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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Development of an online calculator for the prediction of seizure freedom following pediatric hemispherectomy using HOPS

Epilepsia. 2023 Jun 22. doi: 10.1111/epi.17689. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Although hemispheric surgeries are among the most effective procedures for drug-resistant epilepsy (DRE) in the pediatric population, a large variability in outcomes remains. Identifying ideal hemispherectomy candidates is imperative to maximize the potential for seizure freedom. The objective was to develop an online, freely-accesible tool that accurately predicts the probability of seizure freedom for any patient at 1-, 2-, and 5-years post-hemispherectomy to provide clinicians accessible and reliable prognostic information to complement clinical judgement.

METHODS: Retrospective data of all pediatric patients with DRE and seizure outcome data from the original Hemispherectomy Outcome Prediction Scale (HOPS) study were included. The primary outcome of interest was time-to-seizure recurrence. A multivariate Cox proportional-hazards regression model was developed to predict the likelihood of post-hemispheric surgery seizure freedom duration based on a combination of variables identified by clinical judgement and inferential statistics as predictive of the primary outcome. The final model from this study was encoded in a publicly accessible online calculator on the (iNEST) website.

RESULTS: The selected variables for inclusion in the final model included the 5 original HOPS variables (age at seizure onset, etiologic substrate, seizure semiology, prior non-hemispheric resective surgery, and contralateral FDG-PET hypometabolism) and 3 additional variables (age at surgery, history of infantile spasms, and magnetic resonance (MR) imaging lesion). Predictors of shorter time-to-seizure recurrence included younger age at seizure onset, older age at surgery, prior resective surgery, generalized seizure semiology, FDG-PET hypometabolism contralateral to side of surgery, contralateral MR imaging lesion, non-lesional MR imaging, non-stroke etiologies, and history of infantile spasms. The area under the curve (AUC) of the final model was 73.0%.

SIGNIFICANCE: Online calculators are efficient, cost-free tools that can facilitate physicians in risk-estimation and inform joint decision-making with families, potentially leading to greater satisfaction. Although the HOPS data was previously validated in the first analysis, the authors encourage prospective external validation of this new tool.

PMID:37347512 | DOI:10.1111/epi.17689

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Informal caregiver’s socio demographic profile for community-dwelling women and men with mild to moderate Alzheimer’s disease, compliance, and satisfaction to treatment: A post-hoc analysis of the AXEPT study

Health Care Women Int. 2023 Jun 22:1-16. doi: 10.1080/07399332.2023.2223147. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

In this post-hoc analysis of the AXEPT study, 855 patients were analyzed, 544 (63.6%) females. The mean (± SD) MMSE score in women vs men was 20.8 ± 2.6 vs. 21.2 ± 2.5; p = 0.0087, and women were more likely affected by psychiatric disorders (n = 76, 14.0% women vs. n = 21, 6.8% men; p = 0.0015). Men were mainly assisted by their wives (n = 207, 66.6%), women mainly by their daughters (n = 243, 44.7%) and only in a minority of cases by their husbands (n = 92, 16.9%). Women less frequently cohabited with their caregivers than men (n = 233, 43.1% vs. n = 240, 77.9%, p < 0.0001), and received less daily time of caregiving (mean (± SD): 10.0 ± 7.2 vs. 15.2 ± 8.2; p < 0.0001). No gender differences were highlighted in compliance to treatment and caregiver satisfaction, while gender differences in caregiving were found at disadvantage of women affected by more severe cognitive and psychiatric conditions.

PMID:37347493 | DOI:10.1080/07399332.2023.2223147

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Parental Cancer History and Its Association With Minor Children’s Unmet Food, Housing, and Transportation Economic Needs

JAMA Netw Open. 2023 Jun 1;6(6):e2319359. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2023.19359.

ABSTRACT

IMPORTANCE: A cancer diagnosis is associated with substantial economic burden for patients and their families. Young adult cancer survivors with dependent children may be particularly vulnerable to financial hardship.

OBJECTIVE: To examine associations of parental cancer with their children’s unmet economic needs.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This cross-sectional study used data from the nationally representative 2013 to 2018 US National Health Interview Survey. Children aged 5 to 17 years living in families with and without parental cancer history were queried about recent 1-year experiences. Statistical analyses were conducted from January 2022 to April 2023.

