolescents in Ethiopia.

METHOD AND MATERIALS: We searched data bases from Pub Med, Cochrane Library, Health Inter Network Access to Research Initiative (HINARI), Science Direct and search engines; Google and Google Scholar and other sources; Reference of References and expert contact which were used to select the studies. Joanna Briggs Institute (JBI) quality appraisal tool was applied to identify eligible studies. STATA/SE V.14 was used to analyze the data. Effect size with 95% Confidence Interval (CI) and heterogeneity were estimated. Heterogeneity of studies was quantified with I2 statistic >50% used as an indicator of heterogeneity. Potential publication bias was assessed using Funnel plots and Egger’s regression test. Trim and fill analysis was also performed. The presences of a statistical association between independent and dependent variables were declared at P <0.05. The PROSPERO registration number for the review is CRD42020159734.

RESULTS: The pooled prevalence of overweight/obesity, stunting and thinness were 10.63% (95% CI: 8.86, 12.40), 20.06% (95% CI: 15.61, 24.51) and 21.68% (95% CI: 9.56, 33.81), respectively. Being female (OR: 2.02, CI: 1.22-3.34), low dietary diversity score (OR: 2.26 CI: 1.28-3.99) and high physical activity (OR: 0.36, 95%CI: 0.14-0.88) were significantly associated with adolescent overweight/obesity. Urban residence (OR: 0.82, 95%CI: 0.68-0.99), protected drinking water source (OR: 0.50, CI: 0.27-0.90) and having family size<5 people (OR: 0.54, CI: 0.44-0.66) were independent predictors of adolescent stunting. Early adolescent age (10-14 years) (OR: 2.38, CI: 1.70-3.34), protected water source for drinking (OR: 0.36, CI: 0.21-0.61), low wealth index (OR: 1.80, CI: 1.01-3.19) and family size <5 people (OR: 0.50, CI: 0.28-0.89) were significantly (P < 0.05) associated with adolescent thinness.

CONCLUSION: The prevalence of overweight/obesity, stunting and thinness are high in Ethiopian adolescents indicating the upcoming challenge of double burden of malnutrition. The results imply the presence of double burden of malnutrition among adolescents which heralds the need for programmatic and policy response in terms of addressing modifiable risk factors including: dietary practices, physical activity, water source and economic status of these adolescents.

PMID:37043492 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0282240

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Family cohesion predicts long-term health and well-being after losing a parent to cancer as a teenager: A nationwide population-based study

PLoS One. 2023 Apr 12;18(4):e0283327. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0283327. eCollection 2023.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Parentally bereaved children are at increased risk of negative consequences, and the mediating factors most consistently identified are found to be related to family function after the loss, including cohesion. However, existing evidence is limited, especially with respect to children and youths’ own perception of family cohesion and its long-term effects on health and well-being. Therefore, the aim of this study was to investigate self-reported family cohesion the first year after the loss of a parent to cancer and its association to long-term psychological health and well-being among young adults that were bereaved during their teenage years.

METHOD AND PARTICIPANTS: In this nationwide population-based study, 622 of 851 (73%) young adults (aged 18-26) responded to a study-specific questionnaire six to nine years after losing a parent to cancer at the age of 13 to 16. Associations were assessed with modified Poisson regression.

RESULTS: Bereaved youth that reported poor family cohesion the first year after losing a parent to cancer had a higher risk of reporting symptoms of moderate to severe depression six to nine years after the loss compared to those reporting good family cohesion. They also had a higher risk of reporting low levels of well-being, symptoms of anxiety, problematic sleeping and emotional numbness once a week or more at the time of the survey. These results remained statistically significant after adjusting for a variety of possible confounding factors.

CONCLUSION: Self-reported poor family cohesion the first year after the loss of a parent to cancer was strongly associated with long-term negative psychological health-related outcomes among bereaved youth. To pay attention to family cohesion and, if needed, to provide support to strengthen family cohesion in families facing bereavement might prevent long-term suffering for their teenage children.

PMID:37043474 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0283327

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Disposition effect and reference points: An experimental study

PLoS One. 2023 Apr 12;18(4):e0284171. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0284171. eCollection 2023.