EXPOSURE: Parental cancer history.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: The main outcomes were children’s unmet economic needs, including family-level food insecurity, parent’s financial worry about paying for monthly bills and housing costs, and delayed child medical care owing to lack of transportation. Multivariable logistic regressions adjusted for (1) child’s characteristics (ie, age group, sex, and race and ethnicity), (2) parent’s characteristics (ie, age group, sex, health insurance coverage, comorbid conditions, and obesity status), and (3) family’s characteristics (ie, family structure [married or cohabiting parents vs single parent families], highest educational attainment in the family, and family income). Additional analyses focused on children with a parental cancer history to identify potentially modifiable characteristics associated with unmet economic needs.

RESULTS: In this cross-sectional study of 22 941 children with (812 children; weighted number, 860 488 children) and without (22 129 children; weighted number, 24 545 463 children) a parental cancer history, the majority of children were aged 5 to 11 years (12 022 children [52.4%]), male (11 920 children [52.0%]), and non-Hispanic White (11 863 children [51.7%]). In adjusted analyses, parental cancer history was associated with more severe family-level food insecurity, including worrying about food running out (odds ratio [OR], 1.97; 95% CI, 1.56-2.49; P < .001), food not lasting (OR, 2.01; 95% CI, 1.56-2.58; P < .001), and inability to afford balanced meals (OR, 1.38; 95% CI, 1.06-1.79; P = .02). Moreover, parental cancer history was associated with parent’s worry about paying monthly bills (OR, 1.41; 95% CI, 1.15-1.74; P = .001) and housing-related costs (OR, 1.31; 95% CI, 1.07-1.60; P = .009) and delays in child medical care because of lack of transportation (OR, 2.31; 95% CI, 1.49-3.59; P < .001). Among children with parental cancer history, female children, non-Hispanic Black children, children whose parents had multiple comorbidities, and children living in low-income families were especially vulnerable to unmet economic needs.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Parental cancer is associated with greater likelihood of food insecurity, unaffordability of housing and other necessities, and transportation barriers to medical care for minor children. Strategies to identify such children and address their needs are warranted.

PMID:37347484 | DOI:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2023.19359

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Rates of and Factors Associated With Patient Withdrawal of Consent in Cancer Clinical Trials

JAMA Oncol. 2023 Jun 22. doi: 10.1001/jamaoncol.2023.1648. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

IMPORTANCE: Patient withdrawal of consent from a cancer clinical trial is defined as a patient’s volitional cessation of participation in all matters related to a trial. It can undermine the trial’s purpose, make the original sample size and power calculations irrelevant, introduce bias between trial arms, and prolong the time to trial completion.

OBJECTIVE: To report rates of and baseline factors associated with withdrawal of consent among patients in cancer clinical trials.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This multisite observational cohort study was conducted through the Alliance for Clinical Trials in Oncology. Patient withdrawal was defined as a patient’s voluntary termination of consent to participate anytime during trial conduct. Baseline patient- and trial-based factors were investigated for their associations with patient withdrawal within the first 2 years using logistic regression models. All patients who participated in cancer therapeutic clinical trials conducted within the Alliance for Clinical Trials in Oncology from 2013 through 2019 were included. The data lock date was January 23, 2022.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: The percentage of patients who withdrew consent in 2 years and factors associated with withdrawal of consent.

RESULTS: A total of 11 993 patients (median age, 62 years; 67% female) from 58 trials were included. Within 2 years, 1060 patients (9%) withdrew from their respective trials. Two-year rates of withdrawal were 5.7%, 7.6%, 8.5%, 7.8%, 8.4%, 9.5%, and 9.8% for each of the respective years from 2013 through 2019. In multivariable analyses, Hispanic ethnicity (odds ratio [OR], 1.67; 95% CI, 1.30-2.15; P < .001), randomized design with placebo (OR, 1.64; 95% CI, 1.38-1.94; P < .001), and patient age 75 years and older (OR, 1.39; 95% CI, 1.12-1.72; P = .003) were associated with higher likelihood of withdrawal by 2 years. Use of radiation was associated with patient retention (OR, 0.68; 95% CI, 0.54-0.86; P = .001).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In this cohort study, rates of withdrawal of consent were less than 10% and appeared consistent over time. Factors that are associated with withdrawal of consent should be considered when designing trials and should be further studied to learn how they can be favorably modified.