ABSTRACT

This study calls into question the default computation of the disposition effect that uses the average purchase price as a reference point. We show, through a lab experiment, that the reference price of participants can change depending on the experimental behavioral design that is used. Our results show that for the control group, different reference prices do not show significant differences in the computation of the disposition effect, thus supporting the use of the average purchase price as a reference. However, this is not the case for participants in the treatment group. With the addition of experimental treatment concerning the disclosure of the final balance of the participants, the reference prices to compute the disposition effect showed statistically significant differences. The need to display their results caused these participants to use the first purchase price as a reference point when selling their assets.

PMID:37043473 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0284171

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Assessment of hepatitis B vaccination status and hepatitis B surface antibody titres among health care workers in selected public health hospitals in Kenya

PLOS Glob Public Health. 2023 Apr 12;3(4):e0001741. doi: 10.1371/journal.pgph.0001741. eCollection 2023.

ABSTRACT

Healthcare workers (HCWs) have a significant occupational risk of hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection. Vaccination remains the most effective measure recommended to avert the risk. However, there’s limited information on hepatitis B vaccine uptake rates and the seroprotection status of HCWs, especially in sub-Saharan Africa. This study aimed to assess hepatitis B vaccination status and also seroprotection status of HCWs in three selected public hospitals in Kenya. This was a cross-sectional study carried out among HCWs at Kenyatta National Hospital (KNH), Naivasha and Mbagathi County hospitals. Data on participants’ demographics and hepatitis B vaccination status was collected using an interviewer-guided questionnaire. Blood samples were collected and tested for hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg), hepatitis B surface antibodies (anti-HBs), and hepatitis B core antibodies (anti-HBc) using Enzyme Linked Immuno Sorbent Assay technique. Data were analyzed using Statistical Package for the Social Sciences (SPSS) and Graph pad prism. Of the 145 eligible HCWs, 120 (82.8%) were vaccinated, with 77 (53.1%) having received the recommended three doses. Three quarters (108/145) of the vaccinated HCWs were seroprotected (titres ≥10 mIU/ml) against HBV infection, while 16.6% were non-responders (titres <10 mIU/ml). Vaccination with more than two doses and HBV exposure were significantly associated with anti-HBs titre levels (P<0.05). HCWs who received less than 2 doses of the vaccine were 70% less likely to have high anti-HBs titre levels (aOR, 0.3; 95% CI, 0.1-0.8; P = 0.013). Nearly all HCWs were vaccinated against hepatitis B virus. The majority of all HCWs were seroprotected against hepatitis B virus but a number of them had an insufficient immunity to the virus despite vaccination or prior exposure. There’s need to sensitize HCWs and enforce mandatory full vaccination as per the recommended vaccination schedule.

PMID:37043440 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pgph.0001741

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Drought, armed conflict and population mortality in Somalia, 2014-2018: A statistical analysis

PLOS Glob Public Health. 2023 Apr 12;3(4):e0001136. doi: 10.1371/journal.pgph.0001136. eCollection 2023.

ABSTRACT

During 2010-2012, extreme food insecurity and famine in Somalia were estimated to account for 256,000 deaths. Since 2014 Somalia has experienced recurrent below-average rainfall, with consecutive failed rains in late 2016 and 2017 leading to large-scale drought, displacement and epidemics. We wished to estimate mortality across Somalia from 2014 to 2018, and measure the excess death toll attributable to the 2017-2018 drought-triggered crisis. We used a statistical approach akin to small-area estimation, and relying solely on existing data. We identified and re-analysed 91 household surveys conducted at the district level and estimating the crude (CDR) and under 5 years death rate (U5DR) over retrospective periods of 3-4 months. We captured datasets of candidate predictors of mortality with availability by district and month. We also reconstructed population denominators by district-month combining alternative census estimates and displacement data. We combined these data inputs into predictive models to estimate CDR and U5DR and combined the predictions with population estimates to project death tolls. Excess mortality was estimated by constructing counterfactual no-crisis scenarios. Between 2013 and 2018, Somalia’s population increased from 12.0 to 13.5 million, and internally displaced people or returnees reached 20% of the population. We estimated an excess death toll of 44,700 in the most likely counterfactual scenario, and as high as 163,800 in a pessimistic scenario. By contrast to 2010-2012, excess deaths were widespread across Somalia, including central and northern regions. This analysis suggests that the 2017-2018 crisis had a lower, albeit still very substantial, mortality impact than its 2010-2012 predecessor. Despite modest elevations in death rate, crisis conditions were widespread and affected a population of millions. Humanitarian response to drought-related crises in Somalia needs to be strengthened, target the most vulnerable and emphasise very early interventions.

PMID:37043439 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pgph.0001136