PMID:37347469 | DOI:10.1001/jamaoncol.2023.1648

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Association of Influenza Vaccination With Risk of Bell Palsy Among Older Adults in Taiwan

JAMA Otolaryngol Head Neck Surg. 2023 Jun 22. doi: 10.1001/jamaoto.2023.1392. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

IMPORTANCE: Annual administration of the influenza vaccine (fluVc) is currently the most effective method of preventing the influenza virus in older adults. However, half of adults older than 65 years remain unvaccinated in Taiwan, possibly because of concern about adverse events, such as Bell palsy (BP). Currently, studies on the association between fluVc and risk of BP are inconsistent.

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether the incidence of BP increases following fluVc in older adults.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: A self-controlled case series study design was used. Days 1 through 7, days 8 through 14, days 15 through 30, and days 31 through 60 following fluVc were identified as risk intervals, and days 61 through 180 were considered the control interval. A total of 4367 vaccinated individuals aged 65 years or older who developed BP within 6 months following fluVc were enrolled. Population-based retrospective claims data were obtained between 2010 and 2017; data were analyzed from April 2022 through September 2022.

EXPOSURE: Government-funded seasonal fluVc.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: The outcome of interest was BP onset in risk intervals compared with control intervals. Three or more consecutive diagnoses of BP within 60 days following fluVc were used as the definition of a patient with BP. Poisson regression was used to analyze the incidence rate ratio (IRR) of risk intervals compared with control intervals.

RESULTS: In total, 13 261 521 patients who received the fluVc were extracted from the National Health Insurance Research Database in Taiwan from January 1, 2010, to December 31, 2017. Of those, 7 581 205 patients older than 65 years old met the inclusion criteria. The number of patients with BP diagnosed within 6 months following fluVc enrolled for risk analysis was 4367 (mean [SD] age, 74.19 [5.97] years; 2349 [53.79%] female patients). The incidence rate of BP among all observed fluVc older adults was 57.87 per 100 000 person-years. The IRRs for BP on days 1 through 7, days 8 through 14, and days 15 through 30 were 4.18 (95% CI, 3.82-4.59), 2.73 (95% CI, 2.45-3.05), and 1.67 (95% CI, 1.52-1.84), respectively. However, there was no increase during days 31 through 60 (IRR, 1.06; 95% CI, 0.97-1.16). The postvaccination risk of BP was consistent across all subgroups stratified by sex, age group, and baseline conditions.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: The present self-controlled case series indicated that the risk of BP in individuals older than 65 years increased within the first month, especially within the first week, following fluVc. But overall, the adverse event rate of BP was low, and considering the morbidity and mortality of influenza infection, the benefits of fluVc still outweigh the risks.

PMID:37347468 | DOI:10.1001/jamaoto.2023.1392

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Evaluating the Outcomes and Trainee Performance of a Canadian Medical Imaging Clinician Investigator Program

Can Assoc Radiol J. 2023 Jun 22:8465371231181484. doi: 10.1177/08465371231181484. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Purpose: To measure the research productivity of trainees from the University of Toronto’s Medical Imaging Clinician Investigator Program (MI-CIP) and comparing it with the research productivity of trainees from MI-non-CIP and General Surgery (GSx) Clinician Investigator Program. Methods: We identified residents who completed an MI-CIP, MI-non-CIP and GSx-CIP from 2006-2016. In each group of trainees, we assessed 3 research productivity outcomes with non-parametric tests before residency and at 7 years post-CIP completion/post-graduation. Research productivity outcomes include the number of total publications, the number of first-author publications, and the publication’s average journal impact factor (IF). Results: We identified 11 MI-CIP trainees (male/female: 9 [82%]/2 [18%]), 74 MI-non-CIP trainees (46 [62%]/28 [38%]) and 41 GSx-CIP trainees (23 [56%]/18 [44%]). MI-CIP trainees had statistically significant higher research productivity than MI-non-CIP in all measured outcomes. The median (interquartile range, IQR) number of total publications of MI-CIP vs MI-non-CIP trainees was 5.0 (8.0) vs 1.0 (2.0) before residency and 6.0 (10.0) vs .0 (2.0) at 7 years post-CIP completion/post-graduation. The median (IQR) first-author publications of MI-CIP vs MI-non-CIP trainees was 2.0 (3.0) vs .0 (1.0) before residency and 2.0 (4.0) vs (.0) (1.0) at 7 years post-CIP completion/post-graduation. The median (IQR) average journal IF of MI-CIP vs MI-non-CIP trainees was 3.2 (2.0) vs .3 (2.4) before residency and 3.9 (3.2) vs .0 (2.6) at 7 years post-CIP completion/post-graduation. Between MI-CIP and GSx-CIP trainees, there were no significant differences in research productivity in all measured outcomes. Conclusion: MI-CIP trainees actively conducted research after graduation. These trainees demonstrated early research engagement before residency. The similar research productivity of MI-CIP vs GSx-CIP trainees shows initial success of MI-CIP trainees.

PMID:37347463 | DOI:10.1177/08465371231181484

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Validity evidence and psychometric evaluation of a socially accountable health index for health professions schools

Adv Health Sci Educ Theory Pract. 2023 Jun 22. doi: 10.1007/s10459-023-10248-5. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

There is an expectation that health professions schools respond to priority societal health needs. This expectation is largely based on the underlying assumption that schools are aware of the priority needs in their communities. This paper demonstrates how open-access, pan-national health data can be used to create a reliable health index to assist schools in identifying societal needs and advance social accountability in health professions education. Using open-access data, a psychometric evaluation was conducted to examine the reliability and validity of the Canadian Health Indicators Framework (CHIF) conceptual model. A non-linear confirmatory factor analysis (CFA) on 67 health indicators, at the health-region level (n = 97) was used to assess the model fit of the hypothesized 10-factor model. Reliability analysis using McDonald’s Omega were conducted, followed by Pearson’s correlation coefficients. Findings from the non-linear CFA rejected the original conceptual model structure of the CHIF. Exploratory post hoc analyses were conducted using modification indices and parameter constraints to improve model fit. A final 5-factor multidimensional model demonstrated superior fit, reducing the number of indicators from 67 to 32. The 5-factors included: Health Conditions (8-indicators); Health Functions (6-indicators); Deaths (5-indicators); Non-Medical Health Determinants (7-indicators); and Community & Health System Characteristics (6-indicators). All factor loadings were statistically significant (p < 0.001) and demonstrated excellent internal consistency ([Formula: see text] >0.95). Many schools struggle to identify and measure socially accountable outcomes. The process highlighted in this paper and the indices developed serve as starting points to allow schools to leverage open-access data as an initial step in identifying societal needs.

PMID:37347458 | DOI:10.1007/s10459-023-10248-5

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Fall-Risk-Increasing Drugs and Gait Performance in Community-Dwelling Older Adults: Exploratory Results from the Gait and Brain Study

Drugs Aging. 2023 Jun 22. doi: 10.1007/s40266-023-01045-1. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVE: While several psychotropic and cardiovascular drugs have been identified as fall-risk-increasing drugs (FRIDs) in older adults, the intervening mechanisms linking FRIDs and falls are unclear. It is plausible that gait performance is an intermediate variable on the causal pathway between FRIDs and falls. The current evidence on the relationship between medication use and gait performance in older adults is scarce. We aimed to assess the association between FRIDs and gait performance in community-dwelling older adults.

METHODS: This was a cross-sectional analysis using data from the Gait and Brain Study, a study of community-dwelling older adults aged 65 years old and over (N = 345). The following drug classes were assessed: antidepressants, benzodiazepines, alpha-blockers, beta-blockers, vasodilators, diuretics, statins and aspirin. Medication use was ascertained through validated questionnaires and electronic medical records. Multiple linear regression models were used to assess the association between each of the drug classes and gait speed and gait variability. Gait variability was expressed as the coefficient of variation (CV = mean/standard deviation) of stride time. Models were adjusted for age, sex, education, body mass index (BMI), mini-mental status exam (MMSE) score, Geriatric Depression Scale (GDS) score, general activity level, use of other FRIDs and comorbidity propensity score.

RESULTS: Diuretic use was associated with significantly reduced gait speed (B = -7.97 cm/s, 95% CI: -13.94, -2.00, P = 0.009). Statin use was associated with significantly increased stride time CV (B = 0.13, 95% CI: 0.02, 0.24, P = 0.026). Other drugs did not have a statistically significant relationship with gait speed or variability.

CONCLUSION: The association between diuretic use and reduced gait speed is consistent with existing evidence on diuretic use and increased fall risk. The association between statins and increased stride time variability is notable given inconclusive evidence in previous studies. Our results provide initial estimates of the association between FRIDs and gait performance in older adults for future longitudinal studies.

PMID:37347412 | DOI:10.1007/s40266-023-01045-1

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Application of Multiple Occupational Health Risk Assessment Models for Metal Fumes in Welding Process

Biol Trace Elem Res. 2023 Jun 22. doi: 10.1007/s12011-023-03717-w. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Welding fumes have an important role to create the adverse health effects. So, the aim of this study was to use of multiple occupational health risk assessment models for metal fumes in welding process. This cross-sectional study was conducted among welding workers. Sampling of heavy metals such as Sn, Zn, Al, Fe, Cd, Pb, Cu, Mn, Ni, Cr, and As was provided based on the National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health (NIOSH) method 7300 and analyzed by inductively coupled plasma mass spectroscopy (ICP-MS). Risk assessment was managed by four methods including Malaysia’s method, Control of Substances Hazardous to Health Essentials (COSHH model), Chinese OHRA standard (GBZ/T 298-2017), and EPA method. Also, Monte Carlo simulation was used to examine the uncertainties by using the Crystal Ball tool. To compare the models, the risk levels of each model were converted into the risk ratio and the SPSS 22.0 software was used to the statistical analysis. The consistency of the two occupational health risk assessment models was examined by Cohen’s Kappa. Risk ration was the highest level for Cr (VI) fumes in all models. Also, carcinogenic risk was unacceptable for all examined fumes. Moreover, non-carcinogenic risk was the highest (HI > 1) for As fumes. Mont Carlo simulations suggested that exposure time (ET) had a significant effect on the risk. Also, there was a good consistency between Malaysia method/GBZ/T 298-2017 and COSHH model/GBZ/T 298-2017. Therefore, it is recommended that the engineering and administrative controls should be provided to reduce exposure.

PMID:37347403 | DOI:10.1007/s12011-023-03717-w

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Smoking during pregnancy and gestational diabetes mellitus: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Endocrine. 2023 Jun 22. doi: 10.1007/s12020-023-03423-6. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: To investigate whether maternal cigarette smoking during pregnancy is a risk factor for developing GDM.

METHODS: MEDLINE, Scopus, CENTRAL and Google Scholar databases were searched from inception to December 2022 to identify eligible original articles. A systematic review and meta-analysis (weighted data, random-effects model) were performed. The primary outcome was the development of GDM in pregnant women. The results were expressed as odds ratios (OR) with 95% confidence interval (CI) (inverse variance method). Subgroup analysis was planned according to the maternal smoking status and GDM diagnostic criteria. Statistical heterogeneity was checked with the Chi-squared (Chi2) test and the I2 index was used to quantify it. The studies were evaluated for publication bias.

RESULTS: Thirty-five studies, including 23,849,696 pregnant women, met the inclusion criteria. The pooled OR of smoking during pregnancy compared with non-smoking (never smokers and former smokers) was 1.06 (95% CI 0.95-1.19), p = 0.30; I2 = 90%; Chi2 = 344; df=34; p < 0.001. Subgroup analysis was performed according to the two-step Carpenter-Coustan diagnostic criteria, due to the high heterogeneity among the other applied methods. The pooled OR for the Carpenter-Coustan subgroup was 1.19 (95% CI 0.95-1.49), p = 0.12; I2 = 63%; Chi2 = 27; df=10; p < 0.002. Further subgroup analysis according to maternal smoking status was not performed due to missing data.

CONCLUSION: There is no evidence to support an association between maternal cigarette smoking during pregnancy and the risk for GDM. Universally accepted diagnostic criteria for GDM must be adopted to reduce heterogeneity and clarify the association between smoking and GDM.

PMID:37347387 | DOI:10.1007/s12020-023-03423-6